Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 19 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 May 2014, Cardiff 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         38   86  +65       2.06    58.73     8.93    86.00     0.00    65.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   84  +51       7.52    80.48     8.41    84.00     0.00    51.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          38   82  +44       5.44    73.38     5.65    82.00     0.00    44.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   79  +27       8.86    84.30    -1.32    79.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   72  +22       7.92    81.10     4.48    72.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   69   +4       9.63    85.39    -6.21    69.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   64  +21      -7.36    20.06    -9.45    64.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   56   +8       3.61    65.96     9.14    56.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   50   -7       3.68    66.57     2.57    50.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   49  -16       4.67    70.85    -1.36    49.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   45  -15       7.30    80.90     7.70    45.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   42   +0      -8.62    16.91     3.85    42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   40  -11      -5.82    25.57    -0.09    40.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   38  -19      -5.25    27.81    -3.69    38.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   38  -22      -3.06    36.95    -2.25    38.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   37  -15      -1.67    43.02     6.46    37.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   36  -16      -9.68    13.39    -3.71    36.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   33  -34      -3.80    32.90    -8.14    33.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Fulham           38   32  -45      -4.56    29.82   -14.87    32.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          38   30  -42      -1.93    42.03    -6.08    30.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       46  102  +40      18.09    96.55     8.57   102.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         46   93  +35      15.20    93.31    13.39    93.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   85  +32       9.00    80.73    12.46    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.07P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   80  +16       6.52    73.11     0.80    80.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   73  +13      -0.80    47.21    -2.83    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.08P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   72  +15      -0.55    47.84     1.08    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.29P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   71  +14      -3.00    38.97    -2.40    71.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   70   +8       2.52    59.72     1.57    70.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   68   +6       5.38    70.29     6.50    68.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   66   +1       6.53    73.25     7.16    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   65   +3       0.16    50.82     0.54    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   64  +12      -2.75    39.64     6.42    64.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   60  +10     -11.04    14.58    -1.91    60.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   59   -1      -7.42    24.14    -5.90    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   57   -8      -1.71    44.05    -0.99    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   53   -2      -6.76    25.81     3.12    53.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   53   -7      -3.36    37.69     3.32    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   51  -20      -4.49    33.26    -9.58    51.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   48  -28      -2.33    41.59    -9.16    48.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       46   46  -28      -7.17    23.89   -13.63    46.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   44  -16     -14.80     7.18    -8.89    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       46   44  -31      -0.55    48.92    -3.77    44.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        46   39  -33      -7.09    23.70    -6.64    39.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          46   37  -31      -6.06    27.00     0.78    37.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46  103  +58       7.75    78.45     8.87   103.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   94  +29      16.45    94.60     7.71    94.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   86  +40       7.15    75.39    16.36    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.45P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   86  +28      15.26    92.24    16.64    86.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.76P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   85  +26      11.09    85.67    10.01    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.28P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    46   74  +14      -1.54    44.07    -4.86    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   67   +2      -2.06    41.90    -7.06    67.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   66   +4      -5.08    31.49    -7.83    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       46   61  -14       6.97    75.04     1.11    61.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   60   -2      -7.46    23.86    -8.40    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        46   59   +3       1.99    58.28    11.67    59.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   58   +3     -10.17    17.21    -4.27    58.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   58   +0      -4.67    32.67     0.15    58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   57   -6      -0.92    47.14     1.19    57.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   56   -9       0.83    54.08     2.10    56.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   53   -8      -3.01    38.83     2.64    53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      46   53  -19       1.43    56.35     0.00    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   51   -3      -3.84    36.02    -4.81    51.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   51  -26       1.70    57.56    -3.34    51.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   50  -13     -10.13    16.52    -7.65    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   47  -27      -6.11    27.52   -11.49    47.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        46   45  -33      -1.97    43.08    -7.30    45.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   42  -21      -9.50    16.76    -4.18    42.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       46   42  -26      -8.63    19.58    -7.26    42.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         46   84  +31       3.84    64.14     6.60    84.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   81  +24       1.92    57.09     0.85    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   81  +21       7.82    77.05     6.20    81.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   76  +14       8.90    79.85     7.93    76.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.71P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   72  +17      -0.99    46.18     2.70    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   72   +5       8.49    79.69     3.49    72.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.33P    0.00     0.00  
York                 46   71  +11       8.11    78.95    10.07    71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.15P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   62   +3      -2.22    41.94     0.60    62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   60   -6       1.78    57.62     0.39    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   60   -7       2.30    59.39    -0.44    60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   60   -9       5.77    71.62     3.13    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   +8     -10.53    16.39    -1.56    59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   59  -10      -6.68    27.08   -13.90    59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   58   -3       4.54    67.61    10.76    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57   -2      -1.82    43.60     3.48    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   56   -8       1.39    56.02     3.66    56.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   55   -3      -7.94    22.42    -3.27    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   55  -10      -5.34    30.52    -6.62    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   54  -12      -3.00    39.15    -3.67    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   53   -6     -10.20    16.69    -6.96    53.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   53  -15      -3.50    36.88    -6.63    53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   50   -8      -9.06    18.80    -3.26    50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   50  -11      -6.78    25.69    -2.99    50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay              46   45  -24      -8.09    21.03   -10.58    45.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.69    78.76    17.68   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.08    65.43    14.50    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    31.73P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.23    79.14    10.07    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.08P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.58    56.14    -1.24    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.44P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.75    67.21    12.49    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.75P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.12    72.85    10.43    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   72   +7      -1.10    45.59    -8.53    72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.59    43.70    -8.12    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   70   -5      11.52    86.98     3.60    70.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.78    80.57     4.11    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -4.02    34.94     1.63    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   67   -5      10.29    83.92     5.11    67.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   66   -6       9.05    81.91     2.97    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       3.12    62.26     2.88    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.36    41.32    -1.35    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       2.00    58.24     5.94    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -12.20    11.42   -12.56    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.68    47.92    -2.12    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.48    11.59    -9.20    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.81    21.80   -12.84    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       2.11    59.28     1.42    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.25    20.16    -7.63    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.18    29.61    -7.57    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.88     0.15   -21.68    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10