Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 26 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 September 2014, Everton 2 3 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 5 13 +9 3.07 87.18 3.89 84.10 8.55 52.54 53.17 80.18 91.40 96.41 99.31 0.00 0.00 Southampton 5 10 +6 2.55 79.89 5.26 58.28 9.26 9.43 0.42 2.00 6.50 14.41 38.71 0.52R 0.06 Aston_Villa 5 10 +0 4.37 93.26 2.25 46.37 8.82 -15.45 0.01 0.04 0.28 0.95 5.59 9.14R 1.52 Arsenal 5 9 +4 0.11 49.61 0.79 70.58 9.19 29.92 6.38 20.13 43.21 63.02 85.21 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 5 9 +2 2.61 80.34 3.04 54.96 9.32 1.76 0.19 1.02 3.30 8.05 25.28 1.49R 0.17 Man_City 5 8 +3 -1.68 28.24 -1.78 80.49 8.48 50.06 32.17 68.09 84.79 92.67 98.27 0.00 0.00 Leicester 5 8 +1 3.31 87.39 4.94 50.17 9.76 -6.03 0.05 0.35 1.46 3.74 13.35 5.46R 0.95 West_Ham 5 7 +1 0.71 60.30 2.02 47.38 8.98 -8.45 0.02 0.10 0.51 1.54 7.12 7.45R 1.32 Tottenham 5 7 +1 -1.33 33.48 -1.20 56.28 9.40 6.02 0.22 1.35 4.59 10.64 30.99 1.06R 0.09 Hull 5 6 +0 -0.36 46.11 0.64 38.01 8.37 -22.51 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.09 0.68 33.39R 8.84 Liverpool 5 6 -1 -2.75 17.64 -4.04 69.65 9.27 30.27 5.55 18.13 39.60 59.38 83.22 0.02R 0.00 Man_Utd 5 5 +1 -5.04 4.85 -4.10 62.80 9.36 20.59 1.35 5.97 15.68 29.94 59.33 0.17R 0.01 Stoke 5 5 -1 -1.51 31.44 -0.23 43.76 8.82 -11.46 0.00 0.04 0.16 0.58 3.19 14.00R 2.71 Everton 5 5 -2 -2.79 18.43 -3.37 59.24 9.47 11.17 0.46 2.56 8.19 17.55 43.54 0.53R 0.06 Crystal_Palace 5 5 -2 -0.01 52.67 1.10 37.10 8.43 -24.45 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.48 37.95R 11.50 West_Brom 5 5 -4 -0.44 46.82 -1.73 43.08 8.90 -17.61 0.01 0.04 0.17 0.54 2.76 16.62R 3.76 Sunderland 5 4 -1 -2.17 24.54 0.12 40.29 8.79 -16.88 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.23 1.44 24.68R 5.78 QPR 5 4 -8 -0.55 45.22 -4.17 30.69 8.31 -40.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 69.30R 37.20 Burnley 5 3 -3 -1.81 26.83 0.22 36.49 8.85 -21.92 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.61 41.03R 13.97 Newcastle 5 3 -6 -2.67 17.58 -3.65 37.57 8.89 -26.51 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.82 37.18R 12.05Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 September 2014, Wigan 1 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Nott'm_Forest 8 18 +10 5.32 91.01 7.40 76.80 10.22 20.21 11.82 24.10 62.52 32.97P 0.13R 0.01 Norwich 8 17 +10 2.89 76.70 5.10 84.48 10.65 33.27 36.02 53.83 84.48 63.44P 0.02R 0.00 Wolverhampton 8 17 +5 4.20 85.63 2.33 76.30 10.24 15.84 10.38 22.03 59.51 32.10P 0.12R 0.00 Watford 8 16 +7 2.38 72.33 2.86 75.37 10.34 18.09 9.47 20.56 56.72 29.87P 0.21R 0.02 Middlesbrough 8 15 +6 2.32 72.15 3.42 71.77 10.09 13.08 4.91 11.61 42.74 19.06P 0.44R 0.04 Sheff_Wed 8 15 +4 4.33 86.65 4.28 67.51 9.98 4.92 1.94 5.20 26.73 