Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 30 August 2014 at 21:57:44 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, Burnley 0 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea           3    9   +7       2.56    86.38     3.13    81.92     9.20    47.98    38.16    65.64    82.47    91.31    98.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea           3    9   +5       4.50    96.88     4.48    57.66     9.64     4.74     0.40     1.84     4.92    11.00    32.75     0.79R    0.10  
Tottenham         2    6   +5       2.11    83.89     3.23    63.76    10.17    17.09     2.02     7.03    16.10    28.74    58.08     0.21R    0.03  
Man_City          3    6   +3      -0.38    39.18    -0.82    81.76     8.96    50.72    37.66    65.98    82.84    91.52    98.15     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           2    4   +1       0.22    58.59    -0.67    69.67    10.05    26.58     6.30    17.61    33.88    52.76    79.33     0.03R    0.01  
Southampton       3    4   +1       0.03    53.63     1.46    52.48     9.81     0.41     0.11     0.60     1.98     5.01    17.70     3.07R    0.41  
Hull              2    4   +1       1.37    78.33     1.08    40.15     9.04   -20.32     0.01     0.01     0.05     0.18     1.50    24.92R    6.68  
Aston_Villa       2    4   +1       1.45    79.98     1.25    42.53     9.41   -18.09     0.01     0.04     0.12     0.50     2.73    18.27R    4.86  
Stoke             3    4   +0       0.42    60.34     1.01    47.12     9.31    -7.78     0.02     0.14     0.41     1.26     6.61     7.54R    1.44  
West_Ham          3    3   -1      -0.78    37.02    -0.50    43.74     9.25   -13.99     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.51     3.29    14.34R    3.13  
Liverpool         2    3   -1      -0.05    46.91    -1.46    74.22     9.96    36.84    12.98    32.12    53.97    70.30    89.48     0.01R    0.00  
QPR               3    3   -4      -0.07    49.54    -2.41    33.16     9.00   -33.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.27    55.52R   25.46  
Sunderland        3    2   -1      -1.63    25.36    -0.24    40.85     9.08   -17.04     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.21     1.34    22.32R    5.76  
Man_Utd           3    2   -1      -3.77     5.54    -3.52    63.58     9.77    19.88     1.61     5.99    14.92    28.72    59.28     0.17R    0.02  
Newcastle         3    2   -2      -1.54    24.80    -0.76    41.34     9.26   -17.98     0.01     0.01     0.07     0.34     1.97    21.60R    5.56  
Everton           3    2   -3      -2.06    19.30    -2.86    59.78     9.88    11.39     0.69     2.86     7.66    16.38    42.59     0.55R    0.06  
West_Brom         3    2   -3      -1.53    27.09    -2.07    41.74     9.37   -18.58     0.01     0.01     0.10     0.36     2.19    20.79R    5.68  
Leicester         2    1   -2      -0.44    51.30     0.40    42.20    10.34   -17.13     0.01     0.07     0.30     0.75     3.58    21.75R    6.71  
Crystal_Palace    3    1   -3      -1.84    23.64    -0.88    34.34     8.83   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31    49.57R   19.66  
Burnley           3    1   -3      -1.19    34.94     0.15    36.93     9.61   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.85    38.54R   14.43  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, Brighton 2 2 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Nott'm_Forest    5   13   +8       5.36    96.44     6.84    76.12    10.87    18.60    13.13    24.65    60.02    33.05P    0.36R    0.03  
Watford          5   12   +7       3.01    83.32     3.53    76.97    11.21    20.55    14.85    27.77    62.52    36.57P    0.33R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    5   12   +4       4.03    89.75     2.35    76.47    11.13    16.53    13.15    25.53    60.37    34.56P    0.32R    0.04  
Norwich          5   10   +5       1.73    70.86     2.79    78.80    11.32    23.79    19.46    33.79    68.68    44.20P    0.26R    0.03  
Millwall         5   10   +3       3.19    86.12     3.13    55.62    10.23   -12.26     0.19     0.60     4.74     1.26P   17.87R    3.89  
Charlton         5    9   +2       3.15    85.04     3.34    60.95    10.49    -4.19     0.65     1.80    12.26     3.73P    8.04R    1.63  
