Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 22 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 September 2014, Everton 2 3 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 5 13 +9 3.05 86.96 3.87 83.94 8.58 52.33 52.52 79.37 90.91 95.94 99.18 0.00 0.00 Southampton 5 10 +6 2.51 79.34 5.19 58.46 9.29 9.71 0.42 2.10 6.81 14.99 39.28 0.52R 0.04 Aston_Villa 5 10 +0 4.38 93.28 2.26 46.27 8.82 -15.59 0.01 0.06 0.30 1.00 5.32 9.34R 1.58 Arsenal 5 9 +4 0.07 49.15 0.75 70.73 9.26 30.22 6.51 21.15 44.03 63.46 85.48 0.02R 0.00 Swansea 5 9 +2 2.59 80.16 3.02 55.11 9.38 1.95 0.19 1.00 3.41 8.35 26.11 1.34R 0.13 Man_City 5 8 +3 -1.68 28.45 -1.75 80.48 8.50 50.14 32.45 67.44 84.61 92.60 98.21 0.00 0.00 Leicester 5 8 +1 3.29 87.04 4.88 50.30 9.81 -5.76 0.08 0.43 1.52 3.83 13.61 5.28R 0.89 West_Ham 5 7 +1 0.75 61.02 2.09 47.01 9.01 -9.05 0.02 0.10 0.45 1.39 6.60 7.90R 1.38 Tottenham 5 7 +1 -1.34 33.34 -1.22 56.25 9.40 5.92 0.25 1.45 4.60 10.65 30.67 1.09R 0.12 Hull 5 6 +0 -0.31 46.77 0.70 37.76 8.45 -23.08 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.08 0.68 35.09R 9.92 Liverpool 5 6 -1 -2.72 17.91 -4.02 69.58 9.33 30.18 5.69 18.29 39.25 59.14 82.89 0.02R 0.00 Man_Utd 5 5 +1 -5.05 5.05 -4.13 62.84 9.37 20.63 1.37 5.98 15.72 29.98 59.82 0.14R 0.01 Stoke 5 5 -1 -1.47 32.13 -0.18 43.50 8.70 -11.81 0.01 0.04 0.15 0.55 2.92 14.05R 2.71 Everton 5 5 -2 -2.74 18.99 -3.29 59.16 9.40 11.09 0.49 2.56 7.95 17.07 42.87 0.49R 0.07 Crystal_Palace 5 5 -2 -0.00 52.80 1.11 37.13 8.39 -24.42 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.48 37.94R 11.42 West_Brom 5 5 -4 -0.44 46.70 -1.72 43.25 8.96 -17.32 0.00 0.02 0.16 0.51 2.88 16.56R 3.58 Sunderland 5 4 -1 -2.15 24.76 0.13 40.46 8.79 -16.65 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.22 1.45 24.10R 5.87 QPR 5 4 -8 -0.59 44.60 -4.23 30.75 8.28 -40.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 69.02R 36.94 Burnley 5 3 -3 -1.79 27.07 0.28 36.42 8.79 -22.07 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.55 41.10R 13.79 Newcastle 5 3 -6 -2.73 17.21 -3.75 37.83 8.95 -25.94 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.11 0.93 36.00R 11.55Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 September 2014, Wigan 1 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Nott'm_Forest 8 18 +10 5.26 90.72 7.30 76.81 10.20 20.23 11.84 24.19 62.35 33.53P 0.13R 0.00 Norwich 8 17 +10 2.98 77.69 5.20 84.48 10.37 33.26 35.30 53.40 85.24 63.18P 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 8 17 +5 4.14 85.38 2.23 76.50 10.24 16.14 10.89 22.58 60.44 32.71P 0.10R 0.00 Watford 8 16 +7 2.38 72.50 2.84 75.34 10.34 18.10 9.45 20.35 56.46 29.53P 0.19R 0.01 Middlesbrough 8 15 +6 2.33 72.31 3.44 71.88 10.07 13.30 5.11 11.83 42.86 19.42P 0.44R 0.04 Sheff_Wed 8 15 +4 4.34 86.74 4.33 67.40 9.89 