Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 15 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 September 2014, Hull 2 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           4   12   +9       3.38    90.61     3.79    83.89     8.89    51.64    48.92    75.12    88.17    94.56    98.89     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa       4   10   +3       5.07    97.71     4.12    48.53     9.04   -10.99     0.02     0.14     0.52     1.65     7.49     4.97R    0.69  
Swansea           4    9   +3       3.91    92.67     3.94    56.88     9.53     3.50     0.24     1.39     4.39     9.92    29.03     0.80R    0.08  
Southampton       4    7   +5       0.93    64.44     4.31    56.08     9.44     7.47     0.23     1.12     3.57     8.70    26.95     0.82R    0.11  
Man_City          4    7   +3      -1.13    33.52    -1.43    80.92     8.70    50.19    33.07    64.87    82.35    90.96    97.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    7   +2       0.31    55.36     0.22    59.39     9.65     9.75     0.53     2.58     7.24    15.46    39.83     0.41R    0.05  
Arsenal           4    6   +1      -0.72    37.99    -0.94    68.19     9.43    25.39     3.63    12.89    28.59    46.88    75.88     0.03R    0.00  
Liverpool         4    6   +1      -0.94    34.46    -1.35    73.22     9.35    36.06     9.89    28.24    51.48    69.02    88.77     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd           4    5   +3      -3.31    10.64    -1.44    65.79     9.46    24.79     2.52     9.06    21.24    37.20    67.59     0.05R    0.00  
Hull              4    5   +0      -0.10    50.75     0.43    38.04     8.55   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.65    30.74R    8.33  
Everton           4    5   -1      -0.96    37.03    -1.63    62.11     9.62    14.53     0.92     4.43    11.68    22.94    51.52     0.18R    0.02  
Leicester         4    5   -1       1.42    73.37     2.33    45.79     9.68   -11.87     0.01     0.06     0.35     1.09     5.43    10.69R    2.35  
West_Ham          4    4   -1      -1.24    34.50    -0.63    43.43     9.08   -14.33     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.46     2.72    14.04R    2.87  
Stoke             4    4   -1      -0.89    38.36     0.11    44.28     8.94   -10.91     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.51     3.09    11.49R    2.29  
Sunderland        4    3   -1      -1.70    26.28     0.26    40.86     8.84   -16.83     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.19     1.36    20.39R    4.77  
QPR               4    3   -8      -0.43    44.45    -4.55    30.92     8.41   -39.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    65.08R   32.63  
Crystal_Palace    4    2   -3      -2.27    19.86    -1.02    33.89     8.40   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    49.72R   18.60  
Burnley           4    2   -3      -1.48    30.14     0.23    36.99     9.09   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.69    36.15R   11.76  
West_Brom         4    2   -5      -2.35    19.60    -3.18    40.02     8.97   -21.16     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.18     1.11    24.06R    6.37  
Newcastle         4    2   -6      -2.18    20.36    -3.55    38.55     9.06   -25.01     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.12     0.87    30.37R    9.09  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 September 2014, Nott'm_Forest 1 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Nott'm_Forest    6   14   +8       4.86    92.87     6.62    75.32    10.50    17.93    10.58    21.96    58.41    30.35P    0.34R    0.04  
Norwich          6   13   +7       3.11    82.10     4.33    82.92    11.05    29.85    32.34    49.29    81.06    59.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    6   13   +4       3.50    84.68     2.12    75.62    10.75    15.74    11.19    22.92    58.19    32.53P    0.33R    0.02  
Watford          6   12   +6       1.81    69.67     2.85    74.82    10.88    18.35    10.56    21.56    56.21    30.45P    0.48R    0.05  
Charlton         6   12   +3       4.69    91.75     4.20    63.20    10.12    -2.20     0.94     2.67    16.07     4.99P    4.63R    0.66  
Brentford        6   11   +3       2.86    80.50     3.06    59.46    10.80    -6.53     0.68     1.87    10.85     3.62P   10.49R    2.18  
