Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 1 December 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 November 2014, Southampton 0 3 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 13 33 +19 6.25 91.80 4.30 86.02 6.80 48.94 63.64 94.38 98.63 99.60 99.96 0.00 0.00 Man_City 13 27 +14 -0.10 47.60 -1.21 82.08 6.49 50.61 34.26 88.12 96.59 98.85 99.88 0.00 0.00 Southampton 13 26 +15 4.48 81.31 9.57 63.94 7.35 19.95 0.47 3.52 20.37 38.93 70.45 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 13 22 +7 -1.73 35.55 -2.13 67.00 7.32 23.61 0.93 6.76 35.03 56.71 82.44 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 13 21 +5 3.46 75.90 5.74 53.22 7.15 0.90 0.00 0.11 1.29 3.97 15.93 0.57R 0.04 Arsenal 13 20 +6 -2.78 28.41 -1.63 65.17 7.28 22.73 0.49 4.50 25.52 46.54 76.09 0.00R 0.00 Tottenham 13 20 +0 0.27 52.53 -2.41 57.02 7.36 3.57 0.02 0.41 4.00 10.40 31.52 0.14R 0.01 Swansea 13 19 +3 1.26 60.65 3.76 54.26 7.36 4.12 0.01 0.15 1.85 5.63 20.85 0.46R 0.05 Newcastle 13 19 -2 3.05 73.64 1.08 47.83 7.04 -11.89 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.82 4.45 3.59R 0.45 Everton 13 17 +2 -3.93 22.02 -2.56 58.51 7.37 12.67 0.06 0.79 6.12 15.33 41.66 0.10R 0.00 Liverpool 13 17 -2 -5.81 12.36 -9.62 60.61 7.40 12.82 0.11 1.27 10.30 22.80 52.85 0.05R 0.00 Stoke 13 15 -3 -1.49 38.47 -0.60 43.97 7.01 -11.05 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.22 1.44 9.43R 1.52 Sunderland 13 14 -7 -0.18 50.07 -1.55 41.09 6.81 -19.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.45 18.81R 3.80 Crystal_Palace 13 13 -4 -0.21 49.64 3.52 39.07 6.87 -17.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.24 27.32R 6.80 West_Brom 13 13 -5 -1.98 34.68 -0.05 43.15 7.13 -12.29 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.13 1.22 12.36R 2.25 Aston_Villa 13 13 -11 0.51 56.09 -2.30 39.63 6.86 -23.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.28 26.28R 6.34 Hull 13 11 -6 -2.16 33.45 1.46 36.92 6.76 -19.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 38.36R 11.43 QPR 13 11 -11 -0.89 43.91 -0.48 34.26 6.88 -29.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 56.19R 23.34 Burnley 13 11 -12 -1.38 40.02 -3.55 33.12 6.69 -32.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 63.31R 29.30 Leicester 13 10 -8 -3.89 21.61 -1.35 36.30 7.15 -22.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.14 43.01R 14.66Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2014, Birmingham 2 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 19 35 +16 1.97 61.91 5.24 81.76 7.77 30.87 41.26 60.34 90.34 69.59P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 19 34 +9 6.11 83.36 6.19 74.13 7.81 13.54 9.44 21.28 61.64 30.47P 0.03R 0.00 Brentford 19 34 +6 8.25 89.93 6.55 69.77 7.90 4.09 3.56 9.10 38.73 14.77P 0.22R 0.00 Bournemouth 19 33 +17 3.56 71.27 12.00 74.86 7.92 24.28 12.27 26.31 66.99 36.40P 0.02R 0.00 Middlesbrough 19 33 +14 2.34 64.52 7.14 75.01 7.68 21.30 11.93 25.57 67.59 