Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 2 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 31 August 2014, Aston_Villa 2 1 Hull; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 3 9 +7 2.54 86.13 3.10 82.09 9.13 48.22 37.20 64.80 83.50 92.23 98.41 0.00 0.00 Swansea 3 9 +5 4.47 96.69 4.44 57.76 9.69 4.80 0.37 1.67 5.16 12.12 35.23 0.73R 0.07 Aston_Villa 3 7 +2 2.88 89.40 1.96 44.82 9.22 -16.00 0.01 0.05 0.24 0.78 4.38 12.28R 2.71 Man_City 3 6 +3 -0.35 39.88 -0.75 82.01 8.97 51.16 36.65 66.28 84.02 92.40 98.37 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 3 6 +2 1.13 65.55 0.81 77.29 9.57 42.64 19.10 43.25 67.73 81.94 94.70 0.00R 0.00 Tottenham 3 6 +2 1.14 66.42 0.98 60.67 9.76 11.28 0.73 3.16 8.77 19.55 47.27 0.36R 0.04 Arsenal 3 5 +1 -0.69 37.08 -1.49 67.50 9.79 23.41 3.57 11.44 25.33 44.90 74.70 0.07R 0.01 Southampton 3 4 +1 0.04 53.98 1.48 52.76 9.77 0.92 0.10 0.52 1.82 5.17 19.26 2.83R 0.46 Hull 3 4 +0 0.18 55.57 0.31 38.51 8.75 -21.95 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.86 30.95R 9.00 Stoke 3 4 +0 0.47 61.42 1.07 46.62 9.25 -8.44 0.01 0.07 0.34 1.22 6.21 8.26R 1.56 West_Ham 3 3 -1 -0.80 36.83 -0.52 43.65 9.29 -14.12 0.01 0.03 0.14 0.57 3.44 14.98R 3.37 QPR 3 3 -4 -0.14 48.18 -2.55 33.19 8.91 -33.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.29 55.78R 25.58 Sunderland 3 2 -1 -1.62 25.62 -0.23 40.63 9.14 -17.40 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.23 1.75 23.43R 6.21 Man_Utd 3 2 -1 -3.77 5.71 -3.51 63.59 9.72 19.64 1.58 5.79 14.52 29.52 60.62 0.15R 0.01 Leicester 3 2 -2 -0.27 49.80 1.30 42.86 10.13 -15.14 0.01 0.08 0.25 0.81 3.98 19.41R 5.60 Newcastle 3 2 -2 -1.51 25.77 -0.71 41.66 9.47 -17.48 0.01 0.04 0.09 0.42 2.62 21.38R 5.67 Everton 3 2 -3 -2.06 19.51 -2.85 59.76 9.94 11.28 0.65 2.76 7.84 17.46 44.31 0.59R 0.06 West_Brom 3 2 -3 -1.53 27.09 -2.09 41.56 9.32 -18.77 0.01 0.03 0.09 0.36 2.32 21.26R 5.86 Crystal_Palace 3 1 -3 -1.85 23.52 -0.95 34.30 8.68 -27.73 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.33 49.91R 20.18 Burnley 3 1 -3 -1.17 35.61 0.20 37.20 9.45 -22.68 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.14 0.96 37.63R 13.63Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, Brighton 2 2 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Nott'm_Forest 5 13 +8 5.33 96.28 6.77 76.14 10.90 18.66 13.18 24.90 59.80 33.17P 0.30R 0.02 Watford 5 12 +7 3.01 83.02 3.49 77.04 11.19 20.83 15.11 27.93 63.13 36.79P 0.38R 0.03 Wolverhampton 5 12 +4 4.03 89.98 2.37 76.46 11.24 16.50 13.64 25.71 60.53 35.02P 0.43R 0.06 Norwich 5 10 +5 1.69 70.56 2.72 78.74 11.23 23.73 19.16 33.42 68.60 44.07P 0.22R 0.02 Millwall 5 10 +3 3.15 85.76 3.05 55.81 10.15 -11.89 0.20 0.57 4.82 1.28P 17.23R 3.66 Charlton 