Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 25 October 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 October 2014, Liverpool 0 0 Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           8   22  +15       5.21    94.71     5.03    86.69     7.79    55.48    66.52    90.88    96.71    98.73    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Southampton       9   19  +15       3.58    81.15    10.23    63.97     8.33    22.13     0.99     5.42    18.31    33.85    64.27     0.03R    0.00  
Man_City          9   17   +9      -1.61    33.09    -1.49    80.75     7.46    52.65    27.58    75.63    89.76    95.42    99.05     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham          9   16   +5       4.10    84.13     6.02    54.22     8.10     0.96     0.04     0.29     1.83     5.22    18.59     0.76R    0.05  
Arsenal           9   14   +4      -1.51    35.24    -0.92    67.25     8.18    25.59     1.45     9.43    30.85    50.08    77.44     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea           9   14   +3       0.97    59.72     2.40    53.05     8.26     0.68     0.03     0.28     1.53     4.41    15.99     1.12R    0.07  
Liverpool         9   14   +1      -2.73    24.51    -6.19    67.32     8.20    23.75     2.02     9.80    30.38    49.71    77.69     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           8   12   +3      -3.73    16.67    -4.70    63.57     8.45    19.52     0.97     5.30    17.63    32.42    61.54     0.04R    0.00  
Hull              9   11   +0       1.21    63.72     4.53    42.30     7.74   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.16    14.64R    2.11  
Tottenham         8   11   -1      -0.46    45.82    -1.36    57.16     8.53     5.98     0.16     1.00     4.53    10.72    30.80     0.47R    0.03  
Stoke             9   11   -2      -0.72    43.65    -0.68    44.70     7.75   -11.80     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.34     2.29     8.50R    1.03  
West_Brom         9   10   -1      -1.13    39.50     1.47    45.59     8.08    -9.63     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.55     3.21     7.93R    1.04  
Aston_Villa       8   10   -8       3.00    81.55    -0.67    43.15     8.05   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.25     1.66    14.26R    2.30  
Everton           8    9   +0      -3.19    20.55    -1.76    59.71     8.49    14.53     0.25     1.92     8.01    17.72    43.62     0.21R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace    9    9   -3      -0.13    50.24     2.42    38.57     7.61   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.34    28.59R    5.82  
Leicester         9    9   -4      -0.59    45.83     1.00    42.46     8.32   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.25     1.65    16.42R    2.90  
Sunderland        9    8   -9      -1.72    34.98    -4.75    37.32     7.62   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.23    36.48R    7.89  
Newcastle         8    7   -6      -2.27    28.23    -2.92    39.20     8.13   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.62    27.84R    6.30  
Burnley           8    4   -9      -3.44    17.22    -3.39    31.50     7.83   -33.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    65.74R   27.77  
QPR               8    4  -12      -2.61    23.07    -4.27    28.98     7.65   -40.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    76.96R   42.66  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 October 2014, Birmingham 0 8 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Derby           14   26  +12       1.81    62.76     4.48    80.28     8.84    27.82    27.51    45.32    82.13    56.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford         14   26  +11       2.72    69.23     4.71    77.61     9.02    22.82    17.93    33.53    72.54    43.75P    0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   14   26   +6       3.66    74.74     1.34    75.74     9.04    14.79    12.92    25.12    64.05    34.90P    0.08R    0.01  
Bournemouth     14   24  +14       2.67    68.91    10.92    72.54     8.94    21.06     6.99    16.06    52.66    24.48P    0.16R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   14   24   +7       2.30    66.67     3.18    71.31     8.74    12.23     5.12    12.17    45.30    20.21P    0.26R    0.02  
