Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 15 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 May 2014, Cardiff 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         38   86  +65       2.04    58.78     8.82    86.00     0.00    65.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   84  +51       7.62    81.06     8.60    84.00     0.00    51.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          38   82  +44       5.46    73.71     5.68    82.00     0.00    44.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   79  +27       8.89    84.36    -1.29    79.00     0.00    27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   72  +22       7.79    80.96     4.24    72.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   69   +4       9.51    85.40    -6.36    69.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   64  +21      -7.42    20.04    -9.52    64.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   56   +8       3.81    66.74     9.42    56.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   50   -7       3.80    67.32     2.67    50.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   49  -16       4.47    69.92    -1.71    49.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   45  -15       7.35    81.33     7.74    45.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   42   +0      -8.54    16.93     3.95    42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   40  -11      -5.67    26.00     0.11    40.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   38  -19      -5.44    27.10    -3.93    38.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   38  -22      -3.02    37.27    -2.18    38.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   37  -15      -1.74    42.94     6.33    37.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   36  -16      -9.75    13.26    -3.83    36.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   33  -34      -3.61    34.03    -7.72    33.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Fulham           38   32  -45      -4.61    29.98   -14.97    32.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          38   30  -42      -1.95    41.70    -6.04    30.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       46  102  +40      18.18    96.53     8.67   102.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         46   93  +35      14.92    92.83    12.99    93.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   85  +32       9.25    81.20    12.80    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.99P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   80  +16       6.14    72.29     0.31    80.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   73  +13      -0.91    46.60    -3.02    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.42P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   72  +15      -0.60    47.70     1.07    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.03P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   71  +14      -2.96    38.96    -2.31    71.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   70   +8       2.41    59.30     1.41    70.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   68   +6       5.28    69.66     6.34    68.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   66   +1       6.36    72.82     6.88    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   65   +3       0.08    50.49     0.40    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   64  +12      -2.71    39.88     6.51    64.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   60  +10     -11.28    14.08    -2.28    60.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   59   -1      -7.20    24.64    -5.53    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   57   -8      -1.83    43.42    -1.17    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   53   -2      -7.00    24.93     2.80    53.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   53   -7      -3.21    38.13     3.57    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   51  -20      -4.32    33.81    -9.33    51.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   48  -28      -1.94    42.99    -8.53    48.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       46   46  -28      -7.31    23.40   -13.86    46.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   44  -16     -14.66     7.55    -8.72    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       46   44  -31      -0.40    49.43    -3.53    44.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        46   39  -33      -6.88    23.84    -6.38    39.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          46   37  -31      -5.97    27.66     0.90    37.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46  103  +58       7.84    78.48     8.97   103.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   94  +29      16.53    94.77     7.83    94.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   86  +40       7.38    75.98    16.70    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.50P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   86  +28      15.30    92.17    16.69    86.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.55P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   85  +26      11.12    86.12    10.09    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.33P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    46   74  +14      -1.57    43.97    -4.97    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.63P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   67   +2      -2.01    42.37    -6.91    67.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   66   +4      -4.84    32.41    -7.52    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       46   61  -14       6.89    74.85     0.90    61.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   60   -2      -7.55    23.71    -8.41    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        46   59   +3       2.09    58.62    11.77    59.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   58   +3      -9.99    17.54    -4.05    58.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   58   +0      -4.76    32.58     0.05    58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   57   -6      -1.01    46.76     1.04    57.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   56   -9       0.78    53.76     2.08    56.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   53   -8      -2.87    39.48     2.77    53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      46   53  -19       1.37    56.05    -0.11    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   51   -3      -3.72    36.33    -4.57    51.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   51  -26       1.51    56.84    -3.65    51.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   50  -13     -10.38    16.00    -7.97    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   47  -27      -6.32    26.92   -11.72    47.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        46   45  -33      -1.87    43.48    -7.16    45.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   42  -21      -9.69    16.28    -4.48    42.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       46   42  -26      -8.64    19.38    -7.37    42.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         46   84  +31       3.86    64.26     6.67    84.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   81  +24       2.12    57.62     1.19    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   81  +21       8.03    77.43     6.56    81.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   76  +14       8.71    79.59     7.60    76.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.98P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   72  +17      -0.97    46.35     2.68    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.76P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   72   +5       8.34    79.23     3.38    72.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.21P    0.00     0.00  
York                 46   71  +11       8.08    78.65     9.99    71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.05P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   62   +3      -2.17    41.92     0.70    62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   60   -6       1.99    58.11     0.66    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   60   -7       2.35    59.83    -0.42    60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   60   -9       5.58    71.07     2.81    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   +8     -10.59    16.10    -1.61    59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   59  -10      -6.86    26.23   -14.20    59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   58   -3       4.39    66.95    10.44    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57   -2      -1.74    43.94     3.62    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   56   -8       1.61    57.03     4.01    56.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   55   -3      -8.13    21.81    -3.50    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   55  -10      -5.20    31.05    -6.42    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   54  -12      -2.87    39.43    -3.49    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   53   -6     -10.17    16.38    -6.94    53.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   53  -15      -3.53    37.09    -6.74    53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   50   -8      -9.13    18.97    -3.38    50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   50  -11      -6.71    25.56    -2.85    50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay              46   45  -24      -8.19    20.82   -10.76    45.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.81    79.22    17.89   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.01    65.24    14.44    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    31.81P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.19    79.02    10.02    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.06P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.39    55.53    -1.52    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.88P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.70    67.20    12.48    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.25P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.58    74.17    11.09    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   72   +7      -0.92    46.58    -8.26    72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.55    44.09    -8.06    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   70   -5      11.29    86.49     3.29    70.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.57    80.08     3.84    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -3.96    35.12     1.67    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   67   -5      10.43    84.64     5.24    67.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   66   -6       8.98    81.97     2.89    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       3.14    62.59     2.94    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.40    40.80    -1.29    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       2.24    59.09     6.31    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -11.97    11.74   -12.21    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.81    47.45    -2.37    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.56    11.37    -9.30    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.85    21.72   -12.89    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       1.95    58.69     1.04    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.38    19.84    -7.91    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.38    29.06    -7.88    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.72     0.16   -21.47    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10