Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 19 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2014, Aston_Villa 0 0 Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        34   77  +51       7.45    82.49    11.00    85.50     2.38    56.16    72.99    93.36    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   75  +41       4.32    69.46     5.39    80.97     2.00    44.01     5.01    28.97    97.76    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         33   71  +54      -0.91    43.66     7.59    82.57     2.43    62.38    22.00    77.54    98.59    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          34   67  +18       6.60    78.27    -3.30    75.30     2.46    22.44     0.00     0.11     3.37    80.65    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   66  +21       7.90    82.65     4.37    71.74     2.61    21.35     0.00     0.01     0.32    18.07    94.15     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   63   +2       8.84    84.47    -6.36    68.05     2.24     3.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36    56.49     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   57  +18      -5.09    26.31    -8.51    67.14     2.66    23.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07    49.58     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   49   +5       1.49    57.51     7.60    52.47     2.23     4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        35   46  -15       5.17    73.26    -1.94    48.83     1.85   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   44  -10       2.88    63.90     1.16    48.15     2.23    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   43  -13       8.13    84.29     7.12    45.24     1.90   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   37  -10      -5.68    25.26    -0.69    39.69     1.99   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Swansea          35   36   -4      -8.61    15.44     2.70    40.71     2.28    -3.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Hull             33   36   -6       0.06    51.04     8.57    40.71     2.65    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      34   35  -14      -3.74    33.12    -0.39    38.60     2.25   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.58R    0.01  
West_Brom        33   33  -11      -8.07    16.43    -2.78    38.50     2.67   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.36R    0.15  
Norwich          34   32  -27      -2.89    36.99    -7.42    34.13     1.95   -33.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.99R   11.06  
Cardiff          35   30  -34      -1.36    44.38    -4.43    32.36     1.97   -36.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.17R   49.97  
Fulham           35   30  -42      -3.11    35.64   -13.67    34.07     2.23   -42.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.15R   20.88  
Sunderland       34   29  -24      -7.00    19.34    -6.01    34.07     2.47   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.09R   17.92  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2014, Barnsley 0 1 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       43   93  +36      15.22    94.30     7.40    98.66     2.16    38.39    99.35   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         43   86  +32      13.78    91.92    12.42    90.70     2.25    32.85     0.65    98.66   100.00    99.00P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   78  +29       8.06    79.20    12.43    83.37     2.24    30.93     0.00     1.34   100.00    26.82P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             43   73  +14       4.67    67.97     0.26    78.40     2.21    15.82     0.00     0.00    99.98    24.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           42   70  +17      -0.24    49.22    -1.61    76.09     2.59    17.91     0.00     0.00    98.77    26.91P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        43   65  +12      -1.64    43.56     0.60    70.35     2.16    13.79     0.00     0.00    54.78    13.03P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         43   64  +10      -3.48    36.49    -2.77    68.94     2.28    11.20     0.00     0.00    24.69     5.69P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         43   64   +6       5.32    70.90     6.20    68.19     2.21     6.12     0.00     0.00    11.06     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   43   62   +5       0.48    52.29     1.34    66.01     2.28     4.84     0.00     0.00     3.18     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   62   -1       7.45    77.40     6.41    65.84     2.27    -1.41     0.00     0.00     2.06     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       43   61   +3      -0.23    49.24    -0.27    64.98     2.26     2.83     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         42   60  +18      -8.56    19.50     1.38    65.84     2.58    18.55     0.00     0.00     4.81     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   43   58   +9      -2.91    38.86     5.86    62.63     2.19     9.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          43   55   -2      -6.57    25.63    -5.76    59.16     2.27    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   53   +2      -4.27    33.78     4.53    57.37     2.25     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    43   53   -8      -1.70    43.90    -1.08    56.79     2.26    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   47   -9      -4.59    32.37     2.21    50.12     2.14   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      42   43  -11     -12.08    10.66    -6.82    48.41     2.63   -11.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.19R    0.01  