37.13P 0.02R 0.00 Blackburn 19 31 +4 3.20 69.19 1.48 71.37 7.87 8.79 5.16 12.74 47.78 20.91P 0.11R 0.00 Watford 19 29 +9 -1.49 40.66 2.29 70.92 7.83 16.32 4.78 12.30 47.33 21.85P 0.13R 0.00 Cardiff 19 29 +2 1.36 58.78 -0.31 69.61 7.95 7.42 3.51 9.08 39.08 16.46P 0.28R 0.01 Nott'm_Forest 19 28 +5 0.78 55.08 3.36 68.18 7.80 9.57 2.29 6.53 33.00 12.78P 0.43R 0.02 Charlton 19 28 +1 3.95 74.31 3.57 62.03 7.48 -2.80 0.27 1.09 10.15 2.83P 2.33R 0.11 Norwich 19 27 +5 -3.37 30.08 -1.54 69.44 8.01 12.97 3.75 9.39 39.52 18.42P 0.31R 0.01 Wolverhampton 19 27 -7 1.44 59.23 -6.24 62.95 7.81 -8.62 0.49 1.67 12.62 4.05P 2.39R 0.14 Sheff_Wed 19 25 -1 0.51 53.80 0.70 59.77 7.50 -3.96 0.13 0.46 5.98 1.53P 4.70R 0.31 Reading 19 24 -5 -3.07 31.44 -6.44 63.17 7.90 -2.00 0.53 1.77 14.03 4.76P 2.42R 0.12 Leeds_United 19 23 -3 -1.37 42.09 -0.15 56.40 7.65 -8.67 0.04 0.18 2.77 0.63P 11.24R 0.96 Fulham 19 22 -4 -5.70 19.35 -6.23 61.55 8.18 -0.51 0.45 1.52 11.43 4.15P 4.02R 0.25 Birmingham 19 22 -13 0.67 55.25 -5.74 52.14 7.42 -24.18 0.01 0.03 0.60 0.13P 27.78R 3.88 Bolton 19 21 -6 -4.30 25.22 -4.82 56.39 7.73 -8.71 0.04 0.18 2.79 0.78P 11.74R 1.04 Huddersfield 19 21 -7 -0.98 44.47 -0.10 54.21 7.76 -13.03 0.01 0.08 1.50 0.36P 19.07R 2.22 Millwall 19 20 -5 -1.44 41.66 2.09 50.05 7.36 -15.02 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.06P 35.87R 5.20 Rotherham 19 19 -10 -0.28 49.43 0.83 45.54 7.40 -26.42 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 62.07R 15.64 Brighton 19 18 -4 -9.49 5.94 -6.23 56.38 7.64 -1.64 0.04 0.18 2.82 0.94P 10.62R 0.91 Wigan 19 17 -5 -10.09 4.83 -6.63 56.15 7.75 -1.76 0.05 0.18 2.89 0.96P 11.74R 1.16 Blackpool 19 9 -18 -9.56 3.98 -6.99 36.73 7.14 -31.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.47R 68.04League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2014, Barnsley 1 2 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 19 39 +17 7.50 87.61 8.75 86.41 7.97 33.00 32.14 55.90 95.69 66.69P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 19 38 +16 5.28 79.50 6.01 84.37 7.82 29.93 22.06 45.02 93.48 59.14P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 19 37 +13 4.26 74.77 3.19 83.39 7.77 26.93 18.45 39.21 91.69 54.57P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 17 34 +20 3.77 72.76 9.38 83.64 8.40 35.02 22.55 43.25 91.07 57.09P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 18 31 +4 3.55 71.81 -0.11 74.02 7.91 10.89 2.40 7.26 56.76 18.79P 0.12R 0.00 Oldham 19 30 +8 3.83 72.75 7.69 67.91 7.86 9.48 0.42 1.66 28.21 6.86P 0.76R 0.03 Notts_County 18 30 +8 3.20 69.61 4.91 70.13 8.11 10.52 1.00 3.56 38.41 10.72P 0.43R 0.01 Rochdale 19 27 +8 1.38 58.91 8.96 64.53 8.19 8.46 0.16 0.77 17.37 4.00P 2.72R 0.12 Peterborough 19 27 +2 -3.16 31.29 -4.11 68.63 7.88 8.81 0.52 2.05 31.45 9.32P 0.69R 0.02 Bradford 19 26 +1 1.10 57.41 2.59 62.25 7.78 0.00 0.05 0.26 9.84 2.07P 4.25R 0.19 Fleetwood_Town 19 25 +1 2.76 68.16 6.34 56.59 7.80 -6.47 0.00 0.03 2.70 0.45P 15.72R 1.16 