Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 26 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Fulham 2 2 Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        35   80  +52       8.25    84.59    10.38    86.28     2.06    55.73    79.43    96.39   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   75  +41       4.19    69.02     5.10    80.95     1.99    44.02     2.66    21.99    96.08   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   74  +56      -0.26    47.27     7.70    83.02     2.20    62.20    17.91    81.51    98.95    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   70  +21       7.00    79.42    -2.41    76.54     2.07    24.91     0.00     0.11     4.97    93.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   69  +21       7.98    82.13     4.05    71.89     1.81    21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.94    98.55     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   66   +3      10.03    87.18    -6.10    69.61     1.80     4.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    81.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   60  +20      -5.90    23.79    -8.44    66.42     2.03    23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.50     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   52   +7       2.44    61.23     8.54    54.25     1.80     6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        35   46  -15       5.17    73.29    -2.00    48.82     1.84   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   44  -11       2.04    60.12     0.93    46.88     1.80   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   43  -13       8.15    84.53     7.20    45.26     1.91   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   39   -1      -8.17    17.44     4.08    41.95     1.86    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   37   -9      -0.29    49.68     7.97    39.52     1.95   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham         36   37  -11      -6.49    22.42    -0.87    38.57     1.53   -13.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom        35   36  -12      -7.31    19.51    -2.59    39.51     2.12   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      35   35  -17      -3.90    32.47    -1.24    37.62     1.86   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.73R    0.00  
Norwich          36   32  -32      -3.42    34.46    -7.99    33.09     1.37   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.78R   15.74  
Fulham           36   31  -42      -3.69    33.27   -13.81    33.58     1.78   -42.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.36R   21.33  
Cardiff          35   30  -34      -1.34    44.76    -4.30    32.35     1.97   -36.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.39R   46.99  
Sunderland       34   29  -24      -7.21    18.64    -6.19    34.06     2.46   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.48R   15.94  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Birmingham 1 3 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       45   99  +39      16.90    95.51     8.15   101.35     1.08    40.55   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         45   92  +35      15.47    93.54    13.30    93.28     1.29    34.88     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   84  +32       9.59    82.72    12.80    85.53     1.33    32.24     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.23P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   77  +15       5.22    69.26     0.24    78.75     1.28    15.53     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.89P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   70  +14      -2.46    40.57    -2.09    71.45     1.31    14.12     0.00     0.00    74.73    17.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           44   70  +13      -1.00    45.91    -2.73    72.84     1.86    13.17     0.00     0.00    85.33    20.79P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        45   69  +14      -1.72    43.10     0.77    70.34     1.28    13.98     0.00     0.00    38.50     9.22P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   67   +7       1.23    54.93     1.09    68.40     1.31     7.05     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     45   66   +2       7.34    76.15     7.39    67.39     1.32     2.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   65   +5       4.21    66.57     6.13    66.62     1.31     5.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   65   +4       1.12    54.64     0.95    66.37     1.29     4.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   61   +9      -3.19    38.16     5.12    62.65     1.30     9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         44   60  +15      -9.93    16.47     0.44    63.60     1.83    16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          45   58   -1      -6.54    26.27    -5.16    59.76     1.31    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   56   -8      -1.44    44.88    -1.09    57.23     1.30    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   53   -1      -5.76    28.65     3.60    54.12     1.26    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   50  -10      -3.92    35.21     1.85    50.79     1.15   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       45   46  -25      -6.93    24.66   -12.45    47.56     1.29   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Charlton        44   45  -25      -5.88    27.45   -11.91    47.28     1.78   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47R    0.00  
Millwall        45   45  -29      -3.38    36.95    -9.05    46.35     1.31   -29.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.75R    0.00  
Doncaster       45   44  -30       0.07    51.48    -3.90    44.47     0.91   -31.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.91R    0.00  
Birmingham      44   43  -15     -13.43     8.98    -8.41    45.23     1.79   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.36R    0.00  
Barnsley        45   39  -32      -6.12    26.39    -6.52    39.97     1.19   -32.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   21.06  
Yeovil          45   37  -28      -5.95    27.62     1.48    38.09     1.24   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.94  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Bradford 2 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   45  100  +55       7.48    77.78     8.00   102.49     0.99    56.90   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   91  +27      16.03    94.39     7.44    93.06     1.21    28.01     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   85  +27      12.28    88.50    10.71    86.75     1.30    27.58     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   45   83  +38       6.43    73.52    15.79    84.38     1.31    38.02     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   83  +27      13.99    90.56    16.30    84.13     1.28    26.62     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.17P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    45   73  +14      -0.72    47.12    -4.29    75.06     1.24    15.13     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.07P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         45   66   +5      -4.02    34.85    -7.26    67.63     1.32     5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   63   +1      -2.46    40.45    -6.77    66.11     1.84     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         45   60   +0      -7.18    24.27    -7.98    61.36     1.31    -0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       45   60  -14       6.83    75.02     0.39    60.75     1.14   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         45   58   +1      -3.69    36.12     0.60    59.70     1.29     1.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   57   +3      -9.57    18.21    -3.94    58.39     1.31     3.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        45   56   +2       0.82    53.81    11.31    57.25     1.28     1.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    44   55   -6      -0.31    49.38     1.14    58.13     1.84    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          44   54   -9       1.46    56.51     2.01    56.68     1.83    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      45   52  -19       1.64    57.21    -0.27    53.57     1.31   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry        45   51   -2      -3.07    38.44    -4.75    52.09     1.25    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester      45   50   -9      -4.24    34.21     2.33    51.03     1.22    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    45   49  -13      -9.85    17.04    -7.70    50.30     1.30   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.22R    0.00  
