Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 14 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 April 2014, Liverpool 3 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 34 77 +51 7.49 82.53 10.89 85.52 2.38 56.16 50.93 80.16 99.92 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 34 75 +42 6.02 76.98 6.76 83.49 2.22 46.97 17.81 45.56 99.54 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 32 70 +54 0.28 50.40 8.99 84.28 2.56 65.03 31.26 74.25 99.13 99.90 100.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 33 66 +22 9.35 87.25 5.38 74.09 2.87 23.74 0.00 0.04 1.01 47.57 98.99 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 33 64 +16 6.09 76.94 -3.61 74.44 2.74 21.59 0.00 0.00 0.40 51.29 99.21 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 34 60 +0 8.26 83.40 -6.68 67.22 2.56 2.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 44.59 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 33 57 +18 -5.09 26.32 -8.59 67.23 2.65 23.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07 57.21 0.00 0.00 Southampton 34 48 +5 1.86 58.98 7.81 52.82 2.61 3.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 34 46 -14 6.03 76.84 -1.76 50.36 2.29 -16.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 34 43 -10 3.32 66.66 1.33 48.59 2.60 -9.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 33 37 -7 -3.90 32.06 0.66 42.21 2.61 -10.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 33 37 -15 4.97 74.49 5.40 40.53 2.41 -20.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15R 0.00 Hull 33 36 -6 0.03 51.08 8.60 40.68 2.67 -9.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27R 0.00 Aston_Villa 33 34 -14 -3.56 33.66 -0.36 38.99 2.63 -17.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.44R 0.01 Swansea 34 33 -5 -10.04 11.15 2.19 39.00 2.65 -4.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.95R 0.04 West_Brom 33 33 -11 -8.16 15.96 -2.95 38.53 2.67 -13.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.36R 0.06 Norwich 34 32 -27 -2.93 36.49 -7.33 34.10 1.94 -33.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.85R 4.46 Fulham 34 30 -40 -2.75 37.43 -13.47 34.75 2.46 -41.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.60R 6.99 Cardiff 34 29 -34 -1.23 44.89 -4.55 32.63 2.36 -36.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.77R 29.35 Sunderland 32 25 -25 -8.93 12.48 -8.68 30.52 2.69 -30.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.59R 59.09Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Bolton 1 0 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 41 89 +35 14.75 94.16 7.45 97.67 2.91 37.76 97.93 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 42 83 +31 12.67 90.45 12.15 89.30 2.62 32.18 2.07 96.50 100.00 97.38P 0.00 0.00 Derby 42 75 +27 7.56 77.86 12.13 82.13 2.60 29.51 0.00 3.43 100.00 27.74P 0.00 0.00 QPR 42 73 +15 5.60 71.27 0.56 79.46 2.55 16.42 0.00 0.07 99.89 26.01P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 41 67 +14 -0.31 48.56 -2.35 74.58 2.94 15.09 0.00 0.00 85.63 22.78P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 42 64 +12 -1.43 44.13 0.42 70.91 2.53 14.06 0.00 0.00 46.08 11.49P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 42 64 +8 5.76 72.47 6.80 69.17 2.53 7.51 0.00 0.00 15.76 2.48P 0.00 0.00 Reading 41 63 +13 -3.24 37.05 -2.01 70.53 2.95 13.98 0.00 0.00 41.17 10.12P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 42 62 +1 8.12 79.19 7.11 67.48 2.64 0.99 0.00 0.00 5.90 0.80P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 42 60 +3 0.28 51.54 -0.05 66.10 2.60 3.94 0.00 0.00 2.07 0.37P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 42 59 +4 -0.63 47.83 1.12 64.67 2.65 4.28 0.00 0.00 1.03 0.24P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 42 58 +10 -1.86 42.89 6.43 64.61 2.54 11.62 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.17P 0.00 0.00 Watford 41 57 +16 -9.20 17.36 0.84 64.62 2.91 17.14 0.00 0.00 1.66 0.40P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 42 54 -2 -6.36 26.19 -5.99 59.61 2.63 -1.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 42 50 +0 -5.08 30.28 3.65 55.45 2.59 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 42 50 -9 -3.01 38.26 -1.57 55.21 2.64 -9.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 42 46 -9 -4.32 33.09 2.14 50.31 2.50 -10.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15R 0.00 Birmingham 41 43 -10 -11.28 11.93 -6.56 49.56 2.94 -10.