Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 13 November 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2014, Sunderland 1 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          11   29  +17       6.56    94.81     4.55    87.24     7.18    51.91    73.90    94.53    98.52    99.54    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      11   25  +18       5.67    89.69    11.57    67.17     7.82    25.16     1.78    11.06    34.15    54.16    80.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         11   21  +10      -1.80    32.93    -2.63    79.59     7.07    47.95    22.42    76.32    90.69    96.00    99.29     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         11   18   +5       3.05    75.17     5.48    52.63     7.67     0.02     0.00     0.15     1.25     3.83    15.17     0.95R    0.07  
Swansea          11   18   +4       2.69    72.79     3.98    55.94     7.79     4.61     0.05     0.54     3.16     8.25    26.83     0.35R    0.02  
Arsenal          11   17   +6      -2.71    27.03    -1.28    66.16     7.76    24.98     0.99     8.22    30.05    49.86    77.65     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd          11   16   +3      -3.88    19.31    -4.36    63.09     7.80    18.61     0.41     3.98    16.95    33.16    63.86     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle        11   16   -2       2.99    75.13     1.51    47.82     7.57   -11.90     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.01     5.11     4.33R    0.53  
Stoke            11   15   -1       0.89    58.69     0.74    46.88     7.47    -9.20     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.71     4.01     5.05R    0.60  
Everton          11   14   +2      -3.84    20.28    -2.04    58.81     7.81    13.58     0.12     1.39     6.89    16.08    42.15     0.12R    0.01  
Liverpool        11   14   -1      -5.28    12.53    -7.57    62.88     7.77    18.21     0.30     3.54    16.17    32.21    63.36     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham        11   14   -2      -2.26    31.31    -3.32    53.38     7.86     0.81     0.02     0.20     1.63     4.67    17.64     0.93R    0.07  
West_Brom        11   13   -2      -0.74    44.40     0.53    44.72     7.55   -11.82     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.34     2.22     9.10R    1.33  
Sunderland       11   12   -7      -0.31    48.79    -2.67    40.45     7.27   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.47    22.27R    4.20  
Hull             11   11   -2      -0.91    43.33     3.14    39.39     7.26   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.39    24.80R    5.15  
Aston_Villa      11   11  -11       0.96    60.92    -2.46    39.86     7.33   -24.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.45    25.47R    5.52  
Crystal_Palace   11    9   -6      -1.98    33.09     0.87    35.57     7.17   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    45.42R   13.53  
Leicester        11    9   -7      -2.25    31.78    -0.44    38.73     7.73   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.46    30.06R    7.62  
QPR              11    8  -11      -1.47    38.01    -0.93    33.39     7.39   -30.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    58.74R   24.06  
Burnley          11    7  -13      -2.86    25.71    -4.65    30.83     7.08   -35.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.01    72.35R   37.28  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 November 2014, Birmingham 0 0 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Derby           17   32  +17       1.44    58.97     5.73    82.09     8.13    32.89    36.93    56.48    89.55    66.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth     17   31  +17       4.94    79.83    12.92    77.11     8.27    26.68    16.13    32.38    73.97    42.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   31  +14       3.23    70.87     7.32    76.31     8.09    22.16    13.28    27.51    70.64    39.34P    0.02R    0.00  
Ipswich         17   30   +8       4.86    79.66     5.22    71.94     8.12    11.28     5.00    12.50    48.70    20.64P    0.11R    0.00  
Watford         17   29  +11       1.01    56.48     3.76    75.16     8.31    20.70    11.21    23.75    65.47    34.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Brentford       17   28   +1       6.65    86.73     4.05    64.66     8.31    -3.80     0.84     2.54    17.93     5.34P    1.64R    0.09  
