Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 28 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 September 2014, West_Brom 4 0 Burnley; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 6 16 +12 3.49 89.01 4.72 84.98 8.34 54.40 56.08 84.01 93.49 97.35 99.53 0.00 0.00 Southampton 6 13 +7 3.48 85.45 5.14 59.54 8.99 9.84 0.46 2.55 8.16 17.69 43.59 0.26R 0.02 Man_City 6 11 +5 -1.09 35.94 -1.57 81.28 8.19 51.41 33.44 73.02 88.12 94.49 98.82 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 6 10 +4 -0.66 41.76 0.21 69.47 8.99 28.57 4.31 16.40 40.14 59.86 83.44 0.02R 0.00 Swansea 6 10 +2 2.08 74.12 2.82 54.31 9.06 1.49 0.09 0.67 2.80 7.18 23.17 1.44R 0.14 Aston_Villa 6 10 -3 4.04 90.56 1.24 45.24 8.62 -17.74 0.00 0.02 0.18 0.70 4.05 10.63R 1.74 Man_Utd 6 8 +2 -4.13 10.63 -4.26 63.40 9.08 19.85 1.36 5.95 17.32 32.46 61.89 0.10R 0.01 Tottenham 6 8 +1 -1.32 35.37 -0.56 56.85 9.00 7.53 0.22 1.21 4.65 11.04 32.63 0.75R 0.06 Crystal_Palace 6 8 +0 1.46 69.20 2.83 40.08 8.27 -20.01 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.15 1.03 24.32R 5.32 West_Brom 6 8 +0 0.54 58.03 1.30 46.57 8.76 -10.51 0.01 0.08 0.37 1.15 5.55 8.06R 1.16 Leicester 6 8 -1 2.02 74.92 3.10 47.26 9.44 -10.59 0.01 0.12 0.61 1.78 7.82 8.80R 1.61 West_Ham 6 7 +0 -0.05 51.12 2.04 46.78 8.87 -8.18 0.01 0.07 0.38 1.23 6.19 7.84R 1.32 Liverpool 6 7 -1 -3.37 16.17 -4.42 68.40 8.97 28.59 3.61 13.55 35.13 55.28 80.90 0.02R 0.00 Everton 6 6 -2 -2.80 20.56 -2.72 59.56 9.14 12.41 0.40 2.30 8.36 18.59 45.13 0.36R 0.03 Hull 6 6 -2 -0.77 41.60 0.44 37.25 8.22 -23.72 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.55 36.34R 9.79 Sunderland 6 5 -1 -2.36 25.06 0.31 40.42 8.50 -15.84 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.20 1.32 23.21R 4.87 Stoke 5 5 -1 -1.56 30.92 -0.24 43.74 8.80 -11.39 0.00 0.02 0.18 0.62 3.29 13.73R 2.43 QPR 6 4 -9 -1.27 36.11 -4.04 30.23 8.07 -40.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 71.16R 37.43 Newcastle 5 3 -6 -2.73 16.96 -3.75 37.70 8.85 -26.22 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.12 0.84 36.07R 11.10 Burnley 6 3 -7 -2.41 22.05 -2.57 33.11 8.36 -29.83 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.20 56.90R 22.98Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 September 2014, Reading 3 3 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 9 20 +12 3.86 82.24 6.06 87.11 10.28 37.07 44.04 63.31 90.30 71.98P 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 9 19 +10 4.72 87.05 7.08 76.02 9.88 19.56 8.78 20.37 59.58 29.56P 0.11R 0.00 Wolverhampton 9 18 +5 3.83 81.81 2.33 76.65 10.17 16.88 9.77 22.10 61.10 32.66P 0.11R 0.01 Watford 9 17 +7 2.12 69.31 3.07 75.06 10.08 18.24 7.52 18.21 55.86 27.77P 0.12R 0.01 Ipswich 9 17 +6 3.98 83.63 4.93 70.60 9.74 10.50 2.83 8.07 37.14 14.40P 0.44R 0.04 Derby 9 16 +7 1.00 