Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 25 October 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 October 2014, Liverpool 0 0 Hull; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 8 22 +15 5.21 94.71 5.03 86.69 7.79 55.48 66.52 90.88 96.71 98.73 99.78 0.00 0.00 Southampton 9 19 +15 3.58 81.15 10.23 63.97 8.33 22.13 0.99 5.42 18.31 33.85 64.27 0.03R 0.00 Man_City 9 17 +9 -1.61 33.09 -1.49 80.75 7.46 52.65 27.58 75.63 89.76 95.42 99.05 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 9 16 +5 4.10 84.13 6.02 54.22 8.10 0.96 0.04 0.29 1.83 5.22 18.59 0.76R 0.05 Arsenal 9 14 +4 -1.51 35.24 -0.92 67.25 8.18 25.59 1.45 9.43 30.85 50.08 77.44 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 9 14 +3 0.97 59.72 2.40 53.05 8.26 0.68 0.03 0.28 1.53 4.41 15.99 1.12R 0.07 Liverpool 9 14 +1 -2.73 24.51 -6.19 67.32 8.20 23.75 2.02 9.80 30.38 49.71 77.69 0.01R 0.00 Man_Utd 8 12 +3 -3.73 16.67 -4.70 63.57 8.45 19.52 0.97 5.30 17.63 32.42 61.54 0.04R 0.00 Hull 9 11 +0 1.21 63.72 4.53 42.30 7.74 -14.40 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.15 1.16 14.64R 2.11 Tottenham 8 11 -1 -0.46 45.82 -1.36 57.16 8.53 5.98 0.16 1.00 4.53 10.72 30.80 0.47R 0.03 Stoke 9 11 -2 -0.72 43.65 -0.68 44.70 7.75 -11.80 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.34 2.29 8.50R 1.03 West_Brom 9 10 -1 -1.13 39.50 1.47 45.59 8.08 -9.63 0.00 0.02 0.15 0.55 3.21 7.93R 1.04 Aston_Villa 8 10 -8 3.00 81.55 -0.67 43.15 8.05 -21.63 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.25 1.66 14.26R 2.30 Everton 8 9 +0 -3.19 20.55 -1.76 59.71 8.49 14.53 0.25 1.92 8.01 17.72 43.62 0.21R 0.02 Crystal_Palace 9 9 -3 -0.13 50.24 2.42 38.57 7.61 -20.90 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.34 28.59R 5.82 Leicester 9 9 -4 -0.59 45.83 1.00 42.46 8.32 -16.60 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.25 1.65 16.42R 2.90 Sunderland 9 8 -9 -1.72 34.98 -4.75 37.32 7.62 -28.75 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.23 36.48R 7.89 Newcastle 8 7 -6 -2.27 28.23 -2.92 39.20 8.13 -23.45 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.62 27.84R 6.30 Burnley 8 4 -9 -3.44 17.22 -3.39 31.50 7.83 -33.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 65.74R 27.77 QPR 8 4 -12 -2.61 23.07 -4.27 28.98 7.65 -40.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 76.96R 42.66Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 October 2014, Birmingham 0 8 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 14 26 +12 1.81 62.76 4.48 80.28 8.84 27.82 27.51 45.32 82.13 56.22P 0.01R 0.00 Watford 14 26 +11 2.72 69.23 4.71 77.61 9.02 22.82 17.93 33.53 72.54 43.75P 0.04R 0.00 Wolverhampton 14 26 +6 3.66 74.74 1.34 75.74 9.04 14.79 12.92 25.12 64.05 34.90P 0.08R 0.01 Bournemouth 14 24 +14 2.67 68.91 10.92 72.54 8.94 21.06 6.99 16.06 52.66 24.48P 0.16R 0.01 Middlesbrough 14 24 +7 2.30 66.67 3.18 71.31 8.74 12.23 5.12 12.17 45.30 20.21P 0.26R 0.02 Norwich 14 23 +10 -1.15 41.07 2.62 76.68 8.97 24.33 15.27 29.80 69.86 42.50P 0.05R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 14 22 +7 1.59 61.71 5.25 70.47 8.94 13.94 4.60 10.66 42.81 18.21P 0.40R 0.04 Blackburn 14 22 +1 2.27 66.57 0.23 68.78 8.87 5.19 2.79 7.12 33.90 12.98P 0.61R 0.04 Charlton 14 22 +1 4.79 82.37 3.57 62.60 8.55 -3.15 0.45 1.55 12.82 3.50P 2.83R 0.22 Ipswich 14 21 +4 1.38 60.56 3.26 66.36 8.78 6.30 1.70 4.55 25.25 8.95P 1.12R 0.10 Cardiff 14 19 +1 -0.90 43.93 -0.10 66.92 9.23 7.07 2.16 5.81 28.26 11.59P 1.40R 0.11 Sheff_Wed 14 19 +0 1.05 58.76 1.43 61.24 8.59 -2.00 0.31 1.10 10.25 2.95P 4.07R 0.44 Brentford 14 19 -3 2.38 68.29 0.68 55.88 8.80 -13.13 0.10 0.36 3.74 0.91P 14.23R 2.20 Reading 14 18 -5 -2.14 34.98 -6.39 64.07 8.99 -1.87 0.92 2.78 17.84 6.38P 2.62R 0.25 Millwall 14 17 -2 0.80 57.28 2.30 52.49 8.25 -13.68 0.00 0.05 1.12 0.23P 23.06R 3.99 Rotherham 14 17 -3 2.12 66.97 3.89 52.27 8.75 -16.58 0.03 0.13 1.51 0.37P 25.84R 5.57 Huddersfield 14 17 -6 0.80 57.27 -1.06 55.09 8.69 -15.27 0.05 0.18 2.79 0.64P 16.21R 2.75 Leeds_United 14 16 -4 -1.46 39.91 -1.38 54.95 8.61 -11.33 0.05 0.23 2.78 0.74P 15.62R 2.63 Wigan 14 15 -1 -6.07 12.08 -3.80 62.31 8.71 4.31 0.55 1.63 13.30 4.74P 3.27R 0.34 Fulham 14 14 -6 -5.72 15.05 -6.57 60.32 9.34 -2.51 0.41 1.32 10.61 3.68P 7.05R 1.03 Brighton 14 13 -3 -7.96 6.05 -5.65 58.06 8.58 -0.57 0.12 0.49 5.59 1.89P 7.82R 0.98 Bolton 14 11 -11 -6.15 11.71 -7.83 50.55 8.58 -17.59 0.01 0.03 0.74 0.17P 31.66R 7.43 Birmingham 14 11 -16 -3.86 22.78 -9.12 44.48 8.48 -33.24 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 61.73R 24.29 Blackpool 14 6 -14 -7.49 4.98 -5.96 39.53 8.11 -28.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.87R 47.56League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 October 2014, Barnsley 2 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 15 33 +15 7.54 90.84 7.43 86.12 8.94 31.61 34.29 55.84 91.17 64.55P 0.00R 0.00 Preston 13 28 +13 4.29 79.53 4.17 84.53 9.15 30.05 27.80 48.47 87.51 59.79P 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 14 26 +9 4.84 81.21 6.18 73.22 9.08 13.91 3.43 9.54 46.84 17.63P 0.29R 0.00 Peterborough 15 26 +7 0.41 52.54 -0.58 76.41 8.86 18.97 6.45 16.38 61.73 29.03P 0.09R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 14 26 +4 4.47 79.78 0.57 76.49 8.84 13.69 5.97 15.34 60.73 26.57P 0.09R 0.00 Oldham 15 25 +6 4.38 79.04 5.90 67.28 8.66 5.80 0.69 2.42 21.84 6.10P 1.29R 0.05 MK_Dons 13 24 +12 2.14 65.85 5.87 77.95 9.38 25.19 10.13 22.86 67.85 34.87P 0.08R 0.01 Rochdale 14 23 +11 3.28 72.14 10.40 68.36 9.51 12.83 1.53 4.45 28.58 9.49P 1.54R 0.06 Swindon 13 23 +10 0.33 51.91 2.57 76.67 9.33 22.57 8.16 18.92 62.44 30.86P 0.11R 0.00 Chesterfield 14 19 +2 0.41 53.84 3.04 64.07 9.43 3.43 0.40 1.52 15.29 4.47P 4.51R 0.38 Fleetwood_Town 15 19 +1 1.83 64.02 6.12 55.30 8.75 -8.21 0.02 0.11 2.26 0.51P 20.08R 2.38 Bradford 15 19 -1 -0.19 49.52 1.01 59.38 8.57 -4.06 0.05 0.23 