Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 18 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 September 2014, Hull 2 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 4 12 +9 3.36 90.55 3.75 83.89 8.86 51.66 48.63 75.01 88.44 94.64 98.97 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 4 10 +3 5.08 97.65 4.14 48.68 8.97 -10.79 0.01 0.11 0.48 1.59 7.45 4.77R 0.77 Swansea 4 9 +3 3.89 92.53 3.89 57.01 9.57 3.72 0.31 1.45 4.39 10.09 29.69 0.82R 0.09 Southampton 4 7 +5 0.93 64.52 4.30 56.06 9.38 7.46 0.19 1.08 3.43 8.49 26.90 0.89R 0.08 Man_City 4 7 +3 -1.11 33.65 -1.42 81.00 8.72 50.44 33.33 65.29 82.74 91.28 97.97 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 4 7 +2 0.37 56.12 0.29 59.18 9.64 9.41 0.50 2.44 6.97 14.93 38.83 0.43R 0.04 Arsenal 4 6 +1 -0.77 37.23 -1.00 68.17 9.42 25.36 3.50 12.61 28.41 47.27 75.75 0.02R 0.00 Liverpool 4 6 +1 -0.94 34.65 -1.38 73.38 9.36 36.49 10.21 28.68 51.91 69.26 89.26 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 4 5 +3 -3.26 10.96 -1.39 65.72 9.46 24.67 2.39 9.01 21.09 37.03 67.51 0.08R 0.00 Hull 4 5 +0 -0.11 50.68 0.43 38.16 8.53 -22.63 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.10 0.64 29.91R 7.80 Everton 4 5 -1 -0.97 37.04 -1.67 62.03 9.60 14.42 0.91 4.16 11.30 22.52 51.23 0.25R 0.01 Leicester 4 5 -1 1.48 74.25 2.43 45.63 9.74 -12.22 0.01 0.09 0.40 1.16 5.25 11.09R 2.27 West_Ham 4 4 -1 -1.22 34.65 -0.59 43.09 9.12 -14.86 0.00 0.02 0.13 0.46 2.49 14.77R 3.19 Stoke 4 4 -1 -0.93 37.52 0.03 44.65 8.95 -10.33 0.00 0.02 0.16 0.59 3.43 10.74R 2.02 Sunderland 4 3 -1 -1.79 25.38 0.15 41.17 8.99 -16.31 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.22 1.63 19.63R 4.61 QPR 4 3 -8 -0.43 44.49 -4.55 30.83 8.51 -40.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.09 65.26R 33.11 Crystal_Palace 4 2 -3 -2.26 19.99 -1.01 33.73 8.39 -27.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 50.16R 18.96 Burnley 4 2 -3 -1.47 30.41 0.26 36.90 9.14 -22.28 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.66 36.46R 11.71 West_Brom 4 2 -5 -2.31 20.11 -3.11 39.94 9.04 -21.29 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.17 1.20 24.67R 6.60 Newcastle 4 2 -6 -2.21 19.77 -3.57 38.59 9.09 -24.94 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.09 0.91 30.04R 8.74Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 17 September 2014, Blackburn 2 3 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Nott'm_Forest 7 17 +10 5.80 94.50 7.54 77.51 10.53 20.74 11.44 24.70 64.10 33.81P 0.15R 0.01 Norwich 7 16 +10 3.93 85.73 6.13 86.92 10.74 36.51 41.48 60.21 88.79 69.34P 0.01R 0.00 Watford 7 15 +7 3.18 80.40 3.51 77.05 10.71 20.30 10.72 23.78 62.51 33.58P 0.19R 0.02 Wolverhampton 7 14 +4 3.06 79.71 2.01 75.07 10.74 15.45 7.71 18.07 54.95 28.09P 0.35R 0.03 