Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 13 November 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 November 2014, Sunderland 1 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 11 29 +17 6.56 94.81 4.55 87.24 7.18 51.91 73.90 94.53 98.52 99.54 99.94 0.00 0.00 Southampton 11 25 +18 5.67 89.69 11.57 67.17 7.82 25.16 1.78 11.06 34.15 54.16 80.83 0.00 0.00 Man_City 11 21 +10 -1.80 32.93 -2.63 79.59 7.07 47.95 22.42 76.32 90.69 96.00 99.29 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 11 18 +5 3.05 75.17 5.48 52.63 7.67 0.02 0.00 0.15 1.25 3.83 15.17 0.95R 0.07 Swansea 11 18 +4 2.69 72.79 3.98 55.94 7.79 4.61 0.05 0.54 3.16 8.25 26.83 0.35R 0.02 Arsenal 11 17 +6 -2.71 27.03 -1.28 66.16 7.76 24.98 0.99 8.22 30.05 49.86 77.65 0.01R 0.00 Man_Utd 11 16 +3 -3.88 19.31 -4.36 63.09 7.80 18.61 0.41 3.98 16.95 33.16 63.86 0.02R 0.00 Newcastle 11 16 -2 2.99 75.13 1.51 47.82 7.57 -11.90 0.00 0.03 0.25 1.01 5.11 4.33R 0.53 Stoke 11 15 -1 0.89 58.69 0.74 46.88 7.47 -9.20 0.00 0.02 0.19 0.71 4.01 5.05R 0.60 Everton 11 14 +2 -3.84 20.28 -2.04 58.81 7.81 13.58 0.12 1.39 6.89 16.08 42.15 0.12R 0.01 Liverpool 11 14 -1 -5.28 12.53 -7.57 62.88 7.77 18.21 0.30 3.54 16.17 32.21 63.36 0.03R 0.00 Tottenham 11 14 -2 -2.26 31.31 -3.32 53.38 7.86 0.81 0.02 0.20 1.63 4.67 17.64 0.93R 0.07 West_Brom 11 13 -2 -0.74 44.40 0.53 44.72 7.55 -11.82 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.34 2.22 9.10R 1.33 Sunderland 11 12 -7 -0.31 48.79 -2.67 40.45 7.27 -22.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.47 22.27R 4.20 Hull 11 11 -2 -0.91 43.33 3.14 39.39 7.26 -16.06 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.39 24.80R 5.15 Aston_Villa 11 11 -11 0.96 60.92 -2.46 39.86 7.33 -24.32 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.45 25.47R 5.52 Crystal_Palace 11 9 -6 -1.98 33.09 0.87 35.57 7.17 -23.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 45.42R 13.53 Leicester 11 9 -7 -2.25 31.78 -0.44 38.73 7.73 -20.27 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.46 30.06R 7.62 QPR 11 8 -11 -1.47 38.01 -0.93 33.39 7.39 -30.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 58.74R 24.06 Burnley 11 7 -13 -2.86 25.71 -4.65 30.83 7.08 -35.55 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 72.35R 37.28Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 November 2014, Birmingham 0 0 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 17 32 +17 1.44 58.97 5.73 82.09 8.13 32.89 36.93 56.48 89.55 66.80P 0.00R 0.00 Bournemouth 17 31 +17 4.94 79.83 12.92 77.11 8.27 26.68 16.13 32.38 73.97 42.52P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 17 31 +14 3.23 70.87 7.32 76.31 8.09 22.16 13.28 27.51 70.64 39.34P 0.02R 0.00 Ipswich 17 30 +8 4.86 79.66 5.22 71.94 8.12 11.28 5.00 12.50 48.70 20.64P 0.11R 0.00 Watford 17 29 +11 1.01 56.48 3.76 75.16 8.31 20.70 11.21 23.75 65.47 34.94P 0.03R 0.00 Brentford 17 28 +1 6.65 