Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 15 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 September 2014, Hull 2 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 4 12 +9 3.38 90.61 3.79 83.89 8.89 51.64 48.92 75.12 88.17 94.56 98.89 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 4 10 +3 5.07 97.71 4.12 48.53 9.04 -10.99 0.02 0.14 0.52 1.65 7.49 4.97R 0.69 Swansea 4 9 +3 3.91 92.67 3.94 56.88 9.53 3.50 0.24 1.39 4.39 9.92 29.03 0.80R 0.08 Southampton 4 7 +5 0.93 64.44 4.31 56.08 9.44 7.47 0.23 1.12 3.57 8.70 26.95 0.82R 0.11 Man_City 4 7 +3 -1.13 33.52 -1.43 80.92 8.70 50.19 33.07 64.87 82.35 90.96 97.88 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 4 7 +2 0.31 55.36 0.22 59.39 9.65 9.75 0.53 2.58 7.24 15.46 39.83 0.41R 0.05 Arsenal 4 6 +1 -0.72 37.99 -0.94 68.19 9.43 25.39 3.63 12.89 28.59 46.88 75.88 0.03R 0.00 Liverpool 4 6 +1 -0.94 34.46 -1.35 73.22 9.35 36.06 9.89 28.24 51.48 69.02 88.77 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 4 5 +3 -3.31 10.64 -1.44 65.79 9.46 24.79 2.52 9.06 21.24 37.20 67.59 0.05R 0.00 Hull 4 5 +0 -0.10 50.75 0.43 38.04 8.55 -22.64 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.65 30.74R 8.33 Everton 4 5 -1 -0.96 37.03 -1.63 62.11 9.62 14.53 0.92 4.43 11.68 22.94 51.52 0.18R 0.02 Leicester 4 5 -1 1.42 73.37 2.33 45.79 9.68 -11.87 0.01 0.06 0.35 1.09 5.43 10.69R 2.35 West_Ham 4 4 -1 -1.24 34.50 -0.63 43.43 9.08 -14.33 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.46 2.72 14.04R 2.87 Stoke 4 4 -1 -0.89 38.36 0.11 44.28 8.94 -10.91 0.00 0.02 0.14 0.51 3.09 11.49R 2.29 Sunderland 4 3 -1 -1.70 26.28 0.26 40.86 8.84 -16.83 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.19 1.36 20.39R 4.77 QPR 4 3 -8 -0.43 44.45 -4.55 30.92 8.41 -39.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 65.08R 32.63 Crystal_Palace 4 2 -3 -2.27 19.86 -1.02 33.89 8.40 -27.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.20 49.72R 18.60 Burnley 4 2 -3 -1.48 30.14 0.23 36.99 9.09 -22.07 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.69 36.15R 11.76 West_Brom 4 2 -5 -2.35 19.60 -3.18 40.02 8.97 -21.16 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.18 1.11 24.06R 6.37 Newcastle 4 2 -6 -2.18 20.36 -3.55 38.55 9.06 -25.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.12 0.87 30.37R 9.09Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 September 2014, Nott'm_Forest 1 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Nott'm_Forest 6 14 +8 4.86 92.87 6.62 75.32 10.50 17.93 10.58 21.96 58.41 30.35P 0.34R 0.04 Norwich 6 13 +7 3.11 82.10 4.33 82.92 11.05 29.85 32.34 49.29 81.06 59.04P 0.05R 0.00 Wolverhampton 6 13 +4 3.50 84.68 2.12 75.62 10.75 15.74 11.19 22.92 58.19 32.53P 0.33R 0.02 Watford 6 12 +6 1.81 69.67 2.85 