Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 27 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 6 16 +12 3.55 89.03 4.91 85.05 8.30 54.36 56.62 84.31 93.74 97.46 99.64 0.00 0.00 Southampton 6 13 +7 3.40 84.80 5.02 59.45 9.06 9.67 0.43 2.37 8.07 17.69 44.11 0.32R 0.02 Man_City 6 11 +5 -1.11 35.83 -1.62 81.30 8.24 51.01 33.14 73.13 88.07 94.54 98.75 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 6 10 +4 -0.67 41.62 0.19 69.47 8.89 28.55 4.26 15.92 39.91 59.82 84.12 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 6 10 +2 2.10 74.63 2.83 54.39 9.04 1.62 0.08 0.64 2.92 7.35 23.60 1.40R 0.16 Aston_Villa 6 10 -3 4.02 90.59 1.15 45.27 8.52 -17.55 0.00 0.02 0.17 0.66 4.04 10.68R 1.80 Man_Utd 6 8 +2 -4.09 10.97 -4.14 63.64 9.12 20.18 1.46 6.34 18.21 33.80 63.47 0.10R 0.00 Tottenham 6 8 +1 -1.41 34.21 -0.67 56.66 9.04 7.25 0.17 1.17 4.65 11.08 32.83 0.75R 0.06 Crystal_Palace 6 8 +0 1.52 69.87 2.88 40.20 8.25 -19.63 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.15 1.11 24.69R 5.60 Leicester 6 8 -1 2.08 75.68 3.17 47.17 9.34 -10.63 0.02 0.12 0.61 1.82 7.61 9.06R 1.80 West_Ham 6 7 +0 -0.07 50.76 2.02 46.77 8.71 -8.03 0.01 0.06 0.36 1.14 5.89 7.81R 1.33 Liverpool 6 7 -1 -3.35 16.15 -4.37 68.32 8.97 28.19 3.48 13.69 34.97 55.29 81.29 0.02R 0.00 Everton 6 6 -2 -2.83 19.88 -2.76 59.29 9.05 11.88 0.33 2.16 7.90 17.66 44.26 0.39R 0.03 Hull 6 6 -2 -0.74 42.22 0.54 36.92 8.20 -24.21 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.53 39.17R 11.16 Sunderland 6 5 -1 -2.37 24.79 0.29 40.38 8.47 -15.75 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.14 1.23 24.01R 5.38 Stoke 5 5 -1 -1.56 30.90 -0.28 43.52 8.73 -11.59 0.00 0.02 0.14 0.57 3.20 14.54R 2.78 West_Brom 5 5 -4 -0.37 47.81 -1.64 43.00 8.79 -17.63 0.00 0.03 0.15 0.53 2.78 16.89R 3.82 QPR 6 4 -9 -1.24 36.76 -4.07 30.10 8.10 -40.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 72.38R 40.53 Burnley 5 3 -3 -1.80 26.85 0.19 36.77 8.83 -21.35 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.66 40.00R 13.35 Newcastle 5 3 -6 -2.65 17.83 -3.63 37.51 8.84 -26.33 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.13 0.82 37.76R 12.16Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, Birmingham 1 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 9 20 +12 3.93 82.50 6.18 86.79 10.24 36.56 43.11 61.71 89.75 70.53P 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 9 19 +10 4.73 86.76 7.13 75.96 9.99 19.47 9.05 20.54 59.57 29.87P 0.09R 0.01 Watford 9 17 +7 2.07 68.83 3.00 75.04 10.13 18.29 7.70 18.42 55.88 27.97P 0.18R 0.02 Ipswich 9 17 +6 4.02 83.89 4.98 70.51 9.81 10.40 2.89 8.12 37.45 14.67P 0.46R 0.05 Wolverhampton 8 17 +5 4.22 85.74 2.34 76.30 10.33 15.86 9.39 21.34 59.52 31.45P 0.13R 0.02 Derby 9 16 +7 0.99 58.95 2.80 78.44 9.85 24.99 13.45 