Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 20 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 April 2014, Everton 2 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        35   80  +52       8.24    84.51    10.51    86.27     2.06    55.73    81.81    96.67   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   75  +41       4.29    69.41     5.22    80.96     1.99    44.02     2.94    27.42    96.03    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         33   71  +54      -0.84    44.23     7.71    82.54     2.44    62.28    15.25    75.69    97.50    99.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   70  +21       6.91    79.04    -2.49    76.52     2.07    24.87     0.00     0.21     5.92    82.38   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   69  +23       8.71    84.70     5.07    73.44     2.25    23.43     0.00     0.01     0.56    18.05    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   63   +2       8.71    84.47    -6.57    68.06     2.24     3.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    68.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   57  +16      -5.90    23.73    -9.47    65.83     2.31    21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.21     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   49   +5       1.64    58.03     7.87    52.43     2.21     3.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        35   46  -15       5.11    72.91    -2.10    48.81     1.84   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   44  -10       3.12    65.47     1.56    48.13     2.21    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   43  -13       8.16    84.51     7.12    45.25     1.91   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   37  -10      -5.59    25.72    -0.57    39.69     1.99   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Swansea          35   36   -4      -8.57    15.51     2.89    40.72     2.28    -3.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Hull             34   36   -9      -0.07    50.58     7.58    39.71     2.35   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      34   35  -14      -3.79    32.87    -0.46    38.63     2.25   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.79R    0.00  
West_Brom        33   33  -11      -8.03    16.39    -2.79    38.51     2.67   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.40R    0.10  
Norwich          35   32  -28      -3.50    34.10    -6.82    33.51     1.64   -32.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.60R   14.23  
Cardiff          35   30  -34      -1.35    44.36    -4.34    32.37     1.96   -36.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.87R   48.73  
Fulham           35   30  -42      -3.13    35.78   -13.78    34.10     2.22   -42.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.67R   19.62  
Sunderland       34   29  -24      -7.15    18.57    -6.16    34.07     2.48   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.05R   17.33  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2014, Barnsley 0 1 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       43   93  +36      15.41    94.37     7.69    98.63     2.16    38.36    99.33   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         43   86  +32      13.76    91.77    12.41    90.72     2.25    32.87     0.67    98.61   100.00    99.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   78  +29       8.12    79.12    12.54    83.37     2.24    30.93     0.00     1.39   100.00    27.22P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             43   73  +14       4.76    68.56     0.41    78.39     2.22    15.81     0.00     0.00    99.99    24.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           42   70  +17       0.12    50.06    -1.09    76.05     2.59    17.86     0.00     0.00    98.81    26.20P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        43   65  +12      -1.52    43.81     0.80    70.34     2.15    13.75     0.00     0.00    54.65    13.01P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         43   64  +10      -3.35    37.31    -2.53    68.92     2.28    11.17     0.00     0.00    24.98     5.72P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         43   64   +6       5.23    70.32     6.07    68.20     2.20     6.14     0.00     0.00    10.85     1.71P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   43   62   +5       0.40    51.99     1.16    66.02     2.28     4.86     0.00     0.00     3.21     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   62   -1       7.54    77.50     6.55    65.83     2.25    -1.42     0.00     0.00     1.98     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       43   61   +3      -0.11    49.89    -0.09    65.00     2.26     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         42   60  +18      -8.62    19.20     1.30    65.84     2.58    18.55     0.00     0.00     4.80     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   43   58   +9      -3.15    37.83     5.55    62.61     2.19     9.72     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          43   55   -2      -6.80    25.14    -6.11    59.18     2.27    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   53   +2      -4.35    33.39     4.39    57.37     2.24     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    43   53   -8      -1.63    43.78    -1.01    56.76     2.26    -8.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   47   -9      -4.87    31.28     1.81    50.14     2.14   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Birmingham      42   43  -11     -12.18    10.51    -6.94    48.42     2.62   -11.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.17R    0.01  
