Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 18 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 April 2014, Everton 2 3 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        34   77  +51       7.50    82.51    11.02    85.46     2.39    56.07    61.20    84.77    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   75  +42       5.83    76.34     6.51    83.51     2.24    46.99    25.17    60.29    99.68    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         33   71  +54      -0.74    44.74     7.84    82.57     2.42    62.39    13.63    54.93    98.64    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          34   67  +18       6.63    78.23    -3.36    75.30     2.46    22.42     0.00     0.01     1.50    80.19    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   66  +21       7.76    82.30     4.14    71.75     2.63    21.35     0.00     0.00     0.22    18.58    95.66     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   60   +0       8.31    83.58    -6.60    67.21     2.56     2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24    46.13     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   57  +18      -5.16    25.95    -8.73    67.23     2.66    23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.09    58.35     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   48   +5       1.88    59.20     7.74    52.83     2.62     4.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        34   46  -14       6.23    77.29    -1.45    50.33     2.28   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   43  -10       3.39    66.76     1.42    48.58     2.60    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   40  -14       6.62    80.06     6.63    43.10     2.23   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   37   -9      -4.36    30.29     0.22    41.55     2.38   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Hull             33   36   -6      -0.05    50.80     8.50    40.70     2.67    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      33   34  -14      -3.33    34.75    -0.06    38.99     2.64   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.68R    0.02  
Swansea          34   33   -5     -10.00    11.49     2.15    38.98     2.64    -4.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.19R    0.04  
West_Brom        33   33  -11      -8.07    16.40    -2.84    38.50     2.67   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.77R    0.08  
Norwich          34   32  -27      -2.94    36.67    -7.42    34.11     1.95   -33.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.35R    6.45  
Fulham           34   30  -40      -2.75    37.17   -13.59    34.72     2.46   -41.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.23R    9.37  
Cardiff          34   29  -34      -1.18    45.24    -4.49    32.63     2.35   -36.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.47R   35.89  
Sunderland       33   26  -25      -8.94    12.66    -7.64    31.37     2.60   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.00R   48.15  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 April 2014, Blackburn 0 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       42   90  +35      14.26    93.10     7.29    97.35     2.54    37.84    96.87   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         43   86  +32      13.70    91.94    12.35    90.72     2.25    32.87     3.13    98.77   100.00    99.09P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   78  +29       8.21    79.22    12.68    83.36     2.24    30.93     0.00     1.23   100.00    27.25P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   73  +15       5.74    72.02     0.81    79.43     2.55    16.37     0.00     0.00    99.97    24.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           42   70  +17      -0.21    49.11    -1.56    76.10     2.58    17.92     0.00     0.00    98.48    26.83P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        43   65  +12      -1.65    43.58     0.63    70.37     2.16    13.79     0.00     0.00    49.93    11.79P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         43   64  +10      -3.62    36.19    -2.97    68.90     2.28    11.15     0.00     0.00    21.63     4.96P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         42   64   +8       5.81    72.66     6.90    69.18     2.53     7.53     0.00     0.00    21.87     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   62   -1       7.61    77.65     6.62    65.85     2.27    -1.40     0.00     0.00     1.90     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       43   61   +3      -0.26    49.19    -0.31    64.97     2.26     2.81     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   59   +4      -0.61    47.97     1.14    64.70     2.66     4.31     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   42   58  +10      -1.91    42.69     6.32    64.62     2.55    11.65     0.00     0.00     1.46     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         41   57  +16      -9.29    17.23     0.78    64.62     2.90    17.14     0.00     0.00     2.65     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton          43   55   -2      -6.60    25.35    -5.84    59.17     2.26    -1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   53   +2      -4.16    34.01     4.73    57.33     2.25     2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   50   -9      -3.16    37.87    -1.74    55.19     2.65    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   47   -9      -4.70    31.85     2.02    50.15     2.15   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Birmingham      41   43  -10     -11.46    11.54    -6.84    49.51     2.92   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.00  
