Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 11 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 April 2014, Tottenham 5 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   74  +50       6.15    78.16    10.50    83.91     2.77    55.14    28.72    69.56    99.40    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   72  +41       4.92    72.86     6.32    82.43     2.57    46.87     9.73    40.91    98.51    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   70  +55       1.37    56.29     9.40    85.66     2.91    65.95    61.55    89.46    99.69    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   64  +16       6.13    76.83    -3.59    74.41     2.76    21.57     0.00     0.01     1.39    60.50    99.09     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   63  +21       8.28    84.70     5.15    72.82     3.18    23.26     0.00     0.05     1.01    37.03    95.36     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   59   +0       8.68    85.26    -6.67    67.67     2.90     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19    51.57     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   57  +18      -5.04    26.37    -8.53    67.20     2.65    23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47    53.97     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   48   +6       3.13    65.01     8.58    55.02     2.90     6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        33   46  -13       6.93    80.43    -1.31    51.53     2.63   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -11       2.24    61.96     1.24    47.21     2.93   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   37   -7      -4.00    31.81     0.46    42.25     2.62   -10.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Hull             33   36   -6      -0.06    50.69     8.47    40.66     2.65    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      32   34  -13      -2.44    38.97     0.26    40.36     2.96   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   34  -16       3.57    69.00     4.88    38.85     2.75   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.45R    0.01  
Swansea          33   33   -4      -9.19    12.60     2.40    39.86     2.93    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80R    0.02  
West_Brom        32   32  -11      -7.76    16.71    -3.04    38.79     2.98   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.50R    0.06  
Norwich          33   32  -26      -2.07    40.52    -7.00    35.23     2.35   -32.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.14R    1.34  
Fulham           33   27  -41      -4.10    30.57   -13.93    33.40     2.80   -41.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.66R   12.62  
Cardiff          33   26  -35      -2.85    36.55    -5.17    30.20     2.60   -39.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.11R   56.85  
Sunderland       31   25  -24      -8.08    14.51    -8.41    31.53     2.98   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.23R   29.11  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2014, Barnsley 0 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       41   89  +35      14.55    93.90     7.16    97.70     2.90    37.81    93.09   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         41   83  +32      13.83    92.59    12.75    91.17     2.92    33.88     6.91    99.21   100.00    99.43P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   72  +25       6.85    75.79    11.57    81.11     2.92    28.43     0.00     0.79    99.98    26.19P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             41   70  +12       5.37    71.04    -0.36    78.05     2.87    13.71     0.00     0.00    98.83    25.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           41   67  +14      -0.33    48.49    -2.41    74.57     2.92    15.07     0.00     0.00    87.17    23.43P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         41   63  +13      -3.58    35.70    -2.61    70.51     2.95    13.95     0.00     0.00    45.02    11.52P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        41   61   +9      -1.33    44.69    -0.22    69.64     2.84    11.52     0.00     0.00    30.31     7.15P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         41   61   +7       4.70    69.06     6.53    68.08     2.85     7.30     0.00     0.00    12.93     2.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     41   61   +1       8.67    81.15     7.43    67.97     2.99     1.15     0.00     0.00    11.58     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   59   +7      -0.35    48.87     2.36    65.82     2.93     6.99     0.00     0.00     4.64     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       41   59   +3       0.85    53.63     0.20    66.30     2.92     3.74     0.00     0.00     4.37     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         40   56  +16      -8.71    18.34     1.02    65.37     3.21    17.71     0.00     0.00     4.91     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   41   55   +9      -3.34    36.92     5.63    62.51     2.85     9.96     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton          41   51   -3      -7.29    22.63    -5.94    58.61     2.94    -1.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   49   +0      -4.50    32.41     3.80    55.92     2.94     0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    41   47  -11      -3.70    35.38    -2.11    53.78     2.98   -11.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Huddersfield    41   46   -7      -3.98    34.46     2.43    51.15     2.77    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Birmingham      41   43  -10     -11.33    11.79    -6.71    49.52     2.93   -10.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.57R    0.02  
