Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 31 August 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 31 August 2014, Aston_Villa 2 1 Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           3    9   +7       2.55    86.29     3.14    81.93     9.08    47.97    36.80    64.71    83.27    92.28    98.29     0.00     0.00  
Swansea           3    9   +5       4.49    96.76     4.47    57.98     9.65     5.13     0.41     1.72     5.27    12.43    35.87     0.75R    0.05  
Aston_Villa       3    7   +2       2.89    89.45     1.95    44.67     9.18   -16.21     0.00     0.05     0.22     0.73     4.12    12.89R    2.66  
Man_City          3    6   +3      -0.37    39.46    -0.77    81.93     9.01    50.88    37.01    65.93    83.79    92.27    98.27     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool         3    6   +2       1.14    65.89     0.82    77.21     9.58    42.50    19.23    43.62    67.86    81.98    94.72     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham         3    6   +2       1.14    66.41     0.98    60.52     9.80    11.09     0.73     3.12     8.62    19.23    47.01     0.45R    0.04  
Arsenal           3    5   +1      -0.66    37.63    -1.44    67.50     9.80    23.32     3.61    11.76    25.73    45.37    74.58     0.05R    0.00  
Southampton       3    4   +1       0.04    53.84     1.49    52.77     9.73     0.94     0.10     0.53     1.82     5.23    19.46     2.76R    0.47  
Hull              3    4   +0       0.19    55.78     0.32    38.40     8.80   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.88    31.67R    9.36  
Stoke             3    4   +0       0.44    60.87     1.04    46.92     9.21    -7.99     0.00     0.07     0.38     1.22     6.62     7.83R    1.52  
West_Ham          3    3   -1      -0.81    36.77    -0.55    43.74     9.18   -13.93     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.55     3.38    14.47R    3.36  
QPR               3    3   -4      -0.10    49.04    -2.50    33.27     8.92   -33.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.27    55.72R   25.45  
Sunderland        3    2   -1      -1.64    25.16    -0.24    40.74     9.13   -17.19     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.27     1.91    23.01R    5.97  
Man_Utd           3    2   -1      -3.76     5.86    -3.50    63.38     9.73    19.40     1.45     5.55    14.38    29.05    60.02     0.17R    0.02  
Leicester         3    2   -2      -0.28    49.58     1.26    42.78    10.01   -15.27     0.01     0.03     0.20     0.74     3.90    19.51R    5.54  
Newcastle         3    2   -2      -1.46    26.22    -0.63    41.32     9.38   -18.03     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.36     2.32    21.91R    5.99  
Everton           3    2   -3      -2.08    19.32    -2.88    59.86     9.95    11.42     0.64     2.86     8.04    17.64    44.75     0.64R    0.08  
West_Brom         3    2   -3      -1.57    26.78    -2.15    41.74     9.33   -18.38     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.39     2.36    20.97R    5.66  
Crystal_Palace    3    1   -3      -1.89    22.91    -1.00    34.32     8.68   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.26    49.62R   20.00  
Burnley           3    1   -3      -1.17    35.35     0.17    37.24     9.49   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.99    37.56R   13.83  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, Brighton 2 2 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Nott'm_Forest    5   13   +8       5.33    96.37     6.77    76.10    10.87    18.63    12.86    24.42    59.81    32.67P    0.35R    0.03  
Watford          5   12   +7       3.02    83.34     3.50    77.13    11.18    20.82    15.21    28.09    63.57    36.69P    0.38R    0.05  
Wolverhampton    5   12   +4       4.04    89.93     2.36    76.63    11.28    16.77    13.92    25.83    60.69    35.11P    0.37R    0.04  
Norwich          5   10   +5       1.72    71.13     2.76    78.83    11.27    23.84    19.29    33.41    68.68    43.78P    0.23R    0.03  
Millwall         5   10   +3       3.15    85.75     3.05    55.90    10.13   -11.86     0.22     0.65     4.95     1.34P   16.85R    3.57  
Charlton         5    9   +2       3.16    85.10     3.33    61.25    10.58    -3.80     0.74     2.18    13.00     4.10P    7.65R    1.42  
