Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 14 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 April 2014, Liverpool 3 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        34   77  +51       7.49    82.53    10.89    85.52     2.38    56.16    50.93    80.16    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   75  +42       6.02    76.98     6.76    83.49     2.22    46.97    17.81    45.56    99.54    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   70  +54       0.28    50.40     8.99    84.28     2.56    65.03    31.26    74.25    99.13    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   66  +22       9.35    87.25     5.38    74.09     2.87    23.74     0.00     0.04     1.01    47.57    98.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   64  +16       6.09    76.94    -3.61    74.44     2.74    21.59     0.00     0.00     0.40    51.29    99.21     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   60   +0       8.26    83.40    -6.68    67.22     2.56     2.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21    44.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   57  +18      -5.09    26.32    -8.59    67.23     2.65    23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07    57.21     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   48   +5       1.86    58.98     7.81    52.82     2.61     3.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        34   46  -14       6.03    76.84    -1.76    50.36     2.29   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   43  -10       3.32    66.66     1.33    48.59     2.60    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   37   -7      -3.90    32.06     0.66    42.21     2.61   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   37  -15       4.97    74.49     5.40    40.53     2.41   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Hull             33   36   -6       0.03    51.08     8.60    40.68     2.67    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      33   34  -14      -3.56    33.66    -0.36    38.99     2.63   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.44R    0.01  
Swansea          34   33   -5     -10.04    11.15     2.19    39.00     2.65    -4.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.95R    0.04  
West_Brom        33   33  -11      -8.16    15.96    -2.95    38.53     2.67   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.36R    0.06  
Norwich          34   32  -27      -2.93    36.49    -7.33    34.10     1.94   -33.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.85R    4.46  
Fulham           34   30  -40      -2.75    37.43   -13.47    34.75     2.46   -41.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.60R    6.99  
Cardiff          34   29  -34      -1.23    44.89    -4.55    32.63     2.36   -36.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.77R   29.35  
Sunderland       32   25  -25      -8.93    12.48    -8.68    30.52     2.69   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.59R   59.09  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Bolton 1 0 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       41   89  +35      14.75    94.16     7.45    97.67     2.91    37.76    97.93   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         42   83  +31      12.67    90.45    12.15    89.30     2.62    32.18     2.07    96.50   100.00    97.38P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           42   75  +27       7.56    77.86    12.13    82.13     2.60    29.51     0.00     3.43   100.00    27.74P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   73  +15       5.60    71.27     0.56    79.46     2.55    16.42     0.00     0.07    99.89    26.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           41   67  +14      -0.31    48.56    -2.35    74.58     2.94    15.09     0.00     0.00    85.63    22.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        42   64  +12      -1.43    44.13     0.42    70.91     2.53    14.06     0.00     0.00    46.08    11.49P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         42   64   +8       5.76    72.47     6.80    69.17     2.53     7.51     0.00     0.00    15.76     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         41   63  +13      -3.24    37.05    -2.01    70.53     2.95    13.98     0.00     0.00    41.17    10.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   62   +1       8.12    79.19     7.11    67.48     2.64     0.99     0.00     0.00     5.90     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       42   60   +3       0.28    51.54    -0.05    66.10     2.60     3.94     0.00     0.00     2.07     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   59   +4      -0.63    47.83     1.12    64.67     2.65     4.28     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   42   58  +10      -1.86    42.89     6.43    64.61     2.54    11.62     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         41   57  +16      -9.20    17.36     0.84    64.62     2.91    17.14     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton          42   54   -2      -6.36    26.19    -5.99    59.61     2.63    -1.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   50   +0      -5.08    30.28     3.65    55.45     2.59    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   50   -9      -3.01    38.26    -1.57    55.21     2.64    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   46   -9      -4.32    33.09     2.14    50.31     2.50   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Birmingham      41   43  -10     -11.28    11.93    -6.56    49.56     2.94   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.00R    0.01  
