Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 25 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Man_City 3 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 35 80 +52 8.23 84.34 10.41 86.28 2.07 55.75 79.40 96.36 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 35 75 +41 4.08 68.42 4.99 80.97 1.99 44.03 2.64 22.61 96.14 99.88 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 34 74 +56 -0.32 46.89 7.67 83.00 2.22 62.11 17.96 80.92 98.82 99.89 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 35 70 +21 6.94 79.10 -2.39 76.52 2.08 24.87 0.00 0.10 4.71 82.24 100.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 35 69 +23 8.89 85.06 5.37 73.43 2.25 23.42 0.00 0.01 0.33 17.95 99.83 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 35 63 +2 8.85 84.65 -6.35 68.06 2.25 3.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 68.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 34 57 +16 -5.77 24.36 -9.31 65.81 2.31 21.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.19 0.00 0.00 Southampton 35 49 +5 1.56 57.36 7.77 52.44 2.21 3.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 35 46 -15 5.02 72.63 -2.15 48.82 1.85 -17.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 35 44 -10 3.09 65.27 1.46 48.13 2.22 -9.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 35 43 -13 8.16 84.48 7.16 45.26 1.91 -16.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 35 37 -10 -5.48 25.83 -0.36 39.70 2.01 -12.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 Swansea 35 36 -4 -8.77 15.10 2.50 40.71 2.27 -3.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00 Hull 34 36 -9 0.04 51.39 7.69 39.71 2.34 -11.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.40R 0.00 Aston_Villa 34 35 -14 -3.58 33.64 -0.13 38.63 2.26 -17.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.91R 0.00 West_Brom 34 33 -13 -8.41 15.33 -2.63 38.14 2.51 -13.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.00R 0.15 Norwich 35 32 -28 -3.77 32.83 -7.24 33.52 1.64 -32.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.46R 13.90 Cardiff 35 30 -34 -1.35 44.55 -4.37 32.35 1.96 -36.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.98R 49.52 Fulham 35 30 -42 -3.11 35.62 -13.80 34.09 2.22 -42.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.75R 19.71 Sunderland 34 29 -24 -7.20 18.56 -6.28 34.11 2.48 -24.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.25R 16.72Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 25 April 2014, Brighton 2 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 44 96 +37 16.36 95.20 7.71 100.11 1.71 39.10 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 44 89 +34 14.40 92.67 13.00 92.16 1.81 34.62 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Derby 44 81 +30 9.09 81.59 12.45 84.19 1.88 30.66 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.41P 0.00 0.00 QPR 44 76 +15 5.75 71.37 0.47 79.81 1.76 16.50 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.97P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 43 70 +15 -0.41 48.35 -1.88 74.88 2.24 16.12 0.00 0.00 97.39 25.12P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 45 69 +14 -1.82 43.04 0.64 70.30 1.28 13.94 0.00 0.00 46.91 11.34P 0.00 0.00 Reading 44 67 +12 -2.87 39.15 -2.29 70.19 1.84 12.65 0.00 0.00 43.20 10.10P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 44 65 +7 1.49 55.90 2.33 67.74 1.84 6.99 0.00 0.00 7.97 1.32P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 44 65 +6 4.73 68.38 5.99 67.49 1.76 5.63 0.00 0.00 3.07 0.45P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 44 64 +5 0.64 52.72 0.60 66.78 1.84 5.08 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.18P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 44 63 -1 7.19 76.06 6.61 65.79 1.87 -0.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 43 60 +17 -9.47 17.63 1.06 64.72 2.24 17.89 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 44 58 +7 -3.44 36.85 5.09 61.57 1.81 8.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bolton 44 55 -3 -7.47 22.95 -6.12 57.96 1.85 -2.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 44 53 +1 -5.35 29.83 4.10 55.62 1.83 0.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 44 53 -10 -2.40 40.88 -2.10 55.32 1.82 -10.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 44 50 -8 -3.31 37.59 2.72 51.76 1.68 -9.