86.73 4.05 64.66 8.31 -3.80 0.84 2.54 17.93 5.34P 1.64R 0.09 Blackburn 17 27 +3 2.37 65.56 1.06 70.12 8.21 7.79 3.27 8.86 40.12 15.79P 0.25R 0.00 Charlton 17 27 +2 5.81 84.35 4.84 64.82 7.96 -0.44 0.73 2.30 17.55 5.07P 1.27R 0.07 Wolverhampton 17 27 +0 2.33 65.54 -2.05 68.79 8.37 3.15 2.64 7.01 33.23 13.24P 0.43R 0.01 Norwich 17 26 +6 -1.38 40.83 -0.19 72.61 8.36 16.12 6.49 15.22 53.26 26.27P 0.12R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 17 25 +3 0.88 56.34 1.96 66.83 8.25 5.95 1.48 4.32 26.20 9.31P 0.86R 0.04 Cardiff 17 23 +0 -1.17 42.66 -1.32 65.26 8.34 3.77 0.99 3.29 20.67 7.64P 1.38R 0.05 Sheff_Wed 17 21 -2 -0.74 45.60 -0.17 57.97 7.87 -5.79 0.06 0.28 4.14 1.11P 7.59R 0.69 Reading 17 21 -5 -3.73 26.53 -7.07 61.72 8.24 -3.82 0.33 1.17 10.55 3.40P 3.77R 0.25 Leeds_United 17 20 -4 -1.81 38.44 -1.50 54.83 8.00 -11.79 0.02 0.10 2.03 0.49P 15.76R 1.87 Huddersfield 17 20 -6 0.30 53.12 0.36 56.35 8.22 -11.61 0.04 0.19 3.19 0.69P 12.89R 1.48 Fulham 17 19 -4 -6.24 15.46 -6.63 60.78 8.69 -1.32 0.37 1.26 10.31 3.54P 5.39R 0.45 Millwall 17 18 -5 -1.51 40.48 1.04 49.29 7.72 -17.38 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.05P 38.36R 6.70 Rotherham 17 18 -9 1.29 60.60 1.62 48.71 7.98 -23.50 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.06P 43.19R 9.64 Brighton 17 17 -3 -8.09 7.99 -5.69 58.09 7.97 -0.52 0.06 0.30 4.64 1.51P 7.38R 0.60 Bolton 17 17 -7 -4.89 20.43 -4.73 55.31 8.07 -9.49 0.02 0.12 2.08 0.56P 14.69R 1.75 Wigan 17 16 -4 -8.56 6.94 -5.94 58.05 8.16 -0.44 0.09 0.39 4.92 1.64P 7.80R 0.75 Birmingham 17 16 -15 -2.50 34.03 -7.45 48.00 7.84 -27.80 0.00 0.01 0.21 0.05P 47.27R 10.95 Blackpool 17 7 -18 -9.00 3.74 -7.14 36.96 7.60 -32.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.79R 64.60League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 November 2014, Swindon 1 0 Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 16 36 +16 8.76 93.50 7.84 87.38 8.56 31.81 41.30 62.97 94.33 71.04P 0.00 0.00 Preston 16 31 +11 3.38 72.01 2.58 82.13 8.51 25.97 18.55 38.10 84.35 51.44P 0.01R 0.00 Swindon 16 29 +13 1.52 60.18 4.53 79.62 8.60 27.20 12.48 27.91 77.20 42.04P 0.02R 0.00 MK_Dons 14 27 +13 3.47 73.46 6.40 79.98 9.10 26.78 13.98 30.39 77.04 42.63P 0.05R 0.00 Rochdale 15 26 +14 4.11 76.01 12.14 72.30 9.34 19.47 3.50 9.50 46.53 17.29P 0.59R 0.03 Notts_County 15 26 +8 3.61 73.88 5.38 70.75 8.81 11.16 1.94 5.91 37.86 12.67P 0.61R 0.02 Peterborough 16 26 +6 -1.15 42.06 -1.84 73.53 8.62 15.54 3.58 10.02 50.60 20.98P 0.22R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 15 26 +3 3.31 72.44 -0.13 73.76 8.64 10.78 3.28 9.63 50.56 19.71P 0.21R 0.00 Oldham 16 25 +5 3.54 73.48 5.61 65.77 8.39 4.77 0.37 1.54 18.13 4.67P 2.04R 0.10 Fleetwood_Town 16 22 +2 3.10 70.99 6.50 56.93 8.50 -6.98 0.03 0.14 3.25 0.67P 16.33R 1.74 Chesterfield 16 20 -1 -0.22 49.31 1.77 59.93 8.81 -3.13 0.08 0.37 6.79 1.69P 9.83R 0.95 Barnsley 15 19 -1 -3.02 