Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 29 April 2014 at 21:00:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 April 2014, Arsenal 3 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        36   80  +50       7.43    81.73     9.50    84.67     1.56    53.38    48.10    87.20   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          36   78  +43       5.44    74.03     6.46    82.84     1.47    46.47     6.27    37.99    99.73   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   77  +58       0.38    50.61     8.07    83.76     1.87    62.81    45.63    74.82    99.72   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   73  +24       7.24    79.85    -1.82    77.26     1.70    26.41     0.00     0.00     0.55    98.13   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   69  +21       7.86    81.86     3.85    71.87     1.81    21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.87    98.63     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   66   +3      10.06    87.54    -6.10    69.61     1.80     4.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.47     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   60  +20      -5.95    23.56    -8.65    66.39     2.03    23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.90     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   52   +7       2.62    61.98     8.78    54.23     1.80     6.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        36   46  -18       5.10    72.95    -2.57    48.29     1.53   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   44  -11       2.18    60.85     1.09    46.87     1.79   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   43  -15       7.82    83.44     6.83    44.74     1.63   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   39   -1      -8.45    16.23     3.62    41.93     1.86    -0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   37   -9      -0.44    48.98     7.73    39.54     1.96   -11.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
West_Ham         36   37  -11      -6.27    23.51    -0.63    38.56     1.52   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom        35   36  -12      -7.41    18.92    -2.72    39.48     2.11   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      35   35  -17      -3.93    32.44    -1.25    37.60     1.85   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.74R    0.00  
Sunderland       35   32  -20      -7.16    19.50    -4.66    35.37     2.09   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.22R    1.05  
Norwich          36   32  -32      -3.43    34.44    -8.01    33.07     1.36   -35.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.39R   10.89  
Fulham           36   31  -42      -3.76    32.88   -13.81    33.58     1.78   -42.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.75R   17.07  
Cardiff          36   30  -38      -1.34    44.71    -5.71    31.37     1.52   -40.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.52R   70.98  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 April 2014, Birmingham 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       45   99  +39      17.15    95.89     8.55   101.35     1.08    40.55   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         45   92  +35      15.33    93.68    12.99    93.28     1.29    34.87     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   84  +32       9.67    82.58    12.84    85.52     1.33    32.23     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.27P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   77  +15       5.33    69.88     0.44    78.74     1.28    15.52     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           45   73  +14       0.33    51.26    -2.18    74.33     1.30    13.95     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.57P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   70  +14      -2.53    40.30    -2.22    71.45     1.31    14.13     0.00     0.00    69.03    16.35P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        45   69  +14      -1.72    43.40     0.73    70.33     1.28    13.97     0.00     0.00    30.88     7.21P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   67   +7       1.21    54.88     1.03    68.40     1.30     7.05     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     45   66   +2       7.70    77.31     7.93    67.38     1.32     2.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   65   +5       4.11    66.16     6.02    66.63     1.31     5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   65   +4       1.09    54.42     0.92    66.37     1.28     4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   61   +9      -3.17    37.98     5.15    62.65     1.30     9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         45   60  +13     -10.54    15.51    -0.29    61.98     1.26    13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          45   58   -1      -6.59    26.36    -5.18    59.77     1.30    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   56   -8      -1.62    44.11    -1.42    57.23     1.30    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   53   -1      -5.84    28.58     3.55    54.11     1.26    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   50  -10      -3.75    35.67     2.10    50.81     1.16   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        45   48  -23      -4.92    31.43   -10.86    49.15     1.25   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       45   46  -25      -7.09    24.07   -12.60    47.56     1.29   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Millwall        45   45  -29      -3.47    36.66    -9.21    46.36     1.31   -29.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.42R    0.00  
Doncaster       45   44  -30       0.03    51.21    -3.91    44.47     0.92   -31.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.16R    0.00  
Birmingham      45   43  -16     -14.35     7.55    -8.86    44.00     1.23   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.12R    0.00  
Barnsley        45   39  -32      -6.13    26.46    -6.48    39.98     1.19   -32.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.85  
Yeovil          45   37  -28      -6.27    26.27     0.93    38.09     1.24   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.15  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 April 2014, Crawley_Town 0 0 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   45  100  +55       7.84    78.69     8.62   102.47     1.01    56.85   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   91  +27      15.97    94.42     7.40    93.07     1.21    28.01     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   85  +27      12.22    88.36    10.67    86.76     1.30    27.57     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.99P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   45   83  +38       6.56    73.71    15.92    84.40     1.31    38.05     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.66P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   83  +27      13.95    90.46    16.22    84.13     1.28    26.61     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.58P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    45   73  +14      -0.78    46.86    -4.37    75.07     1.24    15.13     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.77P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         45   66   +5      -4.12    34.53    -7.39    67.64     1.33     5.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       45   64   +1      -3.01    38.53    -7.06    65.67     1.30     1.