Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 4 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 May 2014, Arsenal 1 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         36   80  +59       1.43    55.97     7.73    85.13     1.32    63.46    78.79    98.67   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        36   80  +50       7.42    81.18     9.56    84.65     1.56    53.33    21.15    96.58   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   79  +43       4.56    70.17     5.84    81.31     1.11    44.45     0.06     4.75   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   76  +25       8.23    82.79    -1.65    78.00     1.25    25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   69  +20       7.04    78.65     3.62    70.75     1.28    20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   66   +1       9.49    85.44    -6.76    68.07     1.23     2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.20     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          36   60  +19      -7.47    18.95    -9.62    63.99     1.71    20.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.80     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   55   +8       3.92    67.29     9.05    56.12     1.27     7.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   49  -15       5.39    73.52    -1.84    49.38     0.87   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   47   -8       2.49    62.03     2.22    48.10     1.24    -8.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   43  -15       7.91    83.61     6.94    44.75     1.63   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   40   -9      -5.35    27.29     0.13    40.35     0.81   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   39   -2      -9.40    14.15     3.20    40.29     1.29    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      36   38  -15      -3.22    36.14    -0.64    39.00     1.34   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   37  -11      -0.79    47.12     7.33    38.44     1.50   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   36  -13      -8.16    16.87    -2.78    38.86     1.83   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   35  -19      -5.55    25.91    -3.79    37.94     1.87   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95R    0.00  
Norwich          37   33  -32      -3.26    35.48    -7.36    33.78     1.13   -32.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.05R    0.01  
Fulham           37   31  -45      -3.95    32.34   -14.69    32.62     1.30   -44.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   11.18  
Cardiff          37   30  -41      -1.38    44.69    -6.50    30.51     0.95   -42.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   88.81  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       46  102  +40      18.26    96.62     8.80   102.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         46   93  +35      14.83    92.60    12.82    93.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   85  +32       9.17    81.12    12.64    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.75P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   80  +16       6.00    71.66     0.05    80.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   73  +13      -1.05    45.90    -3.21    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.92P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   72  +15      -0.67    47.59     0.94    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.49P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   71  +14      -2.98    39.04    -2.35    71.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   70   +8       2.53    59.47     1.56    70.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   68   +6       5.16    69.30     6.20    68.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   66   +1       6.68    73.97     7.42    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   65   +3       0.30    51.39     0.69    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   64  +12      -2.71    40.06     6.51    64.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   60  +10     -11.11    14.52    -1.98    60.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   59   -1      -7.17    24.48    -5.58    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   57   -8      -1.86    43.19    -1.21    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   53   -2      -7.00    25.14     2.80    53.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   53   -7      -3.59    37.02     3.07    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   51  -20      -4.19    34.52    -9.16    51.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   48  -28      -2.06    42.30    -8.72    48.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       46   46  -28      -7.26    23.50   -13.83    46.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   44  -16     -14.56     7.53    -8.54    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       46   44  -31      -0.52    48.98    -3.75    44.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        46   39  -33      -6.89    24.03    -6.32    39.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          46   37  -31      -5.80    28.01     1.14    37.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46  103  +58       7.85    78.67     9.02   103.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   94  +29      16.32    94.48     7.54    94.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   86  +40       7.01    75.28    16.18    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.96P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   86  +28      15.63    92.82    17.25    86.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.71P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   85  +26      11.10    85.84    10.03    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.90P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    46   74  +14      -1.41    44.34    -4.65    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.43P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   67   +2      -1.79    43.20    -6.65    67.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   66   +4      -4.96    31.71    -7.61    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       46   61  -14       6.82    74.71     0.84    61.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   60   -2      -7.57    23.58    -8.50    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        46   59   +3       2.11    58.45    11.73    59.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   58   +3     -10.08    17.32    -4.14    58.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   58   +0      -5.06    31.14    -0.33    58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   57   -6      -1.17    45.91     0.84    57.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   56   -9       0.42    52.23     1.51    56.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   53   -8      -2.88    39.33     2.70    53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      46   53  -19       1.32    56.06    -0.17    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   51   -3      -3.68    36.39    -4.51    51.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   51  -26       1.71    57.63    -3.30    51.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   50  -13     -10.31    16.05    -7.87    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   47  -27      -6.06    27.80   -11.43    47.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        46   45  -33      -1.76    44.02    -6.99    45.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   42  -21      -9.74    16.21    -4.55    42.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       46   42  -26      -8.40    19.99    -6.94    42.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         46   84  +31       3.75    63.95     6.45    84.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   81  +24       2.10    57.61     1.14    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   81  +21       8.00    77.52     6.47    81.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   76  +14       8.83    80.02     7.81    76.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   72  +17      -1.04    46.04     2.63    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.65P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   72   +5       8.22    78.94     3.18    72.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.38P    0.00     0.00  
York                 46   71  +11       8.05    78.75     9.97    71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.89P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   62   +3      -2.15    42.01     0.71    62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   60   -6       2.07    58.63     0.80    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   60   -7       2.28    59.58    -0.42    60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   60   -9       5.79    71.61     3.14    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   +8     -10.42    16.49    -1.44    59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   59  -10      -6.89    26.25   -14.20    59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   58   -3       4.74    68.34    11.08    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57   -2      -1.78    43.59     3.55    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   56   -8       1.48    56.28     3.71    56.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   55   -3      -8.14    21.83    -3.58    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   55  -10      -5.27    30.92    -6.56    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   54  -12      -2.97    39.20    -3.62    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   53   -6     -10.23    16.66    -7.05    53.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   53  -15      -3.71    36.32    -6.89    53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   50   -8      -9.17    18.63    -3.47    50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   50  -11      -6.62    25.95    -2.72    50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay              46   45  -24      -8.14    21.08   -10.70    45.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.84    79.24    18.00   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.21    66.16    14.65    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    31.67P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.12    78.64     9.93    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.52P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.69    56.76    -1.07    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.48P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.66    67.02    12.34    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.33P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.51    74.09    11.00    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   72   +7      -0.93    46.44    -8.29    72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.53    44.35    -7.99    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   70   -5      11.21    86.46     3.14    70.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.57    79.86     3.81    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -4.09    34.55     1.57    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   67   -5      10.68    85.02     5.66    67.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   66   -6       9.05    81.76     2.95    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       3.17    62.42     2.99    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.33    41.50    -1.22    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       1.96    58.09     5.80    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -11.98    11.83   -12.20    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.76    47.72    -2.19    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.82    10.86    -9.62    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.95    21.39   -13.02    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       1.93    58.43     1.04    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.07    20.65    -7.40    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.37    29.13    -7.98    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.90     0.16   -21.91    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10