Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 12 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Crystal_Palace 1 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 33 74 +50 6.21 78.03 10.66 83.91 2.76 55.14 28.86 69.78 99.13 99.92 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 33 72 +41 4.92 73.00 6.41 82.39 2.57 46.80 9.42 40.61 98.01 99.78 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 31 70 +55 1.40 56.33 9.62 85.67 2.92 65.97 61.72 89.50 99.58 99.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 33 66 +22 9.37 87.44 5.38 74.04 2.87 23.70 0.00 0.09 1.79 47.69 98.85 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 33 64 +16 6.05 76.67 -3.64 74.44 2.75 21.58 0.00 0.02 1.50 51.41 99.32 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 34 60 +0 8.29 83.57 -6.56 67.22 2.54 2.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 44.95 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 33 57 +18 -5.01 26.64 -8.39 67.19 2.65 23.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.02 56.88 0.00 0.00 Southampton 34 48 +5 1.80 58.87 7.69 52.81 2.61 3.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 34 46 -14 6.11 77.42 -1.58 50.35 2.29 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 34 43 -10 3.48 67.05 1.57 48.58 2.59 -9.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 33 37 -7 -3.99 31.80 0.49 42.22 2.62 -10.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 33 37 -15 4.97 74.62 5.39 40.53 2.40 -20.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Hull 33 36 -6 -0.08 50.59 8.43 40.68 2.65 -9.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32R 0.00 Aston_Villa 33 34 -14 -3.41 33.97 -0.22 38.97 2.62 -17.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.54R 0.00 Swansea 33 33 -4 -9.33 12.41 2.19 39.91 2.92 -3.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92R 0.02 West_Brom 33 33 -11 -8.23 15.96 -3.09 38.50 2.65 -13.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.60R 0.05 Norwich 34 32 -27 -2.98 36.30 -7.39 34.13 1.95 -33.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.65R 4.44 Fulham 34 30 -40 -2.76 37.19 -13.58 34.74 2.46 -41.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.46R 7.05 Cardiff 34 29 -34 -1.15 45.39 -4.54 32.64 2.36 -36.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.85R 29.54 Sunderland 32 25 -25 -8.94 12.38 -8.82 30.54 2.71 -30.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.52R 58.90Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Bolton 1 0 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 41 89 +35 14.78 94.07 7.53 97.67 2.88 37.75 98.07 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 42 83 +31 12.74 90.72 12.25 89.31 2.59 32.18 1.93 96.76 100.00 97.62P 0.00 0.00 Derby 42 75 +27 7.32 76.96 11.77 82.12 2.61 29.50 0.00 3.14 100.00 27.87P 0.00 0.00 QPR 42 73 +15 5.46 70.95 0.47 79.45 2.53 16.39 0.00 0.10 99.90 26.40P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 41 67 +14 -0.25 48.80 -2.31 74.60 2.90 15.12 0.00 0.00 85.60 22.13P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 42 64 +12 -1.33 44.83 0.56 70.95 2.53 14.10 0.00 0.00 46.67 11.40P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 42 64 +8 5.95 73.01 7.06 69.17 2.53 7.52 0.00 0.00 15.81 2.49P 0.00 0.00 Reading 41 63 +13 -3.35 36.76 -2.25 70.50 2.96 13.94 0.00 0.00 40.78 10.22P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 42 62 +1 8.05 79.13 6.99 67.50 2.65 1.03 0.00 0.00 5.92 0.75P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 42 60 +3 0.39 51.64 0.13 66.10 2.59 3.94 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.38P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 42 59 +4 -0.63 47.72 1.10 64.68 2.65 4.28 0.00 0.00 1.02 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 42 58 +10 -1.91 42.60 6.33 64.60 2.53 11.62 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Watford 41 57 +16 -9.17 17.39 0.93 64.59 2.90 17.11 0.00 0.00 1.56 0.39P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 42 54 -2 -6.16 26.64 -5.68 59.62 2.63 -1.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 42 50 +0 -5.02 30.44 3.82 55.43 2.61 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 42 50 -9 -3.04 38.10 -1.59 55.19 2.65 -9.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 42 46 -9 -4.50 32.38 1.94 50.33 2.52 -10.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00 Birmingham 41 43 -10 -11.34 11.86 -6.69 49.52 2.95 -10.