Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 19 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2014, Aston_Villa 0 0 Southampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 34 77 +51 7.45 82.49 11.00 85.50 2.38 56.16 72.99 93.36 99.96 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 35 75 +41 4.32 69.46 5.39 80.97 2.00 44.01 5.01 28.97 97.76 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 33 71 +54 -0.91 43.66 7.59 82.57 2.43 62.38 22.00 77.54 98.59 99.89 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 34 67 +18 6.60 78.27 -3.30 75.30 2.46 22.44 0.00 0.11 3.37 80.65 99.78 0.00 0.00 Everton 34 66 +21 7.90 82.65 4.37 71.74 2.61 21.35 0.00 0.01 0.32 18.07 94.15 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 35 63 +2 8.84 84.47 -6.36 68.05 2.24 3.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36 56.49 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 33 57 +18 -5.09 26.31 -8.51 67.14 2.66 23.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07 49.58 0.00 0.00 Southampton 35 49 +5 1.49 57.51 7.60 52.47 2.23 4.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 35 46 -15 5.17 73.26 -1.94 48.83 1.85 -17.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 35 44 -10 2.88 63.90 1.16 48.15 2.23 -9.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 35 43 -13 8.13 84.29 7.12 45.24 1.90 -16.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 35 37 -10 -5.68 25.26 -0.69 39.69 1.99 -12.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Swansea 35 36 -4 -8.61 15.44 2.70 40.71 2.28 -3.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23R 0.00 Hull 33 36 -6 0.06 51.04 8.57 40.71 2.65 -9.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31R 0.00 Aston_Villa 34 35 -14 -3.74 33.12 -0.39 38.60 2.25 -17.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.58R 0.01 West_Brom 33 33 -11 -8.07 16.43 -2.78 38.50 2.67 -13.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.36R 0.15 Norwich 34 32 -27 -2.89 36.99 -7.42 34.13 1.95 -33.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.99R 11.06 Cardiff 35 30 -34 -1.36 44.38 -4.43 32.36 1.97 -36.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.17R 49.97 Fulham 35 30 -42 -3.11 35.64 -13.67 34.07 2.23 -42.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.15R 20.88 Sunderland 34 29 -24 -7.00 19.34 -6.01 34.07 2.47 -24.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.09R 17.92Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2014, Barnsley 0 1 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 43 93 +36 15.22 94.30 7.40 98.66 2.16 38.39 99.35 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 43 86 +32 13.78 91.92 12.42 90.70 2.25 32.85 0.65 98.66 100.00 99.00P 0.00 0.00 Derby 43 78 +29 8.06 79.20 12.43 83.37 2.24 30.93 0.00 1.34 100.00 26.82P 0.00 0.00 QPR 43 73 +14 4.67 67.97 0.26 78.40 2.21 15.82 0.00 0.00 99.98 24.72P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 42 70 +17 -0.24 49.22 -1.61 76.09 2.59 17.91 0.00 0.00 98.77 26.91P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 43 65 +12 -1.64 43.56 0.60 70.35 2.16 13.79 0.00 0.00 54.78 13.03P 0.00 0.00 Reading 43 64 +10 -3.48 36.49 -2.77 68.94 2.28 11.20 0.00 0.00 24.69 5.69P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 43 64 +6 5.32 70.90 6.20 68.19 2.21 6.12 0.00 0.00 11.06 1.67P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 43 62 +5 0.48 52.29 1.34 66.01 2.28 4.84 0.00 0.00 3.18 0.60P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 43 62 -1 7.45 77.40 6.41 65.84 2.27 -1.41 0.00 0.00 2.06 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 43 61 +3 -0.23 49.24 -0.27 64.98 2.26 2.83 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Watford 42 60 +18 -8.56 19.50 1.38 65.84 2.58 18.55 0.00 0.00 4.81 1.23P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 43 58 +9 -2.91 38.86 5.86 62.63 2.19 9.73 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bolton 43 55 -2 -6.57 25.63 -5.76 59.16 2.27 -1.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 43 53 +2 -4.27 33.78 4.53 57.37 2.25 2.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 43 53 -8 -1.70 43.90 -1.08 56.79 2.26 -8.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 43 47 -9 -4.59 32.37 2.21 50.12 2.14 -10.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Birmingham 42 43 -11 -12.08 10.66 -6.82 48.41 2.63 -11.