Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 13 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, Arsenal 2 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           4   12   +9       3.37    90.78     3.82    83.88     8.79    51.03    49.48    76.15    89.23    95.13    99.06     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa       4   10   +3       5.07    97.55     4.09    48.50     9.04   -10.77     0.02     0.15     0.59     1.79     7.85     5.40R    0.94  
Swansea           4    9   +3       3.87    92.14     3.81    57.08     9.57     3.90     0.29     1.53     4.83    11.08    31.14     0.82R    0.07  
Southampton       4    7   +5       0.94    64.67     4.29    55.93     9.50     7.27     0.30     1.20     3.89     9.45    28.12     1.01R    0.13  
Man_City          4    7   +3      -1.12    33.46    -1.41    80.73     8.67    49.33    32.63    65.24    82.82    91.59    98.09     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham         4    7   +2       0.38    56.27     0.37    59.41     9.57     9.85     0.57     2.65     7.79    16.40    41.29     0.39R    0.04  
Arsenal           4    6   +1      -0.76    37.47    -0.96    67.94     9.52    24.79     3.90    13.09    29.47    47.91    75.89     0.04R    0.00  
Liverpool         4    6   +1      -0.91    35.09    -1.28    73.11     9.47    35.50    10.25    28.86    52.53    70.13    88.98     0.00R    0.00  
Everton           4    5   -1      -0.93    37.87    -1.61    61.97     9.55    14.19     0.93     4.43    11.99    23.73    52.47     0.23R    0.03  
Leicester         4    5   -1       1.45    73.86     2.35    45.57     9.74   -12.03     0.01     0.12     0.44     1.18     5.60    11.80R    2.67  
Hull              3    4   +0       0.24    56.44     0.38    38.18     8.75   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.11     0.75    31.58R    9.31  
Stoke             4    4   -1      -0.89    38.26     0.05    44.44     8.98   -10.53     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.68     3.63    11.70R    2.39  
Sunderland        4    3   -1      -1.69    26.54     0.27    40.62     8.97   -16.94     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     1.49    22.32R    5.73  
West_Ham          3    3   -1      -0.74    37.95    -0.45    43.68     9.32   -13.98     0.01     0.03     0.21     0.64     3.36    14.54R    3.38  
QPR               3    3   -4      -0.13    48.45    -2.53    33.11     8.83   -33.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23    55.57R   25.02  
Man_Utd           3    2   -1      -3.78     5.67    -3.50    63.36     9.73    19.21     1.60     6.48    15.81    29.49    58.97     0.18R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace    4    2   -3      -2.26    20.19    -1.05    33.85     8.40   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15    50.85R   20.30  
Burnley           4    2   -3      -1.54    29.25     0.13    36.95     9.14   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.73    37.06R   12.96  
West_Brom         4    2   -5      -2.36    19.58    -3.19    40.13     8.93   -20.64     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.22     1.26    24.64R    6.92  
Newcastle         4    2   -6      -2.21    19.99    -3.58    38.36     9.06   -25.01     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.13     0.92    31.88R   10.09  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, Birmingham 1 1 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Nott'm_Forest    5   13   +8       5.37    96.48     6.83    76.41    10.92    18.98    13.31    25.57    61.46    34.07P    0.33R    0.04  
Norwich          6   13   +7       3.06    81.84     4.27    83.05    11.01    30.01    31.60    48.98    81.28    58.81P    0.08R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    6   13   +4       3.50    84.62     2.12    75.47    10.70    15.58    10.41    21.55    57.65    31.35P    0.30R    0.03  
Watford          6   12   +6       1.85    70.13     2.86    74.87    10.84    18.40    10.19    21.15    55.99    29.87P    0.45R    0.05  
Charlton         6   12   +3       4.72    91.77     4.26    63.07    10.27    -2.39     1.05     2.75    15.97     5.06P    5.01R    0.83  
Brentford        6   11   +3       2.83    80.11     3.01    59.68    10.93    -6.20     0.61     1.86    11.27     3.67P   10.74R    2.44  
