Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 31 August 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 31 August 2014, Aston_Villa 2 1 Hull; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 3 9 +7 2.55 86.29 3.14 81.93 9.08 47.97 36.80 64.71 83.27 92.28 98.29 0.00 0.00 Swansea 3 9 +5 4.49 96.76 4.47 57.98 9.65 5.13 0.41 1.72 5.27 12.43 35.87 0.75R 0.05 Aston_Villa 3 7 +2 2.89 89.45 1.95 44.67 9.18 -16.21 0.00 0.05 0.22 0.73 4.12 12.89R 2.66 Man_City 3 6 +3 -0.37 39.46 -0.77 81.93 9.01 50.88 37.01 65.93 83.79 92.27 98.27 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 3 6 +2 1.14 65.89 0.82 77.21 9.58 42.50 19.23 43.62 67.86 81.98 94.72 0.00R 0.00 Tottenham 3 6 +2 1.14 66.41 0.98 60.52 9.80 11.09 0.73 3.12 8.62 19.23 47.01 0.45R 0.04 Arsenal 3 5 +1 -0.66 37.63 -1.44 67.50 9.80 23.32 3.61 11.76 25.73 45.37 74.58 0.05R 0.00 Southampton 3 4 +1 0.04 53.84 1.49 52.77 9.73 0.94 0.10 0.53 1.82 5.23 19.46 2.76R 0.47 Hull 3 4 +0 0.19 55.78 0.32 38.40 8.80 -22.07 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.88 31.67R 9.36 Stoke 3 4 +0 0.44 60.87 1.04 46.92 9.21 -7.99 0.00 0.07 0.38 1.22 6.62 7.83R 1.52 West_Ham 3 3 -1 -0.81 36.77 -0.55 43.74 9.18 -13.93 0.00 0.02 0.13 0.55 3.38 14.47R 3.36 QPR 3 3 -4 -0.10 49.04 -2.50 33.27 8.92 -33.41 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.27 55.72R 25.45 Sunderland 3 2 -1 -1.64 25.16 -0.24 40.74 9.13 -17.19 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.27 1.91 23.01R 5.97 Man_Utd 3 2 -1 -3.76 5.86 -3.50 63.38 9.73 19.40 1.45 5.55 14.38 29.05 60.02 0.17R 0.02 Leicester 3 2 -2 -0.28 49.58 1.26 42.78 10.01 -15.27 0.01 0.03 0.20 0.74 3.90 19.51R 5.54 Newcastle 3 2 -2 -1.46 26.22 -0.63 41.32 9.38 -18.03 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.36 2.32 21.91R 5.99 Everton 3 2 -3 -2.08 19.32 -2.88 59.86 9.95 11.42 0.64 2.86 8.04 17.64 44.75 0.64R 0.08 West_Brom 3 2 -3 -1.57 26.78 -2.15 41.74 9.33 -18.38 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.39 2.36 20.97R 5.66 Crystal_Palace 3 1 -3 -1.89 22.91 -1.00 34.32 8.68 -27.61 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.26 49.62R 20.00 Burnley 3 1 -3 -1.17 35.35 0.17 37.24 9.49 -22.58 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 0.99 37.56R 13.83Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, Brighton 2 2 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Nott'm_Forest 5 13 +8 5.33 96.37 6.77 76.10 10.87 18.63 12.86 24.42 59.81 32.67P 0.35R 0.03 Watford 5 12 +7 3.02 83.34 3.50 77.13 11.18 20.82 15.21 28.09 63.57 36.69P 0.38R 0.05 Wolverhampton 5 12 +4 4.04 89.93 2.36 76.63 11.28 16.77 13.92 25.83 60.69 35.11P 0.37R 0.04 Norwich 5 10 +5 1.72 71.13 2.76 78.83 11.27 23.84 19.29 33.41 68.68 43.78P 0.23R 0.03 Millwall 5 10 +3 3.15 