Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 22 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 September 2014, Everton 2 3 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           5   13   +9       3.05    86.96     3.87    83.94     8.58    52.33    52.52    79.37    90.91    95.94    99.18     0.00     0.00  
Southampton       5   10   +6       2.51    79.34     5.19    58.46     9.29     9.71     0.42     2.10     6.81    14.99    39.28     0.52R    0.04  
Aston_Villa       5   10   +0       4.38    93.28     2.26    46.27     8.82   -15.59     0.01     0.06     0.30     1.00     5.32     9.34R    1.58  
Arsenal           5    9   +4       0.07    49.15     0.75    70.73     9.26    30.22     6.51    21.15    44.03    63.46    85.48     0.02R    0.00  
Swansea           5    9   +2       2.59    80.16     3.02    55.11     9.38     1.95     0.19     1.00     3.41     8.35    26.11     1.34R    0.13  
Man_City          5    8   +3      -1.68    28.45    -1.75    80.48     8.50    50.14    32.45    67.44    84.61    92.60    98.21     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         5    8   +1       3.29    87.04     4.88    50.30     9.81    -5.76     0.08     0.43     1.52     3.83    13.61     5.28R    0.89  
West_Ham          5    7   +1       0.75    61.02     2.09    47.01     9.01    -9.05     0.02     0.10     0.45     1.39     6.60     7.90R    1.38  
Tottenham         5    7   +1      -1.34    33.34    -1.22    56.25     9.40     5.92     0.25     1.45     4.60    10.65    30.67     1.09R    0.12  
Hull              5    6   +0      -0.31    46.77     0.70    37.76     8.45   -23.08     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.08     0.68    35.09R    9.92  
Liverpool         5    6   -1      -2.72    17.91    -4.02    69.58     9.33    30.18     5.69    18.29    39.25    59.14    82.89     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd           5    5   +1      -5.05     5.05    -4.13    62.84     9.37    20.63     1.37     5.98    15.72    29.98    59.82     0.14R    0.01  
Stoke             5    5   -1      -1.47    32.13    -0.18    43.50     8.70   -11.81     0.01     0.04     0.15     0.55     2.92    14.05R    2.71  
Everton           5    5   -2      -2.74    18.99    -3.29    59.16     9.40    11.09     0.49     2.56     7.95    17.07    42.87     0.49R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace    5    5   -2      -0.00    52.80     1.11    37.13     8.39   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.48    37.94R   11.42  
West_Brom         5    5   -4      -0.44    46.70    -1.72    43.25     8.96   -17.32     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.51     2.88    16.56R    3.58  
Sunderland        5    4   -1      -2.15    24.76     0.13    40.46     8.79   -16.65     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.22     1.45    24.10R    5.87  
QPR               5    4   -8      -0.59    44.60    -4.23    30.75     8.28   -40.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    69.02R   36.94  
Burnley           5    3   -3      -1.79    27.07     0.28    36.42     8.79   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.55    41.10R   13.79  
Newcastle         5    3   -6      -2.73    17.21    -3.75    37.83     8.95   -25.94     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.11     0.93    36.00R   11.55  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 September 2014, Wigan 1 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Nott'm_Forest    8   18  +10       5.26    90.72     7.30    76.81    10.20    20.23    11.84    24.19    62.35    33.53P    0.13R    0.00  
Norwich          8   17  +10       2.98    77.69     5.20    84.48    10.37    33.26    35.30    53.40    85.24    63.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    8   17   +5       4.14    85.38     2.23    76.50    10.24    16.14    10.89    22.58    60.44    32.71P    0.10R    0.00  
Watford          8   16   +7       2.38    72.50     2.84    75.34    10.34    18.10     9.45    20.35    56.46    29.53P    0.19R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    8   15   +6       2.33    72.31     3.44    71.88    10.07    13.30     5.11    11.83    42.86    19.42P    0.44R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        8   15   +4       4.34    86.74     4.33    67.40     9.89     4.74     1.80     4.90    25.83     9.06P    1.23R    0.12  