Millwall         6   10   +1       2.35    76.97     1.85    54.06     9.88   -14.87     0.09     0.31     3.19     0.84P   21.42R    5.28  
Blackburn        6   10   +0       1.78    70.60     0.06    68.82    10.85     5.78     3.63     8.65    33.78    14.33P    2.09R    0.35  
Reading          6   10   +0       0.88    60.68    -1.43    71.80    10.52    10.55     5.63    12.85    44.04    20.85P    0.88R    0.10  
Middlesbrough    6    9   +1      -0.07    49.25    -0.28    65.34    10.39     3.36     1.71     4.40    22.16     8.52P    3.16R    0.44  
Sheff_Wed        6    9   +1       1.39    66.81     1.81    62.00    10.30    -1.62     0.73     2.08    13.95     4.44P    6.18R    1.06  
Derby            5    8   +4      -0.92    37.89     0.68    74.07    11.04    19.19     9.65    20.00    53.41    29.64P    0.64R    0.10  
Bournemouth      6    8   +3      -0.25    48.08     3.12    61.62    10.61     0.65     0.83     2.37    14.28     4.77P    7.18R    1.37  
Ipswich          6    8   +1       0.10    52.40     1.51    63.36    10.30     2.06     0.96     2.89    17.03     6.09P    4.68R    0.75  
Cardiff          6    8   +0      -0.27    48.05    -0.13    67.48    11.19     7.01     3.13     7.51    30.26    13.25P    3.07R    0.48  
Wigan            6    7   +1      -2.54    22.34    -0.98    69.17    10.56    12.16     3.62     8.92    35.32    16.22P    1.56R    0.21  
Brighton         6    7   +0      -2.67    21.37    -2.10    67.04    10.22     8.12     2.14     5.73    27.54    11.72P    2.03R    0.31  
Rotherham        6    7   -3       1.13    65.77     0.92    47.42    10.47   -26.52     0.02     0.08     1.11     0.24P   47.22R   19.68  
Leeds_United     6    7   -5      -0.20    48.91    -3.33    54.50    10.12   -16.58     0.11     0.39     3.74     1.03P   20.98R    5.47  
Birmingham       6    6   -5      -1.12    37.56    -3.26    53.79    10.46   -16.79     0.13     0.40     3.64     1.01P   23.88R    6.88  
Huddersfield     6    4   -8      -2.38    23.78    -4.68    48.90    10.24   -24.35     0.02     0.08     1.27     0.26P   40.90R   15.60  
Bolton           6    2   -6      -5.52     3.87    -4.89    54.64    10.42    -9.40     0.13     0.46     4.26     1.31P   20.55R    5.73  
Blackpool        6    1   -6      -5.35     3.02    -3.27    44.50     9.88   -22.82     0.01     0.02     0.35     0.08P   57.05R   26.77  
Fulham           6    1  -10      -6.63     1.44    -8.92    55.98    11.41   -10.29     0.31     0.99     7.05     2.58P   19.62R    6.03  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, Barnsley 3 5 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City      7   17   +8       5.55    93.85     5.13    80.23    10.70    22.76    19.23    34.76    72.64    44.16P    0.16R    0.01  
Peterborough      7   16   +6       3.95    85.52     2.27    82.66    10.65    26.16    26.51    43.94    79.66    53.55P    0.08R    0.00  
MK_Dons           6   13   +6       3.68    85.63     4.40    77.49    10.96    20.74    13.52    26.25    63.43    35.47P    0.40R    0.02  
Chesterfield      6   13   +5       4.14    88.58     4.06    68.02    11.31     5.68     3.22     7.41    30.56    12.30P    3.54R    0.25  
Coventry          7   12   +2       2.31    73.17     1.89    69.89    10.79     8.60     3.63     8.75    36.03    14.81P    2.26R    0.15  
Swindon           6   11   +4       0.48    55.20     0.59    73.15    10.75    14.95     6.75    14.82    47.91    23.65P    1.02R    0.05  
Fleetwood_Town    7   11   +2       2.57    76.67     3.55    52.90    10.40   -14.53     0.07     0.27     2.97     0.74P   32.18R    5.56  
Bradford          7   10   +1       1.18    63.67     2.06    61.25    10.29    -1.66     0.50     1.58    11.70     3.63P    9.61R    0.96  
Sheff_Utd         6   10   +1       1.39    66.22     0.35    71.53    10.26    11.13     4.01    10.15    41.20    17.91P    1.20R    0.06  
Preston           6    9   +3      -0.96    38.62     0.41    74.65    10.78    19.11     8.96    18.51    54.06    28.95P    0.67R    0.04  
Oldham            7    9   +0       0.06    51.71     0.78    57.48    10.01    -6.29     0.15     0.58     5.86     1.56P   16.55R    1.97  
Crawley_Town      7    9   -6       0.84    60.88    -4.13    55.94     9.96   -14.52     0.11     0.41     4.16     1.08P   21.67R    2.86  