4.74 1.80 4.90 25.83 9.06P 1.23R 0.12 Ipswich 8 14 +4 3.15 79.57 4.15 68.94 10.02 8.46 2.68 7.18 31.76 12.72P 0.95R 0.10 Charlton 8 14 +3 3.83 83.88 3.94 62.41 9.73 -2.21 0.56 1.74 12.50 3.70P 3.84R 0.54 Derby 8 13 +5 -0.29 46.66 1.34 75.70 10.20 21.34 10.10 21.45 58.72 32.24P 0.18R 0.01 Blackburn 8 13 +0 2.06 70.15 0.11 69.05 10.33 5.81 2.98 7.56 32.61 13.23P 1.24R 0.14 Reading 8 13 +0 0.69 57.12 -2.10 71.32 10.24 9.40 4.59 10.96 40.31 18.33P 0.56R 0.05 Leeds_United 8 13 +0 2.41 73.37 0.66 60.91 9.91 -6.54 0.37 1.27 10.13 2.92P 5.76R 0.89 Millwall 8 11 +0 1.53 67.06 2.21 53.22 9.52 -14.21 0.04 0.13 2.14 0.47P 20.04R 4.47 Brentford 8 11 -4 1.75 68.44 -1.49 52.69 10.14 -20.11 0.05 0.22 2.44 0.60P 23.72R 6.24 Bournemouth 8 9 +1 -1.73 33.13 1.68 58.55 10.10 -3.20 0.26 0.82 7.47 2.17P 8.92R 1.82 Cardiff 8 9 -1 -1.82 32.77 -0.83 65.59 10.72 5.86 1.73 4.68 23.09 9.26P 2.89R 0.43 Wigan 8 8 +0 -4.56 12.22 -2.35 65.41 10.14 8.12 1.35 3.90 21.51 8.86P 2.29R 0.26 Brighton 8 8 -2 -4.52 12.06 -4.26 63.27 9.73 3.26 0.66 2.07 14.97 5.49P 2.97R 0.39 Rotherham 8 8 -4 -0.10 51.19 0.72 45.68 9.94 -27.46 0.01 0.03 0.48 0.10P 49.91R 20.46 Birmingham 8 7 -7 -2.02 30.60 -3.84 52.19 10.02 -18.39 0.06 0.19 2.04 0.54P 24.71R 7.04 Bolton 8 5 -6 -5.14 8.45 -4.82 55.09 10.04 -9.23 0.10 0.34 3.68 1.09P 16.11R 3.76 Huddersfield 8 5 -11 -3.23 19.99 -6.44 46.33 9.69 -28.28 0.01 0.04 0.43 0.11P 47.28R 18.22 Blackpool 8 2 -7 -6.40 2.63 -3.46 43.33 9.39 -22.32 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 58.09R 25.65 Fulham 8 1 -13 -8.61 0.60 -10.55 51.52 10.86 -16.06 0.05 0.15 2.41 0.72P 28.43R 9.34League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 September 2014, Colchester 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 9 21 +11 5.69 91.14 6.42 81.78 10.28 26.33 26.18 43.20 79.34 52.13P 0.06R 0.00 MK_Dons 8 16 +10 2.40 72.02 5.89 77.97 10.59 25.10 16.32 30.10 67.91 40.03P 0.33R 0.01 Peterborough 9 16 +4 1.10 59.51 0.11 77.06 10.24 19.66 13.19 26.09 64.61 36.63P 0.27R 0.01 Swindon 8 15 +7 0.87 57.90 2.15 75.85 10.44 20.10 11.45 22.91 60.29 32.76P 0.52R 0.03 Chesterfield 8 14 +4 2.99 77.37 3.98 66.86 10.96 4.99 2.71 6.45 27.87 10.99P 4.62R 0.41 Bradford 9 14 +2 2.48 72.84 3.11 63.84 9.79 1.12 0.83 2.42 16.75 5.22P 5.78R 0.38 Rochdale 9 13 +7 0.99 59.66 7.57 62.37 10.89 4.47 1.15 3.07 16.50 5.90P 9.80R 1.01 Preston 8 13 +5 -0.67 42.89 1.05 75.60 10.38 20.70 11.14 22.31 59.42 33.01P 0.48R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 9 13 +2 2.47 73.11 4.59 53.60 9.95 -12.79 0.11 0.35 3.10 0.82P 30.53R 4.46 Sheff_Utd 8 13 -1 1.89 68.66 -1.30 70.91 10.11 7.80 4.09 9.99 40.03 17.38P 1.41R 0.06 Coventry 9 12 +0 -0.66 44.37 -0.38 65.26 10.24 3.68 1.43 4.04 21.94 8.09P 4.98R 0.42 Gillingham 9 12 -1 1.39 64.23 1.79 56.78 9.82 -10.26 0.11 0.52 5.12 1.25P 20.16R 2.25 