Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 27 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 April 2014, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 36 80 +50 7.63 81.88 9.89 84.64 1.56 53.30 47.64 86.77 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 36 78 +43 5.35 73.55 6.29 82.86 1.46 46.51 6.61 38.30 99.86 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 35 77 +58 0.45 51.11 8.29 83.74 1.87 62.78 45.75 74.93 99.78 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 35 70 +21 7.04 79.53 -2.37 76.53 2.07 24.89 0.00 0.00 0.36 93.84 100.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 36 69 +21 7.92 81.85 3.93 71.87 1.81 21.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 98.68 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 36 66 +3 9.98 87.15 -6.20 69.59 1.81 4.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 82.31 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 35 60 +20 -5.91 23.83 -8.56 66.38 2.04 23.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.02 0.00 0.00 Southampton 36 52 +7 2.54 61.58 8.57 54.24 1.81 6.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 35 46 -15 4.87 72.16 -2.44 48.88 1.84 -17.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 36 44 -11 2.08 60.54 0.87 46.88 1.79 -10.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 36 43 -15 7.77 83.03 6.80 44.74 1.63 -16.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 36 39 -1 -8.38 16.57 3.64 41.92 1.85 -0.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hull 35 37 -9 -0.43 49.07 7.64 39.54 1.95 -11.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 36 37 -11 -6.39 23.09 -0.76 38.58 1.52 -13.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 West_Brom 35 36 -12 -7.34 19.68 -2.57 39.47 2.11 -13.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34R 0.00 Aston_Villa 35 35 -17 -3.85 32.78 -1.23 37.61 1.86 -20.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.65R 0.00 Sunderland 35 32 -20 -7.16 19.34 -4.64 35.36 2.09 -21.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.77R 1.05 Norwich 36 32 -32 -3.36 34.84 -7.93 33.09 1.38 -35.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.15R 10.66 Fulham 36 31 -42 -3.69 33.15 -13.76 33.59 1.78 -42.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.24R 16.70 Cardiff 36 30 -38 -1.18 45.33 -5.45 31.33 1.50 -40.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.81R 71.59Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Birmingham 1 3 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 45 99 +39 17.34 96.10 8.90 101.34 1.09 40.53 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 45 92 +35 15.54 93.88 13.31 93.28 1.29 34.88 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Derby 45 84 +32 9.58 82.56 12.75 85.55 1.33 32.25 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.04P 0.00 0.00 QPR 45 77 +15 5.15 69.08 0.12 78.75 1.28 15.54 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.91P 0.00 0.00 Reading 45 70 +14 -2.48 40.59 -2.15 71.45 1.31 14.12 0.00 0.00 74.52 17.19P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 44 70 +13 -1.03 45.82 -2.80 72.83 1.86 13.14 0.00 0.00 85.23 21.24P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 45 69 +14 -1.92 42.53 0.54 70.34 1.28 13.98 0.00 0.00 38.66 9.31P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 45 67 +7 1.33 55.27 1.23 68.40 1.31 7.06 0.00 0.00 1.59 0.31P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 45 66 +2 7.59 77.27 7.79 67.39 1.31 2.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 45 65 +5 4.08 65.84 5.96 66.63 1.31 5.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 45 65 +4 1.15 54.59 0.97 66.37 1.29 4.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 45 61 +9 -2.95 38.84 5.50 62.64 1.30 9.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 44 60 +15 -9.85 16.56 0.56 63.58 1.82 16.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bolton 45 58 -1 -6.56 26.15 -5.11 59.77 1.31 -0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 45 56 -8 -1.45 44.59 -1.17 57.21 1.30 -8.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 45 53 -1 -5.90 28.26 3.39 54.11 1.26 -1.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 45 50 -10 -4.01 35.08 1.68 50.80 1.16 -10.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 45 46 -25 -7.22 23.61 -12.88 47.58 1.29 -24.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.55R 0.00 Charlton 44 45 -25 -5.73 28.02 -11.72 47.28 1.78 -25.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.43R 0.00 Millwall 45 45 -29 -3.44 36.67 -9.19 46.35 1.31 -29.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.86R 0.00 Doncaster 45 44 -30 -0.12 50.62 -4.14 44.48 0.92 -31.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.80R 0.00 Birmingham 44 43 -15 -13.54 8.74 -8.53 45.23 1.79 -15.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.36R 0.00 Barnsley 45 39 -32 -6.16 26.27 -6.51 39.97 1.19 -32.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 20.99 Yeovil 45 37 -28 -5.92 27.35 1.49 38.09 1.24 -28.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 79.01League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Bradford 2 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 45 100 +55 7.79 78.64 8.43 102.48 1.00 56.88 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 45 91 +27 15.90 93.94 7.17 93.07 1.21 28.01 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Preston 45 85 +27 12.34 88.83 10.85 86.77 1.30 27.58 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.75P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 45 83 +38 6.58 73.91 16.01 84.40 1.31 38.04 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.52P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 45 83 +27 13.77 90.20 15.84 84.14 1.28 26.63 0.00 0.00 100.00 18.73P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 45 73 +14 -0.83 46.84 -4.44 75.08 1.24 15.16 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.00P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 45 66 +5 -3.82 35.52 -6.98 67.62 1.32 5.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 44 63 +1 -2.71 39.61 -7.12 66.15 1.83 1.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 45 60 +0 -6.80 25.52 -7.42 61.34 1.31 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 45 60 -14 7.19 75.90 0.92 60.73 1.13 -15.