Barnsley          6    8   +1      -1.73    31.49    -1.28    69.34    11.60    10.86     4.42     9.89    35.95    16.74P    3.37R    0.27  
Notts_County      6    8   +1      -0.00    51.34     1.39    62.92    10.74     1.29     0.86     2.61    16.21     5.36P    7.89R    0.80  
Gillingham        7    8   -2      -0.16    50.21     0.35    54.26    10.42   -13.29     0.09     0.33     3.64     0.90P   27.58R    4.44  
Yeovil            7    8   -3      -1.91    31.37    -3.50    61.04    11.14    -3.47     0.85     2.13    12.96     4.69P   11.90R    1.43  
Rochdale          7    7   +2      -1.35    37.09     4.00    54.13    11.05    -8.25     0.15     0.46     4.68     1.24P   28.60R    5.54  
Walsall           7    7   +0      -2.81    22.09    -0.48    60.42    10.10     0.84     0.40     1.22    10.12     3.31P   10.11R    0.99  
Doncaster         6    7   -3      -1.33    35.47    -3.23    63.09    11.31    -0.69     1.23     3.36    17.47     6.82P    9.04R    1.01  
Leyton_Orient     6    6   -1      -3.96    12.11    -3.50    71.77    10.77    15.36     5.24    12.20    43.33    21.72P    1.48R    0.10  
Colchester        7    5   -3      -2.97    20.88    -0.69    54.01    10.25    -9.17     0.06     0.26     3.25     0.87P   27.31R    4.55  
Port_Vale         7    5   -4      -3.29    18.67    -2.00    50.06    10.33   -17.39     0.03     0.11     1.60     0.40P   42.36R    9.48  
Scunthorpe        7    4  -12      -2.66    23.17    -7.32    43.18    10.54   -35.09     0.00     0.02     0.38     0.10P   68.91R   29.35  
Crewe             6    3   -8      -3.48    13.87    -5.09    42.33    10.07   -33.12     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.05P   72.11R   30.12  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion         7   19   +8       7.72    98.61     5.52    77.24    10.28    15.43    18.17    44.17    74.31    51.37P    0.06R    0.02  
Morecambe             7   16   +6       5.96    94.90     5.38    69.02    10.40     5.66     5.12    17.71    44.82    23.52P    1.02R    0.32  
Bury                  7   14   +6       2.77    77.51     3.58    76.06    10.44    18.83    16.17    40.91    71.19    49.24P    0.16R    0.03  
Wycombe               7   14   +5       4.24    87.76     4.62    68.27    10.26     6.81     4.19    15.58    41.94    21.48P    1.13R    0.38  
Cheltenham            7   14   +3       4.52    89.59     3.08    68.38    10.20     5.01     4.19    15.66    42.72    21.57P    1.02R    0.34  
Cambridge_Utd         7   11   +5       2.31    74.06     6.27    57.62    10.69    -4.64     0.67     3.34    12.79     5.26P   10.88R    5.02  
Shrewsbury            7   11   +4      -0.52    44.39     1.15    76.32    10.84    21.56    17.80    42.65    71.96    51.95P    0.22R    0.08  
Southend              7   11   +2      -0.42    45.37    -0.64    72.03    10.09    13.25     7.99    26.11    57.42    35.37P    0.38R    0.12  
Northampton           7   11   +1       1.94    71.33     1.64    60.84    10.13    -3.56     0.88     4.57    18.17     7.41P    5.30R    2.21  
Plymouth              7   10   +3       1.00    61.65     3.73    62.88    10.14     2.79     1.42     6.61    24.07    10.43P    3.68R    1.49  
Portsmouth            7   10   -1       0.12    51.66    -1.51    64.71    10.47     1.06     2.31     9.70    29.86    14.41P    2.82R    1.09  
Stevenage             7   10   -2      -0.37    46.56    -3.18    70.03    11.09     7.93     7.11    21.77    48.85    29.44P    1.18R    0.44  
Mansfield             7    9   -2       0.47    56.34    -0.55    54.84    10.08   -12.91     0.20     1.32     7.11     2.46P   15.57R    7.67  
Tranmere              7    8   +0      -2.95    21.72    -2.01    72.16    11.14    16.17    10.04    28.81    57.69    37.83P    0.83R    0.31  
AFC_Wimbledon         7    8   -1      -0.11    50.65     1.22    56.35    10.27    -8.83     0.36     2.02     9.50     3.53P   12.97R    6.04  
York                  7    8   -1      -1.20    38.02    -0.56    62.05    10.21     0.69     1.06     5.69    21.61     9.57P    4.51R    1.85  
Newport_County        7    8   -2      -0.57    45.32    -0.46    53.19    10.21   -14.43     0.18     1.04     5.50     1.87P   20.63R   10.78  
Luton                 7    8   -2      -0.98    40.89    -1.19    57.62    10.69    -6.79     0.57     2.91    12.38     5.11P   11.44R    5.36  
