Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 8 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 May 2014, Man_City 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         37   83  +63       1.59    56.73     8.75    85.52     0.97    65.07    94.43   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   81  +50       6.61    78.41     8.72    83.49     1.01    52.14     5.57    93.90   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   79  +43       4.54    70.00     5.73    81.30     1.11    44.44     0.00     6.10   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   76  +25       8.14    82.25    -1.90    77.99     1.25    25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   69  +20       7.19    78.99     3.86    70.75     1.28    20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   66   +1       9.33    84.99    -7.02    68.09     1.22     2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.34     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   63  +21      -6.90    20.92    -9.42    64.65     1.32    21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.66     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   55   +8       4.00    67.75     9.17    56.11     1.27     7.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   49  -15       5.60    74.36    -1.45    49.38     0.87   -17.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   47   -8       2.36    61.19     2.06    48.11     1.25    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   44  -15       7.60    82.35     7.50    45.12     1.25   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   40   -9      -5.53    26.23    -0.13    40.35     0.81   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   39   -2      -9.43    14.12     3.15    40.28     1.29    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       37   38  -17      -4.58    30.19    -2.75    39.45     1.31   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      37   38  -19      -3.00    37.06    -1.39    38.70     1.09   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   37  -13      -1.30    44.62     7.00    37.97     1.19   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   36  -15      -8.70    16.00    -3.31    37.62     1.30   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   33  -32      -3.38    34.66    -7.47    33.79     1.14   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.01  
Fulham           37   31  -45      -4.05    31.67   -14.75    32.61     1.30   -44.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   11.37  
Cardiff          37   30  -41      -1.36    44.83    -6.36    30.52     0.95   -42.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.62  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       46  102  +40      17.95    96.46     8.36   102.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         46   93  +35      15.15    92.99    13.29    93.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   85  +32       9.07    80.79    12.58    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.09P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   80  +16       6.08    72.09     0.14    80.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   73  +13      -0.89    46.74    -2.96    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.10P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   72  +15      -0.41    48.38     1.33    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.28P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   71  +14      -2.82    39.39    -2.10    71.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   70   +8       2.41    59.47     1.40    70.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   68   +6       5.28    69.77     6.31    68.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   66   +1       6.82    74.38     7.65    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   65   +3       0.19    51.03     0.59    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   64  +12      -2.79    39.57     6.42    64.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   60  +10     -11.25    14.22    -2.27    60.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   59   -1      -7.31    24.59    -5.67    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   57   -8      -1.61    44.34    -0.86    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   53   -2      -6.81    25.55     3.03    53.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   53   -7      -3.03    39.08     3.81    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   51  -20      -4.27    34.01    -9.25    51.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   48  -28      -2.17    41.86    -8.89    48.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       46   46  -28      -7.53    22.84   -14.19    46.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   44  -16     -14.75     7.39    -8.84    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       46   44  -31      -0.47    49.19    -3.62    44.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        46   39  -33      -7.26    23.00    -6.92    39.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          46   37  -31      -6.11    26.96     0.67    37.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46  103  +58       7.62    77.92     8.58   103.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   94  +29      16.34    94.53     7.60    94.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   86  +40       7.34    75.76    16.62    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.43P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   86  +28      15.30    92.24    16.71    86.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.78P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   85  +26      11.08    85.61    10.08    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.23P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    46   74  +14      -1.54    44.43    -4.87    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.56P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   67   +2      -1.83    43.00    -6.68    67.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   66   +4      -5.15    31.01    -7.93    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       46   61  -14       7.21    75.80     1.39    61.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   60   -2      -7.52    23.62    -8.42    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        46   59   +3       1.88    57.67    11.47    59.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   58   +3      -9.99    17.53    -3.91    58.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   58   +0      -4.68    32.85     0.18    58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   57   -6      -0.91    46.85     1.15    57.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   56   -9       0.67    53.24     1.84    56.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   53   -8      -2.94    39.22     2.71    53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      46   53  -19       1.19    55.21    -0.35    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   51   -3      -3.92    35.59    -4.97    51.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   51  -26       1.72    57.45    -3.23    51.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   50  -13     -10.26    16.21    -7.78    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   47  -27      -6.24    27.17   -11.75    47.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        46   45  -33      -1.94    43.13    -7.19    45.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   42  -21      -9.61    16.36    -4.30    42.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       46   42  -26      -8.46    19.57    -6.96    42.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         46   84  +31       3.79    63.79     6.52    84.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   81  +24       2.04    57.05     1.05    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   81  +21       7.90    77.22     6.29    81.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   76  +14       8.86    80.18     7.84    76.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.63P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   72  +17      -0.83    46.78     2.91    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.36P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   72   +5       8.51    79.48     3.55    72.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.38P    0.00     0.00  
York                 46   71  +11       8.27    79.41    10.25    71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.63P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   62   +3      -2.25    41.76     0.64    62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   60   -6       2.04    58.43     0.76    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   60   -7       2.29    59.41    -0.46    60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   60   -9       5.77    71.70     3.07    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   +8     -10.72    15.89    -1.81    59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   59  -10      -6.88    26.29   -14.17    59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   58   -3       4.43    67.11    10.54    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57   -2      -1.55    44.57     3.89    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   56   -8       1.67    57.01     4.01    56.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   55   -3      -8.50    20.95    -4.03    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   55  -10      -5.53    29.88    -6.87    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   54  -12      -3.14    38.55    -3.86    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   53   -6     -10.06    17.10    -6.74    53.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   53  -15      -3.49    36.99    -6.66    53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   50   -8      -9.27    18.20    -3.50    50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   50  -11      -6.44    26.38    -2.46    50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay              46   45  -24      -8.24    20.70   -10.76    45.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.97    79.59    18.28   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.18    66.16    14.66    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    31.73P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.31    79.25    10.24    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.39    55.37    -1.50    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    29.06P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.74    67.19    12.53    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.20P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.44    73.71    10.88    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   72   +7      -1.05    45.97    -8.48    72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.48    44.29    -7.94    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   70   -5      11.04    86.21     2.77    70.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.49    80.20     3.62    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -3.99    34.95     1.68    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   67   -5      10.41    84.26     5.28    67.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   66   -6       9.09    82.02     3.00    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       3.01    61.95     2.78    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.37    41.23    -1.30    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       2.03    58.33     5.98    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -11.91    12.21   -12.06    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.62    48.25    -2.07    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.63    11.38    -9.37    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.74    22.03   -12.80    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       1.79    58.10     0.86    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.33    19.93    -7.85    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.06    30.14    -7.42    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.87     0.18   -21.77    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10