Doncaster       43   43  -28       0.62    53.98    -3.38    45.52     1.98   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.86R    0.83  
Millwall        43   43  -29      -2.87    38.93    -9.18    46.80     2.15   -29.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.86R    0.28  
Charlton        42   42  -24      -6.56    24.41   -11.78    46.62     2.53   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.57R    0.53  
Blackpool       43   42  -27      -8.05    20.12   -14.04    45.08     2.04   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.26R    1.53  
Barnsley        43   39  -29      -5.29    29.17    -6.57    41.37     1.95   -31.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.21R   37.96  
Yeovil          43   37  -25      -4.68    31.57     2.23    40.14     2.10   -26.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.04R   58.86  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 April 2014, Bradford 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   43   96  +53       7.52    78.38     8.05   101.94     2.12    55.91    99.30   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   90  +30      16.58    95.59     8.77    95.21     2.21    31.57     0.70   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   80  +38       6.41    73.67    16.08    84.63     2.22    38.82     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       43   79  +26      13.38    90.12    16.21    83.67     2.27    26.87     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.62P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   79  +22      11.76    88.15     9.73    84.63     2.22    24.21     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.11P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    43   67   +9      -1.52    43.99    -5.40    72.76     2.20    11.57     0.00     0.00    91.67    22.20P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         43   63   +6      -4.38    33.14    -6.57    68.03     2.29     7.31     0.00     0.00     7.49     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       43   60  -12       8.64    80.63     0.82    62.83     2.11   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   59   +0      -3.69    35.09    -7.75    65.21     2.63     1.07     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         43   58   +0      -6.29    26.47    -7.86    61.78     2.27    -0.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         43   57   +2      -2.24    41.28     1.15    61.99     2.26     3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    42   55   -4       1.64    57.33     1.93    60.60     2.62    -3.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        43   53   +2       0.44    52.47    11.10    56.59     2.20     1.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    43   53   +1      -9.73    17.53    -4.27    57.95     2.28     2.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      43   51  -17       2.05    58.76    -0.39    54.26     2.12   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Oldham          42   50  -10       0.51    52.93     1.66    55.36     2.63   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Coventry        43   49   -2      -2.45    40.90    -4.93    52.34     2.19    -3.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Colchester      43   46  -12      -4.41    32.97     0.90    49.33     2.18   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.03R    0.02  
Tranmere        43   46  -24      -4.40    33.12   -10.59    49.40     2.15   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.20R    0.06  
Crewe           43   46  -27       0.83    54.18    -3.83    49.22     2.16   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.00R    0.10  
Carlisle        42   44  -26      -0.84    47.34    -5.90    47.45     2.29   -29.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.25R    2.19  
Notts_County    43   43  -16     -11.76    11.90    -8.54    47.06     2.28   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.52R    2.12  
Shrewsbury      43   41  -16      -8.82    17.90    -3.42    44.15     2.13   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.28R   19.88  
Stevenage       43   39  -23      -9.06    17.33    -6.93    42.14     2.11   -24.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.25R   75.63  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2014, Burton_Albion 3 0 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Scunthorpe           43   77  +25       2.12    57.92     1.90    82.21     2.24    26.55    60.89    98.99   100.00    99.35P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   75  +27       1.06    53.93     5.54    79.92     2.27    28.16    23.89    87.79   100.00    91.94P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             43   75  +19       7.27    76.41     6.17    79.98     2.29    20.26    14.58    90.59   100.00    93.32P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   72  +14       8.79    81.11     7.65    76.02     2.20    13.88     0.51    16.21   100.00    36.33P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   71   +8       9.85    83.90     4.29    74.74     2.20     7.58     0.12     6.41    99.97    26.83P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   65  +15      -2.75    39.13     2.23    69.78     2.24    15.95     0.00     0.00    94.41    30.17P    0.00     0.00  
