Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 22 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Man_City 3 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        35   80  +52       8.30    84.47    10.61    86.26     2.07    55.68    79.12    96.34   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   75  +41       4.39    69.84     5.50    80.96     1.99    44.01     2.73    22.57    96.13    99.85   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   74  +56      -0.39    46.83     7.58    82.98     2.22    62.06    18.15    80.98    98.89    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   70  +21       7.00    79.15    -2.28    76.50     2.07    24.83     0.00     0.11     4.60    81.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   69  +23       8.53    84.28     4.80    73.45     2.25    23.46     0.00     0.00     0.39    18.27    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   63   +2       8.86    84.90    -6.28    68.04     2.25     3.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    68.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   57  +16      -5.77    24.11    -9.29    65.79     2.31    21.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.23     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   49   +5       1.64    57.99     7.85    52.45     2.22     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        35   46  -15       5.01    72.84    -2.26    48.84     1.86   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   44  -10       3.02    64.75     1.35    48.14     2.23    -9.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   43  -13       8.16    84.49     7.11    45.26     1.89   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   37  -10      -5.57    25.81    -0.58    39.70     2.00   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Swansea          35   36   -4      -8.66    15.31     2.72    40.73     2.27    -3.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Hull             34   36   -9       0.08    51.42     7.72    39.69     2.34   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      34   35  -14      -3.76    33.11    -0.43    38.65     2.25   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.76R    0.00  
West_Brom        34   33  -13      -8.34    15.76    -2.55    38.13     2.51   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.14R    0.12  
Norwich          35   32  -28      -3.62    33.50    -7.04    33.54     1.65   -32.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.07R   14.07  
Cardiff          35   30  -34      -1.37    44.37    -4.45    32.37     1.96   -36.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.92R   48.84  
Fulham           35   30  -42      -3.24    35.08   -14.01    34.11     2.22   -42.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.23R   19.78  
Sunderland       34   29  -24      -7.09    19.01    -6.07    34.06     2.48   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.25R   17.19  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2014, Bolton 0 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       44   96  +37      16.61    95.43     8.17   100.10     1.71    39.10   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         44   89  +34      14.46    92.62    13.11    92.14     1.81    34.58     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   81  +30       8.93    81.27    12.25    84.19     1.89    30.66     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.23P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   76  +15       5.70    71.40     0.41    79.81     1.78    16.50     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           43   70  +15      -0.28    48.88    -1.71    74.88     2.25    16.11     0.00     0.00    97.94    24.93P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   67  +12      -3.19    37.77    -2.74    70.25     1.84    12.74     0.00     0.00    52.55    12.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        44   66  +12      -2.31    41.00     0.19    69.41     1.75    12.98     0.00     0.00    33.66     7.98P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   65   +7       1.45    55.71     2.29    67.74     1.85     7.00     0.00     0.00     9.14     1.61P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   65   +6       5.01    69.17     6.33    67.48     1.75     5.64     0.00     0.00     3.96     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   64   +5       0.76    53.11     0.77    66.77     1.84     5.07     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   63   -1       7.37    76.69     6.93    65.79     1.87    -0.95     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         43   60  +17      -9.48    17.37     1.01    64.73     2.24    17.91     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   58   +7      -3.58    36.43     4.89    61.57     1.82     8.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          44   55   -3      -7.65    22.51    -6.39    58.00     1.86    -2.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   53   +1      -5.35    30.08     4.19    55.60     1.83     0.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   53  -10      -2.31    41.56    -1.99    55.33     1.82   -10.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   50   -8      -3.53    36.58     2.31    51.77     1.69    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        43   45  -23      -5.19    29.86   -10.98    48.63     2.21   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.27R    0.00  
Doncaster       44   44  -28       0.53    53.53    -3.40    45.44     1.52   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.06R    0.00  
Millwall        44   44  -29      -3.37    37.00    -9.51    46.08     1.71   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.19R    0.00  
Birmingham      43   43  -13     -12.96     9.38    -7.82    46.90     2.25   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.78R    0.00  
Blackpool       44   43  -27      -8.07    20.50   -13.63    45.29     1.70   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.44R    0.12  
Barnsley        44   39  -30      -5.87    27.05    -6.29    40.78     1.65   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.26R   25.37  
Yeovil          44   37  -26      -5.82    27.63     1.62    38.79     1.63   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   74.50  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Crewe 0 0 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   44   99  +55       8.41    80.78     8.71   103.41     1.62    57.74   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   91  +30      16.17    94.93     8.65    94.81     1.77    31.52     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       44   82  +27      14.39    91.53    16.22    84.72     1.85    26.93     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.07P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   82  +25      11.37    87.06     9.83    85.81     1.79    26.58     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.89P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   44   80  +36       5.87    71.75    15.36    83.43     1.82    37.03     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.97P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    44   70  +12      -1.62    43.61    -5.00    73.73     1.81    13.55     0.00     0.00    96.53    24.22P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         44   66   +7      -3.18    37.91    -6.11    69.14     1.88     7.58     0.00     0.00     3.47     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       43   60   +0      -3.73    35.52    -7.33    64.66     2.27     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       44   60  -13       7.95    78.38     0.92    61.96     1.71   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         44   59   +0      -6.78    25.23    -7.99    61.52     1.85    -0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         44   58   +2      -2.68    39.74     1.04    61.20     1.83     2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   56   +3      -9.01    19.76    -3.59    59.42     1.82     4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    43   55   -5       0.78    54.00     1.69    59.39     2.25    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        44   53   +1      -0.02    50.53    11.36    55.69     1.82     0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      44   52  -17       1.95    58.49    -0.09    54.30     1.73   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham          43   51  -10       0.13    51.18     1.58    55.01     2.24   -10.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Coventry        44   50   -2      -2.80    39.44    -4.88    51.94     1.73    -3.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Colchester      44   47  -12      -4.94    31.05     0.61    49.02     1.73   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.73R    0.00  
