Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 17 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 April 2014, Everton 2 3 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        34   77  +51       7.21    81.52    10.38    85.53     2.37    56.21    62.36    85.61    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   75  +42       5.89    76.52     6.55    83.48     2.24    46.92    24.47    59.49    99.69    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         33   71  +54      -0.69    45.09     7.93    82.55     2.43    62.37    13.17    54.89    98.59    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          34   67  +18       6.56    78.24    -3.43    75.30     2.46    22.41     0.00     0.01     1.56    80.44    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   66  +21       7.80    82.14     4.17    71.76     2.65    21.36     0.00     0.00     0.19    18.37    95.29     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   60   +0       8.03    82.53    -6.99    67.25     2.55     2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29    47.03     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   57  +18      -5.21    26.03    -8.72    67.21     2.65    23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00    57.86     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   48   +5       1.97    59.61     7.92    52.86     2.59     4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        34   46  -14       6.35    78.17    -1.29    50.32     2.30   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   43  -10       3.51    67.18     1.63    48.56     2.58    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   40  -14       6.57    80.21     6.60    43.12     2.24   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   37   -9      -4.36    30.54     0.27    41.53     2.39   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Hull             33   36   -6      -0.05    50.69     8.54    40.70     2.66    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      33   34  -14      -3.34    34.51    -0.08    38.99     2.62   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.60R    0.01  
Swansea          34   33   -5     -10.02    11.25     2.20    38.96     2.65    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.42R    0.07  
West_Brom        33   33  -11      -8.08    16.32    -2.77    38.52     2.67   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.71R    0.10  
Norwich          34   32  -27      -2.89    36.77    -7.39    34.08     1.93   -33.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.95R    6.59  
Fulham           34   30  -40      -2.80    37.16   -13.63    34.71     2.46   -41.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.16R    9.31  
Cardiff          34   29  -34      -1.04    45.64    -4.41    32.61     2.36   -36.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.44R   36.29  
Sunderland       33   26  -25      -8.85    12.88    -7.50    31.40     2.60   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.39R   47.63  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2014, Charlton 1 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       42   90  +35      14.20    93.22     7.21    97.38     2.56    37.86    98.26   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         42   83  +31      12.45    90.12    11.82    89.32     2.60    32.20     1.74    96.53   100.00    97.51P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           42   75  +27       7.55    77.69    12.12    82.11     2.60    29.48     0.00     3.36   100.00    28.19P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   73  +15       5.49    70.89     0.47    79.44     2.53    16.38     0.00     0.10    99.95    26.42P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           41   67  +14      -0.15    49.49    -2.19    74.55     2.92    15.05     0.00     0.00    86.26    22.33P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         42   64  +13      -3.72    35.34    -2.19    70.10     2.61    13.90     0.00     0.00    36.31     8.87P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        42   64  +12      -1.31    44.74     0.62    70.91     2.53    14.06     0.00     0.00    48.21    11.72P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         42   64   +8       5.79    72.57     6.85    69.20     2.53     7.56     0.00     0.00    17.11     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   62   +1       8.34    80.00     7.41    67.47     2.63     0.97     0.00     0.00     6.28     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       42   60   +3       0.29    51.40    -0.00    66.12     2.60     3.99     0.00     0.00     2.27     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   59   +4      -0.64    47.68     1.12    64.66     2.64     4.25     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   42   58  +10      -2.00    42.23     6.19    64.60     2.54    11.60     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         41   57  +16      -9.01    18.04     1.16    64.59     2.93    17.12     0.00     0.00     1.72     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton          42   54   -2      -6.30    26.30    -5.93    59.64     2.64    -1.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   50   +0      -4.89    31.14     3.95    55.44     2.60    -0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   50   -9      -3.21    37.41    -1.92    55.22     2.65    -9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   46   -9      -4.45    32.53     1.98    50.32     2.50   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Birmingham      41   43  -10     -11.26    12.18    -6.53    49.52     2.93   -10.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.37R    0.02  
