Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 4 December 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 December 2014, Arsenal 1 0 Southampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 14 36 +22 6.71 92.77 5.42 87.28 6.52 51.31 63.94 95.78 99.14 99.78 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_City 14 30 +17 0.38 51.31 -0.23 83.43 6.26 53.61 34.55 90.81 97.72 99.26 99.92 0.00 0.00 Southampton 14 26 +14 3.62 75.89 9.40 62.84 7.10 19.41 0.17 1.63 14.48 30.89 64.66 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 14 25 +8 -0.83 42.83 -2.20 67.87 7.14 23.36 0.76 5.90 37.04 59.92 84.95 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 14 24 +6 4.98 83.05 6.56 55.34 7.00 2.67 0.01 0.12 1.86 5.71 22.40 0.15R 0.01 Arsenal 14 23 +7 -1.71 36.85 -1.39 66.51 7.08 23.21 0.43 4.01 29.20 52.43 81.07 0.00 0.00 Swansea 14 22 +5 2.09 66.21 4.55 55.47 7.21 5.47 0.01 0.12 2.10 6.80 24.32 0.19R 0.00 Liverpool 14 20 +0 -4.97 16.83 -8.89 62.28 7.09 14.99 0.11 1.29 12.86 28.37 61.27 0.02R 0.00 Newcastle 14 20 -2 2.54 69.33 0.88 47.54 6.84 -11.71 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.51 3.40 2.96R 0.31 Tottenham 14 20 -3 0.06 50.59 -3.41 55.85 7.25 0.98 0.00 0.13 2.35 7.09 24.99 0.21R 0.02 Everton 14 18 +2 -4.79 17.96 -3.22 56.68 7.15 10.32 0.01 0.21 3.08 9.01 30.58 0.10R 0.01 Aston_Villa 14 16 -10 2.16 68.47 -1.34 41.95 6.69 -21.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.49 14.14R 2.53 Stoke 14 15 -4 -2.16 33.70 -0.44 43.33 6.87 -10.89 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.11 1.03 9.30R 1.39 Sunderland 14 14 -10 -0.52 47.17 -2.66 39.88 6.65 -22.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.21 22.07R 4.53 Crystal_Palace 14 13 -5 -1.58 38.38 2.42 37.37 6.59 -19.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 32.74R 8.68 West_Brom 14 13 -6 -3.21 26.59 -0.76 41.32 6.87 -14.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.46 15.68R 3.08 Hull 14 12 -6 -2.00 35.30 2.26 37.58 6.64 -17.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 31.51R 8.12 Burnley 14 12 -12 -1.72 37.83 -3.55 32.93 6.45 -32.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 62.08R 26.78 QPR 14 11 -13 -1.39 40.05 -1.17 33.17 6.69 -30.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 60.11R 26.78 Leicester 14 10 -10 -4.59 18.18 -2.23 34.84 6.89 -24.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 48.76R 17.77Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2014, Birmingham 2 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 19 35 +16 1.89 61.37 5.16 81.77 7.79 30.87 41.14 60.59 90.33 69.69P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 19 34 +9 6.09 83.38 6.19 74.08 7.72 13.49 9.20 20.54 61.79 30.01P 0.02R 0.00 Brentford 19 34 +6 8.30 89.99 6.64 69.59 7.93 3.81 3.48 9.07 37.84 14.37P 0.21R 0.01 Bournemouth 19 33 +17 3.44 70.66 11.82 75.03 7.94 24.55 12.84 27.04 67.77 36.96P 0.02R 0.00 Middlesbrough 19 33 +14 2.32 64.20 7.09 75.06 7.69 21.35 12.11 25.93 67.65 37.60P 