Millwall         6   10   +1       2.38    77.37     1.87    54.11     9.92   -14.59     0.08     0.36     3.35     0.84P   21.47R    5.28  
Blackburn        6   10   +0       1.83    71.19     0.13    68.57    10.83     5.37     3.51     8.40    33.18    14.03P    2.17R    0.32  
Reading          6   10   +0       0.89    60.78    -1.41    71.65    10.63    10.33     6.01    13.41    43.85    21.23P    0.84R    0.12  
Derby            6    9   +4      -1.09    36.58     1.01    74.10    10.62    19.74     9.41    19.46    54.05    29.24P    0.43R    0.04  
Middlesbrough    6    9   +1      -0.06    49.30    -0.28    65.28    10.28     3.34     1.67     4.35    21.88     8.34P    3.15R    0.52  
Sheff_Wed        6    9   +1       1.33    66.50     1.72    62.17    10.31    -1.42     0.79     2.30    14.43     4.71P    6.25R    1.12  
Bournemouth      6    8   +3      -0.28    47.62     3.06    61.63    10.61     0.71     0.84     2.53    14.40     5.04P    7.00R    1.34  
Ipswich          6    8   +1       0.08    52.40     1.48    63.31    10.38     2.05     1.07     3.04    17.53     6.22P    4.78R    0.79  
Cardiff          6    8   +0      -0.32    47.38    -0.22    67.59    11.19     7.19     3.30     7.92    30.83    13.80P    3.06R    0.47  
Wigan            6    7   +1      -2.54    22.06    -0.98    69.31    10.55    12.33     4.03     9.42    36.00    16.72P    1.58R    0.22  
Brighton         6    7   +0      -2.65    21.49    -2.07    67.03    10.23     8.07     2.19     5.94    27.73    11.96P    2.05R    0.29  
Rotherham        6    7   -3       1.15    65.89     0.87    47.36    10.38   -26.44     0.04     0.10     1.02     0.26P   47.14R   19.82  
Leeds_United     6    7   -5      -0.21    48.89    -3.35    54.46    10.24   -16.63     0.12     0.42     3.87     1.04P   21.64R    5.80  
Birmingham       6    6   -5      -1.05    38.51    -3.18    53.53    10.50   -17.21     0.11     0.41     3.70     1.12P   24.75R    7.51  
Huddersfield     6    4   -8      -2.34    24.10    -4.63    48.67    10.23   -24.73     0.03     0.10     1.15     0.27P   42.15R   15.96  
Bolton           6    2   -6      -5.53     3.76    -4.88    54.65    10.43    -9.37     0.13     0.46     4.34     1.34P   20.59R    5.78  
Blackpool        6    1   -6      -5.39     2.82    -3.35    44.78     9.91   -22.30     0.00     0.03     0.38     0.09P   56.00R   26.17  
Fulham           6    1  -10      -6.68     1.43    -8.98    56.41    11.37    -9.58     0.37     1.08     7.53     2.77P   18.64R    5.50  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, Barnsley 3 5 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City      7   17   +8       5.59    94.07     5.22    80.06    10.64    22.48    18.89    33.98    72.34    43.53P    0.16R    0.01  
Peterborough      7   16   +6       3.94    85.60     2.25    82.78    10.60    26.33    26.76    44.62    80.17    54.33P    0.09R    0.00  
MK_Dons           6   13   +6       3.65    85.36     4.35    77.50    10.96    20.72    13.73    26.38    63.65    35.60P    0.42R    0.01  
Chesterfield      6   13   +5       4.15    88.66     4.06    67.97    11.29     5.56     3.22     7.60    30.34    12.42P    3.78R    0.24  
Coventry          7   12   +2       2.30    73.05     1.87    69.91    10.66     8.67     3.67     8.80    35.81    14.75P    2.11R    0.14  
Swindon           6   11   +4       0.49    55.44     0.60    73.05    10.79    14.81     6.72    14.71    47.77    23.42P    1.01R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town    7   11   +2       2.59    76.88     3.61    52.75    10.38   -14.82     0.07     0.27     2.84     0.70P   33.03R    5.76  
Bradford          7   10   +1       1.16    63.21     2.04    61.43    10.32    -1.44     0.53     1.65    12.02     3.67P    9.47R    1.00  
Sheff_Utd         6   10   +1       1.40    66.41     0.35    71.53    10.32    11.12     4.12    10.42    41.14    18.45P    1.10R    0.06  
Preston           6    9   +3      -0.91    39.14     0.47    74.54    10.78    18.94     8.64    18.44    53.89    28.76P    0.72R    0.04  
Oldham            7    9   +0       0.10    52.21     0.80    57.24     9.98    -6.59     0.16     0.50     5.57     1.45P   17.34R    2.03  
Crawley_Town      7    9   -6       0.78    59.99    -4.21    56.24    10.01   -14.13     0.11     0.37     4.29     1.16P   20.87R    2.88  