9.75P 1.31R 0.14 Ipswich 8 14 +4 3.10 79.13 4.08 69.13 10.17 8.79 2.93 7.51 32.57 13.10P 0.97R 0.10 Charlton 8 14 +3 3.81 83.68 3.92 62.51 9.84 -2.05 0.62 1.85 13.16 3.91P 4.00R 0.52 Derby 8 13 +5 -0.30 46.57 1.34 75.71 10.28 21.34 10.06 21.54 58.67 32.25P 0.19R 0.01 Blackburn 8 13 +0 2.10 70.39 0.21 68.79 10.20 5.40 2.58 6.97 31.23 12.37P 1.12R 0.14 Reading 8 13 +0 0.69 57.02 -2.09 71.33 10.22 9.37 4.56 10.89 40.78 18.46P 0.60R 0.07 Leeds_United 8 13 +0 2.41 73.35 0.65 61.09 9.84 -6.27 0.48 1.39 10.47 3.11P 5.34R 0.79 Millwall 8 11 +0 1.55 67.08 2.21 53.30 9.48 -14.09 0.04 0.15 2.08 0.51P 19.77R 4.28 Brentford 8 11 -4 1.79 68.92 -1.45 52.55 10.17 -20.30 0.08 0.20 2.39 0.59P 24.41R 6.41 Bournemouth 8 9 +1 -1.79 32.35 1.52 58.74 10.07 -2.88 0.29 0.95 7.65 2.31P 8.61R 1.60 Cardiff 8 9 -1 -1.75 33.43 -0.70 65.22 10.74 5.30 1.50 4.26 21.88 8.82P 3.22R 0.54 Wigan 8 8 +0 -4.65 11.61 -2.51 65.82 10.07 8.71 1.41 4.11 22.65 9.30P 1.93R 0.22 Brighton 8 8 -2 -4.49 12.10 -4.24 63.13 9.81 3.08 0.69 2.08 14.65 5.54P 3.27R 0.46 Rotherham 8 8 -4 -0.14 50.64 0.64 45.98 9.91 -26.96 0.00 0.03 0.50 0.11P 48.88R 19.54 Birmingham 8 7 -7 -1.96 31.21 -3.75 52.05 10.03 -18.61 0.04 0.16 2.04 0.50P 25.35R 7.01 Bolton 8 5 -6 -5.13 8.39 -4.80 55.06 10.07 -9.31 0.10 0.32 3.66 1.10P 16.22R 3.84 Huddersfield 8 5 -11 -3.17 20.24 -6.38 46.28 9.72 -28.38 0.01 0.02 0.44 0.09P 47.14R 18.41 Blackpool 8 2 -7 -6.38 2.70 -3.41 43.21 9.41 -22.46 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.03P 58.35R 26.24 Fulham 8 1 -13 -8.64 0.53 -10.62 51.51 10.85 -16.11 0.07 0.23 2.33 0.70P 28.41R 9.57League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 September 2014, Colchester 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 9 21 +11 5.67 91.08 6.42 82.09 10.25 26.80 26.88 44.26 80.38 53.25P 0.06R 0.00 MK_Dons 8 16 +10 2.37 71.93 5.83 78.09 10.67 25.22 16.53 30.40 68.12 40.20P 0.30R 0.01 Peterborough 9 16 +4 1.01 58.83 -0.00 77.29 10.19 20.04 13.11 26.28 65.48 36.98P 0.32R 0.01 Swindon 8 15 +7 0.85 57.89 2.13 75.87 10.48 20.11 11.37 22.79 60.05 32.78P 0.54R 0.01 Chesterfield 8 14 +4 3.00 77.35 3.99 66.73 11.02 4.81 2.67 6.38 27.68 10.87P 4.85R 0.45 Bradford 9 14 +2 2.46 72.81 3.08 63.90 9.82 1.22 0.90 2.52 16.96 5.48P 5.63R 0.40 Rochdale 9 13 +7 1.06 60.28 7.69 61.91 10.68 3.70 0.81 2.44 15.23 5.04P 10.15R 0.91 Preston 8 13 +5 -0.64 43.26 1.06 75.62 10.38 20.84 10.96 22.18 59.68 32.84P 0.48R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 9 13 +2 2.48 73.04 4.56 53.69 10.06 -12.71 0.09 0.28 3.34 0.75P 30.44R 4.63 Sheff_Utd 8 13 -1 1.84 68.23 -1.37 71.06 10.07 8.00 4.14 10.05 40.15 17.53P 1.39R 0.05 Coventry 9 12 +0 -0.57 45.12 -0.27 64.93 10.19 3.10 1.34 3.61 20.71 7.36P 5.25R 0.36 Gillingham 9 12 -1 1.49 64.97 1.93 56.40 9.96 -10.90 0.13 0.48 5.06 1.29P 21.56R 2.70 Yeovil 9 12 -2 -1.11 40.47 -3.21 62.63 