Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 10 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 April 2014, Tottenham 5 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 33 74 +50 6.13 77.91 10.38 83.93 2.75 55.18 28.97 70.05 99.39 99.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 33 72 +41 5.03 73.31 6.54 82.41 2.57 46.80 9.56 40.41 98.40 99.88 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 31 70 +55 1.37 56.37 9.38 85.68 2.92 65.99 61.47 89.47 99.66 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 33 64 +16 5.97 76.59 -3.89 74.43 2.76 21.60 0.00 0.01 1.52 60.86 99.08 0.00 0.00 Everton 32 63 +21 8.26 84.68 5.04 72.82 3.18 23.27 0.00 0.06 1.03 36.72 95.56 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 33 59 +0 8.58 84.76 -6.76 67.71 2.91 2.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.18 52.17 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 33 57 +18 -5.04 26.51 -8.56 67.20 2.62 23.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.42 53.18 0.00 0.00 Southampton 33 48 +6 3.15 65.14 8.61 55.04 2.90 6.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 33 46 -13 7.01 80.65 -1.24 51.51 2.63 -15.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 33 40 -11 2.18 61.69 1.20 47.18 2.92 -10.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 33 37 -7 -3.98 31.89 0.51 42.24 2.62 -10.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Hull 33 36 -6 -0.06 50.81 8.54 40.67 2.66 -9.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21R 0.00 Aston_Villa 32 34 -13 -2.47 38.39 0.23 40.36 2.95 -16.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.94R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 32 34 -16 3.68 69.41 5.10 38.84 2.75 -21.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.44R 0.01 Swansea 33 33 -4 -9.32 12.53 2.19 39.84 2.92 -4.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.81R 0.01 West_Brom 32 32 -11 -7.73 17.00 -3.01 38.78 2.98 -14.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.60R 0.06 Norwich 33 32 -26 -2.05 40.51 -7.01 35.25 2.35 -32.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.75R 1.34 Fulham 33 27 -41 -4.09 30.53 -13.91 33.39 2.82 -41.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.48R 12.72 Cardiff 33 26 -35 -2.72 37.16 -4.96 30.21 2.59 -39.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.11R 56.70 Sunderland 31 25 -24 -8.05 14.61 -8.37 31.51 2.97 -30.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.65R 29.17Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2014, Barnsley 0 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 41 89 +35 14.52 93.96 7.12 97.71 2.89 37.81 93.08 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 41 83 +32 13.82 92.59 12.80 91.18 2.93 33.91 6.92 99.12 100.00 99.38P 0.00 0.00 Derby 41 72 +25 6.86 75.71 11.55 81.10 2.93 28.41 0.00 0.87 99.99 26.63P 0.00 0.00 QPR 41 70 +12 5.46 71.14 -0.29 78.03 2.87 13.68 0.00 0.02 98.73 25.32P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 41 67 +14 -0.31 48.58 -2.38 74.57 2.91 15.06 0.00 0.00 87.12 23.01P 0.00 0.00 Reading 41 63 +13 -3.18 37.32 -1.97 70.51 2.95 13.95 0.00 0.00 45.37 11.40P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 41 61 +9 -1.29 44.78 -0.17 69.63 2.84 11.50 0.00 0.00 29.92 7.33P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 41 61 +7 4.89 69.67 6.84 68.06 2.84 7.26 0.00 0.00 12.91 2.25P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 41 61 +1 8.64 81.13 7.32 67.96 2.98 1.15 0.00 0.00 11.54 1.58P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 41 59 +7 -0.33 49.06 2.51 65.78 2.93 6.97 0.00 0.00 4.64 0.96P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 41 59 +3 0.75 53.07 0.02 66.30 2.93 3.74 0.00 0.00 4.48 0.85P 0.00 0.00 Watford 40 56 +16 -8.71 18.36 1.06 65.37 3.23 17.73 0.00 0.00 5.00 1.24P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 41 55 +9 -3.26 37.28 5.78 62.47 2.83 9.91 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Bolton 41 51 -3 -7.26 22.99 -5.88 58.61 2.93 -1.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 41 49 +0 -4.60 31.82 3.69 55.94 2.93 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 41 47 -11 -3.89 34.77 -2.39 53.82 2.97 -11.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Huddersfield 41 46 -7 -4.13 33.66 2.20 51.17 2.77 -9.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29R 0.00 Birmingham 41 43 -10 -11.36 11.93 -6.78 49.51 2.93 -10.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.65R 0.04 Doncaster 41 43 -25 1.78 58.88 -2.89 47.34 2.62 -28.