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.22R 0.01 Doncaster 42 43 -26 0.91 54.92 -3.02 46.54 2.34 -29.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.60R 0.35 Blackpool 42 42 -26 -7.17 22.68 -13.65 46.18 2.38 -27.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.64R 0.63 Charlton 40 41 -23 -4.99 29.39 -10.87 48.72 3.16 -23.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.94R 0.35 Millwall 42 40 -30 -4.39 32.23 -9.91 44.49 2.43 -31.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.07R 3.98 Yeovil 42 36 -25 -4.65 31.44 1.96 39.81 2.39 -27.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.15R 51.65 Barnsley 41 36 -29 -5.85 26.35 -6.86 40.72 2.67 -32.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.24R 43.03League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Crewe 0 2 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 42 93 +51 6.82 76.49 8.11 101.03 2.45 54.99 98.60 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 42 87 +29 15.44 94.67 8.39 93.81 2.58 30.91 1.40 94.52 100.00 96.15P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 42 80 +39 7.29 76.89 16.27 86.26 2.59 40.20 0.00 2.34 100.00 32.90P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 42 79 +28 13.68 91.04 16.42 84.40 2.53 27.82 0.00 0.53 100.00 20.10P 0.00 0.00 Preston 42 79 +23 12.59 89.79 9.95 85.76 2.55 24.90 0.00 2.61 100.00 26.86P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 42 67 +10 -0.61 47.50 -5.19 74.43 2.59 13.06 0.00 0.00 97.91 23.55P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 42 60 +5 -5.79 28.09 -7.24 66.32 2.66 6.21 0.00 0.00 1.69 0.37P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 42 58 +1 -5.35 29.68 -7.50 63.35 2.64 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 42 57 -13 7.57 77.99 0.84 60.99 2.49 -15.55 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 42 56 +2 -1.86 42.87 1.13 62.56 2.62 3.56 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 41 56 -1 -4.33 32.67 -7.41 64.03 2.95 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 42 50 +1 -0.68 47.95 10.92 54.68 2.55 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Bristol_City 42 50 +0 -10.62 14.82 -4.14 56.72 2.64 1.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Coventry 42 49 -1 -1.31 45.14 -4.37 53.78 2.57 -2.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43R 0.00 Crawley_Town 40 49 -7 -0.41 49.01 0.76 57.19 3.21 -7.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Gillingham 42 48 -19 1.14 55.54 -1.31 52.65 2.53 -20.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.99R 0.01 Oldham 41 47 -11 -1.04 46.16 0.89 53.51 2.93 -11.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.17R 0.01 Colchester 42 46 -11 -3.62 36.20 1.02 50.92 2.56 -11.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.69R 0.06 Tranmere 41 46 -20 -3.41 36.59 -9.30 51.96 2.87 -21.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.91R 0.05 Notts_County 42 43 -15 -11.08 13.11 -8.75 48.15 2.62 -15.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.21R 2.61 Carlisle 41 43 -26 -0.44 48.97 -5.74 47.63 2.63 -29.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.21R 6.16 Crewe 42 43 -29 -0.04 50.35 -4.84 47.23 2.50 -31.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.19R 8.77 Shrewsbury 42 41 -14 -8.02 20.11 -2.32 45.88 2.52 -14.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.16R 12.92 Stevenage 42 39 -22 -8.19 19.86 -6.58 43.01 2.43 -24.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.80R 69.42 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 2 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Scunthorpe 42 76 +25 2.52 59.47 1.99 83.02 2.61 27.18 52.01 99.43 100.00 99.61P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 42 75 +22 7.57 77.67 7.61 81.57 2.66 23.59 24.66 97.86 100.00 98.45P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 42 74 +27 1.53 55.88 5.68 80.89 2.61 29.01 23.22 94.53 100.00 96.45P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 42 69 +13 7.89 78.59 7.66 74.32 2.58 12.80 0.09 6.04 99.94 28.98P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 42 68 +5 9.64 83.95 3.24 73.14 2.56 4.62 0.02 2.15 99.60 22.92P 0.00 0.00 Southend 42 62 +12 -3.35 36.49 0.64 67.95 2.60 12.69 0.00 0.00 80.02 25.27P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 42 62 +8 1.27 55.19 2.97 67.67 2.57 8.30 0.00 0.00 68.55 17.38P 0.00 0.00 York 42 61 +8 4.66 68.86 8.58 66.01 2.51 7.46 0.00 0.00 41.25 8.66P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 42 58 -2 3.74 65.28 1.57 63.09 2.54 -2.45 0.00 0.00 6.90 1.39P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 42 56 -6 5.78 72.56 4.06 61.29 2.60 -6.21 0.00 0.00 1.64 0.32P 0.00 0.00 Bury 42 54 +5 -8.38 20.66 -2.26 60.12 2.64 5.95 0.00 0.00 1.78 0.50P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 42 54 -4 0.27 51.72 1.00 59.16 2.58 -4.40 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.06P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 42 53 -3 4.38 67.56 9.91 57.56 2.55 -4.29 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 42 52 -5 1.68 57.55 4.77 57.40 2.60 -5.