Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 27 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 April 2014, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        36   80  +50       7.63    81.88     9.89    84.64     1.56    53.30    47.64    86.77   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          36   78  +43       5.35    73.55     6.29    82.86     1.46    46.51     6.61    38.30    99.86   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   77  +58       0.45    51.11     8.29    83.74     1.87    62.78    45.75    74.93    99.78   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   70  +21       7.04    79.53    -2.37    76.53     2.07    24.89     0.00     0.00     0.36    93.84   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   69  +21       7.92    81.85     3.93    71.87     1.81    21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.00    98.68     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   66   +3       9.98    87.15    -6.20    69.59     1.81     4.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    82.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   60  +20      -5.91    23.83    -8.56    66.38     2.04    23.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.02     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   52   +7       2.54    61.58     8.57    54.24     1.81     6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        35   46  -15       4.87    72.16    -2.44    48.88     1.84   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   44  -11       2.08    60.54     0.87    46.88     1.79   -10.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   43  -15       7.77    83.03     6.80    44.74     1.63   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   39   -1      -8.38    16.57     3.64    41.92     1.85    -0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   37   -9      -0.43    49.07     7.64    39.54     1.95   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         36   37  -11      -6.39    23.09    -0.76    38.58     1.52   -13.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
West_Brom        35   36  -12      -7.34    19.68    -2.57    39.47     2.11   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      35   35  -17      -3.85    32.78    -1.23    37.61     1.86   -20.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.65R    0.00  
Sunderland       35   32  -20      -7.16    19.34    -4.64    35.36     2.09   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.77R    1.05  
Norwich          36   32  -32      -3.36    34.84    -7.93    33.09     1.38   -35.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.15R   10.66  
Fulham           36   31  -42      -3.69    33.15   -13.76    33.59     1.78   -42.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.24R   16.70  
Cardiff          36   30  -38      -1.18    45.33    -5.45    31.33     1.50   -40.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.81R   71.59  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Birmingham 1 3 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       45   99  +39      17.34    96.10     8.90   101.34     1.09    40.53   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         45   92  +35      15.54    93.88    13.31    93.28     1.29    34.88     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   84  +32       9.58    82.56    12.75    85.55     1.33    32.25     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.04P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   77  +15       5.15    69.08     0.12    78.75     1.28    15.54     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.91P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   70  +14      -2.48    40.59    -2.15    71.45     1.31    14.12     0.00     0.00    74.52    17.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           44   70  +13      -1.03    45.82    -2.80    72.83     1.86    13.14     0.00     0.00    85.23    21.24P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        45   69  +14      -1.92    42.53     0.54    70.34     1.28    13.98     0.00     0.00    38.66     9.31P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   67   +7       1.33    55.27     1.23    68.40     1.31     7.06     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     45   66   +2       7.59    77.27     7.79    67.39     1.31     2.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   65   +5       4.08    65.84     5.96    66.63     1.31     5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   65   +4       1.15    54.59     0.97    66.37     1.29     4.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   61   +9      -2.95    38.84     5.50    62.64     1.30     9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         44   60  +15      -9.85    16.56     0.56    63.58     1.82    16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          45   58   -1      -6.56    26.15    -5.11    59.77     1.31    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   56   -8      -1.45    44.59    -1.17    57.21     1.30    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   53   -1      -5.90    28.26     3.39    54.11     1.26    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   50  -10      -4.01    35.08     1.68    50.80     1.16   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       45   46  -25      -7.22    23.61   -12.88    47.58     1.29   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Charlton        44   45  -25      -5.73    28.02   -11.72    47.28     1.78   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.43R    0.00  
Millwall        45   45  -29      -3.44    36.67    -9.19    46.35     1.31   -29.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.86R    0.00  
Doncaster       45   44  -30      -0.12    50.62    -4.14    44.48     0.92   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.80R    0.00  
Birmingham      44   43  -15     -13.54     8.74    -8.53    45.23     1.79   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.36R    0.00  
Barnsley        45   39  -32      -6.16    26.27    -6.51    39.97     1.19   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.99  
Yeovil          45   37  -28      -5.92    27.35     1.49    38.09     1.24   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.01  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Bradford 2 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   45  100  +55       7.79    78.64     8.43   102.48     1.00    56.88   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   91  +27      15.90    93.94     7.17    93.07     1.21    28.01     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   85  +27      12.34    88.83    10.85    86.77     1.30    27.58     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.75P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   45   83  +38       6.58    73.91    16.01    84.40     1.31    38.04     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.52P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   83  +27      13.77    90.20    15.84    84.14     1.28    26.63     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.73P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    45   73  +14      -0.83    46.84    -4.44    75.08     1.24    15.16     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         45   66   +5      -3.82    35.52    -6.98    67.62     1.32     5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   63   +1      -2.71    39.61    -7.12    66.15     1.83     1.