Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 1 December 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 November 2014, Southampton 0 3 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          13   33  +19       6.25    91.80     4.30    86.02     6.80    48.94    63.64    94.38    98.63    99.60    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         13   27  +14      -0.10    47.60    -1.21    82.08     6.49    50.61    34.26    88.12    96.59    98.85    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      13   26  +15       4.48    81.31     9.57    63.94     7.35    19.95     0.47     3.52    20.37    38.93    70.45     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          13   22   +7      -1.73    35.55    -2.13    67.00     7.32    23.61     0.93     6.76    35.03    56.71    82.44     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         13   21   +5       3.46    75.90     5.74    53.22     7.15     0.90     0.00     0.11     1.29     3.97    15.93     0.57R    0.04  
Arsenal          13   20   +6      -2.78    28.41    -1.63    65.17     7.28    22.73     0.49     4.50    25.52    46.54    76.09     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        13   20   +0       0.27    52.53    -2.41    57.02     7.36     3.57     0.02     0.41     4.00    10.40    31.52     0.14R    0.01  
Swansea          13   19   +3       1.26    60.65     3.76    54.26     7.36     4.12     0.01     0.15     1.85     5.63    20.85     0.46R    0.05  
Newcastle        13   19   -2       3.05    73.64     1.08    47.83     7.04   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.82     4.45     3.59R    0.45  
Everton          13   17   +2      -3.93    22.02    -2.56    58.51     7.37    12.67     0.06     0.79     6.12    15.33    41.66     0.10R    0.00  
Liverpool        13   17   -2      -5.81    12.36    -9.62    60.61     7.40    12.82     0.11     1.27    10.30    22.80    52.85     0.05R    0.00  
Stoke            13   15   -3      -1.49    38.47    -0.60    43.97     7.01   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.22     1.44     9.43R    1.52  
Sunderland       13   14   -7      -0.18    50.07    -1.55    41.09     6.81   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.45    18.81R    3.80  
Crystal_Palace   13   13   -4      -0.21    49.64     3.52    39.07     6.87   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    27.32R    6.80  
West_Brom        13   13   -5      -1.98    34.68    -0.05    43.15     7.13   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.22    12.36R    2.25  
Aston_Villa      13   13  -11       0.51    56.09    -2.30    39.63     6.86   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.28    26.28R    6.34  
Hull             13   11   -6      -2.16    33.45     1.46    36.92     6.76   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    38.36R   11.43  
QPR              13   11  -11      -0.89    43.91    -0.48    34.26     6.88   -29.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    56.19R   23.34  
Burnley          13   11  -12      -1.38    40.02    -3.55    33.12     6.69   -32.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    63.31R   29.30  
Leicester        13   10   -8      -3.89    21.61    -1.35    36.30     7.15   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    43.01R   14.66  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2014, Birmingham 2 1 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Derby           19   35  +16       1.97    61.91     5.24    81.76     7.77    30.87    41.26    60.34    90.34    69.59P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         19   34   +9       6.11    83.36     6.19    74.13     7.81    13.54     9.44    21.28    61.64    30.47P    0.03R    0.00  
Brentford       19   34   +6       8.25    89.93     6.55    69.77     7.90     4.09     3.56     9.10    38.73    14.77P    0.22R    0.00  
Bournemouth     19   33  +17       3.56    71.27    12.00    74.86     7.92    24.28    12.27    26.31    66.99    36.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   19   33  +14       2.34    64.52     7.14    75.01     7.68    21.30    11.93    25.57    67.59    37.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       19   31   +4       3.20    69.19     1.48    71.37     7.87     8.79     5.16    12.74    47.78    20.91P    0.11R    0.00  
Watford         19   29   +9      -1.49    40.66     2.29    70.92     7.83    16.32     4.78    12.30    47.33    21.85P    0.13R    0.00  