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.04R 0.00 Cheltenham 42 52 -8 -3.62 36.14 -5.79 57.24 2.58 -8.35 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Portsmouth 42 51 -12 -8.07 21.41 -14.48 56.84 2.62 -11.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 42 50 -3 -2.78 39.37 3.24 55.11 2.54 -3.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.65R 0.00 Hartlepool 42 49 -2 -10.16 15.51 -4.88 54.87 2.60 -1.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.33R 0.00 Morecambe 42 49 -14 -2.14 41.77 -4.92 53.45 2.53 -15.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.50R 0.11 Exeter 42 48 -6 -8.94 18.41 -5.41 52.81 2.52 -6.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.71R 0.34 Bristol_Rovers 42 47 -9 -5.03 30.53 -2.07 51.95 2.55 -9.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.02R 0.58 Wycombe 42 46 -9 -7.29 22.86 -3.84 51.50 2.57 -8.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.20R 1.83 Northampton 42 46 -19 -3.84 35.09 -8.89 50.81 2.56 -19.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.48R 3.24 Torquay 42 39 -23 -9.20 16.86 -10.39 43.97 2.57 -23.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.57R 93.90Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2014, Barnet 0 4 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 43 92 +62 5.87 73.28 17.66 98.37 2.07 65.72 99.93 100.00 99.96P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 42 82 +43 7.62 78.66 17.43 88.41 2.53 44.48 0.07 100.00 35.95P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 42 73 +19 2.68 60.91 0.03 80.24 2.44 22.10 0.00 95.01 28.65P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 42 71 +18 7.52 78.10 8.91 76.68 2.56 18.35 0.00 68.00 12.16P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 43 71 -2 15.15 93.95 4.03 74.96 2.25 -2.24 0.00 31.53 3.35P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 42 70 +26 3.86 64.99 12.40 75.94 2.62 26.68 0.00 62.69 12.01P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 42 68 +17 6.34 74.56 10.63 74.07 2.55 17.89 0.00 30.71 5.38P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 42 66 +4 0.08 50.23 -9.06 72.59 2.55 5.66 0.00 11.67 2.47P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 43 65 +4 -1.77 43.01 -8.05 69.40 2.25 4.43 0.00 0.26 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Woking 43 64 -4 9.06 82.44 3.25 67.52 2.21 -5.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 42 62 +16 -4.38 32.51 2.13 67.55 2.49 15.97 0.00 0.12 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 43 62 -8 11.04 86.69 4.37 65.47 2.14 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 43 61 -8 8.89 82.58 2.24 64.77 2.15 -8.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 42 58 +2 -1.73 42.98 -1.20 63.20 2.61 1.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 43 58 -1 0.50 52.38 1.48 61.52 2.17 -1.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 43 57 +1 -10.13 15.19 -11.64 61.56 2.23 1.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 43 57 +1 1.56 56.67 6.38 60.97 2.20 0.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 43 49 -18 -1.08 46.19 -3.05 51.95 2.12 -19.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.06R 0.00 Chester 43 46 -22 1.37 56.49 1.07 49.15 2.07 -23.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.08R 0.00 Aldershot 43 45 +6 -13.74 8.32 -9.20 50.49 2.21 8.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.47R 0.00 Hereford 43 45 -20 -9.43 16.19 -13.39 48.80 2.17 -20.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.15R 0.00 Dartford 43 44 -21 -5.82 27.29 -6.38 47.71 2.11 -21.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.25R 0.00 Tamworth 43 33 -38 -7.39 20.64 -8.25 36.53 2.20 -38.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Hyde_United 43 10 -77 -20.38 0.26 -21.77 11.47 1.63 -82.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10