Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 6 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 May 2014, Man_Utd 3 1 Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        37   81  +50       6.78    78.63     9.09    83.49     1.01    52.12    11.43    94.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         36   80  +59       1.62    56.91     8.03    85.13     1.32    63.46    88.44    98.68   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   79  +43       4.57    70.26     5.76    81.30     1.11    44.46     0.14     7.32   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   76  +25       7.97    81.71    -2.12    78.00     1.24    25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   69  +20       7.05    78.65     3.61    70.76     1.27    20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   66   +1       9.34    85.14    -6.99    68.06     1.23     2.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   63  +21      -7.00    20.78    -9.60    64.66     1.32    21.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.04     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   55   +8       3.97    67.48     9.15    56.10     1.27     7.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   49  -15       5.23    72.99    -2.08    49.38     0.86   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   47   -8       2.45    61.90     2.15    48.11     1.24    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   44  -15       7.66    82.56     7.57    45.12     1.25   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   40   -9      -5.36    27.26     0.08    40.35     0.82   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   39   -2      -9.51    14.02     3.02    40.30     1.29    -2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      36   38  -15      -3.23    35.95    -0.66    39.00     1.34   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   37  -13      -1.20    45.26     7.08    37.96     1.18   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   36  -13      -7.88    18.05    -2.32    38.84     1.83   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   35  -19      -5.49    25.88    -3.65    37.94     1.87   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.02R    0.00  
Norwich          37   33  -32      -3.16    35.89    -7.14    33.77     1.13   -32.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.98R    0.00  
Fulham           37   31  -45      -4.08    31.82   -14.93    32.61     1.30   -44.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   11.26  
Cardiff          37   30  -41      -1.18    45.45    -6.04    30.51     0.95   -42.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.73  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       46  102  +40      18.16    96.45     8.64   102.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         46   93  +35      15.16    93.05    13.34    93.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   85  +32       9.31    81.38    12.87    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.91P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   80  +16       6.18    72.32     0.32    80.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   73  +13      -0.94    46.62    -3.11    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   72  +15      -0.76    47.21     0.88    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.34P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   71  +14      -2.84    39.63    -2.17    71.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   70   +8       2.66    59.95     1.76    70.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   68   +6       5.28    69.82     6.31    68.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   66   +1       6.43    73.30     7.00    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   65   +3       0.05    50.43     0.39    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   64  +12      -2.82    39.49     6.35    64.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   60  +10     -10.97    14.74    -1.80    60.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   59   -1      -7.33    24.06    -5.77    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   57   -8      -1.67    44.25    -0.90    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   53   -2      -6.77    25.51     3.13    53.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   53   -7      -3.15    38.57     3.71    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   51  -20      -4.37    33.57    -9.43    51.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   48  -28      -2.29    41.59    -9.03    48.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       46   46  -28      -7.51    22.81   -14.15    46.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   44  -16     -14.58     7.68    -8.53    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       46   44  -31      -0.63    48.41    -3.83    44.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        46   39  -33      -7.14    23.63    -6.82    39.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          46   37  -31      -5.99    27.30     0.82    37.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46  103  +58       7.64    78.25     8.62   103.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   94  +29      16.32    94.60     7.55    94.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   86  +40       7.13    75.34    16.27    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.78P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   86  +28      15.46    92.54    16.97    86.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.74P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   85  +26      11.22    86.03    10.24    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.03P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    46   74  +14      -1.44    44.62    -4.71    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   67   +2      -2.19    41.49    -7.15    67.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   66   +4      -4.94    31.93    -7.59    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       46   61  -14       6.91    74.94     0.95    61.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   60   -2      -7.47    23.64    -8.33    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        46   59   +3       2.21    58.81    11.96    59.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   58   +3      -9.73    18.19    -3.61    58.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   58   +0      -5.03    31.49    -0.35    58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   57   -6      -0.78    47.45     1.42    57.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   56   -9       0.63    53.14     1.79    56.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   53   -8      -3.04    38.89     2.48    53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      46   53  -19       1.32    56.09    -0.17    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   51   -3      -3.86    36.14    -4.80    51.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   51  -26       1.77    57.82    -3.18    51.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   50  -13     -10.37    15.94    -8.00    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   47  -27      -6.22    27.23   -11.67    47.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        46   45  -33      -1.83    43.48    -7.03    45.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   42  -21      -9.79    16.40    -4.64    42.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       46   42  -26      -8.45    19.79    -7.01    42.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         46   84  +31       3.92    64.40     6.70    84.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   81  +24       1.86    56.83     0.80    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   81  +21       7.97    77.33     6.39    81.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   76  +14       8.85    79.87     7.76    76.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.93P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   72  +17      -0.84    46.56     2.91    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   72   +5       8.36    79.08     3.37    72.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.36P    0.00     0.00  
York                 46   71  +11       8.21    78.86    10.16    71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.73P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   62   +3      -2.21    41.88     0.66    62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   60   -6       1.79    57.44     0.43    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   60   -7       2.11    58.90    -0.75    60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   60   -9       5.74    71.50     3.09    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   +8     -10.83    15.64    -1.98    59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   59  -10      -6.43    27.75   -13.59    59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   58   -3       4.46    66.95    10.61    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57   -2      -1.74    44.01     3.58    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   56   -8       1.38    56.07     3.71    56.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   55   -3      -8.27    21.43    -3.69    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   55  -10      -5.22    31.25    -6.45    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   54  -12      -3.07    38.42    -3.79    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   53   -6     -10.09    17.04    -6.79    53.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   53  -15      -3.58    36.74    -6.76    53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   50   -8      -8.94    19.09    -3.17    50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   50  -11      -6.64    26.08    -2.77    50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay              46   45  -24      -8.03    21.33   -10.43    45.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.84    79.09    18.03   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.38    66.41    14.93    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    31.62P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.12    78.71     9.93    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.28P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.66    56.21    -1.05    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.29P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.45    66.47    11.99    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.81P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.49    74.19    10.98    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   72   +7      -0.80    46.84    -8.14    72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.43    44.36    -7.90    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   70   -5      11.31    86.70     3.24    70.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.57    80.28     3.80    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -3.91    35.27     1.83    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   67   -5      10.28    84.10     5.05    67.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   66   -6       9.20    82.12     3.20    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       2.91    61.71     2.57    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.55    40.54    -1.57    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       2.22    58.79     6.26    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -12.00    11.84   -12.24    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.70    47.82    -2.17    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.78    10.94    -9.62    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.86    21.93   -12.92    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       2.04    59.00     1.25    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.53    19.51    -8.02    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.27    29.39    -7.75    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.81     0.17   -21.69    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10