Chesterfield 19 25 +0 0.13 51.46 1.79 60.72 8.03 -2.01 0.04 0.16 7.55 1.57P 7.02R 0.38 Walsall 19 23 -1 -3.34 29.91 -1.83 58.66 7.49 -2.18 0.01 0.07 3.68 0.85P 8.98R 0.56 Port_Vale 19 23 -2 -0.81 45.71 1.66 56.40 7.75 -7.88 0.00 0.03 2.32 0.39P 16.67R 1.37 Barnsley 18 22 -2 -4.31 25.45 -4.33 61.48 8.39 -0.62 0.08 0.33 9.84 2.58P 6.56R 0.42 Doncaster 17 22 -6 -0.95 44.24 -5.64 60.43 8.45 -7.77 0.06 0.27 7.67 1.81P 8.90R 0.68 Crawley_Town 19 22 -10 -0.61 47.07 -5.13 53.69 7.55 -17.66 0.01 0.01 0.81 0.14P 27.69R 2.82 Coventry 19 21 -7 -3.70 28.59 -4.69 57.09 7.88 -8.73 0.01 0.03 2.96 0.63P 15.04R 1.30 Leyton_Orient 19 19 -5 -9.97 5.75 -9.37 60.60 7.91 1.74 0.03 0.13 7.15 2.08P 6.83R 0.42 Gillingham 19 19 -7 -2.82 33.25 -0.50 49.88 7.62 -16.50 0.00 0.01 0.26 0.04P 45.50R 7.83 Scunthorpe 18 19 -10 -1.37 42.43 -2.93 51.10 8.11 -20.42 0.00 0.01 0.65 0.12P 40.83R 7.63 Colchester 19 17 -10 -4.85 22.09 -3.37 49.64 7.76 -16.82 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.05P 46.45R 8.67 Yeovil 19 17 -16 -5.37 19.96 -10.71 48.10 7.74 -24.75 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 56.02R 12.52 Crewe 19 16 -22 -1.70 40.04 -8.55 40.24 7.22 -42.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.80R 53.86League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 19 38 +14 8.97 92.34 9.46 78.14 7.68 18.81 17.11 48.36 83.63 56.70P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 19 37 +11 8.11 89.95 6.74 77.31 7.92 16.20 14.39 43.61 80.19 52.79P 0.00R 0.00 Shrewsbury 19 36 +15 2.45 64.81 3.92 82.89 7.84 29.45 39.54 72.86 94.15 80.06P 0.00R 0.00 Burton_Albion 19 35 +3 8.04 90.02 1.58 74.23 7.74 6.57 6.62 27.29 66.78 36.01P 0.02R 0.01 Southend 19 34 +6 3.56 71.83 -0.49 76.47 7.52 14.10 10.77 38.64 78.35 50.34P 0.00R 0.00 Plymouth 19 31 +11 3.68 72.62 8.79 69.88 7.61 14.13 2.48 13.58 48.32 22.10P 0.11R 0.02 Newport_County 19 31 +7 5.35 80.57 7.64 67.64 7.72 6.50 1.42 8.65 36.15 14.44P 0.28R 0.07 Bury 19 30 +4 0.96 55.93 -0.54 71.27 7.84 10.40 3.44 17.50 54.46 27.39P 0.08R 0.01 Exeter 19 30 +2 3.49 71.21 1.33 69.18 7.81 5.28 2.02 11.57 42.97 18.92P 0.24R 0.04 Cambridge_Utd 19 27 +7 2.16 63.77 8.78 61.20 7.88 2.92 0.24 2.18 13.19 4.49P 2.58R 0.65 Morecambe 19 27 -1 2.78 67.82 1.52 61.81 7.58 -3.92 0.21 1.71 12.63 3.93P 2.18R 0.60 Portsmouth 19 26 +0 -0.52 46.93 -0.84 64.63 7.82 2.41 0.55 4.30 23.00 9.01P 0.98R 0.22 Accrington_Stanley 19 26 -4 1.56 60.46 -1.22 59.72 7.72 -9.20 0.10 1.08 8.50 2.59P 4.16R 1.13 Stevenage 19 25 +0 -3.67 28.78 -3.99 65.68 8.03 5.63 0.92 6.12 28.65 12.80P 0.83R 0.19 Northampton 19 24 +0 -0.50 47.48 2.18 59.04 7.67 -3.01 0.08 0.86 7.82 2.31P 4.56R 1.28 AFC_Wimbledon 19 24 -3 0.71 55.56 1.15 57.06 7.62 -9.05 0.02 0.40 4.59 1.29P 7.69R 2.41 Cheltenham 19 23 -10 -0.01 50.76 -5.44 55.13 7.58 -17.14 0.03 0.20 2.61 0.67P 12.61R 4.15 Mansfield 19 22 -9 0.75 56.41 -2.16 53.61 7.42 -16.50 0.01 0.10 1.46 0.30P 16.76R 6.23 Oxford_Utd 19 21 -4 -4.52 23.82 -3.53 56.90 7.54 -5.40 0.02 0.38 4.13 