Charlton 7 13 +3 4.41 88.66 4.28 62.91 10.12 -2.22 0.57 1.93 14.14 4.11P 4.42R 0.66 Reading 7 13 +1 1.85 69.23 -1.41 73.33 10.69 11.40 5.96 14.30 48.00 22.71P 0.51R 0.08 Derby 7 12 +5 0.45 54.43 1.89 76.76 10.49 22.48 10.72 22.94 62.34 34.37P 0.17R 0.03 Sheff_Wed 7 12 +3 2.85 78.77 3.56 65.36 10.23 2.92 1.12 3.32 20.76 6.71P 2.65R 0.41 Middlesbrough 7 12 +2 1.67 67.41 0.85 68.38 10.20 6.47 2.15 5.94 29.74 11.48P 1.12R 0.13 Ipswich 7 11 +3 1.40 66.02 2.98 66.17 10.22 5.83 1.33 3.95 22.95 8.29P 2.19R 0.31 Brentford 7 11 +0 2.08 71.97 0.89 56.01 10.62 -12.80 0.14 0.57 5.49 1.55P 16.22R 3.80 Millwall 7 10 +0 1.68 69.32 2.00 53.36 9.96 -15.00 0.06 0.24 2.70 0.61P 21.52R 5.05 Blackburn 7 10 -1 0.47 55.66 -0.79 66.56 10.64 3.29 1.56 4.68 24.80 9.17P 2.62R 0.35 Leeds_United 7 10 -3 1.45 66.36 -1.28 58.03 10.20 -11.69 0.19 0.73 6.60 1.81P 11.07R 2.25 Bournemouth 7 8 +1 -1.74 32.45 1.00 57.92 10.50 -5.05 0.20 0.79 7.51 2.13P 11.55R 2.48 Wigan 7 8 +1 -3.15 19.83 -1.32 68.29 10.31 11.34 2.15 5.91 30.39 12.57P 1.40R 0.17 Cardiff 7 8 -1 -1.68 33.22 -1.17 64.84 10.88 4.11 1.21 3.69 20.88 8.15P 3.77R 0.64 Brighton 7 7 -2 -3.77 14.93 -3.73 64.92 10.18 4.94 0.93 2.99 19.71 7.50P 2.69R 0.38 Rotherham 7 7 -4 0.28 55.46 0.81 46.28 10.29 -27.44 0.02 0.05 0.72 0.16P 48.65R 20.00 Birmingham 7 6 -7 -2.26 27.10 -4.93 50.60 10.24 -21.84 0.02 0.11 1.66 0.39P 31.88R 10.03 Bolton 7 5 -5 -4.42 11.01 -4.68 56.15 10.44 -8.87 0.15 0.52 5.30 1.64P 15.08R 3.43 Huddersfield 7 5 -8 -2.50 24.59 -4.49 48.45 10.11 -24.24 0.01 0.06 0.90 0.17P 39.40R 13.89 Blackpool 7 1 -7 -6.45 1.67 -3.89 43.03 9.69 -23.72 0.00 0.01 0.18 0.05P 60.30R 28.80 Fulham 7 1 -12 -7.38 1.19 -9.73 54.38 11.39 -12.90 0.16 0.50 4.88 1.63P 22.11R 7.05League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 17 September 2014, Fleetwood_Town 0 0 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 8 20 +11 6.44 95.34 6.98 83.05 10.44 27.48 30.27 48.05 82.33 56.89P 0.04R 0.00 Peterborough 8 16 +5 2.35 71.67 0.89 79.45 10.42 22.21 18.87 34.63 72.27 45.02P 0.17R 0.00 Chesterfield 7 14 +5 3.92 85.42 4.30 68.68 11.12 6.89 4.03 9.03 33.86 14.40P 3.42R 0.32 MK_Dons 7 13 +5 2.18 71.79 3.21 74.66 10.77 17.45 9.76 20.17 55.62 28.75P 0.77R 0.06 Bradford 8 13 +2 2.74 75.97 2.99 64.06 10.11 0.89 1.00 2.93 18.22 5.96P 6.03R 0.57 Sheff_Utd 7 13 +2 2.75 77.31 0.96 73.65 10.16 12.68 6.55 15.44 50.99 24.67P 0.72R 0.03 Swindon 7 12 +4 -0.03 49.02 0.38 72.22 10.57 14.13 6.37 14.08 46.33 22.27P 1.20R 0.07 Fleetwood_Town 8 12 +2 2.58 75.32 4.08 53.58 10.28 -12.74 0.09 0.35 3.55 0.94P 30.97R 5.48 Coventry 8 12 +1 0.64 56.40 0.43 66.89 10.59 5.00 2.33 5.92 27.36 10.69P 4.09R 0.30 Gillingham 8 11 -1 1.76 68.33 1.84 56.81 10.29 -10.90 0.20 0.70 6.11 1.61P 20.79R 3.04 Rochdale 8 10 +6 -0.26 48.43 7.17 59.76 11.04 1.90 0.66 1.92 12.23 4.02P 