Tranmere        44   47  -24      -4.79    31.93   -10.78    49.24     1.72   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.91R    0.00  
Crewe           44   47  -27       0.43    52.64    -4.10    48.75     1.69   -28.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.92R    0.00  
Notts_County    44   46  -15     -10.75    14.40    -8.59    48.55     1.84   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.72R    0.00  
Carlisle        43   44  -29      -0.72    48.02    -6.14    46.71     1.98   -31.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.82R    0.55  
Shrewsbury      44   41  -19      -8.70    18.40    -3.78    43.25     1.79   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.85R   14.07  
Stevenage       44   39  -25      -9.67    15.86    -7.59    40.90     1.65   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   85.38  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Scunthorpe           44   80  +26       3.19    61.96     2.20    83.47     1.83    27.03    64.19    99.86   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   78  +28       2.24    58.45     5.93    81.27     1.84    28.77    23.25    93.64   100.00    95.96P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   78  +20       8.45    79.66     6.53    81.41     1.86    20.97    12.44    96.63   100.00    97.57P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       44   75  +15       9.84    83.15     7.77    77.34     1.77    14.45     0.12     9.86   100.00    32.84P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   72   +8       9.69    83.16     4.56    74.27     1.75     7.42     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.26P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   68  +16      -1.62    43.66     2.56    70.98     1.82    16.36     0.00     0.00    99.96    31.83P    0.00     0.00  
York                 44   67  +10       7.41    77.35     9.77    69.57     1.73     9.80     0.00     0.00    94.39    19.34P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   62   +6      -0.42    48.80     2.32    65.12     1.84     6.55     0.00     0.00     5.65     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   58   -7       2.88    62.01    -0.82    60.41     1.78    -7.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   57   +8      -9.81    17.35    -1.58    60.13     1.85     8.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   57   -4       0.86    53.87     1.33    59.76     1.81    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            44   57   -8       5.16    70.17     3.65    59.71     1.82    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           44   57  -10      -5.75    29.16   -13.87    59.80     1.82    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   56   -4       2.65    60.80     5.29    58.70     1.83    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       44   55   -3       3.75    65.20    10.08    57.13     1.76    -3.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   55   -7      -3.77    35.91    -5.34    57.56     1.81    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           44   52   -4      -9.37    18.10    -6.20    54.93     1.84    -3.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51   -4      -4.08    34.36     2.76    53.59     1.79    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   50  -15      -3.28    37.88    -5.09    52.41     1.81   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.34R    0.00  
Exeter               44   49   -7     -10.03    16.00    -5.53    51.25     1.78    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.82R    0.00  
Wycombe              44   47  -10      -8.40    19.77    -4.08    49.83     1.83    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.90R    2.89  
Bristol_Rovers       44   47  -11      -6.84    24.71    -2.66    49.73     1.81   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.93R    1.09  
Northampton          44   47  -20      -4.92    31.16    -9.15    49.37     1.78   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.84R    3.46  
Torquay              44   42  -23      -8.86    18.16   -10.43    44.57     1.80   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.16R   92.55  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 April 2014, Barnet 1 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            45   98  +66       7.17    76.94    18.45   100.45     1.04    67.94   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    45   82  +39       4.64    68.08    15.28    83.26     1.28    38.87     0.00   100.00    32.34P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   77  +19       1.61    56.32    -1.69    78.25     1.27    18.87     0.00   100.00    28.31P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          45   76  +27       5.09    68.61    12.40    77.67     1.32    27.45     0.00   100.00    20.65P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        45   76  +20       7.53    77.31     9.53    77.45     1.30    20.13     0.00    91.83    17.32P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   45   73  +18       6.91    75.96    11.17    74.45     1.29    18.13     0.00     8.17     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    45   73   +8       0.84    53.33    -8.24    74.10     1.27     7.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    45   72   -3      13.83    91.52     3.91    73.65     1.33    -2.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet           45   69   +5      -1.20    45.29    -8.00    70.28     1.28     4.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   66  +14      -3.65    36.06     1.57    67.66     1.31    14.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           45   65   -5       7.78    78.35     3.14    66.39     1.32    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        45   65   -6      10.18    84.35     4.81    66.23     1.28    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     45   64   +1       3.33    63.48     2.63    65.43     1.29     1.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         45   62   -9       7.91    79.39     2.04    63.71     1.29    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   58   +0     -11.87    11.69   -12.52    59.09     1.26    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   58   -2      -3.56    36.37    -1.51    59.12     1.28    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          45   57   -3       1.18    55.17     5.98    58.76     1.30    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        45   53  -17       0.24    51.60    -2.01    54.00     1.23   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        45   51   +8     -11.68    12.77    -9.06    52.99     1.24     8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   50  -21       2.63    61.55     1.47    51.50     1.31   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford         45   48  -20      -9.38    16.91   -13.78    48.78     1.12   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dartford         45   44  -23      -7.88    20.99    -7.26    45.02     1.22   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tamworth         45   39  -36      -4.19    33.52    -6.50    40.35     1.31   -36.03     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      45   10  -80     -21.34     0.21   -21.79    10.41     0.89   -81.94     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10