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 45 58 +1 -3.71 36.22 0.61 59.70 1.29 1.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 45 57 +3 -9.63 18.16 -4.01 58.39 1.31 3.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bradford 45 56 +2 0.74 53.59 11.12 57.26 1.28 1.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 44 55 -6 -0.31 49.34 1.13 58.15 1.84 -5.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 44 54 -9 1.58 56.79 2.16 56.65 1.82 -9.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 45 52 -19 1.54 56.65 -0.41 53.56 1.31 -18.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 45 51 -2 -2.90 39.26 -4.46 52.07 1.25 -2.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colchester 45 50 -9 -4.43 33.30 2.01 51.03 1.22 -9.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 45 49 -13 -10.17 16.30 -8.20 50.30 1.30 -13.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.19R 0.00 Crewe 45 48 -27 0.48 52.94 -3.61 48.99 1.22 -27.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.70R 0.00 Tranmere 45 47 -26 -5.32 30.30 -11.41 48.47 1.30 -25.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.56R 0.00 Carlisle 44 44 -30 -1.74 43.75 -6.61 45.33 1.46 -32.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.55R 1.94 Stevenage 45 42 -24 -8.31 20.42 -6.88 42.70 1.08 -25.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 41.59 Shrewsbury 45 41 -21 -9.54 16.42 -4.69 42.18 1.28 -21.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 56.47 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 April 2014, Burton_Albion 0 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 45 81 +30 2.84 60.79 6.49 82.76 1.29 30.55 60.02 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 45 81 +22 8.97 80.37 6.89 82.71 1.31 22.50 27.27 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 45 80 +24 2.46 58.90 1.13 81.76 1.27 24.54 12.71 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 45 76 +15 9.65 82.29 8.01 76.98 1.20 14.45 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.84P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 45 72 +6 9.00 81.22 3.46 73.07 1.21 5.63 0.00 0.00 100.00 21.30P 0.00 0.00 York 45 70 +11 8.24 79.71 9.69 70.96 1.18 10.46 0.00 0.00 100.00 21.03P 0.00 0.00 Southend 45 69 +16 -2.07 41.95 2.45 70.64 1.28 16.37 0.00 0.00 100.00 32.83P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 45 62 +5 -1.66 43.87 1.55 63.44 1.28 5.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 45 59 -7 2.87 61.70 -0.42 60.08 1.24 -7.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 45 58 +8 -10.22 16.96 -1.59 59.52 1.32 8.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 45 58 -10 -6.24 28.13 -13.89 59.64 1.30 -9.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 45 57 -7 0.75 53.60 0.11 58.18 1.27 -7.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 45 57 -10 4.44 67.50 2.66 58.18 1.26 -10.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 45 56 -7 2.63 60.82 4.35 57.16 1.26 -7.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 45 55 -4 2.95 62.10 9.77 56.05 1.25 -4.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 45 55 -9 -4.29 33.89 -6.12 56.54 1.30 -8.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 45 54 -3 -2.89 39.43 3.20 55.56 1.30 -2.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 45 53 -4 -9.58 17.81 -5.99 54.53 1.30 -3.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 45 53 -12 -2.90 39.20 -3.94 54.23 1.29 -12.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 45 52 -5 -9.08 18.82 -4.52 53.19 1.26 -5.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 45 50 -10 -5.56 29.42 -2.17 51.55 1.30 -9.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.29R 0.00 Northampton 45 50 -17 -4.20 34.23 -7.40 51.26 1.26 -17.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.99R 0.00 Wycombe 45 47 -11 -9.45 17.64 -4.64 48.33 1.28 -11.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.72R 36.03 Torquay 45 45 -21 -7.72 21.89 -9.07 46.37 1.28 -20.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 63.97Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 46 101 +67 7.77 78.78 17.85 101.00 0.00 67.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 82 +37 4.02 65.26 14.37 82.00 0.00 37.00 0.00 100.00 31.70P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 79 +22 8.19 78.81 10.06 79.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 100.00 20.22P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 78 +19 1.54 56.00 -1.31 78.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 100.00 28.75P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 46 77 +27 4.81 67.68 12.65 77.00 0.00 27.00 0.00 100.00 19.34P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 74 +18 6.41 73.89 10.85 74.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 46 74 +8 0.74 52.77 -7.77 74.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 46 72 -4 12.93 89.80 3.61 72.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 46 70 +5 -1.47 44.58 -7.94 70.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 68 -3 8.70 80.50 3.99 68.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 67 +14 -4.21 34.37 1.26 67.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 46 66 -6 9.93 83.27 4.94 66.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 46 65 +1 3.08 62.16 2.85 65.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 46 65 -7 8.43 80.36 2.45 65.00 0.00 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 61 -1 -2.65 39.85 -1.69 61.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 46 60 -2 1.93 58.14 5.84 60.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 59 +0 -11.96 11.84 -12.16 59.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 46 53 -18 -0.47 48.66 -1.76 53.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 51 +7 -12.54 11.55 -9.17 51.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hereford 46 51 -19 -7.85 21.69 -12.94 51.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 51 -21 1.98 58.99 1.23 51.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dartford 46 44 -25 -8.56 19.36 -8.15 44.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Tamworth 46 39 -38 -5.14 29.86 -7.56 39.00 0.00 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Hyde_United 46 10 -81 -21.73 0.13 -21.51 10.00 0.00 -81.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10