Derby            5    8   +4      -0.93    37.95     0.71    74.28    10.97    19.50    10.13    19.94    53.86    29.55P    0.55R    0.07  
Brentford        5    8   +2       1.30    67.40     2.18    56.86    10.94    -8.36     0.42     1.13     7.33     2.43P   16.16R    4.03  
Cardiff          5    8   +2       0.96    63.48     1.64    70.64    11.34    11.82     5.83    12.60    40.87    19.95P    1.65R    0.24  
Sheff_Wed        5    8   +1       1.50    70.41     1.45    61.91    10.65    -2.42     0.93     2.49    14.38     4.87P    6.96R    1.33  
Bournemouth      5    7   +3       0.57    58.86     3.77    63.36    10.86     2.83     1.34     3.58    18.22     6.58P    5.67R    1.10  
Wigan            5    7   +3      -1.45    31.51     0.54    71.58    10.77    15.74     6.25    13.42    43.85    22.08P    0.94R    0.13  
Brighton         5    7   +1      -1.37    32.49    -1.17    68.88    10.33     9.89     3.35     8.13    33.02    15.08P    1.39R    0.19  
Blackburn        5    7   -2       0.51    57.83    -1.41    65.55    11.01     1.17     1.98     5.22    23.79     9.26P    4.23R    0.74  
Reading          5    7   -3      -0.08    50.08    -3.36    68.94    11.02     5.68     4.02     9.32    34.17    15.60P    2.11R    0.34  
Middlesbrough    5    6   +0      -1.61    30.08    -1.15    62.86    10.67     1.21     1.11     2.93    16.84     6.14P    5.77R    1.08  
Rotherham        5    6   -3       1.04    64.76     0.13    46.29    10.68   -29.02     0.01     0.06     0.91     0.21P   51.96R   23.51  
Leeds_United     5    6   -5      -0.06    50.15    -3.68    54.57    10.50   -16.99     0.22     0.59     4.11     1.22P   21.85R    5.99  
Ipswich          5    5   -1      -0.96    39.73     0.33    61.07    10.65    -0.82     0.80     2.20    12.70     4.54P    7.85R    1.54  
Birmingham       5    5   -5      -0.50    45.58    -2.92    54.67    10.83   -16.03     0.19     0.60     4.73     1.41P   22.29R    6.42  
Huddersfield     5    4   -7      -1.06    38.21    -3.83    50.66    10.55   -22.55     0.05     0.18     2.05     0.49P   34.92R   12.08  
Bolton           5    1   -6      -4.92     3.93    -4.50    55.61    10.72    -8.60     0.21     0.63     5.44     1.74P   18.71R    5.05  
Fulham           5    1   -7      -5.93     1.89    -7.03    59.52    11.83    -3.74     0.93     2.39    12.62     5.08P   13.04R    3.68  
Blackpool        5    0   -6      -5.18     1.30    -3.46    44.30    10.13   -23.73     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.07P   58.12R   27.37  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 31 August 2014, Notts_County 1 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough      5   12   +4       3.49    86.14     1.42    81.25    11.29    24.02    24.95    40.79    74.90    49.94P    0.21R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town    5   11   +4       4.92    94.67     5.11    57.19    11.18   -10.42     0.37     1.19     7.82     2.35P   20.81R    2.79  
Bristol_City      5   11   +3       3.33    86.14     1.74    73.87    11.23    13.16     9.06    18.04    50.76    25.74P    1.16R    0.06  
MK_Dons           5   10   +4       2.35    77.37     2.84    74.02    11.16    15.92     8.89    18.42    51.87    26.57P    1.05R    0.06  
Bradford          5   10   +4       3.23    85.60     4.09    65.48    10.70     3.72     1.68     4.47    22.57     8.11P    5.01R    0.39  
Chesterfield      5   10   +2       3.14    84.40     1.93    64.36    11.49    -0.07     2.00     4.65    21.00     8.04P    7.79R    0.72  
Preston           5    9   +5       0.63    57.32     2.74    77.71    10.83    23.61    15.21    28.74    65.70    39.75P    0.35R    0.01  
Barnsley          5    8   +3      -0.55    43.18     0.41    71.78    11.84    14.45     7.45    15.38    44.29    23.21P    2.31R    0.18  
Swindon           5    8   +3      -0.71    41.03     0.23    71.74    11.01    14.40     6.31    13.58    43.83    21.48P    1.56R    0.07  
Notts_County      5    7   +1       0.13    52.41     1.01    62.64    11.05     0.17     1.11     3.05    16.62     5.81P    9.20R    0.88  
Doncaster         5    7   +0      -0.42    44.90    -0.87    67.23    11.73     6.40     3.55     7.92    29.83    13.59P    4.80R    0.45  
Sheff_Utd         5    7   +0       0.07    51.58    -0.22    69.80    10.60    10.10     3.61     8.80    36.12    15.94P    2.10R    0.14  