28.43 69.32 40.62P 0.04R 0.00 Middlesbrough 9 16 +6 2.03 68.69 3.53 71.02 9.76 12.54 3.44 9.21 39.34 16.51P 0.39R 0.03 Charlton 9 15 +3 3.51 80.35 3.95 61.85 9.57 -2.35 0.37 1.28 11.21 3.17P 3.95R 0.51 Sheff_Wed 9 15 +3 3.40 79.91 3.91 65.94 9.68 3.49 0.96 3.27 21.15 6.91P 1.51R 0.17 Blackburn 9 14 +0 1.64 65.41 0.10 68.41 10.15 5.37 2.10 5.95 30.03 11.29P 1.28R 0.11 Brentford 9 14 -2 2.97 76.79 -0.17 55.61 9.85 -15.78 0.07 0.32 4.03 0.95P 14.71R 3.01 Reading 8 13 +0 0.71 57.29 -2.10 71.17 10.34 9.09 3.99 10.05 40.36 17.63P 0.69R 0.09 Leeds_United 9 13 -2 1.39 63.83 -0.83 58.64 9.66 -9.95 0.18 0.63 6.54 1.71P 8.03R 1.32 Bournemouth 9 12 +3 -0.45 45.99 3.09 61.39 9.87 0.83 0.36 1.41 11.41 3.53P 4.67R 0.71 Cardiff 9 12 +0 -0.52 45.77 -0.28 67.08 10.40 6.68 1.72 5.15 26.54 10.50P 1.92R 0.27 Millwall 9 11 -1 0.40 55.32 1.57 51.82 9.25 -15.25 0.03 0.08 1.32 0.29P 23.29R 5.26 Brighton 9 9 -2 -4.65 12.46 -3.97 63.14 9.59 3.68 0.52 1.70 14.39 5.03P 2.85R 0.34 Wigan 9 8 -2 -5.63 8.37 -3.91 62.97 9.74 4.57 0.55 1.85 14.43 5.20P 3.42R 0.44 Rotherham 9 8 -6 -0.63 45.76 0.05 44.39 9.62 -29.32 0.00 0.01 0.32 0.06P 54.81R 23.64 Huddersfield 9 8 -10 -1.83 33.64 -5.81 47.91 9.49 -27.49 0.00 0.02 0.55 0.12P 40.13R 13.11 Birmingham 9 7 -8 -3.32 20.68 -4.72 49.81 9.63 -20.89 0.01 0.04 1.01 0.21P 31.93R 9.35 Bolton 9 5 -8 -6.19 5.73 -6.36 52.54 9.78 -12.97 0.03 0.14 2.02 0.61P 22.53R 5.40 Fulham 9 4 -12 -7.18 3.50 -9.90 54.56 10.42 -12.83 0.08 0.31 3.80 1.19P 18.28R 4.61 Blackpool 9 2 -9 -7.15 1.92 -4.58 41.68 9.19 -24.98 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 64.71R 31.52League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, Barnsley 0 3 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 10 24 +12 7.04 94.50 6.95 84.21 9.97 28.70 30.68 49.93 85.77 58.85P 0.02R 0.00 Peterborough 10 19 +5 2.09 67.39 0.24 78.44 9.88 20.29 13.23 27.27 69.60 38.75P 0.18R 0.00 Swindon 9 18 +10 1.89 66.84 4.18 79.14 10.12 25.63 16.12 30.91 71.81 42.22P 0.14R 0.00 MK_Dons 9 16 +9 1.07 59.55 4.97 76.35 10.34 23.83 10.56 22.40 61.97 32.96P 0.40R 0.00 Rochdale 10 16 +8 2.61 71.61 8.60 65.82 10.55 8.25 1.60 4.39 24.23 8.56P 5.14R 0.27 Preston 9 16 +7 0.47 53.84 2.29 78.61 10.11 24.87 14.64 28.94 70.27 41.21P 0.18R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 9 16 +0 3.16 77.59 -0.79 72.91 9.93 9.30 4.51 11.51 47.22 19.99P 0.85R 0.02 Chesterfield 9 15 +4 2.49 71.81 3.78 66.45 10.57 5.01 1.92 4.84 25.66 9.15P 4.49R 0.27 Bradford 10 15 +2 1.99 67.98 2.89 63.34 9.65 0.88 0.56 1.73 14.94 4.44P 6.18R 0.32 Oldham 10 14 +1 1.04 60.31 1.95 59.24 9.50 -4.38 0.22 0.66 7.36 1.87P 12.71R 0.81 Fleetwood_Town 10 13 +1 1.60 65.37 4.29 52.84 9.70 -12.69 0.05 0.16 2.30 0.53P 33.07R 3.97 Crawley_Town 10 13 -6 1.34 63.32 -3.27 57.72 9.38 -11.90 0.11 0.42 5.03 1.25P 17.08R 