Derby            5    8   +4      -1.00    36.92     0.58    74.50    10.82    19.82    10.46    20.23    55.15    30.19P    0.38R    0.06  
Brentford        5    8   +2       1.29    67.38     2.18    56.99    10.92    -8.25     0.41     1.20     7.51     2.46P   16.05R    4.13  
Cardiff          5    8   +2       0.94    63.28     1.62    70.63    11.40    11.77     6.22    13.01    40.38    20.20P    1.53R    0.21  
Sheff_Wed        5    8   +1       1.51    70.11     1.50    61.83    10.60    -2.56     0.91     2.43    14.21     4.66P    6.79R    1.40  
Bournemouth      5    7   +3       0.51    58.13     3.69    63.53    10.94     3.15     1.29     3.52    19.02     6.77P    5.45R    0.97  
Wigan            5    7   +3      -1.42    31.94     0.58    71.32    10.73    15.32     5.71    12.70    43.18    21.32P    1.08R    0.10  
Brighton         5    7   +1      -1.37    32.47    -1.16    68.71    10.38     9.69     3.35     7.92    32.73    14.67P    1.56R    0.17  
Blackburn        5    7   -2       0.55    58.23    -1.40    65.82    11.17     1.57     2.43     5.83    24.81     9.90P    3.98R    0.68  
Reading          5    7   -3      -0.14    49.23    -3.44    69.18    10.93     6.10     4.13     9.21    34.54    15.42P    1.96R    0.24  
Middlesbrough    5    6   +0      -1.68    29.31    -1.24    63.10    10.59     1.60     1.22     3.11    16.46     6.23P    5.50R    1.08  
Rotherham        5    6   -3       1.06    65.17     0.14    46.29    10.80   -29.07     0.02     0.09     0.97     0.23P   51.59R   23.86  
Leeds_United     5    6   -5      -0.06    50.23    -3.69    54.66    10.51   -16.88     0.16     0.53     4.28     1.26P   21.29R    5.83  
Ipswich          5    5   -1      -0.98    39.05     0.26    61.47    10.68    -0.10     0.81     2.25    13.34     4.61P    7.50R    1.55  
Birmingham       5    5   -5      -0.47    46.02    -2.85    54.51    10.75   -16.26     0.15     0.55     4.33     1.31P   22.45R    6.25  
Huddersfield     5    4   -7      -1.01    39.05    -3.79    50.45    10.59   -22.86     0.07     0.21     1.98     0.53P   35.45R   12.09  
Bolton           5    1   -6      -4.89     3.96    -4.46    55.48    10.80    -8.72     0.27     0.72     5.54     1.74P   19.42R    5.24  
Fulham           5    1   -7      -5.90     1.98    -7.00    59.45    11.93    -3.77     0.95     2.31    12.54     5.02P   13.26R    3.88  
Blackpool        5    0   -6      -5.20     1.19    -3.49    44.44    10.08   -23.55     0.01     0.04     0.44     0.11P   57.58R   26.60  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, Colchester 1 3 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough      5   12   +4       3.41    85.54     1.33    81.54    11.23    24.56    25.87    41.74    76.02    51.30P    0.24R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town    5   11   +4       4.95    94.66     5.19    57.06    11.19   -10.70     0.37     1.17     7.69     2.28P   21.07R    2.96  
MK_Dons           5   10   +4       2.39    77.44     2.88    73.68    11.11    15.47     8.63    17.89    50.77    25.99P    1.09R    0.07  
Bradford          5   10   +4       3.21    85.29     4.05    65.29    10.69     3.46     1.75     4.32    22.19     7.94P    5.20R    0.38  
Chesterfield      5   10   +2       3.12    84.42     1.92    64.19    11.46    -0.32     1.88     4.64    20.69     8.06P    7.70R    0.78  
Preston           5    9   +5       0.63    57.47     2.73    78.15    10.83    24.23    16.13    29.93    67.16    41.09P    0.27R    0.01  
Barnsley          5    8   +3      -0.62    42.01     0.30    72.35    11.75    15.34     8.04    16.38    46.16    24.61P    1.82R    0.14  
Swindon           5    8   +3      -0.73    40.68     0.19    71.71    10.88    14.39     5.92    13.12    43.96    21.59P    1.55R    0.04  
Bristol_City      4    8   +2       1.96    76.38     1.13    72.41    11.49    12.24     7.73    15.99    46.11    22.93P    1.82R    0.11  
Notts_County      4    7   +2       1.25    68.17     1.55    64.68    11.35     2.19     1.91     4.78    21.89     8.38P    6.88R    0.66  
Doncaster         5    7   +0      -0.45    44.69    -0.95    67.41    11.45     6.74     3.38     7.71    29.79    13.06P    4.52R    0.39  
Sheff_Utd         5    7   +0       0.09    52.03    -0.21    69.53    10.46     9.70     3.23     8.34    34.87    15.09P    2.23R    0.14  
