Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 28 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 April 2014, Arsenal 3 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        36   80  +50       7.47    81.53     9.69    84.65     1.56    53.34    47.72    86.78   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          36   78  +43       5.49    74.42     6.51    82.85     1.46    46.50     6.51    38.29    99.69   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   77  +58       0.36    50.54     7.98    83.76     1.88    62.81    45.77    74.93    99.70   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   73  +24       7.29    80.23    -1.63    77.27     1.71    26.41     0.00     0.00     0.61    98.05   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   69  +21       8.00    82.03     4.06    71.86     1.81    21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95    98.54     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   66   +3      10.03    87.22    -6.13    69.60     1.79     4.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   60  +20      -5.83    24.27    -8.38    66.37     2.04    23.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.90     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   52   +7       2.56    62.01     8.62    54.24     1.80     6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        36   46  -18       4.91    72.08    -2.95    48.31     1.54   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   44  -11       2.17    60.76     1.00    46.88     1.80   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   43  -15       7.83    83.17     6.79    44.74     1.64   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   39   -1      -8.37    16.59     3.73    41.93     1.85    -0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   37   -9      -0.32    49.57     7.91    39.54     1.96   -11.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
West_Ham         36   37  -11      -6.57    22.49    -1.08    38.58     1.52   -13.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom        35   36  -12      -7.38    19.46    -2.67    39.47     2.11   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      35   35  -17      -4.03    32.08    -1.39    37.59     1.86   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54R    0.00  
Sunderland       35   32  -20      -7.21    19.23    -4.79    35.37     2.10   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.66R    1.07  
Norwich          36   32  -32      -3.39    34.70    -7.98    33.06     1.36   -35.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.59R   11.02  
Fulham           36   31  -42      -3.76    32.90   -13.87    33.59     1.77   -42.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.33R   16.55  
Cardiff          36   30  -38      -1.20    45.19    -5.42    31.35     1.51   -40.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.49R   71.36  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Birmingham 1 3 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       45   99  +39      17.15    95.89     8.56   101.34     1.09    40.54   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         45   92  +35      15.37    93.82    13.08    93.27     1.29    34.86     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   84  +32       9.78    82.87    13.00    85.54     1.33    32.25     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.09P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   77  +15       5.07    69.10     0.09    78.76     1.28    15.54     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.68P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   70  +14      -2.46    40.79    -2.09    71.46     1.31    14.14     0.00     0.00    74.59    17.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           44   70  +13      -0.93    46.30    -2.64    72.84     1.86    13.15     0.00     0.00    85.25    21.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        45   69  +14      -1.80    42.81     0.67    70.35     1.29    13.99     0.00     0.00    38.66     9.36P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   67   +7       1.56    56.36     1.54    68.40     1.31     7.05     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     45   66   +2       7.58    76.92     7.72    67.40     1.32     2.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   65   +5       4.19    66.06     6.10    66.62     1.31     5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   65   +4       1.06    54.37     0.88    66.36     1.29     4.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   61   +9      -3.03    38.62     5.32    62.64     1.30     9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         44   60  +15     -10.06    16.57     0.27    63.60     1.82    16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          45   58   -1      -6.50    26.29    -5.16    59.75     1.31    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   56   -8      -1.50    44.74    -1.16    57.22     1.30    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   53   -1      -6.03    27.95     3.23    54.12     1.26    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   50  -10      -3.97    35.15     1.78    50.80     1.15   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       45   46  -25      -6.95    24.39   -12.43    47.57     1.29   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Charlton        44   45  -25      -5.90    27.30   -11.95    47.28     1.78   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.49R    0.00  
Millwall        45   45  -29      -3.37    37.25    -8.97    46.35     1.31   -29.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.92R    0.00  
Doncaster       45   44  -30      -0.01    51.07    -3.92    44.48     0.92   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.81R    0.00  
Birmingham      44   43  -15     -13.44     8.63    -8.44    45.24     1.80   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.21R    0.00  
Barnsley        45   39  -32      -6.35    25.89    -6.82    39.97     1.19   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   21.12  
Yeovil          45   37  -28      -6.01    27.13     1.35    38.09     1.25   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.88  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Bradford 2 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   45  100  +55       7.88    78.99     8.64   102.47     1.01    56.86   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   91  +27      15.52    93.73     6.71    93.08     1.21    28.03     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   85  +27      12.25    88.58    10.70    86.76     1.30    27.56     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   45   83  +38       6.47    73.45    15.81    84.41     1.31    38.05     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.90P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   83  +27      13.95    90.75    16.15    84.14     1.28    26.62     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.10P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    45   73  +14      -0.86    46.70    -4.43    75.08     1.24    15.15     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         45   66   +5      -3.84    35.47    -7.06    67.63     1.33     5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   63   +1      -2.59    39.92    -6.96    66.12     1.83     1.