Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 9 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 April 2014, Tottenham 5 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   74  +50       6.15    78.12    10.40    83.92     2.76    55.17    28.91    70.13    99.38    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   72  +41       4.95    73.34     6.38    82.42     2.58    46.87     9.77    40.66    98.49    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   70  +55       1.53    57.12     9.71    85.63     2.92    65.87    61.31    89.14    99.66    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   64  +16       6.08    76.86    -3.68    74.44     2.75    21.59     0.00     0.02     1.45    60.80    99.17     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   63  +21       8.22    84.40     5.01    72.84     3.17    23.29     0.00     0.05     1.02    36.97    95.33     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   59   +0       8.60    84.86    -6.74    67.68     2.89     2.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07    51.82     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   57  +18      -5.11    26.30    -8.71    67.20     2.65    23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39    53.66     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   48   +6       3.24    65.43     8.69    55.02     2.90     6.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        33   46  -13       7.15    80.85    -0.97    51.50     2.64   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -11       2.16    61.32     1.06    47.21     2.92   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   37   -7      -4.06    31.44     0.35    42.24     2.61   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Hull             33   36   -6      -0.06    50.40     8.51    40.64     2.66    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      32   34  -13      -2.42    38.63     0.30    40.36     2.95   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.97R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   34  -16       3.51    68.49     4.84    38.88     2.77   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.29R    0.01  
Swansea          33   33   -4      -9.30    12.78     2.30    39.86     2.92    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.79R    0.02  
West_Brom        32   32  -11      -7.72    16.87    -3.00    38.77     2.99   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.73R    0.07  
Norwich          33   32  -26      -1.93    41.35    -6.75    35.21     2.35   -32.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.46R    1.30  
Fulham           33   27  -41      -4.06    30.84   -13.94    33.39     2.81   -41.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.45R   13.19  
Cardiff          33   26  -35      -2.86    36.32    -5.13    30.22     2.59   -39.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.96R   56.72  
Sunderland       31   25  -24      -8.21    14.16    -8.64    31.55     2.97   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.14R   28.68  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2014, Barnsley 0 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       41   89  +35      14.70    94.18     7.42    97.68     2.88    37.76    93.19   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         41   83  +32      13.83    92.68    12.83    91.14     2.93    33.85     6.81    99.07   100.00    99.33P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   72  +25       6.87    75.74    11.56    81.12     2.92    28.44     0.00     0.90    99.98    26.42P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             41   70  +12       5.31    70.74    -0.47    78.07     2.88    13.75     0.00     0.02    98.80    25.48P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           41   67  +14      -0.04    49.68    -2.01    74.54     2.95    15.03     0.00     0.00    86.72    23.03P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         41   63  +13      -3.39    36.56    -2.34    70.54     2.97    13.99     0.00     0.00    45.54    11.54P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        41   61   +9      -1.49    43.86    -0.40    69.65     2.83    11.54     0.00     0.00    29.88     7.31P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         41   61   +7       4.81    69.17     6.75    68.12     2.85     7.33     0.00     0.00    13.20     2.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     41   61   +1       8.41    80.13     6.97    67.99     3.00     1.18     0.00     0.00    11.71     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   59   +7      -0.30    49.04     2.46    65.79     2.93     6.96     0.00     0.00     4.56     0.88P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       41   59   +3       0.73    53.08     0.10    66.31     2.92     3.74     0.00     0.00     4.32     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         40   56  +16      -8.86    17.92     0.79    65.35     3.22    17.69     0.00     0.00     4.94     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   41   55   +9      -3.56    35.99     5.30    62.55     2.83    10.01     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton          41   51   -3      -7.34    22.74    -5.96    58.61     2.93    -1.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   49   +0      -4.59    31.91     3.68    55.89     2.93     0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    41   47  -11      -3.70    35.45    -2.16    53.77     2.96   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield    41   46   -7      -4.03    33.89     2.34    51.16     2.78    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Birmingham      41   43  -10     -11.36    11.80    -6.77    49.53     2.95   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.65R    0.03  
Doncaster       41   43  -25       1.80    58.86    -2.89    47.31     2.61   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.58R    0.55  
Blackpool       41   42  -24      -6.75    24.13   -13.07    47.30     2.73   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.20R    0.56  
Charlton        39   41  -20      -5.05    29.29    -9.95    49.68     3.39   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.97R    0.30  
Millwall        41   39  -30      -4.06    33.71   -10.16    44.54     2.75   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.73R    7.18  
Barnsley        40   36  -28      -4.82    30.20    -6.38    41.48     2.93   -32.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.15R   36.87  
Yeovil          41   35  -25      -4.16    33.51     2.35    40.07     2.77   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.32R   54.51  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2014, Brentford 1 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   41   90  +49       6.47    75.50     8.09   100.19     2.77    54.21    91.11    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   87  +30      16.49    95.94     8.94    95.24     2.93    31.99     8.89    97.76   100.00    98.41P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       41   78  +28      14.23    91.98    16.65    85.27     2.87    28.56     0.00     0.84   100.00    21.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   41   77  +35       7.76    78.50    15.65    85.23     2.88    37.11     0.00     0.81   100.00    31.35P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   76  +18      13.05    91.09     8.04    84.55     2.86    20.47     0.00     0.61   100.00    24.10P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    41   64   +9      -1.48    44.03    -4.98    73.13     2.96    12.52     0.00     0.00    92.65    22.98P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         41   58   +3      -4.49    32.50    -6.26    65.20     2.98     3.46     0.00     0.00     2.72     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   57   +4      -6.80    24.54    -7.28    64.66     2.98     5.17     0.00     0.00     2.04     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       41   57  -11       8.11    79.65     1.18    62.15     2.84   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         41   56   +3      -0.84    46.70     1.70    64.04     2.95     4.72     0.00     0.00     1.31     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   56   -1      -4.31    33.09    -7.36    63.99     2.95     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        41   49   +1      -0.72    47.74    10.45    54.61     2.85    -0.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Coventry        41   49   +0      -0.61    48.03    -4.44    54.81     2.90    -1.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Gillingham      41   48  -15       0.98    54.87     0.00    53.47     2.78   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.08R    0.01  
