Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 5 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 May 2014, Crystal_Palace 3 3 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 37 81 +50 6.61 78.04 8.68 83.48 1.02 52.10 11.47 93.76 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 36 80 +59 1.65 57.07 8.13 85.12 1.33 63.43 88.40 98.66 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 37 79 +43 4.59 69.94 5.87 81.30 1.11 44.45 0.13 7.58 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 37 76 +25 8.09 82.13 -1.90 78.00 1.24 25.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 37 69 +20 7.08 79.00 3.66 70.75 1.28 20.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 37 66 +1 9.36 85.23 -6.96 68.06 1.23 2.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.14 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 36 60 +19 -7.36 19.44 -9.50 63.99 1.72 20.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.86 0.00 0.00 Southampton 37 55 +8 3.85 67.15 8.95 56.12 1.27 7.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 37 49 -15 5.39 73.56 -1.83 49.39 0.87 -17.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 37 47 -8 2.38 61.52 2.09 48.11 1.25 -8.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 37 44 -15 7.67 82.59 7.64 45.13 1.26 -15.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 37 40 -9 -5.51 26.92 -0.12 40.36 0.82 -11.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 37 39 -2 -9.44 13.90 3.07 40.31 1.29 -2.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 36 38 -15 -3.18 36.04 -0.66 39.01 1.34 -18.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hull 36 37 -11 -0.87 46.80 7.25 38.44 1.50 -13.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 36 36 -13 -8.03 17.25 -2.63 38.84 1.84 -12.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 36 35 -19 -5.37 26.50 -3.51 37.93 1.86 -18.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.95R 0.00 Norwich 37 33 -32 -3.17 35.65 -7.12 33.78 1.13 -32.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.05R 0.00 Fulham 37 31 -45 -4.07 31.86 -14.90 32.61 1.31 -44.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 11.45 Cardiff 37 30 -41 -1.29 44.82 -6.22 30.52 0.95 -42.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 88.55Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 46 102 +40 18.19 96.46 8.70 102.00 0.00 40.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 46 93 +35 15.01 92.97 13.07 93.00 0.00 35.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Derby 46 85 +32 9.27 81.12 12.88 85.00 0.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.58P 0.00 0.00 QPR 46 80 +16 6.06 71.81 0.17 80.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.05P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 46 73 +13 -0.73 47.12 -2.75 73.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.07P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 46 72 +15 -0.68 47.40 0.98 72.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.31P 0.00 0.00 Reading 46 71 +14 -2.80 39.49 -2.09 71.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 46 70 +8 2.43 59.58 1.44 70.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 46 68 +6 5.26 69.75 6.30 68.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 46 66 +1 6.81 74.37 7.61 66.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 46 65 +3 0.30 51.60 0.79 65.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 46 64 +12 -2.76 39.68 6.38 64.00 0.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 46 60 +10 -11.11 14.35 -2.06 60.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bolton 46 59 -1 -7.20 24.49 -5.62 59.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 46 57 -8 -1.74 43.95 -1.02 57.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 46 53 -2 -6.94 25.18 2.89 53.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 46 53 -7 -3.31 37.80 3.36 53.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 51 -20 -4.33 33.86 -9.38 51.00 0.00 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 48 -28 -2.21 41.91 -8.96 48.00 0.00 -28.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 46 46 -28 -7.31 23.39 -13.89 46.00 0.00 -28.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 46 44 -16 -14.80 7.11 -8.90 44.00 0.00 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 46 44 -31 -0.68 48.58 -3.98 44.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Barnsley 46 39 -33 -7.09 23.71 -6.63 39.00 0.00 -33.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Yeovil 46 37 -31 -6.10 26.96 0.72 37.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 46 103 +58 8.04 79.24 9.26 103.00 0.00 58.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 46 94 +29 16.52 94.66 7.75 94.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 46 86 +40 7.16 75.43 16.36 86.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.63P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 46 86 +28 15.08 91.95 16.33 86.00 0.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.94P 0.00 0.00 Preston 46 85 +26 11.09 85.66 10.03 85.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.20P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 74 +14 -1.10 45.78 -4.18 74.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 23.23P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 46 67 +2 -2.04 42.14 -6.96 67.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swindon 46 66 +4 -5.03 31.52 -7.74 66.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 61 -14 6.96 75.21 1.05 61.00 0.00 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 46 60 -2 -7.39 24.21 -8.27 60.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 59 +3 2.05 58.18 11.72 59.