Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 27 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, Arsenal 1 1 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           6   16  +12       3.55    89.03     4.91    85.05     8.30    54.36    56.62    84.31    93.74    97.46    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Southampton       6   13   +7       3.40    84.80     5.02    59.45     9.06     9.67     0.43     2.37     8.07    17.69    44.11     0.32R    0.02  
Man_City          6   11   +5      -1.11    35.83    -1.62    81.30     8.24    51.01    33.14    73.13    88.07    94.54    98.75     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           6   10   +4      -0.67    41.62     0.19    69.47     8.89    28.55     4.26    15.92    39.91    59.82    84.12     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea           6   10   +2       2.10    74.63     2.83    54.39     9.04     1.62     0.08     0.64     2.92     7.35    23.60     1.40R    0.16  
Aston_Villa       6   10   -3       4.02    90.59     1.15    45.27     8.52   -17.55     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.66     4.04    10.68R    1.80  
Man_Utd           6    8   +2      -4.09    10.97    -4.14    63.64     9.12    20.18     1.46     6.34    18.21    33.80    63.47     0.10R    0.00  
Tottenham         6    8   +1      -1.41    34.21    -0.67    56.66     9.04     7.25     0.17     1.17     4.65    11.08    32.83     0.75R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace    6    8   +0       1.52    69.87     2.88    40.20     8.25   -19.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.11    24.69R    5.60  
Leicester         6    8   -1       2.08    75.68     3.17    47.17     9.34   -10.63     0.02     0.12     0.61     1.82     7.61     9.06R    1.80  
West_Ham          6    7   +0      -0.07    50.76     2.02    46.77     8.71    -8.03     0.01     0.06     0.36     1.14     5.89     7.81R    1.33  
Liverpool         6    7   -1      -3.35    16.15    -4.37    68.32     8.97    28.19     3.48    13.69    34.97    55.29    81.29     0.02R    0.00  
Everton           6    6   -2      -2.83    19.88    -2.76    59.29     9.05    11.88     0.33     2.16     7.90    17.66    44.26     0.39R    0.03  
Hull              6    6   -2      -0.74    42.22     0.54    36.92     8.20   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.53    39.17R   11.16  
Sunderland        6    5   -1      -2.37    24.79     0.29    40.38     8.47   -15.75     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.14     1.23    24.01R    5.38  
Stoke             5    5   -1      -1.56    30.90    -0.28    43.52     8.73   -11.59     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.57     3.20    14.54R    2.78  
West_Brom         5    5   -4      -0.37    47.81    -1.64    43.00     8.79   -17.63     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.53     2.78    16.89R    3.82  
QPR               6    4   -9      -1.24    36.76    -4.07    30.10     8.10   -40.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    72.38R   40.53  
Burnley           5    3   -3      -1.80    26.85     0.19    36.77     8.83   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.66    40.00R   13.35  
Newcastle         5    3   -6      -2.65    17.83    -3.63    37.51     8.84   -26.33     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.13     0.82    37.76R   12.16  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, Birmingham 1 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich          9   20  +12       3.93    82.50     6.18    86.79    10.24    36.56    43.11    61.71    89.75    70.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    9   19  +10       4.73    86.76     7.13    75.96     9.99    19.47     9.05    20.54    59.57    29.87P    0.09R    0.01  
Watford          9   17   +7       2.07    68.83     3.00    75.04    10.13    18.29     7.70    18.42    55.88    27.97P    0.18R    0.02  
Ipswich          9   17   +6       4.02    83.89     4.98    70.51     9.81    10.40     2.89     8.12    37.45    14.67P    0.46R    0.05  
Wolverhampton    8   17   +5       4.22    85.74     2.34    76.30    10.33    15.86     9.39    21.34    59.52    31.45P    0.13R    0.02  
