Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 5 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 May 2014, Crystal_Palace 3 3 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        37   81  +50       6.61    78.04     8.68    83.48     1.02    52.10    11.47    93.76   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         36   80  +59       1.65    57.07     8.13    85.12     1.33    63.43    88.40    98.66   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   79  +43       4.59    69.94     5.87    81.30     1.11    44.45     0.13     7.58   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   76  +25       8.09    82.13    -1.90    78.00     1.24    25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   69  +20       7.08    79.00     3.66    70.75     1.28    20.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   66   +1       9.36    85.23    -6.96    68.06     1.23     2.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.14     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          36   60  +19      -7.36    19.44    -9.50    63.99     1.72    20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.86     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   55   +8       3.85    67.15     8.95    56.12     1.27     7.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   49  -15       5.39    73.56    -1.83    49.39     0.87   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   47   -8       2.38    61.52     2.09    48.11     1.25    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   44  -15       7.67    82.59     7.64    45.13     1.26   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   40   -9      -5.51    26.92    -0.12    40.36     0.82   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   39   -2      -9.44    13.90     3.07    40.31     1.29    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      36   38  -15      -3.18    36.04    -0.66    39.01     1.34   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   37  -11      -0.87    46.80     7.25    38.44     1.50   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   36  -13      -8.03    17.25    -2.63    38.84     1.84   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   35  -19      -5.37    26.50    -3.51    37.93     1.86   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95R    0.00  
Norwich          37   33  -32      -3.17    35.65    -7.12    33.78     1.13   -32.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.05R    0.00  
Fulham           37   31  -45      -4.07    31.86   -14.90    32.61     1.31   -44.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   11.45  
Cardiff          37   30  -41      -1.29    44.82    -6.22    30.52     0.95   -42.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.55  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       46  102  +40      18.19    96.46     8.70   102.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         46   93  +35      15.01    92.97    13.07    93.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   85  +32       9.27    81.12    12.88    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.58P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   80  +16       6.06    71.81     0.17    80.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   73  +13      -0.73    47.12    -2.75    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   72  +15      -0.68    47.40     0.98    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.31P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   71  +14      -2.80    39.49    -2.09    71.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   70   +8       2.43    59.58     1.44    70.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   68   +6       5.26    69.75     6.30    68.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   66   +1       6.81    74.37     7.61    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   65   +3       0.30    51.60     0.79    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   64  +12      -2.76    39.68     6.38    64.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   60  +10     -11.11    14.35    -2.06    60.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   59   -1      -7.20    24.49    -5.62    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   57   -8      -1.74    43.95    -1.02    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   53   -2      -6.94    25.18     2.89    53.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   53   -7      -3.31    37.80     3.36    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   51  -20      -4.33    33.86    -9.38    51.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   48  -28      -2.21    41.91    -8.96    48.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       46   46  -28      -7.31    23.39   -13.89    46.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   44  -16     -14.80     7.11    -8.90    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       46   44  -31      -0.68    48.58    -3.98    44.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        46   39  -33      -7.09    23.71    -6.63    39.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          46   37  -31      -6.10    26.96     0.72    37.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46  103  +58       8.04    79.24     9.26   103.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   94  +29      16.52    94.66     7.75    94.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   86  +40       7.16    75.43    16.36    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.63P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   86  +28      15.08    91.95    16.33    86.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.94P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   85  +26      11.09    85.66    10.03    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.20P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    46   74  +14      -1.10    45.78    -4.18    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.23P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   67   +2      -2.04    42.14    -6.96    67.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   66   +4      -5.03    31.52    -7.74    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       46   61  -14       6.96    75.21     1.05    61.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   60   -2      -7.39    24.21    -8.27    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        46   59   +3       2.05    58.18    11.72    59.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   58   +3      -9.91    17.79    -3.81    58.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   58   +0      -4.86    32.18    -0.16    58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   57   -6      -1.21    45.90     0.75    57.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   56   -9       0.70    53.51     1.90    56.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   53   -8      -2.89    39.45     2.76    53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      46   53  -19       1.22    55.03    -0.38    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   51   -3      -3.98    35.29    -4.95    51.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   51  -26       1.88    58.58    -3.11    51.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   50  -13     -10.10    16.57    -7.57    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   47  -27      -6.31    26.93   -11.82    47.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        46   45  -33      -1.98    42.72    -7.26    45.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   42  -21      -9.66    16.57    -4.44    42.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       46   42  -26      -8.61    19.46    -7.26    42.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         46   84  +31       3.84    64.28     6.61    84.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   81  +24       1.89    56.72     0.83    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   81  +21       7.99    77.51     6.41    81.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   76  +14       8.91    80.23     7.89    76.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.27P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   72  +17      -1.04    46.26     2.66    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.76P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   72   +5       8.36    79.20     3.35    72.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.72P    0.00     0.00  
York                 46   71  +11       8.11    78.85    10.00    71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.25P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   62   +3      -2.19    41.87     0.64    62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   60   -6       1.77    57.41     0.35    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   60   -7       2.24    59.42    -0.50    60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   60   -9       5.94    72.28     3.29    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   +8     -10.64    15.86    -1.70    59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   59  -10      -6.75    26.63   -13.98    59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   58   -3       4.26    66.54    10.38    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57   -2      -1.66    43.87     3.75    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   56   -8       1.62    57.25     4.01    56.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   55   -3      -8.29    21.27    -3.73    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   55  -10      -5.33    30.99    -6.63    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   54  -12      -3.00    39.15    -3.73    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   53   -6     -10.12    16.81    -6.84    53.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   53  -15      -3.80    35.78    -7.12    53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   50   -8      -9.05    18.67    -3.28    50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   50  -11      -6.55    26.21    -2.64    50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay              46   45  -24      -7.71    22.50   -10.03    45.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.88    79.47    17.98   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       3.90    64.89    14.23    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    32.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.15    78.55    10.01    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.36P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.58    56.07    -1.27    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.42P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.93    67.82    12.74    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.18P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.66    74.65    11.27    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   72   +7      -0.94    46.40    -8.26    72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.52    44.09    -7.98    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   70   -5      11.34    86.81     3.33    70.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.79    80.67     4.15    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -4.19    34.07     1.38    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   67   -5      10.54    84.40     5.46    67.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   66   -6       9.00    82.13     2.88    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       2.87    61.37     2.55    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.48    40.54    -1.42    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       2.02    57.91     5.95    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -12.14    11.38   -12.39    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.92    46.64    -2.47    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.83    10.84    -9.63    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.81    22.07   -12.82    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       2.01    58.71     1.12    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.08    20.65    -7.49    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.12    29.70    -7.51    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.96     0.13   -21.82    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10