5 9 +2 3.14 84.74 3.32 61.13 10.60 -4.02 0.81 2.12 12.67 4.07P 7.77R 1.52 Derby 5 8 +4 -0.90 38.25 0.76 73.85 10.87 18.86 9.60 19.08 52.24 28.34P 0.62R 0.06 Brentford 5 8 +2 1.28 67.31 2.14 56.96 10.87 -8.14 0.44 1.18 7.25 2.45P 15.84R 3.79 Cardiff 5 8 +2 0.93 63.20 1.58 70.75 11.36 12.01 6.03 12.90 40.93 20.15P 1.52R 0.25 Sheff_Wed 5 8 +1 1.50 70.27 1.47 62.08 10.74 -2.14 0.93 2.64 14.81 5.19P 6.97R 1.37 Bournemouth 5 7 +3 0.60 59.27 3.82 62.99 10.93 2.25 1.33 3.30 17.55 6.23P 6.18R 1.23 Wigan 5 7 +3 -1.44 31.35 0.55 71.65 10.76 15.76 6.34 13.88 44.45 22.21P 0.99R 0.12 Brighton 5 7 +1 -1.38 32.48 -1.17 69.11 10.36 10.19 3.54 8.25 34.41 15.48P 1.27R 0.18 Blackburn 5 7 -2 0.54 58.16 -1.36 65.37 11.00 0.85 2.00 5.07 23.39 9.04P 4.17R 0.72 Reading 5 7 -3 -0.09 49.92 -3.38 69.20 10.90 6.11 4.15 9.34 34.65 15.48P 1.89R 0.29 Middlesbrough 5 6 +0 -1.64 29.51 -1.19 63.19 10.55 1.69 1.18 3.17 17.09 6.39P 5.15R 0.91 Rotherham 5 6 -3 1.07 65.36 0.15 46.02 10.66 -29.44 0.02 0.08 0.94 0.21P 52.84R 24.45 Leeds_United 5 6 -5 -0.01 50.80 -3.61 54.48 10.52 -17.15 0.17 0.48 4.09 1.08P 22.19R 6.18 Ipswich 5 5 -1 -0.96 39.42 0.30 61.24 10.58 -0.59 0.71 2.06 13.02 4.39P 7.73R 1.48 Birmingham 5 5 -5 -0.49 45.88 -2.89 54.71 10.81 -16.00 0.19 0.59 4.77 1.36P 21.95R 6.44 Huddersfield 5 4 -7 -1.06 38.13 -3.83 50.56 10.55 -22.67 0.06 0.13 1.90 0.48P 35.22R 12.09 Bolton 5 1 -6 -4.93 3.90 -4.52 55.74 10.80 -8.33 0.22 0.67 5.74 1.78P 18.70R 4.79 Fulham 5 1 -7 -5.96 1.95 -7.07 59.67 11.83 -3.51 1.01 2.52 12.82 5.26P 12.84R 3.39 Blackpool 5 0 -6 -5.20 1.25 -3.50 44.42 10.10 -23.55 0.00 0.02 0.39 0.08P 57.60R 26.94League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 31 August 2014, Notts_County 1 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Peterborough 5 12 +4 3.45 86.16 1.38 81.52 11.19 24.54 25.29 41.27 76.14 50.52P 0.19R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 5 11 +4 4.89 94.52 5.10 57.15 11.07 -10.49 0.39 1.12 7.56 2.21P 20.76R 2.83 Bristol_City 5 11 +3 3.27 85.62 1.64 74.41 11.31 13.96 9.79 19.38 52.23 27.16P 1.08R 0.04 MK_Dons 5 10 +4 2.30 76.81 2.75 74.09 11.04 16.05 8.65 18.20 51.97 26.68P 0.97R 0.04 Bradford 5 10 +4 3.20 85.09 4.06 65.49 10.79 3.71 1.81 4.69 22.75 8.49P 5.04R 0.39 Chesterfield 5 10 +2 3.18 84.67 2.00 64.07 11.42 -0.49 1.74 4.29 20.20 7.40P 8.05R 0.77 Preston 5 9 +5 0.61 56.85 2.73 77.89 10.92 23.86 15.63 28.95 66.00 39.69P 0.36R 0.01 Barnsley 5 8 +3 -0.55 43.38 0.39 71.77 11.82 14.49 7.55 15.46 44.48 23.16P 2.15R 0.14 Swindon 5 8 +3 -0.71 41.10 0.23 71.57 10.89 14.11 5.81 13.00 43.24 21.17P 1.57R 0.06 Notts_County 5 7 +1 0.15 52.80 1.02 62.64 11.12 0.23 1.18 3.12 16.71 5.84P 9.24R 0.96 Doncaster 5 7 +0 -0.44 45.02 -0.91 67.22 11.66 6.42 3.28 7.77 29.52 13.42P 