Ipswich          8   14   +4       3.15    79.57     4.15    68.94    10.02     8.46     2.68     7.18    31.76    12.72P    0.95R    0.10  
Charlton         8   14   +3       3.83    83.88     3.94    62.41     9.73    -2.21     0.56     1.74    12.50     3.70P    3.84R    0.54  
Derby            8   13   +5      -0.29    46.66     1.34    75.70    10.20    21.34    10.10    21.45    58.72    32.24P    0.18R    0.01  
Blackburn        8   13   +0       2.06    70.15     0.11    69.05    10.33     5.81     2.98     7.56    32.61    13.23P    1.24R    0.14  
Reading          8   13   +0       0.69    57.12    -2.10    71.32    10.24     9.40     4.59    10.96    40.31    18.33P    0.56R    0.05  
Leeds_United     8   13   +0       2.41    73.37     0.66    60.91     9.91    -6.54     0.37     1.27    10.13     2.92P    5.76R    0.89  
Millwall         8   11   +0       1.53    67.06     2.21    53.22     9.52   -14.21     0.04     0.13     2.14     0.47P   20.04R    4.47  
Brentford        8   11   -4       1.75    68.44    -1.49    52.69    10.14   -20.11     0.05     0.22     2.44     0.60P   23.72R    6.24  
Bournemouth      8    9   +1      -1.73    33.13     1.68    58.55    10.10    -3.20     0.26     0.82     7.47     2.17P    8.92R    1.82  
Cardiff          8    9   -1      -1.82    32.77    -0.83    65.59    10.72     5.86     1.73     4.68    23.09     9.26P    2.89R    0.43  
Wigan            8    8   +0      -4.56    12.22    -2.35    65.41    10.14     8.12     1.35     3.90    21.51     8.86P    2.29R    0.26  
Brighton         8    8   -2      -4.52    12.06    -4.26    63.27     9.73     3.26     0.66     2.07    14.97     5.49P    2.97R    0.39  
Rotherham        8    8   -4      -0.10    51.19     0.72    45.68     9.94   -27.46     0.01     0.03     0.48     0.10P   49.91R   20.46  
Birmingham       8    7   -7      -2.02    30.60    -3.84    52.19    10.02   -18.39     0.06     0.19     2.04     0.54P   24.71R    7.04  
Bolton           8    5   -6      -5.14     8.45    -4.82    55.09    10.04    -9.23     0.10     0.34     3.68     1.09P   16.11R    3.76  
Huddersfield     8    5  -11      -3.23    19.99    -6.44    46.33     9.69   -28.28     0.01     0.04     0.43     0.11P   47.28R   18.22  
Blackpool        8    2   -7      -6.40     2.63    -3.46    43.33     9.39   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   58.09R   25.65  
Fulham           8    1  -13      -8.61     0.60   -10.55    51.52    10.86   -16.06     0.05     0.15     2.41     0.72P   28.43R    9.34  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 September 2014, Colchester 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City      9   21  +11       5.69    91.14     6.42    81.78    10.28    26.33    26.18    43.20    79.34    52.13P    0.06R    0.00  
MK_Dons           8   16  +10       2.40    72.02     5.89    77.97    10.59    25.10    16.32    30.10    67.91    40.03P    0.33R    0.01  
Peterborough      9   16   +4       1.10    59.51     0.11    77.06    10.24    19.66    13.19    26.09    64.61    36.63P    0.27R    0.01  
Swindon           8   15   +7       0.87    57.90     2.15    75.85    10.44    20.10    11.45    22.91    60.29    32.76P    0.52R    0.03  
Chesterfield      8   14   +4       2.99    77.37     3.98    66.86    10.96     4.99     2.71     6.45    27.87    10.99P    4.62R    0.41  
Bradford          9   14   +2       2.48    72.84     3.11    63.84     9.79     1.12     0.83     2.42    16.75     5.22P    5.78R    0.38  
Rochdale          9   13   +7       0.99    59.66     7.57    62.37    10.89     4.47     1.15     3.07    16.50     5.90P    9.80R    1.01  
Preston           8   13   +5      -0.67    42.89     1.05    75.60    10.38    20.70    11.14    22.31    59.42    33.01P    0.48R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town    9   13   +2       2.47    73.11     4.59    53.60     9.95   -12.79     0.11     0.35     3.10     0.82P   30.53R    4.46  
Sheff_Utd         8   13   -1       1.89    68.66    -1.30    70.91    10.11     7.80     4.09     9.99    40.03    17.38P    1.41R    0.06  
Coventry          9   12   +0      -0.66    44.37    -0.38    65.26    10.24     3.68     1.43     4.04    21.94     8.09P    4.98R    0.42  
Gillingham        9   12   -1       1.39    64.23     1.79    56.78     9.82   -10.26     0.11     0.52     5.12     1.25P   20.16R    2.25  
Yeovil            9   12   -2      -1.09    40.51    -3.21    62.68    10.52    -2.01     0.97     2.70    15.89     5.79P    8.72R    0.77  