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00R 0.01 Doncaster 42 43 -26 1.02 55.28 -2.85 46.49 2.33 -29.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.29R 0.36 Blackpool 42 42 -26 -7.29 22.43 -13.85 46.22 2.41 -27.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.81R 0.64 Charlton 40 41 -23 -5.03 29.37 -10.86 48.68 3.17 -23.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.08R 0.34 Millwall 42 40 -30 -4.47 32.41 -10.05 44.53 2.44 -31.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.29R 3.89 Yeovil 42 36 -25 -4.70 31.36 1.90 39.85 2.40 -27.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.06R 51.30 Barnsley 41 36 -29 -5.62 27.48 -6.55 40.69 2.69 -32.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.31R 43.47League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Crewe 0 2 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 42 93 +51 7.22 77.67 8.78 100.98 2.47 54.90 98.46 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 42 87 +29 15.33 94.38 8.24 93.80 2.58 30.90 1.54 94.48 100.00 96.02P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 42 80 +39 7.43 77.31 16.53 86.27 2.60 40.20 0.00 2.41 100.00 32.94P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 42 79 +28 13.97 91.26 16.86 84.39 2.54 27.82 0.00 0.50 100.00 20.18P 0.00 0.00 Preston 42 79 +23 12.40 89.56 9.69 85.79 2.55 24.94 0.00 2.61 100.00 27.33P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 42 67 +10 -0.55 47.79 -5.07 74.41 2.58 13.03 0.00 0.00 97.77 23.08P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 42 60 +5 -5.57 28.76 -6.95 66.31 2.66 6.18 0.00 0.00 1.78 0.37P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 42 58 +1 -5.37 29.55 -7.57 63.34 2.65 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 42 57 -13 7.61 78.08 0.94 61.01 2.49 -15.54 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 42 56 +2 -1.62 43.62 1.46 62.54 2.62 3.53 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 41 56 -1 -4.42 32.64 -7.60 64.02 2.95 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 42 50 +1 -0.95 47.15 10.55 54.71 2.55 -0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Bristol_City 42 50 +0 -10.71 14.72 -4.23 56.74 2.65 1.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Coventry 42 49 -1 -1.47 44.35 -4.62 53.79 2.58 -2.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47R 0.00 Crawley_Town 40 49 -7 -0.59 48.16 0.44 57.18 3.24 -7.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Gillingham 42 48 -19 1.40 56.60 -0.92 52.63 2.53 -20.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.88R 0.01 Oldham 41 47 -11 -0.96 46.76 0.98 53.46 2.95 -11.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.55R 0.01 Colchester 42 46 -11 -3.64 36.00 1.04 50.94 2.56 -11.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.89R 0.08 Tranmere 41 46 -20 -3.56 35.77 -9.52 51.95 2.87 -21.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.09R 0.04 Notts_County 42 43 -15 -11.42 12.27 -9.31 48.20 2.64 -15.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.35R 2.55 Carlisle 41 43 -26 -0.54 48.63 -5.94 47.69 2.63 -29.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.68R 5.90 Crewe 42 43 -29 -0.08 50.64 -4.81 47.21 2.50 -31.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.83R 9.01 Shrewsbury 42 41 -14 -8.00 19.84 -2.24 45.86 2.54 -14.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.13R 13.30 Stevenage 42 39 -22 -8.31 19.27 -6.74 43.02 2.42 -24.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.89R 69.10 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 2 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Scunthorpe 42 76 +25 2.38 59.18 1.84 83.02 2.60 27.20 52.25 99.51 100.00 99.70P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 42 75 +22 7.48 77.23 7.47 81.58 2.63 23.60 24.41 97.83 100.00 98.48P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 42 74 +27 1.50 56.05 5.60 80.90 2.60 29.02 23.20 94.48 100.00 96.50P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 42 69 +13 7.37 77.00 6.96 74.34 2.57 12.83 0.11 6.01 99.95 29.11P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 42 68 +5 9.77 84.06 3.41 73.12 2.56 4.60 0.03 2.16 99.59 22.72P 0.00 0.00 Southend 42 62 +12 -3.22 37.36 0.80 67.93 2.60 12.66 0.00 0.00 79.69 25.08P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 42 62 +8 1.32 55.45 3.01 67.67 2.56 8.28 0.00 0.00 68.61 17.33P 0.00 0.00 York 42 61 +8 4.78 69.31 8.71 66.00 2.50 7.43 0.00 0.00 41.53 