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.19R 0.01 Doncaster 43 43 -28 0.62 53.98 -3.38 45.52 1.98 -30.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.86R 0.83 Millwall 43 43 -29 -2.87 38.93 -9.18 46.80 2.15 -29.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.86R 0.28 Charlton 42 42 -24 -6.56 24.41 -11.78 46.62 2.53 -25.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.57R 0.53 Blackpool 43 42 -27 -8.05 20.12 -14.04 45.08 2.04 -28.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.26R 1.53 Barnsley 43 39 -29 -5.29 29.17 -6.57 41.37 1.95 -31.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.21R 37.96 Yeovil 43 37 -25 -4.68 31.57 2.23 40.14 2.10 -26.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.04R 58.86League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 April 2014, Bradford 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 43 96 +53 7.52 78.38 8.05 101.94 2.12 55.91 99.30 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 43 90 +30 16.58 95.59 8.77 95.21 2.21 31.57 0.70 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 43 80 +38 6.41 73.67 16.08 84.63 2.22 38.82 0.00 0.00 100.00 31.05P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 43 79 +26 13.38 90.12 16.21 83.67 2.27 26.87 0.00 0.00 100.00 19.62P 0.00 0.00 Preston 43 79 +22 11.76 88.15 9.73 84.63 2.22 24.21 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.11P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 43 67 +9 -1.52 43.99 -5.40 72.76 2.20 11.57 0.00 0.00 91.67 22.20P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 43 63 +6 -4.38 33.14 -6.57 68.03 2.29 7.31 0.00 0.00 7.49 1.84P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 43 60 -12 8.64 80.63 0.82 62.83 2.11 -14.19 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 42 59 +0 -3.69 35.09 -7.75 65.21 2.63 1.07 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.18P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 43 58 +0 -6.29 26.47 -7.86 61.78 2.27 -0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 43 57 +2 -2.24 41.28 1.15 61.99 2.26 3.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 42 55 -4 1.64 57.33 1.93 60.60 2.62 -3.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bradford 43 53 +2 0.44 52.47 11.10 56.59 2.20 1.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 43 53 +1 -9.73 17.53 -4.27 57.95 2.28 2.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 43 51 -17 2.05 58.76 -0.39 54.26 2.12 -18.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Oldham 42 50 -10 0.51 52.93 1.66 55.36 2.63 -10.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Coventry 43 49 -2 -2.45 40.90 -4.93 52.34 2.19 -3.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38R 0.00 Colchester 43 46 -12 -4.41 32.97 0.90 49.33 2.18 -13.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.03R 0.02 Tranmere 43 46 -24 -4.40 33.12 -10.59 49.40 2.15 -25.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.20R 0.06 Crewe 43 46 -27 0.83 54.18 -3.83 49.22 2.16 -28.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.00R 0.10 Carlisle 42 44 -26 -0.84 47.34 -5.90 47.45 2.29 -29.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.25R 2.19 Notts_County 43 43 -16 -11.76 11.90 -8.54 47.06 2.28 -16.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.52R 2.12 Shrewsbury 43 41 -16 -8.82 17.90 -3.42 44.15 2.13 -17.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.28R 19.88 Stevenage 43 39 -23 -9.06 17.33 -6.93 42.14 2.11 -24.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.25R 75.63 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2014, Burton_Albion 3 0 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Scunthorpe 43 77 +25 2.12 57.92 1.90 82.21 2.24 26.55 60.89 98.99 100.00 99.35P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 43 75 +27 1.06 53.93 5.54 79.92 2.27 28.16 23.89 87.79 100.00 91.94P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 43 75 +19 7.27 76.41 6.17 79.98 2.29 20.26 14.58 90.59 100.00 93.32P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 43 72 +14 8.79 81.11 7.65 76.02 2.20 13.88 0.51 16.21 100.00 36.33P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 43 71 +8 9.85 83.90 4.29 74.74 2.20 7.58 0.12 6.41 99.97 26.83P 0.00 0.00 Southend 43 65 +15 -2.75 39.13 2.23 69.78 2.24 15.95 0.00 0.00 94.41 30.17P 0.00 0.00 York 43 64 +9 6.12 73.50 9.30 67.89 2.16 8.75 0.00 0.00 70.77 14.