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 46 58 +3 -9.91 17.79 -3.81 58.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 58 +0 -4.86 32.18 -0.16 58.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 46 57 -6 -1.21 45.90 0.75 57.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 56 -9 0.70 53.51 1.90 56.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colchester 46 53 -8 -2.89 39.45 2.76 53.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 53 -19 1.22 55.03 -0.38 53.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 46 51 -3 -3.98 35.29 -4.95 51.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 46 51 -26 1.88 58.58 -3.11 51.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 46 50 -13 -10.10 16.57 -7.57 50.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 46 47 -27 -6.31 26.93 -11.82 47.00 0.00 -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Carlisle 46 45 -33 -1.98 42.72 -7.26 45.00 0.00 -33.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 42 -21 -9.66 16.57 -4.44 42.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Stevenage 46 42 -26 -8.61 19.46 -7.26 42.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 46 84 +31 3.84 64.28 6.61 84.00 0.00 31.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 81 +24 1.89 56.72 0.83 81.00 0.00 24.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 81 +21 7.99 77.51 6.41 81.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 76 +14 8.91 80.23 7.89 76.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.27P 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 72 +17 -1.04 46.26 2.66 72.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 33.76P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 46 72 +5 8.36 79.20 3.35 72.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.72P 0.00 0.00 York 46 71 +11 8.11 78.85 10.00 71.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 21.25P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 62 +3 -2.19 41.87 0.64 62.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 60 -6 1.77 57.41 0.35 60.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 46 60 -7 2.24 59.42 -0.50 60.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 46 60 -9 5.94 72.28 3.29 60.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 59 +8 -10.64 15.86 -1.70 59.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 46 59 -10 -6.75 26.63 -13.98 59.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 46 58 -3 4.26 66.54 10.38 58.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 46 57 -2 -1.66 43.87 3.75 57.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 56 -8 1.62 57.25 4.01 56.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 46 55 -3 -8.29 21.27 -3.73 55.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 46 55 -10 -5.33 30.99 -6.63 55.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 46 54 -12 -3.00 39.15 -3.73 54.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 46 53 -6 -10.12 16.81 -6.84 53.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 46 53 -15 -3.80 35.78 -7.12 53.00 0.00 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 46 50 -8 -9.05 18.67 -3.28 50.00 0.00 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 50 -11 -6.55 26.21 -2.64 50.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Torquay 46 45 -24 -7.71 22.50 -10.03 45.00 0.00 -24.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 46 101 +67 7.88 79.47 17.98 101.00 0.00 67.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 82 +37 3.90 64.89 14.23 82.00 0.00 37.00 0.00 100.00 32.04P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 79 +22 8.15 78.55 10.01 79.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 100.00 20.36P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 78 +19 1.58 56.07 -1.27 78.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 100.00 28.42P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 46 77 +27 4.93 67.82 12.74 77.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 100.00 19.18P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 74 +18 6.66 74.65 11.27 74.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 46 72 +7 -0.94 46.40 -8.26 72.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 46 70 +5 -1.52 44.09 -7.98 70.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 46 70 -5 11.34 86.81 3.33 70.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 68 -3 8.79 80.67 4.15 68.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 67 +14 -4.19 34.07 1.38 67.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 46 67 -5 10.54 84.40 5.46 67.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 46 66 -6 9.00 82.13 2.88 66.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 46 65 +1 2.87 61.37 2.55 65.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 61 -1 -2.48 40.54 -1.42 61.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 46 60 -2 2.02 57.91 5.95 60.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 59 +0 -12.14 11.38 -12.39 59.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 46 53 -18 -0.92 46.64 -2.47 53.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 51 +7 -12.83 10.84 -9.63 51.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hereford 46 51 -19 -7.81 22.07 -12.82 51.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 51 -21 2.01 58.71 1.12 51.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dartford 46 44 -25 -8.08 20.65 -7.49 44.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Tamworth 46 39 -38 -5.12 29.70 -7.51 39.00 0.00 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Hyde_United 46 10 -81 -21.96 0.13 -21.82 10.00 0.00 -81.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10