Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 30 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 April 2014, Arsenal 3 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 36 80 +50 7.42 81.06 9.57 84.67 1.55 53.38 48.05 87.13 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 36 78 +43 5.51 74.63 6.57 82.84 1.46 46.48 6.34 37.96 99.73 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 35 77 +58 0.37 50.66 8.01 83.76 1.87 62.79 45.61 74.90 99.67 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 36 73 +24 7.27 79.80 -1.71 77.27 1.70 26.41 0.00 0.00 0.60 98.01 100.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 36 69 +21 7.80 81.53 3.71 71.90 1.81 21.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.99 98.66 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 36 66 +3 10.13 87.63 -5.95 69.58 1.81 4.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.94 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 35 60 +20 -5.86 23.93 -8.47 66.39 2.05 23.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.40 0.00 0.00 Southampton 36 52 +7 2.75 62.79 8.94 54.24 1.80 6.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 36 46 -18 5.03 72.73 -2.68 48.30 1.53 -19.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 36 44 -11 2.32 61.80 1.26 46.87 1.80 -10.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 36 43 -15 7.75 83.12 6.73 44.74 1.64 -16.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 36 39 -1 -8.41 16.71 3.66 41.92 1.85 -0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hull 35 37 -9 -0.18 50.09 8.04 39.52 1.94 -11.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 West_Ham 36 37 -11 -6.59 22.27 -1.13 38.57 1.51 -13.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 West_Brom 35 36 -12 -7.41 19.14 -2.72 39.47 2.12 -13.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34R 0.00 Aston_Villa 35 35 -17 -4.02 31.99 -1.46 37.61 1.86 -20.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.64R 0.01 Sunderland 35 32 -20 -7.28 18.91 -4.81 35.37 2.09 -21.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.37R 1.06 Norwich 36 32 -32 -3.45 34.33 -8.05 33.07 1.36 -35.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.67R 10.94 Fulham 36 31 -42 -3.67 33.33 -13.67 33.58 1.78 -42.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.38R 17.14 Cardiff 36 30 -38 -1.42 44.17 -5.86 31.36 1.51 -40.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.52R 70.85Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 April 2014, Birmingham 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 45 99 +39 17.25 95.92 8.74 101.35 1.08 40.55 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 45 92 +35 15.54 93.94 13.30 93.27 1.29 34.86 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Derby 45 84 +32 9.75 82.90 13.02 85.54 1.32 32.24 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.82P 0.00 0.00 QPR 45 77 +15 5.41 69.85 0.53 78.74 1.28 15.51 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.44P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 45 73 +14 0.13 50.40 -2.44 74.34 1.30 13.96 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.51P 0.00 0.00 Reading 45 70 +14 -2.60 39.94 -2.33 71.46 1.31 14.14 0.00 0.00 69.19 16.62P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 45 69 +14 -1.79 43.04 0.71 70.34 1.28 13.99 0.00 0.00 30.76 7.59P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 45 67 +7 1.36 55.26 1.22 68.39 1.30 7.04 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 45 66 +2 7.34 76.19 7.36 67.40 1.32 2.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 45 65 +5 4.16 66.18 6.08 66.64 1.31 5.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 45 65 +4 1.26 55.12 1.16 66.37 1.29 4.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 45 61 +9 -3.24 37.97 5.09 62.65 1.30 9.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 45 60 +13 -10.59 15.19 -0.41 61.98 1.26 13.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bolton 45 58 -1 -6.41 26.63 -5.05 59.76 1.31 -0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 45 56 -8 -1.57 44.16 -1.35 57.22 1.29 -8.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 45 53 -1 -6.08 27.44 3.11 54.11 1.26 -1.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 45 50 -10 -4.23 34.20 1.38 50.81 1.16 -10.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 45 48 -23 -4.93 31.14 -10.79 49.16 1.25 -23.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 45 46 -25 -7.01 24.14 -12.50 47.55 1.29 -24.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22R 0.00 Millwall 45 45 -29 -3.17 37.97 -8.81 46.35 1.31 -29.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.49R 0.00 Doncaster 45 44 -30 0.05 51.42 -3.83 44.47 0.91 -31.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.55R 0.00 Birmingham 45 43 -16 -14.56 7.39 -9.16 44.01 1.24 -16.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.73R 0.00 Barnsley 45 39 -32 -6.11 26.42 -6.41 39.98 1.19 -32.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 20.99 Yeovil 45 37 -28 -5.97 27.19 1.40 38.09 1.24 -28.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 79.01League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 April 2014, Crawley_Town 0 0 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 45 100 +55 7.71 78.46 8.38 102.48 1.00 56.86 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 45 91 +27 15.88 94.38 7.26 93.07 1.21 28.02 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Preston 45 85 +27 12.32 88.61 10.79 86.76 1.30 27.57 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.48P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 45 83 +38 6.45 73.33 15.79 84.40 1.31 38.05 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.72P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 45 83 +27 13.98 90.54 16.25 84.13 1.28 26.62 0.00 0.00 100.00 18.65P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 45 73 +14 -0.99 46.12 -4.65 75.08 1.24 15.15 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.15P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 45 66 +5 -3.98 34.68 -7.18 67.63 1.33 5.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 45 64 +1 -3.08 38.08 -7.16 65.66 1.31 1.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 45 60 +0 -6.97 24.99 -7.70 61.34 1.31 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 45 60 -14 7.06 75.76 0.65 60.73 1.13 -15.