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         45   60   +0      -6.80    25.52    -7.42    61.34     1.31    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       45   60  -14       7.19    75.90     0.92    60.73     1.13   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         45   58   +1      -3.71    36.22     0.61    59.70     1.29     1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   57   +3      -9.63    18.16    -4.01    58.39     1.31     3.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        45   56   +2       0.74    53.59    11.12    57.26     1.28     1.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    44   55   -6      -0.31    49.34     1.13    58.15     1.84    -5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   54   -9       1.58    56.79     2.16    56.65     1.82    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      45   52  -19       1.54    56.65    -0.41    53.56     1.31   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        45   51   -2      -2.90    39.26    -4.46    52.07     1.25    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   50   -9      -4.43    33.30     2.01    51.03     1.22    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    45   49  -13     -10.17    16.30    -8.20    50.30     1.30   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.19R    0.00  
Crewe           45   48  -27       0.48    52.94    -3.61    48.99     1.22   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.70R    0.00  
Tranmere        45   47  -26      -5.32    30.30   -11.41    48.47     1.30   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.56R    0.00  
Carlisle        44   44  -30      -1.74    43.75    -6.61    45.33     1.46   -32.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.55R    1.94  
Stevenage       45   42  -24      -8.31    20.42    -6.88    42.70     1.08   -25.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   41.59  
Shrewsbury      45   41  -21      -9.54    16.42    -4.69    42.18     1.28   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.47  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 April 2014, Burton_Albion 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         45   81  +30       2.84    60.79     6.49    82.76     1.29    30.55    60.02   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   81  +22       8.97    80.37     6.89    82.71     1.31    22.50    27.27   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           45   80  +24       2.46    58.90     1.13    81.76     1.27    24.54    12.71   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       45   76  +15       9.65    82.29     8.01    76.98     1.20    14.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.84P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   72   +6       9.00    81.22     3.46    73.07     1.21     5.63     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.30P    0.00     0.00  
York                 45   70  +11       8.24    79.71     9.69    70.96     1.18    10.46     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.03P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   69  +16      -2.07    41.95     2.45    70.64     1.28    16.37     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.83P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   62   +5      -1.66    43.87     1.55    63.44     1.28     5.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   59   -7       2.87    61.70    -0.42    60.08     1.24    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   58   +8     -10.22    16.96    -1.59    59.52     1.32     8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   58  -10      -6.24    28.13   -13.89    59.64     1.30    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   57   -7       0.75    53.60     0.11    58.18     1.27    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   57  -10       4.44    67.50     2.66    58.18     1.26   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   56   -7       2.63    60.82     4.35    57.16     1.26    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   55   -4       2.95    62.10     9.77    56.05     1.25    -4.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   55   -9      -4.29    33.89    -6.12    56.54     1.30    -8.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   54   -3      -2.89    39.43     3.20    55.56     1.30    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           45   53   -4      -9.58    17.81    -5.99    54.53     1.30    -3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   53  -12      -2.90    39.20    -3.94    54.23     1.29   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   52   -5      -9.08    18.82    -4.52    53.19     1.26    -5.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   50  -10      -5.56    29.42    -2.17    51.55     1.30    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.29R    0.00  
Northampton          45   50  -17      -4.20    34.23    -7.40    51.26     1.26   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.99R    0.00  
Wycombe              45   47  -11      -9.45    17.64    -4.64    48.33     1.28   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.72R   36.03  
Torquay              45   45  -21      -7.72    21.89    -9.07    46.37     1.28   -20.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   63.97  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.77    78.78    17.85   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.02    65.26    14.37    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    31.70P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.19    78.81    10.06    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.22P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.54    56.00    -1.31    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.75P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.81    67.68    12.65    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.34P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.41    73.89    10.85    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   74   +8       0.74    52.77    -7.77    74.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   72   -4      12.93    89.80     3.61    72.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.47    44.58    -7.94    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.70    80.50     3.99    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -4.21    34.37     1.26    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   66   -6       9.93    83.27     4.94    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       3.08    62.16     2.85    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   65   -7       8.43    80.36     2.45    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.65    39.85    -1.69    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       1.93    58.14     5.84    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -11.96    11.84   -12.16    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.47    48.66    -1.76    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.54    11.55    -9.17    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.85    21.69   -12.94    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       1.98    58.99     1.23    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.56    19.36    -8.15    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.14    29.86    -7.56    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.73     0.13   -21.51    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10