Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 3 May 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Aston_Villa 3 1 Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         36   80  +59       1.67    57.07     8.13    85.15     1.32    63.47    77.47    93.22   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        36   80  +50       7.57    81.67     9.69    84.65     1.57    53.32    20.57    84.66   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          36   78  +43       5.46    74.14     6.41    82.86     1.46    46.52     1.96    22.12    99.71   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   73  +24       7.18    79.63    -1.98    77.28     1.70    26.43     0.00     0.00     0.29   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   69  +20       6.94    78.32     3.47    70.74     1.28    20.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   66   +1       9.48    85.58    -6.77    68.06     1.23     2.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.21     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          36   60  +19      -7.38    19.29    -9.55    64.00     1.71    20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.79     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   55   +8       4.00    67.88     9.18    56.11     1.27     7.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   49  -15       5.36    73.58    -1.76    49.38     0.86   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   47   -8       2.57    62.30     2.35    48.10     1.24    -8.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   43  -15       7.73    83.14     6.77    44.76     1.65   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   40   -9      -5.41    27.23     0.14    40.34     0.80   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   39   -2      -9.57    13.70     2.95    40.30     1.29    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      36   38  -15      -3.18    36.19    -0.51    39.01     1.34   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   37  -11      -1.12    45.66     6.87    38.44     1.50   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
West_Brom        35   36  -12      -7.38    19.48    -2.65    39.42     2.11   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Sunderland       36   35  -19      -5.51    25.83    -3.66    37.95     1.87   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83R    0.00  
Norwich          36   32  -32      -3.46    34.45    -8.10    33.07     1.36   -35.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.80R    2.23  
Fulham           37   31  -45      -4.12    31.44   -14.86    32.62     1.30   -44.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   11.04  
Cardiff          37   30  -41      -1.26    45.01    -6.13    30.50     0.94   -42.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   86.73  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Barnsley 2 3 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       46  102  +40      18.24    96.61     8.83   102.00     0.00    40.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         46   93  +35      14.86    92.67    12.82    93.00     0.00    35.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   85  +32       9.17    80.95    12.66    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.59P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   80  +16       6.02    71.69     0.10    80.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   73  +13      -0.82    46.89    -2.89    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.96P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   72  +15      -0.36    48.80     1.40    72.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.17P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   71  +14      -2.71    39.90    -1.91    71.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   70   +8       2.50    59.54     1.54    70.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   68   +6       5.08    69.13     6.03    68.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     46   66   +1       6.38    72.91     6.93    66.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   65   +3       0.13    50.76     0.52    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   64  +12      -2.76    39.76     6.37    64.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   60  +10     -11.07    14.75    -2.00    60.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   59   -1      -7.29    24.14    -5.72    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   57   -8      -1.68    44.04    -0.92    57.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   53   -2      -6.80    25.41     3.15    53.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   53   -7      -3.31    37.80     3.47    53.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   51  -20      -4.45    33.50    -9.54    51.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   48  -28      -2.09    42.18    -8.74    48.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       46   46  -28      -7.31    23.68   -13.87    46.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   44  -16     -14.58     7.52    -8.59    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       46   44  -31      -0.52    48.87    -3.63    44.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        46   39  -33      -7.04    23.60    -6.61    39.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          46   37  -31      -6.10    27.01     0.62    37.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Brentford 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   46  103  +58       7.97    79.27     9.19   103.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   94  +29      16.28    94.41     7.48    94.00     0.00    29.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   46   86  +40       7.34    75.70    16.57    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.41P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   86  +28      15.34    92.29    16.85    86.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.68P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   85  +26      11.03    85.84     9.87    85.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.69P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    46   74  +14      -1.27    45.10    -4.43    74.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   67   +2      -2.01    42.48    -6.89    67.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon         46   66   +4      -5.14    30.98    -7.86    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       46   61  -14       7.24    76.12     1.42    61.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         46   60   -2      -7.74    23.09    -8.74    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        46   59   +3       2.08    58.56    11.73    59.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   58   +3     -10.16    17.31    -4.25    58.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         46   58   +0      -4.73    32.36     0.09    58.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    46   57   -6      -1.09    46.33     0.89    57.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          46   56   -9       0.71    53.29     1.90    56.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      46   53   -8      -2.81    39.60     2.81    53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      46   53  -19       1.27    55.63    -0.34    53.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        46   51   -3      -3.95    35.85    -4.98    51.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe           46   51  -26       1.81    58.00    -3.14    51.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    46   50  -13     -10.37    15.73    -7.94    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        46   47  -27      -6.22    27.28   -11.72    47.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        46   45  -33      -1.87    43.35    -7.08    45.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      46   42  -21      -9.54    16.83    -4.27    42.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       46   42  -26      -8.52    19.52    -7.17    42.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 May 2014, Accrington_Stanley 3 2 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         46   84  +31       3.80    64.25     6.54    84.00     0.00    31.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   81  +24       1.88    56.59     0.78    81.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   81  +21       7.85    77.10     6.27    81.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   76  +14       8.78    80.04     7.75    76.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.63P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   72  +17      -0.85    46.95     2.92    72.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   72   +5       8.41    79.21     3.45    72.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.37P    0.00     0.00  
York                 46   71  +11       8.21    79.05    10.13    71.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.17P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   62   +3      -2.34    41.45     0.47    62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   60   -6       1.85    57.73     0.52    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   60   -7       2.19    59.05    -0.65    60.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   60   -9       5.72    71.13     3.00    60.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   59   +8     -10.82    15.62    -1.91    59.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   59  -10      -6.58    26.83   -13.79    59.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   58   -3       4.37    66.65    10.57    58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   57   -2      -1.48    44.91     3.95    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   56   -8       1.45    56.52     3.72    56.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   55   -3      -8.44    21.21    -3.92    55.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   55  -10      -5.21    30.98    -6.44    55.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   54  -12      -2.98    39.00    -3.69    54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   53   -6      -9.93    17.46    -6.59    53.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   53  -15      -3.70    36.65    -6.91    53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   50   -8      -8.94    19.18    -3.10    50.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   50  -11      -6.58    26.12    -2.69    50.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Torquay              46   45  -24      -7.96    21.51   -10.37    45.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.90    79.43    18.12   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.05    65.70    14.44    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    32.24P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.04    78.56     9.83    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.31P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.91    57.37    -0.76    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.12P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.75    67.28    12.52    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.33P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.63    74.26    11.21    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   72   +7      -0.99    46.20    -8.36    72.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.70    43.57    -8.25    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   70   -5      11.35    86.94     3.35    70.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.68    80.54     4.00    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -4.06    34.63     1.56    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   67   -5      10.36    84.06     5.18    67.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   66   -6       9.00    81.76     2.88    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       2.72    61.00     2.25    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.47    40.96    -1.46    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       2.02    58.16     5.99    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -12.14    11.49   -12.42    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.68    47.96    -2.15    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.49    11.71    -9.23    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.97    21.48   -13.02    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       1.95    58.82     1.14    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.14    20.48    -7.47    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.32    29.18    -7.81    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.76     0.16   -21.56    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10