Doncaster       41   43  -25       1.62    57.99    -3.13    47.37     2.64   -28.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.29R    0.52  
Blackpool       41   42  -24      -6.77    23.66   -13.15    47.29     2.74   -26.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.31R    0.50  
Charlton        39   41  -20      -5.07    29.23    -9.95    49.70     3.39   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.97R    0.29  
Millwall        41   39  -30      -4.09    33.49   -10.12    44.54     2.77   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.75R    7.10  
Barnsley        40   36  -28      -4.98    29.48    -6.52    41.48     2.95   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.06R   37.16  
Yeovil          41   35  -25      -4.09    33.61     2.36    40.06     2.73   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.62R   54.40  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 11 April 2014, Rotherham 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   41   90  +49       6.49    75.46     8.15   100.18     2.75    54.17    91.07    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   87  +30      16.43    95.90     8.87    95.22     2.92    31.98     8.92    98.28   100.00    98.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       42   79  +28      13.97    91.58    16.92    84.35     2.53    27.74     0.00     0.26   100.00    20.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   41   77  +35       7.63    78.58    15.51    85.23     2.90    37.12     0.01     0.82   100.00    31.59P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   76  +18      13.04    91.02     8.01    84.57     2.86    20.50     0.00     0.65   100.00    24.26P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    41   64   +9      -1.63    43.54    -5.20    73.17     2.93    12.59     0.00     0.00    92.98    23.27P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         41   58   +3      -4.44    32.34    -6.23    65.24     2.99     3.53     0.00     0.00     2.49     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   57   +4      -6.96    24.01    -7.51    64.68     2.97     5.19     0.00     0.00     2.03     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       41   57  -11       8.21    79.95     1.44    62.12     2.84   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         41   56   +3      -0.82    46.94     1.69    64.05     2.95     4.72     0.00     0.00     1.27     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   56   -1      -4.45    32.28    -7.57    64.01     2.95     0.67     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        42   50   +1      -0.73    47.60    10.82    54.73     2.56    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Coventry        41   49   +0      -0.58    47.76    -4.44    54.78     2.89    -1.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Gillingham      41   48  -15       1.06    55.16     0.07    53.47     2.79   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.25R    0.01  
Bristol_City    41   47   -1     -12.31    11.13    -5.13    54.98     2.97     0.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96R    0.01  
Oldham          41   47  -11      -0.96    46.65     0.98    53.48     2.93   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.90R    0.03  
Crawley_Town    39   46   -9      -1.41    44.54    -0.28    54.96     3.47    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.34R    0.04  
Colchester      41   43  -12      -4.81    31.15     0.55    49.11     2.88   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.16R    3.86  
Tranmere        40   43  -21      -4.71    31.33    -9.82    50.49     3.18   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.65R    2.30  
Carlisle        40   43  -21      -1.06    46.39    -4.22    48.62     2.91   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.35R    6.17  
Crewe           41   43  -27       0.30    52.40    -4.49    47.87     2.72   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.93R   10.86  
Shrewsbury      41   41  -13      -7.11    22.47    -1.95    47.11     2.87   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.17R   11.50  
Notts_County    41   40  -17     -11.87    10.93    -9.64    46.84     2.97   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.98R   14.86  
Stevenage       41   39  -21      -7.31    21.93    -6.51    44.50     2.77   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.04R   50.37  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2014, Newport_County 1 2 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             41   75  +25       7.77    78.74     8.91    83.41     2.97    27.26    42.92    98.30   100.00    98.83P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           41   75  +25       2.87    60.98     1.99    83.85     2.93    27.84    49.84    98.92   100.00    99.27P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   71  +26       0.48    51.84     5.47    79.29     2.91    28.06     6.94    78.35   100.00    85.92P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       41   68  +13       8.11    79.60     7.44    75.12     2.91    13.41     0.16    14.30    99.83    34.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   68   +6      10.62    86.39     3.69    74.63     2.88     5.81     0.14     9.76    99.70    28.47P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   62  +13      -2.14    41.43     1.42    69.83     2.90    14.39     0.00     0.37    90.18    28.66P    0.00     0.00  
