Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 25 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Man_City 3 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        35   80  +52       8.23    84.34    10.41    86.28     2.07    55.75    79.40    96.36   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   75  +41       4.08    68.42     4.99    80.97     1.99    44.03     2.64    22.61    96.14    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   74  +56      -0.32    46.89     7.67    83.00     2.22    62.11    17.96    80.92    98.82    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   70  +21       6.94    79.10    -2.39    76.52     2.08    24.87     0.00     0.10     4.71    82.24   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   69  +23       8.89    85.06     5.37    73.43     2.25    23.42     0.00     0.01     0.33    17.95    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   63   +2       8.85    84.65    -6.35    68.06     2.25     3.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    68.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   57  +16      -5.77    24.36    -9.31    65.81     2.31    21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.19     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   49   +5       1.56    57.36     7.77    52.44     2.21     3.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        35   46  -15       5.02    72.63    -2.15    48.82     1.85   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   44  -10       3.09    65.27     1.46    48.13     2.22    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   43  -13       8.16    84.48     7.16    45.26     1.91   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   37  -10      -5.48    25.83    -0.36    39.70     2.01   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Swansea          35   36   -4      -8.77    15.10     2.50    40.71     2.27    -3.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Hull             34   36   -9       0.04    51.39     7.69    39.71     2.34   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      34   35  -14      -3.58    33.64    -0.13    38.63     2.26   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.91R    0.00  
West_Brom        34   33  -13      -8.41    15.33    -2.63    38.14     2.51   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.00R    0.15  
Norwich          35   32  -28      -3.77    32.83    -7.24    33.52     1.64   -32.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.46R   13.90  
Cardiff          35   30  -34      -1.35    44.55    -4.37    32.35     1.96   -36.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.98R   49.52  
Fulham           35   30  -42      -3.11    35.62   -13.80    34.09     2.22   -42.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.75R   19.71  
Sunderland       34   29  -24      -7.20    18.56    -6.28    34.11     2.48   -24.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.25R   16.72  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 25 April 2014, Brighton 2 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       44   96  +37      16.36    95.20     7.71   100.11     1.71    39.10   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         44   89  +34      14.40    92.67    13.00    92.16     1.81    34.62     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   81  +30       9.09    81.59    12.45    84.19     1.88    30.66     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.41P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   76  +15       5.75    71.37     0.47    79.81     1.76    16.50     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           43   70  +15      -0.41    48.35    -1.88    74.88     2.24    16.12     0.00     0.00    97.39    25.12P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        45   69  +14      -1.82    43.04     0.64    70.30     1.28    13.94     0.00     0.00    46.91    11.34P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   67  +12      -2.87    39.15    -2.29    70.19     1.84    12.65     0.00     0.00    43.20    10.10P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   65   +7       1.49    55.90     2.33    67.74     1.84     6.99     0.00     0.00     7.97     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   65   +6       4.73    68.38     5.99    67.49     1.76     5.63     0.00     0.00     3.07     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   64   +5       0.64    52.72     0.60    66.78     1.84     5.08     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   63   -1       7.19    76.06     6.61    65.79     1.87    -0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford         43   60  +17      -9.47    17.63     1.06    64.72     2.24    17.89     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   58   +7      -3.44    36.85     5.09    61.57     1.81     8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          44   55   -3      -7.47    22.95    -6.12    57.96     1.85    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   53   +1      -5.35    29.83     4.10    55.62     1.83     0.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   53  -10      -2.40    40.88    -2.10    55.32     1.82   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   50   -8      -3.31    37.59     2.72    51.76     1.68    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        43   45  -23      -5.20    29.92   -11.07    48.63     2.21   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.28R    0.00  
Doncaster       44   44  -28       0.29    52.39    -3.70    45.48     1.53   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.44R    0.00  
Millwall        44   44  -29      -3.25    37.22    -9.30    46.07     1.69   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.43R    0.00  
Birmingham      43   43  -13     -12.91     9.64    -7.75    46.93     2.24   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.61R    0.00  
Blackpool       44   43  -27      -8.11    20.36   -13.65    45.28     1.70   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.00R    0.00  
Barnsley        44   39  -30      -5.89    27.00    -6.33    40.79     1.66   -31.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.24R   15.47  
Yeovil          45   37  -28      -5.96    27.00     1.41    38.11     1.25   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   84.53  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 25 April 2014, Port_Vale 1 2 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   44   99  +55       8.18    80.36     8.39   103.42     1.63    57.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   91  +30      16.15    94.78     8.70    94.81     1.76    31.53     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       44   82  +27      14.55    91.86    16.50    84.71     1.86    26.93     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.14P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   82  +25      11.73    87.71    10.36    85.78     1.81    26.55     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   80  +36       5.87    71.49    15.31    83.44     1.81    37.06     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.11P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    44   70  +12      -1.33    44.85    -4.65    73.71     1.81    13.51     0.00     0.00    96.56    24.29P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         44   66   +7      -3.54    36.13    -6.56    69.17     1.87     7.62     0.00     0.00     3.44     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   63   +1      -2.58    39.86    -6.95    66.14     1.84     1.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       45   60  -14       7.06    75.62     0.74    60.76     1.14   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   59   +0      -6.47    26.37    -7.56    61.50     1.84    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         44   58   +2      -2.75    39.78     0.94    61.20     1.83     2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   56   +3      -9.15    19.22    -3.77    59.42     1.83     4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    43   55   -5       0.76    53.68     1.66    59.38     2.26    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        44   53   +1      -0.02    50.46    11.37    55.69     1.81     0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      44   52  -17       2.10    58.93     0.13    54.31     1.74   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          43   51  -10       0.15    51.42     1.59    55.01     2.24   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Coventry        44   50   -2      -2.76    39.42    -4.83    51.92     1.72    -3.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Colchester      44   47  -12      -4.91    31.16     0.62    49.01     1.72   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.89R    0.00  