8.80P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 42 58 -2 3.61 64.85 1.37 63.09 2.54 -2.43 0.00 0.00 6.99 1.43P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 42 56 -6 5.85 72.87 4.22 61.29 2.60 -6.21 0.00 0.00 1.67 0.31P 0.00 0.00 Bury 42 54 +5 -8.45 19.91 -2.33 60.14 2.63 5.96 0.00 0.00 1.68 0.47P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 42 54 -4 0.39 52.44 1.16 59.15 2.59 -4.42 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 42 53 -3 4.42 67.81 9.94 57.58 2.55 -4.26 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 42 52 -5 1.94 58.58 5.10 57.38 2.59 -5.09 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.04R 0.00 Cheltenham 42 52 -8 -3.47 36.44 -5.61 57.24 2.59 -8.34 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.03R 0.00 Portsmouth 42 51 -12 -7.99 21.43 -14.38 56.84 2.62 -11.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 42 50 -3 -2.89 38.74 3.09 55.11 2.54 -3.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60R 0.00 Hartlepool 42 49 -2 -10.42 14.72 -5.21 54.88 2.62 -1.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.37R 0.01 Morecambe 42 49 -14 -2.12 42.09 -4.95 53.44 2.54 -15.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.46R 0.09 Exeter 42 48 -6 -8.94 18.41 -5.38 52.80 2.51 -6.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.70R 0.35 Bristol_Rovers 42 47 -9 -5.03 30.45 -2.06 51.94 2.55 -9.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.90R 0.61 Wycombe 42 46 -9 -7.17 23.18 -3.70 51.49 2.58 -8.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.31R 1.79 Northampton 42 46 -19 -3.65 35.48 -8.69 50.78 2.54 -19.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.55R 3.34 Torquay 42 39 -23 -9.17 16.75 -10.39 43.98 2.57 -23.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.55R 93.80Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Barnet 0 4 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 43 92 +62 5.73 73.12 17.41 98.38 2.06 65.75 99.95 100.00 99.98P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 42 82 +43 7.34 77.83 17.00 88.44 2.54 44.53 0.05 100.00 36.49P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 42 73 +19 2.73 61.06 0.11 80.19 2.45 22.06 0.00 94.86 28.59P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 42 71 +18 7.32 77.44 8.69 76.71 2.56 18.41 0.00 68.41 11.85P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 43 71 -2 15.20 93.93 4.15 74.97 2.27 -2.22 0.00 31.86 3.20P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 42 70 +26 4.08 65.90 12.70 75.96 2.63 26.70 0.00 62.75 12.17P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 42 68 +17 6.57 75.41 10.95 74.03 2.55 17.84 0.00 29.93 5.18P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 42 66 +4 0.26 51.12 -8.72 72.55 2.59 5.59 0.00 11.80 2.47P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 43 65 +4 -1.83 42.89 -8.15 69.42 2.25 4.46 0.00 0.29 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Woking 43 64 -4 8.96 82.21 3.13 67.51 2.21 -5.04 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 42 62 +16 -4.39 32.57 2.16 67.55 2.49 15.95 0.00 0.11 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 43 62 -8 10.66 86.05 3.76 65.47 2.14 -8.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 43 61 -8 8.65 81.93 1.92 64.80 2.16 -8.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 42 58 +2 -1.22 45.23 -0.45 63.16 2.60 1.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 43 58 -1 0.83 53.83 1.95 61.47 2.17 -1.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 43 57 +1 -10.21 14.86 -11.76 61.59 2.23 1.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 43 57 +1 1.50 56.33 6.25 60.97 2.19 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 43 49 -18 -0.90 47.08 -2.76 51.94 2.11 -19.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.11R 0.00 Chester 43 46 -22 1.22 56.02 0.80 49.16 2.06 -23.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.17R 0.00 Aldershot 43 45 +6 -13.76 8.40 -9.32 50.48 2.19 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.28R 0.00 Hereford 43 45 -20 -9.40 16.26 -13.31 48.84 2.17 -20.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.99R 0.00 Dartford 43 44 -21 -5.92 26.87 -6.52 47.71 2.11 -21.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.45R 0.00 Tamworth 43 33 -38 -7.34 20.64 -8.21 36.52 2.20 -38.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Hyde_United 43 10 -77 -20.43 0.23 -21.77 11.50 1.66 -82.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10