Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 27 October 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 October 2014, QPR 2 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Chelsea 9 23 +15 4.72 90.14 4.95 85.78 7.53 54.14 63.65 89.92 96.41 98.69 99.81 0.00 0.00
Southampton 9 19 +15 3.54 80.71 10.22 64.05 8.30 22.42 1.05 5.70 18.54 33.88 64.62 0.03R 0.00
Man_City 9 17 +9 -1.67 32.52 -1.61 80.78 7.41 52.80 30.33 76.03 89.93 95.50 99.15 0.00 0.00
West_Ham 9 16 +5 4.08 83.82 5.95 54.25 8.14 1.07 0.04 0.34 1.95 5.30 19.00 0.75R 0.05
Arsenal 9 14 +4 -1.61 34.20 -1.08 67.30 8.20 25.61 1.69 9.65 30.82 49.87 77.65 0.00R 0.00
Swansea 9 14 +3 0.95 59.70 2.36 53.06 8.24 0.68 0.03 0.28 1.58 4.30 15.90 1.21R 0.10
Liverpool 9 14 +1 -2.72 24.48 -6.18 67.35 8.27 23.83 2.05 10.06 30.37 49.92 77.79 0.00R 0.00
Man_Utd 9 13 +3 -3.99 16.47 -4.46 63.61 8.21 20.17 0.72 4.76 17.04 32.09 62.80 0.03R 0.00
Everton 9 12 +2 -2.33 28.53 -0.96 61.52 8.28 16.94 0.40 2.87 10.96 23.20 52.75 0.09R 0.00
Hull 9 11 +0 1.23 63.80 4.56 42.45 7.76 -14.22 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.18 1.22 14.91R 2.37
Tottenham 9 11 -2 -2.17 29.91 -2.84 54.22 8.28 2.43 0.04 0.36 1.96 5.50 19.57 0.91R 0.08
Stoke 9 11 -2 -0.64 44.43 -0.59 44.67 7.85 -11.84 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.37 2.44 9.28R 1.29
West_Brom 9 10 -1 -1.07 40.43 1.58 45.31 8.04 -10.05 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.54 2.88 8.75R 1.18
Newcastle 9 10 -5 -0.31 48.12 -1.36 42.42 7.89 -19.68 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.17 1.34 16.14R 2.88
Aston_Villa 9 10 -10 1.91 71.11 -2.18 41.01 7.78 -24.93 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.76 21.32R 3.94
Crystal_Palace 9 9 -3 -0.16 50.21 2.38 38.59 7.61 -20.81 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.36 29.85R 6.32
Leicester 9 9 -4 -0.54 46.07 1.05 42.31 8.36 -16.86 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.29 1.70 17.77R 3.37
Sunderland 9 8 -9 -1.74 34.78 -4.80 37.42 7.59 -28.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.22 36.60R 8.49
QPR 9 7 -10 -1.21 39.08 -2.79 31.42 7.47 -37.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 68.09R 31.00
Burnley 9 4 -11 -4.11 13.82 -4.22 29.87 7.53 -35.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 74.28R 38.93
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 October 2014, Birmingham 0 8 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Derby 14 26 +12 1.75 62.14 4.40 80.48 8.79 28.10 28.14 45.82 82.96 56.76P 0.01R 0.00
Watford 14 26 +11 2.67 68.78 4.62 77.68 9.02 22.90 18.00 33.43 73.06 43.70P 0.03R 0.00
Wolverhampton 14 26 +6 3.65 74.78 1.35 75.66 9.10 14.72 12.55 25.06 63.94 35.13P 0.08R 0.01
Bournemouth 14 24 +14 2.52 68.00 10.64 72.88 8.94 21.57 7.73 16.99 54.16 25.57P 0.16R 0.01
Middlesbrough 14 24 +7 2.45 67.75 3.41 70.98 8.74 11.71 4.59 11.14 43.97 19.10P 0.29R 0.03
