Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 12 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Crystal_Palace 1 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   74  +50       6.21    78.03    10.66    83.91     2.76    55.14    28.86    69.78    99.13    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   72  +41       4.92    73.00     6.41    82.39     2.57    46.80     9.42    40.61    98.01    99.78   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   70  +55       1.40    56.33     9.62    85.67     2.92    65.97    61.72    89.50    99.58    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   66  +22       9.37    87.44     5.38    74.04     2.87    23.70     0.00     0.09     1.79    47.69    98.85     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   64  +16       6.05    76.67    -3.64    74.44     2.75    21.58     0.00     0.02     1.50    51.41    99.32     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   60   +0       8.29    83.57    -6.56    67.22     2.54     2.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21    44.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   57  +18      -5.01    26.64    -8.39    67.19     2.65    23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.02    56.88     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   48   +5       1.80    58.87     7.69    52.81     2.61     3.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        34   46  -14       6.11    77.42    -1.58    50.35     2.29   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   43  -10       3.48    67.05     1.57    48.58     2.59    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   37   -7      -3.99    31.80     0.49    42.22     2.62   -10.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   37  -15       4.97    74.62     5.39    40.53     2.40   -20.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Hull             33   36   -6      -0.08    50.59     8.43    40.68     2.65    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      33   34  -14      -3.41    33.97    -0.22    38.97     2.62   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54R    0.00  
Swansea          33   33   -4      -9.33    12.41     2.19    39.91     2.92    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.02  
West_Brom        33   33  -11      -8.23    15.96    -3.09    38.50     2.65   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.60R    0.05  
Norwich          34   32  -27      -2.98    36.30    -7.39    34.13     1.95   -33.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.65R    4.44  
Fulham           34   30  -40      -2.76    37.19   -13.58    34.74     2.46   -41.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.46R    7.05  
Cardiff          34   29  -34      -1.15    45.39    -4.54    32.64     2.36   -36.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.85R   29.54  
Sunderland       32   25  -25      -8.94    12.38    -8.82    30.54     2.71   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.52R   58.90  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Bolton 1 0 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       41   89  +35      14.78    94.07     7.53    97.67     2.88    37.75    98.07   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         42   83  +31      12.74    90.72    12.25    89.31     2.59    32.18     1.93    96.76   100.00    97.62P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           42   75  +27       7.32    76.96    11.77    82.12     2.61    29.50     0.00     3.14   100.00    27.87P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             42   73  +15       5.46    70.95     0.47    79.45     2.53    16.39     0.00     0.10    99.90    26.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           41   67  +14      -0.25    48.80    -2.31    74.60     2.90    15.12     0.00     0.00    85.60    22.13P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        42   64  +12      -1.33    44.83     0.56    70.95     2.53    14.10     0.00     0.00    46.67    11.40P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         42   64   +8       5.95    73.01     7.06    69.17     2.53     7.52     0.00     0.00    15.81     2.49P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         41   63  +13      -3.35    36.76    -2.25    70.50     2.96    13.94     0.00     0.00    40.78    10.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     42   62   +1       8.05    79.13     6.99    67.50     2.65     1.03     0.00     0.00     5.92     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       42   60   +3       0.39    51.64     0.13    66.10     2.59     3.94     0.00     0.00     1.92     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   42   59   +4      -0.63    47.72     1.10    64.68     2.65     4.28     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   42   58  +10      -1.91    42.60     6.33    64.60     2.53    11.62     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         41   57  +16      -9.17    17.39     0.93    64.59     2.90    17.11     0.00     0.00     1.56     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton          42   54   -2      -6.16    26.64    -5.68    59.62     2.63    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       42   50   +0      -5.02    30.44     3.82    55.43     2.61    -0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    42   50   -9      -3.04    38.10    -1.59    55.19     2.65    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    42   46   -9      -4.50    32.38     1.94    50.33     2.52   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Birmingham      41   43  -10     -11.34    11.86    -6.69    49.52     2.95   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.22R    0.01  
