Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 13 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, Arsenal 2 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 4 12 +9 3.37 90.78 3.82 83.88 8.79 51.03 49.48 76.15 89.23 95.13 99.06 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 4 10 +3 5.07 97.55 4.09 48.50 9.04 -10.77 0.02 0.15 0.59 1.79 7.85 5.40R 0.94 Swansea 4 9 +3 3.87 92.14 3.81 57.08 9.57 3.90 0.29 1.53 4.83 11.08 31.14 0.82R 0.07 Southampton 4 7 +5 0.94 64.67 4.29 55.93 9.50 7.27 0.30 1.20 3.89 9.45 28.12 1.01R 0.13 Man_City 4 7 +3 -1.12 33.46 -1.41 80.73 8.67 49.33 32.63 65.24 82.82 91.59 98.09 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 4 7 +2 0.38 56.27 0.37 59.41 9.57 9.85 0.57 2.65 7.79 16.40 41.29 0.39R 0.04 Arsenal 4 6 +1 -0.76 37.47 -0.96 67.94 9.52 24.79 3.90 13.09 29.47 47.91 75.89 0.04R 0.00 Liverpool 4 6 +1 -0.91 35.09 -1.28 73.11 9.47 35.50 10.25 28.86 52.53 70.13 88.98 0.00R 0.00 Everton 4 5 -1 -0.93 37.87 -1.61 61.97 9.55 14.19 0.93 4.43 11.99 23.73 52.47 0.23R 0.03 Leicester 4 5 -1 1.45 73.86 2.35 45.57 9.74 -12.03 0.01 0.12 0.44 1.18 5.60 11.80R 2.67 Hull 3 4 +0 0.24 56.44 0.38 38.18 8.75 -22.37 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.75 31.58R 9.31 Stoke 4 4 -1 -0.89 38.26 0.05 44.44 8.98 -10.53 0.00 0.03 0.18 0.68 3.63 11.70R 2.39 Sunderland 4 3 -1 -1.69 26.54 0.27 40.62 8.97 -16.94 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.20 1.49 22.32R 5.73 West_Ham 3 3 -1 -0.74 37.95 -0.45 43.68 9.32 -13.98 0.01 0.03 0.21 0.64 3.36 14.54R 3.38 QPR 3 3 -4 -0.13 48.45 -2.53 33.11 8.83 -33.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.23 55.57R 25.02 Man_Utd 3 2 -1 -3.78 5.67 -3.50 63.36 9.73 19.21 1.60 6.48 15.81 29.49 58.97 0.18R 0.02 Crystal_Palace 4 2 -3 -2.26 20.19 -1.05 33.85 8.40 -27.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.15 50.85R 20.30 Burnley 4 2 -3 -1.54 29.25 0.13 36.95 9.14 -21.84 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.10 0.73 37.06R 12.96 West_Brom 4 2 -5 -2.36 19.58 -3.19 40.13 8.93 -20.64 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.22 1.26 24.64R 6.92 Newcastle 4 2 -6 -2.21 19.99 -3.58 38.36 9.06 -25.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.13 0.92 31.88R 10.09Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, Birmingham 1 1 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Nott'm_Forest 5 13 +8 5.37 96.48 6.83 76.41 10.92 18.98 13.31 25.57 61.46 34.07P 0.33R 0.04 Norwich 6 13 +7 3.06 81.84 4.27 83.05 11.01 30.01 31.60 48.98 81.28 58.81P 0.08R 0.01 Wolverhampton 6 13 +4 3.50 84.62 2.12 75.47 10.70 15.58 10.41 21.55 57.65 31.35P 0.30R 0.03 Watford 6 12 +6 1.85 70.13 2.86 74.87 10.84 18.40 10.19 21.15 55.99 29.87P 0.45R 0.05 Charlton 6 12 +3 