Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 20 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 May 2014, Cardiff 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         38   86  +65       2.04    58.86     8.82    86.00     0.00    65.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   84  +51       7.58    80.96     8.60    84.00     0.00    51.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          38   82  +44       5.32    72.84     5.49    82.00     0.00    44.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   79  +27       8.68    83.71    -1.54    79.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   72  +22       7.94    81.32     4.48    72.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   69   +4       9.54    85.52    -6.32    69.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   64  +21      -7.39    19.72    -9.51    64.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   56   +8       3.65    65.97     9.24    56.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   50   -7       3.74    66.99     2.61    50.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   49  -16       4.59    70.40    -1.55    49.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   45  -15       7.34    81.14     7.76    45.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   42   +0      -8.44    17.12     4.13    42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   40  -11      -5.67    25.98     0.14    40.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   38  -19      -5.41    27.11    -3.86    38.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   38  -22      -2.98    37.19    -2.14    38.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   37  -15      -1.60    43.57     6.46    37.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   36  -16      -9.81    13.20    -3.87    36.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   33  -34      -3.62    33.81    -7.80    33.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Fulham           38   32  -45      -4.61    29.88   -14.92    32.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          38   30  -42      -1.97    41.61    -6.19    30.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       46  102  +40      18.04    96.46     8.49   102.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         46   93  +35      15.12    92.93    13.22    93.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   85  +32       9.35    81.48    12.99    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.59P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   80  +16       6.21    72.38     0.32    80.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.49P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   73  +13      -0.89    46.51    -2.93    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.34P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   72  +15      -0.71    47.19     0.89    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.58P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   71  +14      -3.09    38.92    -2.53    71.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   70   +8       2.40    59.00     1.42    70.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   68   +6       5.28    69.85     6.33    68.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   66   +1       6.51    73.44     7.18    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   65   +3       0.27    51.39     0.70    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   64  +12      -2.85    39.30     6.26    64.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   60  +10     -11.40    13.88    -2.54    60.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   59   -1      -7.14    24.64    -5.53    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   57   -8      -1.58    44.45    -0.78    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   53   -2      -6.82    25.73     3.05    53.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   53   -7      -3.44    37.09     3.23    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   51  -20      -4.17    34.27    -9.11    51.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   48  -28      -2.06    42.47    -8.72    48.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       46   46  -28      -7.26    23.55   -13.73    46.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   44  -16     -14.78     7.22    -8.95    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       46   44  -31      -0.66    48.43    -3.92    44.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        46   39  -33      -6.97    23.74    -6.47    39.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          46   37  -31      -5.86    27.70     1.14    37.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46  103  +58       7.96    79.01     9.12   103.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   94  +29      16.22    94.21     7.41    94.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   86  +40       7.29    75.72    16.54    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.34P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   86  +28      14.94    91.69    16.18    86.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.16P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   85  +26      11.08    85.92    10.02    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.10P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    46   74  +14      -1.15    45.65    -4.24    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.40P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   67   +2      -1.99    42.47    -6.95    67.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   66   +4      -5.22    30.66    -8.00    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       46   61  -14       7.15    75.58     1.39    61.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   60   -2      -7.58    23.58    -8.49    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        46   59   +3       1.98    57.98    11.59    59.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   58   +3      -9.84    17.87    -3.72    58.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   58   +0      -4.68    32.77     0.18    58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   57   -6      -0.77    47.51     1.42    57.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   56   -9       0.70    53.31     1.96    56.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   53   -8      -3.09    38.65     2.42    53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      46   53  -19       1.24    55.69    -0.28    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   51   -3      -3.88    35.77    -4.87    51.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   51  -26       1.69    57.51    -3.42    51.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   50  -13     -10.37    15.90    -7.97    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   47  -27      -6.41    26.98   -11.98    47.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        46   45  -33      -2.04    42.57    -7.40    45.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   42  -21      -9.40    17.09    -4.13    42.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       46   42  -26      -8.28    20.35    -6.77    42.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         46   84  +31       3.67    63.74     6.37    84.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   81  +24       2.19    57.74     1.26    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   81  +21       7.74    77.00     6.07    81.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   76  +14       8.69    79.69     7.62    76.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.88P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   72  +17      -0.87    46.69     2.82    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.67P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   72   +5       8.31    79.06     3.34    72.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.28P    0.00     0.00  
York                 46   71  +11       8.09    78.79     9.99    71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.17P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   62   +3      -2.22    41.70     0.67    62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   60   -6       1.83    57.69     0.49    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   60   -7       2.15    58.76    -0.62    60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   60   -9       5.92    72.05     3.31    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   +8     -10.61    16.04    -1.64    59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   59  -10      -6.96    25.83   -14.30    59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   58   -3       4.52    67.11    10.67    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57   -2      -1.65    44.27     3.70    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   56   -8       1.64    57.23     4.00    56.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   55   -3      -8.15    21.64    -3.54    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   55  -10      -5.45    30.43    -6.79    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   54  -12      -2.95    39.31    -3.60    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   53   -6     -10.02    16.88    -6.74    53.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   53  -15      -3.42    37.08    -6.55    53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   50   -8      -8.98    18.74    -3.21    50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   50  -11      -6.72    25.58    -2.88    50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay              46   45  -24      -8.01    21.36   -10.46    45.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.79    79.12    17.92   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.29    66.21    14.85    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    31.43P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.40    79.52    10.30    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.19P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.63    56.27    -1.14    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    29.09P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.80    67.59    12.58    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.28P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.57    74.18    11.10    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   72   +7      -1.14    45.49    -8.59    72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.40    44.87    -7.76    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   70   -5      11.37    86.63     3.37    70.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.59    80.00     3.78    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -4.18    34.20     1.38    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   67   -5      10.18    83.86     4.84    67.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   66   -6       9.00    81.90     2.86    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       2.97    61.53     2.70    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.46    40.80    -1.45    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       2.06    58.39     6.00    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -11.81    12.07   -11.93    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.67    48.13    -2.05    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.71    10.94    -9.55    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -8.21    20.59   -13.42    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       1.97    58.93     1.28    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.19    20.73    -7.57    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.18    29.82    -7.69    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.91     0.15   -21.81    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10