Norwich 14 23 +10 -1.07 41.72 2.72 76.48 9.04 24.05 14.83 29.12 69.06 41.74P 0.06R 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 14 22 +7 1.55 61.62 5.19 70.66 8.92 14.15 4.66 11.45 43.40 18.83P 0.36R 0.02
Blackburn 14 22 +1 2.29 66.59 0.26 68.64 8.88 5.06 2.61 7.00 33.32 12.64P 0.72R 0.04
Charlton 14 22 +1 4.82 82.55 3.59 62.50 8.52 -3.28 0.45 1.44 12.67 3.49P 2.88R 0.25
Ipswich 14 21 +4 1.44 61.01 3.36 66.26 8.78 6.20 1.69 4.50 24.89 8.95P 1.14R 0.09
Cardiff 14 19 +1 -0.86 44.00 -0.05 66.81 9.23 6.96 2.16 5.66 27.99 11.27P 1.37R 0.12
Sheff_Wed 14 19 +0 1.12 59.24 1.51 61.10 8.61 -2.20 0.27 1.08 9.95 2.86P 4.32R 0.48
Brentford 14 19 -3 2.34 67.94 0.67 55.92 8.81 -13.11 0.11 0.32 3.75 0.92P 14.19R 2.13
Reading 14 18 -5 -2.18 34.67 -6.45 64.11 8.93 -1.84 0.90 2.73 17.65 6.20P 2.53R 0.23
Millwall 14 17 -2 0.84 57.70 2.34 52.54 8.30 -13.57 0.01 0.06 1.27 0.23P 22.88R 3.93
Rotherham 14 17 -3 2.19 67.39 4.05 52.19 8.84 -16.75 0.04 0.13 1.65 0.39P 26.16R 5.70
Huddersfield 14 17 -6 0.87 57.71 -0.92 54.94 8.71 -15.56 0.06 0.23 2.72 0.62P 17.09R 2.82
Leeds_United 14 16 -4 -1.51 39.59 -1.43 55.08 8.59 -11.16 0.06 0.18 2.78 0.70P 15.31R 2.61
Wigan 14 15 -1 -6.09 12.07 -3.84 62.39 8.70 4.51 0.51 1.60 13.48 4.85P 3.18R 0.31
Fulham 14 14 -6 -5.77 14.87 -6.63 60.36 9.44 -2.50 0.49 1.50 10.67 3.88P 7.12R 1.04
Brighton 14 13 -3 -8.00 6.11 -5.72 58.07 8.54 -0.54 0.14 0.52 5.65 1.92P 7.77R 0.94
Bolton 14 11 -11 -6.17 11.58 -7.90 50.73 8.62 -17.30 0.01 0.04 0.88 0.21P 30.98R 7.27
Birmingham 14 11 -16 -3.94 22.28 -9.26 44.64 8.44 -33.03 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.04P 60.99R 23.72
Blackpool 14 6 -14 -7.47 4.92 -5.92 39.44 8.12 -29.09 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 80.38R 48.25
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 October 2014, Barnsley 2 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Bristol_City 15 33 +15 7.57 91.00 7.45 86.18 8.86 31.64 34.25 56.31 91.24 65.14P 0.00 0.00
Preston 13 28 +13 4.36 80.16 4.26 84.51 9.24 30.09 28.22 48.58 87.11 59.80P 0.00R 0.00
Notts_County 14 26 +9 4.81 81.35 6.13 73.24 8.96 13.98 3.26 9.33 46.85 17.13P 0.24R 0.00
Peterborough 15 26 +7 0.36 51.96 -0.66 76.50 8.79 19.15 6.77 16.45 62.02 29.18P 0.07R 0.00
Sheff_Utd 14 26 +4 4.57 80.21 0.68 76.29 8.87 13.43 5.71 14.84 59.99 25.93P 0.09R 0.00
Oldham 15 25 +6 4.43 78.86 5.98 67.24 8.65 5.73 0.72 2.34 21.86 6.22P 1.36R 0.04
MK_Dons 13 24 +12 2.14 65.80 5.84 78.04 9.39 25.30 10.20 23.37 68.02 35.21P 0.07R 0.00
Rochdale 14 23 +11 3.23 71.96 10.31 68.43 9.50 12.93 1.50 4.54 28.99 9.50P 1.47R 0.06
Swindon 13 23 +10 0.41 52.60 2.66 76.58 9.30 22.43 7.84 18.49 62.35 30.38P 0.14R 0.01
Chesterfield 14 19 +2 0.40 53.48 3.09 64.10 9.44 3.45 0.42 1.55 15.33 4.51P 4.47R 0.35
Fleetwood_Town 15 19 +1 1.86 64.29 6.20 55.11 8.66 -8.47 0.01 0.08 2.00 0.42P 20.70R 2.39