4.94 1.12P 9.28R 0.70 Crawley_Town 15 18 -10 0.86 57.41 -4.97 55.27 8.52 -17.69 0.01 0.06 1.73 0.33P 20.94R 2.64 Colchester 15 17 -1 -1.75 38.16 1.86 57.67 8.79 -3.99 0.04 0.18 3.80 0.91P 13.50R 1.33 Barnsley 14 16 -2 -4.60 20.67 -3.90 61.99 9.44 0.96 0.26 0.99 11.01 3.44P 6.82R 0.61 Port_Vale 15 16 -3 -2.46 33.61 0.54 53.39 8.69 -11.62 0.00 0.05 1.30 0.23P 26.90R 3.74 Coventry 15 16 -7 -3.58 26.85 -5.07 57.08 8.89 -9.86 0.04 0.17 3.28 0.78P 15.61R 1.74 Leyton_Orient 14 15 -3 -6.64 10.85 -6.59 66.47 8.96 8.30 0.62 2.08 20.83 7.49P 2.12R 0.13 Walsall 15 15 -3 -5.63 15.17 -3.37 55.00 8.40 -6.01 0.01 0.05 1.62 0.41P 19.38R 2.12 Doncaster 13 15 -8 -1.95 36.11 -6.78 57.49 9.41 -11.86 0.10 0.33 4.47 1.27P 16.13R 2.03 Gillingham 15 14 -7 -2.92 30.18 -1.25 49.18 8.44 -18.47 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.07P 45.04R 9.12 Yeovil 15 13 -14 -5.06 18.38 -10.24 48.29 8.70 -25.32 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.06P 50.76R 11.84 Crewe 15 13 -19 -1.05 43.73 -8.25 41.36 7.97 -42.81 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 81.15R 39.60 Scunthorpe 15 12 -12 -4.17 23.05 -4.66 45.23 8.70 -27.43 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 64.28R 21.52League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 October 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 2 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Luton 15 30 +8 7.77 92.00 5.41 75.32 8.79 12.53 13.60 39.84 73.01 47.80P 0.05R 0.02 Wycombe 15 29 +10 6.65 88.90 7.18 73.08 8.40 12.69 8.87 30.12 65.64 38.44P 0.11R 0.04 Burton_Albion 15 28 +1 6.78 89.24 0.02 70.91 8.36 2.05 5.31 21.01 53.60 28.38P 0.21R 0.05 Shrewsbury 15 27 +12 0.91 56.05 3.86 80.72 8.56 28.44 34.51 67.12 90.33 74.94P 0.00 0.00 Bury 15 27 +7 3.91 75.79 3.18 77.62 8.64 19.31 20.07 51.68 82.12 60.34P 0.02R 0.00 Plymouth 15 26 +9 4.91 81.82 7.95 70.54 8.32 12.56 4.76 20.73 54.93 29.04P 0.24R 0.06 Newport_County 15 23 +4 3.14 72.19 4.97 62.57 8.42 -0.05 0.78 4.55 20.50 7.86P 3.00R 1.07 Morecambe 14 23 +4 3.81 76.64 3.90 65.43 8.71 2.13 1.91 8.99 31.03 13.76P 1.54R 0.53 Southend 15 22 +1 -0.82 44.39 -2.47 69.68 8.28 8.82 3.82 17.46 50.13 27.25P 0.35R 0.10 Cheltenham 15 22 -2 2.62 69.29 -0.48 63.05 8.41 -3.76 0.73 4.60 21.26 8.15P 2.72R 0.97 Cambridge_Utd 15 21 +8 0.95 57.31 8.68 59.90 8.77 2.71 0.59 3.24 14.56 5.85P 6.09R 2.40 AFC_Wimbledon 15 20 -1 1.60 62.35 2.33 59.48 8.53 -5.82 0.30 2.16 11.96 4.13P 7.10R 2.89 Portsmouth 15 20 -1 -0.81 44.63 -1.46 63.73 8.65 1.01 1.00 5.95 25.08 10.66P 2.44R 0.85 Stevenage 15 20 -3 -1.86 37.40 -4.95 65.88 8.92 2.20 2.04 9.92 33.42 16.54P 1.78R 0.62 Accrington_Stanley 15 20 -4 1.33 60.42 -0.91 59.78 8.53 -8.32 0.30 2.25 12.62 4.50P 6.52R 2.60 Exeter 14 19 -2 -0.04 50.39 -1.86 62.04 8.76 -3.13 0.68 4.41 19.27 7.88P 3.97R 1.51 Mansfield 15 19 -4 1.00 58.53 -0.49 55.35 8.23 -12.46 0.06 0.66 4.73 1.41P 14.90R 6.79 Northampton 15 18 +0 -1.30 41.19 1.84 57.55 8.49 -4.54 0.17 1.40 