Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 7 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 May 2014, Man_City 4 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         37   83  +63       1.45    55.97     8.54    85.53     0.96    65.10    94.42   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   81  +50       6.69    78.17     8.82    83.48     1.01    52.12     5.58    93.81   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   79  +43       4.56    70.05     5.83    81.29     1.12    44.43     0.00     6.19   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   76  +25       8.24    82.60    -1.77    77.99     1.25    25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   69  +20       7.08    78.84     3.63    70.75     1.28    20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   66   +1       9.30    85.15    -7.05    68.09     1.22     2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.06     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   63  +21      -6.89    21.26    -9.42    64.64     1.32    21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.94     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   55   +8       4.04    67.89     9.27    56.11     1.27     7.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   49  -15       5.37    73.44    -1.76    49.39     0.87   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   47   -8       2.47    61.92     2.17    48.11     1.25    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   44  -15       7.60    82.64     7.60    45.12     1.25   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   40   -9      -5.51    26.59    -0.05    40.34     0.80   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   39   -2      -9.55    13.53     2.95    40.27     1.29    -2.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       37   38  -17      -4.60    29.93    -2.92    39.46     1.31   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      37   38  -19      -2.99    36.93    -1.36    38.71     1.10   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   37  -13      -1.29    45.03     7.07    37.97     1.19   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   36  -15      -8.60    15.96    -3.31    37.61     1.30   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   33  -32      -3.25    35.53    -7.15    33.78     1.13   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.01  
Fulham           37   31  -45      -4.07    31.55   -14.80    32.62     1.30   -44.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   11.36  
Cardiff          37   30  -41      -1.35    44.68    -6.30    30.52     0.96   -42.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.63  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       46  102  +40      18.14    96.68     8.69   102.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         46   93  +35      15.26    93.25    13.44    93.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   85  +32       9.25    81.11    12.82    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.86P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   80  +16       6.26    72.33     0.40    80.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   73  +13      -1.06    45.85    -3.22    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.21P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   72  +15      -0.51    48.16     1.19    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.19P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   71  +14      -2.99    38.97    -2.37    71.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   70   +8       2.57    59.56     1.63    70.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   68   +6       5.14    69.14     6.10    68.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   66   +1       6.65    73.96     7.36    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   65   +3       0.00    50.35     0.32    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   64  +12      -2.92    39.20     6.17    64.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   60  +10     -11.16    14.50    -2.16    60.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   59   -1      -7.14    24.61    -5.50    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   57   -8      -1.78    43.64    -1.12    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   53   -2      -7.05    25.05     2.73    53.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   53   -7      -3.21    38.00     3.58    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   51  -20      -4.34    33.72    -9.32    51.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   48  -28      -2.01    42.86    -8.64    48.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       46   46  -28      -7.21    23.79   -13.79    46.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   44  -16     -14.87     7.22    -8.95    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       46   44  -31      -0.66    48.33    -3.97    44.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        46   39  -33      -7.05    23.53    -6.58    39.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          46   37  -31      -5.83    27.75     1.17    37.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46  103  +58       7.99    79.16     9.21   103.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   94  +29      16.36    94.76     7.59    94.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   86  +40       7.41    75.98    16.67    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.26P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   86  +28      15.37    92.26    16.82    86.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.87P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   85  +26      11.04    85.75     9.95    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.24P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    46   74  +14      -1.44    44.40    -4.64    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.63P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   67   +2      -1.92    42.45    -6.83    67.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   66   +4      -5.05    31.53    -7.75    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       46   61  -14       6.92    75.02     0.94    61.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   60   -2      -7.66    23.17    -8.70    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        46   59   +3       1.96    58.08    11.57    59.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   58   +3      -9.91    17.50    -3.91    58.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   58   +0      -4.57    32.94     0.36    58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   57   -6      -0.76    47.56     1.45    57.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   56   -9       0.48    52.67     1.59    56.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   53   -8      -2.99    39.14     2.59    53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      46   53  -19       1.22    55.60    -0.33    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   51   -3      -3.90    35.93    -4.87    51.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   51  -26       1.79    58.02    -3.22    51.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   50  -13     -10.41    15.90    -8.02    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   47  -27      -6.27    26.91   -11.77    47.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        46   45  -33      -1.87    43.44    -7.11    45.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   42  -21      -9.75    16.32    -4.55    42.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       46   42  -26      -8.46    19.59    -7.05    42.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         46   84  +31       4.08    65.17     6.91    84.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   81  +24       1.61    55.80     0.46    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   81  +21       7.88    77.04     6.27    81.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   76  +14       8.78    79.78     7.80    76.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.09P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   72  +17      -0.99    46.07     2.72    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   72   +5       8.35    79.21     3.38    72.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.63P    0.00     0.00  
York                 46   71  +11       8.34    79.18    10.28    71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.79P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   62   +3      -2.22    41.84     0.62    62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   60   -6       1.93    57.87     0.58    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   60   -7       2.37    59.96    -0.37    60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   60   -9       5.82    71.80     3.19    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   +8     -10.94    15.40    -2.12    59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   59  -10      -6.75    26.59   -14.00    59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   58   -3       4.34    66.83    10.43    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57   -2      -1.75    43.72     3.53    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   56   -8       1.49    56.62     3.83    56.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   55   -3      -8.20    21.69    -3.62    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   55  -10      -5.18    30.68    -6.38    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   54  -12      -3.12    38.52    -3.88    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   53   -6      -9.83    17.72    -6.47    53.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   53  -15      -3.64    36.56    -6.84    53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   50   -8      -9.11    18.74    -3.34    50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   50  -11      -6.38    26.93    -2.36    50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay              46   45  -24      -8.12    21.01   -10.63    45.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.78    79.14    17.94   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.02    65.55    14.39    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    32.09P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.27    79.14    10.14    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.74    56.81    -1.02    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.92P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.85    67.53    12.71    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    18.98P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.43    73.79    10.84    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   72   +7      -0.91    46.38    -8.28    72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.59    43.94    -8.11    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   70   -5      11.42    86.67     3.53    70.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.72    80.73     4.00    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -3.81    35.53     1.89    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   67   -5      10.34    84.00     5.07    67.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   66   -6       8.99    81.82     2.87    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       2.83    61.44     2.42    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.61    40.14    -1.71    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       1.60    56.59     5.32    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -11.86    12.08   -12.05    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.79    47.40    -2.27    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.65    11.29    -9.47    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.77    22.06   -12.83    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       2.01    59.00     1.21    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.15    20.45    -7.51    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.15    29.66    -7.50    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.84     0.14   -21.57    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10