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         45   60   +0      -6.99    24.75    -7.69    61.33     1.31    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       45   60  -14       7.19    75.93     0.92    60.73     1.13   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         45   58   +1      -3.59    36.38     0.80    59.68     1.29     1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   57   +3      -9.52    18.36    -3.82    58.39     1.31     3.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        45   56   +2       0.84    54.09    11.28    57.24     1.28     1.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    44   55   -6      -0.17    49.88     1.32    58.14     1.85    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   54   -9       1.31    55.99     1.84    56.67     1.82    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      45   52  -19       1.61    57.05    -0.32    53.58     1.31   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        45   51   -2      -3.05    38.52    -4.71    52.09     1.25    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   50   -9      -4.42    33.59     2.00    51.04     1.22    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    45   49  -13      -9.98    16.65    -7.96    50.29     1.30   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.37R    0.00  
Crewe           45   48  -27       0.45    52.90    -3.65    49.00     1.23   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.85R    0.00  
Tranmere        45   47  -26      -5.31    30.38   -11.41    48.49     1.31   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.34R    0.00  
Carlisle        44   44  -30      -1.94    43.04    -7.03    45.34     1.48   -32.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.45R    1.84  
Stevenage       45   42  -24      -8.17    20.37    -6.64    42.69     1.07   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   41.61  
Shrewsbury      45   41  -21      -9.37    16.88    -4.48    42.16     1.27   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.54  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 April 2014, Burton_Albion 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         45   81  +30       2.74    60.21     6.37    82.75     1.29    30.55    59.90   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   81  +22       9.12    80.88     7.15    82.70     1.31    22.48    27.34   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           45   80  +24       2.38    58.61     1.10    81.77     1.27    24.54    12.76   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       45   76  +15       9.65    82.26     7.99    76.99     1.21    14.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.53P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   72   +6       9.27    81.92     3.76    73.07     1.22     5.63     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.22P    0.00     0.00  
York                 45   70  +11       8.11    79.29     9.54    70.95     1.18    10.46     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.25P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   69  +16      -2.19    41.41     2.29    70.63     1.28    16.37     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   62   +5      -1.47    44.57     1.74    63.43     1.28     5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   59   -7       2.66    61.04    -0.65    60.08     1.24    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   58   +8     -10.32    16.42    -1.75    59.53     1.32     8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   58  -10      -6.15    28.41   -13.76    59.65     1.30    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   57   -7       0.36    51.92    -0.46    58.20     1.27    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   57  -10       4.48    67.67     2.70    58.18     1.26   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   56   -7       2.52    60.51     4.12    57.18     1.27    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   55   -4       3.09    62.56     9.92    56.05     1.25    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   55   -9      -4.10    34.95    -5.84    56.52     1.30    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   54   -3      -2.66    40.13     3.49    55.54     1.31    -2.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           45   53   -4      -9.41    18.43    -5.75    54.52     1.30    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   53  -12      -2.73    39.98    -3.74    54.21     1.28   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   52   -5      -9.10    18.84    -4.56    53.20     1.26    -5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   50  -10      -5.36    30.25    -1.90    51.54     1.30    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.39R    0.00  
Northampton          45   50  -17      -4.38    33.65    -7.69    51.27     1.27   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.86R    0.00  
Wycombe              45   47  -11      -9.57    17.05    -4.74    48.32     1.28   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.75R   36.69  
Torquay              45   45  -21      -7.90    21.40    -9.34    46.39     1.29   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   63.31  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.86    79.19    17.97   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.18    66.03    14.65    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    31.59P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.02    78.26     9.76    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.42P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.44    55.73    -1.46    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.70P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.73    67.10    12.47    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.30P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.43    74.05    10.89    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   74   +8       0.73    52.78    -7.76    74.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   72   -4      12.88    89.45     3.52    72.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.43    44.41    -7.82    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.66    80.35     3.94    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -4.15    34.38     1.44    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   66   -6      10.11    83.71     5.21    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       3.03    62.26     2.79    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   65   -7       8.36    80.27     2.41    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.52    40.77    -1.49    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       2.05    58.30     6.06    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -11.91    12.10   -12.12    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.55    48.45    -1.94    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.71    11.19    -9.51    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.76    22.07   -12.80    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       1.76    57.84     0.91    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.40    19.77    -7.88    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.25    29.49    -7.78    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.74     0.14   -21.47    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10