Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 13 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 May 2014, Cardiff 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 38 86 +65 1.89 58.17 8.52 86.00 0.00 65.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 38 84 +51 7.62 81.08 8.56 84.00 0.00 51.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 38 82 +44 5.47 73.53 5.70 82.00 0.00 44.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 38 79 +27 8.95 84.31 -1.10 79.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 38 72 +22 7.90 80.94 4.49 72.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 38 69 +4 9.52 85.19 -6.31 69.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 38 64 +21 -7.37 20.01 -9.45 64.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 38 56 +8 3.72 66.29 9.26 56.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 38 50 -7 3.82 67.15 2.71 50.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 38 49 -16 4.38 69.45 -1.82 49.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 38 45 -15 7.31 80.94 7.74 45.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 38 42 +0 -8.50 17.23 4.00 42.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 38 40 -11 -5.81 25.55 -0.06 40.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 38 38 -19 -5.34 27.35 -3.77 38.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 38 38 -22 -3.05 37.07 -2.32 38.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hull 38 37 -15 -1.46 44.32 6.78 37.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 38 36 -16 -9.85 12.80 -4.01 36.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Norwich 38 33 -34 -3.62 34.00 -7.81 33.00 0.00 -34.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Fulham 38 32 -45 -4.59 29.93 -14.85 32.00 0.00 -45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Cardiff 38 30 -42 -2.02 41.45 -6.25 30.00 0.00 -42.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 46 102 +40 18.03 96.46 8.44 102.00 0.00 40.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 46 93 +35 15.02 92.82 13.07 93.00 0.00 35.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Derby 46 85 +32 9.28 81.30 12.82 85.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.64P 0.00 0.00 QPR 46 80 +16 6.34 72.75 0.53 80.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.35P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 46 73 +13 -1.07 45.98 -3.24 73.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.65P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 46 72 +15 -0.77 46.86 0.86 72.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.35P 0.00 0.00 Reading 46 71 +14 -2.96 39.15 -2.34 71.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 46 70 +8 2.54 59.48 1.62 70.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 46 68 +6 5.37 70.07 6.42 68.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 46 66 +1 6.58 73.59 7.23 66.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 46 65 +3 0.28 51.46 0.74 65.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 46 64 +12 -2.97 38.95 6.15 64.00 0.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 46 60 +10 -11.10 14.61 -2.00 60.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bolton 46 59 -1 -7.27 24.36 -5.72 59.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 46 57 -8 -1.51 44.86 -0.70 57.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 46 53 -2 -6.82 25.43 3.08 53.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 46 53 -7 -3.42 37.35 3.31 53.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 51 -20 -4.42 33.66 -9.45 51.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 48 -28 -2.11 42.43 -8.77 48.00 0.00 -28.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 46 46 -28 -7.46 23.02 -14.06 46.00 0.00 -28.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 46 44 -16 -14.48 7.80 -8.40 44.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 46 44 -31 -0.72 48.05 -4.05 44.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Barnsley 46 39 -33 -7.11 23.38 -6.70 39.00 0.00 -33.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Yeovil 46 37 -31 -5.78 28.14 1.14 37.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 46 103 +58 7.79 78.69 8.91 103.00 0.00 58.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 46 94 +29 16.28 94.41 7.51 94.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 46 86 +40 7.16 75.47 16.35 86.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.53P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 46 86 +28 15.26 92.28 16.66 86.00 0.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.98P 0.00 0.00 Preston 46 85 +26 11.22 86.13 10.19 85.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.10P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 74 +14 -1.58 43.94 -4.93 74.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 23.38P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 46 67 +2 -1.89 43.04 -6.80 67.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swindon 46 66 +4 -5.00 31.58 -7.69 66.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 61 -14 6.90 74.80 0.90 61.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 46 60 -2 -7.41 24.21 -8.23 60.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 59 +3 2.05 58.38 11.75 59.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 46 58 +3 -10.07 17.18 -4.14 58.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 58 +0 -4.79 32.18 0.02 58.