14.55R 2.11 Preston 7 10 +3 -1.56 33.34 0.05 74.03 10.61 18.84 8.87 18.65 53.68 29.06P 0.81R 0.04 Oldham 8 10 +0 -0.06 50.46 1.12 57.42 9.94 -6.11 0.17 0.64 6.22 1.69P 17.71R 2.32 Crawley_Town 8 10 -6 0.69 58.66 -3.88 56.07 9.79 -13.80 0.13 0.44 4.34 1.09P 22.06R 3.20 Barnsley 7 9 +1 -2.34 27.00 -1.61 67.48 11.24 8.49 3.39 8.10 31.01 14.23P 4.43R 0.38 Notts_County 7 9 +1 -0.20 48.67 1.65 63.11 10.54 2.10 0.98 2.72 17.26 5.91P 7.92R 0.83 Yeovil 8 9 -3 -2.60 26.36 -3.97 59.85 10.77 -4.77 0.61 1.74 11.22 4.02P 14.09R 1.88 Doncaster 7 8 -3 -1.86 31.32 -3.46 62.41 10.87 -1.04 1.10 2.88 16.19 6.04P 9.65R 1.13 Leyton_Orient 7 7 -1 -4.54 10.81 -3.80 70.76 10.45 14.36 4.40 10.81 41.48 20.12P 1.75R 0.14 Walsall 8 7 -4 -3.82 16.38 -3.96 56.53 9.88 -6.79 0.16 0.49 5.18 1.51P 19.63R 2.58 Scunthorpe 8 7 -11 -0.89 42.98 -6.01 46.75 10.40 -30.76 0.01 0.05 0.88 0.17P 58.26R 19.82 Colchester 8 5 -4 -3.94 14.97 -1.09 52.34 10.17 -11.02 0.05 0.20 2.51 0.66P 34.35R 7.22 Port_Vale 8 5 -7 -3.96 15.30 -3.76 47.62 10.10 -22.23 0.01 0.06 0.91 0.22P 53.73R 15.62 Crewe 7 4 -8 -3.49 16.55 -4.52 42.56 9.95 -32.27 0.00 0.01 0.24 0.04P 72.86R 32.85League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 September 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 3 0 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 8 19 +5 6.77 95.80 3.12 74.05 9.89 9.86 11.04 32.43 64.42 39.84P 0.18R 0.04 Bury 8 17 +7 3.97 84.32 3.93 77.79 10.08 20.08 21.05 48.34 77.71 56.50P 0.07R 0.02 Wycombe 8 17 +6 5.76 93.24 5.45 70.98 9.94 9.37 6.64 22.80 53.28 29.80P 0.51R 0.15 Morecambe 8 16 +5 4.74 88.80 4.58 66.57 10.03 3.11 3.29 12.46 36.07 17.26P 1.66R 0.56 Northampton 8 14 +5 2.99 78.01 4.85 64.88 9.89 3.67 2.04 9.32 29.98 14.00P 2.24R 0.81 Shrewsbury 8 14 +5 0.53 55.09 1.30 77.27 10.40 21.41 20.53 46.91 75.84 56.01P 0.08R 0.01 Southend 8 14 +3 1.09 60.65 0.15 74.34 9.77 15.25 11.83 34.22 66.92 44.03P 0.13R 0.04 Cheltenham 8 14 +2 3.25 80.19 2.20 66.14 10.02 2.77 2.71 11.54 34.14 16.62P 1.75R 0.59 Portsmouth 8 13 +2 1.10 61.37 0.50 67.47 10.14 5.71 3.76 14.60 39.61 20.60P 1.47R 0.50 Mansfield 8 12 -1 2.03 70.55 0.35 57.32 9.71 -10.47 0.37 1.92 9.80 3.35P 10.62R 4.66 Cambridge_Utd 8 11 +4 0.96 60.62 5.34 55.32 10.24 -7.25 0.35 1.82 8.57 3.15P 15.69R 7.57 AFC_Wimbledon 8 11 +2 1.10 62.19 3.56 59.99 10.12 -2.81 0.76 3.98 16.64 6.47P 7.10R 3.06 Plymouth 8 10 +2 -0.29 47.95 2.79 60.77 9.88 0.84 0.71 4.32 18.00 7.36P 5.53R 2.29 Stevenage 8 10 -3 -1.35 37.28 -3.63 68.38 10.88 6.66 5.36 17.93 43.83 25.37P 1.78R 0.67 Tranmere 8 9 +0 -3.73 17.29 -2.67 69.71 10.80 13.06 6.96 22.08 49.57 30.74P 1.20R 0.46 York 8 9 -1 -1.71 33.37 -0.80 60.87 9.79 -0.29 0.76 4.29 17.84 7.55P 5.28R 2.14 Newport_County 8 9 -2 -0.48 46.30 0.24 54.27 9.88 -11.94 0.15 1.09 6.09 2.03P 18.12R 9.28 Luton 8 9 -2 -1.14 