85.75 3.05 55.90 10.13 -11.86 0.22 0.65 4.95 1.34P 16.85R 3.57 Charlton 5 9 +2 3.16 85.10 3.33 61.25 10.58 -3.80 0.74 2.18 13.00 4.10P 7.65R 1.42 Derby 5 8 +4 -0.93 37.95 0.71 74.28 10.97 19.50 10.13 19.94 53.86 29.55P 0.55R 0.07 Brentford 5 8 +2 1.30 67.40 2.18 56.86 10.94 -8.36 0.42 1.13 7.33 2.43P 16.16R 4.03 Cardiff 5 8 +2 0.96 63.48 1.64 70.64 11.34 11.82 5.83 12.60 40.87 19.95P 1.65R 0.24 Sheff_Wed 5 8 +1 1.50 70.41 1.45 61.91 10.65 -2.42 0.93 2.49 14.38 4.87P 6.96R 1.33 Bournemouth 5 7 +3 0.57 58.86 3.77 63.36 10.86 2.83 1.34 3.58 18.22 6.58P 5.67R 1.10 Wigan 5 7 +3 -1.45 31.51 0.54 71.58 10.77 15.74 6.25 13.42 43.85 22.08P 0.94R 0.13 Brighton 5 7 +1 -1.37 32.49 -1.17 68.88 10.33 9.89 3.35 8.13 33.02 15.08P 1.39R 0.19 Blackburn 5 7 -2 0.51 57.83 -1.41 65.55 11.01 1.17 1.98 5.22 23.79 9.26P 4.23R 0.74 Reading 5 7 -3 -0.08 50.08 -3.36 68.94 11.02 5.68 4.02 9.32 34.17 15.60P 2.11R 0.34 Middlesbrough 5 6 +0 -1.61 30.08 -1.15 62.86 10.67 1.21 1.11 2.93 16.84 6.14P 5.77R 1.08 Rotherham 5 6 -3 1.04 64.76 0.13 46.29 10.68 -29.02 0.01 0.06 0.91 0.21P 51.96R 23.51 Leeds_United 5 6 -5 -0.06 50.15 -3.68 54.57 10.50 -16.99 0.22 0.59 4.11 1.22P 21.85R 5.99 Ipswich 5 5 -1 -0.96 39.73 0.33 61.07 10.65 -0.82 0.80 2.20 12.70 4.54P 7.85R 1.54 Birmingham 5 5 -5 -0.50 45.58 -2.92 54.67 10.83 -16.03 0.19 0.60 4.73 1.41P 22.29R 6.42 Huddersfield 5 4 -7 -1.06 38.21 -3.83 50.66 10.55 -22.55 0.05 0.18 2.05 0.49P 34.92R 12.08 Bolton 5 1 -6 -4.92 3.93 -4.50 55.61 10.72 -8.60 0.21 0.63 5.44 1.74P 18.71R 5.05 Fulham 5 1 -7 -5.93 1.89 -7.03 59.52 11.83 -3.74 0.93 2.39 12.62 5.08P 13.04R 3.68 Blackpool 5 0 -6 -5.18 1.30 -3.46 44.30 10.13 -23.73 0.00 0.01 0.41 0.07P 58.12R 27.37League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 31 August 2014, Notts_County 1 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Peterborough 5 12 +4 3.49 86.14 1.42 81.25 11.29 24.02 24.95 40.79 74.90 49.94P 0.21R 0.01 Fleetwood_Town 5 11 +4 4.92 94.67 5.11 57.19 11.18 -10.42 0.37 1.19 7.82 2.35P 20.81R 2.79 Bristol_City 5 11 +3 3.33 86.14 1.74 73.87 11.23 13.16 9.06 18.04 50.76 25.74P 1.16R 0.06 MK_Dons 5 10 +4 2.35 77.37 2.84 74.02 11.16 15.92 8.89 18.42 51.87 26.57P 1.05R 0.06 Bradford 5 10 +4 3.23 85.60 4.09 65.48 10.70 3.72 1.68 4.47 22.57 8.11P 5.01R 0.39 Chesterfield 5 10 +2 3.14 84.40 1.93 64.36 11.49 -0.07 2.00 4.65 21.00 8.04P 7.79R 0.72 Preston 5 9 +5 0.63 57.32 2.74 77.71 10.83 23.61 15.21 28.74 65.70 39.75P 0.35R 0.01 Barnsley 5 8 +3 -0.55 43.18 0.41 71.78 11.84 14.45 7.45 15.38 44.29 23.21P 2.31R 0.18 Swindon 5 8 +3 -0.71 41.03 0.23 71.74 11.01 14.40 6.31 13.58 43.83 21.48P 1.56R 0.07 Notts_County 5 7 +1 0.13 52.41 1.01 62.64 11.05 0.17 1.11 3.05 16.62 5.81P 9.20R 0.88 Doncaster 5 7 +0 -0.42 44.90 -0.87 67.23 11.73 