Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 21 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 May 2014, Cardiff 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         38   86  +65       1.97    58.41     8.79    86.00     0.00    65.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   84  +51       7.63    81.35     8.70    84.00     0.00    51.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          38   82  +44       5.41    73.30     5.66    82.00     0.00    44.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   79  +27       8.85    84.06    -1.32    79.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   72  +22       7.97    81.35     4.50    72.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   69   +4       9.61    85.49    -6.25    69.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   64  +21      -7.46    19.57    -9.55    64.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   56   +8       3.77    66.48     9.36    56.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   50   -7       3.82    67.34     2.71    50.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   49  -16       4.49    69.69    -1.65    49.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   45  -15       7.22    80.71     7.56    45.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   42   +0      -8.56    17.00     3.90    42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   40  -11      -5.63    26.31     0.17    40.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   38  -19      -5.28    27.54    -3.64    38.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   38  -22      -3.03    36.99    -2.26    38.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   37  -15      -1.64    43.52     6.43    37.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   36  -16      -9.73    13.60    -3.84    36.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   33  -34      -3.68    33.52    -7.87    33.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Fulham           38   32  -45      -4.75    29.40   -15.21    32.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          38   30  -42      -1.99    41.55    -6.20    30.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       46  102  +40      18.15    96.44     8.67   102.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         46   93  +35      15.04    92.99    13.12    93.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   85  +32       9.25    81.12    12.78    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.54P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   80  +16       6.07    71.88     0.16    80.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   73  +13      -0.88    46.68    -2.97    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.22P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   72  +15      -0.78    46.72     0.89    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.30P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   71  +14      -2.73    39.53    -2.03    71.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   70   +8       2.56    59.96     1.65    70.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   68   +6       5.38    70.18     6.46    68.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   66   +1       6.51    73.41     7.13    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   65   +3       0.27    51.34     0.76    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   64  +12      -2.82    39.40     6.34    64.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   60  +10     -11.18    14.35    -2.17    60.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   59   -1      -7.16    24.67    -5.49    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   57   -8      -1.72    43.93    -0.99    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   53   -2      -6.79    25.90     3.13    53.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   53   -7      -3.44    37.50     3.22    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   51  -20      -4.55    33.20    -9.71    51.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   48  -28      -2.24    41.93    -8.96    48.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       46   46  -28      -7.17    23.97   -13.69    46.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   44  -16     -14.73     7.17    -8.79    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       46   44  -31      -0.62    48.55    -3.81    44.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        46   39  -33      -7.00    23.68    -6.62    39.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          46   37  -31      -5.95    27.66     0.91    37.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46  103  +58       7.83    78.81     8.88   103.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   94  +29      16.34    94.55     7.58    94.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   86  +40       7.18    75.36    16.37    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.39P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   86  +28      15.32    92.21    16.74    86.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.01P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   85  +26      11.18    85.97    10.14    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.46P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    46   74  +14      -1.31    44.66    -4.48    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   67   +2      -1.95    42.56    -6.83    67.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   66   +4      -4.94    31.94    -7.60    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       46   61  -14       7.03    75.36     1.12    61.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   60   -2      -7.60    23.27    -8.57    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        46   59   +3       2.15    58.83    11.85    59.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   58   +3      -9.85    17.80    -3.78    58.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   58   +0      -4.80    32.15    -0.08    58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   57   -6      -0.99    46.61     1.07    57.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   56   -9       0.58    52.87     1.76    56.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   53   -8      -2.85    39.38     2.83    53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      46   53  -19       1.19    55.68    -0.37    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   51   -3      -3.95    35.37    -4.97    51.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   51  -26       2.01    58.99    -2.87    51.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   50  -13     -10.34    15.89    -7.88    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   47  -27      -6.19    27.09   -11.63    47.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        46   45  -33      -1.97    43.03    -7.34    45.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   42  -21      -9.86    15.61    -4.80    42.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       46   42  -26      -8.56    19.63    -7.14    42.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         46   84  +31       3.87    64.39     6.59    84.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   81  +24       2.13    57.83     1.13    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   81  +21       8.08    77.76     6.58    81.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   76  +14       8.71    79.48     7.62    76.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.87P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   72  +17      -0.99    46.34     2.71    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.02P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   72   +5       8.46    79.49     3.56    72.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.25P    0.00     0.00  
York                 46   71  +11       8.03    78.55     9.93    71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.87P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   62   +3      -2.23    41.82     0.62    62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   60   -6       1.91    57.90     0.55    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   60   -7       2.12    58.55    -0.72    60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   60   -9       6.02    72.39     3.45    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   +8     -10.82    15.66    -1.95    59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   59  -10      -6.55    27.41   -13.73    59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   58   -3       4.24    66.52    10.28    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57   -2      -1.55    44.56     3.86    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   56   -8       1.43    56.11     3.69    56.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   55   -3      -8.25    21.37    -3.66    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   55  -10      -5.28    31.05    -6.51    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   54  -12      -3.09    38.91    -3.76    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   53   -6     -10.13    16.72    -6.89    53.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   53  -15      -3.66    36.63    -6.89    53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   50   -8      -9.07    18.66    -3.35    50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   50  -11      -6.66    26.00    -2.78    50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay              46   45  -24      -7.92    21.55   -10.36    45.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.87    79.19    18.15   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       3.93    64.90    14.26    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    32.13P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.20    78.96    10.06    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.23P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.66    56.52    -1.02    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.32P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.72    66.86    12.50    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.32P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.71    74.91    11.28    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   72   +7      -1.07    45.79    -8.58    72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.55    44.02    -8.03    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   70   -5      11.38    86.82     3.44    70.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.67    80.65     4.00    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -4.20    34.24     1.31    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   67   -5      10.23    83.94     4.92    67.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   66   -6       9.03    81.87     2.94    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       3.16    62.32     2.93    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.60    40.43    -1.69    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       1.88    57.66     5.80    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -12.11    11.83   -12.36    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.64    47.82    -1.98    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.87    10.46    -9.71    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.70    22.02   -12.68    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       2.11    59.27     1.32    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.28    20.04    -7.72    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.07    29.82    -7.40    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.83     0.14   -21.75    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10