Derby            9   16   +7       0.99    58.95     2.80    78.44     9.85    24.99    13.45    28.43    69.32    40.62P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    9   16   +6       2.03    68.69     3.53    71.02     9.76    12.54     3.44     9.21    39.34    16.51P    0.39R    0.03  
Charlton         9   15   +3       3.51    80.35     3.95    61.85     9.57    -2.35     0.37     1.28    11.21     3.17P    3.95R    0.51  
Sheff_Wed        9   15   +3       3.40    79.91     3.91    65.94     9.68     3.49     0.96     3.27    21.15     6.91P    1.51R    0.17  
Blackburn        9   14   +0       1.64    65.41     0.10    68.41    10.15     5.37     2.10     5.95    30.03    11.29P    1.28R    0.11  
Brentford        9   14   -2       2.97    76.79    -0.17    55.61     9.85   -15.78     0.07     0.32     4.03     0.95P   14.71R    3.01  
Reading          8   13   +0       0.71    57.29    -2.10    71.17    10.34     9.09     3.99    10.05    40.36    17.63P    0.69R    0.09  
Leeds_United     9   13   -2       1.39    63.83    -0.83    58.64     9.66    -9.95     0.18     0.63     6.54     1.71P    8.03R    1.32  
Bournemouth      9   12   +3      -0.45    45.99     3.09    61.39     9.87     0.83     0.36     1.41    11.41     3.53P    4.67R    0.71  
Cardiff          9   12   +0      -0.52    45.77    -0.28    67.08    10.40     6.68     1.72     5.15    26.54    10.50P    1.92R    0.27  
Millwall         9   11   -1       0.40    55.32     1.57    51.82     9.25   -15.25     0.03     0.08     1.32     0.29P   23.29R    5.26  
Brighton         9    9   -2      -4.65    12.46    -3.97    63.14     9.59     3.68     0.52     1.70    14.39     5.03P    2.85R    0.34  
Wigan            9    8   -2      -5.63     8.37    -3.91    62.97     9.74     4.57     0.55     1.85    14.43     5.20P    3.42R    0.44  
Rotherham        9    8   -6      -0.63    45.76     0.05    44.39     9.62   -29.32     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   54.81R   23.64  
Huddersfield     9    8  -10      -1.83    33.64    -5.81    47.91     9.49   -27.49     0.00     0.02     0.55     0.12P   40.13R   13.11  
Birmingham       9    7   -8      -3.32    20.68    -4.72    49.81     9.63   -20.89     0.01     0.04     1.01     0.21P   31.93R    9.35  
Bolton           9    5   -8      -6.19     5.73    -6.36    52.54     9.78   -12.97     0.03     0.14     2.02     0.61P   22.53R    5.40  
Fulham           9    4  -12      -7.18     3.50    -9.90    54.56    10.42   -12.83     0.08     0.31     3.80     1.19P   18.28R    4.61  
Blackpool        9    2   -9      -7.15     1.92    -4.58    41.68     9.19   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   64.71R   31.52  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, Barnsley 0 3 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     10   24  +12       7.04    94.50     6.95    84.21     9.97    28.70    30.68    49.93    85.77    58.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     10   19   +5       2.09    67.39     0.24    78.44     9.88    20.29    13.23    27.27    69.60    38.75P    0.18R    0.00  
Swindon           9   18  +10       1.89    66.84     4.18    79.14    10.12    25.63    16.12    30.91    71.81    42.22P    0.14R    0.00  
MK_Dons           9   16   +9       1.07    59.55     4.97    76.35    10.34    23.83    10.56    22.40    61.97    32.96P    0.40R    0.00  
Rochdale         10   16   +8       2.61    71.61     8.60    65.82    10.55     8.25     1.60     4.39    24.23     8.56P    5.14R    0.27  
Preston           9   16   +7       0.47    53.84     2.29    78.61    10.11    24.87    14.64    28.94    70.27    41.21P    0.18R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd         9   16   +0       3.16    77.59    -0.79    72.91     9.93     9.30     4.51    11.51    47.22    19.99P    0.85R    0.02  
Chesterfield      9   15   +4       2.49    71.81     3.78    66.45    10.57     5.01     1.92     4.84    25.66     9.15P    4.49R    0.27  
Bradford         10   15   +2       1.99    67.98     2.89    63.34     9.65     0.88     0.56     1.73    14.94     4.44P    6.18R    0.32  
Oldham           10   14   +1       1.04    60.31     1.95    59.24     9.50    -4.38     0.22     0.66     7.36     1.87P   12.71R    0.81  
Fleetwood_Town   10   13   +1       1.60    65.37     4.29    52.84     9.70   -12.69     0.05     0.16     2.30     0.53P   33.07R    3.97  
Crawley_Town     10   13   -6       1.34    63.32    -3.27    57.72     9.38   -11.90     0.11     0.42     5.03     1.25P   17.08R    1.39  