Cardiff         19   29   +2       1.36    58.78    -0.31    69.61     7.95     7.42     3.51     9.08    39.08    16.46P    0.28R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest   19   28   +5       0.78    55.08     3.36    68.18     7.80     9.57     2.29     6.53    33.00    12.78P    0.43R    0.02  
Charlton        19   28   +1       3.95    74.31     3.57    62.03     7.48    -2.80     0.27     1.09    10.15     2.83P    2.33R    0.11  
Norwich         19   27   +5      -3.37    30.08    -1.54    69.44     8.01    12.97     3.75     9.39    39.52    18.42P    0.31R    0.01  
Wolverhampton   19   27   -7       1.44    59.23    -6.24    62.95     7.81    -8.62     0.49     1.67    12.62     4.05P    2.39R    0.14  
Sheff_Wed       19   25   -1       0.51    53.80     0.70    59.77     7.50    -3.96     0.13     0.46     5.98     1.53P    4.70R    0.31  
Reading         19   24   -5      -3.07    31.44    -6.44    63.17     7.90    -2.00     0.53     1.77    14.03     4.76P    2.42R    0.12  
Leeds_United    19   23   -3      -1.37    42.09    -0.15    56.40     7.65    -8.67     0.04     0.18     2.77     0.63P   11.24R    0.96  
Fulham          19   22   -4      -5.70    19.35    -6.23    61.55     8.18    -0.51     0.45     1.52    11.43     4.15P    4.02R    0.25  
Birmingham      19   22  -13       0.67    55.25    -5.74    52.14     7.42   -24.18     0.01     0.03     0.60     0.13P   27.78R    3.88  
Bolton          19   21   -6      -4.30    25.22    -4.82    56.39     7.73    -8.71     0.04     0.18     2.79     0.78P   11.74R    1.04  
Huddersfield    19   21   -7      -0.98    44.47    -0.10    54.21     7.76   -13.03     0.01     0.08     1.50     0.36P   19.07R    2.22  
Millwall        19   20   -5      -1.44    41.66     2.09    50.05     7.36   -15.02     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   35.87R    5.20  
Rotherham       19   19  -10      -0.28    49.43     0.83    45.54     7.40   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   62.07R   15.64  
Brighton        19   18   -4      -9.49     5.94    -6.23    56.38     7.64    -1.64     0.04     0.18     2.82     0.94P   10.62R    0.91  
Wigan           19   17   -5     -10.09     4.83    -6.63    56.15     7.75    -1.76     0.05     0.18     2.89     0.96P   11.74R    1.16  
Blackpool       19    9  -18      -9.56     3.98    -6.99    36.73     7.14   -31.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.47R   68.04  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2014, Barnsley 1 2 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     19   39  +17       7.50    87.61     8.75    86.41     7.97    33.00    32.14    55.90    95.69    66.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          19   38  +16       5.28    79.50     6.01    84.37     7.82    29.93    22.06    45.02    93.48    59.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston          19   37  +13       4.26    74.77     3.19    83.39     7.77    26.93    18.45    39.21    91.69    54.57P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   34  +20       3.77    72.76     9.38    83.64     8.40    35.02    22.55    43.25    91.07    57.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        18   31   +4       3.55    71.81    -0.11    74.02     7.91    10.89     2.40     7.26    56.76    18.79P    0.12R    0.00  
Oldham           19   30   +8       3.83    72.75     7.69    67.91     7.86     9.48     0.42     1.66    28.21     6.86P    0.76R    0.03  
Notts_County     18   30   +8       3.20    69.61     4.91    70.13     8.11    10.52     1.00     3.56    38.41    10.72P    0.43R    0.01  
Rochdale         19   27   +8       1.38    58.91     8.96    64.53     8.19     8.46     0.16     0.77    17.37     4.00P    2.72R    0.12  
Peterborough     19   27   +2      -3.16    31.29    -4.11    68.63     7.88     8.81     0.52     2.05    31.45     9.32P    0.69R    0.02  
Bradford         19   26   +1       1.10    57.41     2.59    62.25     7.78     0.00     0.05     0.26     9.84     2.07P    4.25R    0.19  
Fleetwood_Town   19   25   +1       2.76    68.16     6.34    56.59     7.80    -6.47     0.00     0.03     2.70     0.45P   15.72R    1.16  
Chesterfield     19   25   +0       0.13    51.46     1.79    60.72     8.03    -2.01     0.04     0.16     7.55     1.57P    7.02R    0.38  
Walsall          19   23   -1      -3.34    29.91    -1.83    58.66     7.49    -2.18     0.01     0.07     3.68     0.85P    8.98R    0.56  