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 43 45 -23 -5.20 29.92 -11.07 48.63 2.21 -23.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.28R 0.00 Doncaster 44 44 -28 0.29 52.39 -3.70 45.48 1.53 -30.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.44R 0.00 Millwall 44 44 -29 -3.25 37.22 -9.30 46.07 1.69 -29.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.43R 0.00 Birmingham 43 43 -13 -12.91 9.64 -7.75 46.93 2.24 -13.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.61R 0.00 Blackpool 44 43 -27 -8.11 20.36 -13.65 45.28 1.70 -27.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.00R 0.00 Barnsley 44 39 -30 -5.89 27.00 -6.33 40.79 1.66 -31.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.24R 15.47 Yeovil 45 37 -28 -5.96 27.00 1.41 38.11 1.25 -28.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 84.53League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 25 April 2014, Port_Vale 1 2 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 44 99 +55 8.18 80.36 8.39 103.42 1.63 57.75 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 44 91 +30 16.15 94.78 8.70 94.81 1.76 31.53 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 44 82 +27 14.55 91.86 16.50 84.71 1.86 26.93 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.14P 0.00 0.00 Preston 44 82 +25 11.73 87.71 10.36 85.78 1.81 26.55 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.65P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 44 80 +36 5.87 71.49 15.31 83.44 1.81 37.06 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.11P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 44 70 +12 -1.33 44.85 -4.65 73.71 1.81 13.51 0.00 0.00 96.56 24.29P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 44 66 +7 -3.54 36.13 -6.56 69.17 1.87 7.62 0.00 0.00 3.44 0.81P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 44 63 +1 -2.58 39.86 -6.95 66.14 1.84 1.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 45 60 -14 7.06 75.62 0.74 60.76 1.14 -15.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 44 59 +0 -6.47 26.37 -7.56 61.50 1.84 -0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 44 58 +2 -2.75 39.78 0.94 61.20 1.83 2.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 44 56 +3 -9.15 19.22 -3.77 59.42 1.83 4.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 43 55 -5 0.76 53.68 1.66 59.38 2.26 -4.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bradford 44 53 +1 -0.02 50.46 11.37 55.69 1.81 0.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 44 52 -17 2.10 58.93 0.13 54.31 1.74 -17.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 43 51 -10 0.15 51.42 1.59 55.01 2.24 -10.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Coventry 44 50 -2 -2.76 39.42 -4.83 51.92 1.72 -3.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Colchester 44 47 -12 -4.91 31.16 0.62 49.01 1.72 -12.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.89R 0.00 Tranmere 44 47 -24 -5.05 31.09 -11.21 49.23 1.72 -24.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.06R 0.00 Crewe 44 47 -27 0.16 51.65 -4.57 48.77 1.69 -28.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.48R 0.00 Notts_County 44 46 -15 -10.80 14.36 -8.65 48.53 1.84 -15.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.07R 0.00 Carlisle 43 44 -29 -0.83 47.39 -6.40 46.72 1.97 -31.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.73R 0.61 Shrewsbury 44 41 -19 -8.87 17.93 -4.02 43.28 1.80 -19.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.74R 13.82 Stevenage 44 39 -25 -9.34 16.52 -7.13 40.91 1.66 -26.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 85.57 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Scunthorpe 44 80 +26 3.02 61.06 1.98 83.45 1.82 27.00 63.86 99.84 100.00 99.89P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 44 78 +28 2.00 57.69 5.61 81.28 1.83 28.78 23.26 93.45 100.00 95.84P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 44 78 +20 8.49 79.39 6.56 81.43 1.85 21.01 12.79 96.78 100.00 97.72P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 44 75 +15 9.77 83.13 7.67 77.34 1.78 14.44 0.09 9.92 100.00 32.85P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 44 72 +8 9.52 82.60 4.33 74.26 1.76 7.40 0.00 0.00 100.00 21.66P 0.00 0.00 Southend 44 68 +16 -1.71 43.35 2.46 70.99 1.84 16.38 0.00 0.00 99.95 31.66P 0.00 0.00 York 44 67 +10 7.43 77.82 9.80 69.58 1.74 9.80 0.00 0.00 94.31 19.06P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 44 62 +6 -0.46 48.51 2.23 65.12 1.83 6.55 0.00 0.00 5.74 1.31P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 44 58 -7 2.99 62.73 -0.65 60.41 1.78 -7.