Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 26 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 September 2014, Everton 2 3 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           5   13   +9       3.07    87.18     3.89    84.10     8.55    52.54    53.17    80.18    91.40    96.41    99.31     0.00     0.00  
Southampton       5   10   +6       2.55    79.89     5.26    58.28     9.26     9.43     0.42     2.00     6.50    14.41    38.71     0.52R    0.06  
Aston_Villa       5   10   +0       4.37    93.26     2.25    46.37     8.82   -15.45     0.01     0.04     0.28     0.95     5.59     9.14R    1.52  
Arsenal           5    9   +4       0.11    49.61     0.79    70.58     9.19    29.92     6.38    20.13    43.21    63.02    85.21     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea           5    9   +2       2.61    80.34     3.04    54.96     9.32     1.76     0.19     1.02     3.30     8.05    25.28     1.49R    0.17  
Man_City          5    8   +3      -1.68    28.24    -1.78    80.49     8.48    50.06    32.17    68.09    84.79    92.67    98.27     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         5    8   +1       3.31    87.39     4.94    50.17     9.76    -6.03     0.05     0.35     1.46     3.74    13.35     5.46R    0.95  
West_Ham          5    7   +1       0.71    60.30     2.02    47.38     8.98    -8.45     0.02     0.10     0.51     1.54     7.12     7.45R    1.32  
Tottenham         5    7   +1      -1.33    33.48    -1.20    56.28     9.40     6.02     0.22     1.35     4.59    10.64    30.99     1.06R    0.09  
Hull              5    6   +0      -0.36    46.11     0.64    38.01     8.37   -22.51     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.09     0.68    33.39R    8.84  
Liverpool         5    6   -1      -2.75    17.64    -4.04    69.65     9.27    30.27     5.55    18.13    39.60    59.38    83.22     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd           5    5   +1      -5.04     4.85    -4.10    62.80     9.36    20.59     1.35     5.97    15.68    29.94    59.33     0.17R    0.01  
Stoke             5    5   -1      -1.51    31.44    -0.23    43.76     8.82   -11.46     0.00     0.04     0.16     0.58     3.19    14.00R    2.71  
Everton           5    5   -2      -2.79    18.43    -3.37    59.24     9.47    11.17     0.46     2.56     8.19    17.55    43.54     0.53R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace    5    5   -2      -0.01    52.67     1.10    37.10     8.43   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.48    37.95R   11.50  
West_Brom         5    5   -4      -0.44    46.82    -1.73    43.08     8.90   -17.61     0.01     0.04     0.17     0.54     2.76    16.62R    3.76  
Sunderland        5    4   -1      -2.17    24.54     0.12    40.29     8.79   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.23     1.44    24.68R    5.78  
QPR               5    4   -8      -0.55    45.22    -4.17    30.69     8.31   -40.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    69.30R   37.20  
Burnley           5    3   -3      -1.81    26.83     0.22    36.49     8.85   -21.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.61    41.03R   13.97  
Newcastle         5    3   -6      -2.67    17.58    -3.65    37.57     8.89   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.11     0.82    37.18R   12.05  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 September 2014, Wigan 1 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Nott'm_Forest    8   18  +10       5.32    91.01     7.40    76.80    10.22    20.21    11.82    24.10    62.52    32.97P    0.13R    0.01  
Norwich          8   17  +10       2.89    76.70     5.10    84.48    10.65    33.27    36.02    53.83    84.48    63.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    8   17   +5       4.20    85.63     2.33    76.30    10.24    15.84    10.38    22.03    59.51    32.10P    0.12R    0.00  
Watford          8   16   +7       2.38    72.33     2.86    75.37    10.34    18.09     9.47    20.56    56.72    29.87P    0.21R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    8   15   +6       2.32    72.15     3.42    71.77    10.09    13.08     4.91    11.61    42.74    19.06P    0.44R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        8   15   +4       4.33    86.65     4.28    67.51     9.98     4.92     1.94     5.20    26.73     9.75P    1.31R    0.14  