74.82 10.88 18.35 10.56 21.56 56.21 30.45P 0.48R 0.05 Charlton 6 12 +3 4.69 91.75 4.20 63.20 10.12 -2.20 0.94 2.67 16.07 4.99P 4.63R 0.66 Brentford 6 11 +3 2.86 80.50 3.06 59.46 10.80 -6.53 0.68 1.87 10.85 3.62P 10.49R 2.18 Millwall 6 10 +1 2.38 77.37 1.87 54.11 9.92 -14.59 0.08 0.36 3.35 0.84P 21.47R 5.28 Blackburn 6 10 +0 1.83 71.19 0.13 68.57 10.83 5.37 3.51 8.40 33.18 14.03P 2.17R 0.32 Reading 6 10 +0 0.89 60.78 -1.41 71.65 10.63 10.33 6.01 13.41 43.85 21.23P 0.84R 0.12 Derby 6 9 +4 -1.09 36.58 1.01 74.10 10.62 19.74 9.41 19.46 54.05 29.24P 0.43R 0.04 Middlesbrough 6 9 +1 -0.06 49.30 -0.28 65.28 10.28 3.34 1.67 4.35 21.88 8.34P 3.15R 0.52 Sheff_Wed 6 9 +1 1.33 66.50 1.72 62.17 10.31 -1.42 0.79 2.30 14.43 4.71P 6.25R 1.12 Bournemouth 6 8 +3 -0.28 47.62 3.06 61.63 10.61 0.71 0.84 2.53 14.40 5.04P 7.00R 1.34 Ipswich 6 8 +1 0.08 52.40 1.48 63.31 10.38 2.05 1.07 3.04 17.53 6.22P 4.78R 0.79 Cardiff 6 8 +0 -0.32 47.38 -0.22 67.59 11.19 7.19 3.30 7.92 30.83 13.80P 3.06R 0.47 Wigan 6 7 +1 -2.54 22.06 -0.98 69.31 10.55 12.33 4.03 9.42 36.00 16.72P 1.58R 0.22 Brighton 6 7 +0 -2.65 21.49 -2.07 67.03 10.23 8.07 2.19 5.94 27.73 11.96P 2.05R 0.29 Rotherham 6 7 -3 1.15 65.89 0.87 47.36 10.38 -26.44 0.04 0.10 1.02 0.26P 47.14R 19.82 Leeds_United 6 7 -5 -0.21 48.89 -3.35 54.46 10.24 -16.63 0.12 0.42 3.87 1.04P 21.64R 5.80 Birmingham 6 6 -5 -1.05 38.51 -3.18 53.53 10.50 -17.21 0.11 0.41 3.70 1.12P 24.75R 7.51 Huddersfield 6 4 -8 -2.34 24.10 -4.63 48.67 10.23 -24.73 0.03 0.10 1.15 0.27P 42.15R 15.96 Bolton 6 2 -6 -5.53 3.76 -4.88 54.65 10.43 -9.37 0.13 0.46 4.34 1.34P 20.59R 5.78 Blackpool 6 1 -6 -5.39 2.82 -3.35 44.78 9.91 -22.30 0.00 0.03 0.38 0.09P 56.00R 26.17 Fulham 6 1 -10 -6.68 1.43 -8.98 56.41 11.37 -9.58 0.37 1.08 7.53 2.77P 18.64R 5.50League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, Barnsley 3 5 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 7 17 +8 5.59 94.07 5.22 80.06 10.64 22.48 18.89 33.98 72.34 43.53P 0.16R 0.01 Peterborough 7 16 +6 3.94 85.60 2.25 82.78 10.60 26.33 26.76 44.62 80.17 54.33P 0.09R 0.00 MK_Dons 6 13 +6 3.65 85.36 4.35 77.50 10.96 20.72 13.73 26.38 63.65 35.60P 0.42R 0.01 Chesterfield 6 13 +5 4.15 88.66 4.06 67.97 11.29 5.56 3.22 7.60 30.34 12.42P 3.78R 0.24 Coventry 7 12 +2 2.30 73.05 1.87 69.91 10.66 8.67 3.67 8.80 35.81 14.75P 2.11R 0.14 Swindon 6 11 +4 0.49 55.44 0.60 73.05 10.79 14.81 6.72 14.71 47.77 23.42P 1.01R 0.04 Fleetwood_Town 7 11 +2 2.59 76.88 3.61 52.75 10.38 -14.82 0.07 0.27 2.84 0.70P 33.03R 5.76 Bradford 7 10 +1 1.16 63.21 2.04 61.43 10.32 -1.44 0.53 1.65 12.02 3.67P 9.47R 1.00 Sheff_Utd 6 10 +1 1.40 66.41 0.35 71.53 10.32 11.12 4.12 10.42 41.14 18.45P 1.10R 0.06 Preston 6 9 +3 -0.91 39.14 0.47 74.54 10.78 18.94 8.64 18.44 53.89 28.76P 0.72R 0.04 Oldham 7 9 +0 