Doncaster       43   43  -28       0.75    54.45    -3.31    45.53     1.97   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.63R    1.36  
Charlton        42   42  -24      -6.63    24.36   -11.87    46.63     2.53   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.99R    0.71  
Blackpool       43   42  -27      -8.00    20.34   -13.90    45.06     2.03   -28.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.69R    1.77  
Millwall        42   40  -30      -4.49    32.13   -10.15    44.55     2.44   -31.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.42R    6.92  
Barnsley        42   39  -28      -4.16    33.17    -5.82    42.71     2.38   -30.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.94R   21.78  
Yeovil          43   37  -25      -4.76    31.41     2.04    40.11     2.10   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.94R   67.45  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 April 2014, Bradford 1 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   43   96  +53       7.63    79.06     8.27   101.95     2.11    55.94    99.29   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   90  +30      16.68    95.50     8.93    95.21     2.22    31.58     0.71   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   43   80  +38       6.37    73.90    16.04    84.63     2.22    38.82     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.78P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       43   79  +26      13.55    90.39    16.45    83.66     2.28    26.85     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.51P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         43   79  +22      11.79    88.15     9.74    84.64     2.22    24.22     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.45P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    43   67   +9      -1.60    43.82    -5.46    72.79     2.20    11.65     0.00     0.00    92.00    22.40P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         43   63   +6      -4.53    32.73    -6.76    68.01     2.28     7.30     0.00     0.00     7.07     1.69P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       43   60  -12       8.83    81.24     1.17    62.83     2.12   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       42   59   +0      -3.51    36.12    -7.54    65.20     2.64     1.05     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         43   58   +0      -6.18    27.03    -7.73    61.79     2.26    -0.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         43   57   +2      -2.22    41.45     1.16    62.01     2.25     3.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    42   55   -4       1.66    57.15     1.98    60.60     2.62    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        43   53   +2       0.50    52.45    11.12    56.59     2.19     1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    43   53   +1      -9.98    16.68    -4.61    57.97     2.28     2.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham      43   51  -17       2.12    59.03    -0.38    54.24     2.12   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          42   50  -10       0.33    51.88     1.43    55.38     2.63   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Coventry        43   49   -2      -2.19    41.97    -4.52    52.34     2.19    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
Colchester      43   46  -12      -4.75    31.87     0.44    49.33     2.17   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.97R    0.03  
Tranmere        43   46  -24      -4.77    31.75   -11.17    49.41     2.14   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.76R    0.07  
Crewe           43   46  -27       0.71    53.93    -4.14    49.22     2.16   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.19R    0.10  
Carlisle        42   44  -26      -0.79    47.81    -5.76    47.45     2.28   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.40R    2.26  
Notts_County    43   43  -16     -11.90    11.62    -8.85    47.07     2.29   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.52R    2.04  
Shrewsbury      43   41  -16      -8.73    18.17    -3.17    44.15     2.14   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.37R   19.15  
Stevenage       43   39  -23      -8.87    17.51    -6.64    42.10     2.10   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.29R   76.35  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 April 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 2 2 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Scunthorpe           43   77  +25       1.94    57.18     1.73    82.22     2.25    26.56    60.84    99.18   100.00    99.52P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   75  +27       0.95    53.88     5.43    79.97     2.26    28.22    23.99    89.65   100.00    93.31P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             43   75  +19       7.20    75.99     6.05    79.98     2.29    20.27    14.63    92.08   100.00    94.41P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   72  +14       8.85    80.83     7.72    75.99     2.20    13.84     0.51    16.43   100.00    37.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   68   +5       9.62    83.78     3.15    73.10     2.56     4.57     0.04     2.67    99.31    22.28P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   65  +15      -2.72    39.23     2.24    69.82     2.24    16.01     0.00     0.00    94.60    30.73P    0.00     0.00  