4.75R 0.47 Sheff_Utd 5 7 +0 0.12 52.35 -0.16 69.52 10.55 9.70 3.33 8.41 34.95 15.14P 2.16R 0.15 Gillingham 5 7 -1 1.28 67.61 0.88 55.45 10.97 -13.73 0.28 0.77 5.55 1.59P 25.56R 3.93 Leyton_Orient 5 6 +1 -2.59 19.41 -1.53 75.12 10.95 20.42 10.48 21.05 56.25 31.84P 0.81R 0.04 Coventry 5 6 +0 -0.50 44.23 0.55 66.38 11.42 6.18 2.64 6.19 26.93 11.08P 5.56R 0.44 Crawley_Town 5 6 -3 0.30 55.58 -1.53 58.33 10.57 -7.78 0.35 1.01 7.78 2.43P 16.58R 1.88 Oldham 5 5 -1 -0.91 40.22 0.26 56.20 10.59 -7.58 0.19 0.57 5.44 1.56P 21.63R 3.10 Port_Vale 5 5 -1 -1.11 38.06 0.09 54.71 10.93 -11.30 0.20 0.62 5.00 1.42P 26.75R 4.79 Yeovil 5 5 -4 -1.92 28.17 -4.14 60.35 11.66 -4.96 0.93 2.51 13.23 5.02P 14.42R 2.03 Rochdale 5 4 -1 -1.58 32.10 1.13 50.08 11.56 -17.25 0.09 0.31 2.82 0.76P 43.35R 11.10 Scunthorpe 5 4 -7 -1.22 36.74 -4.50 48.63 11.33 -25.28 0.05 0.19 1.82 0.47P 49.22R 13.81 Walsall 5 3 -2 -3.91 9.29 -2.22 57.89 10.59 -2.84 0.29 0.96 7.52 2.47P 16.88R 2.01 Colchester 5 1 -5 -4.48 5.56 -2.94 49.90 10.60 -15.57 0.05 0.16 1.78 0.48P 42.73R 9.42 Crewe 5 0 -9 -5.22 1.64 -6.28 39.39 10.25 -36.42 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.02P 80.17R 41.60League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 5 13 +4 5.33 96.21 2.78 71.86 10.67 8.42 6.88 24.49 54.95 31.59P 0.50R 0.18 Cheltenham 5 13 +4 5.97 97.86 3.75 70.43 10.81 6.26 5.70 20.39 49.52 26.86P 0.85R 0.29 Morecambe 5 12 +5 5.11 94.85 4.97 67.73 10.98 4.46 3.78 15.17 40.23 20.33P 1.55R 0.59 Shrewsbury 5 11 +7 1.95 73.23 3.75 82.47 11.44 29.45 34.13 62.56 85.66 69.97P 0.06R 0.01 Wycombe 5 10 +4 3.43 86.87 4.33 67.00 10.69 5.70 3.16 13.05 37.84 18.75P 1.60R 0.57 Bury 5 10 +3 1.88 72.51 1.13 72.79 10.86 12.89 8.49 28.18 59.03 36.49P 0.46R 0.12 Portsmouth 5 10 +3 1.93 73.26 1.19 69.19 10.94 7.59 4.96 18.38 45.76 25.09P 1.12R 0.39 Northampton 5 8 +0 1.77 73.23 0.77 59.37 10.56 -6.06 0.62 3.54 15.20 5.96P 7.57R 3.27 Cambridge_Utd 5 7 +4 0.96 63.46 5.11 54.85 11.11 -7.60 0.30 1.96 9.20 3.48P 16.44R 8.57 Plymouth 5 7 +3 0.49 57.38 3.37 61.68 10.66 1.46 1.09 5.73 21.37 9.26P 4.84R 2.05 Tranmere 5 7 +1 -0.94 38.42 -0.62 75.59 11.67 19.62 14.53 39.07 67.85 47.96P 0.43R 0.14 Dag_&_Red 5 7 +0 0.51 57.74 0.47 59.38 10.81 -5.63 0.62 3.93 16.06 6.50P 7.88R 3.61 AFC_Wimbledon 5 7 +0 1.29 67.79 1.63 57.66 10.70 -8.18 0.47 2.65 12.36 4.61P 10.39R 4.84 Southend 5 7 +0 -0.81 39.84 -1.43 70.67 10.55 11.15 5.65 21.00 51.27 29.99P 0.62R 0.19 Stevenage 5 7 -2 -0.47 44.51 -2.93 69.94 11.68 8.11 6.72 21.55 48.44 29.21P 1.44R 0.59 Mansfield 5 6 -2 -0.35 46.16 -1.36 53.25 10.40 -14.73 0.12 1.03 5.72 1.90P 19.22R 9.80 York 5 5 +0 -2.01 26.07 -0.29 60.94 10.49 0.66 0.76 4.71 19.39 8.41P 5.29R 2.14 Luton 5 5 -2 -1.17 37.00 -1.01 58.01 11.34 -6.02 0.65 3.71 