Crewe           45   48  -27       0.33    52.24    -3.92    49.00     1.23   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.60R    0.00  
Tranmere        45   47  -26      -5.11    30.88   -11.06    48.47     1.30   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.69R    0.00  
Carlisle        44   44  -30      -1.87    43.39    -6.88    45.34     1.47   -32.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.50R    1.85  
Stevenage       45   42  -24      -8.15    20.57    -6.68    42.71     1.08   -25.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   41.42  
Shrewsbury      45   41  -21      -9.40    16.87    -4.52    42.16     1.27   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.73  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 0 3 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             45   81  +22       9.09    80.79     7.08    82.70     1.31    22.48    46.88   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           45   80  +24       2.52    59.25     1.25    81.77     1.27    24.56    22.68   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   78  +28       1.99    57.42     5.57    81.28     1.84    28.78    30.43    92.39   100.00    95.04P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       45   76  +15       9.42    81.87     7.68    77.00     1.22    14.47     0.00     7.61   100.00    30.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   72   +8       9.64    82.94     4.47    74.25     1.76     7.40     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.38P    0.00     0.00  
York                 45   70  +11       8.57    80.69    10.10    70.95     1.18    10.44     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.55P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   69  +16      -2.11    41.99     2.41    70.62     1.28    16.35     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.19P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   62   +5      -1.58    43.99     1.55    63.43     1.29     5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   59   -7       2.42    60.15    -0.96    60.09     1.24    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   58   +8     -10.14    16.90    -1.48    59.53     1.31     8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   58  -10      -6.07    28.79   -13.61    59.64     1.30    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   57   -7       0.73    53.37     0.08    58.18     1.26    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   57  -10       4.36    67.25     2.54    58.18     1.26   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   56   -7       2.46    60.39     4.15    57.16     1.26    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   55   -4       3.10    62.65     9.97    56.05     1.25    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   55   -9      -4.21    34.32    -6.05    56.54     1.30    -8.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   54   -3      -2.86    39.57     3.20    55.56     1.30    -2.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           45   53   -4      -9.69    17.83    -6.11    54.52     1.30    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   53  -12      -2.34    41.23    -3.14    54.20     1.27   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   52   -5      -9.23    18.56    -4.77    53.20     1.27    -5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   50  -10      -5.49    29.77    -2.03    51.54     1.30    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.31R    0.00  
Northampton          45   50  -17      -4.52    33.01    -7.88    51.28     1.27   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              45   47  -11      -9.50    17.13    -4.67    48.31     1.28   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.68R   36.68  
Torquay              45   45  -21      -7.94    21.27    -9.37    46.39     1.29   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   63.32  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 April 2014, Aldershot 1 2 Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            46  101  +67       7.93    79.40    18.19   101.00     0.00    67.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   82  +37       4.10    65.61    14.56    82.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00    31.62P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   79  +22       8.02    78.32     9.80    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00    20.65P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   78  +19       1.51    55.52    -1.40    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    28.23P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   77  +27       4.37    65.89    11.92    77.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.51P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   74  +18       6.53    74.04    11.03    74.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   74   +8       0.69    52.46    -7.85    74.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   72   -4      13.00    89.73     3.65    72.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           46   70   +5      -1.44    44.57    -7.80    70.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   68   -3       8.48    80.00     3.70    68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   67  +14      -4.28    33.98     1.22    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        46   66   -6      10.06    83.87     5.15    66.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   65   +1       2.94    61.73     2.62    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         46   65   -7       8.48    80.53     2.56    65.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   61   -1      -2.45    40.74    -1.45    61.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   60   -2       1.96    57.77     5.85    60.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   59   +0     -12.09    11.55   -12.31    59.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   53  -18      -0.80    47.48    -2.30    53.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   51   +7     -12.46    11.43    -9.13    51.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         46   51  -19      -7.70    22.12   -12.65    51.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   51  -21       2.13    59.31     1.40    51.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         46   44  -25      -8.24    20.36    -7.68    44.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         46   39  -38      -5.23    29.66    -7.65    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      46   10  -81     -21.72     0.18   -21.44    10.00     0.00   -81.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10