Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 23 April 2014 at 21:00:02 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Man_City 3 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 35 80 +52 8.29 84.75 10.50 86.26 2.07 55.72 79.39 96.44 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 35 75 +41 4.29 69.37 5.38 80.96 1.99 44.00 2.61 22.54 96.22 99.88 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 34 74 +56 -0.27 47.23 7.78 82.99 2.22 62.09 18.00 80.91 98.78 99.88 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 35 70 +21 6.96 79.03 -2.37 76.52 2.07 24.87 0.00 0.10 4.71 82.20 100.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 35 69 +23 8.74 84.74 5.08 73.45 2.25 23.44 0.00 0.00 0.29 18.01 99.81 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 35 63 +2 8.67 84.00 -6.63 68.08 2.24 3.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 68.79 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 34 57 +16 -5.80 24.01 -9.40 65.81 2.32 21.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.39 0.00 0.00 Southampton 35 49 +5 1.50 57.38 7.69 52.45 2.22 3.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 35 46 -15 5.13 72.98 -2.04 48.83 1.85 -17.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 35 44 -10 3.02 64.83 1.38 48.11 2.21 -9.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 35 43 -13 8.30 85.05 7.40 45.25 1.90 -16.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 35 37 -10 -5.58 25.60 -0.49 39.68 1.98 -12.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Swansea 35 36 -4 -8.64 15.48 2.70 40.70 2.27 -3.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00 Hull 34 36 -9 -0.07 50.83 7.54 39.72 2.34 -11.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41R 0.00 Aston_Villa 34 35 -14 -3.76 33.04 -0.32 38.63 2.25 -17.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.80R 0.00 West_Brom 34 33 -13 -8.58 14.86 -2.94 38.18 2.53 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.10R 0.15 Norwich 35 32 -28 -3.41 34.33 -6.71 33.51 1.63 -32.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.37R 14.23 Cardiff 35 30 -34 -1.30 44.69 -4.33 32.36 1.97 -36.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.94R 49.11 Fulham 35 30 -42 -3.21 35.50 -14.02 34.10 2.22 -42.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.56R 19.50 Sunderland 34 29 -24 -7.12 18.66 -6.19 34.09 2.48 -24.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.62R 17.01Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2014, Bolton 0 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 44 96 +37 16.51 95.31 8.02 100.10 1.70 39.10 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 44 89 +34 14.29 92.25 12.87 92.15 1.81 34.59 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Derby 44 81 +30 9.08 81.48 12.54 84.19 1.89 30.66 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.73P 0.00 0.00 QPR 44 76 +15 6.03 72.41 0.86 79.78 1.77 16.47 0.00 0.00 100.00 26.01P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 43 70 +15 -0.33 48.73 -1.75 74.90 2.26 16.14 0.00 0.00 98.09 25.37P 0.00 0.00 Reading 44 67 +12 -3.05 38.54 -2.57 70.22 1.84 12.70 0.00 0.00 51.72 11.94P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 44 66 +12 -2.39 40.46 0.13 69.41 1.76 12.99 0.00 0.00 33.86 8.08P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 44 65 +7 1.19 55.03 1.95 67.75 1.85 7.01 0.00 0.00 9.37 1.71P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 44 65 +6 4.74 68.49 5.97 67.48 1.76 5.63 0.00 0.00 4.11 0.61P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 44 64 +5 0.77 53.13 0.76 66.76 1.85 5.05 0.00 0.00 1.64 0.28P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 44 63 -1 7.35 76.55 6.83 65.78 1.87 -0.95 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Watford 43 60 +17 -9.45 17.36 1.07 64.71 2.24 17.87 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 44 58 +7 -3.69 36.08 4.71 61.58 1.81 8.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bolton 44 55 -3 -7.60 22.57 -6.34 57.99 1.84 -2.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 44 53 +1 -5.42 29.66 4.02 55.61 1.83 0.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 44 53 -10 -2.37 41.18 -2.12 55.34 1.83 -10.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 44 50 -8 -3.49 36.73 2.44 51.76 1.69 -9.