Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 8 November 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 November 2014, Burnley 1 0 Hull; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 11 29 +17 6.66 95.45 4.68 87.20 7.17 51.95 73.82 93.89 98.34 99.43 99.92 0.00 0.00 Southampton 11 25 +18 5.64 89.76 11.51 67.02 7.81 24.98 1.69 10.14 30.46 50.63 79.14 0.00 0.00 Man_City 11 21 +10 -1.74 33.55 -2.58 79.42 7.04 47.79 21.53 73.33 89.24 95.44 99.21 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 11 18 +5 3.05 75.00 5.49 52.59 7.70 -0.09 0.02 0.20 1.12 3.36 14.03 0.88R 0.06 Arsenal 10 17 +7 -1.26 37.70 -0.20 68.04 8.00 26.89 1.83 12.12 36.81 56.41 81.73 0.01R 0.00 Man_Utd 11 16 +3 -3.86 19.20 -4.36 63.10 7.77 18.64 0.42 3.74 15.26 30.84 62.32 0.02R 0.00 Swansea 10 15 +3 1.08 60.66 3.03 53.47 8.02 2.27 0.02 0.31 1.73 4.80 17.54 0.93R 0.09 Liverpool 11 14 -1 -5.28 12.55 -7.60 62.99 7.80 18.50 0.42 3.64 14.89 30.35 62.14 0.03R 0.00 Tottenham 10 14 -1 -0.79 42.94 -2.25 56.07 8.05 3.85 0.06 0.60 3.16 8.32 26.67 0.45R 0.04 Everton 10 13 +2 -3.17 23.29 -1.62 59.95 8.05 14.80 0.19 1.97 8.58 18.68 46.32 0.09R 0.01 West_Brom 10 13 +0 0.52 55.63 2.28 47.56 7.83 -7.55 0.00 0.06 0.26 0.89 4.76 4.78R 0.60 Newcastle 10 13 -4 1.43 64.20 -0.30 45.02 7.72 -16.06 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.40 2.44 9.01R 1.42 Stoke 10 12 -2 -0.96 41.61 -0.59 43.95 7.59 -12.16 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.27 1.86 10.34R 1.71 Hull 11 11 -2 -0.92 42.89 3.16 39.30 7.24 -16.22 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.41 24.48R 5.03 Sunderland 10 11 -7 -0.16 50.05 -2.99 40.27 7.50 -23.92 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.57 23.06R 4.67 Aston_Villa 11 11 -11 0.91 60.29 -2.49 39.95 7.30 -24.24 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.41 24.19R 5.53 Crystal_Palace 11 9 -6 -1.98 32.92 0.91 35.69 7.14 -23.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 43.89R 13.10 Leicester 11 9 -7 -2.29 31.35 -0.52 38.85 7.65 -20.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.39 28.98R 7.27 QPR 11 8 -11 -1.48 37.39 -0.87 33.35 7.32 -30.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 58.33R 23.99 Burnley 11 7 -13 -2.93 25.09 -4.69 31.01 7.11 -35.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 70.53R 36.46Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 November 2014, Birmingham 0 0 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 17 32 +17 1.40 58.73 5.68 82.21 8.12 33.07 37.66 57.38 89.45 67.51P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 17 31 +17 4.89 79.49 12.88 77.11 8.33 26.69 16.05 32.28 73.75 42.24P 0.00R 0.00 Middlesbrough 17 31 +14 3.26 70.98 7.36 76.29 8.07 22.16 12.93 27.29 70.50 39.18P 0.02R 0.00 Ipswich 17 30 +8 4.84 79.64 5.19 72.02 8.06 11.38 4.92 12.53 48.89 20.65P 0.10R 0.00 Watford 17 29 +11 0.98 56.19 3.71 75.15 8.32 20.68 11.01 23.49 65.09 34.46P 0.05R 0.00 Brentford 