59.05 2.80 78.40 9.86 24.99 13.32 28.18 69.38 40.19P 0.07R 0.01 Middlesbrough 9 16 +6 2.04 68.56 3.52 70.89 9.70 12.37 3.33 8.79 38.79 16.21P 0.38R 0.02 Charlton 9 15 +3 3.52 80.42 3.99 61.86 9.58 -2.43 0.38 1.33 11.10 3.22P 3.96R 0.53 Sheff_Wed 9 15 +3 3.34 79.50 3.83 66.28 9.72 3.98 1.14 3.55 22.40 7.33P 1.45R 0.17 Blackburn 9 14 +0 1.63 65.76 0.13 68.50 10.09 5.52 1.98 5.90 30.27 11.46P 1.16R 0.12 Reading 9 14 +0 0.20 51.98 -2.29 70.62 10.02 8.76 3.36 8.51 38.00 15.77P 0.70R 0.06 Brentford 9 14 -2 3.00 76.97 -0.12 55.30 9.87 -16.47 0.08 0.31 3.72 0.90P 15.52R 3.16 Leeds_United 9 13 -2 1.40 64.05 -0.82 58.60 9.66 -10.13 0.17 0.68 6.43 1.73P 8.11R 1.31 Bournemouth 9 12 +3 -0.38 46.78 3.22 61.07 9.90 0.22 0.31 1.21 11.04 3.13P 5.16R 0.84 Cardiff 9 12 +0 -0.54 45.53 -0.30 67.40 10.34 7.07 1.82 5.32 27.30 10.97P 1.62R 0.19 Millwall 9 11 -1 0.41 55.44 1.59 51.62 9.27 -15.56 0.01 0.08 1.32 0.29P 23.55R 5.38 Brighton 9 9 -2 -4.65 12.72 -3.96 63.15 9.60 3.57 0.48 1.72 14.04 5.10P 2.99R 0.40 Wigan 9 8 -2 -5.63 8.52 -3.93 63.02 9.76 4.54 0.53 1.82 14.49 5.12P 3.35R 0.51 Rotherham 9 8 -6 -0.62 46.07 0.06 44.43 9.67 -29.32 0.00 0.02 0.30 0.08P 54.52R 23.01 Huddersfield 9 8 -10 -1.93 32.73 -5.92 48.15 9.39 -27.10 0.01 0.03 0.52 0.10P 38.82R 12.62 Birmingham 9 7 -8 -3.34 20.79 -4.70 49.80 9.75 -21.02 0.02 0.07 1.09 0.28P 32.16R 9.66 Bolton 9 5 -8 -6.20 5.43 -6.32 52.53 9.73 -13.03 0.02 0.11 1.93 0.53P 22.11R 5.35 Fulham 9 4 -12 -7.07 3.75 -9.72 54.46 10.55 -12.97 0.09 0.31 3.83 1.21P 18.69R 4.87 Blackpool 9 2 -9 -7.14 1.97 -4.52 41.59 9.15 -25.23 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 64.91R 31.72League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, Barnsley 0 3 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 10 24 +12 6.99 94.27 6.93 84.22 9.90 28.69 30.80 50.07 86.13 59.02P 0.02R 0.00 Peterborough 10 19 +5 2.11 67.70 0.24 78.38 9.91 20.21 12.98 27.05 69.02 38.58P 0.16R 0.00 Swindon 9 18 +10 1.84 66.29 4.10 79.38 10.20 26.00 16.70 31.84 72.59 43.24P 0.14R 0.00 MK_Dons 9 16 +9 1.10 59.77 5.02 76.32 10.40 23.75 10.73 22.31 62.13 32.66P 0.44R 0.02 Rochdale 10 16 +8 2.68 72.37 8.70 65.57 10.59 7.79 1.64 4.28 23.64 8.14P 5.30R 0.30 Preston 9 16 +7 0.52 54.27 2.39 78.43 10.21 24.63 14.38 28.63 69.57 40.66P 0.20R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 9 16 +0 3.20 77.75 -0.76 72.77 9.90 9.13 4.52 11.30 46.52 19.76P 0.86R 0.03 Chesterfield 9 15 +4 2.48 71.75 3.78 66.34 10.60 4.77 1.80 4.78 25.33 9.10P 4.66R 0.29 Bradford 10 15 +2 2.04 68.21 3.00 63.15 9.57 0.67 0.50 1.72 14.49 4.08P 6.34R 0.32 Oldham 10 14 +1 1.02 60.00 1.89 59.48 9.48 -4.12 0.18 0.64 7.68 1.97P 12.07R 0.84 Fleetwood_Town 10 13 +1 1.64 65.60 4.31 52.58 9.73 -13.04 0.04 0.14 2.26 0.49P 34.43R 4.36 Crawley_Town 10 13 -6 1.40 63.76 -3.17 57.42 9.41 -12.30 0.08 0.37 4.73 1.19P 18.05R 