Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 23 April 2014 at 21:00:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Man_City 3 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        35   80  +52       8.29    84.75    10.50    86.26     2.07    55.72    79.39    96.44   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   75  +41       4.29    69.37     5.38    80.96     1.99    44.00     2.61    22.54    96.22    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   74  +56      -0.27    47.23     7.78    82.99     2.22    62.09    18.00    80.91    98.78    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   70  +21       6.96    79.03    -2.37    76.52     2.07    24.87     0.00     0.10     4.71    82.20   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   69  +23       8.74    84.74     5.08    73.45     2.25    23.44     0.00     0.00     0.29    18.01    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   63   +2       8.67    84.00    -6.63    68.08     2.24     3.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    68.79     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   57  +16      -5.80    24.01    -9.40    65.81     2.32    21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.39     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   49   +5       1.50    57.38     7.69    52.45     2.22     3.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        35   46  -15       5.13    72.98    -2.04    48.83     1.85   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   44  -10       3.02    64.83     1.38    48.11     2.21    -9.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   43  -13       8.30    85.05     7.40    45.25     1.90   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   37  -10      -5.58    25.60    -0.49    39.68     1.98   -12.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Swansea          35   36   -4      -8.64    15.48     2.70    40.70     2.27    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Hull             34   36   -9      -0.07    50.83     7.54    39.72     2.34   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      34   35  -14      -3.76    33.04    -0.32    38.63     2.25   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80R    0.00  
West_Brom        34   33  -13      -8.58    14.86    -2.94    38.18     2.53   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.10R    0.15  
Norwich          35   32  -28      -3.41    34.33    -6.71    33.51     1.63   -32.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.37R   14.23  
Cardiff          35   30  -34      -1.30    44.69    -4.33    32.36     1.97   -36.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.94R   49.11  
Fulham           35   30  -42      -3.21    35.50   -14.02    34.10     2.22   -42.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.56R   19.50  
Sunderland       34   29  -24      -7.12    18.66    -6.19    34.09     2.48   -24.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.62R   17.01  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2014, Bolton 0 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       44   96  +37      16.51    95.31     8.02   100.10     1.70    39.10   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         44   89  +34      14.29    92.25    12.87    92.15     1.81    34.59     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   81  +30       9.08    81.48    12.54    84.19     1.89    30.66     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.73P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   76  +15       6.03    72.41     0.86    79.78     1.77    16.47     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           43   70  +15      -0.33    48.73    -1.75    74.90     2.26    16.14     0.00     0.00    98.09    25.37P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   67  +12      -3.05    38.54    -2.57    70.22     1.84    12.70     0.00     0.00    51.72    11.94P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        44   66  +12      -2.39    40.46     0.13    69.41     1.76    12.99     0.00     0.00    33.86     8.08P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   65   +7       1.19    55.03     1.95    67.75     1.85     7.01     0.00     0.00     9.37     1.71P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   65   +6       4.74    68.49     5.97    67.48     1.76     5.63     0.00     0.00     4.11     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   64   +5       0.77    53.13     0.76    66.76     1.85     5.05     0.00     0.00     1.64     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   63   -1       7.35    76.55     6.83    65.78     1.87    -0.95     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         43   60  +17      -9.45    17.36     1.07    64.71     2.24    17.87     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   58   +7      -3.69    36.08     4.71    61.58     1.81     8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          44   55   -3      -7.60    22.57    -6.34    57.99     1.84    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   53   +1      -5.42    29.66     4.02    55.61     1.83     0.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   53  -10      -2.37    41.18    -2.12    55.34     1.83   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   50   -8      -3.49    36.73     2.44    51.76     1.69    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        43   45  -23      -5.19    29.92   -11.03    48.65     2.19   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.22R    0.00  
Doncaster       44   44  -28       0.34    52.34    -3.65    45.46     1.53   -30.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.46R    0.00  
Millwall        44   44  -29      -3.21    37.80    -9.26    46.09     1.70   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.28R    0.00  
Birmingham      43   43  -13     -12.76    10.06    -7.55    46.88     2.25   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.06R    0.00  
Blackpool       44   43  -27      -8.11    20.52   -13.61    45.29     1.71   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.68R    0.13  
Barnsley        44   39  -30      -5.83    27.30    -6.19    40.79     1.65   -31.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.30R   25.33  
Yeovil          44   37  -26      -5.57    28.31     1.89    38.77     1.62   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   74.54  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Crewe 0 0 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   44   99  +55       8.46    81.23     8.79   103.40     1.63    57.72   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   91  +30      16.12    94.63     8.58    94.82     1.76    31.54     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       44   82  +27      14.68    91.89    16.73    84.71     1.85    26.93     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   82  +25      11.45    87.29     9.95    85.80     1.80    26.59     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   80  +36       5.95    72.13    15.45    83.42     1.81    37.02     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.23P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    44   70  +12      -1.40    44.30    -4.75    73.71     1.82    13.50     0.00     0.00    96.42    24.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         44   66   +7      -3.39    37.03    -6.48    69.14     1.88     7.58     0.00     0.00     3.58     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   60   +0      -3.80    34.95    -7.44    64.66     2.26     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       44   60  -13       8.23    79.24     1.41    61.97     1.72   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   59   +0      -6.78    25.46    -8.00    61.52     1.85    -0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         44   58   +2      -2.59    39.99     1.13    61.21     1.83     2.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   56   +3      -9.14    19.22    -3.79    59.42     1.83     4.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    43   55   -5       0.81    53.91     1.76    59.37     2.26    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        44   53   +1      -0.44    49.05    10.74    55.70     1.83     0.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      44   52  -17       2.23    59.34     0.38    54.30     1.73   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          43   51  -10      -0.07    50.51     1.27    55.03     2.26   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Coventry        44   50   -2      -2.94    39.01    -5.12    51.93     1.72    -3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Colchester      44   47  -12      -4.89    31.41     0.66    49.02     1.71   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.60R    0.00  