Bradford 15 19 -1 -0.19 49.43 0.99 59.34 8.54 -4.10 0.07 0.24 4.96 1.13P 9.22R 0.75
Crawley_Town 15 18 -10 0.94 58.15 -4.84 55.08 8.44 -17.88 0.00 0.03 1.48 0.30P 21.18R 2.51
Colchester 15 17 -1 -1.81 37.82 1.77 57.67 8.71 -3.97 0.04 0.16 3.66 0.83P 13.12R 1.37
Barnsley 14 16 -2 -4.60 20.91 -3.92 62.04 9.41 1.02 0.25 0.94 11.01 3.49P 6.52R 0.53
Port_Vale 15 16 -3 -2.55 33.27 0.40 53.58 8.74 -11.33 0.01 0.07 1.41 0.32P 26.30R 3.59
Coventry 15 16 -7 -3.58 26.74 -5.10 56.94 8.81 -10.09 0.02 0.13 3.04 0.74P 15.92R 1.58
Leyton_Orient 14 15 -3 -6.66 10.86 -6.63 66.56 8.98 8.42 0.61 2.14 21.14 7.73P 2.05R 0.12
Walsall 15 15 -3 -5.70 15.05 -3.46 55.14 8.44 -5.81 0.01 0.04 1.81 0.45P 19.19R 2.11
Doncaster 13 15 -8 -2.04 35.77 -6.91 57.80 9.50 -11.46 0.08 0.36 4.96 1.45P 15.60R 1.92
Gillingham 15 14 -7 -3.01 29.64 -1.38 49.30 8.44 -18.31 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.04P 44.98R 8.70
Yeovil 15 13 -14 -5.07 18.66 -10.19 48.29 8.77 -25.33 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.08P 50.93R 11.98
Crewe 15 13 -19 -0.97 44.40 -8.04 41.17 7.92 -43.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 82.06R 40.26
Scunthorpe 15 12 -12 -4.15 23.20 -4.65 45.16 8.70 -27.59 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 64.34R 21.72
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 October 2014, Morecambe 0 2 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Luton 15 30 +8 7.74 91.87 5.38 75.44 8.74 12.74 13.58 40.29 73.90 48.58P 0.06R 0.01
Wycombe 15 29 +10 6.68 89.02 7.21 73.14 8.46 12.74 8.97 30.30 65.86 38.67P 0.09R 0.03
Burton_Albion 15 28 +1 6.74 89.09 -0.03 70.94 8.41 2.12 5.21 21.05 54.50 28.40P 0.25R 0.04
Shrewsbury 15 27 +12 0.82 55.53 3.73 80.97 8.66 28.72 35.66 67.94 90.52 75.72P 0.01R 0.00
Bury 15 27 +7 3.90 75.88 3.14 77.67 8.61 19.35 19.79 52.31 82.59 60.88P 0.02R 0.00
Plymouth 15 26 +9 4.92 81.92 7.95 70.55 8.36 12.57 4.82 20.79 55.22 29.17P 0.23R 0.05
Newport_County 15 23 +4 3.23 72.83 5.09 62.25 8.39 -0.57 0.67 4.26 19.21 7.39P 3.17R 1.11
Morecambe 15 23 +2 2.80 70.00 2.43 62.57 8.41 -2.04 0.86 4.54 20.06 7.85P 2.91R 1.01
Southend 15 22 +1 -0.85 43.98 -2.52 69.65 8.32 8.68 3.78 17.30 50.01 27.15P 0.32R 0.09
Exeter 15 22 +0 1.36 60.27 -0.19 64.88 8.50 0.71 1.31 7.36 28.47 12.23P 1.69R 0.53
Cheltenham 15 22 -2 2.66 69.49 -0.40 62.83 8.43 -4.08 0.67 4.35 20.60 7.85P 3.06R 1.01
Cambridge_Utd 15 21 +8 0.91 57.11 8.58 60.11 8.71 3.05 0.53 3.10 14.99 5.81P 5.74R 2.18
AFC_Wimbledon 15 20 -1 1.74 62.80 2.54 59.08 8.45 -6.43 0.22 1.81 11.14 3.65P 7.23R 3.03
Portsmouth 15 20 -1 -0.70 45.08 -1.31 63.76 8.62 1.04 1.04 6.16 24.95 10.81P 2.52R 0.87
Stevenage 15 20 -3 -1.74 38.15 -4.78 65.70 8.97 1.97 1.76 9.70 33.30 16.13P 1.95R 0.70
Accrington_Stanley 15 20 -4 1.35 60.47 -0.89 59.85 8.59 -8.17 0.32 2.37 12.79 4.55P 6.62R 2.72
Mansfield 15 19 -4 0.98 58.01 -0.50 55.44 8.16 -12.31 0.06 0.62 4.57 1.37P 14.51R 6.61