Doncaster       42   43  -26       1.03    55.51    -2.83    46.52     2.35   -29.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.59R    0.64  
Blackpool       42   42  -26      -7.34    22.30   -13.88    46.22     2.41   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.60R    1.12  
Charlton        41   41  -24      -6.29    25.18   -11.70    46.93     2.87   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.33R    1.12  
Millwall        42   40  -30      -4.38    32.31    -9.98    44.53     2.45   -31.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.31R    6.40  
Barnsley        42   39  -28      -4.26    32.79    -6.00    42.72     2.36   -30.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.73R   20.01  
Yeovil          42   36  -25      -4.50    32.08     2.24    39.80     2.38   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.92R   70.68  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2014, Crawley_Town 2 0 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   42   93  +51       6.93    76.89     8.39   100.99     2.45    54.91    98.53   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   87  +29      15.40    94.52     8.34    93.82     2.58    30.92     1.47    94.49   100.00    96.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   80  +39       7.49    77.59    16.58    86.26     2.58    40.19     0.00     2.29   100.00    33.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       42   79  +28      13.64    91.06    16.32    84.40     2.54    27.82     0.00     0.52   100.00    20.45P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   79  +23      12.45    89.75     9.76    85.78     2.56    24.93     0.00     2.70   100.00    27.10P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    42   67  +10      -0.35    48.57    -4.72    74.37     2.59    12.96     0.00     0.00    97.91    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         42   60   +5      -5.56    28.84    -6.93    66.34     2.66     6.22     0.00     0.00     1.68     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   58   +1      -5.39    29.35    -7.62    63.33     2.66     0.77     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       42   57  -13       7.43    77.63     0.57    61.02     2.50   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         42   56   +2      -1.73    43.32     1.29    62.56     2.61     3.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   56   -1      -4.49    32.26    -7.59    64.04     2.95     0.71     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    41   52   -5       0.32    51.96     1.39    58.66     2.92    -5.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        42   50   +1      -0.88    46.99    10.63    54.72     2.55    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_City    42   50   +0     -10.69    14.68    -4.28    56.74     2.64     1.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Coventry        42   49   -1      -1.36    44.92    -4.46    53.78     2.58    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Gillingham      42   48  -19       1.44    56.50    -0.93    52.66     2.51   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.59R    0.00  
Oldham          41   47  -11      -0.93    46.84     1.02    53.51     2.96   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.85R    0.01  
Colchester      42   46  -11      -3.75    35.32     0.83    50.92     2.54   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.80R    0.08  
Tranmere        42   46  -22      -3.89    34.87    -9.94    50.73     2.53   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.61R    0.11  
Notts_County    42   43  -15     -11.10    12.87    -8.80    48.13     2.62   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.85R    2.58  
Carlisle        41   43  -26      -0.57    48.35    -5.93    47.65     2.63   -29.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.55R    6.09  
Crewe           42   43  -29      -0.15    50.19    -4.99    47.22     2.51   -31.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.39R    9.02  
Shrewsbury      42   41  -14      -7.99    20.23    -2.28    45.86     2.52   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.20R   13.11  
Stevenage       42   39  -22      -8.28    19.18    -6.66    43.01     2.43   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.72R   69.01  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 2 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Scunthorpe           42   76  +25       2.65    59.92     2.13    83.02     2.62    27.18    52.49    99.35   100.00    99.56P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   75  +22       7.57    77.63     7.60    81.60     2.65    23.62    25.09    97.85   100.00    98.50P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   74  +27       1.59    56.29     5.86    80.84     2.61    28.95    22.32    94.23   100.00    96.33P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       42   69  +13       7.59    77.75     7.23    74.37     2.58    12.86     0.09     6.26    99.95    29.13P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   68   +5       9.63    83.57     3.19    73.15     2.56     4.63     0.00     2.31    99.54    23.01P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   62  +12      -3.18    37.35     0.87    67.93     2.59    12.68     0.00     0.00    79.96    25.30P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   62   +8       1.34    55.80     3.02    67.66     2.55     8.30     0.00     0.00    68.58    17.01P    0.00     0.00  