Barnsley          6    8   +1      -1.64    32.50    -1.14    68.97    11.59    10.30     4.32     9.56    34.38    15.92P    3.51R    0.30  
Notts_County      6    8   +1      -0.00    51.27     1.37    63.07    10.82     1.48     1.00     2.71    16.68     5.67P    8.05R    0.74  
Gillingham        7    8   -2      -0.13    50.30     0.38    53.99    10.24   -13.62     0.08     0.31     3.27     0.87P   28.22R    4.55  
Yeovil            7    8   -3      -1.96    30.88    -3.55    61.37    11.21    -3.03     0.94     2.45    13.93     5.17P   11.54R    1.44  
Rochdale          7    7   +2      -1.36    36.66     4.00    54.24    11.25    -8.08     0.16     0.56     5.05     1.45P   28.80R    5.67  
Walsall           7    7   +0      -2.83    22.12    -0.52    60.63    10.22     1.10     0.47     1.41    10.70     3.60P   10.08R    1.02  
Doncaster         6    7   -3      -1.40    34.77    -3.31    63.50    11.20    -0.07     1.35     3.50    18.53     7.18P    7.95R    0.84  
Leyton_Orient     6    6   -1      -3.91    12.22    -3.44    71.45    10.65    14.92     4.94    11.35    42.25    20.49P    1.46R    0.09  
Colchester        7    5   -3      -2.95    20.90    -0.68    53.87    10.18    -9.36     0.07     0.28     3.23     0.88P   27.58R    4.49  
Port_Vale         7    5   -4      -3.29    18.52    -1.99    49.99    10.34   -17.50     0.03     0.11     1.51     0.38P   42.63R    9.63  
Scunthorpe        7    4  -12      -2.71    22.69    -7.41    43.46    10.56   -34.61     0.01     0.02     0.40     0.09P   67.81R   28.17  
Crewe             6    3   -8      -3.49    14.16    -5.11    42.31    10.12   -33.18     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.04P   72.25R   30.85  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion         7   19   +8       7.75    98.70     5.58    76.96    10.29    15.00    17.63    42.91    73.69    50.35P    0.07R    0.02  
Morecambe             7   16   +6       5.96    94.91     5.40    68.91    10.40     5.54     4.97    17.58    44.36    23.20P    1.00R    0.34  
Bury                  7   14   +6       2.72    77.08     3.51    76.27    10.37    19.20    16.69    41.51    72.11    50.16P    0.11R    0.02  
Wycombe               7   14   +5       4.22    87.82     4.62    68.20    10.32     6.71     4.28    15.88    42.15    21.63P    1.17R    0.40  
Cheltenham            7   14   +3       4.59    89.91     3.21    68.23    10.32     4.74     4.12    15.56    41.83    21.30P    1.20R    0.42  
Cambridge_Utd         7   11   +5       2.28    73.69     6.21    57.80    10.67    -4.46     0.63     3.37    13.08     5.32P   10.78R    5.07  
Shrewsbury            7   11   +4      -0.51    44.67     1.18    76.38    10.84    21.59    17.76    42.78    72.05    52.09P    0.21R    0.07  
Southend              7   11   +2      -0.43    45.15    -0.67    72.16    10.19    13.47     8.36    26.74    57.93    35.98P    0.41R    0.13  
Northampton           7   11   +1       1.92    70.93     1.63    60.95    10.09    -3.42     0.78     4.49    18.13     7.43P    5.39R    2.23  
Plymouth              7   10   +3       1.03    61.95     3.77    62.71    10.19     2.59     1.35     6.35    23.46    10.17P    3.83R    1.42  
Portsmouth            7   10   -1       0.11    51.50    -1.51    64.67    10.43     0.96     2.14     9.36    29.71    14.16P    2.85R    1.09  
Stevenage             7   10   -2      -0.37    46.30    -3.20    70.14    11.09     8.11     7.00    22.06    49.43    29.59P    1.24R    0.46  
Mansfield             7    9   -2       0.48    56.30    -0.51    54.84    10.19   -12.93     0.25     1.36     7.23     2.51P   16.07R    7.99  
Tranmere              7    8   +0      -2.93    22.06    -2.00    72.17    11.18    16.23    10.29    28.86    57.97    37.92P    0.80R    0.30  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    8   -1      -0.07    51.14     1.28    56.10    10.36    -9.20     0.30     1.97     9.38     3.45P   13.55R    6.65  
York                  7    8   -1      -1.19    38.16    -0.57    61.89    10.10     0.49     1.11     5.38    21.00     9.06P    4.37R    1.81  
Newport_County        7    8   -2      -0.59    45.07    -0.49    53.33    10.19   -14.25     0.15     1.00     5.55     1.78P   20.25R   10.66  
Luton                 7    8   -2      -0.96    40.86    -1.18    57.57    10.72    -6.86     0.64     3.01    12.54     5.18P   11.48R    5.36  