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 43 62 +7 0.43 52.01 2.66 66.08 2.20 6.98 0.00 0.00 30.86 7.09P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 43 58 -6 4.01 66.39 -0.15 61.98 2.22 -6.13 0.00 0.00 1.05 0.19P 0.00 0.00 Bury 43 57 +9 -8.83 19.74 -1.10 61.56 2.27 9.67 0.00 0.00 2.43 0.71P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 43 57 -3 1.57 56.98 1.42 60.86 2.21 -3.32 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 43 57 -6 5.53 71.43 4.26 61.15 2.25 -5.90 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 43 54 -3 4.02 66.23 10.01 57.40 2.20 -4.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 43 54 -11 -6.87 25.22 -14.03 58.19 2.24 -10.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 43 53 -5 1.22 55.44 4.72 56.86 2.22 -5.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Cheltenham 43 52 -9 -4.73 31.79 -6.35 55.86 2.22 -9.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 43 51 -3 -3.46 36.88 2.77 54.56 2.16 -3.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15R 0.00 Morecambe 43 50 -14 -2.41 40.97 -4.86 53.47 2.20 -14.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.50R 0.00 Hartlepool 43 49 -5 -10.40 15.05 -6.32 53.55 2.25 -4.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.23R 0.00 Exeter 43 49 -6 -8.89 18.57 -4.85 52.98 2.22 -6.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.93R 0.00 Wycombe 43 47 -9 -7.60 22.17 -3.74 50.92 2.21 -9.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.55R 0.40 Bristol_Rovers 43 47 -10 -5.87 27.77 -2.18 50.88 2.23 -10.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.79R 0.15 Northampton 43 47 -19 -4.08 34.24 -8.76 50.65 2.21 -19.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.90R 0.43 Torquay 43 39 -24 -9.87 14.86 -10.61 42.55 2.18 -24.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.88R 99.02Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2014, Chester 0 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 44 95 +63 6.80 76.27 17.59 99.62 1.58 66.20 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 44 82 +40 5.94 72.68 16.09 85.59 1.71 41.32 0.00 100.00 33.74P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 44 76 +28 6.38 73.28 13.18 79.16 1.90 28.62 0.00 96.44 20.08P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 44 74 +18 0.92 53.31 -0.98 77.86 1.57 20.19 0.00 87.73 25.10P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 44 73 +18 6.30 73.46 8.23 75.60 1.82 17.82 0.00 46.24 8.46P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 44 72 +18 6.89 75.94 10.61 74.44 1.76 17.63 0.00 24.79 4.58P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 44 72 +8 1.42 55.75 -7.98 75.12 1.78 8.51 0.00 27.48 6.21P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 44 72 -2 15.04 93.36 4.52 74.71 1.83 -2.05 0.00 17.16 1.81P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 44 68 +5 -0.67 47.35 -7.80 71.01 1.82 5.39 0.00 0.17 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 44 66 +17 -3.80 35.28 2.03 68.33 1.69 16.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 44 65 -4 8.66 81.10 3.31 67.77 1.87 -3.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 44 62 -9 10.30 84.98 4.54 64.78 1.83 -8.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 44 61 +0 2.21 59.11 2.49 63.30 1.75 -0.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 44 61 -9 7.71 78.78 1.43 63.45 1.70 -9.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 44 58 +1 -10.74 14.08 -11.92 60.94 1.79 1.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 44 58 +0 -3.14 37.85 -1.02 60.71 1.85 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 44 57 +0 1.06 54.77 6.62 59.96 1.81 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 44 50 -18 -1.08 46.18 -2.45 52.23 1.79 -18.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Aldershot 44 48 +7 -12.75 10.04 -9.27 51.38 1.82 7.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50R 0.00 Chester 44 47 -22 1.34 56.49 1.29 49.02 1.61 -23.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.05R 0.00 Hereford 44 45 -21 -10.61 13.24 -14.24 47.44 1.73 -21.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.82R 0.00 Dartford 44 44 -22 -6.55 25.16 -6.55 46.90 1.77 -21.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.60R 0.00 Tamworth 44 36 -37 -6.02 25.89 -7.91 38.21 1.76 -37.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Hyde_United 44 10 -79 -20.73 0.23 -21.82 10.70 1.16 -83.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10