30.43 -3.04 64.60 9.20 3.50 0.54 1.71 17.16 5.50P 4.13R 0.27 Port_Vale 16 19 -2 -1.09 43.48 1.09 55.66 8.52 -9.52 0.01 0.09 2.52 0.52P 20.25R 2.54 Bradford 16 19 -2 -1.20 42.52 0.53 57.43 8.34 -5.85 0.02 0.10 3.38 0.70P 14.20R 1.39 Crawley_Town 16 19 -10 0.24 52.68 -5.43 54.61 8.21 -18.01 0.01 0.05 1.30 0.25P 24.50R 3.07 Walsall 16 18 -2 -4.08 23.64 -2.52 57.32 8.21 -4.03 0.02 0.12 3.24 0.79P 13.47R 1.25 Doncaster 14 18 -7 -0.55 46.63 -6.12 59.78 9.10 -9.99 0.11 0.44 6.95 1.96P 11.14R 1.22 Colchester 16 17 -2 -2.97 30.66 1.04 55.14 8.49 -6.69 0.01 0.07 2.05 0.45P 21.54R 2.77 Coventry 16 17 -7 -3.76 26.55 -4.72 57.44 8.70 -8.65 0.04 0.14 3.63 0.82P 15.45R 1.73 Leyton_Orient 16 16 -5 -8.15 7.98 -8.28 63.42 8.52 4.27 0.17 0.78 12.23 4.04P 4.12R 0.31 Scunthorpe 16 15 -11 -2.50 34.56 -3.69 48.36 8.63 -23.73 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.04P 52.62R 13.91 Gillingham 16 14 -8 -3.89 25.03 -1.77 47.69 8.25 -19.48 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03P 55.11R 13.79 Yeovil 16 14 -14 -5.23 18.36 -10.05 48.68 8.45 -23.76 0.00 0.01 0.32 0.08P 51.19R 12.39 Crewe 16 14 -19 -1.13 43.34 -7.84 41.65 7.84 -41.44 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 82.37R 42.51League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 November 2014, Burton_Albion 1 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 16 32 +11 8.09 92.49 7.89 75.45 8.24 14.67 11.23 37.59 75.28 46.43P 0.02R 0.00 Luton 16 31 +8 7.49 90.44 5.49 75.24 8.46 12.94 10.56 36.68 73.40 45.41P 0.05R 0.01 Shrewsbury 16 30 +13 2.10 63.77 4.20 82.58 8.38 29.74 38.92 72.63 93.72 79.69P 0.00 0.00 Bury 16 30 +9 4.68 79.35 3.86 79.19 8.37 21.18 21.96 56.65 86.91 65.16P 0.00R 0.00 Burton_Albion 16 29 +1 6.17 86.19 -0.31 70.28 8.26 1.66 3.67 16.81 50.17 24.27P 0.22R 0.06 Plymouth 16 27 +9 4.70 79.95 8.13 70.34 8.14 12.74 3.30 17.65 53.48 26.40P 0.13R 0.04 Southend 16 25 +2 0.45 53.36 -2.00 71.73 8.17 10.37 4.75 21.91 59.50 33.19P 0.13R 0.03 Newport_County 16 24 +4 2.87 69.86 5.12 62.45 8.25 0.17 0.43 3.67 19.11 6.90P 2.54R 0.84 Portsmouth 16 23 +2 -0.06 49.79 0.22 66.32 8.39 5.41 1.39 8.73 34.21 15.40P 0.85R 0.25 Morecambe 16 23 +1 1.76 62.68 1.92 61.23 8.16 -3.04 0.33 2.46 15.10 5.12P 3.49R 1.26 Exeter 16 23 +0 0.94 57.13 -0.25 64.42 8.35 0.59 0.87 5.42 25.89 10.14P 1.63R 0.53 Accrington_Stanley 16 23 -3 2.54 67.70 -0.50 61.42 8.36 -7.28 0.35 2.80 15.62 5.36P 3.90R 1.46 Cheltenham 16 22 -3 1.26 59.56 -1.43 60.63 8.18 -6.23 0.24 1.97 13.20 4.47P 4.23R 1.48 Cambridge_Utd 16 21 +6 0.42 53.68 7.97 58.46 8.48 0.68 0.17 1.58 10.37 3.50P 7.15R 2.81 Northampton 16 21 +2 -0.41 47.93 2.72 59.63 8.31 -1.82 0.20 1.87 12.03 4.11P 5.37R 1.97 Stevenage 16 21 -3 -2.04 36.91 -4.70 66.01 8.68 2.94 1.36 8.51 33.16 15.27P 1.27R 0.43 AFC_Wimbledon 16 20 -3 0.94 57.37 1.43 57.55 8.23 -8.67 0.11 0.89 7.11 2.17P 9.18R 3.69 Mansfield 16 19 -5 -0.13 50.22 -1.09 53.95 8.03 -13.62 0.03 0.29 