Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 15 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2014, Arsenal 3 1 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        34   77  +51       7.40    82.35    10.74    85.55     2.37    56.21    50.90    80.25    99.90   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   75  +42       5.91    76.57     6.56    83.50     2.23    46.98    17.98    45.53    99.46    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   70  +54       0.30    50.48     9.00    84.29     2.56    65.02    31.11    74.18    99.03    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          34   67  +18       6.67    78.39    -3.24    75.29     2.46    22.43     0.00     0.01     0.68    60.17    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   66  +22       9.46    87.52     5.55    74.05     2.87    23.69     0.00     0.03     0.92    39.30    98.82     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   60   +0       8.28    83.54    -6.59    67.22     2.55     2.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    44.49     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   57  +18      -5.17    26.09    -8.76    67.23     2.64    23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58    56.89     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   48   +5       1.78    58.60     7.70    52.83     2.61     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        34   46  -14       6.07    76.90    -1.66    50.33     2.28   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   43  -10       3.34    66.54     1.36    48.61     2.59    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   37   -9      -4.42    30.24     0.14    41.57     2.38   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   37  -15       4.98    74.54     5.43    40.54     2.41   -20.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Hull             33   36   -6      -0.05    50.56     8.62    40.65     2.65    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      33   34  -14      -3.62    33.39    -0.50    39.01     2.63   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.44R    0.01  
Swansea          34   33   -5      -9.92    11.46     2.38    38.98     2.64    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.06R    0.02  
West_Brom        33   33  -11      -8.08    16.34    -2.83    38.51     2.65   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.35R    0.06  
Norwich          34   32  -27      -2.95    36.48    -7.33    34.10     1.95   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.93R    4.49  
Fulham           34   30  -40      -2.79    37.07   -13.58    34.73     2.45   -41.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.76R    7.12  
Cardiff          34   29  -34      -1.08    46.00    -4.29    32.63     2.35   -36.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.54R   29.58  
Sunderland       32   25  -25      -8.88    12.49    -8.68    30.54     2.68   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.45R   58.72  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2014, Charlton 1 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       42   90  +35      14.35    93.38     7.45    97.33     2.54    37.81    98.17   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         42   83  +31      12.56    90.31    11.98    89.33     2.62    32.21     1.83    96.67   100.00    97.54P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           42   75  +27       7.46    77.03    11.94    82.12     2.60    29.47     0.00     3.22   100.00    27.62P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   73  +15       5.57    71.14     0.61    79.43     2.55    16.37     0.00     0.11    99.94    26.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           41   67  +14      -0.31    48.64    -2.36    74.58     2.92    15.07     0.00     0.00    86.25    22.83P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         42   64  +13      -3.78    35.26    -2.30    70.10     2.61    13.90     0.00     0.00    36.29     8.96P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        42   64  +12      -1.15    45.28     0.90    70.90     2.52    14.05     0.00     0.00    48.33    11.73P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         42   64   +8       6.08    73.50     7.24    69.15     2.54     7.49     0.00     0.00    16.78     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   62   +1       8.11    79.19     7.13    67.51     2.65     1.01     0.00     0.00     6.53     0.88P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       42   60   +3       0.38    51.75     0.12    66.09     2.59     3.95     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   59   +4      -0.61    47.95     1.16    64.69     2.64     4.30     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   42   58  +10      -1.96    42.32     6.25    64.61     2.55    11.62     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         41   57  +16      -9.20    17.63     0.90    64.63     2.91    17.18     0.00     0.00     1.72     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton          42   54   -2      -6.55    25.47    -6.24    59.65     2.63    -1.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   50   +0      -5.12    30.21     3.62    55.45     2.59    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   50   -9      -2.90    38.70    -1.42    55.19     2.63    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   46   -9      -4.25    33.20     2.25    50.32     2.50   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Birmingham      41   43  -10     -11.29    11.96    -6.60    49.52     2.93   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.23R    0.02  