39.37 -1.01 57.75 10.39 -5.92 0.55 2.91 12.42 5.06P 10.85R 5.04 Dag_&_Red 8 7 -6 -2.92 22.89 -4.38 51.87 9.98 -17.05 0.08 0.62 3.96 1.30P 25.65R 14.00 Accrington_Stanley 8 7 -7 -1.94 31.28 -3.92 53.68 10.02 -15.11 0.13 0.93 5.41 1.84P 20.26R 10.61 Hartlepool 8 7 -7 -2.63 25.11 -5.24 56.17 9.78 -10.46 0.26 1.44 8.06 2.89P 13.16R 6.19 Oxford_Utd 8 6 -2 -5.07 9.08 -2.31 57.38 9.91 -2.53 0.36 2.15 10.87 4.26P 10.41R 4.76 Exeter 8 6 -5 -4.57 11.78 -4.53 54.85 9.95 -9.42 0.20 1.26 6.95 2.50P 16.12R 8.15 Carlisle 8 3 -12 -6.53 3.61 -9.86 50.89 10.66 -18.55 0.10 0.65 4.03 1.46P 30.14R 18.39Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 September 2014, Aldershot 1 3 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 10 22 +17 2.76 73.11 8.55 83.10 9.39 35.49 14.80 65.49 28.32P 0.00R 0.00 Torquay 10 21 +12 1.43 62.24 3.04 90.43 9.61 43.92 43.16 86.77 58.29P 0.00 0.00 Woking 10 21 +11 5.58 90.27 8.40 73.51 9.76 16.05 2.65 26.72 6.87P 0.06R 0.00 Halifax 10 20 +8 3.48 78.41 3.60 79.36 9.65 24.42 8.00 49.46 17.15P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 10 20 +5 4.03 82.57 1.18 76.84 9.70 16.74 4.70 38.15 11.61P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 10 19 +1 4.05 82.27 -0.86 74.38 9.52 10.68 2.61 28.32 7.74P 0.03R 0.00 Braintree_Town 10 18 +8 1.82 66.08 4.20 73.86 9.52 18.30 2.61 27.40 8.18P 0.02R 0.00 Kidderminster 10 18 +7 0.51 54.25 1.15 74.02 9.53 17.43 2.70 28.10 8.65P 0.05R 0.00 Macclesfield 10 17 +4 2.33 69.86 2.48 68.30 9.38 7.43 0.61 11.40 2.57P 0.18R 0.01 Bristol_Rovers 10 17 +1 -0.27 47.07 -4.69 81.35 9.82 24.33 11.09 57.54 25.02P 0.01R 0.00 Eastleigh 10 16 +4 2.36 69.47 4.20 59.01 10.33 -7.44 0.12 3.07 0.62P 3.63R 0.43 Forest_Green 10 16 +4 0.03 50.22 0.51 71.19 9.48 13.25 1.35 18.81 5.04P 0.08R 0.00 Grimsby 10 13 +10 -4.06 16.75 4.55 77.08 9.38 32.73 4.79 41.23 15.84P 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 10 13 -4 1.48 64.25 -0.43 63.81 9.73 -1.98 0.24 5.48 1.03P 1.11R 0.08 Aldershot 10 12 +0 -3.13 23.75 -2.19 68.00 9.48 10.53 0.55 11.33 2.98P 0.23R 0.01 Chester 10 10 -8 1.02 61.74 -0.52 49.75 9.14 -23.40 0.00 0.10 0.01P 16.91R 2.85 Dartford 10 9 -6 -2.23 30.09 -2.09 48.73 9.19 -20.92 0.00 0.10 0.01P 19.03R 3.06 Welling 10 9 -8 -1.99 32.48 -3.65 52.66 9.27 -16.56 0.00 0.28 0.02P 10.21R 1.42 Altrincham 10 8 -8 -2.03 33.67 -1.85 42.42 9.74 -34.11 0.00 0.04 0.02P 44.77R 14.13 Southport 10 8 -8 -3.21 22.90 -3.75 46.97 9.14 -24.66 0.00 0.06 0.01P 24.82R 4.58 Nuneaton 10 8 -12 -1.80 33.83 -6.14 49.67 9.20 -23.13 0.00 0.12 0.01P 17.09R 2.95 Dover_Athletic 10 7 -11 -1.78 35.48 -2.74 40.71 9.58 -37.60 0.00 0.01 0.00 52.20R 17.67 Alfreton_Town 10 7 -15 -3.57 19.29 -9.21 45.33 9.35 -35.17 0.00 0.03 0.00P 32.56R 7.50 AFC_Telford 10 3 -12 -6.25 5.32 -3.73 34.02 9.57 -46.32 0.00 0.01 0.00 76.98R 45.32