Dag_&_Red             7    7   -3      -2.16    28.38    -2.38    54.41    10.39   -12.25     0.21     1.46     7.07     2.56P   17.67R    8.95  
Hartlepool            7    7   -3      -1.90    30.76    -2.17    59.56    10.07    -3.34     0.62     3.38    14.89     6.24P    6.95R    2.95  
Accrington_Stanley    7    7   -5      -1.10    39.02    -2.75    55.83    10.29   -11.81     0.23     1.57     8.66     3.00P   14.44R    7.05  
Oxford_Utd            7    3   -4      -6.17     3.44    -3.56    54.92    10.22    -5.58     0.20     1.44     7.61     2.98P   15.49R    7.66  
Exeter                7    3   -6      -6.16     3.51    -5.48    52.05    10.18   -12.09     0.11     0.78     4.57     1.66P   23.31R   12.60  
Carlisle              7    3  -11      -5.87     4.85    -9.91    51.75    11.14   -18.44     0.19     1.20     5.60     2.28P   27.37R   16.35  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, AFC_Telford 2 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet            9   22  +18       4.37    86.07     9.85    85.85     9.69    38.54    22.04    75.08    36.58P    0.00     0.00  
Woking            9   21  +12       6.21    93.51     8.17    74.34     9.93    15.98     3.29    30.04     7.91P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax           9   19   +8       3.98    82.93     3.76    79.96    10.06    24.62     9.03    51.96    18.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead         9   19   +5       4.30    85.26     1.07    76.80     9.99    16.00     4.85    38.80    11.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay           9   18  +11       0.47    53.35     3.04    89.75     9.86    44.45    38.74    85.23    55.24P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield      9   16   +4       2.76    74.30     2.60    68.38     9.63     6.91     0.69    12.44     2.90P    0.26R    0.01  
Wrexham           9   16   +0       2.17    69.47    -2.18    71.22     9.76     7.23     1.38    19.45     4.99P    0.12R    0.01  
Braintree_Town    9   15   +6       0.28    52.59     2.40    70.51     9.75    13.57     1.27    18.09     4.86P    0.11R    0.01  
Eastleigh         9   15   +4       2.78    73.62     4.28    59.18    10.87    -7.65     0.19     3.90     0.82P    4.38R    0.62  
Forest_Green      9   15   +4       0.54    54.93     0.71    71.52     9.87    13.11     1.59    21.12     5.79P    0.12R    0.01  
Kidderminster     9   15   +3       0.11    50.75    -0.88    71.25     9.72    11.72     1.44    19.98     5.44P    0.09R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers    9   14   -1      -0.92    41.38    -5.18    80.02    10.12    22.43     8.71    52.19    21.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      9   13   -2       2.60    74.09     1.20    65.99     9.96     1.31     0.35     8.74     1.69P    0.79R    0.07  
Grimsby           9   12  +10      -3.77    17.06     4.49    77.41     9.67    32.64     5.24    43.37    16.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot         9   12   +2      -1.73    34.05    -0.15    70.71     9.75    14.44     1.19    18.79     5.31P    0.13R    0.01  
Altrincham        9    8   -4      -1.94    33.49    -0.06    45.17    10.11   -27.31     0.00     0.11     0.02P   34.34R    9.92  
Southport         9    8   -6      -2.27    29.39    -2.44    49.45     9.45   -20.76     0.00     0.14     0.02P   17.96R    3.21  
Nuneaton          9    8  -10      -1.24    38.99    -5.46    50.75     9.32   -21.46     0.00     0.21     0.02P   14.62R    2.44  
Chester           9    7  -10      -0.23    50.26    -1.88    47.13     9.39   -27.05     0.00     0.06     0.01P   26.00R    6.00  
Dover_Athletic    9    7  -10      -0.94    42.90    -2.68    42.07     9.89   -36.20     0.00     0.02     0.00    47.49R   16.22  
Dartford          9    6   -7      -3.31    19.84    -2.22    47.02     9.35   -22.05     0.00     0.08     0.01P   25.38R    5.46  
Welling           9    6  -10      -3.34    19.54    -5.16    49.81     9.57   -20.55     0.00     0.17     0.03P   17.68R    3.27  
Alfreton_Town     9    4  -16      -4.70    10.60    -9.46    44.40     9.58   -34.79     0.00     0.03     0.00P   37.49R   10.50  
AFC_Telford       9    3  -11      -5.34     7.54    -3.78    35.18     9.87   -45.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.97R   42.22