Doncaster       42   43  -26       0.93    55.14    -3.05    46.51     2.35   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.75R    0.65  
Blackpool       42   42  -26      -7.20    22.64   -13.67    46.19     2.40   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.79R    1.15  
Charlton        41   41  -24      -6.52    24.11   -12.05    46.96     2.86   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.02R    1.07  
Millwall        42   40  -30      -4.37    32.53    -9.83    44.50     2.44   -31.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.79R    6.52  
Barnsley        42   39  -28      -4.14    33.33    -5.84    42.73     2.38   -30.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.50R   20.21  
Yeovil          42   36  -25      -4.72    31.35     1.80    39.83     2.40   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.80R   70.39  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2014, Crawley_Town 2 0 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   42   93  +51       7.02    77.23     8.43   101.03     2.45    54.96    98.53   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   87  +29      15.18    94.25     7.96    93.85     2.59    30.96     1.47    94.64   100.00    96.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   80  +39       7.45    77.40    16.61    86.22     2.60    40.15     0.00     2.22   100.00    33.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       42   79  +28      13.74    90.96    16.49    84.40     2.53    27.83     0.00     0.49   100.00    20.20P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   79  +23      12.45    89.49     9.70    85.74     2.56    24.89     0.00     2.66   100.00    26.95P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    42   67  +10      -0.42    48.22    -4.89    74.40     2.58    13.00     0.00     0.00    97.76    23.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         42   60   +5      -5.33    29.65    -6.61    66.31     2.66     6.16     0.00     0.00     1.79     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   58   +1      -5.25    30.30    -7.42    63.33     2.63     0.76     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       42   57  -13       7.42    77.58     0.60    61.02     2.50   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         42   56   +2      -1.61    43.97     1.46    62.55     2.62     3.54     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   56   -1      -4.31    32.85    -7.43    64.03     2.94     0.69     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    41   52   -5       0.12    51.02     1.12    58.69     2.93    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford        42   50   +1      -0.72    47.74    10.85    54.70     2.55    -0.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_City    42   50   +0     -11.02    14.02    -4.69    56.74     2.66     1.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Coventry        42   49   -1      -1.26    45.05    -4.32    53.77     2.58    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Gillingham      42   48  -19       1.29    56.03    -1.01    52.66     2.52   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.56R    0.01  
Oldham          41   47  -11      -0.82    47.47     1.22    53.48     2.96   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.05R    0.00  
Colchester      42   46  -11      -3.60    36.18     1.09    50.90     2.56   -11.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.38R    0.03  
Tranmere        42   46  -22      -4.22    33.70   -10.43    50.77     2.54   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.49R    0.11  
Notts_County    42   43  -15     -11.21    12.59    -8.97    48.15     2.63   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.56R    2.60  
Carlisle        41   43  -26      -0.46    48.80    -5.72    47.63     2.63   -29.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.99R    6.19  
Crewe           42   43  -29      -0.33    49.41    -5.24    47.26     2.51   -31.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.80R    8.65  
Shrewsbury      42   41  -14      -8.09    19.69    -2.43    45.88     2.52   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.95R   12.94  
Stevenage       42   39  -22      -8.03    20.08    -6.36    42.99     2.42   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.76R   69.46  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 2 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Scunthorpe           42   76  +25       2.68    60.49     2.17    83.02     2.62    27.19    52.42    99.35   100.00    99.59P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   75  +22       7.53    77.39     7.54    81.58     2.64    23.60    24.86    97.92   100.00    98.52P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   74  +27       1.59    56.21     5.76    80.87     2.61    28.99    22.63    94.43   100.00    96.34P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       42   69  +13       7.57    77.64     7.26    74.35     2.58    12.84     0.09     6.01    99.94    28.78P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   68   +5       9.66    83.69     3.25    73.12     2.55     4.60     0.01     2.27    99.49    23.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   62  +12      -3.30    37.19     0.72    67.94     2.60    12.67     0.00     0.00    79.93    24.78P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   62   +8       1.19    55.11     2.82    67.68     2.57     8.30     0.00     0.00    68.62    17.58P    0.00     0.00  
