Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 28 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 September 2014, West_Brom 4 0 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           6   16  +12       3.49    89.01     4.72    84.98     8.34    54.40    56.08    84.01    93.49    97.35    99.53     0.00     0.00  
Southampton       6   13   +7       3.48    85.45     5.14    59.54     8.99     9.84     0.46     2.55     8.16    17.69    43.59     0.26R    0.02  
Man_City          6   11   +5      -1.09    35.94    -1.57    81.28     8.19    51.41    33.44    73.02    88.12    94.49    98.82     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           6   10   +4      -0.66    41.76     0.21    69.47     8.99    28.57     4.31    16.40    40.14    59.86    83.44     0.02R    0.00  
Swansea           6   10   +2       2.08    74.12     2.82    54.31     9.06     1.49     0.09     0.67     2.80     7.18    23.17     1.44R    0.14  
Aston_Villa       6   10   -3       4.04    90.56     1.24    45.24     8.62   -17.74     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.70     4.05    10.63R    1.74  
Man_Utd           6    8   +2      -4.13    10.63    -4.26    63.40     9.08    19.85     1.36     5.95    17.32    32.46    61.89     0.10R    0.01  
Tottenham         6    8   +1      -1.32    35.37    -0.56    56.85     9.00     7.53     0.22     1.21     4.65    11.04    32.63     0.75R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace    6    8   +0       1.46    69.20     2.83    40.08     8.27   -20.01     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.15     1.03    24.32R    5.32  
West_Brom         6    8   +0       0.54    58.03     1.30    46.57     8.76   -10.51     0.01     0.08     0.37     1.15     5.55     8.06R    1.16  
Leicester         6    8   -1       2.02    74.92     3.10    47.26     9.44   -10.59     0.01     0.12     0.61     1.78     7.82     8.80R    1.61  
West_Ham          6    7   +0      -0.05    51.12     2.04    46.78     8.87    -8.18     0.01     0.07     0.38     1.23     6.19     7.84R    1.32  
Liverpool         6    7   -1      -3.37    16.17    -4.42    68.40     8.97    28.59     3.61    13.55    35.13    55.28    80.90     0.02R    0.00  
Everton           6    6   -2      -2.80    20.56    -2.72    59.56     9.14    12.41     0.40     2.30     8.36    18.59    45.13     0.36R    0.03  
Hull              6    6   -2      -0.77    41.60     0.44    37.25     8.22   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.55    36.34R    9.79  
Sunderland        6    5   -1      -2.36    25.06     0.31    40.42     8.50   -15.84     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.20     1.32    23.21R    4.87  
Stoke             5    5   -1      -1.56    30.92    -0.24    43.74     8.80   -11.39     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.62     3.29    13.73R    2.43  
QPR               6    4   -9      -1.27    36.11    -4.04    30.23     8.07   -40.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    71.16R   37.43  
Newcastle         5    3   -6      -2.73    16.96    -3.75    37.70     8.85   -26.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.84    36.07R   11.10  
Burnley           6    3   -7      -2.41    22.05    -2.57    33.11     8.36   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.20    56.90R   22.98  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 September 2014, Reading 3 3 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich          9   20  +12       3.86    82.24     6.06    87.11    10.28    37.07    44.04    63.31    90.30    71.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    9   19  +10       4.72    87.05     7.08    76.02     9.88    19.56     8.78    20.37    59.58    29.56P    0.11R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    9   18   +5       3.83    81.81     2.33    76.65    10.17    16.88     9.77    22.10    61.10    32.66P    0.11R    0.01  
Watford          9   17   +7       2.12    69.31     3.07    75.06    10.08    18.24     7.52    18.21    55.86    27.77P    0.12R    0.01  
Ipswich          9   17   +6       3.98    83.63     4.93    70.60     9.74    10.50     2.83     8.07    37.14    14.40P    0.44R    0.04  
Derby            9   16   +7       1.00    59.05     2.80    78.40     9.86    24.99    13.32    28.18    69.38    40.19P    0.07R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    9   16   +6       2.04    68.56     3.52    70.89     9.70    12.37     3.33     8.79    38.79    16.21P    0.38R    0.02  