0.02R 0.00 Blackburn 19 31 +4 3.29 69.68 1.61 71.32 7.82 8.73 4.99 12.47 47.65 20.70P 0.17R 0.00 Watford 19 29 +9 -1.59 40.03 2.08 71.13 7.87 16.61 5.19 13.01 48.41 22.78P 0.12R 0.00 Cardiff 19 29 +2 1.60 59.87 -0.01 69.38 7.90 7.08 3.19 8.56 38.00 15.89P 0.32R 0.01 Nott'm_Forest 19 28 +5 0.76 55.05 3.34 68.16 7.75 9.54 2.28 6.42 32.78 12.64P 0.44R 0.01 Charlton 19 28 +1 3.97 74.74 3.62 62.01 7.40 -2.82 0.26 1.01 9.92 2.72P 2.37R 0.11 Norwich 19 27 +5 -3.19 31.08 -1.27 69.19 8.04 12.59 3.55 9.06 38.58 17.67P 0.36R 0.00 Wolverhampton 19 27 -7 1.48 59.58 -6.16 63.01 7.84 -8.52 0.52 1.70 12.99 4.27P 2.42R 0.10 Sheff_Wed 19 25 -1 0.46 53.65 0.67 59.82 7.48 -3.90 0.09 0.46 6.18 1.59P 4.60R 0.29 Reading 19 24 -5 -3.18 30.73 -6.57 63.30 7.92 -1.83 0.49 1.72 14.52 4.92P 2.38R 0.13 Leeds_United 19 23 -3 -1.41 41.69 -0.25 56.44 7.70 -8.58 0.06 0.20 2.90 0.72P 11.58R 0.99 Fulham 19 22 -4 -5.81 18.71 -6.37 61.63 8.29 -0.45 0.47 1.64 11.93 4.48P 4.21R 0.29 Birmingham 19 22 -13 0.44 54.01 -6.15 52.47 7.46 -23.61 0.01 0.04 0.70 0.16P 25.99R 3.65 Bolton 19 21 -6 -4.14 25.87 -4.54 56.22 7.63 -8.89 0.03 0.14 2.67 0.69P 12.08R 1.13 Huddersfield 19 21 -7 -0.97 44.76 -0.12 54.23 7.74 -13.01 0.02 0.10 1.59 0.39P 18.64R 2.13 Millwall 19 20 -5 -1.33 42.15 2.27 49.89 7.42 -15.25 0.00 0.02 0.31 0.05P 36.79R 5.40 Rotherham 19 19 -10 -0.28 49.55 0.81 45.57 7.38 -26.34 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 61.99R 15.72 Brighton 19 18 -4 -9.49 5.95 -6.24 56.35 7.57 -1.69 0.03 0.13 2.66 0.79P 10.85R 0.99 Wigan 19 17 -5 -10.08 5.06 -6.66 56.15 7.78 -1.82 0.04 0.15 2.76 0.88P 11.86R 1.15 Blackpool 19 9 -18 -9.53 4.03 -6.97 36.69 7.13 -31.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.58R 67.88League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 December 2014, Barnsley 1 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 19 39 +17 7.34 87.18 8.52 86.55 7.94 33.19 30.90 55.36 96.09 66.72P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 19 38 +16 5.29 79.59 5.99 84.35 7.85 29.91 20.78 43.17 93.44 57.63P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 18 37 +21 5.14 79.57 10.02 85.48 8.05 36.28 27.50 50.73 94.82 63.49P 0.00 0.00 Preston 19 37 +13 4.27 74.71 3.13 83.39 7.85 26.97 17.48 37.61 91.78 53.53P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 19 31 +3 2.54 65.78 -0.60 72.51 7.71 9.62 1.15 4.40 50.14 15.13P 0.14R 0.00 Oldham 19 30 +8 3.74 72.42 7.54 68.09 7.80 9.77 0.40 1.64 29.28 7.02P 0.65R 0.01 Notts_County 18 30 +8 3.23 69.87 4.92 70.07 8.13 10.42 0.97 3.35 38.68 10.44P 0.47R 0.01 Rochdale 19 27 +8 1.36 58.72 8.95 64.70 8.15 8.71 0.17 0.76 18.20 4.00P 2.56R 0.11 Peterborough 19 27 +2 -3.22 30.89 -4.20 68.68 7.92 8.90 0.45 1.85 32.33 9.40P 0.63R 0.02 Bradford 19 26 +1 1.13 57.70 2.65 62.18 7.74 -0.07 0.04 0.21 9.76 2.05P 4.19R 0.16 Fleetwood_Town 19 25 +1 2.84 68.25 6.48 56.44 7.78 -6.69 0.00 0.04 2.61 0.44P 16.04R 1.31 Chesterfield 19 25 +0 0.11 51.24 1.74 60.79 8.05 -1.93 0.03 0.16 8.00 1.74P 6.99R 0.40 Walsall 19 