York                 43   64   +9       6.12    73.50     9.30    67.89     2.16     8.75     0.00     0.00    70.77    14.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   62   +7       0.43    52.01     2.66    66.08     2.20     6.98     0.00     0.00    30.86     7.09P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             43   58   -6       4.01    66.39    -0.15    61.98     2.22    -6.13     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   57   +9      -8.83    19.74    -1.10    61.56     2.27     9.67     0.00     0.00     2.43     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   57   -3       1.57    56.98     1.42    60.86     2.21    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            43   57   -6       5.53    71.43     4.26    61.15     2.25    -5.90     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       43   54   -3       4.02    66.23    10.01    57.40     2.20    -4.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           43   54  -11      -6.87    25.22   -14.03    58.19     2.24   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   53   -5       1.22    55.44     4.72    56.86     2.22    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           43   52   -9      -4.73    31.79    -6.35    55.86     2.22    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   51   -3      -3.46    36.88     2.77    54.56     2.16    -3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Morecambe            43   50  -14      -2.41    40.97    -4.86    53.47     2.20   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.50R    0.00  
Hartlepool           43   49   -5     -10.40    15.05    -6.32    53.55     2.25    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.23R    0.00  
Exeter               43   49   -6      -8.89    18.57    -4.85    52.98     2.22    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.93R    0.00  
Wycombe              43   47   -9      -7.60    22.17    -3.74    50.92     2.21    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.55R    0.40  
Bristol_Rovers       43   47  -10      -5.87    27.77    -2.18    50.88     2.23   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.79R    0.15  
Northampton          43   47  -19      -4.08    34.24    -8.76    50.65     2.21   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.90R    0.43  
Torquay              43   39  -24      -9.87    14.86   -10.61    42.55     2.18   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   99.02  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2014, Chester 0 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            44   95  +63       6.80    76.27    17.59    99.62     1.58    66.20   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    44   82  +40       5.94    72.68    16.09    85.59     1.71    41.32     0.00   100.00    33.74P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          44   76  +28       6.38    73.28    13.18    79.16     1.90    28.62     0.00    96.44    20.08P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   74  +18       0.92    53.31    -0.98    77.86     1.57    20.19     0.00    87.73    25.10P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        44   73  +18       6.30    73.46     8.23    75.60     1.82    17.82     0.00    46.24     8.46P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   44   72  +18       6.89    75.94    10.61    74.44     1.76    17.63     0.00    24.79     4.58P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    44   72   +8       1.42    55.75    -7.98    75.12     1.78     8.51     0.00    27.48     6.21P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    44   72   -2      15.04    93.36     4.52    74.71     1.83    -2.05     0.00    17.16     1.81P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           44   68   +5      -0.67    47.35    -7.80    71.01     1.82     5.39     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     44   66  +17      -3.80    35.28     2.03    68.33     1.69    16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           44   65   -4       8.66    81.10     3.31    67.77     1.87    -3.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        44   62   -9      10.30    84.98     4.54    64.78     1.83    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     44   61   +0       2.21    59.11     2.49    63.30     1.75    -0.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         44   61   -9       7.71    78.78     1.43    63.45     1.70    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          44   58   +1     -10.74    14.08   -11.92    60.94     1.79     1.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     44   58   +0      -3.14    37.85    -1.02    60.71     1.85    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          44   57   +0       1.06    54.77     6.62    59.96     1.81     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        44   50  -18      -1.08    46.18    -2.45    52.23     1.79   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Aldershot        44   48   +7     -12.75    10.04    -9.27    51.38     1.82     7.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Chester          44   47  -22       1.34    56.49     1.29    49.02     1.61   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.05R    0.00  
Hereford         44   45  -21     -10.61    13.24   -14.24    47.44     1.73   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.82R    0.00  
Dartford         44   44  -22      -6.55    25.16    -6.55    46.90     1.77   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.60R    0.00  
Tamworth         44   36  -37      -6.02    25.89    -7.91    38.21     1.76   -37.77     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      44   10  -79     -20.73     0.23   -21.82    10.70     1.16   -83.24     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10