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 44 57 +8 -9.83 17.29 -1.64 60.14 1.86 8.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 44 57 -4 0.72 53.48 1.09 59.77 1.81 -3.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 44 57 -8 5.02 69.67 3.40 59.71 1.81 -8.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 44 57 -10 -5.81 28.89 -13.89 59.79 1.81 -9.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 44 56 -4 2.92 62.38 5.74 58.70 1.82 -4.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 44 55 -3 3.70 64.84 10.01 57.13 1.76 -3.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 44 55 -7 -3.57 36.63 -5.09 57.53 1.79 -7.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 44 52 -4 -9.11 18.80 -5.85 54.90 1.83 -3.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 44 51 -4 -3.87 35.28 3.04 53.59 1.80 -4.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Morecambe 44 50 -15 -3.00 38.79 -4.73 52.40 1.80 -15.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.27R 0.00 Exeter 44 49 -7 -10.27 15.34 -5.87 51.28 1.79 -7.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.68R 0.00 Wycombe 44 47 -10 -8.49 19.66 -4.27 49.86 1.83 -9.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.50R 2.78 Bristol_Rovers 44 47 -11 -6.86 24.76 -2.65 49.71 1.82 -10.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.35R 1.24 Northampton 44 47 -20 -4.88 31.45 -9.13 49.36 1.77 -20.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.21R 3.45 Torquay 44 42 -23 -8.69 18.59 -10.15 44.57 1.81 -23.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.99R 92.53Conference (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Barnet 1 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 45 98 +66 7.11 77.08 18.36 100.46 1.03 67.94 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 45 82 +39 4.70 68.08 15.36 83.27 1.28 38.88 0.00 100.00 32.67P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 45 77 +19 1.93 57.71 -1.25 78.27 1.27 18.89 0.00 100.00 28.11P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 45 76 +27 5.22 69.06 12.66 77.67 1.32 27.44 0.00 100.00 20.32P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 45 76 +20 7.28 76.70 9.22 77.45 1.30 20.12 0.00 91.74 17.50P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 45 73 +18 6.87 75.70 11.03 74.44 1.29 18.11 0.00 8.27 1.41P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 45 73 +8 0.81 52.98 -8.31 74.10 1.27 7.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 45 72 -3 13.78 91.26 3.84 73.64 1.33 -2.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 45 69 +5 -1.39 44.76 -8.20 70.28 1.28 4.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 45 66 +14 -3.53 36.40 1.75 67.68 1.31 14.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 45 65 -5 7.66 77.99 2.90 66.39 1.31 -4.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 45 65 -6 10.15 84.17 4.77 66.23 1.28 -6.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 45 64 +1 3.53 64.13 2.97 65.44 1.30 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 45 62 -9 7.87 79.08 2.05 63.72 1.30 -8.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 45 58 +0 -11.73 12.05 -12.31 59.07 1.25 -0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 45 58 -2 -4.11 34.27 -2.37 59.13 1.28 -2.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 45 57 -3 1.22 55.27 5.95 58.77 1.30 -2.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 45 53 -17 0.32 51.92 -1.84 53.99 1.23 -17.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 45 51 +8 -11.49 13.06 -8.75 53.01 1.24 8.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 45 50 -21 2.42 60.41 1.17 51.50 1.31 -20.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hereford 45 48 -20 -9.01 18.21 -13.17 48.76 1.11 -20.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dartford 45 44 -23 -7.79 21.16 -7.14 45.02 1.22 -23.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Tamworth 45 39 -36 -4.53 31.83 -7.11 40.36 1.31 -36.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Hyde_United 45 10 -80 -21.22 0.20 -21.57 10.41 0.88 -81.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10