2.99 0.83P 17.62R 8.21 Oxford_Utd 16 16 -5 -5.31 17.24 -4.26 55.31 8.13 -7.43 0.03 0.43 4.31 1.38P 13.28R 5.92 York 16 15 -6 -5.26 17.07 -4.08 54.04 8.07 -8.32 0.02 0.30 3.19 0.99P 16.72R 7.57 Dag_&_Red 16 15 -8 -4.42 21.77 -4.17 50.33 8.20 -17.00 0.01 0.12 1.34 0.40P 32.34R 17.79 Carlisle 16 15 -10 -5.40 17.80 -7.53 54.92 8.72 -12.28 0.04 0.56 4.86 1.61P 16.84R 8.24 Tranmere 16 12 -7 -10.77 2.80 -8.25 54.66 8.61 -4.34 0.04 0.46 4.65 1.73P 15.89R 7.76 Hartlepool 16 12 -15 -6.63 11.11 -10.36 47.39 7.97 -23.08 0.00 0.02 0.40 0.09P 47.13R 29.67Conference (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 November 2014, AFC_Telford 2 1 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 20 42 +28 4.44 75.68 12.15 88.66 7.32 45.54 47.43 92.95 60.49P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 20 36 +20 0.13 50.05 6.90 83.17 7.34 37.09 17.54 77.88 36.10P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 19 34 +8 3.95 73.33 1.55 76.80 7.71 16.87 4.18 43.69 12.04P 0.00R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 19 33 +5 -0.24 48.18 -5.74 79.05 7.70 18.46 6.94 55.23 20.94P 0.00R 0.00 Woking 18 32 +13 4.18 75.64 8.13 71.87 8.02 15.07 1.52 22.96 5.18P 0.03R 0.00 Halifax 19 32 +11 1.31 58.22 3.39 76.25 7.76 22.13 4.12 42.21 12.34P 0.00R 0.00 Macclesfield 19 32 +8 2.86 67.36 3.40 69.25 7.45 8.72 0.43 12.45 2.52P 0.02R 0.00 Forest_Green 19 32 +7 2.31 63.99 1.35 74.02 7.61 14.75 1.91 30.02 7.59P 0.01R 0.00 Torquay 18 30 +10 -2.10 36.07 -1.85 81.75 7.92 31.69 13.85 70.10 30.82P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 18 30 +6 5.45 80.58 6.54 65.87 8.32 1.41 0.32 7.75 1.50P 0.31R 0.02 Kidderminster 19 29 +4 -0.73 45.36 -1.82 70.21 7.68 10.35 0.57 15.82 3.75P 0.03R 0.00 Wrexham 19 29 +2 1.56 60.16 -0.14 72.43 7.61 11.92 1.10 22.65 5.49P 0.01R 0.00 Aldershot 19 24 +0 -4.42 23.94 -3.61 64.77 7.61 5.87 0.07 4.56 0.96P 0.28R 0.03 Lincoln_City 20 24 -3 -1.74 40.17 -0.08 60.16 7.54 -2.60 0.01 1.12 0.19P 1.39R 0.10 Chester 19 23 -12 4.09 76.51 -0.66 52.51 7.31 -24.14 0.00 0.06 0.00P 12.22R 1.82 Braintree_Town 20 21 -3 -6.54 14.97 -3.47 57.33 7.31 -1.54 0.00 0.38 0.06P 2.83R 0.33 Dover_Athletic 19 21 -8 0.75 56.04 1.15 50.70 7.80 -19.82 0.00 0.05 0.00P 18.54R 3.44 Altrincham 20 21 -17 2.10 64.86 -2.73 44.62 7.10 -36.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.94R 13.43 Dartford 19 19 -9 -1.66 39.83 -0.68 49.83 7.44 -18.66 0.00 0.03 0.00P 20.02R 3.63 Southport 18 19 -11 -1.16 43.32 -3.35 49.22 7.56 -24.31 0.00 0.03 0.00P 23.65R 4.61 Welling 19 18 -5 -5.53 18.60 -0.91 51.44 7.51 -10.50 0.00 0.06 0.01P 14.03R 2.16 Alfreton_Town 19 17 -19 -3.30 29.71 -9.04 46.32 7.48 -32.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.81R 9.56 Nuneaton 18 15 -17 -4.00 24.48 -8.31 45.45 7.48 -28.94 0.00 0.01 0.00P 41.70R 11.62 AFC_Telford 19 13 -18 -4.39 23.58 -2.19 37.77 7.44 -40.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.15R 49.25