Blackburn       17   27   +3       2.37    65.56     1.06    70.12     8.21     7.79     3.27     8.86    40.12    15.79P    0.25R    0.00  
Charlton        17   27   +2       5.81    84.35     4.84    64.82     7.96    -0.44     0.73     2.30    17.55     5.07P    1.27R    0.07  
Wolverhampton   17   27   +0       2.33    65.54    -2.05    68.79     8.37     3.15     2.64     7.01    33.23    13.24P    0.43R    0.01  
Norwich         17   26   +6      -1.38    40.83    -0.19    72.61     8.36    16.12     6.49    15.22    53.26    26.27P    0.12R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   17   25   +3       0.88    56.34     1.96    66.83     8.25     5.95     1.48     4.32    26.20     9.31P    0.86R    0.04  
Cardiff         17   23   +0      -1.17    42.66    -1.32    65.26     8.34     3.77     0.99     3.29    20.67     7.64P    1.38R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed       17   21   -2      -0.74    45.60    -0.17    57.97     7.87    -5.79     0.06     0.28     4.14     1.11P    7.59R    0.69  
Reading         17   21   -5      -3.73    26.53    -7.07    61.72     8.24    -3.82     0.33     1.17    10.55     3.40P    3.77R    0.25  
Leeds_United    17   20   -4      -1.81    38.44    -1.50    54.83     8.00   -11.79     0.02     0.10     2.03     0.49P   15.76R    1.87  
Huddersfield    17   20   -6       0.30    53.12     0.36    56.35     8.22   -11.61     0.04     0.19     3.19     0.69P   12.89R    1.48  
Fulham          17   19   -4      -6.24    15.46    -6.63    60.78     8.69    -1.32     0.37     1.26    10.31     3.54P    5.39R    0.45  
Millwall        17   18   -5      -1.51    40.48     1.04    49.29     7.72   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   38.36R    6.70  
Rotherham       17   18   -9       1.29    60.60     1.62    48.71     7.98   -23.50     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.06P   43.19R    9.64  
Brighton        17   17   -3      -8.09     7.99    -5.69    58.09     7.97    -0.52     0.06     0.30     4.64     1.51P    7.38R    0.60  
Bolton          17   17   -7      -4.89    20.43    -4.73    55.31     8.07    -9.49     0.02     0.12     2.08     0.56P   14.69R    1.75  
Wigan           17   16   -4      -8.56     6.94    -5.94    58.05     8.16    -0.44     0.09     0.39     4.92     1.64P    7.80R    0.75  
Birmingham      17   16  -15      -2.50    34.03    -7.45    48.00     7.84   -27.80     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.05P   47.27R   10.95  
Blackpool       17    7  -18      -9.00     3.74    -7.14    36.96     7.60   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.79R   64.60  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 November 2014, Swindon 1 0 Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     16   36  +16       8.76    93.50     7.84    87.38     8.56    31.81    41.30    62.97    94.33    71.04P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          16   31  +11       3.38    72.01     2.58    82.13     8.51    25.97    18.55    38.10    84.35    51.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          16   29  +13       1.52    60.18     4.53    79.62     8.60    27.20    12.48    27.91    77.20    42.04P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons          14   27  +13       3.47    73.46     6.40    79.98     9.10    26.78    13.98    30.39    77.04    42.63P    0.05R    0.00  
Rochdale         15   26  +14       4.11    76.01    12.14    72.30     9.34    19.47     3.50     9.50    46.53    17.29P    0.59R    0.03  
Notts_County     15   26   +8       3.61    73.88     5.38    70.75     8.81    11.16     1.94     5.91    37.86    12.67P    0.61R    0.02  
Peterborough     16   26   +6      -1.15    42.06    -1.84    73.53     8.62    15.54     3.58    10.02    50.60    20.98P    0.22R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        15   26   +3       3.31    72.44    -0.13    73.76     8.64    10.78     3.28     9.63    50.56    19.71P    0.21R    0.00  
Oldham           16   25   +5       3.54    73.48     5.61    65.77     8.39     4.77     0.37     1.54    18.13     4.67P    2.04R    0.10  
Fleetwood_Town   16   22   +2       3.10    70.99     6.50    56.93     8.50    -6.98     0.03     0.14     3.25     0.67P   16.33R    1.74  
Chesterfield     16   20   -1      -0.22    49.31     1.77    59.93     8.81    -3.13     0.08     0.37     6.79     1.69P    9.83R    0.95  
Barnsley         15   19   -1      -3.02    30.43    -3.04    64.60     9.20     3.50     0.54     1.71    17.16     5.50P    4.13R    0.27  