23 -1 -3.29 30.10 -1.78 58.66 7.51 -2.19 0.01 0.05 3.96 0.87P 8.81R 0.53 Barnsley 19 23 -2 -4.85 23.56 -4.53 61.02 8.17 -0.68 0.04 0.23 8.83 2.22P 6.59R 0.44 Port_Vale 19 23 -2 -0.97 44.72 1.43 56.53 7.78 -7.57 0.00 0.04 2.52 0.49P 15.85R 1.44 Doncaster 18 23 -6 -1.09 43.67 -5.34 60.08 8.19 -7.67 0.05 0.21 6.81 1.62P 8.73R 0.53 Crawley_Town 19 22 -10 -0.72 46.33 -5.31 53.77 7.55 -17.47 0.00 0.01 0.90 0.18P 26.74R 2.90 Coventry 19 21 -7 -3.68 28.60 -4.64 56.96 7.88 -8.89 0.02 0.07 2.86 0.59P 15.07R 1.22 Leyton_Orient 19 19 -5 -9.97 5.94 -9.40 60.62 7.92 1.76 0.03 0.12 7.59 2.20P 6.60R 0.44 Gillingham 19 19 -7 -2.92 32.80 -0.66 50.06 7.66 -16.27 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.07P 44.19R 7.47 Scunthorpe 18 19 -10 -1.20 43.42 -2.65 50.79 8.08 -20.83 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.10P 41.98R 7.82 Colchester 19 17 -10 -4.58 23.51 -2.96 49.26 7.71 -17.41 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.06P 48.22R 9.29 Yeovil 19 17 -16 -5.33 19.86 -10.66 47.93 7.79 -25.02 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 56.85R 13.05 Crewe 19 16 -22 -1.78 39.79 -8.64 40.32 7.16 -42.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.70R 52.85League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 19 38 +14 8.93 92.32 9.41 78.19 7.67 18.82 16.91 48.57 84.35 57.08P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 19 37 +11 8.02 89.67 6.60 77.44 7.89 16.38 14.38 44.51 80.81 53.61P 0.00R 0.00 Shrewsbury 19 36 +15 2.48 64.95 3.93 82.90 7.83 29.47 39.74 73.11 94.44 80.23P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 19 35 +3 8.02 90.13 1.55 74.15 7.72 6.47 6.57 26.74 66.99 35.70P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 19 34 +6 3.63 72.21 -0.41 76.47 7.58 14.12 11.15 38.97 78.19 50.73P 0.01R 0.00 Plymouth 19 31 +11 3.67 72.52 8.77 69.93 7.62 14.20 2.60 13.87 48.83 22.58P 0.07R 0.01 Newport_County 19 31 +7 5.37 80.49 7.71 67.51 7.68 6.33 1.34 8.22 35.12 13.78P 0.30R 0.06 Bury 19 30 +4 1.11 56.72 -0.33 71.05 7.77 10.09 3.21 16.68 53.56 26.56P 0.06R 0.02 Exeter 19 30 +2 3.68 72.02 1.55 69.02 7.83 4.97 1.88 11.45 42.34 18.51P 0.24R 0.04 Cambridge_Utd 19 27 +7 2.26 64.29 8.93 61.09 7.83 2.78 0.25 2.04 12.96 4.38P 2.69R 0.67 Morecambe 19 27 -1 2.75 67.41 1.47 61.84 7.59 -3.90 0.20 1.80 12.88 4.15P 2.11R 0.55 Portsmouth 19 26 +0 -0.61 46.59 -0.95 64.68 7.81 2.53 0.57 4.35 23.18 8.98P 0.95R 0.23 Accrington_Stanley 19 26 -4 1.55 60.28 -1.23 59.72 7.67 -9.24 0.13 1.01 8.42 2.45P 4.20R 1.12 Stevenage 19 25 +0 -3.66 28.58 -3.94 65.67 8.07 5.59 0.90 6.22 28.63 12.81P 0.83R 0.17 Northampton 19 24 +0 -0.51 47.43 2.19 59.06 7.67 -2.96 0.09 0.85 7.68 2.29P 4.58R 1.36 AFC_Wimbledon 19 24 -3 0.69 55.39 1.15 57.01 7.55 -9.10 0.02 0.40 4.29 1.16P 7.80R 2.40 Cheltenham 19 23 -10 -0.12 49.96 -5.68 55.36 7.57 -16.81 0.01 0.20 2.64 0.66P 12.21R 4.15 Mansfield 19 22 -9 0.79 56.28 -2.12 53.67 7.49 -16.46 0.00 0.08 1.63 0.38P 17.03R 6.32 Oxford_Utd 19 21 -4 -4.51 23.92 -3.52 56.92 7.59 -5.28 