Yeovil 9 12 -2 -1.09 40.51 -3.21 62.68 10.52 -2.01 0.97 2.70 15.89 5.79P 8.72R 0.77 Oldham 9 11 +0 -0.27 48.44 1.33 57.72 9.69 -5.07 0.19 0.63 5.97 1.70P 16.38R 1.71 Doncaster 8 11 -2 -0.49 45.64 -2.79 64.66 10.73 0.65 1.55 4.04 21.14 8.10P 6.47R 0.58 Notts_County 8 10 +1 -0.70 43.68 1.45 62.02 10.34 0.94 0.69 2.11 14.21 4.66P 9.20R 0.87 Leyton_Orient 8 10 +0 -3.46 19.03 -3.63 72.03 10.30 14.80 5.75 13.37 45.66 23.09P 1.13R 0.06 Crawley_Town 9 10 -8 -0.04 51.22 -4.88 54.70 9.50 -15.83 0.07 0.20 2.86 0.67P 26.58R 3.52 Barnsley 8 9 +0 -3.70 18.43 -2.61 64.88 10.97 5.61 1.91 4.81 23.10 9.59P 6.44R 0.58 Walsall 9 8 -4 -4.04 16.40 -3.78 56.02 9.57 -7.05 0.10 0.39 4.22 1.17P 20.87R 2.44 Port_Vale 9 8 -6 -2.29 30.21 -2.69 50.14 9.88 -19.93 0.04 0.11 1.43 0.35P 44.03R 9.07 Scunthorpe 9 7 -12 -1.63 35.94 -5.90 45.66 10.01 -31.52 0.01 0.03 0.47 0.09P 62.92R 20.69 Colchester 9 6 -4 -4.34 14.09 -1.16 51.85 9.92 -11.14 0.03 0.15 2.11 0.55P 36.21R 6.62 Crewe 8 4 -13 -3.59 16.95 -7.09 39.85 9.61 -40.33 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 82.10R 44.06League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 September 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Bury 9 20 +9 4.96 88.35 4.98 80.52 9.95 23.70 30.74 60.66 85.52 67.77P 0.02R 0.00 Burton_Albion 9 19 +3 5.94 92.27 1.88 72.26 9.73 7.23 7.98 26.72 58.66 34.12P 0.30R 0.09 Wycombe 9 18 +6 5.67 91.38 5.83 70.70 9.80 9.46 6.17 22.33 53.07 29.41P 0.53R 0.14 Southend 9 17 +4 2.58 72.96 0.94 76.84 9.70 17.40 17.18 45.55 76.45 54.85P 0.06R 0.01 Morecambe 9 16 +4 3.66 81.04 3.99 65.04 9.81 1.98 2.09 9.77 31.13 14.31P 2.20R 0.77 Shrewsbury 9 15 +5 -0.32 46.70 0.59 75.27 10.27 19.04 15.41 39.98 70.68 49.95P 0.21R 0.06 Cheltenham 9 15 +2 2.61 74.28 1.80 64.98 9.70 1.58 1.86 9.08 30.41 13.87P 2.19R 0.79 Mansfield 9 15 +0 3.34 79.11 0.94 59.38 9.61 -9.11 0.52 3.14 14.06 5.30P 7.35R 2.99 Northampton 9 14 +4 1.40 63.24 3.57 62.41 9.89 0.68 1.36 6.43 22.98 9.96P 4.10R 1.62 AFC_Wimbledon 9 14 +3 2.43 72.45 4.13 62.06 9.97 -1.06 1.13 6.01 21.86 9.29P 4.83R 1.92 Portsmouth 9 14 +2 0.61 55.94 0.32 66.71 10.03 5.16 3.17 13.33 37.68 19.22P 1.79R 0.64 Plymouth 9 13 +4 0.86 58.79 4.11 63.45 9.84 4.28 1.48 7.40 26.33 11.92P 3.28R 1.23 Luton 9 12 -1 0.40 54.78 -0.14 60.62 10.02 -3.14 0.77 4.51 18.12 7.57P 6.46R 2.66 Cambridge_Utd 9 11 +3 -0.24 48.98 4.55 53.29 10.03 -9.16 0.14 1.09 5.93 2.07P 21.17R 10.95 Stevenage 9 11 -3 -1.62 35.61 -3.50 67.89 10.47 6.40 4.21 16.59 42.68 23.89P 1.80R 0.70 Newport_County 9 10 -2 -0.42 47.15 0.82 54.72 9.65 -10.55 0.19 1.13 6.49 2.14P 17.10R 8.27 Accrington_Stanley 9 10 -6 -0.21 49.38 -2.61 56.97 10.07 -12.11 0.31 2.14 10.45 3.76P 13.06R 6.25 Tranmere 9 9 -1 -5.36 10.42 -4.00 66.63 10.52 9.43 3.85 14.60 38.95 21.93P 2.34R 0.97 York 9 9 -2 -3.04 23.18 -1.75 59.42 9.59 -1.63 0.50 