Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 2 September 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 31 August 2014, Aston_Villa 2 1 Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           3    9   +7       2.54    86.13     3.10    82.09     9.13    48.22    37.20    64.80    83.50    92.23    98.41     0.00     0.00  
Swansea           3    9   +5       4.47    96.69     4.44    57.76     9.69     4.80     0.37     1.67     5.16    12.12    35.23     0.73R    0.07  
Aston_Villa       3    7   +2       2.88    89.40     1.96    44.82     9.22   -16.00     0.01     0.05     0.24     0.78     4.38    12.28R    2.71  
Man_City          3    6   +3      -0.35    39.88    -0.75    82.01     8.97    51.16    36.65    66.28    84.02    92.40    98.37     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         3    6   +2       1.13    65.55     0.81    77.29     9.57    42.64    19.10    43.25    67.73    81.94    94.70     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham         3    6   +2       1.14    66.42     0.98    60.67     9.76    11.28     0.73     3.16     8.77    19.55    47.27     0.36R    0.04  
Arsenal           3    5   +1      -0.69    37.08    -1.49    67.50     9.79    23.41     3.57    11.44    25.33    44.90    74.70     0.07R    0.01  
Southampton       3    4   +1       0.04    53.98     1.48    52.76     9.77     0.92     0.10     0.52     1.82     5.17    19.26     2.83R    0.46  
Hull              3    4   +0       0.18    55.57     0.31    38.51     8.75   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.86    30.95R    9.00  
Stoke             3    4   +0       0.47    61.42     1.07    46.62     9.25    -8.44     0.01     0.07     0.34     1.22     6.21     8.26R    1.56  
West_Ham          3    3   -1      -0.80    36.83    -0.52    43.65     9.29   -14.12     0.01     0.03     0.14     0.57     3.44    14.98R    3.37  
QPR               3    3   -4      -0.14    48.18    -2.55    33.19     8.91   -33.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.29    55.78R   25.58  
Sunderland        3    2   -1      -1.62    25.62    -0.23    40.63     9.14   -17.40     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.23     1.75    23.43R    6.21  
Man_Utd           3    2   -1      -3.77     5.71    -3.51    63.59     9.72    19.64     1.58     5.79    14.52    29.52    60.62     0.15R    0.01  
Leicester         3    2   -2      -0.27    49.80     1.30    42.86    10.13   -15.14     0.01     0.08     0.25     0.81     3.98    19.41R    5.60  
Newcastle         3    2   -2      -1.51    25.77    -0.71    41.66     9.47   -17.48     0.01     0.04     0.09     0.42     2.62    21.38R    5.67  
Everton           3    2   -3      -2.06    19.51    -2.85    59.76     9.94    11.28     0.65     2.76     7.84    17.46    44.31     0.59R    0.06  
West_Brom         3    2   -3      -1.53    27.09    -2.09    41.56     9.32   -18.77     0.01     0.03     0.09     0.36     2.32    21.26R    5.86  
Crystal_Palace    3    1   -3      -1.85    23.52    -0.95    34.30     8.68   -27.73     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.04     0.33    49.91R   20.18  
Burnley           3    1   -3      -1.17    35.61     0.20    37.20     9.45   -22.68     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.14     0.96    37.63R   13.63  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, Brighton 2 2 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Nott'm_Forest    5   13   +8       5.33    96.28     6.77    76.14    10.90    18.66    13.18    24.90    59.80    33.17P    0.30R    0.02  
Watford          5   12   +7       3.01    83.02     3.49    77.04    11.19    20.83    15.11    27.93    63.13    36.79P    0.38R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    5   12   +4       4.03    89.98     2.37    76.46    11.24    16.50    13.64    25.71    60.53    35.02P    0.43R    0.06  
Norwich          5   10   +5       1.69    70.56     2.72    78.74    11.23    23.73    19.16    33.42    68.60    44.07P    0.22R    0.02  
Millwall         5   10   +3       3.15    85.76     3.05    55.81    10.15   -11.89     0.20     0.57     4.82     1.28P   17.23R    3.66  
Charlton         5    9   +2       3.14    84.74     3.32    61.13    10.60    -4.02     0.81     2.12    12.67     4.07P    7.77R    1.52  