17 28 +1 6.52 86.30 3.87 64.88 8.34 -3.42 0.99 2.94 18.46 5.82P 1.43R 0.07 Blackburn 17 27 +3 2.38 65.64 1.08 70.01 8.24 7.69 3.15 8.44 39.35 15.47P 0.31R 0.01 Charlton 17 27 +2 5.75 84.01 4.77 64.95 7.90 -0.33 0.67 2.10 17.89 5.03P 1.16R 0.06 Wolverhampton 17 27 +0 2.12 63.81 -2.35 68.99 8.40 3.43 2.72 7.27 34.26 13.60P 0.47R 0.01 Norwich 17 26 +6 -1.38 41.11 -0.19 72.57 8.41 16.06 6.40 15.17 52.88 26.21P 0.11R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 17 25 +3 0.96 56.71 2.02 66.82 8.22 5.90 1.37 4.25 26.11 9.17P 0.82R 0.04 Cardiff 17 23 +0 -1.18 42.63 -1.29 65.13 8.36 3.61 1.01 2.96 20.37 7.34P 1.44R 0.08 Sheff_Wed 17 21 -2 -0.69 46.09 -0.09 57.94 7.85 -5.91 0.05 0.26 4.10 1.02P 7.54R 0.65 Reading 17 21 -5 -3.71 26.69 -7.02 61.69 8.24 -3.92 0.35 1.13 10.43 3.43P 3.73R 0.27 Leeds_United 17 20 -4 -1.72 39.37 -1.33 54.59 8.01 -12.20 0.04 0.13 1.99 0.48P 16.29R 1.96 Huddersfield 17 20 -6 0.36 53.59 0.44 56.31 8.17 -11.69 0.03 0.21 3.10 0.73P 12.66R 1.30 Fulham 17 19 -4 -6.20 15.50 -6.62 60.78 8.75 -1.32 0.43 1.32 10.41 3.67P 5.54R 0.55 Millwall 17 18 -5 -1.37 41.69 1.22 48.98 7.75 -17.84 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.07P 39.76R 7.19 Rotherham 17 18 -9 1.44 61.49 1.81 48.57 7.94 -23.73 0.00 0.01 0.27 0.05P 43.29R 9.67 Brighton 17 17 -3 -8.12 7.74 -5.73 58.23 7.97 -0.33 0.09 0.31 4.79 1.59P 7.04R 0.64 Bolton 17 17 -7 -4.97 20.00 -4.83 55.44 8.06 -9.28 0.02 0.10 2.32 0.57P 14.00R 1.73 Wigan 17 16 -4 -8.58 6.66 -5.97 58.24 8.12 -0.24 0.12 0.39 5.06 1.66P 7.57R 0.72 Birmingham 17 16 -15 -2.42 34.29 -7.37 47.94 7.81 -27.85 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.04P 47.04R 10.93 Blackpool 17 7 -18 -9.03 3.73 -7.24 37.04 7.53 -32.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.64R 64.12League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 November 2014, Swindon 1 0 Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 16 36 +16 8.74 93.31 7.87 87.40 8.63 31.86 42.06 62.95 94.22 70.71P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 16 31 +11 3.48 72.24 2.72 82.00 8.51 25.77 18.26 37.81 84.11 51.16P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 16 29 +13 1.48 59.55 4.52 79.63 8.61 27.20 12.42 28.24 77.26 42.18P 0.03R 0.00 MK_Dons 14 27 +13 3.51 73.63 6.46 79.94 9.12 26.70 13.79 30.37 76.96 42.88P 0.05R 0.00 Rochdale 15 26 +14 4.06 75.84 12.07 72.39 9.26 19.61 3.34 9.42 46.81 17.47P 0.62R 0.03 Notts_County 15 26 +8 3.51 73.24 5.25 70.75 8.78 11.22 1.80 5.88 38.04 12.63P 0.64R 0.01 Peterborough 16 26 +6 -1.14 42.21 -1.85 73.63 8.60 15.69 3.62 10.06 51.00 21.33P 0.19R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 15 26 +3 3.28 72.28 -0.20 73.87 8.60 10.92 3.33 9.70 51.00 19.74P 0.17R 0.00 Oldham 16 25 +5 3.59 73.79 5.70 65.65 8.49 4.53 0.42 1.57 18.18 4.74P 2.06R 0.07 Fleetwood_Town 16 22 +2 3.12 71.38 6.48 56.96 8.41 -6.96 0.03 0.12 3.08 0.58P 15.79R 1.57 Chesterfield 16 20 -1 -0.34 48.70 1.53 60.29 8.86 -2.57 0.13 