Doncaster       43   43  -28       0.58    53.65    -3.56    45.54     1.98   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.46R    0.80  
Millwall        43   43  -29      -2.98    38.30    -9.27    46.78     2.15   -29.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.46R    0.30  
Charlton        42   42  -24      -6.48    24.81   -11.64    46.61     2.53   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.71R    0.53  
Blackpool       43   42  -27      -8.18    19.66   -14.23    45.09     2.03   -28.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.03R    1.47  
Barnsley        43   39  -29      -5.08    29.98    -6.21    41.38     1.94   -31.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.22R   38.29  
Yeovil          43   37  -25      -4.84    31.09     2.01    40.15     2.12   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.94R   58.59  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 April 2014, Bradford 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   43   96  +53       7.56    78.63     8.02   101.95     2.12    55.95    99.33   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   90  +30      16.58    95.55     8.75    95.20     2.22    31.59     0.67   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   80  +38       6.39    73.90    16.08    84.62     2.21    38.80     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.42P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       43   79  +26      13.66    90.52    16.64    83.65     2.27    26.83     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.13P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   79  +22      11.36    87.43     9.18    84.67     2.21    24.26     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.30P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    43   67   +9      -1.48    44.33    -5.35    72.77     2.21    11.62     0.00     0.00    91.73    22.25P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         43   63   +6      -4.57    32.37    -6.82    68.02     2.30     7.30     0.00     0.00     7.35     1.73P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       43   60  -12       8.86    80.93     1.21    62.84     2.12   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   59   +0      -3.46    35.99    -7.49    65.19     2.63     1.04     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         43   58   +0      -6.54    25.95    -8.20    61.81     2.26    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         43   57   +2      -2.14    41.65     1.23    62.01     2.25     3.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    42   55   -4       1.55    56.77     1.85    60.62     2.63    -3.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        43   53   +2       0.53    52.85    11.23    56.59     2.19     1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    43   53   +1      -9.82    17.16    -4.35    57.94     2.27     2.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      43   51  -17       2.16    59.22    -0.26    54.24     2.13   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Oldham          42   50  -10       0.47    52.83     1.63    55.36     2.62   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Coventry        43   49   -2      -2.32    41.25    -4.72    52.36     2.20    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Colchester      43   46  -12      -4.60    32.48     0.65    49.33     2.17   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.95R    0.03  
Tranmere        43   46  -24      -4.55    32.54   -10.81    49.41     2.14   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.96R    0.06  
Crewe           43   46  -27       0.88    54.41    -3.80    49.21     2.15   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.13R    0.08  
Carlisle        42   44  -26      -0.70    48.07    -5.64    47.43     2.28   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.65R    2.22  
Notts_County    43   43  -16     -12.00    11.32    -8.97    47.07     2.29   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.19R    2.08  
Shrewsbury      43   41  -16      -8.89    17.75    -3.43    44.15     2.13   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.32R   19.47  
Stevenage       43   39  -23      -8.87    17.75    -6.62    42.11     2.10   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.30R   76.06  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2014, Burton_Albion 3 0 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Scunthorpe           43   77  +25       2.12    57.97     1.93    82.23     2.23    26.58    61.23    99.02   100.00    99.35P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   75  +27       0.83    53.17     5.19    79.93     2.26    28.18    23.34    87.82   100.00    92.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             43   75  +19       7.19    76.22     6.01    79.99     2.29    20.30    14.76    90.78   100.00    93.43P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   72  +14       8.94    81.45     7.80    75.98     2.22    13.83     0.55    15.92   100.00    35.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   71   +8       9.84    83.79     4.31    74.75     2.20     7.57     0.12     6.46    99.97    26.98P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   65  +15      -2.66    39.62     2.39    69.79     2.25    15.96     0.00     0.00    94.37    29.71P    0.00     0.00  