1.50 Gillingham 10 12 -2 0.40 54.79 1.35 55.35 9.70 -11.56 0.07 0.24 3.64 0.78P 24.59R 2.49 Coventry 10 12 -2 -1.51 37.73 -1.62 62.78 9.96 0.00 0.53 1.77 14.35 4.59P 7.77R 0.44 Yeovil 10 12 -4 -2.23 31.73 -4.88 59.31 10.15 -7.13 0.28 0.94 8.74 2.73P 14.65R 1.20 Notts_County 9 11 +1 -0.98 41.62 1.57 62.35 10.12 2.05 0.57 1.81 14.36 4.57P 8.33R 0.58 Walsall 10 11 -1 -2.98 25.46 -1.54 59.66 9.46 -1.32 0.20 0.69 7.96 2.31P 11.42R 0.79 Doncaster 9 11 -5 -1.22 39.51 -4.89 61.33 10.52 -5.33 0.60 1.73 12.82 4.25P 11.31R 0.89 Leyton_Orient 9 10 -1 -4.87 12.30 -4.75 69.58 10.04 12.32 2.70 7.47 35.75 15.87P 1.85R 0.06 Colchester 10 9 -1 -3.40 22.13 0.84 54.99 9.74 -5.92 0.05 0.22 3.68 0.98P 24.92R 2.48 Barnsley 9 9 -3 -4.50 15.28 -4.69 60.87 10.81 -1.46 0.63 1.91 13.04 4.71P 12.54R 1.11 Port_Vale 10 9 -6 -2.56 28.68 -2.58 50.34 9.59 -19.07 0.02 0.07 1.20 0.24P 43.48R 7.02 Scunthorpe 10 7 -13 -2.64 27.84 -6.19 44.48 9.93 -32.75 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.08P 67.38R 21.01 Crewe 9 4 -16 -4.37 13.06 -9.06 37.06 9.31 -46.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 89.10R 54.28League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 10 22 +4 7.20 95.05 2.36 73.75 9.34 8.14 10.60 32.39 65.54 39.89P 0.20R 0.05 Wycombe 10 21 +7 6.76 94.22 6.02 72.11 9.37 10.17 8.14 26.96 59.42 34.30P 0.31R 0.09 Bury 10 20 +8 3.91 81.13 4.44 78.05 9.62 21.18 23.23 52.16 80.65 60.23P 0.06R 0.01 Southend 10 20 +5 3.97 81.77 1.56 78.45 9.37 18.47 23.44 53.11 82.13 61.56P 0.03R 0.00 Northampton 10 17 +5 3.10 76.19 4.67 64.98 9.45 3.14 2.11 9.55 31.04 14.06P 2.20R 0.82 Morecambe 10 16 +3 2.18 69.13 2.80 62.77 9.43 -0.33 1.28 6.31 23.38 9.90P 3.82R 1.49 Shrewsbury 10 15 +4 -1.25 38.81 0.18 73.53 9.77 17.49 11.59 34.32 65.92 44.49P 0.25R 0.07 Portsmouth 10 15 +2 0.26 52.83 0.37 66.68 9.59 5.69 3.10 12.95 37.87 18.92P 1.62R 0.54 Cheltenham 10 15 +1 1.62 65.18 1.27 63.67 9.35 0.76 1.42 7.02 25.76 11.23P 2.95R 1.20 Luton 10 15 +1 1.45 63.52 1.00 63.15 9.73 0.14 1.57 7.12 24.98 11.35P 3.98R 1.62 Mansfield 10 15 -3 2.87 75.35 -0.62 57.45 9.25 -12.98 0.29 1.83 9.60 3.31P 11.48R 5.21 AFC_Wimbledon 10 14 +0 1.77 66.65 2.28 59.41 9.56 -6.15 0.58 3.28 14.70 5.50P 8.19R 3.75 Stevenage 10 14 +0 -1.07 40.71 -2.08 70.57 10.06 10.96 7.26 23.99 53.96 32.81P 0.88R 0.31 Plymouth 10 13 +3 -0.17 49.33 3.58 61.71 9.40 2.79 0.89 5.00 20.54 8.66P 4.73R 1.96 Newport_County 10 13 +1 0.55 56.06 2.85 57.78 9.44 -5.57 0.35 2.24 11.00 3.99P 10.70R 4.85 Accrington_Stanley 10 13 -5 1.14 61.12 -2.10 58.63 9.72 -10.89 0.49 2.80 12.65 4.74P 10.48R 4.84 Exeter 10 12 -3 -1.35 38.44 -2.56 60.22 9.44 -4.32 0.70 3.73 16.18 6.62P 6.68R 2.83 Cambridge_Utd 10 11 +2 -0.91 43.14 4.52 51.90 9.60 -10.13 0.09 0.66 4.17 1.41P 27.37R 15.23 Dag_&_Red 10 11 -4 -1.86 34.02 -2.76 54.59 9.49 -12.75 0.19 1.16 6.16 2.21P 