Gillingham        5    7   -1       1.30    67.71     0.89    55.42    11.01   -13.69     0.29     0.73     5.59     1.54P   25.58R    4.03  
Leyton_Orient     5    6   +1      -2.58    20.18    -1.53    74.91    10.99    20.15    10.21    20.58    55.59    31.26P    0.72R    0.03  
Coventry          5    6   +0      -0.47    44.41     0.62    66.15    11.41     5.96     2.50     6.24    25.84    10.50P    5.44R    0.51  
Crawley_Town      5    6   -3       0.32    55.68    -1.52    58.26    10.54    -7.82     0.35     1.06     7.47     2.20P   16.50R    1.98  
Oldham            5    5   -1      -0.90    40.45     0.27    56.01    10.64    -7.78     0.15     0.61     5.59     1.63P   22.29R    3.09  
Port_Vale         5    5   -1      -1.13    37.66     0.07    54.65    10.96   -11.30     0.21     0.66     5.17     1.41P   27.14R    4.76  
Yeovil            5    5   -4      -1.95    27.88    -4.19    60.70    11.57    -4.54     0.94     2.46    13.76     5.01P   13.48R    1.85  
Rochdale          5    4   -1      -1.59    32.06     1.15    49.87    11.62   -17.78     0.09     0.35     2.79     0.83P   44.27R   11.56  
Scunthorpe        5    4   -7      -1.25    36.05    -4.54    48.88    11.33   -24.87     0.07     0.22     1.91     0.53P   48.27R   13.17  
Walsall           5    3   -2      -3.88     9.39    -2.18    57.46    10.48    -3.36     0.28     0.92     7.20     2.31P   17.64R    2.14  
Colchester        5    1   -5      -4.44     5.36    -2.87    49.65    10.55   -15.84     0.04     0.15     1.67     0.45P   44.02R    9.92  
Crewe             5    0   -9      -5.22     1.65    -6.29    39.41    10.22   -36.41     0.01     0.01     0.14     0.01P   80.27R   41.29  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion         5   13   +4       5.30    96.16     2.73    72.23    10.64     8.98     7.36    25.18    56.12    32.54P    0.40R    0.12  
Cheltenham            5   13   +4       5.99    97.90     3.76    70.39    10.75     6.23     5.52    20.40    49.46    26.94P    0.71R    0.18  
Morecambe             5   12   +5       5.12    94.66     5.00    67.54    10.78     4.14     3.61    14.45    39.67    19.49P    1.49R    0.56  
Shrewsbury            5   11   +7       1.99    74.03     3.84    82.13    11.52    28.97    32.81    61.62    84.79    69.21P    0.07R    0.03  
Wycombe               5   10   +4       3.44    87.05     4.32    66.89    10.62     5.50     2.85    12.40    37.43    17.87P    1.71R    0.62  
Bury                  5   10   +3       1.86    72.38     1.10    72.77    10.88    12.82     8.46    27.80    58.70    35.92P    0.41R    0.14  
Portsmouth            5   10   +3       1.95    73.35     1.21    69.19    10.93     7.69     5.10    18.13    45.86    24.83P    1.05R    0.36  
Northampton           5    8   +0       1.71    72.24     0.71    59.69    10.61    -5.64     0.60     3.71    15.88     6.13P    7.15R    3.12  
Cambridge_Utd         5    7   +4       0.96    63.61     5.11    54.87    11.03    -7.66     0.24     1.87     8.83     3.16P   16.20R    8.20  
Plymouth              5    7   +3       0.43    56.40     3.30    61.87    10.56     1.72     1.11     5.53    21.46     9.20P    4.54R    1.85  
Tranmere              5    7   +1      -1.03    37.40    -0.75    75.95    11.85    20.16    15.54    40.02    68.28    49.00P    0.43R    0.15  
Dag_&_Red             5    7   +0       0.44    56.95     0.40    59.62    10.82    -5.22     0.80     3.96    16.78     6.71P    7.47R    3.38  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    7   +0       1.23    67.09     1.56    57.98    10.88    -7.79     0.44     3.19    13.54     5.33P   10.15R    4.79  
Southend              5    7   +0      -0.85    39.37    -1.46    70.72    10.60    11.22     5.56    21.45    51.71    30.34P    0.70R    0.24  
Stevenage             5    7   -2      -0.46    44.54    -2.95    69.98    11.78     8.23     6.91    22.23    48.33    29.68P    1.40R    0.52  
Mansfield             5    6   -2      -0.32    46.64    -1.30    53.40    10.41   -14.56     0.14     1.04     5.88     2.04P   18.68R    9.57  
York                  5    5   +0      -1.96    26.88    -0.21    60.73    10.58     0.35     0.94     4.80    18.73     8.38P    5.33R    2.32  
Luton                 5    5   -2      -1.08    38.25    -0.91    57.46    11.31    -6.94     0.63     3.31    13.27     5.66P   11.56R    5.89  