Doncaster       42   43  -26       1.02    55.28    -2.85    46.49     2.33   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.29R    0.36  
Blackpool       42   42  -26      -7.29    22.43   -13.85    46.22     2.41   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.81R    0.64  
Charlton        40   41  -23      -5.03    29.37   -10.86    48.68     3.17   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.08R    0.34  
Millwall        42   40  -30      -4.47    32.41   -10.05    44.53     2.44   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.29R    3.89  
Yeovil          42   36  -25      -4.70    31.36     1.90    39.85     2.40   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.06R   51.30  
Barnsley        41   36  -29      -5.62    27.48    -6.55    40.69     2.69   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.31R   43.47  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Crewe 0 2 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   42   93  +51       7.22    77.67     8.78   100.98     2.47    54.90    98.46   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   87  +29      15.33    94.38     8.24    93.80     2.58    30.90     1.54    94.48   100.00    96.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   80  +39       7.43    77.31    16.53    86.27     2.60    40.20     0.00     2.41   100.00    32.94P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       42   79  +28      13.97    91.26    16.86    84.39     2.54    27.82     0.00     0.50   100.00    20.18P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   79  +23      12.40    89.56     9.69    85.79     2.55    24.94     0.00     2.61   100.00    27.33P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    42   67  +10      -0.55    47.79    -5.07    74.41     2.58    13.03     0.00     0.00    97.77    23.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         42   60   +5      -5.57    28.76    -6.95    66.31     2.66     6.18     0.00     0.00     1.78     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   58   +1      -5.37    29.55    -7.57    63.34     2.65     0.79     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       42   57  -13       7.61    78.08     0.94    61.01     2.49   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         42   56   +2      -1.62    43.62     1.46    62.54     2.62     3.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   56   -1      -4.42    32.64    -7.60    64.02     2.95     0.68     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        42   50   +1      -0.95    47.15    10.55    54.71     2.55    -0.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_City    42   50   +0     -10.71    14.72    -4.23    56.74     2.65     1.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Coventry        42   49   -1      -1.47    44.35    -4.62    53.79     2.58    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    40   49   -7      -0.59    48.16     0.44    57.18     3.24    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Gillingham      42   48  -19       1.40    56.60    -0.92    52.63     2.53   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.88R    0.01  
Oldham          41   47  -11      -0.96    46.76     0.98    53.46     2.95   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.55R    0.01  
Colchester      42   46  -11      -3.64    36.00     1.04    50.94     2.56   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.89R    0.08  
Tranmere        41   46  -20      -3.56    35.77    -9.52    51.95     2.87   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.09R    0.04  
Notts_County    42   43  -15     -11.42    12.27    -9.31    48.20     2.64   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.35R    2.55  
Carlisle        41   43  -26      -0.54    48.63    -5.94    47.69     2.63   -29.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.68R    5.90  
Crewe           42   43  -29      -0.08    50.64    -4.81    47.21     2.50   -31.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.83R    9.01  
Shrewsbury      42   41  -14      -8.00    19.84    -2.24    45.86     2.54   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.13R   13.30  
Stevenage       42   39  -22      -8.31    19.27    -6.74    43.02     2.42   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.89R   69.10  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 2 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Scunthorpe           42   76  +25       2.38    59.18     1.84    83.02     2.60    27.20    52.25    99.51   100.00    99.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   75  +22       7.48    77.23     7.47    81.58     2.63    23.60    24.41    97.83   100.00    98.48P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   74  +27       1.50    56.05     5.60    80.90     2.60    29.02    23.20    94.48   100.00    96.50P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       42   69  +13       7.37    77.00     6.96    74.34     2.57    12.83     0.11     6.01    99.95    29.11P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   68   +5       9.77    84.06     3.41    73.12     2.56     4.60     0.03     2.16    99.59    22.72P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   62  +12      -3.22    37.36     0.80    67.93     2.60    12.66     0.00     0.00    79.69    25.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   62   +8       1.32    55.45     3.01    67.67     2.56     8.28     0.00     0.00    68.61    17.33P    0.00     0.00  