0.48 7.37 1.92P 9.16R 0.83 Barnsley 15 19 -1 -3.01 30.47 -3.04 64.60 9.12 3.53 0.45 1.62 16.76 5.30P 3.89R 0.28 Port_Vale 16 19 -2 -1.06 43.48 1.10 55.69 8.45 -9.55 0.01 0.08 2.27 0.44P 19.95R 2.42 Bradford 16 19 -2 -1.20 42.31 0.52 57.43 8.35 -5.85 0.03 0.10 3.20 0.73P 14.27R 1.44 Crawley_Town 16 19 -10 0.28 53.09 -5.36 54.56 8.18 -17.99 0.01 0.04 1.30 0.24P 24.37R 2.92 Walsall 16 18 -2 -4.10 23.66 -2.51 57.29 8.20 -4.06 0.02 0.13 3.03 0.76P 13.69R 1.19 Doncaster 14 18 -7 -0.56 46.85 -6.16 59.78 9.17 -9.98 0.08 0.47 7.09 1.89P 11.44R 1.28 Colchester 16 17 -2 -3.09 30.04 0.89 55.27 8.50 -6.51 0.01 0.07 2.13 0.53P 21.15R 2.62 Coventry 16 17 -7 -3.67 26.78 -4.61 57.34 8.60 -8.79 0.02 0.12 3.32 0.74P 15.45R 1.75 Leyton_Orient 16 16 -5 -8.03 8.36 -8.09 63.24 8.53 4.03 0.17 0.75 12.09 3.88P 4.47R 0.34 Scunthorpe 16 15 -11 -2.54 34.09 -3.67 48.35 8.53 -23.87 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.06P 52.76R 13.85 Gillingham 16 14 -8 -3.89 24.66 -1.73 47.55 8.14 -19.66 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.02P 55.76R 13.93 Yeovil 16 14 -14 -5.25 18.14 -10.05 48.66 8.40 -23.74 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.07P 51.41R 12.30 Crewe 16 14 -19 -1.11 43.66 -7.83 41.58 7.77 -41.53 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 82.67R 43.15League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 November 2014, Burton_Albion 1 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 16 32 +11 8.06 92.39 7.85 75.56 8.29 14.84 11.51 38.77 75.27 47.48P 0.02R 0.01 Luton 16 31 +8 7.49 90.19 5.50 75.15 8.54 12.85 10.66 36.21 72.87 45.05P 0.04R 0.01 Shrewsbury 16 30 +13 2.16 64.17 4.29 82.39 8.48 29.55 38.63 71.63 93.09 78.85P 0.00R 0.00 Bury 16 30 +9 4.73 79.56 3.97 79.08 8.34 20.96 21.72 56.43 86.75 65.07P 0.01R 0.00 Burton_Albion 16 29 +1 6.16 85.91 -0.31 70.36 8.23 1.80 3.66 16.93 50.97 24.48P 0.22R 0.05 Plymouth 16 27 +9 4.76 80.42 8.18 70.25 8.18 12.61 3.49 17.51 53.29 26.11P 0.22R 0.05 Southend 16 25 +2 0.54 54.18 -1.89 71.62 8.17 10.22 4.48 21.55 58.89 32.65P 0.12R 0.05 Newport_County 16 24 +4 2.84 69.67 5.07 62.62 8.19 0.47 0.52 3.88 19.63 7.12P 2.30R 0.71 Portsmouth 16 23 +2 -0.06 49.95 0.23 66.24 8.42 5.28 1.49 8.66 34.01 15.13P 0.93R 0.26 Morecambe 16 23 +1 1.75 62.47 1.89 61.31 8.16 -2.92 0.30 2.60 15.23 5.23P 3.48R 1.28 Exeter 16 23 +0 1.01 57.39 -0.21 64.32 8.39 0.38 0.86 5.55 25.59 10.34P 1.67R 0.57 Accrington_Stanley 16 23 -3 2.56 67.87 -0.50 61.47 8.37 -7.18 0.42 2.84 15.69 5.39P 3.70R 1.35 Cheltenham 16 22 -3 1.23 59.20 -1.47 60.70 8.20 -6.18 0.21 2.10 13.29 4.40P 4.28R 1.58 Cambridge_Utd 16 21 +6 0.46 54.06 8.02 58.33 8.44 0.52 0.17 1.57 10.07 3.37P 7.38R 2.81 Northampton 16 21 +2 -0.35 48.18 2.77 59.61 8.30 -1.85 0.21 1.92 12.01 4.18P 5.41R 2.04 Stevenage 16 21 -3 -2.11 36.19 -4.77 66.08 8.70 3.05 1.38 8.78 33.71 15.70P 1.28R 0.37 AFC_Wimbledon 16 20 -3 0.97 57.77 1.47 57.53 8.27 -8.70 0.08 0.85 7.48 2.26P 9.26R 3.97 