Derby            5    8   +4      -0.90    38.25     0.76    73.85    10.87    18.86     9.60    19.08    52.24    28.34P    0.62R    0.06  
Brentford        5    8   +2       1.28    67.31     2.14    56.96    10.87    -8.14     0.44     1.18     7.25     2.45P   15.84R    3.79  
Cardiff          5    8   +2       0.93    63.20     1.58    70.75    11.36    12.01     6.03    12.90    40.93    20.15P    1.52R    0.25  
Sheff_Wed        5    8   +1       1.50    70.27     1.47    62.08    10.74    -2.14     0.93     2.64    14.81     5.19P    6.97R    1.37  
Bournemouth      5    7   +3       0.60    59.27     3.82    62.99    10.93     2.25     1.33     3.30    17.55     6.23P    6.18R    1.23  
Wigan            5    7   +3      -1.44    31.35     0.55    71.65    10.76    15.76     6.34    13.88    44.45    22.21P    0.99R    0.12  
Brighton         5    7   +1      -1.38    32.48    -1.17    69.11    10.36    10.19     3.54     8.25    34.41    15.48P    1.27R    0.18  
Blackburn        5    7   -2       0.54    58.16    -1.36    65.37    11.00     0.85     2.00     5.07    23.39     9.04P    4.17R    0.72  
Reading          5    7   -3      -0.09    49.92    -3.38    69.20    10.90     6.11     4.15     9.34    34.65    15.48P    1.89R    0.29  
Middlesbrough    5    6   +0      -1.64    29.51    -1.19    63.19    10.55     1.69     1.18     3.17    17.09     6.39P    5.15R    0.91  
Rotherham        5    6   -3       1.07    65.36     0.15    46.02    10.66   -29.44     0.02     0.08     0.94     0.21P   52.84R   24.45  
Leeds_United     5    6   -5      -0.01    50.80    -3.61    54.48    10.52   -17.15     0.17     0.48     4.09     1.08P   22.19R    6.18  
Ipswich          5    5   -1      -0.96    39.42     0.30    61.24    10.58    -0.59     0.71     2.06    13.02     4.39P    7.73R    1.48  
Birmingham       5    5   -5      -0.49    45.88    -2.89    54.71    10.81   -16.00     0.19     0.59     4.77     1.36P   21.95R    6.44  
Huddersfield     5    4   -7      -1.06    38.13    -3.83    50.56    10.55   -22.67     0.06     0.13     1.90     0.48P   35.22R   12.09  
Bolton           5    1   -6      -4.93     3.90    -4.52    55.74    10.80    -8.33     0.22     0.67     5.74     1.78P   18.70R    4.79  
Fulham           5    1   -7      -5.96     1.95    -7.07    59.67    11.83    -3.51     1.01     2.52    12.82     5.26P   12.84R    3.39  
Blackpool        5    0   -6      -5.20     1.25    -3.50    44.42    10.10   -23.55     0.00     0.02     0.39     0.08P   57.60R   26.94  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 31 August 2014, Notts_County 1 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough      5   12   +4       3.45    86.16     1.38    81.52    11.19    24.54    25.29    41.27    76.14    50.52P    0.19R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town    5   11   +4       4.89    94.52     5.10    57.15    11.07   -10.49     0.39     1.12     7.56     2.21P   20.76R    2.83  
Bristol_City      5   11   +3       3.27    85.62     1.64    74.41    11.31    13.96     9.79    19.38    52.23    27.16P    1.08R    0.04  
MK_Dons           5   10   +4       2.30    76.81     2.75    74.09    11.04    16.05     8.65    18.20    51.97    26.68P    0.97R    0.04  
Bradford          5   10   +4       3.20    85.09     4.06    65.49    10.79     3.71     1.81     4.69    22.75     8.49P    5.04R    0.39  
Chesterfield      5   10   +2       3.18    84.67     2.00    64.07    11.42    -0.49     1.74     4.29    20.20     7.40P    8.05R    0.77  
Preston           5    9   +5       0.61    56.85     2.73    77.89    10.92    23.86    15.63    28.95    66.00    39.69P    0.36R    0.01  
Barnsley          5    8   +3      -0.55    43.38     0.39    71.77    11.82    14.49     7.55    15.46    44.48    23.16P    2.15R    0.14  
Swindon           5    8   +3      -0.71    41.10     0.23    71.57    10.89    14.11     5.81    13.00    43.24    21.17P    1.57R    0.06  
Notts_County      5    7   +1       0.15    52.80     1.02    62.64    11.12     0.23     1.18     3.12    16.71     5.84P    9.24R    0.96  
Doncaster         5    7   +0      -0.44    45.02    -0.91    67.22    11.66     6.42     3.28     7.77    29.52    13.42P    4.75R    0.47  
Sheff_Utd         5    7   +0       0.12    52.35    -0.16    69.52    10.55     9.70     3.33     8.41    34.95    15.14P    2.16R    0.15  