Gillingham       10   12   -2       0.50    55.62     1.49    55.01     9.63   -12.12     0.05     0.25     3.35     0.75P   25.59R    2.50  
Coventry         10   12   -2      -1.49    37.69    -1.57    62.75     9.93    -0.06     0.52     1.75    14.39     4.60P    7.67R    0.56  
Yeovil           10   12   -4      -2.25    31.73    -4.92    59.49    10.17    -6.82     0.35     1.08     9.04     2.93P   13.96R    1.08  
Notts_County      9   11   +1      -0.96    41.93     1.62    62.14    10.05     1.78     0.50     1.56    13.59     4.09P    8.57R    0.59  
Walsall          10   11   -1      -2.90    25.80    -1.46    59.47     9.48    -1.59     0.18     0.70     7.63     2.24P   12.07R    0.91  
Doncaster         9   11   -5      -1.21    39.57    -4.84    61.13    10.52    -5.58     0.63     1.70    12.22     4.13P   11.62R    1.00  
Leyton_Orient     9   10   -1      -4.94    12.21    -4.83    69.74    10.14    12.58     3.00     7.89    36.52    16.22P    1.89R    0.11  
Colchester       10    9   -1      -3.32    22.76     0.97    54.64     9.61    -6.43     0.05     0.20     3.19     0.75P   25.61R    2.78  
Barnsley          9    9   -3      -4.42    15.66    -4.56    60.57    10.69    -1.87     0.51     1.64    12.24     4.18P   12.76R    1.12  
Port_Vale        10    9   -6      -2.58    28.59    -2.62    50.25     9.64   -19.21     0.02     0.07     1.17     0.23P   43.80R    7.16  
Scunthorpe       10    7  -13      -2.68    27.70    -6.24    44.74    10.01   -32.38     0.00     0.03     0.43     0.09P   66.76R   20.61  
Crewe             9    4  -16      -4.41    12.68    -9.13    37.08     9.21   -46.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   89.25R   54.51  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        10   22   +4       7.22    95.04     2.40    73.64     9.39     8.01    10.42    31.96    65.25    39.61P    0.23R    0.07  
Wycombe              10   21   +7       6.76    94.14     6.03    72.18     9.41    10.27     8.25    27.38    59.98    34.69P    0.32R    0.11  
Bury                 10   20   +8       3.89    80.91     4.36    78.35     9.68    21.64    24.31    53.24    81.68    61.27P    0.07R    0.02  
Southend             10   20   +5       4.01    81.97     1.60    78.37     9.35    18.36    22.98    52.97    82.15    61.40P    0.05R    0.01  
Northampton          10   17   +5       3.09    75.81     4.65    64.83     9.56     2.93     2.13     9.56    30.56    14.20P    2.41R    0.88  
Morecambe            10   16   +3       2.22    69.68     2.86    62.61     9.39    -0.53     1.20     5.96    22.88     9.54P    3.95R    1.57  
Shrewsbury           10   15   +4      -1.13    39.70     0.30    73.34     9.85    17.20    11.29    33.43    65.20    43.51P    0.33R    0.10  
Portsmouth           10   15   +2       0.37    53.80     0.49    66.39     9.61     5.22     2.76    12.26    37.08    18.29P    1.87R    0.67  
Cheltenham           10   15   +1       1.62    65.22     1.26    63.68     9.36     0.74     1.40     6.92    26.28    11.23P    3.05R    1.14  
Luton                10   15   +1       1.41    63.06     0.94    63.33     9.75     0.37     1.66     7.41    25.89    11.81P    3.80R    1.49  
Mansfield            10   15   -3       2.88    75.46    -0.64    57.49     9.29   -12.90     0.30     1.87     9.74     3.38P   11.69R    5.26  
AFC_Wimbledon        10   14   +0       1.70    65.89     2.22    59.39     9.56    -6.23     0.53     3.13    14.28     5.23P    8.51R    3.83  
Stevenage            10   14   +0      -1.15    40.19    -2.17    70.84    10.18    11.35     7.47    25.23    55.31    34.13P    0.94R    0.37  
Plymouth             10   13   +3      -0.17    49.26     3.59    61.50     9.31     2.54     0.84     4.62    19.80     7.95P    4.78R    1.92  
Newport_County       10   13   +1       0.57    56.19     2.89    57.52     9.43    -5.93     0.32     2.08    10.51     3.77P   11.46R    5.31  
Accrington_Stanley   10   13   -5       1.12    61.33    -2.13    58.88     9.58   -10.56     0.48     2.82    12.78     4.86P    9.69R    4.59  
Exeter               10   12   -3      -1.31    38.96    -2.48    60.15     9.52    -4.48     0.68     3.68    15.91     6.66P    7.30R    3.19  
Cambridge_Utd        10   11   +2      -0.99    42.39     4.40    52.09     9.52    -9.76     0.09     0.68     4.22     1.39P   26.40R   14.68  