6.40 3.55 7.92 29.83 13.59P 4.80R 0.45 Sheff_Utd 5 7 +0 0.07 51.58 -0.22 69.80 10.60 10.10 3.61 8.80 36.12 15.94P 2.10R 0.14 Gillingham 5 7 -1 1.24 67.23 0.82 55.75 10.99 -13.19 0.24 0.75 5.72 1.60P 24.65R 3.78 Leyton_Orient 5 6 +1 -2.61 19.45 -1.56 75.01 11.02 20.28 10.49 21.03 55.93 31.77P 0.75R 0.03 Coventry 5 6 +0 -0.54 43.61 0.50 66.50 11.47 6.42 2.75 6.55 27.29 11.23P 5.49R 0.52 Crawley_Town 5 6 -3 0.31 55.68 -1.53 58.36 10.56 -7.69 0.34 1.00 7.79 2.32P 16.47R 1.94 Oldham 5 5 -1 -0.90 40.07 0.27 55.85 10.60 -7.98 0.18 0.60 5.34 1.55P 22.50R 3.19 Port_Vale 5 5 -1 -1.09 38.17 0.11 54.58 10.97 -11.49 0.20 0.63 4.86 1.38P 27.57R 4.71 Yeovil 5 5 -4 -1.93 28.23 -4.19 60.69 11.77 -4.49 1.10 2.82 13.93 5.41P 14.00R 1.99 Rochdale 5 4 -1 -1.60 31.75 1.11 50.03 11.51 -17.33 0.11 0.34 2.75 0.83P 43.67R 10.94 Scunthorpe 5 4 -7 -1.23 36.33 -4.52 48.75 11.40 -25.13 0.07 0.23 2.04 0.58P 48.90R 13.81 Walsall 5 3 -2 -3.90 9.29 -2.20 57.79 10.46 -2.93 0.30 0.87 7.19 2.31P 16.82R 2.00 Colchester 5 1 -5 -4.48 5.33 -2.94 49.85 10.65 -15.58 0.04 0.16 1.74 0.47P 42.84R 9.67 Crewe 5 0 -9 -5.23 1.64 -6.29 39.41 10.23 -36.36 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.03P 79.99R 41.66League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 5 13 +4 5.35 96.24 2.78 71.91 10.61 8.52 7.07 24.13 55.11 31.41P 0.40R 0.14 Cheltenham 5 13 +4 6.02 97.98 3.82 70.24 10.75 5.99 5.37 19.99 48.97 26.08P 0.82R 0.29 Morecambe 5 12 +5 5.10 94.77 4.97 67.73 10.93 4.48 3.83 14.96 40.19 20.01P 1.53R 0.57 Shrewsbury 5 11 +7 1.98 73.78 3.82 82.19 11.44 29.07 33.24 61.94 85.17 69.38P 0.07R 0.02 Wycombe 5 10 +4 3.45 86.89 4.33 66.97 10.76 5.72 3.13 13.12 37.61 18.75P 1.61R 0.56 Bury 5 10 +3 1.85 72.32 1.08 72.84 10.86 12.98 8.74 28.33 59.10 36.52P 0.42R 0.14 Portsmouth 5 10 +3 1.91 72.97 1.18 69.18 10.94 7.54 5.04 18.43 45.54 25.17P 1.03R 0.36 Northampton 5 8 +0 1.74 72.93 0.74 59.62 10.53 -5.74 0.67 3.83 15.59 6.29P 6.99R 2.95 Cambridge_Utd 5 7 +4 0.97 63.59 5.13 54.98 11.08 -7.41 0.36 2.07 9.18 3.51P 15.89R 8.07 Plymouth 5 7 +3 0.42 56.23 3.31 61.87 10.63 1.78 1.10 5.88 21.54 9.44P 4.54R 1.93 Tranmere 5 7 +1 -1.00 37.56 -0.70 75.79 11.72 19.94 14.98 39.59 68.54 49.03P 0.41R 0.14 Dag_&_Red 5 7 +0 0.44 56.80 0.39 59.68 10.89 -5.25 0.74 4.25 16.76 6.90P 7.60R 3.36 AFC_Wimbledon 5 7 +0 1.24 67.34 1.55 57.88 10.74 -7.81 0.49 2.90 12.82 4.89P 10.09R 4.63 Southend 5 7 +0 -0.81 40.06 -1.43 70.69 10.60 11.15 5.91 21.16 51.75 30.25P 0.63R 0.18 Stevenage 5 7 -2 -0.39 45.42 -2.85 69.55 11.60 7.59 6.15 20.71 47.07 28.20P 1.49R 0.56 Mansfield 5 6 -2 -0.33 46.70 -1.32 53.07 10.47 -15.06 0.14 0.99 5.65 1.87P 19.92R 10.25 York 5 5 +0 -2.02 26.05 -0.30 60.91 10.53 0.68 0.88 4.83 19.35 8.50P 5.22R 2.16 Luton 5 5 -2 -1.12 37.55 -0.94 57.77 11.36 -6.44 0.65 3.54 14.10 5.95P 11.24R 5.42 Newport_County 5 4 -3 -1.61 31.24 -1.15 51.21 10.46 -16.26 0.08 0.71 4.09 1.30P 25.14R 13.79 Hartlepool 5 3 -5 -3.20 13.84 -4.16 56.34 10.53 -8.27 0.33 1.83 9.70 3.68P 12.13R 5.83 Exeter 5 2 -5 -4.22 7.51 -4.20 54.98 10.70 -9.39 0.27 1.70 8.26 3.22P 15.12R 7.62 Carlisle 5 2 -8 -4.45 6.87 -7.48 56.29 11.71 -10.62 0.59 2.97 11.92 5.24P 15.26R 8.03 Oxford_Utd 5 1 -4 -5.86 1.93 -4.07 54.93 10.53 -6.63 0.19 1.46 8.00 3.03P 14.76R 7.27 Accrington_Stanley 5 1 -7 -4.20 6.28 -4.49 50.65 10.73 -16.54 0.07 0.69 3.99 1.37P 27.66R 15.73Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, Aldershot 2 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 6 15 +14 3.88 87.42 9.64 85.24 10.45 38.01 22.91 70.50 35.86P 0.01R 0.00 Halifax 6 15 +9 4.02 88.47 4.55 81.48 10.86 27.96 13.85 56.52 23.23P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 6 13 +2 3.77 86.74 0.40 75.63 10.81 14.24 5.14 34.34 10.98P 0.08R 0.00 Woking 6 12 +8 2.32 74.12 5.74 67.43 10.84 8.46 1.21 13.33 3.33P 0.60R 0.06 Kidderminster 6 12 +5 1.13 62.18 0.95 74.34 10.47 16.54 3.83 29.98 9.94P 0.06R 0.00 Forest_Green 6 12 +4 2.10 72.61 1.28 74.10 10.66 15.22 3.77 29.53 9.22P 0.10R 0.02 Macclesfield 6 12 +4 3.19 82.29 3.12 69.93 10.55 8.84 1.68 17.29 4.61P 0.32R 0.02 Aldershot 6 11 +4 1.35 65.97 1.75 76.67 10.69 20.87 5.96 38.73 13.60P 0.05R 0.00 Eastleigh 6 10 +3 2.39 75.60 3.97 57.57 12.02 -9.07 0.31 3.88 0.96P 7.67R 1.49 Lincoln_City 6 10 +0 2.77 79.85 1.63 66.72 10.75 2.74 0.83 11.15 2.58P 0.87R 0.07 Wrexham 6 10 -1 0.23 52.32 -3.28 68.32 10.64 4.52 1.22 14.04 3.84P 0.52R 0.06 Grimsby 6 9 +11 -1.91 26.72 6.54 81.66 10.32 38.36 13.51 59.00 27.49P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 6 9 +3 -1.07 36.89 0.23 66.56 10.48 7.44 0.74 10.99 2.89P 0.70R 0.06 Torquay 6 9 +3 -2.06 26.49 -1.31 81.40 11.03 30.44 14.17 56.97 27.74P 0.03R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 6 8 -1 -2.18 26.04 -4.10 80.26 10.85 25.72 10.85 51.98 23.47P 0.03R 0.00 Southport 6 5 -4 -1.49 33.95 -0.96 51.42 10.46 -17.98 0.01 0.48 0.05P 14.90R 3.00 Dartford 6 5 -5 -1.03 39.73 -1.55 49.94 10.13 -20.52 0.00 0.25 0.05P 18.09R 3.84 Nuneaton 6 4 -7 -2.52 21.74 -4.53 50.07 10.04 -19.79 0.00 0.28 0.04P 17.18R 3.51 Chester 6 4 -8 -0.59 45.82 -1.99 46.29 10.16 -28.90 0.00 0.12 0.01P 30.03R 8.02 Dover_Athletic 6 4 -9 -0.83 42.88 -3.23 41.33 10.79 -38.11 0.00 0.08 0.01P 49.68R 20.15 Altrincham 6 3 -5 -2.75 20.42 -1.00 43.79 11.24 -28.63 0.01 0.17 0.03P 39.95R 14.45 Welling 6 3 -8 -3.62 12.30 -5.30 48.86 10.13 -22.01 0.01 0.25 0.04P 20.67R 4.53 AFC_Telford 6 2 -5 -3.93 11.15 -1.16 40.75 11.28 -32.91 0.00 0.10 0.01P 50.69R 22.47 Alfreton_Town 6 0 -17 -5.16 2.07 -11.40 41.70 10.36 -41.43 0.00 0.04 0.01P 47.77R 18.24