Oldham            9   11   +0      -0.27    48.44     1.33    57.72     9.69    -5.07     0.19     0.63     5.97     1.70P   16.38R    1.71  
Doncaster         8   11   -2      -0.49    45.64    -2.79    64.66    10.73     0.65     1.55     4.04    21.14     8.10P    6.47R    0.58  
Notts_County      8   10   +1      -0.70    43.68     1.45    62.02    10.34     0.94     0.69     2.11    14.21     4.66P    9.20R    0.87  
Leyton_Orient     8   10   +0      -3.46    19.03    -3.63    72.03    10.30    14.80     5.75    13.37    45.66    23.09P    1.13R    0.06  
Crawley_Town      9   10   -8      -0.04    51.22    -4.88    54.70     9.50   -15.83     0.07     0.20     2.86     0.67P   26.58R    3.52  
Barnsley          8    9   +0      -3.70    18.43    -2.61    64.88    10.97     5.61     1.91     4.81    23.10     9.59P    6.44R    0.58  
Walsall           9    8   -4      -4.04    16.40    -3.78    56.02     9.57    -7.05     0.10     0.39     4.22     1.17P   20.87R    2.44  
Port_Vale         9    8   -6      -2.29    30.21    -2.69    50.14     9.88   -19.93     0.04     0.11     1.43     0.35P   44.03R    9.07  
Scunthorpe        9    7  -12      -1.63    35.94    -5.90    45.66    10.01   -31.52     0.01     0.03     0.47     0.09P   62.92R   20.69  
Colchester        9    6   -4      -4.34    14.09    -1.16    51.85     9.92   -11.14     0.03     0.15     2.11     0.55P   36.21R    6.62  
Crewe             8    4  -13      -3.59    16.95    -7.09    39.85     9.61   -40.33     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   82.10R   44.06  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 September 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Bury                  9   20   +9       4.96    88.35     4.98    80.52     9.95    23.70    30.74    60.66    85.52    67.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion         9   19   +3       5.94    92.27     1.88    72.26     9.73     7.23     7.98    26.72    58.66    34.12P    0.30R    0.09  
Wycombe               9   18   +6       5.67    91.38     5.83    70.70     9.80     9.46     6.17    22.33    53.07    29.41P    0.53R    0.14  
Southend              9   17   +4       2.58    72.96     0.94    76.84     9.70    17.40    17.18    45.55    76.45    54.85P    0.06R    0.01  
Morecambe             9   16   +4       3.66    81.04     3.99    65.04     9.81     1.98     2.09     9.77    31.13    14.31P    2.20R    0.77  
Shrewsbury            9   15   +5      -0.32    46.70     0.59    75.27    10.27    19.04    15.41    39.98    70.68    49.95P    0.21R    0.06  
Cheltenham            9   15   +2       2.61    74.28     1.80    64.98     9.70     1.58     1.86     9.08    30.41    13.87P    2.19R    0.79  
Mansfield             9   15   +0       3.34    79.11     0.94    59.38     9.61    -9.11     0.52     3.14    14.06     5.30P    7.35R    2.99  
Northampton           9   14   +4       1.40    63.24     3.57    62.41     9.89     0.68     1.36     6.43    22.98     9.96P    4.10R    1.62  
AFC_Wimbledon         9   14   +3       2.43    72.45     4.13    62.06     9.97    -1.06     1.13     6.01    21.86     9.29P    4.83R    1.92  
Portsmouth            9   14   +2       0.61    55.94     0.32    66.71    10.03     5.16     3.17    13.33    37.68    19.22P    1.79R    0.64  
Plymouth              9   13   +4       0.86    58.79     4.11    63.45     9.84     4.28     1.48     7.40    26.33    11.92P    3.28R    1.23  
Luton                 9   12   -1       0.40    54.78    -0.14    60.62    10.02    -3.14     0.77     4.51    18.12     7.57P    6.46R    2.66  
Cambridge_Utd         9   11   +3      -0.24    48.98     4.55    53.29    10.03    -9.16     0.14     1.09     5.93     2.07P   21.17R   10.95  
Stevenage             9   11   -3      -1.62    35.61    -3.50    67.89    10.47     6.40     4.21    16.59    42.68    23.89P    1.80R    0.70  
Newport_County        9   10   -2      -0.42    47.15     0.82    54.72     9.65   -10.55     0.19     1.13     6.49     2.14P   17.10R    8.27  
Accrington_Stanley    9   10   -6      -0.21    49.38    -2.61    56.97    10.07   -12.11     0.31     2.14    10.45     3.76P   13.06R    6.25  
Tranmere              9    9   -1      -5.36    10.42    -4.00    66.63    10.52     9.43     3.85    14.60    38.95    21.93P    2.34R    0.97  