Northampton 15 18 +0 -1.32 41.21 1.77 57.58 8.52 -4.48 0.17 1.43 8.76 3.10P 9.79R 4.06
Oxford_Utd 15 16 -4 -4.06 23.17 -3.44 57.25 8.42 -5.47 0.17 1.28 7.90 2.84P 10.36R 4.37
Carlisle 15 15 -7 -5.22 17.95 -6.43 57.59 9.06 -7.15 0.27 1.72 9.82 3.90P 11.86R 5.47
Dag_&_Red 15 15 -7 -3.55 26.12 -3.90 51.55 8.38 -16.18 0.02 0.20 2.05 0.62P 28.89R 15.33
York 15 12 -7 -7.08 8.93 -5.27 51.57 8.24 -10.48 0.01 0.18 1.83 0.60P 27.39R 14.36
Tranmere 15 11 -7 -10.28 2.93 -8.08 55.53 8.77 -3.53 0.10 0.88 6.33 2.55P 14.84R 6.99
Hartlepool 15 11 -15 -6.07 12.41 -10.11 47.87 8.21 -22.78 0.00 0.05 0.61 0.19P 46.47R 29.44
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 October 2014, Barnet 3 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Barnet 18 39 +28 4.65 78.38 12.77 89.50 7.65 47.15 52.69 93.39 64.66P 0.00 0.00
Halifax 17 31 +12 2.18 64.13 2.98 77.46 8.17 22.51 6.05 48.60 15.34P 0.00R 0.00
Woking 16 30 +13 4.79 80.28 7.85 72.66 8.45 15.21 2.26 27.05 6.29P 0.01R 0.00
Gateshead 17 30 +7 3.17 70.70 1.31 75.61 8.00 15.96 3.34 38.05 10.41P 0.00R 0.00
Forest_Green 17 30 +7 3.74 73.44 2.37 76.64 8.02 17.67 4.36 43.49 12.60P 0.00R 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 17 29 +4 -0.74 44.60 -5.82 79.01 8.13 19.53 7.48 55.15 21.60P 0.00 0.00
Macclesfield 17 28 +6 2.57 66.76 2.77 68.49 7.85 7.50 0.42 11.70 2.52P 0.07R 0.00
Grimsby 17 27 +15 -2.62 31.78 4.99 78.62 8.00 32.72 7.51 55.83 22.16P 0.00R 0.00
Torquay 16 27 +10 -2.49 32.39 -1.96 80.72 8.39 30.36 12.92 64.60 29.25P 0.00 0.00
Wrexham 17 27 +2 2.38 66.11 0.01 73.19 7.94 12.05 1.63 26.81 6.84P 0.02R 0.00
Eastleigh 16 26 +5 4.52 77.75 6.02 64.19 8.72 -0.29 0.26 6.55 1.21P 0.75R 0.07
Kidderminster 17 26 +5 -0.89 43.71 -0.76 70.63 8.05 12.35 0.90 18.49 4.84P 0.03R 0.00
Chester 17 23 -9 5.41 83.76 -0.06 54.52 7.63 -22.07 0.01 0.21 0.02P 7.80R 0.85
Lincoln_City 17 22 -2 -0.04 50.48 0.14 62.11 8.09 -1.75 0.04 2.74 0.51P 1.13R 0.07
Aldershot 17 21 -1 -4.62 21.43 -4.60 64.18 7.91 4.43 0.09 4.64 1.17P 0.42R 0.02
Braintree_Town 17 20 -1 -3.90 25.30 -2.02 61.42 7.95 1.89 0.03 2.31 0.52P 1.05R 0.08
Welling 17 18 -3 -3.53 27.39 -0.01 54.41 7.91 -8.15 0.00 0.28 0.06P 7.62R 0.92
Southport 17 18 -11 -0.63 46.72 -3.20 50.22 7.73 -23.31 0.00 0.04 0.01P 19.29R 3.08
Altrincham 17 18 -16 2.38 67.77 -2.86 44.97 7.82 -37.70 0.00 0.01 0.00 44.90R 12.67
Dover_Athletic 17 17 -9 -0.37 48.93 0.55 48.24 8.15 -22.76 0.00 0.03 0.00P 27.63R 6.00
Dartford 17 16 -7 -2.90 30.80 -0.19 49.28 7.75 -17.15 0.00 0.02 0.00 21.27R 3.78
Nuneaton 17 14 -17 -3.67 25.66 -8.22 45.51 7.67 -29.37 0.00 0.00 0.00P 40.09R 10.19
Alfreton_Town 17 13 -20 -4.75 19.62 -9.99 43.89 7.85 -35.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.46R 14.85
AFC_Telford 17 10 -18 -4.82 19.39 -2.08 37.24 7.95 -41.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.46R 47.42