York                 42   61   +8       4.78    69.31     8.71    66.00     2.50     7.43     0.00     0.00    41.53     8.80P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             42   58   -2       3.61    64.85     1.37    63.09     2.54    -2.43     0.00     0.00     6.99     1.43P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            42   56   -6       5.85    72.87     4.22    61.29     2.60    -6.21     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   54   +5      -8.45    19.91    -2.33    60.14     2.63     5.96     0.00     0.00     1.68     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   54   -4       0.39    52.44     1.16    59.15     2.59    -4.42     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       42   53   -3       4.42    67.81     9.94    57.58     2.55    -4.26     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   52   -5       1.94    58.58     5.10    57.38     2.59    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Cheltenham           42   52   -8      -3.47    36.44    -5.61    57.24     2.59    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Portsmouth           42   51  -12      -7.99    21.43   -14.38    56.84     2.62   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   50   -3      -2.89    38.74     3.09    55.11     2.54    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.00  
Hartlepool           42   49   -2     -10.42    14.72    -5.21    54.88     2.62    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.37R    0.01  
Morecambe            42   49  -14      -2.12    42.09    -4.95    53.44     2.54   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.46R    0.09  
Exeter               42   48   -6      -8.94    18.41    -5.38    52.80     2.51    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.70R    0.35  
Bristol_Rovers       42   47   -9      -5.03    30.45    -2.06    51.94     2.55    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.90R    0.61  
Wycombe              42   46   -9      -7.17    23.18    -3.70    51.49     2.58    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.31R    1.79  
Northampton          42   46  -19      -3.65    35.48    -8.69    50.78     2.54   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.55R    3.34  
Torquay              42   39  -23      -9.17    16.75   -10.39    43.98     2.57   -23.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.55R   93.80  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Barnet 0 4 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            43   92  +62       5.73    73.12    17.41    98.38     2.06    65.75    99.95   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    42   82  +43       7.34    77.83    17.00    88.44     2.54    44.53     0.05   100.00    36.49P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   73  +19       2.73    61.06     0.11    80.19     2.45    22.06     0.00    94.86    28.59P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        42   71  +18       7.32    77.44     8.69    76.71     2.56    18.41     0.00    68.41    11.85P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    43   71   -2      15.20    93.93     4.15    74.97     2.27    -2.22     0.00    31.86     3.20P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          42   70  +26       4.08    65.90    12.70    75.96     2.63    26.70     0.00    62.75    12.17P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   42   68  +17       6.57    75.41    10.95    74.03     2.55    17.84     0.00    29.93     5.18P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    42   66   +4       0.26    51.12    -8.72    72.55     2.59     5.59     0.00    11.80     2.47P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   65   +4      -1.83    42.89    -8.15    69.42     2.25     4.46     0.00     0.29     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           43   64   -4       8.96    82.21     3.13    67.51     2.21    -5.04     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     42   62  +16      -4.39    32.57     2.16    67.55     2.49    15.95     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        43   62   -8      10.66    86.05     3.76    65.47     2.14    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         43   61   -8       8.65    81.93     1.92    64.80     2.16    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     42   58   +2      -1.22    45.23    -0.45    63.16     2.60     1.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     43   58   -1       0.83    53.83     1.95    61.47     2.17    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   57   +1     -10.21    14.86   -11.76    61.59     2.23     1.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          43   57   +1       1.50    56.33     6.25    60.97     2.19     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        43   49  -18      -0.90    47.08    -2.76    51.94     2.11   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.11R    0.00  
Chester          43   46  -22       1.22    56.02     0.80    49.16     2.06   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.17R    0.00  
Aldershot        43   45   +6     -13.76     8.40    -9.32    50.48     2.19     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.28R    0.00  
Hereford         43   45  -20      -9.40    16.26   -13.31    48.84     2.17   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.99R    0.00  
Dartford         43   44  -21      -5.92    26.87    -6.52    47.71     2.11   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.45R    0.00  
Tamworth         43   33  -38      -7.34    20.64    -8.21    36.52     2.20   -38.84     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      43   10  -77     -20.43     0.23   -21.77    11.50     1.66   -82.20     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10