10.57 -2.10 0.97 2.69 15.85 5.75P 9.07R 0.77 Oldham 9 11 +0 -0.23 48.94 1.44 57.50 9.66 -5.42 0.17 0.57 5.66 1.53P 17.14R 1.82 Doncaster 8 11 -2 -0.46 46.32 -2.74 64.57 10.75 0.53 1.46 3.99 20.71 7.89P 6.54R 0.61 Notts_County 8 10 +1 -0.71 43.58 1.43 62.19 10.32 1.25 0.69 2.12 14.61 4.91P 8.92R 0.84 Leyton_Orient 8 10 +0 -3.49 18.78 -3.69 72.29 10.24 15.20 5.70 13.45 46.75 23.42P 1.01R 0.04 Crawley_Town 9 10 -8 -0.04 51.16 -4.88 54.70 9.54 -15.88 0.06 0.22 2.99 0.73P 26.62R 3.62 Barnsley 8 9 +0 -3.69 18.64 -2.55 64.60 11.07 5.16 1.88 4.71 22.33 9.29P 6.95R 0.63 Walsall 9 8 -4 -4.07 16.39 -3.81 56.06 9.59 -7.00 0.08 0.32 4.16 1.18P 20.61R 2.41 Port_Vale 9 8 -6 -2.35 29.43 -2.81 50.49 9.79 -19.41 0.02 0.08 1.38 0.28P 42.59R 8.46 Scunthorpe 9 7 -12 -1.72 35.05 -6.04 46.08 10.10 -30.87 0.02 0.05 0.64 0.15P 61.01R 19.79 Colchester 9 6 -4 -4.29 14.36 -1.09 51.84 9.85 -11.13 0.03 0.12 1.99 0.49P 36.21R 6.62 Crewe 8 4 -13 -3.61 16.94 -7.10 39.77 9.53 -40.54 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 82.35R 44.82League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 September 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Bury 9 20 +9 4.98 88.54 5.02 80.42 9.93 23.56 30.13 60.19 85.51 67.15P 0.02R 0.01 Burton_Albion 9 19 +3 5.90 92.08 1.82 72.43 9.81 7.46 8.38 27.59 59.18 34.83P 0.32R 0.10 Wycombe 9 18 +6 5.66 91.31 5.79 70.68 9.73 9.41 6.10 22.34 53.22 29.35P 0.51R 0.16 Southend 9 17 +4 2.61 73.49 0.96 76.78 9.67 17.33 17.28 45.06 76.25 54.37P 0.08R 0.02 Morecambe 9 16 +4 3.63 80.42 3.94 65.04 9.82 1.91 2.19 9.69 31.09 14.22P 2.19R 0.81 Shrewsbury 9 15 +5 -0.26 47.24 0.70 75.03 10.25 18.70 14.98 39.42 69.69 48.85P 0.25R 0.08 Cheltenham 9 15 +2 2.66 74.52 1.84 64.96 9.74 1.56 1.84 9.26 30.46 14.02P 2.26R 0.74 Mansfield 9 15 +0 3.36 79.18 0.99 59.34 9.62 -9.14 0.54 3.09 13.82 5.07P 7.35R 2.91 Northampton 9 14 +4 1.41 63.42 3.61 62.41 9.86 0.69 1.28 6.33 22.86 9.88P 4.25R 1.63 AFC_Wimbledon 9 14 +3 2.45 72.61 4.19 61.91 9.91 -1.30 1.09 5.81 21.46 9.13P 4.89R 1.89 Portsmouth 9 14 +2 0.52 55.33 0.22 67.09 10.01 5.66 3.42 13.85 39.22 20.12P 1.65R 0.57 Plymouth 9 13 +4 0.94 59.49 4.24 63.18 9.74 3.88 1.31 7.12 25.44 11.41P 3.41R 1.26 Luton 9 12 -1 0.35 54.45 -0.22 60.56 10.16 -3.19 0.84 4.69 18.26 7.94P 6.81R 2.88 Cambridge_Utd 9 11 +3 -0.30 48.31 4.44 53.40 10.05 -8.94 0.19 1.18 6.16 2.22P 20.97R 10.78 Stevenage 9 11 -3 -1.67 35.34 -3.55 67.95 10.46 6.55 4.44 16.78 42.59 24.21P 1.66R 0.61 Newport_County 9 10 -2 -0.40 47.31 0.84 54.64 9.65 -10.63 0.13 1.10 6.39 2.11P 17.15R 8.22 Accrington_Stanley 9 10 -6 -0.19 49.26 -2.60 56.92 10.03 -12.22 0.28 2.06 10.09 3.73P 13.08R 6.14 Tranmere 9 9 -1 -5.39 10.13 -4.08 66.77 10.58 9.70 4.05 15.01 39.43 22.52P 2.23R 0.84 York 9 9 -2 -2.93 23.97 -1.62 59.16 9.65 -2.02 0.47 2.96 13.92 5.65P 7.59R 3.29 Exeter 9 9 -4 -2.74 26.00 -3.18 58.04 