York                 42   61   +8       4.62    68.82     8.49    66.02     2.51     7.45     0.00     0.00    41.38     8.93P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             42   58   -2       3.82    65.77     1.65    63.08     2.56    -2.46     0.00     0.00     6.83     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            42   56   -6       5.51    71.58     3.73    61.34     2.62    -6.15     0.00     0.00     1.80     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   54   +5      -8.53    20.18    -2.42    60.13     2.63     5.96     0.00     0.00     1.65     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   54   -4       0.33    51.80     1.08    59.18     2.58    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       42   53   -3       4.54    68.20    10.16    57.53     2.55    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   52   -5       1.89    58.54     5.04    57.38     2.60    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Cheltenham           42   52   -8      -3.58    36.27    -5.74    57.21     2.59    -8.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Portsmouth           42   51  -12      -8.08    21.46   -14.48    56.84     2.61   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   50   -3      -2.86    38.74     3.19    55.11     2.55    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59R    0.00  
Hartlepool           42   49   -2     -10.42    14.96    -5.25    54.87     2.61    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31R    0.01  
Morecambe            42   49  -14      -2.19    41.82    -5.09    53.45     2.53   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.30R    0.11  
Exeter               42   48   -6      -8.84    18.48    -5.30    52.81     2.52    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.60R    0.31  
Bristol_Rovers       42   47   -9      -4.95    30.84    -1.94    51.92     2.57    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.30R    0.55  
Wycombe              42   46   -9      -7.20    22.91    -3.71    51.49     2.58    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.34R    1.88  
Northampton          42   46  -19      -3.69    35.61    -8.74    50.79     2.55   -19.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.39R    3.21  
Torquay              42   39  -23      -9.29    16.44   -10.59    43.95     2.57   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.63R   93.93  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2014, Braintree_Town 0 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            43   92  +62       5.66    72.77    17.39    98.39     2.05    65.74   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    43   82  +41       7.01    76.44    16.56    87.09     2.15    42.55     0.00   100.00    34.55P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          43   73  +27       5.25    69.69    12.87    78.11     2.30    28.52     0.00    86.88    18.56P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   73  +18       1.39    55.35    -0.79    78.33     2.06    20.28     0.00    85.77    24.67P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        43   72  +18       7.04    76.41     8.73    76.66     2.22    18.86     0.00    67.75    12.63P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    43   71   -2      15.35    94.13     4.39    74.98     2.27    -2.22     0.00    27.45     3.11P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   43   69  +17       6.14    73.85    10.91    73.38     2.17    17.45     0.00    14.62     2.67P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    43   69   +6       1.01    54.04    -8.14    74.14     2.18     7.54     0.00    17.30     3.75P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     43   65  +17      -3.21    37.23     2.40    69.39     2.11    17.30     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   65   +4      -2.19    41.47    -8.58    69.44     2.25     4.50     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           43   64   -4       9.03    82.28     3.26    67.49     2.19    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        43   62   -8      11.08    87.03     4.40    65.48     2.15    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         43   61   -8       8.86    82.45     2.16    64.77     2.15    -8.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     43   58   +1      -2.42    40.70    -1.17    61.59     2.21     0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     43   58   -1       0.73    53.39     1.81    61.51     2.18    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   57   +1      -9.90    15.39   -11.33    61.53     2.22     1.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          43   57   +1       1.75    57.38     6.65    60.94     2.21     0.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        43   49  -18      -1.07    46.46    -3.03    51.94     2.12   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Chester          43   46  -22       1.09    55.44     0.66    49.19     2.07   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.55R    0.00  
Aldershot        43   45   +6     -13.67     8.44    -9.16    50.48     2.21     8.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.48R    0.00  
Hereford         43   45  -20      -9.35    16.12   -13.30    48.82     2.18   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.31R    0.00  
Dartford         43   44  -21      -5.87    27.20    -6.47    47.71     2.12   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.55R    0.00  
Tamworth         43   33  -38      -7.33    20.74    -8.26    36.55     2.20   -38.81     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      43   10  -77     -20.47     0.30   -21.95    11.46     1.63   -82.22     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10