Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 16 May 2014 at 21:00:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 May 2014, Cardiff 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         38   86  +65       1.86    58.02     8.46    86.00     0.00    65.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   84  +51       7.59    81.11     8.52    84.00     0.00    51.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          38   82  +44       5.54    74.02     5.76    82.00     0.00    44.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   79  +27       8.94    84.58    -1.19    79.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   72  +22       7.90    80.84     4.37    72.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   69   +4       9.34    84.83    -6.65    69.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   64  +21      -7.35    19.96    -9.44    64.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   56   +8       3.61    65.87     9.10    56.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   50   -7       3.69    66.83     2.56    50.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   49  -16       4.64    70.73    -1.40    49.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   45  -15       7.39    81.02     7.82    45.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   42   +0      -8.51    17.04     4.08    42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   40  -11      -5.72    25.90     0.09    40.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   38  -19      -5.38    27.19    -3.83    38.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   38  -22      -2.99    37.25    -2.11    38.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   37  -15      -1.54    43.77     6.63    37.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   36  -16      -9.75    13.26    -3.75    36.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   33  -34      -3.74    33.53    -7.92    33.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Fulham           38   32  -45      -4.55    30.12   -14.93    32.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          38   30  -42      -2.11    41.05    -6.18    30.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       46  102  +40      18.11    96.58     8.59   102.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         46   93  +35      15.05    92.97    13.18    93.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   85  +32       9.30    81.35    12.96    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.46P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   80  +16       6.04    71.98     0.12    80.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   73  +13      -0.88    46.83    -2.94    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   72  +15      -0.86    46.58     0.72    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.86P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   71  +14      -2.73    39.87    -1.99    71.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   70   +8       2.51    59.57     1.57    70.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   68   +6       5.44    70.34     6.57    68.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   66   +1       6.50    73.16     7.14    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   65   +3       0.04    50.35     0.38    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   64  +12      -2.83    39.51     6.35    64.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   60  +10     -11.07    14.50    -1.94    60.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   59   -1      -6.84    25.78    -5.00    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   57   -8      -1.87    43.28    -1.25    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   53   -2      -6.88    25.43     2.99    53.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   53   -7      -3.46    37.06     3.18    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   51  -20      -4.27    34.10    -9.26    51.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   48  -28      -2.00    42.67    -8.68    48.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       46   46  -28      -7.29    23.57   -13.93    46.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   44  -16     -14.57     7.68    -8.61    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       46   44  -31      -0.79    47.74    -4.04    44.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        46   39  -33      -7.13    23.37    -6.84    39.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          46   37  -31      -6.05    27.13     0.73    37.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46  103  +58       7.88    78.87     9.01   103.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   94  +29      16.34    94.70     7.58    94.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   86  +40       7.29    75.55    16.57    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.60P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   86  +28      15.34    92.28    16.80    86.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.91P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   85  +26      11.14    86.01    10.12    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.20P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    46   74  +14      -1.26    45.29    -4.43    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.30P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   67   +2      -2.23    41.59    -7.24    67.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   66   +4      -4.87    32.06    -7.51    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       46   61  -14       6.99    75.48     1.05    61.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   60   -2      -7.46    23.67    -8.35    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        46   59   +3       2.14    58.83    11.81    59.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   58   +3     -10.03    17.38    -4.06    58.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   58   +0      -4.76    32.57     0.05    58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   57   -6      -1.27    45.66     0.65    57.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   56   -9       0.49    52.57     1.63    56.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   53   -8      -2.91    39.26     2.71    53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      46   53  -19       1.25    55.56    -0.35    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   51   -3      -3.75    36.37    -4.58    51.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   51  -26       1.67    57.45    -3.39    51.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   50  -13     -10.15    16.46    -7.65    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   47  -27      -6.18    27.31   -11.61    47.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        46   45  -33      -2.03    42.94    -7.36    45.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   42  -21      -9.52    16.53    -4.28    42.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       46   42  -26      -8.55    19.43    -7.18    42.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         46   84  +31       3.90    64.27     6.71    84.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   81  +24       2.05    57.13     1.06    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   81  +21       8.18    78.15     6.70    81.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   76  +14       8.87    80.02     7.86    76.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.89P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   72  +17      -1.09    45.87     2.57    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   72   +5       8.11    78.62     3.06    72.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.54P    0.00     0.00  
York                 46   71  +11       8.39    79.59    10.37    71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.54P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   62   +3      -2.23    41.79     0.60    62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   60   -6       1.84    57.61     0.44    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   60   -7       2.25    59.38    -0.49    60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   60   -9       5.65    70.78     2.97    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   +8     -10.72    15.78    -1.84    59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   59  -10      -6.56    27.12   -13.71    59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   58   -3       4.44    67.22    10.67    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57   -2      -1.75    43.78     3.54    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   56   -8       1.59    56.73     3.90    56.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   55   -3      -8.33    21.27    -3.80    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   55  -10      -5.31    30.64    -6.59    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   54  -12      -2.80    40.13    -3.37    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   53   -6     -10.26    16.65    -7.06    53.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   53  -15      -3.64    36.46    -6.82    53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   50   -8      -9.09    18.88    -3.40    50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   50  -11      -6.58    26.11    -2.68    50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay              46   45  -24      -8.15    20.79   -10.68    45.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.84    79.02    17.95   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.10    65.72    14.51    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    31.75P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.24    79.09    10.19    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.19P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.45    55.81    -1.43    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    29.16P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       5.03    68.42    12.97    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    18.90P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.56    74.29    11.06    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   72   +7      -1.10    45.73    -8.57    72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.53    44.25    -8.05    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   70   -5      11.42    86.96     3.44    70.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.77    80.86     4.11    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -4.20    34.11     1.36    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   67   -5      10.52    84.70     5.39    67.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   66   -6       9.12    82.09     3.11    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       3.05    62.23     2.84    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.33    41.31    -1.21    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       1.86    57.57     5.74    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -12.20    11.35   -12.55    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.70    47.90    -2.11    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.61    11.22    -9.38    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.95    21.82   -12.98    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       1.92    58.75     1.03    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.45    19.85    -7.99    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.10    29.91    -7.44    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.96     0.14   -21.99    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10