3.17 14.33 5.94P 7.06R 2.81 Exeter 9 9 -4 -2.80 25.45 -3.26 58.09 9.76 -6.08 0.41 2.44 11.90 4.43P 9.59R 4.24 Dag_&_Red 9 8 -6 -3.06 23.47 -4.08 51.97 9.79 -16.40 0.09 0.65 4.05 1.34P 25.99R 13.99 Oxford_Utd 9 7 -2 -5.41 9.14 -2.28 56.95 9.72 -2.58 0.30 1.97 10.04 4.07P 11.28R 5.16 Hartlepool 9 7 -9 -3.48 19.77 -6.52 53.67 9.63 -14.14 0.11 0.80 5.18 1.74P 19.85R 9.97 Carlisle 9 3 -13 -7.58 2.55 -10.32 49.17 10.49 -20.36 0.03 0.52 3.06 1.14P 37.45R 23.78Conference (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 September 2014, Chester 2 1 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 11 25 +22 2.79 72.99 10.68 85.03 9.08 41.15 17.93 72.49 33.20P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 11 24 +14 2.01 66.91 3.23 90.54 9.24 43.55 41.00 87.29 56.53P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 11 23 +13 3.61 78.86 5.69 81.53 9.36 30.23 10.06 57.62 20.56P 0.00R 0.00 Woking 11 21 +9 4.96 86.54 7.55 72.53 9.41 14.77 1.61 21.70 5.08P 0.03R 0.00 Gateshead 11 21 +5 3.62 78.79 1.04 75.73 9.27 15.65 2.99 32.18 8.45P 0.02R 0.00 Macclesfield 11 20 +7 2.94 73.54 4.00 70.49 9.04 11.39 0.81 14.66 3.49P 0.05R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 11 20 +3 0.44 53.10 -4.21 83.16 9.45 26.72 13.06 63.16 28.12P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 11 19 +5 3.75 77.67 4.80 61.47 9.98 -4.78 0.16 3.83 0.77P 1.58R 0.10 Forest_Green 11 19 +5 1.41 61.61 1.11 73.42 9.18 15.41 1.75 24.01 6.19P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 11 19 +0 2.79 72.77 -1.64 72.15 9.20 8.60 1.22 19.25 4.68P 0.04R 0.00 Braintree_Town 11 18 +7 0.72 56.14 3.58 72.03 9.13 16.82 1.26 19.83 5.18P 0.03R 0.00 Kidderminster 11 18 +6 -0.82 42.56 0.16 71.73 9.12 15.12 1.19 18.50 5.13P 0.05R 0.00 Grimsby 11 16 +11 -2.33 29.83 5.63 79.36 9.10 34.91 6.30 49.60 18.96P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 11 15 +1 -2.07 32.53 -2.11 69.11 9.14 10.83 0.58 11.85 2.99P 0.10R 0.00 Lincoln_City 11 13 -5 0.63 56.76 -0.61 62.82 9.33 -2.34 0.07 3.48 0.54P 0.91R 0.04 Chester 11 13 -7 2.59 73.89 0.36 52.62 8.91 -20.54 0.01 0.21 0.04P 8.88R 0.96 Welling 11 10 -8 -2.37 29.99 -3.66 52.52 8.98 -16.22 0.01 0.21 0.06P 8.93R 0.97 Alfreton_Town 11 10 -14 -2.58 28.05 -9.25 47.15 9.06 -33.61 0.00 0.04 0.01P 23.57R 3.85 Dartford 11 9 -7 -3.39 22.12 -2.70 46.81 8.76 -22.95 0.00 0.02 0.01P 22.39R 3.29 Southport 11 8 -11 -3.73 19.83 -5.33 45.50 8.76 -28.04 0.00 0.02 0.01P 27.55R 4.64 Altrincham 11 8 -13 -1.74 36.56 -3.51 39.61 9.16 -42.82 0.00 0.01 0.00 55.44R 17.65 Nuneaton 11 8 -13 -2.95 24.38 -6.80 48.41 8.76 -23.88 0.00 0.05 0.01P 17.67R 2.46 Dover_Athletic 11 7 -13 -2.16 31.91 -2.98 40.89 9.24 -36.51 0.00 0.01 0.00P 49.30R 13.56 AFC_Telford 11 3 -17 -6.00 6.08 -5.03 31.85 9.02 -53.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.44R 52.46