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 46 57 -6 -0.92 47.04 1.22 57.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 56 -9 1.01 54.78 2.37 56.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colchester 46 53 -8 -3.02 38.88 2.56 53.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 53 -19 1.11 54.97 -0.53 53.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 46 51 -3 -3.91 35.98 -4.89 51.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 46 51 -26 1.80 57.91 -3.17 51.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 46 50 -13 -10.21 16.39 -7.72 50.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 46 47 -27 -6.25 27.18 -11.76 47.00 0.00 -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Carlisle 46 45 -33 -1.87 43.48 -7.04 45.00 0.00 -33.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 42 -21 -9.56 16.94 -4.28 42.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Stevenage 46 42 -26 -8.57 19.75 -7.27 42.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 46 84 +31 3.61 63.20 6.29 84.00 0.00 31.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 81 +24 1.88 56.84 0.76 81.00 0.00 24.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 81 +21 8.01 77.75 6.47 81.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 76 +14 8.85 79.97 7.83 76.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.90P 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 72 +17 -1.08 45.82 2.54 72.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 33.83P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 46 72 +5 8.35 79.13 3.38 72.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.48P 0.00 0.00 York 46 71 +11 8.28 79.27 10.22 71.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 20.79P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 62 +3 -2.15 42.06 0.74 62.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 60 -6 1.85 57.82 0.48 60.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 46 60 -7 2.07 58.70 -0.74 60.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 46 60 -9 5.69 71.42 3.01 60.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 59 +8 -10.63 15.73 -1.61 59.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 46 59 -10 -6.66 26.98 -13.87 59.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 46 58 -3 4.44 67.46 10.53 58.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 46 57 -2 -1.77 43.54 3.53 57.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 56 -8 1.54 56.59 3.89 56.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 46 55 -3 -8.16 21.66 -3.50 55.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 46 55 -10 -5.32 30.71 -6.62 55.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 46 54 -12 -2.99 39.28 -3.67 54.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 46 53 -6 -10.00 17.14 -6.70 53.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 46 53 -15 -3.59 36.69 -6.75 53.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 46 50 -8 -8.99 18.89 -3.18 50.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 50 -11 -6.50 26.31 -2.58 50.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Torquay 46 45 -24 -8.01 21.55 -10.46 45.00 0.00 -24.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 46 101 +67 7.80 78.88 18.00 101.00 0.00 67.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 82 +37 4.13 65.72 14.56 82.00 0.00 37.00 0.00 100.00 31.81P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 79 +22 8.18 78.82 10.02 79.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 100.00 19.93P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 78 +19 1.42 55.53 -1.49 78.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 100.00 29.17P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 46 77 +27 4.80 67.22 12.55 77.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 100.00 19.09P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 74 +18 6.46 73.81 10.99 74.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 46 72 +7 -0.87 46.83 -8.18 72.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 46 70 +5 -1.66 43.55 -8.19 70.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 46 70 -5 11.33 86.68 3.30 70.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 68 -3 8.88 81.00 4.29 68.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 67 +14 -4.06 34.65 1.58 67.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 46 67 -5 10.41 84.31 5.22 67.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 46 66 -6 9.09 82.03 3.03 66.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 46 65 +1 2.67 60.62 2.24 65.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 61 -1 -2.39 41.02 -1.39 61.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 46 60 -2 1.63 56.82 5.40 60.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 59 +0 -11.85 12.10 -12.07 59.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 46 53 -18 -0.66 47.98 -2.13 53.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 51 +7 -12.41 11.62 -9.01 51.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hereford 46 51 -19 -7.87 21.73 -12.92 51.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 51 -21 2.19 59.77 1.47 51.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dartford 46 44 -25 -8.26 20.16 -7.74 44.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Tamworth 46 39 -38 -5.30 29.02 -7.85 39.00 0.00 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Hyde_United 46 10 -81 -21.86 0.12 -21.66 10.00 0.00 -81.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10