Port_Vale        19   23   -2      -0.81    45.71     1.66    56.40     7.75    -7.88     0.00     0.03     2.32     0.39P   16.67R    1.37  
Barnsley         18   22   -2      -4.31    25.45    -4.33    61.48     8.39    -0.62     0.08     0.33     9.84     2.58P    6.56R    0.42  
Doncaster        17   22   -6      -0.95    44.24    -5.64    60.43     8.45    -7.77     0.06     0.27     7.67     1.81P    8.90R    0.68  
Crawley_Town     19   22  -10      -0.61    47.07    -5.13    53.69     7.55   -17.66     0.01     0.01     0.81     0.14P   27.69R    2.82  
Coventry         19   21   -7      -3.70    28.59    -4.69    57.09     7.88    -8.73     0.01     0.03     2.96     0.63P   15.04R    1.30  
Leyton_Orient    19   19   -5      -9.97     5.75    -9.37    60.60     7.91     1.74     0.03     0.13     7.15     2.08P    6.83R    0.42  
Gillingham       19   19   -7      -2.82    33.25    -0.50    49.88     7.62   -16.50     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.04P   45.50R    7.83  
Scunthorpe       18   19  -10      -1.37    42.43    -2.93    51.10     8.11   -20.42     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.12P   40.83R    7.63  
Colchester       19   17  -10      -4.85    22.09    -3.37    49.64     7.76   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   46.45R    8.67  
Yeovil           19   17  -16      -5.37    19.96   -10.71    48.10     7.74   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   56.02R   12.52  
Crewe            19   16  -22      -1.70    40.04    -8.55    40.24     7.22   -42.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.80R   53.86  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe              19   38  +14       8.97    92.34     9.46    78.14     7.68    18.81    17.11    48.36    83.63    56.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                19   37  +11       8.11    89.95     6.74    77.31     7.92    16.20    14.39    43.61    80.19    52.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   36  +15       2.45    64.81     3.92    82.89     7.84    29.45    39.54    72.86    94.15    80.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   35   +3       8.04    90.02     1.58    74.23     7.74     6.57     6.62    27.29    66.78    36.01P    0.02R    0.01  
Southend             19   34   +6       3.56    71.83    -0.49    76.47     7.52    14.10    10.77    38.64    78.35    50.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth             19   31  +11       3.68    72.62     8.79    69.88     7.61    14.13     2.48    13.58    48.32    22.10P    0.11R    0.02  
Newport_County       19   31   +7       5.35    80.57     7.64    67.64     7.72     6.50     1.42     8.65    36.15    14.44P    0.28R    0.07  
Bury                 19   30   +4       0.96    55.93    -0.54    71.27     7.84    10.40     3.44    17.50    54.46    27.39P    0.08R    0.01  
Exeter               19   30   +2       3.49    71.21     1.33    69.18     7.81     5.28     2.02    11.57    42.97    18.92P    0.24R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd        19   27   +7       2.16    63.77     8.78    61.20     7.88     2.92     0.24     2.18    13.19     4.49P    2.58R    0.65  
Morecambe            19   27   -1       2.78    67.82     1.52    61.81     7.58    -3.92     0.21     1.71    12.63     3.93P    2.18R    0.60  
Portsmouth           19   26   +0      -0.52    46.93    -0.84    64.63     7.82     2.41     0.55     4.30    23.00     9.01P    0.98R    0.22  
Accrington_Stanley   19   26   -4       1.56    60.46    -1.22    59.72     7.72    -9.20     0.10     1.08     8.50     2.59P    4.16R    1.13  
Stevenage            19   25   +0      -3.67    28.78    -3.99    65.68     8.03     5.63     0.92     6.12    28.65    12.80P    0.83R    0.19  
Northampton          19   24   +0      -0.50    47.48     2.18    59.04     7.67    -3.01     0.08     0.86     7.82     2.31P    4.56R    1.28  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   24   -3       0.71    55.56     1.15    57.06     7.62    -9.05     0.02     0.40     4.59     1.29P    7.69R    2.41  
Cheltenham           19   23  -10      -0.01    50.76    -5.44    55.13     7.58   -17.14     0.03     0.20     2.61     0.67P   12.61R    4.15  
Mansfield            19   22   -9       0.75    56.41    -2.16    53.61     7.42   -16.50     0.01     0.10     1.46     0.30P   16.76R    6.23  