0.03 0.36 4.47 1.36P 7.59R 2.47 Dag_&_Red 19 21 -5 -2.87 32.75 -1.56 54.39 7.66 -10.63 0.01 0.16 2.39 0.70P 14.05R 5.07 York 19 19 -5 -5.46 18.76 -3.20 55.10 7.53 -5.78 0.02 0.19 2.73 0.80P 11.35R 3.67 Carlisle 19 18 -12 -6.29 16.45 -9.01 52.24 7.94 -16.86 0.00 0.10 1.48 0.44P 23.10R 9.60 Tranmere 19 15 -7 -11.99 2.75 -8.44 53.29 7.88 -4.78 0.01 0.13 1.95 0.66P 17.32R 6.66 Hartlepool 19 12 -20 -9.14 5.79 -12.88 42.22 7.32 -29.96 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 73.49R 55.42Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 December 2014, Alfreton_Town 1 2 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 24 49 +31 4.34 73.03 12.25 88.73 6.57 45.98 62.65 96.37 72.47P 0.00 0.00 Woking 23 42 +16 6.62 83.08 9.91 75.68 7.00 19.22 3.84 43.10 10.71P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 24 42 +8 0.17 50.78 -5.29 79.76 6.63 19.36 8.82 65.26 26.16P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 24 41 +20 -1.72 39.84 5.03 79.10 6.58 31.76 9.03 65.43 26.23P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 23 39 +9 4.54 74.19 4.54 71.36 6.68 10.68 0.75 19.80 4.31P 0.00R 0.00 Halifax 23 38 +11 0.79 54.26 1.81 74.40 6.95 18.37 2.83 36.39 10.51P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 23 38 +7 2.35 63.15 0.47 73.78 6.87 13.54 1.98 31.96 8.09P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 24 37 +7 -0.49 47.16 -0.33 71.37 6.75 13.25 0.76 20.49 5.13P 0.00R 0.00 Forest_Green 23 37 +7 1.72 59.62 1.21 73.34 6.83 14.53 1.61 29.71 7.54P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 23 36 +11 -4.61 25.47 -3.35 77.74 6.87 27.64 6.40 57.12 21.48P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 21 36 +8 6.94 84.36 7.90 69.62 7.66 6.95 1.00 16.71 3.60P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 24 34 +2 -0.53 47.41 -0.62 69.11 6.65 9.70 0.25 11.51 2.68P 0.01R 0.00 Chester 24 33 -8 6.74 83.88 2.59 57.53 6.43 -17.45 0.00 0.24 0.01P 1.40R 0.02 Dover_Athletic 24 32 -1 2.58 64.67 4.70 59.33 6.83 -5.63 0.01 0.71 0.09P 0.69R 0.02 Lincoln_City 22 30 -1 0.13 51.07 -0.23 62.18 7.07 -2.35 0.03 2.16 0.33P 0.32R 0.01 Aldershot 23 30 -1 -4.21 27.59 -5.13 63.54 6.77 2.28 0.04 2.65 0.58P 0.14R 0.00 Altrincham 24 28 -17 4.72 75.81 -1.02 49.64 6.47 -31.21 0.00 0.01 0.00 15.76R 1.45 Braintree_Town 24 27 -2 -6.24 18.87 -2.90 57.75 6.54 -0.72 0.00 0.27 0.06P 1.16R 0.04 Welling 23 25 -5 -3.34 31.55 -0.22 54.39 6.79 -8.27 0.00 0.10 0.02P 4.19R 0.25 Southport 22 23 -13 -1.32 43.15 -3.37 48.92 6.76 -24.57 0.00 0.01 0.00P 18.77R 2.05 Dartford 24 20 -15 -5.38 21.18 -3.14 44.05 6.39 -24.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.39R 7.19 Nuneaton 23 18 -25 -4.88 22.89 -11.17 41.11 6.44 -38.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.04R 17.45 Alfreton_Town 23 17 -25 -6.12 17.53 -10.47 41.10 6.60 -37.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.40R 17.11 AFC_Telford 23 14 -24 -6.06 18.05 -3.14 35.12 6.65 -42.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.71R 54.41