1.30P 7.56R 2.43 Dag_&_Red 19 21 -5 -2.90 32.73 -1.62 54.53 7.61 -10.41 0.01 0.17 2.41 0.65P 13.68R 4.72 York 19 19 -5 -5.42 18.95 -3.16 55.10 7.55 -5.83 0.01 0.21 2.60 0.78P 11.40R 3.91 Carlisle 19 18 -12 -6.24 16.73 -8.96 52.24 7.94 -16.85 0.00 0.09 1.50 0.44P 22.93R 9.29 Tranmere 19 15 -7 -11.95 2.55 -8.38 53.20 7.93 -5.00 0.00 0.12 1.90 0.69P 17.81R 6.87 Hartlepool 19 12 -20 -9.05 6.00 -12.78 42.14 7.33 -30.10 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 73.51R 55.76Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2014, AFC_Telford 1 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 24 49 +31 4.32 72.84 12.23 88.87 6.60 46.23 62.59 96.60 72.72P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 24 41 +20 -1.67 39.99 5.10 79.07 6.63 31.68 8.65 66.20 25.98P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 23 41 +8 0.45 52.13 -5.40 80.17 6.83 19.50 9.35 68.27 27.17P 0.00 0.00 Woking 22 39 +14 5.89 80.93 9.35 74.88 7.18 18.54 3.05 40.22 9.44P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 23 39 +9 4.41 73.57 4.40 71.42 6.69 10.73 0.65 20.95 4.51P 0.00R 0.00 Forest_Green 22 37 +8 2.70 65.44 1.59 74.48 7.06 15.13 2.50 36.82 9.55P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 22 35 +11 -4.00 27.57 -2.99 78.43 7.15 28.13 8.12 61.43 24.37P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 22 35 +10 -0.36 47.78 1.52 72.88 7.20 17.46 1.88 30.37 8.13P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 22 35 +6 1.15 56.56 0.12 72.23 7.15 12.61 1.38 26.16 6.51P 0.00R 0.00 Kidderminster 23 34 +5 -1.00 44.11 -0.60 70.21 6.92 11.94 0.62 17.15 4.00P 0.02R 0.00 Eastleigh 20 33 +6 6.12 81.95 7.19 68.23 7.96 5.27 0.69 14.32 2.79P 0.08R 0.00 Wrexham 23 33 +2 -0.32 48.61 -0.79 69.58 6.88 9.80 0.43 14.59 3.38P 0.02R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 23 31 -1 3.06 67.16 4.77 59.06 7.09 -6.62 0.01 0.90 0.14P 1.24R 0.05 Lincoln_City 22 30 -1 0.23 51.96 -0.17 62.26 7.16 -2.24 0.05 2.50 0.46P 0.43R 0.01 Aldershot 23 30 -1 -4.15 27.79 -5.01 63.42 6.83 2.12 0.04 2.84 0.71P 0.21R 0.00 Chester 23 30 -10 5.86 81.18 1.87 56.13 6.67 -19.20 0.00 0.21 0.02P 3.45R 0.19 Altrincham 23 28 -15 5.05 77.63 -0.78 50.67 6.66 -29.95 0.00 0.01 0.00 15.68R 1.60 Braintree_Town 24 27 -2 -6.37 18.21 -3.05 57.77 6.53 -0.67 0.00 0.33 0.08P 1.61R 0.07 Welling 23 25 -5 -3.39 31.24 -0.22 54.40 6.76 -8.29 0.00 0.11 0.03P 5.22R 0.31 Southport 22 23 -13 -1.29 43.24 -3.30 48.86 6.74 -24.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.04R 2.81 Dartford 23 20 -13 -4.66 24.12 -2.16 45.01 6.62 -23.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.70R 7.58 Nuneaton 22 18 -23 -4.47 24.45 -10.83 42.01 6.60 -36.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.96R 18.52 Alfreton_Town 22 17 -24 -5.27 20.63 -10.32 42.40 6.85 -36.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.91R 16.94 AFC_Telford 22 14 -22 -5.48 20.09 -2.51 36.45 6.87 -40.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.41R 51.93