Tranmere        44   47  -24      -4.89    31.69   -10.93    49.23     1.72   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.95R    0.00  
Crewe           44   47  -27       0.45    52.94    -4.12    48.76     1.69   -28.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.84R    0.00  
Notts_County    44   46  -15     -10.81    14.33    -8.61    48.54     1.85   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.13R    0.00  
Carlisle        43   44  -29      -0.96    46.80    -6.44    46.72     1.98   -31.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.74R    0.60  
Shrewsbury      44   41  -19      -8.82    18.08    -3.98    43.26     1.79   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.69R   13.55  
Stevenage       44   39  -25      -9.36    16.61    -7.19    40.88     1.65   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   85.86  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Scunthorpe           44   80  +26       3.13    61.40     2.15    83.47     1.82    27.03    64.39    99.85   100.00    99.90P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   78  +28       2.15    58.13     5.84    81.28     1.84    28.77    23.16    93.75   100.00    96.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   78  +20       8.42    79.52     6.43    81.43     1.86    21.01    12.31    96.76   100.00    97.74P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       44   75  +15       9.89    83.62     7.87    77.34     1.76    14.45     0.13     9.63   100.00    32.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   72   +8       9.64    82.90     4.46    74.24     1.75     7.37     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.46P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   68  +16      -1.69    43.60     2.48    71.01     1.82    16.40     0.00     0.00    99.93    31.84P    0.00     0.00  
York                 44   67  +10       7.22    76.84     9.53    69.58     1.74     9.81     0.00     0.00    94.47    19.26P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   62   +6      -0.43    48.74     2.27    65.11     1.83     6.55     0.00     0.00     5.59     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   58   -7       3.00    62.60    -0.65    60.41     1.78    -7.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   57   +8      -9.77    17.36    -1.57    60.14     1.86     8.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   57   -4       0.60    52.85     0.94    59.76     1.80    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            44   57   -8       4.93    69.62     3.33    59.71     1.82    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           44   57  -10      -5.68    29.40   -13.73    59.78     1.81    -9.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   56   -4       2.81    61.79     5.57    58.70     1.83    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       44   55   -3       3.81    65.42    10.22    57.12     1.76    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   55   -7      -3.75    35.92    -5.32    57.53     1.80    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           44   52   -4      -9.36    18.03    -6.17    54.92     1.83    -3.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51   -4      -4.14    34.52     2.68    53.59     1.79    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   50  -15      -3.14    38.36    -4.97    52.42     1.81   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.00  
Exeter               44   49   -7     -10.00    15.96    -5.51    51.25     1.78    -7.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.78R    0.00  
Wycombe              44   47  -10      -8.35    19.77    -4.00    49.85     1.82    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.99R    2.84  
Bristol_Rovers       44   47  -11      -6.81    24.94    -2.58    49.73     1.81   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.84R    1.05  
Northampton          44   47  -20      -4.99    30.97    -9.30    49.38     1.78   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.04R    3.36  
Torquay              44   42  -23      -8.54    19.16    -9.97    44.56     1.80   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.09R   92.75  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Barnet 1 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            45   98  +66       6.96    76.82    18.09   100.46     1.03    67.96   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    45   82  +39       4.53    67.61    15.15    83.27     1.28    38.89     0.00   100.00    32.41P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   77  +19       2.06    58.06    -1.06    78.25     1.27    18.87     0.00   100.00    28.22P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          45   76  +27       5.26    69.12    12.69    77.67     1.32    27.45     0.00   100.00    20.53P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        45   76  +20       7.37    77.02     9.37    77.44     1.30    20.11     0.00    91.63    17.48P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   45   73  +18       6.83    75.28    11.01    74.46     1.29    18.13     0.00     8.37     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    45   73   +8       0.81    53.20    -8.21    74.10     1.27     7.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    45   72   -3      13.96    91.58     4.05    73.64     1.33    -2.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           45   69   +5      -1.16    45.67    -7.88    70.29     1.28     4.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   66  +14      -3.55    36.38     1.82    67.66     1.31    14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           45   65   -5       7.79    78.31     3.16    66.38     1.32    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        45   65   -6      10.29    84.32     4.97    66.23     1.28    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     45   64   +1       3.55    64.32     2.92    65.43     1.29     1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         45   62   -9       7.94    79.44     2.10    63.73     1.29    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   58   +0     -11.84    11.76   -12.53    59.09     1.26    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   58   -2      -3.78    35.50    -1.90    59.12     1.28    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          45   57   -3       1.00    54.48     5.72    58.77     1.30    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        45   53  -17       0.20    51.31    -2.07    53.98     1.22   -17.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        45   51   +8     -11.27    13.74    -8.45    52.99     1.24     8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   50  -21       2.27    59.97     0.86    51.50     1.31   -20.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         45   48  -20      -9.37    17.23   -13.62    48.77     1.12   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         45   44  -23      -7.88    20.92    -7.25    45.01     1.22   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         45   39  -36      -4.58    31.73    -7.18    40.37     1.32   -36.01     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      45   10  -80     -21.29     0.20   -21.74    10.40     0.88   -81.96     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10