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         45   60   +0      -7.05    24.87    -7.78    61.34     1.30    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       45   60  -14       6.96    75.48     0.48    60.73     1.13   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         45   58   +1      -3.70    35.82     0.64    59.68     1.29     1.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   57   +3      -9.50    18.64    -3.78    58.39     1.31     3.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        45   56   +2       0.64    53.07    11.00    57.25     1.28     1.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    45   56   -6      -0.58    48.40     1.19    57.35     1.31    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          45   55   -9       1.03    54.71     1.92    56.44     1.31    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      45   52  -19       1.47    56.43    -0.60    53.57     1.31   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        45   51   -2      -2.80    39.56    -4.30    52.07     1.24    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   50   -9      -4.35    33.76     2.10    51.05     1.22    -9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    45   49  -13     -10.01    16.77    -8.00    50.30     1.30   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.95R    0.00  
Crewe           45   48  -27       0.33    52.09    -3.82    48.99     1.23   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.14R    0.00  
Tranmere        45   47  -26      -5.14    30.86   -11.21    48.48     1.30   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.29R    0.00  
Carlisle        45   45  -30      -1.96    42.67    -6.68    45.38     0.84   -31.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.62R    0.00  
Stevenage       45   42  -24      -8.27    20.12    -6.82    42.70     1.07   -25.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   41.48  
Shrewsbury      45   41  -21      -9.26    17.02    -4.35    42.17     1.27   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   58.52  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 April 2014, Burton_Albion 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         45   81  +30       2.88    60.75     6.58    82.74     1.29    30.52    59.13   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   81  +22       9.18    81.30     7.20    82.71     1.31    22.50    27.94   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           45   80  +24       2.43    58.98     1.10    81.78     1.27    24.57    12.94   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       45   76  +15       9.46    81.92     7.72    77.00     1.22    14.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   72   +6       9.07    81.13     3.59    73.07     1.21     5.63     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.12P    0.00     0.00  
York                 45   70  +11       8.50    79.97    10.01    70.94     1.17    10.43     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.10P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   69  +16      -2.00    41.98     2.59    70.64     1.28    16.37     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   62   +5      -1.60    44.08     1.61    63.45     1.29     5.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   59   -7       2.61    60.75    -0.72    60.08     1.24    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   58   +8     -10.20    16.74    -1.59    59.54     1.31     8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   58  -10      -6.13    28.37   -13.70    59.65     1.30    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   57   -7       0.52    52.41    -0.26    58.18     1.26    -7.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   57  -10       4.77    68.48     3.18    58.17     1.26   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   56   -7       2.58    60.74     4.26    57.16     1.26    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   55   -4       3.07    62.59     9.95    56.04     1.24    -4.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   55   -9      -4.14    34.83    -5.98    56.55     1.30    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   54   -3      -2.85    39.59     3.15    55.56     1.30    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           45   53   -4      -9.61    17.72    -6.04    54.51     1.30    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   53  -12      -2.81    39.52    -3.86    54.20     1.28   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   52   -5      -9.20    18.45    -4.70    53.20     1.26    -5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   50  -10      -5.55    29.30    -2.13    51.55     1.30    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.40R    0.00  
Northampton          45   50  -17      -4.66    32.28    -8.03    51.25     1.26   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.21R    0.00  
Wycombe              45   47  -11      -9.52    17.09    -4.63    48.32     1.28   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.39R   36.58  
Torquay              45   45  -21      -7.85    21.46    -9.29    46.39     1.29   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   63.42  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.74    78.77    17.78   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.05    65.69    14.46    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    31.60P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.17    78.81    10.02    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.24P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.48    56.05    -1.32    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.81P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.61    66.79    12.25    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.35P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.40    73.59    10.88    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   74   +8       0.45    51.70    -8.24    74.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   72   -4      12.96    90.04     3.63    72.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.48    44.53    -7.92    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.56    80.19     3.80    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -4.25    34.06     1.24    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   66   -6      10.17    83.69     5.33    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       3.04    62.02     2.84    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   65   -7       8.37    80.09     2.42    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.48    40.61    -1.47    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       1.95    57.95     5.86    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -12.08    11.52   -12.32    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.66    48.10    -2.05    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.54    11.43    -9.20    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.72    22.28   -12.72    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       2.27    60.02     1.65    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.19    20.13    -7.56    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.26    29.39    -7.77    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.74     0.12   -21.59    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10