4.72 91.77 4.26 63.07 10.27 -2.39 1.05 2.75 15.97 5.06P 5.01R 0.83 Brentford 6 11 +3 2.83 80.11 3.01 59.68 10.93 -6.20 0.61 1.86 11.27 3.67P 10.74R 2.44 Millwall 6 10 +1 2.35 76.97 1.85 54.06 9.88 -14.87 0.09 0.31 3.19 0.84P 21.42R 5.28 Blackburn 6 10 +0 1.78 70.60 0.06 68.82 10.85 5.78 3.63 8.65 33.78 14.33P 2.09R 0.35 Reading 6 10 +0 0.88 60.68 -1.43 71.80 10.52 10.55 5.63 12.85 44.04 20.85P 0.88R 0.10 Middlesbrough 6 9 +1 -0.07 49.25 -0.28 65.34 10.39 3.36 1.71 4.40 22.16 8.52P 3.16R 0.44 Sheff_Wed 6 9 +1 1.39 66.81 1.81 62.00 10.30 -1.62 0.73 2.08 13.95 4.44P 6.18R 1.06 Derby 5 8 +4 -0.92 37.89 0.68 74.07 11.04 19.19 9.65 20.00 53.41 29.64P 0.64R 0.10 Bournemouth 6 8 +3 -0.25 48.08 3.12 61.62 10.61 0.65 0.83 2.37 14.28 4.77P 7.18R 1.37 Ipswich 6 8 +1 0.10 52.40 1.51 63.36 10.30 2.06 0.96 2.89 17.03 6.09P 4.68R 0.75 Cardiff 6 8 +0 -0.27 48.05 -0.13 67.48 11.19 7.01 3.13 7.51 30.26 13.25P 3.07R 0.48 Wigan 6 7 +1 -2.54 22.34 -0.98 69.17 10.56 12.16 3.62 8.92 35.32 16.22P 1.56R 0.21 Brighton 6 7 +0 -2.67 21.37 -2.10 67.04 10.22 8.12 2.14 5.73 27.54 11.72P 2.03R 0.31 Rotherham 6 7 -3 1.13 65.77 0.92 47.42 10.47 -26.52 0.02 0.08 1.11 0.24P 47.22R 19.68 Leeds_United 6 7 -5 -0.20 48.91 -3.33 54.50 10.12 -16.58 0.11 0.39 3.74 1.03P 20.98R 5.47 Birmingham 6 6 -5 -1.12 37.56 -3.26 53.79 10.46 -16.79 0.13 0.40 3.64 1.01P 23.88R 6.88 Huddersfield 6 4 -8 -2.38 23.78 -4.68 48.90 10.24 -24.35 0.02 0.08 1.27 0.26P 40.90R 15.60 Bolton 6 2 -6 -5.52 3.87 -4.89 54.64 10.42 -9.40 0.13 0.46 4.26 1.31P 20.55R 5.73 Blackpool 6 1 -6 -5.35 3.02 -3.27 44.50 9.88 -22.82 0.01 0.02 0.35 0.08P 57.05R 26.77 Fulham 6 1 -10 -6.63 1.44 -8.92 55.98 11.41 -10.29 0.31 0.99 7.05 2.58P 19.62R 6.03League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, Barnsley 3 5 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 7 17 +8 5.55 93.85 5.13 80.23 10.70 22.76 19.23 34.76 72.64 44.16P 0.16R 0.01 Peterborough 7 16 +6 3.95 85.52 2.27 82.66 10.65 26.16 26.51 43.94 79.66 53.55P 0.08R 0.00 MK_Dons 6 13 +6 3.68 85.63 4.40 77.49 10.96 20.74 13.52 26.25 63.43 35.47P 0.40R 0.02 Chesterfield 6 13 +5 4.14 88.58 4.06 68.02 11.31 5.68 3.22 7.41 30.56 12.30P 3.54R 0.25 Coventry 7 12 +2 2.31 73.17 1.89 69.89 10.79 8.60 3.63 8.75 36.03 14.81P 2.26R 0.15 Swindon 6 11 +4 0.48 55.20 0.59 73.15 10.75 14.95 6.75 14.82 47.91 23.65P 1.02R 0.05 Fleetwood_Town 7 11 +2 2.57 76.67 3.55 52.90 10.40 -14.53 0.07 0.27 2.97 0.74P 32.18R 5.56 Bradford 7 10 +1 1.18 63.67 2.06 61.25 10.29 -1.66 0.50 1.58 11.70 3.63P 9.61R 0.96 Sheff_Utd 6 10 +1 1.39 66.22 0.35 71.53 10.26 11.13 4.01 10.15 41.20 17.91P 1.20R 0.06 Preston 6 9 +3 -0.96 38.62 0.41 74.65 10.78 19.11 8.96 18.51 54.06 28.95P 0.67R 0.04 Oldham 7 9 +0 0.06 51.71 0.78 57.48 10.01 -6.29 0.15 0.58 5.86 