Norwich         14   23  +10      -1.15    41.07     2.62    76.68     8.97    24.33    15.27    29.80    69.86    42.50P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   14   22   +7       1.59    61.71     5.25    70.47     8.94    13.94     4.60    10.66    42.81    18.21P    0.40R    0.04  
Blackburn       14   22   +1       2.27    66.57     0.23    68.78     8.87     5.19     2.79     7.12    33.90    12.98P    0.61R    0.04  
Charlton        14   22   +1       4.79    82.37     3.57    62.60     8.55    -3.15     0.45     1.55    12.82     3.50P    2.83R    0.22  
Ipswich         14   21   +4       1.38    60.56     3.26    66.36     8.78     6.30     1.70     4.55    25.25     8.95P    1.12R    0.10  
Cardiff         14   19   +1      -0.90    43.93    -0.10    66.92     9.23     7.07     2.16     5.81    28.26    11.59P    1.40R    0.11  
Sheff_Wed       14   19   +0       1.05    58.76     1.43    61.24     8.59    -2.00     0.31     1.10    10.25     2.95P    4.07R    0.44  
Brentford       14   19   -3       2.38    68.29     0.68    55.88     8.80   -13.13     0.10     0.36     3.74     0.91P   14.23R    2.20  
Reading         14   18   -5      -2.14    34.98    -6.39    64.07     8.99    -1.87     0.92     2.78    17.84     6.38P    2.62R    0.25  
Millwall        14   17   -2       0.80    57.28     2.30    52.49     8.25   -13.68     0.00     0.05     1.12     0.23P   23.06R    3.99  
Rotherham       14   17   -3       2.12    66.97     3.89    52.27     8.75   -16.58     0.03     0.13     1.51     0.37P   25.84R    5.57  
Huddersfield    14   17   -6       0.80    57.27    -1.06    55.09     8.69   -15.27     0.05     0.18     2.79     0.64P   16.21R    2.75  
Leeds_United    14   16   -4      -1.46    39.91    -1.38    54.95     8.61   -11.33     0.05     0.23     2.78     0.74P   15.62R    2.63  
Wigan           14   15   -1      -6.07    12.08    -3.80    62.31     8.71     4.31     0.55     1.63    13.30     4.74P    3.27R    0.34  
Fulham          14   14   -6      -5.72    15.05    -6.57    60.32     9.34    -2.51     0.41     1.32    10.61     3.68P    7.05R    1.03  
Brighton        14   13   -3      -7.96     6.05    -5.65    58.06     8.58    -0.57     0.12     0.49     5.59     1.89P    7.82R    0.98  
Bolton          14   11  -11      -6.15    11.71    -7.83    50.55     8.58   -17.59     0.01     0.03     0.74     0.17P   31.66R    7.43  
Birmingham      14   11  -16      -3.86    22.78    -9.12    44.48     8.48   -33.24     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   61.73R   24.29  
Blackpool       14    6  -14      -7.49     4.98    -5.96    39.53     8.11   -28.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.87R   47.56  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 October 2014, Barnsley 2 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     15   33  +15       7.54    90.84     7.43    86.12     8.94    31.61    34.29    55.84    91.17    64.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston          13   28  +13       4.29    79.53     4.17    84.53     9.15    30.05    27.80    48.47    87.51    59.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County     14   26   +9       4.84    81.21     6.18    73.22     9.08    13.91     3.43     9.54    46.84    17.63P    0.29R    0.00  
Peterborough     15   26   +7       0.41    52.54    -0.58    76.41     8.86    18.97     6.45    16.38    61.73    29.03P    0.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        14   26   +4       4.47    79.78     0.57    76.49     8.84    13.69     5.97    15.34    60.73    26.57P    0.09R    0.00  
Oldham           15   25   +6       4.38    79.04     5.90    67.28     8.66     5.80     0.69     2.42    21.84     6.10P    1.29R    0.05  
MK_Dons          13   24  +12       2.14    65.85     5.87    77.95     9.38    25.19    10.13    22.86    67.85    34.87P    0.08R    0.01  
Rochdale         14   23  +11       3.28    72.14    10.40    68.36     9.51    12.83     1.53     4.45    28.58     9.49P    1.54R    0.06  
Swindon          13   23  +10       0.33    51.91     2.57    76.67     9.33    22.57     8.16    18.92    62.44    30.86P    0.11R    0.00  
Chesterfield     14   19   +2       0.41    53.84     3.04    64.07     9.43     3.43     0.40     1.52    15.29     4.47P    4.51R    0.38  
Fleetwood_Town   15   19   +1       1.83    64.02     6.12    55.30     8.75    -8.21     0.02     0.11     2.26     0.51P   20.08R    2.38  
Bradford         15   19   -1      -0.19    49.52     1.01    59.38     8.57    -4.06     0.05     0.23     4.94     1.12P    9.28R    0.70  