Gillingham        5    7   -1       1.28    67.61     0.88    55.45    10.97   -13.73     0.28     0.77     5.55     1.59P   25.56R    3.93  
Leyton_Orient     5    6   +1      -2.59    19.41    -1.53    75.12    10.95    20.42    10.48    21.05    56.25    31.84P    0.81R    0.04  
Coventry          5    6   +0      -0.50    44.23     0.55    66.38    11.42     6.18     2.64     6.19    26.93    11.08P    5.56R    0.44  
Crawley_Town      5    6   -3       0.30    55.58    -1.53    58.33    10.57    -7.78     0.35     1.01     7.78     2.43P   16.58R    1.88  
Oldham            5    5   -1      -0.91    40.22     0.26    56.20    10.59    -7.58     0.19     0.57     5.44     1.56P   21.63R    3.10  
Port_Vale         5    5   -1      -1.11    38.06     0.09    54.71    10.93   -11.30     0.20     0.62     5.00     1.42P   26.75R    4.79  
Yeovil            5    5   -4      -1.92    28.17    -4.14    60.35    11.66    -4.96     0.93     2.51    13.23     5.02P   14.42R    2.03  
Rochdale          5    4   -1      -1.58    32.10     1.13    50.08    11.56   -17.25     0.09     0.31     2.82     0.76P   43.35R   11.10  
Scunthorpe        5    4   -7      -1.22    36.74    -4.50    48.63    11.33   -25.28     0.05     0.19     1.82     0.47P   49.22R   13.81  
Walsall           5    3   -2      -3.91     9.29    -2.22    57.89    10.59    -2.84     0.29     0.96     7.52     2.47P   16.88R    2.01  
Colchester        5    1   -5      -4.48     5.56    -2.94    49.90    10.60   -15.57     0.05     0.16     1.78     0.48P   42.73R    9.42  
Crewe             5    0   -9      -5.22     1.64    -6.28    39.39    10.25   -36.42     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.02P   80.17R   41.60  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion         5   13   +4       5.33    96.21     2.78    71.86    10.67     8.42     6.88    24.49    54.95    31.59P    0.50R    0.18  
Cheltenham            5   13   +4       5.97    97.86     3.75    70.43    10.81     6.26     5.70    20.39    49.52    26.86P    0.85R    0.29  
Morecambe             5   12   +5       5.11    94.85     4.97    67.73    10.98     4.46     3.78    15.17    40.23    20.33P    1.55R    0.59  
Shrewsbury            5   11   +7       1.95    73.23     3.75    82.47    11.44    29.45    34.13    62.56    85.66    69.97P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe               5   10   +4       3.43    86.87     4.33    67.00    10.69     5.70     3.16    13.05    37.84    18.75P    1.60R    0.57  
Bury                  5   10   +3       1.88    72.51     1.13    72.79    10.86    12.89     8.49    28.18    59.03    36.49P    0.46R    0.12  
Portsmouth            5   10   +3       1.93    73.26     1.19    69.19    10.94     7.59     4.96    18.38    45.76    25.09P    1.12R    0.39  
Northampton           5    8   +0       1.77    73.23     0.77    59.37    10.56    -6.06     0.62     3.54    15.20     5.96P    7.57R    3.27  
Cambridge_Utd         5    7   +4       0.96    63.46     5.11    54.85    11.11    -7.60     0.30     1.96     9.20     3.48P   16.44R    8.57  
Plymouth              5    7   +3       0.49    57.38     3.37    61.68    10.66     1.46     1.09     5.73    21.37     9.26P    4.84R    2.05  
Tranmere              5    7   +1      -0.94    38.42    -0.62    75.59    11.67    19.62    14.53    39.07    67.85    47.96P    0.43R    0.14  
Dag_&_Red             5    7   +0       0.51    57.74     0.47    59.38    10.81    -5.63     0.62     3.93    16.06     6.50P    7.88R    3.61  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    7   +0       1.29    67.79     1.63    57.66    10.70    -8.18     0.47     2.65    12.36     4.61P   10.39R    4.84  
Southend              5    7   +0      -0.81    39.84    -1.43    70.67    10.55    11.15     5.65    21.00    51.27    29.99P    0.62R    0.19  
Stevenage             5    7   -2      -0.47    44.51    -2.93    69.94    11.68     8.11     6.72    21.55    48.44    29.21P    1.44R    0.59  
Mansfield             5    6   -2      -0.35    46.16    -1.36    53.25    10.40   -14.73     0.12     1.03     5.72     1.90P   19.22R    9.80  
York                  5    5   +0      -2.01    26.07    -0.29    60.94    10.49     0.66     0.76     4.71    19.39     8.41P    5.29R    2.14  
