Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 13 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 April 2014, Liverpool 3 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        34   77  +51       7.53    82.66    11.02    85.50     2.38    56.12    50.43    80.00    99.90    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          34   75  +42       5.92    76.70     6.62    83.51     2.23    47.01    18.59    45.94    99.56    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   70  +54       0.25    50.08     8.88    84.26     2.55    64.99    30.98    74.02    99.07    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   66  +22       9.37    87.37     5.38    74.08     2.86    23.73     0.00     0.04     1.06    47.64    98.89     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   64  +16       6.17    77.17    -3.49    74.45     2.76    21.65     0.00     0.00     0.41    51.24    99.18     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   60   +0       8.18    83.20    -6.70    67.18     2.55     2.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    44.66     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   57  +18      -5.12    26.08    -8.63    67.21     2.64    23.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07    57.28     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   48   +5       1.75    58.54     7.69    52.82     2.60     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        34   46  -14       6.04    76.73    -1.72    50.34     2.28   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   43  -10       3.53    67.29     1.67    48.58     2.59    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   37   -7      -3.96    32.12     0.52    42.24     2.61   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   37  -15       4.86    74.29     5.27    40.55     2.40   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Hull             33   36   -6       0.06    51.23     8.67    40.63     2.64    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      33   34  -14      -3.46    33.99    -0.23    39.00     2.64   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.50R    0.01  
Swansea          34   33   -5     -10.12    10.84     2.00    39.01     2.65    -4.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.95R    0.04  
West_Brom        33   33  -11      -8.13    16.11    -2.84    38.51     2.66   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.40R    0.06  
Norwich          34   32  -27      -2.86    37.07    -7.22    34.12     1.95   -33.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.55R    4.42  
Fulham           34   30  -40      -2.84    36.88   -13.70    34.75     2.46   -41.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.22R    7.15  
Cardiff          34   29  -34      -1.16    45.57    -4.42    32.65     2.37   -36.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.50R   29.44  
Sunderland       32   25  -25      -8.92    12.52    -8.75    30.54     2.70   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.37R   58.89  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Bolton 1 0 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       41   89  +35      14.69    93.97     7.40    97.67     2.88    37.76    97.98   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         42   83  +31      12.69    90.34    12.22    89.31     2.62    32.19     2.02    96.61   100.00    97.51P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           42   75  +27       7.58    77.97    12.18    82.12     2.58    29.48     0.00     3.26   100.00    27.49P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   73  +15       5.66    71.65     0.69    79.44     2.55    16.38     0.00     0.12    99.88    26.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           41   67  +14      -0.08    49.70    -2.12    74.57     2.92    15.06     0.00     0.00    85.23    22.52P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        42   64  +12      -1.27    44.76     0.66    70.93     2.53    14.07     0.00     0.00    46.35    11.35P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         42   64   +8       5.82    72.69     6.88    69.19     2.55     7.54     0.00     0.00    16.11     2.74P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         41   63  +13      -3.51    36.06    -2.48    70.53     2.95    13.99     0.00     0.00    40.98    10.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   62   +1       8.15    79.52     7.20    67.49     2.66     1.02     0.00     0.00     5.86     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       42   60   +3       0.52    52.30     0.33    66.11     2.60     3.95     0.00     0.00     2.05     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   59   +4      -0.54    48.04     1.27    64.66     2.64     4.27     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   42   58  +10      -2.06    42.06     6.15    64.61     2.54    11.62     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         41   57  +16      -9.26    17.34     0.80    64.62     2.90    17.15     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton          42   54   -2      -6.39    25.98    -6.02    59.64     2.64    -1.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   50   +0      -4.99    30.55     3.81    55.42     2.60    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   50   -9      -3.08    38.13    -1.69    55.23     2.64    -9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   46   -9      -4.60    32.08     1.75    50.33     2.51   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Birmingham      41   43  -10     -11.19    12.16    -6.42    49.51     2.94   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15R    0.01  