Port_Vale        16   19   -2      -1.09    43.48     1.09    55.66     8.52    -9.52     0.01     0.09     2.52     0.52P   20.25R    2.54  
Bradford         16   19   -2      -1.20    42.52     0.53    57.43     8.34    -5.85     0.02     0.10     3.38     0.70P   14.20R    1.39  
Crawley_Town     16   19  -10       0.24    52.68    -5.43    54.61     8.21   -18.01     0.01     0.05     1.30     0.25P   24.50R    3.07  
Walsall          16   18   -2      -4.08    23.64    -2.52    57.32     8.21    -4.03     0.02     0.12     3.24     0.79P   13.47R    1.25  
Doncaster        14   18   -7      -0.55    46.63    -6.12    59.78     9.10    -9.99     0.11     0.44     6.95     1.96P   11.14R    1.22  
Colchester       16   17   -2      -2.97    30.66     1.04    55.14     8.49    -6.69     0.01     0.07     2.05     0.45P   21.54R    2.77  
Coventry         16   17   -7      -3.76    26.55    -4.72    57.44     8.70    -8.65     0.04     0.14     3.63     0.82P   15.45R    1.73  
Leyton_Orient    16   16   -5      -8.15     7.98    -8.28    63.42     8.52     4.27     0.17     0.78    12.23     4.04P    4.12R    0.31  
Scunthorpe       16   15  -11      -2.50    34.56    -3.69    48.36     8.63   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P   52.62R   13.91  
Gillingham       16   14   -8      -3.89    25.03    -1.77    47.69     8.25   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   55.11R   13.79  
Yeovil           16   14  -14      -5.23    18.36   -10.05    48.68     8.45   -23.76     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.08P   51.19R   12.39  
Crewe            16   14  -19      -1.13    43.34    -7.84    41.65     7.84   -41.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    82.37R   42.51  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 November 2014, Burton_Albion 1 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe              16   32  +11       8.09    92.49     7.89    75.45     8.24    14.67    11.23    37.59    75.28    46.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Luton                16   31   +8       7.49    90.44     5.49    75.24     8.46    12.94    10.56    36.68    73.40    45.41P    0.05R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           16   30  +13       2.10    63.77     4.20    82.58     8.38    29.74    38.92    72.63    93.72    79.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 16   30   +9       4.68    79.35     3.86    79.19     8.37    21.18    21.96    56.65    86.91    65.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        16   29   +1       6.17    86.19    -0.31    70.28     8.26     1.66     3.67    16.81    50.17    24.27P    0.22R    0.06  
Plymouth             16   27   +9       4.70    79.95     8.13    70.34     8.14    12.74     3.30    17.65    53.48    26.40P    0.13R    0.04  
Southend             16   25   +2       0.45    53.36    -2.00    71.73     8.17    10.37     4.75    21.91    59.50    33.19P    0.13R    0.03  
Newport_County       16   24   +4       2.87    69.86     5.12    62.45     8.25     0.17     0.43     3.67    19.11     6.90P    2.54R    0.84  
Portsmouth           16   23   +2      -0.06    49.79     0.22    66.32     8.39     5.41     1.39     8.73    34.21    15.40P    0.85R    0.25  
Morecambe            16   23   +1       1.76    62.68     1.92    61.23     8.16    -3.04     0.33     2.46    15.10     5.12P    3.49R    1.26  
Exeter               16   23   +0       0.94    57.13    -0.25    64.42     8.35     0.59     0.87     5.42    25.89    10.14P    1.63R    0.53  
Accrington_Stanley   16   23   -3       2.54    67.70    -0.50    61.42     8.36    -7.28     0.35     2.80    15.62     5.36P    3.90R    1.46  
Cheltenham           16   22   -3       1.26    59.56    -1.43    60.63     8.18    -6.23     0.24     1.97    13.20     4.47P    4.23R    1.48  
Cambridge_Utd        16   21   +6       0.42    53.68     7.97    58.46     8.48     0.68     0.17     1.58    10.37     3.50P    7.15R    2.81  
Northampton          16   21   +2      -0.41    47.93     2.72    59.63     8.31    -1.82     0.20     1.87    12.03     4.11P    5.37R    1.97  
Stevenage            16   21   -3      -2.04    36.91    -4.70    66.01     8.68     2.94     1.36     8.51    33.16    15.27P    1.27R    0.43  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   20   -3       0.94    57.37     1.43    57.55     8.23    -8.67     0.11     0.89     7.11     2.17P    9.18R    3.69  
Mansfield            16   19   -5      -0.13    50.22    -1.09    53.95     8.03   -13.62     0.03     0.29     2.99     0.83P   17.62R    8.21  