Dag_&_Red             7    7   -3      -2.14    28.48    -2.35    54.29    10.34   -12.33     0.21     1.28     6.95     2.45P   17.89R    8.88  
Hartlepool            7    7   -3      -1.87    31.11    -2.15    59.66    10.10    -3.23     0.59     3.36    15.35     6.20P    6.85R    2.94  
Accrington_Stanley    7    7   -5      -1.08    39.27    -2.71    55.50    10.40   -12.28     0.27     1.64     8.26     3.02P   15.57R    7.98  
Oxford_Utd            7    3   -4      -6.20     3.45    -3.57    55.09    10.18    -5.41     0.18     1.35     7.70     2.87P   14.78R    7.28  
Exeter                7    3   -6      -6.14     3.52    -5.46    51.92    10.17   -12.24     0.12     0.70     4.34     1.53P   23.69R   12.92  
Carlisle              7    3  -11      -5.82     4.87    -9.86    51.73    11.13   -18.56     0.19     1.10     5.50     2.11P   27.40R   16.44  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, AFC_Telford 2 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet            9   22  +18       4.40    86.45     9.87    85.76     9.61    38.39    21.94    74.81    36.58P    0.00     0.00  
Woking            9   21  +12       6.18    93.04     8.12    74.46    10.05    16.24     3.54    30.55     8.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Halifax           9   19   +8       3.90    82.26     3.68    80.17    10.02    25.00     9.43    52.97    19.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead         9   19   +5       4.30    85.27     1.11    76.65     9.92    15.73     4.59    38.11    11.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay           9   18  +11       0.54    54.05     3.12    89.55     9.78    44.13    37.75    84.79    53.91P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield      9   16   +4       2.73    74.19     2.55    68.47     9.62     7.02     0.78    12.58     2.86P    0.23R    0.02  
Wrexham           9   16   +0       2.20    69.85    -2.17    71.04     9.80     6.96     1.28    18.65     4.71P    0.11R    0.00  
Braintree_Town    9   15   +6       0.30    52.71     2.43    70.43     9.74    13.52     1.15    17.88     4.79P    0.18R    0.01  
Eastleigh         9   15   +4       2.89    74.55     4.47    58.75    10.88    -8.31     0.18     3.58     0.79P    4.63R    0.60  
Forest_Green      9   15   +4       0.56    55.28     0.72    71.68     9.84    13.35     1.61    21.31     5.76P    0.08R    0.01  
Kidderminster     9   15   +3       0.13    51.07    -0.87    71.16     9.76    11.56     1.48    19.47     5.43P    0.09R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers    9   14   -1      -0.95    41.07    -5.21    80.07    10.05    22.53     8.79    52.09    21.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      9   13   -2       2.57    73.69     1.15    66.27    10.07     1.76     0.44     9.31     1.81P    0.70R    0.05  
Grimsby           9   12  +10      -3.78    17.12     4.44    77.50     9.73    32.80     5.67    43.85    17.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot         9   12   +2      -1.79    33.67    -0.25    70.89     9.75    14.70     1.35    19.10     5.56P    0.13R    0.01  
Altrincham        9    8   -4      -2.07    32.81    -0.30    45.87    10.31   -26.04     0.00     0.18     0.03P   32.09R    8.73  
Southport         9    8   -6      -2.30    29.41    -2.48    49.50     9.47   -20.67     0.00     0.18     0.02P   17.82R    3.07  
Nuneaton          9    8  -10      -1.27    38.51    -5.51    50.95     9.36   -21.12     0.00     0.18     0.03P   14.29R    2.48  
Chester           9    7  -10      -0.22    50.24    -1.85    46.96     9.42   -27.36     0.00     0.07     0.01P   26.75R    6.08  
Dover_Athletic    9    7  -10      -0.93    42.90    -2.66    41.86     9.92   -36.59     0.00     0.05     0.01P   48.31R   16.12  
Dartford          9    6   -7      -3.31    19.70    -2.25    46.96     9.34   -22.02     0.00     0.08     0.01P   25.42R    5.23  
Welling           9    6  -10      -3.35    19.33    -5.18    49.77     9.54   -20.59     0.00     0.17     0.02P   17.41R    3.14  
Alfreton_Town     9    4  -16      -4.64    10.71    -9.36    44.37     9.65   -34.86     0.00     0.04     0.01P   37.25R   10.64  
AFC_Telford       9    3  -11      -5.24     7.82    -3.56    34.73     9.82   -46.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.45R   43.79