Mansfield 16 19 -5 -0.13 49.92 -1.09 53.97 7.97 -13.62 0.04 0.25 2.88 0.73P 17.64R 8.13 Oxford_Utd 16 16 -5 -5.30 17.63 -4.22 55.27 8.19 -7.44 0.05 0.48 4.42 1.46P 13.47R 6.14 York 16 15 -6 -5.42 16.31 -4.28 54.18 8.05 -8.10 0.01 0.28 3.25 0.96P 16.40R 7.42 Dag_&_Red 16 15 -8 -4.39 22.14 -4.09 50.30 8.16 -17.10 0.00 0.09 1.27 0.34P 32.50R 17.79 Carlisle 16 15 -10 -5.50 17.23 -7.71 55.06 8.77 -12.03 0.06 0.61 5.12 1.70P 16.58R 8.00 Tranmere 16 12 -7 -10.85 2.68 -8.36 54.74 8.53 -4.22 0.05 0.50 4.73 1.86P 15.55R 7.21 Hartlepool 16 12 -15 -6.63 11.28 -10.35 47.32 8.01 -23.17 0.00 0.03 0.49 0.12P 47.54R 30.22Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 November 2014, Braintree_Town 0 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 19 42 +29 5.76 83.04 13.11 90.86 7.44 47.78 57.37 95.31 68.44P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 19 33 +19 -0.91 43.65 6.70 81.84 7.54 36.58 11.80 70.74 30.23P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 18 33 +8 4.78 78.43 2.27 77.83 7.90 17.88 4.53 47.27 13.14P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 18 32 +12 2.00 62.91 3.30 77.44 7.97 22.95 4.80 46.68 14.45P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 18 32 +5 0.38 52.09 -5.52 80.11 7.92 19.58 7.75 58.43 21.97P 0.00R 0.00 Woking 17 31 +13 4.54 78.06 8.05 72.62 8.18 15.70 1.69 25.27 5.67P 0.01R 0.00 Forest_Green 18 31 +7 2.99 68.69 1.83 75.34 7.73 16.27 2.37 34.88 9.01P 0.00R 0.00 Eastleigh 17 29 +6 5.42 80.91 5.86 65.55 8.61 0.25 0.27 7.62 1.46P 0.44R 0.02 Kidderminster 18 29 +6 0.53 53.37 -0.08 72.59 7.88 13.89 1.14 23.44 5.98P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 18 29 +6 2.29 64.82 2.89 67.78 7.64 6.94 0.24 8.83 1.82P 0.07R 0.00 Wrexham 18 28 +2 1.97 62.97 -0.07 72.34 7.75 11.28 0.83 21.49 5.09P 0.01R 0.00 Torquay 17 27 +9 -3.63 26.64 -2.56 78.99 8.16 28.72 7.16 55.77 21.94P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 19 23 -3 -1.79 39.16 -0.84 59.92 7.64 -3.59 0.01 1.03 0.16P 1.63R 0.10 Chester 18 23 -10 4.60 79.32 -0.11 53.65 7.43 -22.26 0.00 0.12 0.01P 9.13R 0.99 Braintree_Town 19 21 -2 -5.46 18.64 -2.85 59.19 7.51 0.15 0.00 0.77 0.13P 1.80R 0.14 Aldershot 18 21 -2 -5.83 17.06 -5.25 62.03 7.79 2.26 0.03 2.12 0.48P 0.87R 0.06 Altrincham 19 21 -16 3.04 70.47 -2.33 46.00 7.35 -35.99 0.00 0.01 0.00 39.26R 9.61 Southport 18 19 -11 -1.11 43.23 -3.33 49.27 7.49 -24.31 0.00 0.02 0.00P 22.09R 3.82 Welling 18 18 -4 -4.46 22.70 -0.36 53.15 7.78 -8.96 0.00 0.13 0.01P 9.90R 1.30 Dover_Athletic 18 18 -9 -0.60 47.39 0.84 48.38 7.93 -22.10 0.00 0.03 0.00P 26.79R 5.37 Dartford 18 16 -10 -3.14 29.87 -1.39 48.13 7.64 -19.69 0.00 0.02 0.00P 26.43R 5.14 Alfreton_Town 18 16 -19 -3.22 29.58 -9.28 46.13 7.66 -33.31 0.00 0.00 0.00P 37.87R 9.15 Nuneaton 18 15 -17 -3.91 24.91 -8.17 45.18 7.42 -29.25 0.00 0.01 0.00 41.70R 10.67 AFC_Telford 18 10 -19 -5.73 15.22 -2.70 36.44 7.66 -40.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.98R 53.64