Ipswich          8   14   +4       3.10    79.13     4.08    69.13    10.17     8.79     2.93     7.51    32.57    13.10P    0.97R    0.10  
Charlton         8   14   +3       3.81    83.68     3.92    62.51     9.84    -2.05     0.62     1.85    13.16     3.91P    4.00R    0.52  
Derby            8   13   +5      -0.30    46.57     1.34    75.71    10.28    21.34    10.06    21.54    58.67    32.25P    0.19R    0.01  
Blackburn        8   13   +0       2.10    70.39     0.21    68.79    10.20     5.40     2.58     6.97    31.23    12.37P    1.12R    0.14  
Reading          8   13   +0       0.69    57.02    -2.09    71.33    10.22     9.37     4.56    10.89    40.78    18.46P    0.60R    0.07  
Leeds_United     8   13   +0       2.41    73.35     0.65    61.09     9.84    -6.27     0.48     1.39    10.47     3.11P    5.34R    0.79  
Millwall         8   11   +0       1.55    67.08     2.21    53.30     9.48   -14.09     0.04     0.15     2.08     0.51P   19.77R    4.28  
Brentford        8   11   -4       1.79    68.92    -1.45    52.55    10.17   -20.30     0.08     0.20     2.39     0.59P   24.41R    6.41  
Bournemouth      8    9   +1      -1.79    32.35     1.52    58.74    10.07    -2.88     0.29     0.95     7.65     2.31P    8.61R    1.60  
Cardiff          8    9   -1      -1.75    33.43    -0.70    65.22    10.74     5.30     1.50     4.26    21.88     8.82P    3.22R    0.54  
Wigan            8    8   +0      -4.65    11.61    -2.51    65.82    10.07     8.71     1.41     4.11    22.65     9.30P    1.93R    0.22  
Brighton         8    8   -2      -4.49    12.10    -4.24    63.13     9.81     3.08     0.69     2.08    14.65     5.54P    3.27R    0.46  
Rotherham        8    8   -4      -0.14    50.64     0.64    45.98     9.91   -26.96     0.00     0.03     0.50     0.11P   48.88R   19.54  
Birmingham       8    7   -7      -1.96    31.21    -3.75    52.05    10.03   -18.61     0.04     0.16     2.04     0.50P   25.35R    7.01  
Bolton           8    5   -6      -5.13     8.39    -4.80    55.06    10.07    -9.31     0.10     0.32     3.66     1.10P   16.22R    3.84  
Huddersfield     8    5  -11      -3.17    20.24    -6.38    46.28     9.72   -28.38     0.01     0.02     0.44     0.09P   47.14R   18.41  
Blackpool        8    2   -7      -6.38     2.70    -3.41    43.21     9.41   -22.46     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   58.35R   26.24  
Fulham           8    1  -13      -8.64     0.53   -10.62    51.51    10.85   -16.11     0.07     0.23     2.33     0.70P   28.41R    9.57  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 September 2014, Colchester 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City      9   21  +11       5.67    91.08     6.42    82.09    10.25    26.80    26.88    44.26    80.38    53.25P    0.06R    0.00  
MK_Dons           8   16  +10       2.37    71.93     5.83    78.09    10.67    25.22    16.53    30.40    68.12    40.20P    0.30R    0.01  
Peterborough      9   16   +4       1.01    58.83    -0.00    77.29    10.19    20.04    13.11    26.28    65.48    36.98P    0.32R    0.01  
Swindon           8   15   +7       0.85    57.89     2.13    75.87    10.48    20.11    11.37    22.79    60.05    32.78P    0.54R    0.01  
Chesterfield      8   14   +4       3.00    77.35     3.99    66.73    11.02     4.81     2.67     6.38    27.68    10.87P    4.85R    0.45  
Bradford          9   14   +2       2.46    72.81     3.08    63.90     9.82     1.22     0.90     2.52    16.96     5.48P    5.63R    0.40  
Rochdale          9   13   +7       1.06    60.28     7.69    61.91    10.68     3.70     0.81     2.44    15.23     5.04P   10.15R    0.91  
Preston           8   13   +5      -0.64    43.26     1.06    75.62    10.38    20.84    10.96    22.18    59.68    32.84P    0.48R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town    9   13   +2       2.48    73.04     4.56    53.69    10.06   -12.71     0.09     0.28     3.34     0.75P   30.44R    4.63  
Sheff_Utd         8   13   -1       1.84    68.23    -1.37    71.06    10.07     8.00     4.14    10.05    40.15    17.53P    1.39R    0.05  
Coventry          9   12   +0      -0.57    45.12    -0.27    64.93    10.19     3.10     1.34     3.61    20.71     7.36P    5.25R    0.36  
Gillingham        9   12   -1       1.49    64.97     1.93    56.40     9.96   -10.90     0.13     0.48     5.06     1.29P   21.56R    2.70  
Yeovil            9   12   -2      -1.11    40.47    -3.21    62.63    10.57    -2.10     0.97     2.69    15.85     5.75P    9.07R    0.77  