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 45 58 +1 -3.69 36.26 0.67 59.69 1.29 1.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 45 57 +3 -9.56 18.41 -3.90 58.39 1.31 3.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bradford 45 56 +2 0.78 53.65 11.22 57.26 1.28 1.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 45 56 -6 -0.63 48.15 1.12 57.35 1.31 -6.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 45 55 -9 1.17 55.48 2.08 56.45 1.31 -8.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 45 52 -19 1.48 56.43 -0.51 53.57 1.31 -18.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 45 51 -2 -2.93 39.23 -4.54 52.08 1.25 -2.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colchester 45 50 -9 -4.68 32.68 1.61 51.04 1.22 -9.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 45 49 -13 -9.78 17.02 -7.57 50.28 1.30 -13.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.83R 0.00 Crewe 45 48 -27 0.27 52.09 -3.98 48.99 1.23 -27.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.17R 0.00 Tranmere 45 47 -26 -5.13 30.88 -11.14 48.46 1.30 -25.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.44R 0.00 Carlisle 45 45 -30 -1.79 43.77 -6.44 45.37 0.83 -31.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.56R 0.00 Stevenage 45 42 -24 -8.23 20.47 -6.65 42.70 1.08 -25.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 41.40 Shrewsbury 45 41 -21 -9.30 17.33 -4.40 42.16 1.27 -21.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 58.60 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 April 2014, Burton_Albion 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 45 81 +30 2.66 59.88 6.26 82.75 1.29 30.54 59.60 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 45 81 +22 9.17 81.22 7.15 82.71 1.31 22.50 27.60 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 45 80 +24 2.73 60.03 1.56 81.77 1.27 24.54 12.79 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 45 76 +15 9.52 82.17 7.85 76.99 1.21 14.46 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.87P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 45 72 +6 9.14 81.58 3.65 73.06 1.21 5.61 0.00 0.00 100.00 21.16P 0.00 0.00 York 45 70 +11 8.25 79.49 9.69 70.95 1.18 10.46 0.00 0.00 100.00 20.77P 0.00 0.00 Southend 45 69 +16 -2.16 41.66 2.32 70.65 1.28 16.39 0.00 0.00 100.00 33.21P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 45 62 +5 -1.54 44.31 1.68 63.43 1.28 5.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 45 59 -7 2.48 60.33 -0.92 60.10 1.24 -7.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 45 58 +8 -10.18 16.68 -1.60 59.53 1.31 8.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 45 58 -10 -5.94 29.01 -13.43 59.63 1.30 -9.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 45 57 -7 0.45 52.26 -0.30 58.18 1.26 -7.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 45 57 -10 4.51 67.68 2.80 58.17 1.26 -10.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 45 56 -7 2.37 59.91 3.95 57.18 1.26 -7.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 45 55 -4 3.30 63.47 10.25 56.04 1.24 -4.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 45 55 -9 -4.41 33.57 -6.34 56.54 1.30 -8.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 45 54 -3 -2.84 39.36 3.21 55.55 1.30 -2.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 45 53 -4 -9.63 17.86 -6.03 54.52 1.30 -3.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 45 53 -12 -2.45 41.03 -3.35 54.21 1.28 -12.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 45 52 -5 -9.25 18.18 -4.79 53.20 1.27 -5.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 45 50 -10 -5.55 29.36 -2.17 51.55 1.30 -9.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.32R 0.00 Northampton 45 50 -17 -4.50 33.12 -7.85 51.27 1.27 -17.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.96R 0.00 Wycombe 45 47 -11 -9.46 17.33 -4.57 48.31 1.28 -11.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.72R 36.67 Torquay 45 45 -21 -7.69 22.22 -9.03 46.39 1.29 -20.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 63.33Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 46 101 +67 7.76 78.98 17.90 101.00 0.00 67.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 82 +37 3.99 65.09 14.37 82.00 0.00 37.00 0.00 100.00 31.68P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 79 +22 8.27 78.90 10.19 79.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 100.00 19.97P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 78 +19 1.53 55.91 -1.30 78.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 100.00 28.92P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 46 77 +27 4.68 67.09 12.41 77.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 100.00 19.44P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 74 +18 6.49 74.05 10.94 74.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 46 72 +7 -1.01 45.94 -8.38 72.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 46 70 +5 -1.74 43.40 -8.34 70.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 46 70 -5 11.18 86.44 3.05 70.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 68 -3 8.78 80.69 4.17 68.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 67 +14 -4.16 34.41 1.49 67.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 46 67 -5 10.48 84.38 5.34 67.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 46 66 -6 9.05 82.06 3.01 66.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 46 65 +1 2.95 61.88 2.68 65.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 61 -1 -2.36 41.53 -1.36 61.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 46 60 -2 1.96 58.27 5.83 60.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 59 +0 -12.04 11.70 -12.33 59.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 46 53 -18 -0.57 48.46 -1.91 53.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 51 +7 -12.58 11.44 -9.35 51.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hereford 46 51 -19 -7.73 21.98 -12.75 51.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 51 -21 1.98 58.69 1.21 51.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dartford 46 44 -25 -8.19 20.48 -7.53 44.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Tamworth 46 39 -38 -5.17 29.74 -7.61 39.00 0.00 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Hyde_United 46 10 -81 -21.84 0.16 -21.73 10.00 0.00 -81.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10