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.42R 0.49 Blackpool 41 42 -24 -6.63 24.34 -12.88 47.28 2.73 -26.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.57R 0.55 Charlton 39 41 -20 -5.05 29.11 -9.96 49.65 3.38 -21.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.00R 0.29 Millwall 41 39 -30 -4.17 33.38 -10.34 44.57 2.77 -31.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.49R 7.50 Barnsley 40 36 -28 -4.98 29.41 -6.57 41.51 2.91 -32.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.28R 37.02 Yeovil 41 35 -25 -4.55 31.72 1.62 40.12 2.76 -27.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.25R 54.12League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2014, Brentford 1 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 41 90 +49 6.58 75.75 8.33 100.16 2.76 54.14 91.11 99.97 100.00 99.98P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 41 87 +30 16.54 95.91 8.98 95.20 2.91 31.96 8.89 97.75 100.00 98.41P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 41 78 +28 14.24 91.93 16.75 85.25 2.88 28.54 0.00 0.77 100.00 21.57P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 41 77 +35 7.63 78.06 15.45 85.28 2.90 37.19 0.00 0.89 100.00 31.35P 0.00 0.00 Preston 41 76 +18 13.18 91.22 8.24 84.55 2.87 20.50 0.00 0.62 100.00 24.04P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 41 64 +9 -1.70 43.22 -5.32 73.14 2.94 12.57 0.00 0.00 92.92 23.03P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 41 58 +3 -4.48 32.39 -6.30 65.20 2.98 3.49 0.00 0.00 2.53 0.56P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 41 57 +4 -6.89 24.06 -7.46 64.68 3.00 5.18 0.00 0.00 2.12 0.51P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 41 57 -11 8.00 79.19 1.13 62.16 2.84 -13.90 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 41 56 +3 -0.72 47.54 1.85 64.04 2.97 4.71 0.00 0.00 1.24 0.30P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 41 56 -1 -4.25 33.12 -7.30 63.99 2.96 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 41 49 +1 -0.63 48.31 10.55 54.63 2.85 -0.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27R 0.00 Coventry 41 49 +0 -0.48 48.35 -4.33 54.78 2.89 -1.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23R 0.00 Gillingham 41 48 -15 1.08 55.29 0.16 53.47 2.80 -17.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.15R 0.01 Bristol_City 41 47 -1 -12.11 11.36 -4.81 54.98 2.97 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.97R 0.01 Oldham 41 47 -11 -1.08 45.92 0.86 53.53 2.95 -11.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.88R 0.02 Crawley_Town 39 46 -9 -1.64 43.48 -0.62 54.97 3.49 -9.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.48R 0.02 Colchester 41 43 -12 -4.83 31.29 0.60 49.09 2.87 -13.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.21R 4.05 Tranmere 40 43 -21 -4.76 31.31 -9.89 50.50 3.16 -22.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.34R 2.30 Carlisle 40 43 -21 -1.12 46.18 -4.34 48.62 2.91 -25.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.33R 6.24 Crewe 41 43 -27 0.21 51.89 -4.60 47.88 2.74 -30.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.61R 10.91 Shrewsbury 41 41 -13 -7.30 21.94 -2.28 47.11 2.85 -13.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.09R 11.26 Notts_County 41 40 -17 -11.79 11.13 -9.37 46.82 2.98 -17.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.39R 14.89 Stevenage 41 39 -21 -7.14 22.48 -6.28 44.50 2.77 -22.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.07R 50.28 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2014, Newport_County 1 2 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 41 75 +25 7.89 78.88 9.01 83.42 2.96 27.26 43.25 98.41 100.00 98.92P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 41 75 +25 3.17 62.43 2.45 83.83 2.95 27.81 49.64 98.86 100.00 99.25P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 41 71 +26 0.52 51.96 5.55 79.23 2.95 28.01 6.77 77.84 100.00 85.47P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 41 68 +13 8.21 79.81 7.58 75.12 2.92 13.41 0.19 14.33 99.82 34.92P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 41 68 +6 10.41 86.10 3.45 74.66 2.89 5.83 0.15 10.21 99.65 29.65P 0.00 0.00 Southend 41 62 +13 -2.05 41.59 1.58 69.77 2.90 14.34 0.00 0.34 89.83 28.49P 0.00 0.00 York 41 60 +8 5.17 71.44 8.76 66.64 2.83 7.81 0.00 0.01 49.16 9.80P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 41 59 +6 0.34 51.91 1.95 65.92 2.86 6.17 0.00 0.00 38.65 8.89P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 41 58 +0 4.12 67.21 2.30 64.61 2.87 -0.21 0.00 0.00 18.38 