York                 43   64   +9       5.65    71.98     8.68    67.91     2.18     8.78     0.00     0.00    71.06    14.29P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   62   +7       0.32    51.52     2.43    66.09     2.20     6.99     0.00     0.00    31.29     7.43P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             43   58   -6       4.11    66.74    -0.03    61.97     2.21    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   57   +9      -8.70    19.66    -0.93    61.52     2.26     9.63     0.00     0.00     2.29     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   57   -3       1.78    57.80     1.73    60.83     2.21    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            43   57   -6       5.50    71.44     4.21    61.13     2.26    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       43   54   -3       4.30    67.24    10.35    57.40     2.19    -4.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   53   -5       1.30    55.79     4.79    56.85     2.23    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           43   52   -9      -4.67    32.35    -6.31    55.87     2.23    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   51   -3      -3.09    38.09     3.31    54.55     2.17    -3.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Portsmouth           42   51  -12      -7.86    22.24   -14.17    56.81     2.61   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Morecambe            43   50  -14      -2.55    40.50    -5.11    53.49     2.20   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.40R    0.00  
Hartlepool           42   49   -2     -10.31    15.03    -5.06    54.90     2.60    -1.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.00  
Exeter               43   49   -6      -8.81    18.78    -4.73    52.93     2.21    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.80R    0.00  
Wycombe              43   47   -9      -7.50    22.44    -3.64    50.92     2.21    -9.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.02R    0.42  
Bristol_Rovers       42   47   -9      -5.17    29.95    -2.22    51.97     2.55    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.90R    0.07  
Northampton          43   47  -19      -3.88    34.94    -8.52    50.65     2.21   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.73R    0.59  
Torquay              43   39  -24     -10.26    14.17   -11.12    42.59     2.20   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   98.92  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 April 2014, Aldershot 3 2 Salisbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            43   92  +62       5.90    73.39    17.75    98.38     2.06    65.75   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    44   82  +40       6.05    73.17    16.26    85.60     1.70    41.35     0.00   100.00    33.58P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   74  +18       0.69    53.05    -1.33    77.88     1.56    20.19     0.00    89.05    25.70P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          43   73  +27       5.34    69.93    13.07    78.08     2.29    28.47     0.00    87.01    18.42P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        44   73  +18       6.72    75.14     8.83    75.57     1.83    17.76     0.00    47.70     8.66P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   44   72  +18       7.11    76.43    10.93    74.44     1.76    17.61     0.00    26.22     4.82P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    44   72   +8       1.34    55.31    -8.12    75.13     1.78     8.51     0.00    30.29     6.63P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    44   72   -2      14.83    93.14     4.24    74.73     1.84    -2.02     0.00    19.55     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     43   65  +17      -3.12    37.68     2.57    69.38     2.12    17.27     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   65   +4      -2.10    41.82    -8.47    69.42     2.23     4.46     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           43   64   -4       8.93    82.26     3.08    67.50     2.20    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        44   62   -9      10.35    85.26     4.50    64.76     1.82    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     44   61   +0       1.82    57.55     1.89    63.31     1.76    -0.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         43   61   -8       8.71    82.03     1.93    64.78     2.14    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     43   58   +1      -2.45    40.54    -1.13    61.59     2.21     0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   57   +1      -9.99    15.26   -11.43    61.50     2.23     1.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          43   57   +1       1.58    56.62     6.34    60.97     2.21     0.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        44   50  -18      -1.10    46.19    -2.49    52.21     1.79   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Aldershot        44   48   +7     -12.60    10.68    -9.07    51.40     1.82     7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Chester          43   46  -22       1.26    56.42     0.91    49.21     2.07   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.69R    0.00  
Hereford         44   45  -21     -10.22    14.43   -13.59    47.42     1.73   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.41R    0.00  
Dartford         44   44  -22      -6.62    24.92    -6.64    46.88     1.76   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.31R    0.00  
Tamworth         44   36  -37      -6.11    25.44    -8.06    38.24     1.76   -37.75     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      44   10  -79     -20.82     0.22   -21.97    10.70     1.16   -83.24     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10