Crawley_Town     15   18  -10       0.86    57.41    -4.97    55.27     8.52   -17.69     0.01     0.06     1.73     0.33P   20.94R    2.64  
Colchester       15   17   -1      -1.75    38.16     1.86    57.67     8.79    -3.99     0.04     0.18     3.80     0.91P   13.50R    1.33  
Barnsley         14   16   -2      -4.60    20.67    -3.90    61.99     9.44     0.96     0.26     0.99    11.01     3.44P    6.82R    0.61  
Port_Vale        15   16   -3      -2.46    33.61     0.54    53.39     8.69   -11.62     0.00     0.05     1.30     0.23P   26.90R    3.74  
Coventry         15   16   -7      -3.58    26.85    -5.07    57.08     8.89    -9.86     0.04     0.17     3.28     0.78P   15.61R    1.74  
Leyton_Orient    14   15   -3      -6.64    10.85    -6.59    66.47     8.96     8.30     0.62     2.08    20.83     7.49P    2.12R    0.13  
Walsall          15   15   -3      -5.63    15.17    -3.37    55.00     8.40    -6.01     0.01     0.05     1.62     0.41P   19.38R    2.12  
Doncaster        13   15   -8      -1.95    36.11    -6.78    57.49     9.41   -11.86     0.10     0.33     4.47     1.27P   16.13R    2.03  
Gillingham       15   14   -7      -2.92    30.18    -1.25    49.18     8.44   -18.47     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.07P   45.04R    9.12  
Yeovil           15   13  -14      -5.06    18.38   -10.24    48.29     8.70   -25.32     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   50.76R   11.84  
Crewe            15   13  -19      -1.05    43.73    -8.25    41.36     7.97   -42.81     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   81.15R   39.60  
Scunthorpe       15   12  -12      -4.17    23.05    -4.66    45.23     8.70   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   64.28R   21.52  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 October 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 2 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Luton                15   30   +8       7.77    92.00     5.41    75.32     8.79    12.53    13.60    39.84    73.01    47.80P    0.05R    0.02  
Wycombe              15   29  +10       6.65    88.90     7.18    73.08     8.40    12.69     8.87    30.12    65.64    38.44P    0.11R    0.04  
Burton_Albion        15   28   +1       6.78    89.24     0.02    70.91     8.36     2.05     5.31    21.01    53.60    28.38P    0.21R    0.05  
Shrewsbury           15   27  +12       0.91    56.05     3.86    80.72     8.56    28.44    34.51    67.12    90.33    74.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 15   27   +7       3.91    75.79     3.18    77.62     8.64    19.31    20.07    51.68    82.12    60.34P    0.02R    0.00  
Plymouth             15   26   +9       4.91    81.82     7.95    70.54     8.32    12.56     4.76    20.73    54.93    29.04P    0.24R    0.06  
Newport_County       15   23   +4       3.14    72.19     4.97    62.57     8.42    -0.05     0.78     4.55    20.50     7.86P    3.00R    1.07  
Morecambe            14   23   +4       3.81    76.64     3.90    65.43     8.71     2.13     1.91     8.99    31.03    13.76P    1.54R    0.53  
Southend             15   22   +1      -0.82    44.39    -2.47    69.68     8.28     8.82     3.82    17.46    50.13    27.25P    0.35R    0.10  
Cheltenham           15   22   -2       2.62    69.29    -0.48    63.05     8.41    -3.76     0.73     4.60    21.26     8.15P    2.72R    0.97  
Cambridge_Utd        15   21   +8       0.95    57.31     8.68    59.90     8.77     2.71     0.59     3.24    14.56     5.85P    6.09R    2.40  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   20   -1       1.60    62.35     2.33    59.48     8.53    -5.82     0.30     2.16    11.96     4.13P    7.10R    2.89  
Portsmouth           15   20   -1      -0.81    44.63    -1.46    63.73     8.65     1.01     1.00     5.95    25.08    10.66P    2.44R    0.85  
Stevenage            15   20   -3      -1.86    37.40    -4.95    65.88     8.92     2.20     2.04     9.92    33.42    16.54P    1.78R    0.62  
Accrington_Stanley   15   20   -4       1.33    60.42    -0.91    59.78     8.53    -8.32     0.30     2.25    12.62     4.50P    6.52R    2.60  
Exeter               14   19   -2      -0.04    50.39    -1.86    62.04     8.76    -3.13     0.68     4.41    19.27     7.88P    3.97R    1.51  
Mansfield            15   19   -4       1.00    58.53    -0.49    55.35     8.23   -12.46     0.06     0.66     4.73     1.41P   14.90R    6.79  
Northampton          15   18   +0      -1.30    41.19     1.84    57.55     8.49    -4.54     0.17     1.40     8.73     3.10P    9.89R    4.10  