York                 43   64   +9       5.90    73.04     9.02    67.89     2.18     8.75     0.00     0.00    70.57    14.17P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   62   +7       0.29    51.34     2.40    66.08     2.19     6.97     0.00     0.00    31.10     7.38P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             43   58   -6       3.95    66.27    -0.22    61.99     2.21    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   57   +9      -8.78    19.48    -1.03    61.54     2.27     9.65     0.00     0.00     2.48     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   57   -3       1.50    56.46     1.39    60.87     2.22    -3.30     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            43   57   -6       5.61    71.74     4.32    61.15     2.26    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       43   54   -3       4.25    67.19    10.34    57.38     2.20    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           43   54  -11      -6.99    24.91   -14.27    58.21     2.24   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   53   -5       1.36    56.09     4.86    56.85     2.23    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           43   52   -9      -4.68    32.23    -6.30    55.85     2.22    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   51   -3      -3.16    37.85     3.27    54.53     2.16    -3.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Morecambe            43   50  -14      -2.37    41.04    -4.76    53.49     2.21   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.49R    0.00  
Hartlepool           43   49   -5     -10.46    15.04    -6.41    53.55     2.26    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.40R    0.00  
Exeter               43   49   -6      -8.83    18.87    -4.71    52.98     2.21    -6.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.75R    0.00  
Wycombe              43   47   -9      -7.55    22.27    -3.71    50.95     2.23    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.25R    0.37  
Bristol_Rovers       43   47  -10      -5.83    27.88    -2.12    50.87     2.23   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.23R    0.13  
Northampton          43   47  -19      -4.11    33.99    -8.83    50.64     2.20   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.81R    0.49  
Torquay              43   39  -24     -10.11    14.62   -10.86    42.55     2.19   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   99.01  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2014, Chester 0 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            44   95  +63       7.04    77.08    17.93    99.61     1.59    66.19   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    44   82  +40       6.04    72.80    16.26    85.59     1.70    41.32     0.00   100.00    33.79P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          44   76  +28       6.08    72.09    12.65    79.18     1.90    28.64     0.00    96.64    20.53P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   74  +18       0.92    53.70    -0.95    77.86     1.56    20.16     0.00    87.67    24.72P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        44   73  +18       6.34    74.00     8.27    75.59     1.83    17.80     0.00    46.03     8.34P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   44   72  +18       7.05    76.23    10.82    74.44     1.76    17.63     0.00    24.65     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    44   72   +8       1.65    56.60    -7.68    75.11     1.77     8.50     0.00    27.09     6.07P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    44   72   -2      14.66    93.07     3.91    74.73     1.85    -2.03     0.00    17.78     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           44   68   +5      -0.43    48.31    -7.39    71.02     1.82     5.40     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     44   66  +17      -3.52    36.15     2.47    68.31     1.70    16.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           44   65   -4       8.71    81.27     3.44    67.76     1.87    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        44   62   -9      10.21    84.88     4.31    64.78     1.84    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     44   61   +0       2.07    58.50     2.23    63.27     1.74    -0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         44   61   -9       7.76    78.92     1.47    63.44     1.70    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   58   +1     -10.79    13.64   -12.07    60.99     1.79     1.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     44   58   +0      -3.30    37.40    -1.33    60.71     1.85    -0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          44   57   +0       1.03    54.38     6.59    59.97     1.82     0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        44   50  -18      -1.12    46.05    -2.50    52.22     1.79   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Aldershot        44   48   +7     -12.67    10.30    -9.13    51.40     1.82     7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Chester          44   47  -22       1.05    55.12     0.88    49.03     1.63   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.86R    0.00  
Hereford         44   45  -21     -10.29    14.40   -13.72    47.41     1.73   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.51R    0.00  
Dartford         44   44  -22      -6.61    24.86    -6.67    46.91     1.76   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.11R    0.00  
Tamworth         44   36  -37      -5.90    26.23    -7.74    38.20     1.76   -37.79     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      44   10  -79     -20.90     0.20   -22.06    10.71     1.17   -83.21     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10