Doncaster       42   43  -26       0.87    55.02    -3.06    46.51     2.34   -29.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.72R    0.37  
Blackpool       42   42  -26      -7.16    22.89   -13.58    46.19     2.41   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.87R    0.62  
Charlton        40   41  -23      -5.08    29.27   -11.04    48.73     3.19   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.04R    0.34  
Millwall        42   40  -30      -4.45    32.35   -10.07    44.52     2.45   -31.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.59R    3.82  
Yeovil          42   36  -25      -4.68    31.57     1.95    39.82     2.39   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.11R   51.30  
Barnsley        41   36  -29      -5.82    26.85    -6.80    40.69     2.68   -32.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.35R   43.53  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Crewe 0 2 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   42   93  +51       7.10    77.63     8.66   101.00     2.46    54.93    98.49   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   87  +29      15.16    94.25     7.91    93.83     2.58    30.94     1.51    94.61   100.00    96.11P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   80  +39       7.46    77.31    16.62    86.26     2.60    40.18     0.00     2.36   100.00    32.81P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       42   79  +28      13.73    90.89    16.44    84.38     2.54    27.80     0.00     0.50   100.00    20.60P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   79  +23      12.32    89.53     9.54    85.80     2.54    24.96     0.00     2.53   100.00    27.09P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    42   67  +10      -0.54    47.77    -5.10    74.42     2.57    13.03     0.00     0.00    97.91    22.91P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         42   60   +5      -5.54    28.65    -6.92    66.33     2.67     6.21     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   58   +1      -5.31    29.78    -7.45    63.33     2.64     0.78     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       42   57  -13       7.65    78.28     0.95    60.99     2.48   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         42   56   +2      -1.67    43.59     1.34    62.56     2.63     3.56     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   56   -1      -4.52    32.06    -7.68    64.03     2.95     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        42   50   +1      -0.75    47.51    10.73    54.67     2.52    -0.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_City    42   50   +0     -10.72    14.54    -4.29    56.75     2.66     1.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Coventry        42   49   -1      -1.29    44.91    -4.39    53.78     2.59    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    40   49   -7      -0.39    48.99     0.72    57.17     3.24    -7.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Gillingham      42   48  -19       1.36    56.48    -0.87    52.64     2.52   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.92R    0.00  
Oldham          41   47  -11      -0.84    47.20     1.18    53.50     2.94   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.21R    0.01  
Colchester      42   46  -11      -3.89    34.98     0.73    50.92     2.56   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.91R    0.07  
Tranmere        41   46  -20      -3.75    35.12    -9.88    52.00     2.87   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.65R    0.07  
Notts_County    42   43  -15     -11.19    12.83    -8.93    48.17     2.63   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.87R    2.61  
Carlisle        41   43  -26      -0.43    49.24    -5.77    47.66     2.62   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.85R    5.97  
Crewe           42   43  -29       0.10    51.44    -4.53    47.21     2.50   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.62R    8.77  
Shrewsbury      42   41  -14      -8.16    19.46    -2.49    45.86     2.53   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.26R   13.19  
Stevenage       42   39  -22      -8.19    19.43    -6.50    42.99     2.43   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.97R   69.31  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 2 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Scunthorpe           42   76  +25       2.64    60.07     2.17    83.00     2.62    27.17    51.85    99.44   100.00    99.65P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   75  +22       7.55    77.40     7.57    81.59     2.66    23.61    25.08    97.92   100.00    98.51P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   74  +27       1.77    56.98     6.09    80.87     2.61    29.00    22.98    94.38   100.00    96.29P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       42   69  +13       7.84    78.36     7.56    74.32     2.58    12.80     0.07     6.10    99.93    28.71P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   68   +5       9.71    84.22     3.34    73.13     2.56     4.60     0.02     2.16    99.56    23.01P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   62  +12      -3.37    36.53     0.65    67.97     2.59    12.71     0.00     0.00    80.11    25.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   62   +8       1.34    55.52     3.00    67.67     2.56     8.30     0.00     0.00    68.13    17.68P    0.00     0.00  