York                 41   60   +8       5.08    70.72     8.64    66.63     2.83     7.80     0.00     0.00    49.08     9.94P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   59   +6       0.50    52.23     2.15    65.90     2.88     6.13     0.00     0.00    38.76     9.25P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             41   58   +0       4.24    67.62     2.43    64.59     2.87    -0.23     0.00     0.00    17.99     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            41   54   -1       0.46    52.63     2.27    60.75     2.91    -1.09     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   53   +5      -8.03    20.83    -2.29    60.07     2.90     5.36     0.00     0.00     2.30     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   53   -9       5.26    71.52     2.72    59.18     2.90    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   51   -8      -3.31    37.03    -5.84    57.40     2.91    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.11R    0.00  
Newport_County       41   50   -5       3.54    64.85     9.15    55.78     2.88    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.67R    0.00  
Hartlepool           41   49   -1      -9.40    16.93    -4.73    56.10     2.93    -0.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   49   -3      -2.61    40.11     3.01    55.30     2.84    -3.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.84R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   49   -6       0.39    52.61     4.32    55.21     2.86    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.38R    0.00  
Morecambe            41   48  -14      -1.84    43.08    -5.19    53.40     2.81   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.82R    0.07  
Portsmouth           41   48  -15      -8.07    20.73   -15.28    54.98     2.93   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.72R    0.02  
Exeter               41   47   -6      -8.35    19.55    -5.11    53.33     2.87    -6.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.28R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers       41   47   -8      -4.04    33.96    -1.61    53.60     2.88    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.42R    0.11  
Wycombe              41   46   -7      -6.65    24.50    -2.83    52.98     2.93    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.65R    0.27  
Northampton          41   43  -20      -5.23    29.10    -9.47    49.04     2.87   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.13R    4.91  
Torquay              41   36  -24     -10.69    12.27   -11.26    42.04     2.86   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.40R   94.49  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 10 April 2014, Dartford 1 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            42   92  +63       7.16    78.08    18.54   100.61     2.38    68.02    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    41   79  +38       8.30    80.98    16.56    87.95     2.69    41.64     0.01   100.00    35.69P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    42   71   -1      16.29    95.50     4.66    76.01     2.61    -1.78     0.00    64.94     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          41   70  +18       1.85    57.58     0.19    79.54     2.71    22.49     0.00    95.10    30.28P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        41   68  +17       5.80    72.86     7.83    75.03     2.89    17.33     0.00    57.64    10.91P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          41   67  +22       3.97    65.37    11.41    73.71     2.90    21.72     0.00    42.33     8.11P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   41   65  +16       4.83    69.41     9.70    71.50     2.75    15.41     0.00    15.33     2.72P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           42   65   +8      -2.15    41.21    -6.63    71.40     2.61     9.34     0.00    11.27     2.51P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    41   63   +2      -0.44    48.14    -9.28    71.49     2.89     4.41     0.00    12.91     2.89P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        42   62   -7      11.86    88.80     4.46    67.05     2.52    -7.67     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           42   61   -5       7.86    79.63     2.97    66.20     2.58    -5.58     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         42   61   -5       8.92    83.13     3.28    65.60     2.45    -6.31     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   59  +15      -5.45    28.45     1.97    65.96     2.86    15.02     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Welling          42   57   +3       1.90    57.85     6.80    61.80     2.49     1.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     41   57   +2      -0.79    46.60    -0.32    63.72     2.96     1.67     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     42   55   -2      -0.82    46.95     1.01    59.62     2.53    -3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          42   54   -2     -10.35    14.21   -12.52    60.50     2.57    -0.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        42   46  -20      -1.84    42.82    -3.68    50.86     2.48   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.46R    0.00  
Chester          42   46  -21       1.84    58.86     0.61    49.72     2.30   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.35R    0.00  
Hereford         42   45  -19      -8.47    18.56   -12.98    50.28     2.54   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.46R    0.00  
Aldershot        42   44   +6     -13.33     8.71    -9.23    50.72     2.58     7.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.19R    0.00  
Dartford         42   44  -20      -5.01    30.06    -6.17    49.04     2.51   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.54R    0.00  
Tamworth         42   33  -36      -7.01    21.83    -7.73    37.46     2.52   -37.54     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hyde_United      42   10  -72     -20.78     0.18   -21.43    11.81     1.82   -79.30     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10