Gillingham        5    7   -1       1.24    67.23     0.82    55.75    10.99   -13.19     0.24     0.75     5.72     1.60P   24.65R    3.78  
Leyton_Orient     5    6   +1      -2.61    19.45    -1.56    75.01    11.02    20.28    10.49    21.03    55.93    31.77P    0.75R    0.03  
Coventry          5    6   +0      -0.54    43.61     0.50    66.50    11.47     6.42     2.75     6.55    27.29    11.23P    5.49R    0.52  
Crawley_Town      5    6   -3       0.31    55.68    -1.53    58.36    10.56    -7.69     0.34     1.00     7.79     2.32P   16.47R    1.94  
Oldham            5    5   -1      -0.90    40.07     0.27    55.85    10.60    -7.98     0.18     0.60     5.34     1.55P   22.50R    3.19  
Port_Vale         5    5   -1      -1.09    38.17     0.11    54.58    10.97   -11.49     0.20     0.63     4.86     1.38P   27.57R    4.71  
Yeovil            5    5   -4      -1.93    28.23    -4.19    60.69    11.77    -4.49     1.10     2.82    13.93     5.41P   14.00R    1.99  
Rochdale          5    4   -1      -1.60    31.75     1.11    50.03    11.51   -17.33     0.11     0.34     2.75     0.83P   43.67R   10.94  
Scunthorpe        5    4   -7      -1.23    36.33    -4.52    48.75    11.40   -25.13     0.07     0.23     2.04     0.58P   48.90R   13.81  
Walsall           5    3   -2      -3.90     9.29    -2.20    57.79    10.46    -2.93     0.30     0.87     7.19     2.31P   16.82R    2.00  
Colchester        5    1   -5      -4.48     5.33    -2.94    49.85    10.65   -15.58     0.04     0.16     1.74     0.47P   42.84R    9.67  
Crewe             5    0   -9      -5.23     1.64    -6.29    39.41    10.23   -36.36     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   79.99R   41.66  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion         5   13   +4       5.35    96.24     2.78    71.91    10.61     8.52     7.07    24.13    55.11    31.41P    0.40R    0.14  
Cheltenham            5   13   +4       6.02    97.98     3.82    70.24    10.75     5.99     5.37    19.99    48.97    26.08P    0.82R    0.29  
Morecambe             5   12   +5       5.10    94.77     4.97    67.73    10.93     4.48     3.83    14.96    40.19    20.01P    1.53R    0.57  
Shrewsbury            5   11   +7       1.98    73.78     3.82    82.19    11.44    29.07    33.24    61.94    85.17    69.38P    0.07R    0.02  
Wycombe               5   10   +4       3.45    86.89     4.33    66.97    10.76     5.72     3.13    13.12    37.61    18.75P    1.61R    0.56  
Bury                  5   10   +3       1.85    72.32     1.08    72.84    10.86    12.98     8.74    28.33    59.10    36.52P    0.42R    0.14  
Portsmouth            5   10   +3       1.91    72.97     1.18    69.18    10.94     7.54     5.04    18.43    45.54    25.17P    1.03R    0.36  
Northampton           5    8   +0       1.74    72.93     0.74    59.62    10.53    -5.74     0.67     3.83    15.59     6.29P    6.99R    2.95  
Cambridge_Utd         5    7   +4       0.97    63.59     5.13    54.98    11.08    -7.41     0.36     2.07     9.18     3.51P   15.89R    8.07  
Plymouth              5    7   +3       0.42    56.23     3.31    61.87    10.63     1.78     1.10     5.88    21.54     9.44P    4.54R    1.93  
Tranmere              5    7   +1      -1.00    37.56    -0.70    75.79    11.72    19.94    14.98    39.59    68.54    49.03P    0.41R    0.14  
Dag_&_Red             5    7   +0       0.44    56.80     0.39    59.68    10.89    -5.25     0.74     4.25    16.76     6.90P    7.60R    3.36  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    7   +0       1.24    67.34     1.55    57.88    10.74    -7.81     0.49     2.90    12.82     4.89P   10.09R    4.63  
Southend              5    7   +0      -0.81    40.06    -1.43    70.69    10.60    11.15     5.91    21.16    51.75    30.25P    0.63R    0.18  
Stevenage             5    7   -2      -0.39    45.42    -2.85    69.55    11.60     7.59     6.15    20.71    47.07    28.20P    1.49R    0.56  
Mansfield             5    6   -2      -0.33    46.70    -1.32    53.07    10.47   -15.06     0.14     0.99     5.65     1.87P   19.92R   10.25  
York                  5    5   +0      -2.02    26.05    -0.30    60.91    10.53     0.68     0.88     4.83    19.35     8.50P    5.22R    2.16  