9.79 -6.15 0.44 2.39 11.85 4.54P 9.82R 4.50 Dag_&_Red 9 8 -6 -3.03 23.60 -4.01 51.88 9.81 -16.44 0.09 0.65 4.04 1.34P 26.06R 14.13 Oxford_Utd 9 7 -2 -5.48 9.02 -2.35 57.21 9.76 -2.18 0.34 2.10 10.71 4.29P 10.82R 4.99 Hartlepool 9 7 -9 -3.59 18.91 -6.69 54.05 9.63 -13.68 0.11 0.86 5.36 1.92P 18.90R 9.48 Carlisle 9 3 -13 -7.57 2.38 -10.29 49.06 10.59 -20.54 0.07 0.47 3.01 1.13P 37.74R 23.94Conference (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 September 2014, Chester 2 1 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 11 25 +22 2.73 72.36 10.63 85.18 9.03 41.33 18.50 72.77 33.51P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 11 24 +14 1.97 66.46 3.15 90.68 9.22 43.69 41.26 87.58 56.96P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 11 23 +13 3.61 79.07 5.70 81.54 9.32 30.28 9.68 57.84 20.49P 0.00R 0.00 Woking 11 21 +9 5.02 87.06 7.66 72.19 9.35 14.21 1.25 20.36 4.47P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 11 21 +5 3.58 78.50 0.97 75.95 9.36 16.01 3.28 32.95 8.84P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 11 20 +7 2.96 73.73 4.01 70.38 8.99 11.24 0.73 14.40 3.25P 0.05R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 11 20 +3 0.47 53.63 -4.16 83.11 9.43 26.63 12.72 63.14 27.51P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 11 19 +5 3.79 78.07 4.87 61.27 10.02 -5.10 0.18 3.72 0.71P 1.68R 0.14 Forest_Green 11 19 +5 1.50 62.66 1.23 73.19 9.21 15.06 1.69 22.89 5.91P 0.04R 0.00 Wrexham 11 19 +0 2.76 72.82 -1.68 72.23 9.17 8.62 1.26 19.14 4.64P 0.03R 0.00 Braintree_Town 11 18 +7 0.65 55.57 3.49 72.11 9.19 16.85 1.29 20.24 5.48P 0.03R 0.00 Kidderminster 11 18 +6 -0.77 42.86 0.21 71.74 9.17 15.13 1.15 18.63 5.08P 0.03R 0.00 Grimsby 11 16 +11 -2.44 29.04 5.46 79.64 9.01 35.43 6.39 50.51 19.59P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 11 15 +1 -2.08 32.70 -2.12 69.13 9.16 10.81 0.53 12.03 2.93P 0.10R 0.00 Lincoln_City 11 13 -5 0.69 57.31 -0.53 62.68 9.31 -2.54 0.09 3.28 0.57P 0.92R 0.06 Chester 11 13 -7 2.60 73.85 0.36 52.69 8.87 -20.50 0.00 0.17 0.01P 8.58R 0.95 Welling 11 10 -8 -2.38 29.85 -3.65 52.64 9.04 -16.09 0.00 0.22 0.04P 8.71R 0.94 Alfreton_Town 11 10 -14 -2.57 28.13 -9.20 47.21 9.01 -33.49 0.00 0.04 0.01P 22.92R 3.57 Dartford 11 9 -7 -3.39 21.74 -2.68 46.90 8.74 -22.85 0.00 0.03 0.01P 21.84R 3.23 Southport 11 8 -11 -3.77 19.54 -5.38 45.54 8.80 -28.05 0.00 0.02 0.00 27.50R 4.74 Altrincham 11 8 -13 -1.69 36.93 -3.49 39.45 9.13 -42.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.29R 18.23 Nuneaton 11 8 -13 -2.94 24.62 -6.77 48.38 8.79 -23.89 0.00 0.03 0.01P 17.94R 2.41 Dover_Athletic 11 7 -13 -2.14 32.26 -2.89 40.77 9.28 -36.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.29R 13.99 AFC_Telford 11 3 -17 -6.02 5.84 -5.19 32.01 8.99 -52.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.02R 51.72