14.53 6.24P 10.74R 5.18 Newport_County 5 4 -3 -1.65 30.84 -1.20 51.42 10.47 -15.93 0.07 0.69 4.34 1.32P 24.50R 13.55 Hartlepool 5 3 -5 -3.21 14.04 -4.19 56.30 10.46 -8.28 0.26 1.77 9.51 3.58P 12.22R 5.69 Exeter 5 2 -5 -4.24 7.42 -4.22 55.12 10.72 -9.18 0.26 1.67 8.61 3.38P 15.14R 7.63 Carlisle 5 2 -8 -4.41 7.04 -7.44 56.04 11.53 -10.97 0.47 2.59 11.24 4.77P 14.99R 7.92 Oxford_Utd 5 1 -4 -5.88 1.80 -4.09 54.75 10.56 -6.88 0.22 1.51 7.86 2.98P 15.34R 7.57 Accrington_Stanley 5 1 -7 -4.18 6.31 -4.47 50.81 10.65 -16.31 0.09 0.68 4.06 1.40P 26.80R 15.12Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, Aldershot 2 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 6 15 +14 3.85 87.42 9.63 85.24 10.45 38.14 22.77 70.71 35.88P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 6 15 +9 3.98 88.19 4.50 81.55 10.82 28.00 13.91 56.44 23.20P 0.01R 0.00 Gateshead 6 13 +2 3.79 86.77 0.44 75.57 10.73 14.09 5.02 34.37 10.96P 0.08R 0.01 Woking 6 12 +8 2.25 73.82 5.61 67.68 10.78 8.86 1.24 13.60 3.51P 0.63R 0.08 Kidderminster 6 12 +5 1.12 62.02 0.90 74.55 10.47 16.83 4.04 30.87 10.34P 0.07R 0.00 Forest_Green 6 12 +4 2.11 72.76 1.30 74.10 10.71 15.19 3.98 29.35 9.26P 0.11R 0.01 Macclesfield 6 12 +4 3.19 82.17 3.11 70.20 10.54 9.28 1.72 17.88 4.81P 0.30R 0.03 Aldershot 6 11 +4 1.37 66.23 1.79 76.40 10.69 20.42 5.63 37.64 12.85P 0.05R 0.00 Eastleigh 6 10 +3 2.37 75.52 3.94 57.42 11.81 -9.35 0.27 3.60 0.86P 7.67R 1.48 Lincoln_City 6 10 +0 2.79 80.00 1.65 66.63 10.79 2.65 0.81 11.02 2.61P 0.90R 0.10 Wrexham 6 10 -1 0.22 52.26 -3.29 68.33 10.59 4.51 1.19 13.93 3.72P 0.51R 0.04 Grimsby 6 9 +11 -1.87 27.21 6.63 81.25 10.44 37.70 12.86 57.19 26.23P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 6 9 +3 -1.09 36.75 0.19 66.82 10.49 7.83 0.83 11.07 2.87P 0.61R 0.05 Torquay 6 9 +3 -2.11 26.02 -1.40 81.59 10.94 30.78 14.20 57.45 27.96P 0.02R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 6 8 -1 -2.19 25.88 -4.13 80.45 11.07 26.05 11.48 53.05 24.63P 0.06R 0.01 Southport 6 5 -4 -1.44 34.41 -0.89 51.25 10.43 -18.16 0.02 0.48 0.09P 15.34R 3.19 Dartford 6 5 -5 -0.99 40.11 -1.49 49.89 10.16 -20.59 0.00 0.31 0.04P 18.14R 3.91 Nuneaton 6 4 -7 -2.55 21.41 -4.58 50.07 10.05 -19.80 0.00 0.28 0.05P 17.02R 3.55 Chester 6 4 -8 -0.57 46.01 -1.96 46.09 10.01 -29.23 0.00 0.09 0.01P 30.22R 8.01 Dover_Athletic 6 4 -9 -0.79 43.28 -3.14 41.16 10.80 -38.61 0.00 0.09 0.01P 50.20R 20.51 Altrincham 6 3 -5 -2.72 20.46 -0.97 43.63 11.26 -28.87 0.00 0.20 0.05P 40.60R 14.92 Welling 6 3 -8 -3.63 12.23 -5.33 49.11 10.19 -21.59 0.00 0.25 0.04P 19.87R 4.52 AFC_Telford 6 2 -5 -3.93 11.04 -1.15 41.01 11.26 -32.55 0.00 0.10 0.02P 49.70R 21.44 Alfreton_Town 6 0 -17 -5.15 2.16 -11.36 41.69 10.41 -41.56 0.00 0.03 0.01P 47.88R 18.15