Oxford_Utd           15   16   -4      -4.00    23.47    -3.33    57.19     8.36    -5.62     0.15     1.11     7.42     2.68P   10.12R    4.29  
Carlisle             15   15   -7      -5.15    18.06    -6.30    57.47     8.92    -7.43     0.22     1.49     8.99     3.39P   11.69R    5.35  
Dag_&_Red            15   15   -7      -3.46    26.56    -3.76    51.48     8.35   -16.33     0.02     0.22     2.00     0.62P   28.86R   15.36  
York                 15   12   -7      -7.00     8.97    -5.17    51.43     8.23   -10.72     0.01     0.15     1.80     0.50P   27.89R   14.57  
Tranmere             15   11   -7     -10.22     2.88    -8.00    55.52     8.77    -3.59     0.09     0.89     6.24     2.59P   14.70R    6.98  
Hartlepool           15   11  -15      -6.07    12.49   -10.14    47.96     8.19   -22.69     0.00     0.03     0.62     0.19P   45.83R   28.86  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 October 2014, Barnet 3 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           18   39  +28       4.64    78.27    12.84    89.47     7.69    47.11    52.10    93.39    64.18P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          17   31  +12       2.31    64.85     3.17    77.38     8.15    22.34     6.04    48.02    15.16P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           16   30  +13       4.93    80.97     8.09    72.55     8.48    15.06     2.32    26.71     6.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead        17   30   +7       3.25    71.05     1.41    75.51     8.08    15.82     3.33    37.99    10.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green     17   30   +7       3.77    73.73     2.40    76.57     8.00    17.58     4.14    42.71    12.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   17   29   +4      -0.80    44.27    -5.91    79.16     8.15    19.77     7.71    55.56    21.96P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     17   28   +6       2.64    67.34     2.91    68.41     7.88     7.37     0.43    11.70     2.48P    0.09R    0.00  
Grimsby          17   27  +15      -2.59    31.82     5.04    78.64     8.03    32.73     7.59    56.16    22.14P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay          16   27  +10      -2.55    32.16    -2.04    80.90     8.43    30.62    13.28    65.13    29.46P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          17   27   +2       2.37    65.98     0.03    73.12     8.05    11.94     1.69    26.86     6.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastleigh        16   26   +5       4.54    77.91     5.99    64.10     8.79    -0.40     0.26     6.34     1.20P    0.86R    0.07  
Kidderminster    17   26   +5      -0.89    43.80    -0.77    70.61     8.11    12.34     0.94    18.92     5.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Chester          17   23   -9       5.42    83.64    -0.02    54.42     7.63   -22.22     0.00     0.22     0.02P    8.05R    0.90  
Lincoln_City     17   22   -2      -0.10    49.94     0.01    62.23     8.08    -1.56     0.06     2.97     0.52P    1.03R    0.09  
Aldershot        17   21   -1      -4.60    21.75    -4.53    64.05     7.94     4.24     0.08     4.53     1.07P    0.43R    0.02  
Braintree_Town   17   20   -1      -3.82    25.61    -1.91    61.34     7.93     1.72     0.03     2.39     0.50P    1.16R    0.09  
Welling          17   18   -3      -3.55    27.08    -0.09    54.41     7.93    -8.13     0.00     0.27     0.05P    7.67R    0.99  
Southport        17   18  -11      -0.63    46.77    -3.26    50.24     7.72   -23.31     0.00     0.04     0.00P   19.33R    3.14  
Altrincham       17   18  -16       2.39    67.66    -2.82    44.88     7.78   -37.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.47R   13.35  
Dover_Athletic   17   17   -9      -0.51    47.97     0.26    48.52     8.13   -22.28     0.00     0.05     0.02P   26.50R    5.43  
Dartford         17   16   -7      -2.86    31.21    -0.15    49.19     7.71   -17.24     0.00     0.03     0.00P   21.69R    3.97  
Nuneaton         17   14  -17      -3.76    25.11    -8.30    45.53     7.71   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.31R   10.33  
Alfreton_Town    17   13  -20      -4.70    19.98    -9.95    43.89     7.79   -35.65     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.65R   14.94  
AFC_Telford      17   10  -18      -4.97    18.69    -2.39    37.51     7.99   -40.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.67R   46.67