Charlton         9   15   +3       3.52    80.42     3.99    61.86     9.58    -2.43     0.38     1.33    11.10     3.22P    3.96R    0.53  
Sheff_Wed        9   15   +3       3.34    79.50     3.83    66.28     9.72     3.98     1.14     3.55    22.40     7.33P    1.45R    0.17  
Blackburn        9   14   +0       1.63    65.76     0.13    68.50    10.09     5.52     1.98     5.90    30.27    11.46P    1.16R    0.12  
Reading          9   14   +0       0.20    51.98    -2.29    70.62    10.02     8.76     3.36     8.51    38.00    15.77P    0.70R    0.06  
Brentford        9   14   -2       3.00    76.97    -0.12    55.30     9.87   -16.47     0.08     0.31     3.72     0.90P   15.52R    3.16  
Leeds_United     9   13   -2       1.40    64.05    -0.82    58.60     9.66   -10.13     0.17     0.68     6.43     1.73P    8.11R    1.31  
Bournemouth      9   12   +3      -0.38    46.78     3.22    61.07     9.90     0.22     0.31     1.21    11.04     3.13P    5.16R    0.84  
Cardiff          9   12   +0      -0.54    45.53    -0.30    67.40    10.34     7.07     1.82     5.32    27.30    10.97P    1.62R    0.19  
Millwall         9   11   -1       0.41    55.44     1.59    51.62     9.27   -15.56     0.01     0.08     1.32     0.29P   23.55R    5.38  
Brighton         9    9   -2      -4.65    12.72    -3.96    63.15     9.60     3.57     0.48     1.72    14.04     5.10P    2.99R    0.40  
Wigan            9    8   -2      -5.63     8.52    -3.93    63.02     9.76     4.54     0.53     1.82    14.49     5.12P    3.35R    0.51  
Rotherham        9    8   -6      -0.62    46.07     0.06    44.43     9.67   -29.32     0.00     0.02     0.30     0.08P   54.52R   23.01  
Huddersfield     9    8  -10      -1.93    32.73    -5.92    48.15     9.39   -27.10     0.01     0.03     0.52     0.10P   38.82R   12.62  
Birmingham       9    7   -8      -3.34    20.79    -4.70    49.80     9.75   -21.02     0.02     0.07     1.09     0.28P   32.16R    9.66  
Bolton           9    5   -8      -6.20     5.43    -6.32    52.53     9.73   -13.03     0.02     0.11     1.93     0.53P   22.11R    5.35  
Fulham           9    4  -12      -7.07     3.75    -9.72    54.46    10.55   -12.97     0.09     0.31     3.83     1.21P   18.69R    4.87  
Blackpool        9    2   -9      -7.14     1.97    -4.52    41.59     9.15   -25.23     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   64.91R   31.72  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, Barnsley 0 3 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     10   24  +12       6.99    94.27     6.93    84.22     9.90    28.69    30.80    50.07    86.13    59.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     10   19   +5       2.11    67.70     0.24    78.38     9.91    20.21    12.98    27.05    69.02    38.58P    0.16R    0.00  
Swindon           9   18  +10       1.84    66.29     4.10    79.38    10.20    26.00    16.70    31.84    72.59    43.24P    0.14R    0.00  
MK_Dons           9   16   +9       1.10    59.77     5.02    76.32    10.40    23.75    10.73    22.31    62.13    32.66P    0.44R    0.02  
Rochdale         10   16   +8       2.68    72.37     8.70    65.57    10.59     7.79     1.64     4.28    23.64     8.14P    5.30R    0.30  
Preston           9   16   +7       0.52    54.27     2.39    78.43    10.21    24.63    14.38    28.63    69.57    40.66P    0.20R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd         9   16   +0       3.20    77.75    -0.76    72.77     9.90     9.13     4.52    11.30    46.52    19.76P    0.86R    0.03  
Chesterfield      9   15   +4       2.48    71.75     3.78    66.34    10.60     4.77     1.80     4.78    25.33     9.10P    4.66R    0.29  
Bradford         10   15   +2       2.04    68.21     3.00    63.15     9.57     0.67     0.50     1.72    14.49     4.08P    6.34R    0.32  
Oldham           10   14   +1       1.02    60.00     1.89    59.48     9.48    -4.12     0.18     0.64     7.68     1.97P   12.07R    0.84  
Fleetwood_Town   10   13   +1       1.64    65.60     4.31    52.58     9.73   -13.04     0.04     0.14     2.26     0.49P   34.43R    4.36  
Crawley_Town     10   13   -6       1.40    63.76    -3.17    57.42     9.41   -12.30     0.08     0.37     4.73     1.19P   18.05R    1.50  