1.56P 16.55R 1.97 Crawley_Town 7 9 -6 0.84 60.88 -4.13 55.94 9.96 -14.52 0.11 0.41 4.16 1.08P 21.67R 2.86 Barnsley 6 8 +1 -1.73 31.49 -1.28 69.34 11.60 10.86 4.42 9.89 35.95 16.74P 3.37R 0.27 Notts_County 6 8 +1 -0.00 51.34 1.39 62.92 10.74 1.29 0.86 2.61 16.21 5.36P 7.89R 0.80 Gillingham 7 8 -2 -0.16 50.21 0.35 54.26 10.42 -13.29 0.09 0.33 3.64 0.90P 27.58R 4.44 Yeovil 7 8 -3 -1.91 31.37 -3.50 61.04 11.14 -3.47 0.85 2.13 12.96 4.69P 11.90R 1.43 Rochdale 7 7 +2 -1.35 37.09 4.00 54.13 11.05 -8.25 0.15 0.46 4.68 1.24P 28.60R 5.54 Walsall 7 7 +0 -2.81 22.09 -0.48 60.42 10.10 0.84 0.40 1.22 10.12 3.31P 10.11R 0.99 Doncaster 6 7 -3 -1.33 35.47 -3.23 63.09 11.31 -0.69 1.23 3.36 17.47 6.82P 9.04R 1.01 Leyton_Orient 6 6 -1 -3.96 12.11 -3.50 71.77 10.77 15.36 5.24 12.20 43.33 21.72P 1.48R 0.10 Colchester 7 5 -3 -2.97 20.88 -0.69 54.01 10.25 -9.17 0.06 0.26 3.25 0.87P 27.31R 4.55 Port_Vale 7 5 -4 -3.29 18.67 -2.00 50.06 10.33 -17.39 0.03 0.11 1.60 0.40P 42.36R 9.48 Scunthorpe 7 4 -12 -2.66 23.17 -7.32 43.18 10.54 -35.09 0.00 0.02 0.38 0.10P 68.91R 29.35 Crewe 6 3 -8 -3.48 13.87 -5.09 42.33 10.07 -33.12 0.00 0.01 0.22 0.05P 72.11R 30.12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 7 19 +8 7.72 98.61 5.52 77.24 10.28 15.43 18.17 44.17 74.31 51.37P 0.06R 0.02 Morecambe 7 16 +6 5.96 94.90 5.38 69.02 10.40 5.66 5.12 17.71 44.82 23.52P 1.02R 0.32 Bury 7 14 +6 2.77 77.51 3.58 76.06 10.44 18.83 16.17 40.91 71.19 49.24P 0.16R 0.03 Wycombe 7 14 +5 4.24 87.76 4.62 68.27 10.26 6.81 4.19 15.58 41.94 21.48P 1.13R 0.38 Cheltenham 7 14 +3 4.52 89.59 3.08 68.38 10.20 5.01 4.19 15.66 42.72 21.57P 1.02R 0.34 Cambridge_Utd 7 11 +5 2.31 74.06 6.27 57.62 10.69 -4.64 0.67 3.34 12.79 5.26P 10.88R 5.02 Shrewsbury 7 11 +4 -0.52 44.39 1.15 76.32 10.84 21.56 17.80 42.65 71.96 51.95P 0.22R 0.08 Southend 7 11 +2 -0.42 45.37 -0.64 72.03 10.09 13.25 7.99 26.11 57.42 35.37P 0.38R 0.12 Northampton 7 11 +1 1.94 71.33 1.64 60.84 10.13 -3.56 0.88 4.57 18.17 7.41P 5.30R 2.21 Plymouth 7 10 +3 1.00 61.65 3.73 62.88 10.14 2.79 1.42 6.61 24.07 10.43P 3.68R 1.49 Portsmouth 7 10 -1 0.12 51.66 -1.51 64.71 10.47 1.06 2.31 9.70 29.86 14.41P 2.82R 1.09 Stevenage 7 10 -2 -0.37 46.56 -3.18 70.03 11.09 7.93 7.11 21.77 48.85 29.44P 1.18R 0.44 Mansfield 7 9 -2 0.47 56.34 -0.55 54.84 10.08 -12.91 0.20 1.32 7.11 2.46P 15.57R 7.67 Tranmere 7 8 +0 -2.95 21.72 -2.01 72.16 11.14 16.17 10.04 28.81 57.69 37.83P 0.83R 0.31 AFC_Wimbledon 7 8 -1 -0.11 50.65 1.22 56.35 10.27 -8.83 0.36 2.02 9.50 3.53P 12.97R 6.04 York 7 8 -1 -1.20 38.02 -0.56 62.05 10.21 0.69 1.06 5.69 21.61 9.57P 4.51R 1.85 Newport_County 7 8 -2 -0.57 45.32 -0.46 53.19 10.21 -14.43 0.18 1.04 5.50 1.87P 20.63R 10.78 Luton 7 8 -2 -0.98 40.89 -1.19 57.62 10.69 -6.79 0.57 2.91 12.38 5.11P 11.44R 