Oxford_Utd           19   21   -4      -4.52    23.82    -3.53    56.90     7.54    -5.40     0.02     0.38     4.13     1.30P    7.56R    2.43  
Dag_&_Red            19   21   -5      -2.90    32.73    -1.62    54.53     7.61   -10.41     0.01     0.17     2.41     0.65P   13.68R    4.72  
York                 19   19   -5      -5.42    18.95    -3.16    55.10     7.55    -5.83     0.01     0.21     2.60     0.78P   11.40R    3.91  
Carlisle             19   18  -12      -6.24    16.73    -8.96    52.24     7.94   -16.85     0.00     0.09     1.50     0.44P   22.93R    9.29  
Tranmere             19   15   -7     -11.95     2.55    -8.38    53.20     7.93    -5.00     0.00     0.12     1.90     0.69P   17.81R    6.87  
Hartlepool           19   12  -20      -9.05     6.00   -12.78    42.14     7.33   -30.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    73.51R   55.76  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 November 2014, AFC_Telford 1 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           24   49  +31       4.32    72.84    12.23    88.87     6.60    46.23    62.59    96.60    72.72P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          24   41  +20      -1.67    39.99     5.10    79.07     6.63    31.68     8.65    66.20    25.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   23   41   +8       0.45    52.13    -5.40    80.17     6.83    19.50     9.35    68.27    27.17P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           22   39  +14       5.89    80.93     9.35    74.88     7.18    18.54     3.05    40.22     9.44P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     23   39   +9       4.41    73.57     4.40    71.42     6.69    10.73     0.65    20.95     4.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green     22   37   +8       2.70    65.44     1.59    74.48     7.06    15.13     2.50    36.82     9.55P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay          22   35  +11      -4.00    27.57    -2.99    78.43     7.15    28.13     8.12    61.43    24.37P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          22   35  +10      -0.36    47.78     1.52    72.88     7.20    17.46     1.88    30.37     8.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead        22   35   +6       1.15    56.56     0.12    72.23     7.15    12.61     1.38    26.16     6.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    23   34   +5      -1.00    44.11    -0.60    70.21     6.92    11.94     0.62    17.15     4.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Eastleigh        20   33   +6       6.12    81.95     7.19    68.23     7.96     5.27     0.69    14.32     2.79P    0.08R    0.00  
Wrexham          23   33   +2      -0.32    48.61    -0.79    69.58     6.88     9.80     0.43    14.59     3.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic   23   31   -1       3.06    67.16     4.77    59.06     7.09    -6.62     0.01     0.90     0.14P    1.24R    0.05  
Lincoln_City     22   30   -1       0.23    51.96    -0.17    62.26     7.16    -2.24     0.05     2.50     0.46P    0.43R    0.01  
Aldershot        23   30   -1      -4.15    27.79    -5.01    63.42     6.83     2.12     0.04     2.84     0.71P    0.21R    0.00  
Chester          23   30  -10       5.86    81.18     1.87    56.13     6.67   -19.20     0.00     0.21     0.02P    3.45R    0.19  
Altrincham       23   28  -15       5.05    77.63    -0.78    50.67     6.66   -29.95     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.68R    1.60  
Braintree_Town   24   27   -2      -6.37    18.21    -3.05    57.77     6.53    -0.67     0.00     0.33     0.08P    1.61R    0.07  
Welling          23   25   -5      -3.39    31.24    -0.22    54.40     6.76    -8.29     0.00     0.11     0.03P    5.22R    0.31  
Southport        22   23  -13      -1.29    43.24    -3.30    48.86     6.74   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.04R    2.81  
Dartford         23   20  -13      -4.66    24.12    -2.16    45.01     6.62   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.70R    7.58  
Nuneaton         22   18  -23      -4.47    24.45   -10.83    42.01     6.60   -36.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.96R   18.52  
Alfreton_Town    22   17  -24      -5.27    20.63   -10.32    42.40     6.85   -36.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.91R   16.94  
AFC_Telford      22   14  -22      -5.48    20.09    -2.51    36.45     6.87   -40.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.41R   51.93