York                  9    9   -2      -3.04    23.18    -1.75    59.42     9.59    -1.63     0.50     3.17    14.33     5.94P    7.06R    2.81  
Exeter                9    9   -4      -2.80    25.45    -3.26    58.09     9.76    -6.08     0.41     2.44    11.90     4.43P    9.59R    4.24  
Dag_&_Red             9    8   -6      -3.06    23.47    -4.08    51.97     9.79   -16.40     0.09     0.65     4.05     1.34P   25.99R   13.99  
Oxford_Utd            9    7   -2      -5.41     9.14    -2.28    56.95     9.72    -2.58     0.30     1.97    10.04     4.07P   11.28R    5.16  
Hartlepool            9    7   -9      -3.48    19.77    -6.52    53.67     9.63   -14.14     0.11     0.80     5.18     1.74P   19.85R    9.97  
Carlisle              9    3  -13      -7.58     2.55   -10.32    49.17    10.49   -20.36     0.03     0.52     3.06     1.14P   37.45R   23.78  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 September 2014, Chester 2 1 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           11   25  +22       2.79    72.99    10.68    85.03     9.08    41.15    17.93    72.49    33.20P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay          11   24  +14       2.01    66.91     3.23    90.54     9.24    43.55    41.00    87.29    56.53P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          11   23  +13       3.61    78.86     5.69    81.53     9.36    30.23    10.06    57.62    20.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking           11   21   +9       4.96    86.54     7.55    72.53     9.41    14.77     1.61    21.70     5.08P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead        11   21   +5       3.62    78.79     1.04    75.73     9.27    15.65     2.99    32.18     8.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield     11   20   +7       2.94    73.54     4.00    70.49     9.04    11.39     0.81    14.66     3.49P    0.05R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   11   20   +3       0.44    53.10    -4.21    83.16     9.45    26.72    13.06    63.16    28.12P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        11   19   +5       3.75    77.67     4.80    61.47     9.98    -4.78     0.16     3.83     0.77P    1.58R    0.10  
Forest_Green     11   19   +5       1.41    61.61     1.11    73.42     9.18    15.41     1.75    24.01     6.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham          11   19   +0       2.79    72.77    -1.64    72.15     9.20     8.60     1.22    19.25     4.68P    0.04R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   11   18   +7       0.72    56.14     3.58    72.03     9.13    16.82     1.26    19.83     5.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster    11   18   +6      -0.82    42.56     0.16    71.73     9.12    15.12     1.19    18.50     5.13P    0.05R    0.00  
Grimsby          11   16  +11      -2.33    29.83     5.63    79.36     9.10    34.91     6.30    49.60    18.96P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        11   15   +1      -2.07    32.53    -2.11    69.11     9.14    10.83     0.58    11.85     2.99P    0.10R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     11   13   -5       0.63    56.76    -0.61    62.82     9.33    -2.34     0.07     3.48     0.54P    0.91R    0.04  
Chester          11   13   -7       2.59    73.89     0.36    52.62     8.91   -20.54     0.01     0.21     0.04P    8.88R    0.96  
Welling          11   10   -8      -2.37    29.99    -3.66    52.52     8.98   -16.22     0.01     0.21     0.06P    8.93R    0.97  
Alfreton_Town    11   10  -14      -2.58    28.05    -9.25    47.15     9.06   -33.61     0.00     0.04     0.01P   23.57R    3.85  
Dartford         11    9   -7      -3.39    22.12    -2.70    46.81     8.76   -22.95     0.00     0.02     0.01P   22.39R    3.29  
Southport        11    8  -11      -3.73    19.83    -5.33    45.50     8.76   -28.04     0.00     0.02     0.01P   27.55R    4.64  
Altrincham       11    8  -13      -1.74    36.56    -3.51    39.61     9.16   -42.82     0.00     0.01     0.00    55.44R   17.65  
Nuneaton         11    8  -13      -2.95    24.38    -6.80    48.41     8.76   -23.88     0.00     0.05     0.01P   17.67R    2.46  
Dover_Athletic   11    7  -13      -2.16    31.91    -2.98    40.89     9.24   -36.51     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.30R   13.56  
AFC_Telford      11    3  -17      -6.00     6.08    -5.03    31.85     9.02   -53.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.44R   52.46