5.36 Dag_&_Red 7 7 -3 -2.14 28.48 -2.35 54.29 10.34 -12.33 0.21 1.28 6.95 2.45P 17.89R 8.88 Hartlepool 7 7 -3 -1.87 31.11 -2.15 59.66 10.10 -3.23 0.59 3.36 15.35 6.20P 6.85R 2.94 Accrington_Stanley 7 7 -5 -1.08 39.27 -2.71 55.50 10.40 -12.28 0.27 1.64 8.26 3.02P 15.57R 7.98 Oxford_Utd 7 3 -4 -6.20 3.45 -3.57 55.09 10.18 -5.41 0.18 1.35 7.70 2.87P 14.78R 7.28 Exeter 7 3 -6 -6.14 3.52 -5.46 51.92 10.17 -12.24 0.12 0.70 4.34 1.53P 23.69R 12.92 Carlisle 7 3 -11 -5.82 4.87 -9.86 51.73 11.13 -18.56 0.19 1.10 5.50 2.11P 27.40R 16.44Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 September 2014, AFC_Telford 2 2 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 9 22 +18 4.40 86.45 9.87 85.76 9.61 38.39 21.94 74.81 36.58P 0.00 0.00 Woking 9 21 +12 6.18 93.04 8.12 74.46 10.05 16.24 3.54 30.55 8.18P 0.02R 0.00 Halifax 9 19 +8 3.90 82.26 3.68 80.17 10.02 25.00 9.43 52.97 19.19P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 9 19 +5 4.30 85.27 1.11 76.65 9.92 15.73 4.59 38.11 11.34P 0.01R 0.00 Torquay 9 18 +11 0.54 54.05 3.12 89.55 9.78 44.13 37.75 84.79 53.91P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 9 16 +4 2.73 74.19 2.55 68.47 9.62 7.02 0.78 12.58 2.86P 0.23R 0.02 Wrexham 9 16 +0 2.20 69.85 -2.17 71.04 9.80 6.96 1.28 18.65 4.71P 0.11R 0.00 Braintree_Town 9 15 +6 0.30 52.71 2.43 70.43 9.74 13.52 1.15 17.88 4.79P 0.18R 0.01 Eastleigh 9 15 +4 2.89 74.55 4.47 58.75 10.88 -8.31 0.18 3.58 0.79P 4.63R 0.60 Forest_Green 9 15 +4 0.56 55.28 0.72 71.68 9.84 13.35 1.61 21.31 5.76P 0.08R 0.01 Kidderminster 9 15 +3 0.13 51.07 -0.87 71.16 9.76 11.56 1.48 19.47 5.43P 0.09R 0.01 Bristol_Rovers 9 14 -1 -0.95 41.07 -5.21 80.07 10.05 22.53 8.79 52.09 21.78P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 9 13 -2 2.57 73.69 1.15 66.27 10.07 1.76 0.44 9.31 1.81P 0.70R 0.05 Grimsby 9 12 +10 -3.78 17.12 4.44 77.50 9.73 32.80 5.67 43.85 17.17P 0.02R 0.00 Aldershot 9 12 +2 -1.79 33.67 -0.25 70.89 9.75 14.70 1.35 19.10 5.56P 0.13R 0.01 Altrincham 9 8 -4 -2.07 32.81 -0.30 45.87 10.31 -26.04 0.00 0.18 0.03P 32.09R 8.73 Southport 9 8 -6 -2.30 29.41 -2.48 49.50 9.47 -20.67 0.00 0.18 0.02P 17.82R 3.07 Nuneaton 9 8 -10 -1.27 38.51 -5.51 50.95 9.36 -21.12 0.00 0.18 0.03P 14.29R 2.48 Chester 9 7 -10 -0.22 50.24 -1.85 46.96 9.42 -27.36 0.00 0.07 0.01P 26.75R 6.08 Dover_Athletic 9 7 -10 -0.93 42.90 -2.66 41.86 9.92 -36.59 0.00 0.05 0.01P 48.31R 16.12 Dartford 9 6 -7 -3.31 19.70 -2.25 46.96 9.34 -22.02 0.00 0.08 0.01P 25.42R 5.23 Welling 9 6 -10 -3.35 19.33 -5.18 49.77 9.54 -20.59 0.00 0.17 0.02P 17.41R 3.14 Alfreton_Town 9 4 -16 -4.64 10.71 -9.36 44.37 9.65 -34.86 0.00 0.04 0.01P 37.25R 10.64 AFC_Telford 9 3 -11 -5.24 7.82 -3.56 34.73 9.82 -46.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.45R 43.79