Newport_County        5    4   -3      -1.62    31.20    -1.19    51.49    10.49   -15.79     0.10     0.69     4.42     1.42P   24.39R   13.04  
Hartlepool            5    3   -5      -3.14    14.23    -4.08    56.19    10.61    -8.47     0.30     1.94     9.84     3.93P   12.79R    6.05  
Exeter                5    2   -5      -4.24     7.49    -4.21    55.15    10.78    -9.09     0.30     1.83     8.57     3.44P   14.73R    7.32  
Carlisle              5    2   -8      -4.42     7.15    -7.42    55.62    11.55   -11.54     0.42     2.36    10.66     4.40P   16.20R    8.30  
Oxford_Utd            5    1   -4      -5.87     1.83    -4.09    55.11    10.53    -6.39     0.18     1.42     8.01     3.02P   14.29R    7.12  
Accrington_Stanley    5    1   -7      -4.16     6.47    -4.45    50.45    10.73   -16.91     0.07     0.66     3.78     1.38P   28.12R   16.15  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 August 2014, Aldershot 2 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet            6   15  +14       3.85    87.67     9.64    85.11    10.52    37.75    22.35    70.53    34.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax           6   15   +9       4.04    88.45     4.59    81.08    10.94    27.34    13.31    55.33    22.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead         6   13   +2       3.77    86.94     0.45    75.37    10.83    13.82     5.03    33.64    10.72P    0.09R    0.00  
Woking            6   12   +8       2.18    72.58     5.51    68.07    11.05     9.40     1.55    15.20     4.06P    0.63R    0.07  
Kidderminster     6   12   +5       1.20    62.75     1.02    74.15    10.57    16.22     4.00    30.03    10.06P    0.07R    0.00  
Forest_Green      6   12   +4       2.11    72.63     1.33    74.15    10.73    15.37     4.14    30.25     9.58P    0.10R    0.01  
Macclesfield      6   12   +4       3.24    82.44     3.23    69.79    10.51     8.61     1.71    17.08     4.50P    0.31R    0.02  
Aldershot         6   11   +4       1.35    65.83     1.76    76.51    10.63    20.63     5.75    38.54    13.18P    0.03R    0.01  
Eastleigh         6   10   +3       2.27    74.15     3.81    58.03    11.91    -8.42     0.23     3.94     0.88P    7.29R    1.46  
Lincoln_City      6   10   +0       2.82    80.32     1.74    66.25    10.85     2.07     0.83    10.65     2.48P    1.05R    0.11  
Wrexham           6   10   -1       0.20    52.13    -3.32    68.50    10.52     4.82     1.29    14.21     3.94P    0.49R    0.05  
Grimsby           6    9  +11      -1.83    27.36     6.67    81.28    10.53    37.76    13.38    57.34    27.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town    6    9   +3      -1.10    36.87     0.14    66.85    10.44     7.90     0.76    11.37     3.09P    0.61R    0.03  
Torquay           6    9   +3      -2.09    25.93    -1.39    81.32    10.86    30.28    13.88    56.68    27.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers    6    8   -1      -2.26    25.10    -4.21    80.55    10.98    26.12    11.74    53.22    25.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Southport         6    5   -4      -1.49    34.08    -0.97    51.38    10.42   -18.01     0.00     0.53     0.07P   15.22R    2.93  
Dartford          6    5   -5      -1.00    40.02    -1.48    50.01    10.17   -20.39     0.01     0.32     0.04P   17.61R    3.98  
Nuneaton          6    4   -7      -2.50    21.91    -4.55    50.00    10.04   -19.90     0.01     0.29     0.06P   17.59R    3.64  
Chester           6    4   -8      -0.55    46.43    -1.97    46.15    10.04   -28.97     0.01     0.07     0.01P   29.79R    8.13  
Dover             6    4   -9      -0.88    42.41    -3.32    41.80    11.30   -37.51     0.01     0.12     0.03P   48.20R   19.79  
Altrincham        6    3   -5      -2.68    20.94    -0.89    43.32    11.26   -29.39     0.00     0.14     0.01P   41.69R   15.46  
Welling           6    3   -8      -3.57    12.54    -5.23    49.19    10.23   -21.46     0.01     0.32     0.06P   20.20R    4.49  
AFC_Telford       6    2   -5      -3.98    10.70    -1.25    41.19    11.34   -32.11     0.01     0.18     0.04P   49.86R   20.76  
Alfreton_Town     6    0  -17      -5.10     2.06   -11.31    41.45    10.32   -41.91     0.00     0.03     0.01P   49.07R   19.09