Oldham            9   11   +0      -0.23    48.94     1.44    57.50     9.66    -5.42     0.17     0.57     5.66     1.53P   17.14R    1.82  
Doncaster         8   11   -2      -0.46    46.32    -2.74    64.57    10.75     0.53     1.46     3.99    20.71     7.89P    6.54R    0.61  
Notts_County      8   10   +1      -0.71    43.58     1.43    62.19    10.32     1.25     0.69     2.12    14.61     4.91P    8.92R    0.84  
Leyton_Orient     8   10   +0      -3.49    18.78    -3.69    72.29    10.24    15.20     5.70    13.45    46.75    23.42P    1.01R    0.04  
Crawley_Town      9   10   -8      -0.04    51.16    -4.88    54.70     9.54   -15.88     0.06     0.22     2.99     0.73P   26.62R    3.62  
Barnsley          8    9   +0      -3.69    18.64    -2.55    64.60    11.07     5.16     1.88     4.71    22.33     9.29P    6.95R    0.63  
Walsall           9    8   -4      -4.07    16.39    -3.81    56.06     9.59    -7.00     0.08     0.32     4.16     1.18P   20.61R    2.41  
Port_Vale         9    8   -6      -2.35    29.43    -2.81    50.49     9.79   -19.41     0.02     0.08     1.38     0.28P   42.59R    8.46  
Scunthorpe        9    7  -12      -1.72    35.05    -6.04    46.08    10.10   -30.87     0.02     0.05     0.64     0.15P   61.01R   19.79  
Colchester        9    6   -4      -4.29    14.36    -1.09    51.84     9.85   -11.13     0.03     0.12     1.99     0.49P   36.21R    6.62  
Crewe             8    4  -13      -3.61    16.94    -7.10    39.77     9.53   -40.54     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   82.35R   44.82  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 September 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Bury                  9   20   +9       4.98    88.54     5.02    80.42     9.93    23.56    30.13    60.19    85.51    67.15P    0.02R    0.01  
Burton_Albion         9   19   +3       5.90    92.08     1.82    72.43     9.81     7.46     8.38    27.59    59.18    34.83P    0.32R    0.10  
Wycombe               9   18   +6       5.66    91.31     5.79    70.68     9.73     9.41     6.10    22.34    53.22    29.35P    0.51R    0.16  
Southend              9   17   +4       2.61    73.49     0.96    76.78     9.67    17.33    17.28    45.06    76.25    54.37P    0.08R    0.02  
Morecambe             9   16   +4       3.63    80.42     3.94    65.04     9.82     1.91     2.19     9.69    31.09    14.22P    2.19R    0.81  
Shrewsbury            9   15   +5      -0.26    47.24     0.70    75.03    10.25    18.70    14.98    39.42    69.69    48.85P    0.25R    0.08  
Cheltenham            9   15   +2       2.66    74.52     1.84    64.96     9.74     1.56     1.84     9.26    30.46    14.02P    2.26R    0.74  
Mansfield             9   15   +0       3.36    79.18     0.99    59.34     9.62    -9.14     0.54     3.09    13.82     5.07P    7.35R    2.91  
Northampton           9   14   +4       1.41    63.42     3.61    62.41     9.86     0.69     1.28     6.33    22.86     9.88P    4.25R    1.63  
AFC_Wimbledon         9   14   +3       2.45    72.61     4.19    61.91     9.91    -1.30     1.09     5.81    21.46     9.13P    4.89R    1.89  
Portsmouth            9   14   +2       0.52    55.33     0.22    67.09    10.01     5.66     3.42    13.85    39.22    20.12P    1.65R    0.57  
Plymouth              9   13   +4       0.94    59.49     4.24    63.18     9.74     3.88     1.31     7.12    25.44    11.41P    3.41R    1.26  
Luton                 9   12   -1       0.35    54.45    -0.22    60.56    10.16    -3.19     0.84     4.69    18.26     7.94P    6.81R    2.88  
Cambridge_Utd         9   11   +3      -0.30    48.31     4.44    53.40    10.05    -8.94     0.19     1.18     6.16     2.22P   20.97R   10.78  
Stevenage             9   11   -3      -1.67    35.34    -3.55    67.95    10.46     6.55     4.44    16.78    42.59    24.21P    1.66R    0.61  
Newport_County        9   10   -2      -0.40    47.31     0.84    54.64     9.65   -10.63     0.13     1.10     6.39     2.11P   17.15R    8.22  
Accrington_Stanley    9   10   -6      -0.19    49.26    -2.60    56.92    10.03   -12.22     0.28     2.06    10.09     3.73P   13.08R    6.14  
Tranmere              9    9   -1      -5.39    10.13    -4.08    66.77    10.58     9.70     4.05    15.01    39.43    22.52P    2.23R    0.84  
York                  9    9   -2      -2.93    23.97    -1.62    59.16     9.65    -2.02     0.47     2.96    13.92     5.65P    7.59R    3.29  