Tranmere        44   47  -24      -5.05    31.09   -11.21    49.23     1.72   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.06R    0.00  
Crewe           44   47  -27       0.16    51.65    -4.57    48.77     1.69   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.48R    0.00  
Notts_County    44   46  -15     -10.80    14.36    -8.65    48.53     1.84   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.07R    0.00  
Carlisle        43   44  -29      -0.83    47.39    -6.40    46.72     1.97   -31.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.73R    0.61  
Shrewsbury      44   41  -19      -8.87    17.93    -4.02    43.28     1.80   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.74R   13.82  
Stevenage       44   39  -25      -9.34    16.52    -7.13    40.91     1.66   -26.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   85.57  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Scunthorpe           44   80  +26       3.02    61.06     1.98    83.45     1.82    27.00    63.86    99.84   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   78  +28       2.00    57.69     5.61    81.28     1.83    28.78    23.26    93.45   100.00    95.84P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   78  +20       8.49    79.39     6.56    81.43     1.85    21.01    12.79    96.78   100.00    97.72P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       44   75  +15       9.77    83.13     7.67    77.34     1.78    14.44     0.09     9.92   100.00    32.85P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   72   +8       9.52    82.60     4.33    74.26     1.76     7.40     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.66P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   68  +16      -1.71    43.35     2.46    70.99     1.84    16.38     0.00     0.00    99.95    31.66P    0.00     0.00  
York                 44   67  +10       7.43    77.82     9.80    69.58     1.74     9.80     0.00     0.00    94.31    19.06P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   62   +6      -0.46    48.51     2.23    65.12     1.83     6.55     0.00     0.00     5.74     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   58   -7       2.99    62.73    -0.65    60.41     1.78    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   57   +8      -9.83    17.29    -1.64    60.14     1.86     8.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   57   -4       0.72    53.48     1.09    59.77     1.81    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            44   57   -8       5.02    69.67     3.40    59.71     1.81    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           44   57  -10      -5.81    28.89   -13.89    59.79     1.81    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   56   -4       2.92    62.38     5.74    58.70     1.82    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       44   55   -3       3.70    64.84    10.01    57.13     1.76    -3.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   55   -7      -3.57    36.63    -5.09    57.53     1.79    -7.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           44   52   -4      -9.11    18.80    -5.85    54.90     1.83    -3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51   -4      -3.87    35.28     3.04    53.59     1.80    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            44   50  -15      -3.00    38.79    -4.73    52.40     1.80   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27R    0.00  
Exeter               44   49   -7     -10.27    15.34    -5.87    51.28     1.79    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.68R    0.00  
Wycombe              44   47  -10      -8.49    19.66    -4.27    49.86     1.83    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.50R    2.78  
Bristol_Rovers       44   47  -11      -6.86    24.76    -2.65    49.71     1.82   -10.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.35R    1.24  
Northampton          44   47  -20      -4.88    31.45    -9.13    49.36     1.77   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.21R    3.45  
Torquay              44   42  -23      -8.69    18.59   -10.15    44.57     1.81   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.99R   92.53  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Barnet 1 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            45   98  +66       7.11    77.08    18.36   100.46     1.03    67.94   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    45   82  +39       4.70    68.08    15.36    83.27     1.28    38.88     0.00   100.00    32.67P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   77  +19       1.93    57.71    -1.25    78.27     1.27    18.89     0.00   100.00    28.11P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          45   76  +27       5.22    69.06    12.66    77.67     1.32    27.44     0.00   100.00    20.32P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        45   76  +20       7.28    76.70     9.22    77.45     1.30    20.12     0.00    91.74    17.50P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   45   73  +18       6.87    75.70    11.03    74.44     1.29    18.11     0.00     8.27     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    45   73   +8       0.81    52.98    -8.31    74.10     1.27     7.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    45   72   -3      13.78    91.26     3.84    73.64     1.33    -2.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           45   69   +5      -1.39    44.76    -8.20    70.28     1.28     4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   66  +14      -3.53    36.40     1.75    67.68     1.31    14.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           45   65   -5       7.66    77.99     2.90    66.39     1.31    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        45   65   -6      10.15    84.17     4.77    66.23     1.28    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     45   64   +1       3.53    64.13     2.97    65.44     1.30     1.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         45   62   -9       7.87    79.08     2.05    63.72     1.30    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   58   +0     -11.73    12.05   -12.31    59.07     1.25    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   58   -2      -4.11    34.27    -2.37    59.13     1.28    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          45   57   -3       1.22    55.27     5.95    58.77     1.30    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        45   53  -17       0.32    51.92    -1.84    53.99     1.23   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        45   51   +8     -11.49    13.06    -8.75    53.01     1.24     8.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   50  -21       2.42    60.41     1.17    51.50     1.31   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         45   48  -20      -9.01    18.21   -13.17    48.76     1.11   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         45   44  -23      -7.79    21.16    -7.14    45.02     1.22   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         45   39  -36      -4.53    31.83    -7.11    40.36     1.31   -36.01     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      45   10  -80     -21.22     0.20   -21.57    10.41     0.88   -81.94     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10