1.39 Gillingham 10 12 -2 0.50 55.62 1.49 55.01 9.63 -12.12 0.05 0.25 3.35 0.75P 25.59R 2.50 Coventry 10 12 -2 -1.49 37.69 -1.57 62.75 9.93 -0.06 0.52 1.75 14.39 4.60P 7.67R 0.56 Yeovil 10 12 -4 -2.25 31.73 -4.92 59.49 10.17 -6.82 0.35 1.08 9.04 2.93P 13.96R 1.08 Notts_County 9 11 +1 -0.96 41.93 1.62 62.14 10.05 1.78 0.50 1.56 13.59 4.09P 8.57R 0.59 Walsall 10 11 -1 -2.90 25.80 -1.46 59.47 9.48 -1.59 0.18 0.70 7.63 2.24P 12.07R 0.91 Doncaster 9 11 -5 -1.21 39.57 -4.84 61.13 10.52 -5.58 0.63 1.70 12.22 4.13P 11.62R 1.00 Leyton_Orient 9 10 -1 -4.94 12.21 -4.83 69.74 10.14 12.58 3.00 7.89 36.52 16.22P 1.89R 0.11 Colchester 10 9 -1 -3.32 22.76 0.97 54.64 9.61 -6.43 0.05 0.20 3.19 0.75P 25.61R 2.78 Barnsley 9 9 -3 -4.42 15.66 -4.56 60.57 10.69 -1.87 0.51 1.64 12.24 4.18P 12.76R 1.12 Port_Vale 10 9 -6 -2.58 28.59 -2.62 50.25 9.64 -19.21 0.02 0.07 1.17 0.23P 43.80R 7.16 Scunthorpe 10 7 -13 -2.68 27.70 -6.24 44.74 10.01 -32.38 0.00 0.03 0.43 0.09P 66.76R 20.61 Crewe 9 4 -16 -4.41 12.68 -9.13 37.08 9.21 -46.09 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 89.25R 54.51League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 10 22 +4 7.22 95.04 2.40 73.64 9.39 8.01 10.42 31.96 65.25 39.61P 0.23R 0.07 Wycombe 10 21 +7 6.76 94.14 6.03 72.18 9.41 10.27 8.25 27.38 59.98 34.69P 0.32R 0.11 Bury 10 20 +8 3.89 80.91 4.36 78.35 9.68 21.64 24.31 53.24 81.68 61.27P 0.07R 0.02 Southend 10 20 +5 4.01 81.97 1.60 78.37 9.35 18.36 22.98 52.97 82.15 61.40P 0.05R 0.01 Northampton 10 17 +5 3.09 75.81 4.65 64.83 9.56 2.93 2.13 9.56 30.56 14.20P 2.41R 0.88 Morecambe 10 16 +3 2.22 69.68 2.86 62.61 9.39 -0.53 1.20 5.96 22.88 9.54P 3.95R 1.57 Shrewsbury 10 15 +4 -1.13 39.70 0.30 73.34 9.85 17.20 11.29 33.43 65.20 43.51P 0.33R 0.10 Portsmouth 10 15 +2 0.37 53.80 0.49 66.39 9.61 5.22 2.76 12.26 37.08 18.29P 1.87R 0.67 Cheltenham 10 15 +1 1.62 65.22 1.26 63.68 9.36 0.74 1.40 6.92 26.28 11.23P 3.05R 1.14 Luton 10 15 +1 1.41 63.06 0.94 63.33 9.75 0.37 1.66 7.41 25.89 11.81P 3.80R 1.49 Mansfield 10 15 -3 2.88 75.46 -0.64 57.49 9.29 -12.90 0.30 1.87 9.74 3.38P 11.69R 5.26 AFC_Wimbledon 10 14 +0 1.70 65.89 2.22 59.39 9.56 -6.23 0.53 3.13 14.28 5.23P 8.51R 3.83 Stevenage 10 14 +0 -1.15 40.19 -2.17 70.84 10.18 11.35 7.47 25.23 55.31 34.13P 0.94R 0.37 Plymouth 10 13 +3 -0.17 49.26 3.59 61.50 9.31 2.54 0.84 4.62 19.80 7.95P 4.78R 1.92 Newport_County 10 13 +1 0.57 56.19 2.89 57.52 9.43 -5.93 0.32 2.08 10.51 3.77P 11.46R 5.31 Accrington_Stanley 10 13 -5 1.12 61.33 -2.13 58.88 9.58 -10.56 0.48 2.82 12.78 4.86P 9.69R 4.59 Exeter 10 12 -3 -1.31 38.96 -2.48 60.15 9.52 -4.48 0.68 3.68 15.91 6.66P 7.30R 3.19 Cambridge_Utd 10 11 +2 -0.99 42.39 4.40 52.09 9.52 -9.76 0.09 0.68 4.22 1.39P 26.40R 14.68 Dag_&_Red 10 11 -4 -1.86 34.15 -2.71 54.45 9.44 -13.02 0.15 1.03 5.85 1.95P 