Exeter                9    9   -4      -2.74    26.00    -3.18    58.04     9.79    -6.15     0.44     2.39    11.85     4.54P    9.82R    4.50  
Dag_&_Red             9    8   -6      -3.03    23.60    -4.01    51.88     9.81   -16.44     0.09     0.65     4.04     1.34P   26.06R   14.13  
Oxford_Utd            9    7   -2      -5.48     9.02    -2.35    57.21     9.76    -2.18     0.34     2.10    10.71     4.29P   10.82R    4.99  
Hartlepool            9    7   -9      -3.59    18.91    -6.69    54.05     9.63   -13.68     0.11     0.86     5.36     1.92P   18.90R    9.48  
Carlisle              9    3  -13      -7.57     2.38   -10.29    49.06    10.59   -20.54     0.07     0.47     3.01     1.13P   37.74R   23.94  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 September 2014, Chester 2 1 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           11   25  +22       2.73    72.36    10.63    85.18     9.03    41.33    18.50    72.77    33.51P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay          11   24  +14       1.97    66.46     3.15    90.68     9.22    43.69    41.26    87.58    56.96P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          11   23  +13       3.61    79.07     5.70    81.54     9.32    30.28     9.68    57.84    20.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking           11   21   +9       5.02    87.06     7.66    72.19     9.35    14.21     1.25    20.36     4.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead        11   21   +5       3.58    78.50     0.97    75.95     9.36    16.01     3.28    32.95     8.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield     11   20   +7       2.96    73.73     4.01    70.38     8.99    11.24     0.73    14.40     3.25P    0.05R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   11   20   +3       0.47    53.63    -4.16    83.11     9.43    26.63    12.72    63.14    27.51P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        11   19   +5       3.79    78.07     4.87    61.27    10.02    -5.10     0.18     3.72     0.71P    1.68R    0.14  
Forest_Green     11   19   +5       1.50    62.66     1.23    73.19     9.21    15.06     1.69    22.89     5.91P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham          11   19   +0       2.76    72.82    -1.68    72.23     9.17     8.62     1.26    19.14     4.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   11   18   +7       0.65    55.57     3.49    72.11     9.19    16.85     1.29    20.24     5.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster    11   18   +6      -0.77    42.86     0.21    71.74     9.17    15.13     1.15    18.63     5.08P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby          11   16  +11      -2.44    29.04     5.46    79.64     9.01    35.43     6.39    50.51    19.59P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        11   15   +1      -2.08    32.70    -2.12    69.13     9.16    10.81     0.53    12.03     2.93P    0.10R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     11   13   -5       0.69    57.31    -0.53    62.68     9.31    -2.54     0.09     3.28     0.57P    0.92R    0.06  
Chester          11   13   -7       2.60    73.85     0.36    52.69     8.87   -20.50     0.00     0.17     0.01P    8.58R    0.95  
Welling          11   10   -8      -2.38    29.85    -3.65    52.64     9.04   -16.09     0.00     0.22     0.04P    8.71R    0.94  
Alfreton_Town    11   10  -14      -2.57    28.13    -9.20    47.21     9.01   -33.49     0.00     0.04     0.01P   22.92R    3.57  
Dartford         11    9   -7      -3.39    21.74    -2.68    46.90     8.74   -22.85     0.00     0.03     0.01P   21.84R    3.23  
Southport        11    8  -11      -3.77    19.54    -5.38    45.54     8.80   -28.05     0.00     0.02     0.00    27.50R    4.74  
Altrincham       11    8  -13      -1.69    36.93    -3.49    39.45     9.13   -42.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.29R   18.23  
Nuneaton         11    8  -13      -2.94    24.62    -6.77    48.38     8.79   -23.89     0.00     0.03     0.01P   17.94R    2.41  
Dover_Athletic   11    7  -13      -2.14    32.26    -2.89    40.77     9.28   -36.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.29R   13.99  
AFC_Telford      11    3  -17      -6.02     5.84    -5.19    32.01     8.99   -52.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.02R   51.72