York                 42   61   +8       4.76    69.20     8.72    66.02     2.51     7.45     0.00     0.00    41.55     8.68P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             42   58   -2       3.61    65.24     1.36    63.09     2.55    -2.45     0.00     0.00     6.80     1.44P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            42   56   -6       5.86    72.60     4.23    61.27     2.60    -6.24     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   54   +5      -8.43    20.42    -2.24    60.10     2.64     5.94     0.00     0.00     1.73     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   54   -4       0.48    52.67     1.23    59.17     2.57    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County       42   53   -3       4.52    68.22    10.11    57.56     2.55    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   52   -5       1.75    57.61     4.86    57.40     2.59    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Cheltenham           42   52   -8      -3.71    35.63    -5.89    57.24     2.59    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Portsmouth           42   51  -12      -8.00    21.41   -14.40    56.83     2.61   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   50   -3      -2.97    38.53     3.03    55.13     2.55    -3.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.00  
Hartlepool           42   49   -2     -10.34    15.04    -5.14    54.89     2.60    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.37R    0.01  
Morecambe            42   49  -14      -2.06    42.19    -4.90    53.45     2.53   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.39R    0.10  
Exeter               42   48   -6      -8.90    18.50    -5.40    52.80     2.53    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.79R    0.29  
Bristol_Rovers       42   47   -9      -5.12    30.36    -2.19    51.94     2.57    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.20R    0.58  
Wycombe              42   46   -9      -7.02    23.52    -3.51    51.47     2.58    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.46R    1.98  
Northampton          42   46  -19      -3.81    35.04    -8.91    50.82     2.56   -19.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.99R    3.38  
Torquay              42   39  -23      -9.26    16.42   -10.49    43.98     2.58   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.62R   93.66  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2014, Braintree_Town 0 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            43   92  +62       5.76    73.20    17.54    98.38     2.06    65.75   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    43   82  +41       7.07    76.83    16.66    87.08     2.14    42.51     0.00   100.00    34.85P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          43   73  +27       5.13    69.30    12.71    78.11     2.29    28.51     0.00    86.88    18.60P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          43   73  +18       1.46    55.85    -0.73    78.32     2.06    20.26     0.00    85.74    24.21P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        43   72  +18       7.06    76.60     8.73    76.66     2.22    18.85     0.00    67.94    12.76P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    43   71   -2      15.15    93.84     4.06    74.99     2.27    -2.18     0.00    27.47     3.10P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   43   69  +17       6.01    72.89    10.63    73.37     2.18    17.44     0.00    14.55     2.58P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    43   69   +6       0.77    53.22    -8.42    74.14     2.17     7.55     0.00    17.16     3.86P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     43   65  +17      -2.97    38.01     2.73    69.36     2.12    17.26     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   65   +4      -1.84    42.77    -8.13    69.42     2.25     4.47     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           43   64   -4       9.01    82.44     3.20    67.52     2.20    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        43   62   -8      10.96    86.78     4.17    65.46     2.15    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         43   61   -8       8.82    82.43     2.11    64.77     2.15    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     43   58   +1      -2.35    40.61    -1.02    61.57     2.22     0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     43   58   -1       0.52    52.38     1.50    61.51     2.17    -1.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   57   +1     -10.13    14.74   -11.75    61.56     2.23     1.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          43   57   +1       1.85    57.80     6.74    60.97     2.20     0.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        43   49  -18      -0.91    47.12    -2.79    51.93     2.12   -19.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Chester          43   46  -22       1.12    55.74     0.64    49.19     2.07   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.69R    0.00  
Aldershot        43   45   +6     -13.55     8.60    -8.88    50.46     2.20     7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.47R    0.00  
Hereford         43   45  -20      -9.42    16.33   -13.30    48.82     2.17   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.26R    0.00  
Dartford         43   44  -21      -5.83    27.56    -6.47    47.71     2.11   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.48R    0.00  
Tamworth         43   33  -38      -7.22    20.97    -8.03    36.54     2.19   -38.83     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      43   10  -77     -20.44     0.25   -21.89    11.47     1.64   -82.19     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10