19.16R 9.95 Tranmere 10 9 -2 -6.58 6.81 -4.82 64.32 9.97 7.07 2.21 9.81 30.69 16.44P 3.31R 1.36 York 10 9 -4 -3.84 18.34 -2.96 56.88 9.24 -5.22 0.23 1.62 8.87 3.32P 11.88R 5.62 Hartlepool 10 8 -9 -3.91 17.95 -6.67 53.42 9.18 -13.86 0.06 0.58 4.37 1.42P 21.92R 11.55 Oxford_Utd 10 7 -4 -6.31 6.60 -3.66 54.94 9.36 -5.46 0.16 1.09 6.51 2.43P 16.62R 8.48 Carlisle 10 6 -12 -6.16 7.49 -9.75 51.73 10.00 -17.77 0.08 0.68 4.21 1.50P 30.27R 17.85Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, AFC_Telford 4 3 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 12 28 +23 4.26 81.96 11.30 87.49 8.86 43.50 27.12 80.55 41.65P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 12 24 +13 3.42 76.53 6.00 81.84 9.10 31.31 10.42 58.68 21.15P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 12 24 +13 0.21 50.65 1.40 87.30 9.08 39.99 26.97 79.12 43.56P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 12 23 +4 1.61 62.61 -3.89 84.43 9.18 27.11 15.79 68.25 31.39P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 12 22 +5 2.95 73.02 0.59 74.85 9.04 14.87 2.35 27.70 7.11P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 12 22 +3 3.32 75.34 -0.32 74.53 9.01 12.67 2.13 26.05 6.81P 0.02R 0.00 Woking 12 21 +8 3.66 78.08 6.76 70.57 9.17 12.78 0.96 15.26 3.51P 0.06R 0.01 Kidderminster 12 21 +7 0.73 55.62 0.91 74.10 9.03 17.19 2.00 25.47 7.14P 0.02R 0.00 Macclesfield 12 20 +5 2.17 67.17 2.90 68.37 8.86 8.22 0.41 9.59 2.01P 0.09R 0.00 Grimsby 12 19 +14 -1.95 33.40 6.70 81.16 8.91 38.41 9.08 57.35 23.06P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 12 19 +7 0.22 51.91 3.40 71.35 8.90 16.27 1.00 16.76 4.38P 0.02R 0.00 Forest_Green 12 19 +4 0.31 52.61 0.49 71.32 9.02 13.28 1.05 16.85 4.24P 0.04R 0.00 Eastleigh 12 19 +2 3.51 75.45 3.62 58.78 9.67 -10.21 0.08 1.84 0.32P 2.86R 0.30 Aldershot 12 16 +1 -2.34 31.20 -2.00 69.07 8.90 11.27 0.47 10.83 2.66P 0.08R 0.00 Lincoln_City 12 16 -3 1.82 65.48 0.71 64.97 9.17 0.65 0.16 5.06 0.89P 0.45R 0.02 Welling 12 13 -4 -1.49 38.17 -0.83 56.11 8.79 -9.26 0.00 0.45 0.07P 3.68R 0.30 Chester 12 13 -10 2.36 71.89 -0.65 51.37 8.76 -23.38 0.00 0.09 0.02P 11.14R 1.64 Dartford 12 12 -6 -1.78 35.68 -1.77 49.55 8.60 -20.27 0.00 0.05 0.01P 13.78R 1.91 Dover_Athletic 12 10 -12 -0.85 44.61 -2.63 43.08 8.97 -34.04 0.00 0.01 0.00P 39.50R 9.95 Alfreton_Town 12 10 -15 -3.70 21.02 -9.79 45.58 8.83 -34.76 0.00 0.02 0.00P 28.52R 5.59 Southport 12 8 -12 -4.76 14.49 -5.91 44.32 8.49 -28.67 0.00 0.02 0.00 31.89R 6.49 Nuneaton 12 8 -14 -4.43 15.50 -7.88 45.90 8.52 -26.69 0.00 0.01 0.00P 25.68R 4.63 Altrincham 12 8 -17 -2.14 33.55 -5.55 35.53 8.65 -52.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.08R 36.86 AFC_Telford 12 6 -16 -4.14 17.54 -3.55 36.40 9.05 -47.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.07R 32.30