Gillingham       10   12   -2       0.40    54.79     1.35    55.35     9.70   -11.56     0.07     0.24     3.64     0.78P   24.59R    2.49  
Coventry         10   12   -2      -1.51    37.73    -1.62    62.78     9.96     0.00     0.53     1.77    14.35     4.59P    7.77R    0.44  
Yeovil           10   12   -4      -2.23    31.73    -4.88    59.31    10.15    -7.13     0.28     0.94     8.74     2.73P   14.65R    1.20  
Notts_County      9   11   +1      -0.98    41.62     1.57    62.35    10.12     2.05     0.57     1.81    14.36     4.57P    8.33R    0.58  
Walsall          10   11   -1      -2.98    25.46    -1.54    59.66     9.46    -1.32     0.20     0.69     7.96     2.31P   11.42R    0.79  
Doncaster         9   11   -5      -1.22    39.51    -4.89    61.33    10.52    -5.33     0.60     1.73    12.82     4.25P   11.31R    0.89  
Leyton_Orient     9   10   -1      -4.87    12.30    -4.75    69.58    10.04    12.32     2.70     7.47    35.75    15.87P    1.85R    0.06  
Colchester       10    9   -1      -3.40    22.13     0.84    54.99     9.74    -5.92     0.05     0.22     3.68     0.98P   24.92R    2.48  
Barnsley          9    9   -3      -4.50    15.28    -4.69    60.87    10.81    -1.46     0.63     1.91    13.04     4.71P   12.54R    1.11  
Port_Vale        10    9   -6      -2.56    28.68    -2.58    50.34     9.59   -19.07     0.02     0.07     1.20     0.24P   43.48R    7.02  
Scunthorpe       10    7  -13      -2.64    27.84    -6.19    44.48     9.93   -32.75     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.08P   67.38R   21.01  
Crewe             9    4  -16      -4.37    13.06    -9.06    37.06     9.31   -46.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   89.10R   54.28  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        10   22   +4       7.20    95.05     2.36    73.75     9.34     8.14    10.60    32.39    65.54    39.89P    0.20R    0.05  
Wycombe              10   21   +7       6.76    94.22     6.02    72.11     9.37    10.17     8.14    26.96    59.42    34.30P    0.31R    0.09  
Bury                 10   20   +8       3.91    81.13     4.44    78.05     9.62    21.18    23.23    52.16    80.65    60.23P    0.06R    0.01  
Southend             10   20   +5       3.97    81.77     1.56    78.45     9.37    18.47    23.44    53.11    82.13    61.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Northampton          10   17   +5       3.10    76.19     4.67    64.98     9.45     3.14     2.11     9.55    31.04    14.06P    2.20R    0.82  
Morecambe            10   16   +3       2.18    69.13     2.80    62.77     9.43    -0.33     1.28     6.31    23.38     9.90P    3.82R    1.49  
Shrewsbury           10   15   +4      -1.25    38.81     0.18    73.53     9.77    17.49    11.59    34.32    65.92    44.49P    0.25R    0.07  
Portsmouth           10   15   +2       0.26    52.83     0.37    66.68     9.59     5.69     3.10    12.95    37.87    18.92P    1.62R    0.54  
Cheltenham           10   15   +1       1.62    65.18     1.27    63.67     9.35     0.76     1.42     7.02    25.76    11.23P    2.95R    1.20  
Luton                10   15   +1       1.45    63.52     1.00    63.15     9.73     0.14     1.57     7.12    24.98    11.35P    3.98R    1.62  
Mansfield            10   15   -3       2.87    75.35    -0.62    57.45     9.25   -12.98     0.29     1.83     9.60     3.31P   11.48R    5.21  
AFC_Wimbledon        10   14   +0       1.77    66.65     2.28    59.41     9.56    -6.15     0.58     3.28    14.70     5.50P    8.19R    3.75  
Stevenage            10   14   +0      -1.07    40.71    -2.08    70.57    10.06    10.96     7.26    23.99    53.96    32.81P    0.88R    0.31  
Plymouth             10   13   +3      -0.17    49.33     3.58    61.71     9.40     2.79     0.89     5.00    20.54     8.66P    4.73R    1.96  
Newport_County       10   13   +1       0.55    56.06     2.85    57.78     9.44    -5.57     0.35     2.24    11.00     3.99P   10.70R    4.85  
Accrington_Stanley   10   13   -5       1.14    61.12    -2.10    58.63     9.72   -10.89     0.49     2.80    12.65     4.74P   10.48R    4.84  
Exeter               10   12   -3      -1.35    38.44    -2.56    60.22     9.44    -4.32     0.70     3.73    16.18     6.62P    6.68R    2.83  
Cambridge_Utd        10   11   +2      -0.91    43.14     4.52    51.90     9.60   -10.13     0.09     0.66     4.17     1.41P   27.37R   15.23  
