Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 10 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 May 2014, Man_City 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         37   83  +63       1.48    55.93     8.53    85.54     0.96    65.09    94.56   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   81  +50       6.67    78.22     8.76    83.49     1.01    52.13     5.44    93.83   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   79  +43       4.54    69.97     5.72    81.29     1.12    44.43     0.00     6.17   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   76  +25       8.12    82.51    -1.93    77.99     1.25    25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   69  +20       7.18    79.18     3.85    70.75     1.28    20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   66   +1       9.38    85.03    -6.95    68.07     1.23     2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.08     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   63  +21      -6.87    21.09    -9.41    64.64     1.32    21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.92     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   55   +8       3.97    67.52     9.16    56.12     1.27     7.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   49  -15       5.42    73.63    -1.68    49.39     0.87   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   47   -8       2.36    61.45     2.05    48.11     1.24    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   44  -15       7.78    82.77     7.84    45.11     1.25   -15.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   40   -9      -5.52    26.60    -0.08    40.33     0.80   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   39   -2      -9.46    13.84     3.20    40.27     1.29    -2.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       37   38  -17      -4.68    29.73    -3.02    39.46     1.31   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      37   38  -19      -3.02    37.08    -1.43    38.72     1.10   -20.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   37  -13      -1.31    44.80     7.10    37.98     1.19   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   36  -15      -8.67    15.72    -3.38    37.61     1.30   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   33  -32      -3.20    35.47    -7.14    33.78     1.13   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.01  
Fulham           37   31  -45      -4.00    32.05   -14.75    32.62     1.30   -44.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   11.33  
Cardiff          37   30  -41      -1.45    44.17    -6.45    30.52     0.96   -42.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.66  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       46  102  +40      18.15    96.62     8.73   102.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         46   93  +35      15.14    92.97    13.26    93.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   85  +32       9.30    81.47    12.95    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.42P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   80  +16       6.17    72.15     0.31    80.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   73  +13      -0.82    46.92    -2.89    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.34P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   72  +15      -0.62    47.41     1.06    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.30P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   71  +14      -3.15    38.35    -2.65    71.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   70   +8       2.59    59.95     1.70    70.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   68   +6       5.21    69.47     6.18    68.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   66   +1       6.51    73.36     7.14    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   65   +3       0.26    51.25     0.71    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   64  +12      -2.74    39.90     6.52    64.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   60  +10     -11.22    14.39    -2.19    60.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   59   -1      -7.26    24.52    -5.68    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   57   -8      -1.65    44.32    -0.84    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   53   -2      -7.06    24.84     2.65    53.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   53   -7      -3.40    37.58     3.26    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   51  -20      -4.23    34.10    -9.21    51.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   48  -28      -2.13    42.42    -8.83    48.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       46   46  -28      -7.30    23.56   -13.90    46.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   44  -16     -14.82     7.44    -8.85    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       46   44  -31      -0.66    48.47    -3.94    44.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        46   39  -33      -6.93    24.04    -6.48    39.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          46   37  -31      -5.87    27.95     1.00    37.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46  103  +58       8.03    79.12     9.25   103.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   94  +29      16.61    94.88     7.92    94.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   86  +40       7.13    75.47    16.39    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.86P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   86  +28      15.24    92.32    16.60    86.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.47P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   85  +26      10.94    85.44     9.82    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.49P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    46   74  +14      -1.14    45.84    -4.30    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.17P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   67   +2      -2.06    42.24    -7.02    67.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   66   +4      -5.13    31.46    -7.88    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       46   61  -14       6.77    74.82     0.69    61.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   60   -2      -7.60    23.47    -8.55    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        46   59   +3       2.02    58.46    11.62    59.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   58   +3      -9.99    17.79    -4.04    58.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   58   +0      -4.66    32.76     0.15    58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   57   -6      -1.04    46.48     0.98    57.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   56   -9       0.67    53.28     1.83    56.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   53   -8      -3.01    38.98     2.64    53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      46   53  -19       1.06    54.70    -0.63    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   51   -3      -3.55    37.39    -4.29    51.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   51  -26       2.01    58.86    -2.80    51.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   50  -13     -10.20    16.14    -7.73    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   47  -27      -6.36    26.87   -11.91    47.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        46   45  -33      -1.87    43.56    -7.07    45.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   42  -21      -9.83    15.74    -4.67    42.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       46   42  -26      -8.40    19.92    -7.02    42.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         46   84  +31       3.98    64.74     6.78    84.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   81  +24       1.91    56.81     0.84    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   81  +21       8.08    77.65     6.59    81.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   76  +14       8.81    80.04     7.75    76.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.64P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   72  +17      -0.90    46.41     2.88    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.28P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   72   +5       8.26    78.79     3.16    72.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.75P    0.00     0.00  
York                 46   71  +11       8.05    78.85     9.96    71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.33P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   62   +3      -1.96    42.92     0.97    62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   60   -6       1.73    57.28     0.27    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   60   -7       2.30    59.58    -0.53    60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   60   -9       5.71    71.43     3.04    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   +8     -10.68    15.90    -1.73    59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   59  -10      -6.91    26.01   -14.21    59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   58   -3       4.53    67.55    10.67    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57   -2      -1.56    44.33     3.83    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   56   -8       1.54    56.50     3.89    56.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   55   -3      -8.37    21.33    -3.83    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   55  -10      -5.35    30.41    -6.65    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   54  -12      -3.01    38.91    -3.68    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   53   -6      -9.91    17.28    -6.57    53.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   53  -15      -3.60    36.92    -6.76    53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   50   -8      -9.19    18.51    -3.51    50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   50  -11      -6.37    26.87    -2.40    50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay              46   45  -24      -8.24    20.87   -10.76    45.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.98    79.48    18.24   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       3.92    65.13    14.22    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    31.84P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.04    78.57     9.83    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.52P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.52    55.96    -1.32    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.74P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.96    68.07    12.84    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    18.91P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.53    74.20    10.96    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   72   +7      -0.95    46.09    -8.25    72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.65    43.58    -8.18    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   70   -5      11.38    86.81     3.40    70.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.73    80.37     4.07    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -4.25    33.89     1.23    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   67   -5      10.49    84.69     5.28    67.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   66   -6       9.30    82.75     3.36    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       3.09    62.34     2.86    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.48    41.03    -1.48    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       2.00    58.33     6.02    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -11.79    12.17   -11.90    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.81    47.36    -2.32    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.63    11.20    -9.41    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -8.01    21.18   -13.07    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       1.87    58.39     1.04    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.45    19.38    -8.04    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.32    28.79    -7.85    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.72     0.14   -21.54    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10