Oxford_Utd           16   16   -5      -5.31    17.24    -4.26    55.31     8.13    -7.43     0.03     0.43     4.31     1.38P   13.28R    5.92  
York                 16   15   -6      -5.26    17.07    -4.08    54.04     8.07    -8.32     0.02     0.30     3.19     0.99P   16.72R    7.57  
Dag_&_Red            16   15   -8      -4.42    21.77    -4.17    50.33     8.20   -17.00     0.01     0.12     1.34     0.40P   32.34R   17.79  
Carlisle             16   15  -10      -5.40    17.80    -7.53    54.92     8.72   -12.28     0.04     0.56     4.86     1.61P   16.84R    8.24  
Tranmere             16   12   -7     -10.77     2.80    -8.25    54.66     8.61    -4.34     0.04     0.46     4.65     1.73P   15.89R    7.76  
Hartlepool           16   12  -15      -6.63    11.11   -10.36    47.39     7.97   -23.08     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.09P   47.13R   29.67  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 November 2014, AFC_Telford 2 1 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           20   42  +28       4.44    75.68    12.15    88.66     7.32    45.54    47.43    92.95    60.49P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          20   36  +20       0.13    50.05     6.90    83.17     7.34    37.09    17.54    77.88    36.10P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        19   34   +8       3.95    73.33     1.55    76.80     7.71    16.87     4.18    43.69    12.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   19   33   +5      -0.24    48.18    -5.74    79.05     7.70    18.46     6.94    55.23    20.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking           18   32  +13       4.18    75.64     8.13    71.87     8.02    15.07     1.52    22.96     5.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax          19   32  +11       1.31    58.22     3.39    76.25     7.76    22.13     4.12    42.21    12.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     19   32   +8       2.86    67.36     3.40    69.25     7.45     8.72     0.43    12.45     2.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green     19   32   +7       2.31    63.99     1.35    74.02     7.61    14.75     1.91    30.02     7.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay          18   30  +10      -2.10    36.07    -1.85    81.75     7.92    31.69    13.85    70.10    30.82P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        18   30   +6       5.45    80.58     6.54    65.87     8.32     1.41     0.32     7.75     1.50P    0.31R    0.02  
Kidderminster    19   29   +4      -0.73    45.36    -1.82    70.21     7.68    10.35     0.57    15.82     3.75P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   29   +2       1.56    60.16    -0.14    72.43     7.61    11.92     1.10    22.65     5.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot        19   24   +0      -4.42    23.94    -3.61    64.77     7.61     5.87     0.07     4.56     0.96P    0.28R    0.03  
Lincoln_City     20   24   -3      -1.74    40.17    -0.08    60.16     7.54    -2.60     0.01     1.12     0.19P    1.39R    0.10  
Chester          19   23  -12       4.09    76.51    -0.66    52.51     7.31   -24.14     0.00     0.06     0.00P   12.22R    1.82  
Braintree_Town   20   21   -3      -6.54    14.97    -3.47    57.33     7.31    -1.54     0.00     0.38     0.06P    2.83R    0.33  
Dover_Athletic   19   21   -8       0.75    56.04     1.15    50.70     7.80   -19.82     0.00     0.05     0.00P   18.54R    3.44  
Altrincham       20   21  -17       2.10    64.86    -2.73    44.62     7.10   -36.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.94R   13.43  
Dartford         19   19   -9      -1.66    39.83    -0.68    49.83     7.44   -18.66     0.00     0.03     0.00P   20.02R    3.63  
Southport        18   19  -11      -1.16    43.32    -3.35    49.22     7.56   -24.31     0.00     0.03     0.00P   23.65R    4.61  
Welling          19   18   -5      -5.53    18.60    -0.91    51.44     7.51   -10.50     0.00     0.06     0.01P   14.03R    2.16  
Alfreton_Town    19   17  -19      -3.30    29.71    -9.04    46.32     7.48   -32.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.81R    9.56  
Nuneaton         18   15  -17      -4.00    24.48    -8.31    45.45     7.48   -28.94     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.70R   11.62  
AFC_Telford      19   13  -18      -4.39    23.58    -2.19    37.77     7.44   -40.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.15R   49.25