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 43 45 -23 -5.19 29.92 -11.03 48.65 2.19 -23.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.22R 0.00 Doncaster 44 44 -28 0.34 52.34 -3.65 45.46 1.53 -30.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.46R 0.00 Millwall 44 44 -29 -3.21 37.80 -9.26 46.09 1.70 -29.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.28R 0.00 Birmingham 43 43 -13 -12.76 10.06 -7.55 46.88 2.25 -13.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.06R 0.00 Blackpool 44 43 -27 -8.11 20.52 -13.61 45.29 1.71 -27.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.68R 0.13 Barnsley 44 39 -30 -5.83 27.30 -6.19 40.79 1.65 -31.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.30R 25.33 Yeovil 44 37 -26 -5.57 28.31 1.89 38.77 1.62 -27.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 74.54League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Crewe 0 0 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 44 99 +55 8.46 81.23 8.79 103.40 1.63 57.72 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 44 91 +30 16.12 94.63 8.58 94.82 1.76 31.54 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 44 82 +27 14.68 91.89 16.73 84.71 1.85 26.93 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.00P 0.00 0.00 Preston 44 82 +25 11.45 87.29 9.95 85.80 1.80 26.59 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.91P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 44 80 +36 5.95 72.13 15.45 83.42 1.81 37.02 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.23P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 44 70 +12 -1.40 44.30 -4.75 73.71 1.82 13.50 0.00 0.00 96.42 24.00P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 44 66 +7 -3.39 37.03 -6.48 69.14 1.88 7.58 0.00 0.00 3.58 0.86P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 43 60 +0 -3.80 34.95 -7.44 64.66 2.26 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 44 60 -13 8.23 79.24 1.41 61.97 1.72 -14.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 44 59 +0 -6.78 25.46 -8.00 61.52 1.85 -0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 44 58 +2 -2.59 39.99 1.13 61.21 1.83 2.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 44 56 +3 -9.14 19.22 -3.79 59.42 1.83 4.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 43 55 -5 0.81 53.91 1.76 59.37 2.26 -4.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bradford 44 53 +1 -0.44 49.05 10.74 55.70 1.83 0.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 44 52 -17 2.23 59.34 0.38 54.30 1.73 -17.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 43 51 -10 -0.07 50.51 1.27 55.03 2.26 -10.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Coventry 44 50 -2 -2.94 39.01 -5.12 51.93 1.72 -3.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Colchester 44 47 -12 -4.89 31.41 0.66 49.02 1.71 -12.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.60R 0.00 Tranmere 44 47 -24 -4.89 31.69 -10.93 49.23 1.72 -24.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.95R 0.00 Crewe 44 47 -27 0.45 52.94 -4.12 48.76 1.69 -28.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.84R 0.00 Notts_County 44 46 -15 -10.81 14.33 -8.61 48.54 1.85 -15.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.13R 0.00 Carlisle 43 44 -29 -0.96 46.80 -6.44 46.72 1.98 -31.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.74R 0.60 Shrewsbury 44 41 -19 -8.82 18.08 -3.98 43.26 1.79 -19.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.69R 13.55 Stevenage 44 39 -25 -9.36 16.61 -7.19 40.88 1.65 -26.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 85.86 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Scunthorpe 44 80 +26 3.13 61.40 2.15 83.47 1.82 27.03 64.39 99.85 100.00 99.90P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 44 78 +28 2.15 58.13 5.84 81.28 1.84 28.77 23.16 93.75 100.00 96.02P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 44 78 +20 8.42 79.52 6.43 81.43 1.86 21.01 12.31 96.76 100.00 97.74P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 44 75 +15 9.89 83.62 7.87 77.34 1.76 14.45 0.13 9.63 100.00 32.46P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 44 72 +8 9.64 82.90 4.46 74.24 1.75 7.37 0.00 0.00 100.00 21.46P 0.00 0.00 Southend 44 68 +16 -1.69 43.60 2.48 71.01 1.82 16.40 0.00 0.00 99.93 31.84P 0.00 0.00 York 44 67 +10 7.22 76.84 9.53 69.58 1.74 9.81 0.00 0.00 94.47 19.26P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 44 62 +6 -0.43 48.74 2.27 65.11 1.83 6.55 0.00 0.00 5.59 1.33P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 44 58 -7 3.00 62.60 -0.65 60.41 1.78 -7.