Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 9 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 May 2014, Man_City 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         37   83  +63       1.49    56.19     8.53    85.53     0.96    65.09    94.50   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   81  +50       6.75    78.60     8.88    83.48     1.01    52.11     5.50    93.78   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   79  +43       4.62    70.35     5.88    81.29     1.12    44.43     0.00     6.22   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   76  +25       8.16    82.77    -1.86    77.98     1.25    25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   69  +20       7.20    79.41     3.84    70.74     1.28    20.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   66   +1       9.46    85.68    -6.83    68.09     1.22     2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.28     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   63  +21      -6.81    21.31    -9.25    64.63     1.32    21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.72     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   55   +8       3.91    67.37     9.13    56.13     1.27     7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   49  -15       5.33    73.09    -1.92    49.39     0.87   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   47   -8       2.38    61.38     2.06    48.11     1.24    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   44  -15       7.66    82.37     7.54    45.12     1.25   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   40   -9      -5.48    26.55    -0.08    40.34     0.80   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   39   -2      -9.50    14.04     3.10    40.28     1.29    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       37   38  -17      -4.75    29.29    -3.09    39.45     1.31   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      37   38  -19      -2.84    37.57    -1.06    38.70     1.09   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   37  -13      -1.33    44.66     6.95    37.98     1.19   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   36  -15      -8.80    15.34    -3.54    37.62     1.30   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   33  -32      -3.23    35.65    -7.17    33.79     1.14   -32.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Fulham           37   31  -45      -3.91    32.53   -14.54    32.61     1.30   -44.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   11.63  
Cardiff          37   30  -41      -1.49    43.96    -6.55    30.52     0.96   -42.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.36  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       46  102  +40      18.16    96.58     8.65   102.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         46   93  +35      15.05    93.16    13.16    93.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   85  +32       8.95    80.39    12.38    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.70P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   80  +16       6.10    71.92     0.19    80.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.36P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   73  +13      -0.59    47.73    -2.55    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.91P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   72  +15      -0.67    47.43     0.98    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.03P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   71  +14      -2.79    39.69    -2.01    71.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   70   +8       2.47    59.62     1.48    70.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   68   +6       5.31    69.86     6.36    68.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   66   +1       6.63    73.72     7.28    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   65   +3       0.27    50.98     0.66    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   64  +12      -2.69    39.90     6.51    64.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   60  +10     -11.30    14.14    -2.29    60.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   59   -1      -7.14    25.03    -5.49    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   57   -8      -1.78    43.48    -1.05    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   53   -2      -6.81    25.68     3.03    53.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   53   -7      -3.26    37.89     3.49    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   51  -20      -4.55    32.89    -9.72    51.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   48  -28      -2.14    42.28    -8.86    48.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       46   46  -28      -7.19    23.97   -13.59    46.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   44  -16     -14.78     7.38    -8.87    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       46   44  -31      -0.56    48.88    -3.80    44.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        46   39  -33      -7.11    23.31    -6.69    39.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          46   37  -31      -6.06    27.09     0.73    37.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46  103  +58       7.78    78.76     8.90   103.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   94  +29      16.45    94.77     7.70    94.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   86  +40       7.16    75.46    16.36    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.46P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   86  +28      15.28    92.24    16.74    86.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.84P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   85  +26      11.30    86.03    10.38    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.12P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    46   74  +14      -1.41    44.66    -4.68    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.58P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   67   +2      -2.20    41.69    -7.20    67.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   66   +4      -5.21    31.01    -7.98    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       46   61  -14       7.02    75.18     1.11    61.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   60   -2      -7.35    24.35    -8.17    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        46   59   +3       2.03    58.23    11.61    59.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   58   +3      -9.87    17.81    -3.79    58.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   58   +0      -4.59    32.86     0.25    58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   57   -6      -1.09    46.36     0.99    57.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   56   -9       0.74    53.46     1.97    56.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   53   -8      -2.86    39.67     2.78    53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      46   53  -19       1.14    55.24    -0.49    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   51   -3      -4.05    35.28    -5.11    51.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   51  -26       2.00    58.66    -2.86    51.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   50  -13     -10.37    15.89    -7.96    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   47  -27      -6.22    27.23   -11.72    47.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        46   45  -33      -1.97    42.92    -7.32    45.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   42  -21      -9.61    16.57    -4.40    42.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       46   42  -26      -8.55    19.53    -7.10    42.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         46   84  +31       3.82    64.36     6.61    84.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   81  +24       2.13    58.07     1.18    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   81  +21       7.63    76.50     5.97    81.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   76  +14       8.71    79.92     7.66    76.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.38P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   72  +17      -1.01    45.95     2.68    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   72   +5       8.42    79.27     3.46    72.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.14P    0.00     0.00  
York                 46   71  +11       8.31    79.39    10.34    71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.82P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   62   +3      -2.18    41.92     0.72    62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   60   -6       1.66    57.21     0.26    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   60   -7       2.15    59.02    -0.69    60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   60   -9       5.67    71.16     2.97    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   +8     -10.78    15.66    -1.96    59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   59  -10      -6.72    26.74   -14.00    59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   58   -3       4.46    67.16    10.60    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57   -2      -1.59    44.32     3.76    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   56   -8       1.81    57.83     4.19    56.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   55   -3      -8.31    21.50    -3.78    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   55  -10      -5.35    30.63    -6.60    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   54  -12      -2.96    39.09    -3.58    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   53   -6      -9.83    17.29    -6.52    53.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   53  -15      -3.63    36.40    -6.80    53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   50   -8      -9.02    18.77    -3.21    50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   50  -11      -6.57    26.02    -2.68    50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay              46   45  -24      -8.10    21.17   -10.60    45.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.83    79.31    17.92   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.08    65.56    14.53    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    31.44P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.24    78.86    10.11    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.40P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.49    55.84    -1.33    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.73P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.59    66.63    12.25    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.42P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.43    73.89    10.88    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   72   +7      -0.87    46.76    -8.20    72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.50    44.48    -7.96    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   70   -5      11.31    86.56     3.26    70.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.82    80.82     4.21    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -4.18    34.09     1.37    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   67   -5      10.30    84.18     5.17    67.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   66   -6       8.89    81.45     2.69    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       2.98    61.77     2.70    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.31    41.34    -1.23    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       1.87    57.73     5.78    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -11.76    12.25   -11.86    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.55    48.74    -1.89    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.68    11.04    -9.51    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.74    22.47   -12.71    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       2.16    59.49     1.40    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.19    20.40    -7.60    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.39    28.65    -7.92    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.97     0.13   -22.07    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10