8.73 3.10P 9.89R 4.10 Oxford_Utd 15 16 -4 -4.00 23.47 -3.33 57.19 8.36 -5.62 0.15 1.11 7.42 2.68P 10.12R 4.29 Carlisle 15 15 -7 -5.15 18.06 -6.30 57.47 8.92 -7.43 0.22 1.49 8.99 3.39P 11.69R 5.35 Dag_&_Red 15 15 -7 -3.46 26.56 -3.76 51.48 8.35 -16.33 0.02 0.22 2.00 0.62P 28.86R 15.36 York 15 12 -7 -7.00 8.97 -5.17 51.43 8.23 -10.72 0.01 0.15 1.80 0.50P 27.89R 14.57 Tranmere 15 11 -7 -10.22 2.88 -8.00 55.52 8.77 -3.59 0.09 0.89 6.24 2.59P 14.70R 6.98 Hartlepool 15 11 -15 -6.07 12.49 -10.14 47.96 8.19 -22.69 0.00 0.03 0.62 0.19P 45.83R 28.86Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 October 2014, Barnet 3 0 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 18 39 +28 4.64 78.27 12.84 89.47 7.69 47.11 52.10 93.39 64.18P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 17 31 +12 2.31 64.85 3.17 77.38 8.15 22.34 6.04 48.02 15.16P 0.00 0.00 Woking 16 30 +13 4.93 80.97 8.09 72.55 8.48 15.06 2.32 26.71 6.50P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 17 30 +7 3.25 71.05 1.41 75.51 8.08 15.82 3.33 37.99 10.52P 0.00R 0.00 Forest_Green 17 30 +7 3.77 73.73 2.40 76.57 8.00 17.58 4.14 42.71 12.23P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 17 29 +4 -0.80 44.27 -5.91 79.16 8.15 19.77 7.71 55.56 21.96P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 17 28 +6 2.64 67.34 2.91 68.41 7.88 7.37 0.43 11.70 2.48P 0.09R 0.00 Grimsby 17 27 +15 -2.59 31.82 5.04 78.64 8.03 32.73 7.59 56.16 22.14P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 16 27 +10 -2.55 32.16 -2.04 80.90 8.43 30.62 13.28 65.13 29.46P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 17 27 +2 2.37 65.98 0.03 73.12 8.05 11.94 1.69 26.86 6.88P 0.01R 0.00 Eastleigh 16 26 +5 4.54 77.91 5.99 64.10 8.79 -0.40 0.26 6.34 1.20P 0.86R 0.07 Kidderminster 17 26 +5 -0.89 43.80 -0.77 70.61 8.11 12.34 0.94 18.92 5.09P 0.04R 0.00 Chester 17 23 -9 5.42 83.64 -0.02 54.42 7.63 -22.22 0.00 0.22 0.02P 8.05R 0.90 Lincoln_City 17 22 -2 -0.10 49.94 0.01 62.23 8.08 -1.56 0.06 2.97 0.52P 1.03R 0.09 Aldershot 17 21 -1 -4.60 21.75 -4.53 64.05 7.94 4.24 0.08 4.53 1.07P 0.43R 0.02 Braintree_Town 17 20 -1 -3.82 25.61 -1.91 61.34 7.93 1.72 0.03 2.39 0.50P 1.16R 0.09 Welling 17 18 -3 -3.55 27.08 -0.09 54.41 7.93 -8.13 0.00 0.27 0.05P 7.67R 0.99 Southport 17 18 -11 -0.63 46.77 -3.26 50.24 7.72 -23.31 0.00 0.04 0.00P 19.33R 3.14 Altrincham 17 18 -16 2.39 67.66 -2.82 44.88 7.78 -37.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.47R 13.35 Dover_Athletic 17 17 -9 -0.51 47.97 0.26 48.52 8.13 -22.28 0.00 0.05 0.02P 26.50R 5.43 Dartford 17 16 -7 -2.86 31.21 -0.15 49.19 7.71 -17.24 0.00 0.03 0.00P 21.69R 3.97 Nuneaton 17 14 -17 -3.76 25.11 -8.30 45.53 7.71 -29.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.31R 10.33 Alfreton_Town 17 13 -20 -4.70 19.98 -9.95 43.89 7.79 -35.65 0.00 0.01 0.00 49.65R 14.94 AFC_Telford 17 10 -18 -4.97 18.69 -2.39 37.51 7.99 -40.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.67R 46.67