Luton                 5    5   -2      -1.12    37.55    -0.94    57.77    11.36    -6.44     0.65     3.54    14.10     5.95P   11.24R    5.42  
Newport_County        5    4   -3      -1.61    31.24    -1.15    51.21    10.46   -16.26     0.08     0.71     4.09     1.30P   25.14R   13.79  
Hartlepool            5    3   -5      -3.20    13.84    -4.16    56.34    10.53    -8.27     0.33     1.83     9.70     3.68P   12.13R    5.83  
Exeter                5    2   -5      -4.22     7.51    -4.20    54.98    10.70    -9.39     0.27     1.70     8.26     3.22P   15.12R    7.62  
Carlisle              5    2   -8      -4.45     6.87    -7.48    56.29    11.71   -10.62     0.59     2.97    11.92     5.24P   15.26R    8.03  
Oxford_Utd            5    1   -4      -5.86     1.93    -4.07    54.93    10.53    -6.63     0.19     1.46     8.00     3.03P   14.76R    7.27  
Accrington_Stanley    5    1   -7      -4.20     6.28    -4.49    50.65    10.73   -16.54     0.07     0.69     3.99     1.37P   27.66R   15.73  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, Aldershot 2 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet            6   15  +14       3.88    87.42     9.64    85.24    10.45    38.01    22.91    70.50    35.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax           6   15   +9       4.02    88.47     4.55    81.48    10.86    27.96    13.85    56.52    23.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead         6   13   +2       3.77    86.74     0.40    75.63    10.81    14.24     5.14    34.34    10.98P    0.08R    0.00  
Woking            6   12   +8       2.32    74.12     5.74    67.43    10.84     8.46     1.21    13.33     3.33P    0.60R    0.06  
Kidderminster     6   12   +5       1.13    62.18     0.95    74.34    10.47    16.54     3.83    29.98     9.94P    0.06R    0.00  
Forest_Green      6   12   +4       2.10    72.61     1.28    74.10    10.66    15.22     3.77    29.53     9.22P    0.10R    0.02  
Macclesfield      6   12   +4       3.19    82.29     3.12    69.93    10.55     8.84     1.68    17.29     4.61P    0.32R    0.02  
Aldershot         6   11   +4       1.35    65.97     1.75    76.67    10.69    20.87     5.96    38.73    13.60P    0.05R    0.00  
Eastleigh         6   10   +3       2.39    75.60     3.97    57.57    12.02    -9.07     0.31     3.88     0.96P    7.67R    1.49  
Lincoln_City      6   10   +0       2.77    79.85     1.63    66.72    10.75     2.74     0.83    11.15     2.58P    0.87R    0.07  
Wrexham           6   10   -1       0.23    52.32    -3.28    68.32    10.64     4.52     1.22    14.04     3.84P    0.52R    0.06  
Grimsby           6    9  +11      -1.91    26.72     6.54    81.66    10.32    38.36    13.51    59.00    27.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town    6    9   +3      -1.07    36.89     0.23    66.56    10.48     7.44     0.74    10.99     2.89P    0.70R    0.06  
Torquay           6    9   +3      -2.06    26.49    -1.31    81.40    11.03    30.44    14.17    56.97    27.74P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers    6    8   -1      -2.18    26.04    -4.10    80.26    10.85    25.72    10.85    51.98    23.47P    0.03R    0.00  
Southport         6    5   -4      -1.49    33.95    -0.96    51.42    10.46   -17.98     0.01     0.48     0.05P   14.90R    3.00  
Dartford          6    5   -5      -1.03    39.73    -1.55    49.94    10.13   -20.52     0.00     0.25     0.05P   18.09R    3.84  
Nuneaton          6    4   -7      -2.52    21.74    -4.53    50.07    10.04   -19.79     0.00     0.28     0.04P   17.18R    3.51  
Chester           6    4   -8      -0.59    45.82    -1.99    46.29    10.16   -28.90     0.00     0.12     0.01P   30.03R    8.02  
Dover_Athletic    6    4   -9      -0.83    42.88    -3.23    41.33    10.79   -38.11     0.00     0.08     0.01P   49.68R   20.15  
Altrincham        6    3   -5      -2.75    20.42    -1.00    43.79    11.24   -28.63     0.01     0.17     0.03P   39.95R   14.45  
Welling           6    3   -8      -3.62    12.30    -5.30    48.86    10.13   -22.01     0.01     0.25     0.04P   20.67R    4.53  
AFC_Telford       6    2   -5      -3.93    11.15    -1.16    40.75    11.28   -32.91     0.00     0.10     0.01P   50.69R   22.47  
Alfreton_Town     6    0  -17      -5.16     2.07   -11.40    41.70    10.36   -41.43     0.00     0.04     0.01P   47.77R   18.24