York                 42   61   +8       4.58    68.60     8.50    66.04     2.52     7.49     0.00     0.00    41.79     8.86P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             42   58   -2       3.50    64.43     1.28    63.11     2.54    -2.42     0.00     0.00     6.90     1.44P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            42   56   -6       5.79    72.51     4.13    61.31     2.62    -6.19     0.00     0.00     1.75     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   54   +5      -8.35    20.64    -2.11    60.09     2.62     5.91     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   54   -4       0.31    51.78     1.04    59.19     2.58    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       42   53   -3       4.18    67.19     9.56    57.57     2.56    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   52   -5       1.81    58.14     4.84    57.36     2.60    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Cheltenham           42   52   -8      -3.60    36.03    -5.72    57.23     2.60    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth           42   51  -12      -7.96    21.82   -14.31    56.83     2.61   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   50   -3      -2.83    39.22     3.12    55.08     2.54    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59R    0.00  
Hartlepool           42   49   -2     -10.60    14.29    -5.45    54.91     2.60    -1.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.00  
Morecambe            42   49  -14      -2.33    41.20    -5.34    53.49     2.53   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.34R    0.09  
Exeter               42   48   -6      -8.58    19.41    -4.93    52.76     2.51    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.94R    0.38  
Bristol_Rovers       42   47   -9      -4.94    30.54    -1.91    51.93     2.56    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.44R    0.59  
Wycombe              42   46   -9      -7.21    23.09    -3.71    51.50     2.58    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.29R    1.84  
Northampton          42   46  -19      -3.79    35.15    -8.87    50.80     2.55   -19.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.98R    3.25  
Torquay              42   39  -23      -9.19    16.71   -10.50    43.97     2.57   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.58R   93.85  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Barnet 0 4 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            43   92  +62       5.63    72.50    17.26    98.39     2.07    65.77    99.94   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    42   82  +43       7.45    78.06    17.16    88.43     2.52    44.51     0.06   100.00    35.88P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   73  +19       2.51    60.03    -0.24    80.24     2.45    22.12     0.00    94.87    28.88P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        42   71  +18       7.17    77.06     8.44    76.72     2.55    18.42     0.00    68.56    12.33P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    43   71   -2      15.16    93.78     4.13    74.97     2.27    -2.24     0.00    31.81     3.26P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          42   70  +26       3.87    64.93    12.42    75.97     2.61    26.71     0.00    63.05    12.17P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   42   68  +17       6.57    75.31    10.97    74.01     2.57    17.83     0.00    29.75     5.05P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    42   66   +4       0.21    51.02    -8.81    72.55     2.56     5.60     0.00    11.61     2.39P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   65   +4      -1.79    42.84    -8.02    69.41     2.25     4.45     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           43   64   -4       8.92    82.16     3.11    67.53     2.20    -5.02     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     42   62  +16      -4.26    33.15     2.30    67.55     2.50    15.95     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        43   62   -8      11.19    87.11     4.53    65.46     2.13    -9.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         43   61   -8       8.76    82.36     2.01    64.79     2.15    -8.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     42   58   +2      -1.27    45.09    -0.51    63.17     2.63     1.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     43   58   -1       0.64    53.05     1.74    61.50     2.17    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   57   +1     -10.07    14.71   -11.51    61.55     2.23     1.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          43   57   +1       1.69    57.32     6.56    60.96     2.20     0.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        43   49  -18      -1.10    46.10    -3.12    51.95     2.11   -19.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.04R    0.00  
Chester          43   46  -22       1.19    55.79     0.77    49.17     2.06   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.22R    0.00  
Aldershot        43   45   +6     -13.55     8.54    -9.00    50.47     2.20     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.43R    0.00  
Hereford         43   45  -20      -9.68    15.50   -13.75    48.83     2.18   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.14R    0.00  
Dartford         43   44  -21      -5.78    27.45    -6.40    47.73     2.10   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.18R    0.00  
Tamworth         43   33  -38      -7.40    20.41    -8.34    36.52     2.18   -38.85     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      43   10  -77     -20.36     0.23   -21.70    11.48     1.64   -82.23     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10