Doncaster       42   43  -26       0.91    54.92    -3.02    46.54     2.34   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.60R    0.35  
Blackpool       42   42  -26      -7.17    22.68   -13.65    46.18     2.38   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.64R    0.63  
Charlton        40   41  -23      -4.99    29.39   -10.87    48.72     3.16   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.94R    0.35  
Millwall        42   40  -30      -4.39    32.23    -9.91    44.49     2.43   -31.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.07R    3.98  
Yeovil          42   36  -25      -4.65    31.44     1.96    39.81     2.39   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.15R   51.65  
Barnsley        41   36  -29      -5.85    26.35    -6.86    40.72     2.67   -32.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.24R   43.03  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Crewe 0 2 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   42   93  +51       6.82    76.49     8.11   101.03     2.45    54.99    98.60   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       42   87  +29      15.44    94.67     8.39    93.81     2.58    30.91     1.40    94.52   100.00    96.15P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   42   80  +39       7.29    76.89    16.27    86.26     2.59    40.20     0.00     2.34   100.00    32.90P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       42   79  +28      13.68    91.04    16.42    84.40     2.53    27.82     0.00     0.53   100.00    20.10P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         42   79  +23      12.59    89.79     9.95    85.76     2.55    24.90     0.00     2.61   100.00    26.86P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    42   67  +10      -0.61    47.50    -5.19    74.43     2.59    13.06     0.00     0.00    97.91    23.55P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         42   60   +5      -5.79    28.09    -7.24    66.32     2.66     6.21     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         42   58   +1      -5.35    29.68    -7.50    63.35     2.64     0.79     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       42   57  -13       7.57    77.99     0.84    60.99     2.49   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall         42   56   +2      -1.86    42.87     1.13    62.56     2.62     3.56     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   56   -1      -4.33    32.67    -7.41    64.03     2.95     0.69     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        42   50   +1      -0.68    47.95    10.92    54.68     2.55    -0.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Bristol_City    42   50   +0     -10.62    14.82    -4.14    56.72     2.64     1.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Coventry        42   49   -1      -1.31    45.14    -4.37    53.78     2.57    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    40   49   -7      -0.41    49.01     0.76    57.19     3.21    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Gillingham      42   48  -19       1.14    55.54    -1.31    52.65     2.53   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.99R    0.01  
Oldham          41   47  -11      -1.04    46.16     0.89    53.51     2.93   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.17R    0.01  
Colchester      42   46  -11      -3.62    36.20     1.02    50.92     2.56   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.69R    0.06  
Tranmere        41   46  -20      -3.41    36.59    -9.30    51.96     2.87   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.91R    0.05  
Notts_County    42   43  -15     -11.08    13.11    -8.75    48.15     2.62   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.21R    2.61  
Carlisle        41   43  -26      -0.44    48.97    -5.74    47.63     2.63   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.21R    6.16  
Crewe           42   43  -29      -0.04    50.35    -4.84    47.23     2.50   -31.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.19R    8.77  
Shrewsbury      42   41  -14      -8.02    20.11    -2.32    45.88     2.52   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.16R   12.92  
Stevenage       42   39  -22      -8.19    19.86    -6.58    43.01     2.43   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.80R   69.42  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 2 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Scunthorpe           42   76  +25       2.52    59.47     1.99    83.02     2.61    27.18    52.01    99.43   100.00    99.61P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   75  +22       7.57    77.67     7.61    81.57     2.66    23.59    24.66    97.86   100.00    98.45P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   74  +27       1.53    55.88     5.68    80.89     2.61    29.01    23.22    94.53   100.00    96.45P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       42   69  +13       7.89    78.59     7.66    74.32     2.58    12.80     0.09     6.04    99.94    28.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   68   +5       9.64    83.95     3.24    73.14     2.56     4.62     0.02     2.15    99.60    22.92P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   62  +12      -3.35    36.49     0.64    67.95     2.60    12.69     0.00     0.00    80.02    25.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   62   +8       1.27    55.19     2.97    67.67     2.57     8.30     0.00     0.00    68.55    17.38P    0.00     0.00  