Dag_&_Red            10   11   -4      -1.86    34.02    -2.76    54.59     9.49   -12.75     0.19     1.16     6.16     2.21P   18.90R    9.65  
Tranmere             10    9   -2      -6.55     6.92    -4.78    64.07    10.00     6.81     2.16     9.47    29.65    15.81P    3.61R    1.50  
York                 10    9   -4      -3.89    17.96    -3.01    56.95     9.31    -5.13     0.23     1.63     9.35     3.45P   11.72R    5.37  
Hartlepool           10    8   -9      -3.91    17.86    -6.70    53.51     9.25   -13.72     0.09     0.64     4.55     1.54P   21.96R   11.41  
Oxford_Utd           10    7   -4      -6.23     6.96    -3.57    54.78     9.44    -5.72     0.13     1.02     6.58     2.40P   17.41R    8.83  
Carlisle             10    6  -12      -6.16     7.50    -9.72    51.60    10.16   -18.06     0.10     0.68     4.25     1.61P   30.48R   18.36  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, AFC_Telford 4 3 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           12   28  +23       4.31    82.46    11.37    87.29     8.89    43.28    26.89    80.14    41.09P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          12   24  +13       3.41    76.19     5.99    81.89     9.11    31.36    10.97    59.24    21.90P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay          12   24  +13       0.27    51.01     1.48    87.29     9.09    39.92    27.12    79.13    44.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   12   23   +4       1.69    63.49    -3.75    84.19     9.10    26.70    15.18    67.19    30.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        12   22   +5       2.98    73.49     0.64    74.92     9.07    14.98     2.39    28.06     7.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          12   22   +3       3.39    76.09    -0.24    74.40     8.94    12.49     1.93    25.60     6.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking           12   21   +8       3.69    78.28     6.76    70.56     9.21    12.84     0.98    15.41     3.28P    0.08R    0.00  
Kidderminster    12   21   +7       0.79    56.43     1.02    74.04     8.94    17.12     1.99    24.93     7.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield     12   20   +5       2.12    67.02     2.80    68.57     8.86     8.51     0.43    10.08     2.16P    0.09R    0.00  
Grimsby          12   19  +14      -1.98    33.16     6.66    81.23     8.83    38.52     9.33    57.67    23.53P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   12   19   +7       0.19    51.27     3.39    71.44     8.89    16.41     1.03    17.11     4.41P    0.04R    0.00  
Forest_Green     12   19   +4       0.27    52.25     0.42    71.35     8.96    13.37     0.99    16.58     4.18P    0.04R    0.00  
Eastleigh        12   19   +2       3.52    76.13     3.63    58.81     9.64   -10.22     0.07     1.95     0.35P    2.64R    0.25  
Aldershot        12   16   +1      -2.29    31.77    -1.95    69.03     8.97    11.22     0.52    11.17     2.92P    0.10R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     12   16   -3       1.79    65.44     0.61    65.13     9.12     0.90     0.17     5.04     0.86P    0.46R    0.01  
Welling          12   13   -4      -1.57    37.48    -0.97    56.28     8.78    -8.94     0.01     0.47     0.06P    3.41R    0.29  
Chester          12   13  -10       2.38    71.79    -0.63    51.26     8.68   -23.49     0.00     0.13     0.02P   10.79R    1.53  
Dartford         12   12   -6      -1.88    35.05    -1.90    49.54     8.65   -20.24     0.00     0.06     0.00P   13.73R    1.82  
Dover_Athletic   12   10  -12      -0.85    44.52    -2.64    43.02     8.97   -34.14     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.53R   10.07  
Alfreton_Town    12   10  -15      -3.67    21.14    -9.79    45.44     8.80   -34.93     0.00     0.02     0.01P   28.96R    5.69  
Southport        12    8  -12      -4.72    14.83    -5.85    44.30     8.62   -28.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.24R    6.72  
Nuneaton         12    8  -14      -4.43    15.59    -7.88    45.75     8.52   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00P   26.23R    4.92  
Altrincham       12    8  -17      -2.17    33.67    -5.60    35.67     8.65   -52.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.87R   36.10  
AFC_Telford      12    6  -16      -4.17    17.66    -3.56    36.41     9.05   -47.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.74R   32.58