3.53P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 41 54 -1 0.53 52.90 2.38 60.75 2.91 -1.08 0.00 0.00 1.72 0.35P 0.00 0.00 Bury 41 53 +5 -8.29 20.22 -2.64 60.09 2.92 5.37 0.00 0.00 2.29 0.64P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 41 53 -9 5.25 71.01 2.68 59.20 2.91 -9.87 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.06P 0.01R 0.00 Cheltenham 41 51 -8 -3.45 36.47 -6.05 57.41 2.92 -8.61 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.13R 0.00 Newport_County 41 50 -5 3.85 66.22 9.65 55.74 2.86 -6.54 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.65R 0.00 Hartlepool 41 49 -1 -9.57 16.65 -4.94 56.10 2.92 -0.53 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.52R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 41 49 -3 -2.57 39.81 3.03 55.31 2.86 -3.68 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.94R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 41 49 -6 0.22 51.65 4.02 55.24 2.86 -6.79 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.32R 0.00 Morecambe 41 48 -14 -1.98 42.44 -5.35 53.42 2.81 -16.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.74R 0.07 Portsmouth 41 48 -15 -8.30 20.08 -15.62 54.96 2.93 -14.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.65R 0.04 Exeter 41 47 -6 -8.34 19.63 -5.16 53.33 2.85 -6.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.33R 0.15 Bristol_Rovers 41 47 -8 -3.91 34.45 -1.47 53.57 2.90 -8.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.68R 0.13 Wycombe 41 46 -7 -6.47 24.89 -2.59 52.96 2.92 -6.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.70R 0.28 Northampton 41 43 -20 -5.19 29.49 -9.42 49.04 2.87 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.00R 5.13 Torquay 41 36 -24 -10.63 12.57 -11.14 42.05 2.88 -25.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.34R 94.20Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 10 April 2014, Dartford 1 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 42 92 +63 7.26 78.73 18.70 100.62 2.37 68.05 99.99 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 41 79 +38 8.21 80.72 16.39 87.94 2.70 41.65 0.01 100.00 35.31P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 42 71 -1 16.05 95.01 4.31 76.02 2.62 -1.76 0.00 65.35 7.14P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 41 70 +18 1.60 56.45 -0.19 79.58 2.72 22.54 0.00 95.34 30.93P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 41 68 +17 6.09 73.79 8.26 74.97 2.87 17.27 0.00 56.57 10.57P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 41 67 +22 4.04 65.91 11.52 73.70 2.92 21.72 0.00 42.50 7.83P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 41 65 +16 4.99 70.19 9.93 71.48 2.75 15.38 0.00 15.39 2.70P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 42 65 +8 -2.24 40.73 -6.75 71.37 2.60 9.31 0.00 11.22 2.63P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 41 63 +2 -0.51 47.94 -9.42 71.50 2.90 4.44 0.00 13.16 2.82P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 42 62 -7 11.87 89.09 4.51 67.07 2.54 -7.64 0.00 0.14 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Woking 42 61 -5 7.76 79.27 2.86 66.22 2.59 -5.54 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 42 61 -5 8.60 81.94 2.68 65.62 2.45 -6.30 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 41 59 +15 -5.55 28.19 1.82 65.95 2.84 14.98 0.00 0.19 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Welling 42 57 +3 2.06 58.69 7.03 61.79 2.52 1.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 41 57 +2 -0.81 46.96 -0.36 63.72 2.95 1.69 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 42 55 -2 -0.78 47.17 1.03 59.62 2.52 -3.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 42 54 -2 -10.46 13.79 -12.73 60.50 2.57 -0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 42 46 -20 -1.57 44.26 -3.31 50.86 2.49 -21.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.75R 0.00 Chester 42 46 -21 1.94 58.88 0.78 49.71 2.29 -23.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.64R 0.00 Hereford 42 45 -19 -8.41 18.97 -12.90 50.30 2.56 -19.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.29R 0.00 Aldershot 42 44 +6 -13.27 8.86 -9.15 50.74 2.58 7.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.83R 0.00 Dartford 42 44 -20 -5.00 30.36 -6.13 49.03 2.50 -20.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.49R 0.00 Tamworth 42 33 -36 -6.95 21.89 -7.70 37.45 2.50 -37.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Hyde_United 42 10 -72 -20.74 0.18 -21.19 11.80 1.81 -79.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10