0.10 52.21 0.80 57.24 9.98 -6.59 0.16 0.50 5.57 1.45P 17.34R 2.03 Crawley_Town 7 9 -6 0.78 59.99 -4.21 56.24 10.01 -14.13 0.11 0.37 4.29 1.16P 20.87R 2.88 Barnsley 6 8 +1 -1.64 32.50 -1.14 68.97 11.59 10.30 4.32 9.56 34.38 15.92P 3.51R 0.30 Notts_County 6 8 +1 -0.00 51.27 1.37 63.07 10.82 1.48 1.00 2.71 16.68 5.67P 8.05R 0.74 Gillingham 7 8 -2 -0.13 50.30 0.38 53.99 10.24 -13.62 0.08 0.31 3.27 0.87P 28.22R 4.55 Yeovil 7 8 -3 -1.96 30.88 -3.55 61.37 11.21 -3.03 0.94 2.45 13.93 5.17P 11.54R 1.44 Rochdale 7 7 +2 -1.36 36.66 4.00 54.24 11.25 -8.08 0.16 0.56 5.05 1.45P 28.80R 5.67 Walsall 7 7 +0 -2.83 22.12 -0.52 60.63 10.22 1.10 0.47 1.41 10.70 3.60P 10.08R 1.02 Doncaster 6 7 -3 -1.40 34.77 -3.31 63.50 11.20 -0.07 1.35 3.50 18.53 7.18P 7.95R 0.84 Leyton_Orient 6 6 -1 -3.91 12.22 -3.44 71.45 10.65 14.92 4.94 11.35 42.25 20.49P 1.46R 0.09 Colchester 7 5 -3 -2.95 20.90 -0.68 53.87 10.18 -9.36 0.07 0.28 3.23 0.88P 27.58R 4.49 Port_Vale 7 5 -4 -3.29 18.52 -1.99 49.99 10.34 -17.50 0.03 0.11 1.51 0.38P 42.63R 9.63 Scunthorpe 7 4 -12 -2.71 22.69 -7.41 43.46 10.56 -34.61 0.01 0.02 0.40 0.09P 67.81R 28.17 Crewe 6 3 -8 -3.49 14.16 -5.11 42.31 10.12 -33.18 0.00 0.01 0.24 0.04P 72.25R 30.85League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 7 19 +8 7.75 98.70 5.58 76.96 10.29 15.00 17.63 42.91 73.69 50.35P 0.07R 0.02 Morecambe 7 16 +6 5.96 94.91 5.40 68.91 10.40 5.54 4.97 17.58 44.36 23.20P 1.00R 0.34 Bury 7 14 +6 2.72 77.08 3.51 76.27 10.37 19.20 16.69 41.51 72.11 50.16P 0.11R 0.02 Wycombe 7 14 +5 4.22 87.82 4.62 68.20 10.32 6.71 4.28 15.88 42.15 21.63P 1.17R 0.40 Cheltenham 7 14 +3 4.59 89.91 3.21 68.23 10.32 4.74 4.12 15.56 41.83 21.30P 1.20R 0.42 Cambridge_Utd 7 11 +5 2.28 73.69 6.21 57.80 10.67 -4.46 0.63 3.37 13.08 5.32P 10.78R 5.07 Shrewsbury 7 11 +4 -0.51 44.67 1.18 76.38 10.84 21.59 17.76 42.78 72.05 52.09P 0.21R 0.07 Southend 7 11 +2 -0.43 45.15 -0.67 72.16 10.19 13.47 8.36 26.74 57.93 35.98P 0.41R 0.13 Northampton 7 11 +1 1.92 70.93 1.63 60.95 10.09 -3.42 0.78 4.49 18.13 7.43P 5.39R 2.23 Plymouth 7 10 +3 1.03 61.95 3.77 62.71 10.19 2.59 1.35 6.35 23.46 10.17P 3.83R 1.42 Portsmouth 7 10 -1 0.11 51.50 -1.51 64.67 10.43 0.96 2.14 9.36 29.71 14.16P 2.85R 1.09 Stevenage 7 10 -2 -0.37 46.30 -3.20 70.14 11.09 8.11 7.00 22.06 49.43 29.59P 1.24R 0.46 Mansfield 7 9 -2 0.48 56.30 -0.51 54.84 10.19 -12.93 0.25 1.36 7.23 2.51P 16.07R 7.99 Tranmere 7 8 +0 -2.93 22.06 -2.00 72.17 11.18 16.23 10.29 28.86 57.97 37.92P 0.80R 0.30 AFC_Wimbledon 7 8 -1 -0.07 51.14 1.28 56.10 10.36 -9.20 0.30 1.97 9.38 3.45P 13.55R 6.65 York 7 8 -1 -1.19 38.16 -0.57 61.89 10.10 0.49 1.11 5.38 21.00 9.06P 4.37R 1.81 Newport_County 7 8 -2 -0.59 45.07 -0.49 53.33 10.19 -14.25 0.15 1.00 5.55 1.78P 20.25R 10.66 Luton 7 8 -2 -0.96 40.86 -1.18 57.57 10.72 -6.86 0.64 3.01 12.54 5.18P 11.48R 5.36 Dag_&_Red 7 7 -3 -2.16 28.38 -2.38 54.41 10.39 -12.25 0.21 1.46 7.07 2.56P 17.67R 8.95 Hartlepool 7 7 -3 -1.90 30.76 -2.17 59.56 10.07 -3.34 0.62 3.38 14.89 6.24P 6.95R 2.95 Accrington_Stanley 7 7 -5 -1.10 39.02 -2.75 55.83 10.29 -11.81 0.23 1.57 8.66 3.00P 14.44R 7.05 Oxford_Utd 7 3 -4 -6.17 3.44 -3.56 54.92 10.22 -5.58 0.20 1.44 7.61 2.98P 15.49R 7.66 Exeter 7 3 -6 -6.16 3.51 -5.48 52.05 10.18 -12.09 0.11 0.78 4.57 1.66P 23.31R 12.60 Carlisle 7 3 -11 -5.87 4.85 -9.91 51.75 11.14 -18.44 0.19 1.20 5.60 2.28P 27.37R 16.35Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, AFC_Telford 2 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 9 22 +18 4.37 86.07 9.85 85.85 9.69 38.54 22.04 75.08 36.58P 0.00 0.00 Woking 9 21 +12 6.21 93.51 8.17 74.34 9.93 15.98 3.29 30.04 7.91P 0.03R 0.00 Halifax 9 19 +8 3.98 82.93 3.76 79.96 10.06 24.62 9.03 51.96 18.41P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 9 19 +5 4.30 85.26 1.07 76.80 9.99 16.00 4.85 38.80 11.66P 0.02R 0.00 Torquay 9 18 +11 0.47 53.35 3.04 89.75 9.86 44.45 38.74 85.23 55.24P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 9 16 +4 2.76 74.30 2.60 68.38 9.63 6.91 0.69 12.44 2.90P 0.26R 0.01 Wrexham 9 16 +0 2.17 69.47 -2.18 71.22 9.76 7.23 1.38 19.45 4.99P 0.12R 0.01 Braintree_Town 9 15 +6 0.28 52.59 2.40 70.51 9.75 13.57 1.27 18.09 4.86P 0.11R 0.01 Eastleigh 9 15 +4 2.78 73.62 4.28 59.18 10.87 -7.65 0.19 3.90 0.82P 4.38R 0.62 Forest_Green 9 15 +4 0.54 54.93 0.71 71.52 9.87 13.11 1.59 21.12 5.79P 0.12R 0.01 Kidderminster 9 15 +3 0.11 50.75 -0.88 71.25 9.72 11.72 1.44 19.98 5.44P 0.09R 0.01 Bristol_Rovers 9 14 -1 -0.92 41.38 -5.18 80.02 10.12 22.43 8.71 52.19 21.77P 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 9 13 -2 2.60 74.09 1.20 65.99 9.96 1.31 0.35 8.74 1.69P 0.79R 0.07 Grimsby 9 12 +10 -3.77 17.06 4.49 77.41 9.67 32.64 5.24 43.37 16.52P 0.01R 0.00 Aldershot 9 12 +2 -1.73 34.05 -0.15 70.71 9.75 14.44 1.19 18.79 5.31P 0.13R 0.01 Altrincham 9 8 -4 -1.94 33.49 -0.06 45.17 10.11 -27.31 0.00 0.11 0.02P 34.34R 9.92 Southport 9 8 -6 -2.27 29.39 -2.44 49.45 9.45 -20.76 0.00 0.14 0.02P 17.96R 3.21 Nuneaton 9 8 -10 -1.24 38.99 -5.46 50.75 9.32 -21.46 0.00 0.21 0.02P 14.62R 2.44 Chester 9 7 -10 -0.23 50.26 -1.88 47.13 9.39 -27.05 0.00 0.06 0.01P 26.00R 6.00 Dover_Athletic 9 7 -10 -0.94 42.90 -2.68 42.07 9.89 -36.20 0.00 0.02 0.00 47.49R 16.22 Dartford 9 6 -7 -3.31 19.84 -2.22 47.02 9.35 -22.05 0.00 0.08 0.01P 25.38R 5.46 Welling 9 6 -10 -3.34 19.54 -5.16 49.81 9.57 -20.55 0.00 0.17 0.03P 17.68R 3.27 Alfreton_Town 9 4 -16 -4.70 10.60 -9.46 44.40 9.58 -34.79 0.00 0.03 0.00P 37.49R 10.50 AFC_Telford 9 3 -11 -5.34 7.54 -3.78 35.18 9.87 -45.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.97R 42.22