18.90R 9.65 Tranmere 10 9 -2 -6.55 6.92 -4.78 64.07 10.00 6.81 2.16 9.47 29.65 15.81P 3.61R 1.50 York 10 9 -4 -3.89 17.96 -3.01 56.95 9.31 -5.13 0.23 1.63 9.35 3.45P 11.72R 5.37 Hartlepool 10 8 -9 -3.91 17.86 -6.70 53.51 9.25 -13.72 0.09 0.64 4.55 1.54P 21.96R 11.41 Oxford_Utd 10 7 -4 -6.23 6.96 -3.57 54.78 9.44 -5.72 0.13 1.02 6.58 2.40P 17.41R 8.83 Carlisle 10 6 -12 -6.16 7.50 -9.72 51.60 10.16 -18.06 0.10 0.68 4.25 1.61P 30.48R 18.36Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, AFC_Telford 4 3 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 12 28 +23 4.31 82.46 11.37 87.29 8.89 43.28 26.89 80.14 41.09P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 12 24 +13 3.41 76.19 5.99 81.89 9.11 31.36 10.97 59.24 21.90P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 12 24 +13 0.27 51.01 1.48 87.29 9.09 39.92 27.12 79.13 44.08P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 12 23 +4 1.69 63.49 -3.75 84.19 9.10 26.70 15.18 67.19 30.12P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 12 22 +5 2.98 73.49 0.64 74.92 9.07 14.98 2.39 28.06 7.51P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 12 22 +3 3.39 76.09 -0.24 74.40 8.94 12.49 1.93 25.60 6.43P 0.01R 0.00 Woking 12 21 +8 3.69 78.28 6.76 70.56 9.21 12.84 0.98 15.41 3.28P 0.08R 0.00 Kidderminster 12 21 +7 0.79 56.43 1.02 74.04 8.94 17.12 1.99 24.93 7.11P 0.02R 0.00 Macclesfield 12 20 +5 2.12 67.02 2.80 68.57 8.86 8.51 0.43 10.08 2.16P 0.09R 0.00 Grimsby 12 19 +14 -1.98 33.16 6.66 81.23 8.83 38.52 9.33 57.67 23.53P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 12 19 +7 0.19 51.27 3.39 71.44 8.89 16.41 1.03 17.11 4.41P 0.04R 0.00 Forest_Green 12 19 +4 0.27 52.25 0.42 71.35 8.96 13.37 0.99 16.58 4.18P 0.04R 0.00 Eastleigh 12 19 +2 3.52 76.13 3.63 58.81 9.64 -10.22 0.07 1.95 0.35P 2.64R 0.25 Aldershot 12 16 +1 -2.29 31.77 -1.95 69.03 8.97 11.22 0.52 11.17 2.92P 0.10R 0.00 Lincoln_City 12 16 -3 1.79 65.44 0.61 65.13 9.12 0.90 0.17 5.04 0.86P 0.46R 0.01 Welling 12 13 -4 -1.57 37.48 -0.97 56.28 8.78 -8.94 0.01 0.47 0.06P 3.41R 0.29 Chester 12 13 -10 2.38 71.79 -0.63 51.26 8.68 -23.49 0.00 0.13 0.02P 10.79R 1.53 Dartford 12 12 -6 -1.88 35.05 -1.90 49.54 8.65 -20.24 0.00 0.06 0.00P 13.73R 1.82 Dover_Athletic 12 10 -12 -0.85 44.52 -2.64 43.02 8.97 -34.14 0.00 0.01 0.00 39.53R 10.07 Alfreton_Town 12 10 -15 -3.67 21.14 -9.79 45.44 8.80 -34.93 0.00 0.02 0.01P 28.96R 5.69 Southport 12 8 -12 -4.72 14.83 -5.85 44.30 8.62 -28.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.24R 6.72 Nuneaton 12 8 -14 -4.43 15.59 -7.88 45.75 8.52 -26.80 0.00 0.00 0.00P 26.23R 4.92 Altrincham 12 8 -17 -2.17 33.67 -5.60 35.67 8.65 -52.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.87R 36.10 AFC_Telford 12 6 -16 -4.17 17.66 -3.56 36.41 9.05 -47.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.74R 32.58