Dag_&_Red            10   11   -4      -1.86    34.15    -2.71    54.45     9.44   -13.02     0.15     1.03     5.85     1.95P   19.16R    9.95  
Tranmere             10    9   -2      -6.58     6.81    -4.82    64.32     9.97     7.07     2.21     9.81    30.69    16.44P    3.31R    1.36  
York                 10    9   -4      -3.84    18.34    -2.96    56.88     9.24    -5.22     0.23     1.62     8.87     3.32P   11.88R    5.62  
Hartlepool           10    8   -9      -3.91    17.95    -6.67    53.42     9.18   -13.86     0.06     0.58     4.37     1.42P   21.92R   11.55  
Oxford_Utd           10    7   -4      -6.31     6.60    -3.66    54.94     9.36    -5.46     0.16     1.09     6.51     2.43P   16.62R    8.48  
Carlisle             10    6  -12      -6.16     7.49    -9.75    51.73    10.00   -17.77     0.08     0.68     4.21     1.50P   30.27R   17.85  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 September 2014, AFC_Telford 4 3 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           12   28  +23       4.26    81.96    11.30    87.49     8.86    43.50    27.12    80.55    41.65P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          12   24  +13       3.42    76.53     6.00    81.84     9.10    31.31    10.42    58.68    21.15P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay          12   24  +13       0.21    50.65     1.40    87.30     9.08    39.99    26.97    79.12    43.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   12   23   +4       1.61    62.61    -3.89    84.43     9.18    27.11    15.79    68.25    31.39P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        12   22   +5       2.95    73.02     0.59    74.85     9.04    14.87     2.35    27.70     7.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          12   22   +3       3.32    75.34    -0.32    74.53     9.01    12.67     2.13    26.05     6.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking           12   21   +8       3.66    78.08     6.76    70.57     9.17    12.78     0.96    15.26     3.51P    0.06R    0.01  
Kidderminster    12   21   +7       0.73    55.62     0.91    74.10     9.03    17.19     2.00    25.47     7.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield     12   20   +5       2.17    67.17     2.90    68.37     8.86     8.22     0.41     9.59     2.01P    0.09R    0.00  
Grimsby          12   19  +14      -1.95    33.40     6.70    81.16     8.91    38.41     9.08    57.35    23.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   12   19   +7       0.22    51.91     3.40    71.35     8.90    16.27     1.00    16.76     4.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green     12   19   +4       0.31    52.61     0.49    71.32     9.02    13.28     1.05    16.85     4.24P    0.04R    0.00  
Eastleigh        12   19   +2       3.51    75.45     3.62    58.78     9.67   -10.21     0.08     1.84     0.32P    2.86R    0.30  
Aldershot        12   16   +1      -2.34    31.20    -2.00    69.07     8.90    11.27     0.47    10.83     2.66P    0.08R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     12   16   -3       1.82    65.48     0.71    64.97     9.17     0.65     0.16     5.06     0.89P    0.45R    0.02  
Welling          12   13   -4      -1.49    38.17    -0.83    56.11     8.79    -9.26     0.00     0.45     0.07P    3.68R    0.30  
Chester          12   13  -10       2.36    71.89    -0.65    51.37     8.76   -23.38     0.00     0.09     0.02P   11.14R    1.64  
Dartford         12   12   -6      -1.78    35.68    -1.77    49.55     8.60   -20.27     0.00     0.05     0.01P   13.78R    1.91  
Dover_Athletic   12   10  -12      -0.85    44.61    -2.63    43.08     8.97   -34.04     0.00     0.01     0.00P   39.50R    9.95  
Alfreton_Town    12   10  -15      -3.70    21.02    -9.79    45.58     8.83   -34.76     0.00     0.02     0.00P   28.52R    5.59  
Southport        12    8  -12      -4.76    14.49    -5.91    44.32     8.49   -28.67     0.00     0.02     0.00    31.89R    6.49  
Nuneaton         12    8  -14      -4.43    15.50    -7.88    45.90     8.52   -26.69     0.00     0.01     0.00P   25.68R    4.63  
Altrincham       12    8  -17      -2.14    33.55    -5.55    35.53     8.65   -52.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.08R   36.86  
AFC_Telford      12    6  -16      -4.14    17.54    -3.55    36.40     9.05   -47.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.07R   32.30