Luton                 5    5   -2      -1.17    37.00    -1.01    58.01    11.34    -6.02     0.65     3.71    14.53     6.24P   10.74R    5.18  
Newport_County        5    4   -3      -1.65    30.84    -1.20    51.42    10.47   -15.93     0.07     0.69     4.34     1.32P   24.50R   13.55  
Hartlepool            5    3   -5      -3.21    14.04    -4.19    56.30    10.46    -8.28     0.26     1.77     9.51     3.58P   12.22R    5.69  
Exeter                5    2   -5      -4.24     7.42    -4.22    55.12    10.72    -9.18     0.26     1.67     8.61     3.38P   15.14R    7.63  
Carlisle              5    2   -8      -4.41     7.04    -7.44    56.04    11.53   -10.97     0.47     2.59    11.24     4.77P   14.99R    7.92  
Oxford_Utd            5    1   -4      -5.88     1.80    -4.09    54.75    10.56    -6.88     0.22     1.51     7.86     2.98P   15.34R    7.57  
Accrington_Stanley    5    1   -7      -4.18     6.31    -4.47    50.81    10.65   -16.31     0.09     0.68     4.06     1.40P   26.80R   15.12  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, Aldershot 2 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet            6   15  +14       3.85    87.42     9.63    85.24    10.45    38.14    22.77    70.71    35.88P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax           6   15   +9       3.98    88.19     4.50    81.55    10.82    28.00    13.91    56.44    23.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead         6   13   +2       3.79    86.77     0.44    75.57    10.73    14.09     5.02    34.37    10.96P    0.08R    0.01  
Woking            6   12   +8       2.25    73.82     5.61    67.68    10.78     8.86     1.24    13.60     3.51P    0.63R    0.08  
Kidderminster     6   12   +5       1.12    62.02     0.90    74.55    10.47    16.83     4.04    30.87    10.34P    0.07R    0.00  
Forest_Green      6   12   +4       2.11    72.76     1.30    74.10    10.71    15.19     3.98    29.35     9.26P    0.11R    0.01  
Macclesfield      6   12   +4       3.19    82.17     3.11    70.20    10.54     9.28     1.72    17.88     4.81P    0.30R    0.03  
Aldershot         6   11   +4       1.37    66.23     1.79    76.40    10.69    20.42     5.63    37.64    12.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Eastleigh         6   10   +3       2.37    75.52     3.94    57.42    11.81    -9.35     0.27     3.60     0.86P    7.67R    1.48  
Lincoln_City      6   10   +0       2.79    80.00     1.65    66.63    10.79     2.65     0.81    11.02     2.61P    0.90R    0.10  
Wrexham           6   10   -1       0.22    52.26    -3.29    68.33    10.59     4.51     1.19    13.93     3.72P    0.51R    0.04  
Grimsby           6    9  +11      -1.87    27.21     6.63    81.25    10.44    37.70    12.86    57.19    26.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town    6    9   +3      -1.09    36.75     0.19    66.82    10.49     7.83     0.83    11.07     2.87P    0.61R    0.05  
Torquay           6    9   +3      -2.11    26.02    -1.40    81.59    10.94    30.78    14.20    57.45    27.96P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers    6    8   -1      -2.19    25.88    -4.13    80.45    11.07    26.05    11.48    53.05    24.63P    0.06R    0.01  
Southport         6    5   -4      -1.44    34.41    -0.89    51.25    10.43   -18.16     0.02     0.48     0.09P   15.34R    3.19  
Dartford          6    5   -5      -0.99    40.11    -1.49    49.89    10.16   -20.59     0.00     0.31     0.04P   18.14R    3.91  
Nuneaton          6    4   -7      -2.55    21.41    -4.58    50.07    10.05   -19.80     0.00     0.28     0.05P   17.02R    3.55  
Chester           6    4   -8      -0.57    46.01    -1.96    46.09    10.01   -29.23     0.00     0.09     0.01P   30.22R    8.01  
Dover_Athletic    6    4   -9      -0.79    43.28    -3.14    41.16    10.80   -38.61     0.00     0.09     0.01P   50.20R   20.51  
Altrincham        6    3   -5      -2.72    20.46    -0.97    43.63    11.26   -28.87     0.00     0.20     0.05P   40.60R   14.92  
Welling           6    3   -8      -3.63    12.23    -5.33    49.11    10.19   -21.59     0.00     0.25     0.04P   19.87R    4.52  
AFC_Telford       6    2   -5      -3.93    11.04    -1.15    41.01    11.26   -32.55     0.00     0.10     0.02P   49.70R   21.44  
Alfreton_Town     6    0  -17      -5.15     2.16   -11.36    41.69    10.41   -41.56     0.00     0.03     0.01P   47.88R   18.15