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bury 44 57 +8 -9.77 17.36 -1.57 60.14 1.86 8.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 44 57 -4 0.60 52.85 0.94 59.76 1.80 -3.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 44 57 -8 4.93 69.62 3.33 59.71 1.82 -8.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 44 57 -10 -5.68 29.40 -13.73 59.78 1.81 -9.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 44 56 -4 2.81 61.79 5.57 58.70 1.83 -4.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 44 55 -3 3.81 65.42 10.22 57.12 1.76 -3.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 44 55 -7 -3.75 35.92 -5.32 57.53 1.80 -7.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 44 52 -4 -9.36 18.03 -6.17 54.92 1.83 -3.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 44 51 -4 -4.14 34.52 2.68 53.59 1.79 -4.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 44 50 -15 -3.14 38.36 -4.97 52.42 1.81 -15.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.26R 0.00 Exeter 44 49 -7 -10.00 15.96 -5.51 51.25 1.78 -7.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.78R 0.00 Wycombe 44 47 -10 -8.35 19.77 -4.00 49.85 1.82 -9.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.99R 2.84 Bristol_Rovers 44 47 -11 -6.81 24.94 -2.58 49.73 1.81 -10.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.84R 1.05 Northampton 44 47 -20 -4.99 30.97 -9.30 49.38 1.78 -20.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.04R 3.36 Torquay 44 42 -23 -8.54 19.16 -9.97 44.56 1.80 -23.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.09R 92.75Conference (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Barnet 1 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 45 98 +66 6.96 76.82 18.09 100.46 1.03 67.96 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 45 82 +39 4.53 67.61 15.15 83.27 1.28 38.89 0.00 100.00 32.41P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 45 77 +19 2.06 58.06 -1.06 78.25 1.27 18.87 0.00 100.00 28.22P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 45 76 +27 5.26 69.12 12.69 77.67 1.32 27.45 0.00 100.00 20.53P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 45 76 +20 7.37 77.02 9.37 77.44 1.30 20.11 0.00 91.63 17.48P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 45 73 +18 6.83 75.28 11.01 74.46 1.29 18.13 0.00 8.37 1.36P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 45 73 +8 0.81 53.20 -8.21 74.10 1.27 7.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 45 72 -3 13.96 91.58 4.05 73.64 1.33 -2.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 45 69 +5 -1.16 45.67 -7.88 70.29 1.28 4.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 45 66 +14 -3.55 36.38 1.82 67.66 1.31 14.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 45 65 -5 7.79 78.31 3.16 66.38 1.32 -4.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 45 65 -6 10.29 84.32 4.97 66.23 1.28 -6.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 45 64 +1 3.55 64.32 2.92 65.43 1.29 1.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 45 62 -9 7.94 79.44 2.10 63.73 1.29 -8.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 45 58 +0 -11.84 11.76 -12.53 59.09 1.26 -0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 45 58 -2 -3.78 35.50 -1.90 59.12 1.28 -2.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 45 57 -3 1.00 54.48 5.72 58.77 1.30 -2.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 45 53 -17 0.20 51.31 -2.07 53.98 1.22 -17.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 45 51 +8 -11.27 13.74 -8.45 52.99 1.24 8.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 45 50 -21 2.27 59.97 0.86 51.50 1.31 -20.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hereford 45 48 -20 -9.37 17.23 -13.62 48.77 1.12 -20.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dartford 45 44 -23 -7.88 20.92 -7.25 45.01 1.22 -23.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Tamworth 45 39 -36 -4.58 31.73 -7.18 40.37 1.32 -36.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Hyde_United 45 10 -80 -21.29 0.20 -21.74 10.40 0.88 -81.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10