York                 42   61   +8       4.66    68.86     8.58    66.01     2.51     7.46     0.00     0.00    41.25     8.66P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             42   58   -2       3.74    65.28     1.57    63.09     2.54    -2.45     0.00     0.00     6.90     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            42   56   -6       5.78    72.56     4.06    61.29     2.60    -6.21     0.00     0.00     1.64     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   54   +5      -8.38    20.66    -2.26    60.12     2.64     5.95     0.00     0.00     1.78     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   54   -4       0.27    51.72     1.00    59.16     2.58    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County       42   53   -3       4.38    67.56     9.91    57.56     2.55    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        42   52   -5       1.68    57.55     4.77    57.40     2.60    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Cheltenham           42   52   -8      -3.62    36.14    -5.79    57.24     2.58    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth           42   51  -12      -8.07    21.41   -14.48    56.84     2.62   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   50   -3      -2.78    39.37     3.24    55.11     2.54    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Hartlepool           42   49   -2     -10.16    15.51    -4.88    54.87     2.60    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.33R    0.00  
Morecambe            42   49  -14      -2.14    41.77    -4.92    53.45     2.53   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.50R    0.11  
Exeter               42   48   -6      -8.94    18.41    -5.41    52.81     2.52    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.71R    0.34  
Bristol_Rovers       42   47   -9      -5.03    30.53    -2.07    51.95     2.55    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.02R    0.58  
Wycombe              42   46   -9      -7.29    22.86    -3.84    51.50     2.57    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.20R    1.83  
Northampton          42   46  -19      -3.84    35.09    -8.89    50.81     2.56   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.48R    3.24  
Torquay              42   39  -23      -9.20    16.86   -10.39    43.97     2.57   -23.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.57R   93.90  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Barnet 0 4 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            43   92  +62       5.87    73.28    17.66    98.37     2.07    65.72    99.93   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    42   82  +43       7.62    78.66    17.43    88.41     2.53    44.48     0.07   100.00    35.95P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          42   73  +19       2.68    60.91     0.03    80.24     2.44    22.10     0.00    95.01    28.65P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        42   71  +18       7.52    78.10     8.91    76.68     2.56    18.35     0.00    68.00    12.16P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    43   71   -2      15.15    93.95     4.03    74.96     2.25    -2.24     0.00    31.53     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          42   70  +26       3.86    64.99    12.40    75.94     2.62    26.68     0.00    62.69    12.01P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   42   68  +17       6.34    74.56    10.63    74.07     2.55    17.89     0.00    30.71     5.38P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    42   66   +4       0.08    50.23    -9.06    72.59     2.55     5.66     0.00    11.67     2.47P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           43   65   +4      -1.77    43.01    -8.05    69.40     2.25     4.43     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           43   64   -4       9.06    82.44     3.25    67.52     2.21    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     42   62  +16      -4.38    32.51     2.13    67.55     2.49    15.97     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        43   62   -8      11.04    86.69     4.37    65.47     2.14    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         43   61   -8       8.89    82.58     2.24    64.77     2.15    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     42   58   +2      -1.73    42.98    -1.20    63.20     2.61     1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     43   58   -1       0.50    52.38     1.48    61.52     2.17    -1.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   57   +1     -10.13    15.19   -11.64    61.56     2.23     1.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          43   57   +1       1.56    56.67     6.38    60.97     2.20     0.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        43   49  -18      -1.08    46.19    -3.05    51.95     2.12   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06R    0.00  
Chester          43   46  -22       1.37    56.49     1.07    49.15     2.07   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.08R    0.00  
Aldershot        43   45   +6     -13.74     8.32    -9.20    50.49     2.21     8.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.47R    0.00  
Hereford         43   45  -20      -9.43    16.19   -13.39    48.80     2.17   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.15R    0.00  
Dartford         43   44  -21      -5.82    27.29    -6.38    47.71     2.11   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.25R    0.00  
Tamworth         43   33  -38      -7.39    20.64    -8.25    36.53     2.20   -38.84     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      43   10  -77     -20.38     0.26   -21.77    11.47     1.63   -82.24     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10