Bristol_City    41   47   -1     -12.22    11.47    -4.96    54.99     2.97     0.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.97R    0.01  
Oldham          41   47  -11      -0.96    46.89     0.99    53.48     2.93   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.93R    0.02  
Crawley_Town    39   46   -9      -1.58    43.84    -0.54    54.99     3.48    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.38R    0.01  
Colchester      41   43  -12      -4.76    31.33     0.68    49.09     2.88   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.42R    3.92  
Tranmere        40   43  -21      -4.45    32.24    -9.42    50.50     3.17   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.66R    2.19  
Carlisle        40   43  -21      -1.25    45.61    -4.59    48.68     2.91   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.72R    5.76  
Crewe           41   43  -27       0.18    51.66    -4.65    47.88     2.74   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.30R   11.10  
Shrewsbury      41   41  -13      -7.12    22.12    -2.05    47.09     2.86   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.48R   11.60  
Notts_County    41   40  -17     -11.88    10.99    -9.53    46.81     2.96   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.48R   14.94  
Stevenage       41   39  -21      -7.17    22.27    -6.32    44.49     2.77   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.10R   50.44  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2014, Newport_County 1 2 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             41   75  +25       7.87    78.96     9.02    83.40     2.97    27.24    42.60    98.38   100.00    98.92P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           41   75  +25       3.15    62.32     2.38    83.81     2.92    27.78    49.95    98.86   100.00    99.29P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   71  +26       0.40    51.33     5.36    79.28     2.91    28.05     7.12    78.65   100.00    86.31P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       41   68  +13       8.24    80.11     7.62    75.08     2.91    13.37     0.20    13.67    99.87    34.38P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   68   +6      10.63    86.42     3.76    74.63     2.89     5.80     0.13    10.05    99.71    29.26P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   62  +13      -2.09    41.48     1.49    69.81     2.92    14.38     0.00     0.38    90.05    28.28P    0.00     0.00  
York                 41   60   +8       5.33    71.67     9.03    66.60     2.85     7.77     0.00     0.00    48.55     9.66P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   59   +6       0.39    51.94     2.00    65.90     2.88     6.14     0.00     0.00    38.68     8.96P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             41   58   +0       4.13    67.21     2.25    64.62     2.89    -0.20     0.00     0.00    18.48     3.83P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            41   54   -1       0.69    53.41     2.52    60.77     2.91    -1.06     0.00     0.00     1.75     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   53   +5      -8.17    20.66    -2.46    60.09     2.91     5.39     0.00     0.00     2.35     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   53   -9       5.34    71.78     2.79    59.22     2.88    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   51   -8      -3.45    36.57    -5.99    57.40     2.92    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P    0.09R    0.00  
Newport_County       41   50   -5       3.74    65.90     9.41    55.78     2.87    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.61R    0.00  
Hartlepool           41   49   -1      -9.54    16.76    -4.89    56.08     2.92    -0.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.53R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   49   -3      -2.75    39.28     2.91    55.32     2.86    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.82R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   49   -6       0.19    51.67     4.06    55.21     2.85    -6.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.36R    0.00  
Morecambe            41   48  -14      -1.88    42.70    -5.24    53.44     2.82   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.75R    0.08  
Portsmouth           41   48  -15      -8.26    20.14   -15.54    54.96     2.92   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.75R    0.03  
Exeter               41   47   -6      -8.58    18.96    -5.47    53.36     2.86    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.20R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers       41   47   -8      -3.83    34.87    -1.32    53.57     2.88    -8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.60R    0.12  
Wycombe              41   46   -7      -6.89    23.58    -3.18    52.98     2.91    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.65R    0.26  
Northampton          41   43  -20      -5.08    30.12    -9.30    49.02     2.85   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.24R    4.95  
Torquay              41   36  -24     -10.66    12.32   -11.19    42.03     2.86   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.40R   94.41  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2014, Alfreton_Town 1 4 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            42   92  +63       7.32    78.78    18.82   100.62     2.36    68.04   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    40   76  +35       7.90    80.22    15.36    86.33     3.02    38.62     0.00   100.00    34.16P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    42   71   -1      16.12    95.17     4.40    75.97     2.60    -1.85     0.00    63.87     6.90P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          40   70  +19       2.88    62.11     0.66    81.21     3.02    23.95     0.00    97.78    32.76P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        41   68  +17       5.97    73.54     8.09    75.04     2.89    17.36     0.00    56.42    10.10P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          41   67  +22       3.68    64.60    10.94    73.73     2.91    21.76     0.00    41.85     7.94P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   41   65  +16       5.02    70.04     9.98    71.49     2.74    15.39     0.00    14.71     2.61P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           42   65   +8      -2.20    40.99    -6.64    71.39     2.62     9.33     0.00    11.26     2.70P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    41   63   +2      -0.44    48.13    -9.37    71.53     2.88     4.47     0.00    12.86     2.65P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        42   62   -7      11.94    89.05     4.54    67.05     2.54    -7.69     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           41   61   -2       7.90    79.98     3.82    67.55     2.92    -2.56     0.00     0.83     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         42   61   -5       8.66    82.11     2.85    65.62     2.45    -6.30     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     41   59  +15      -5.41    28.36     2.06    65.93     2.84    14.94     0.00     0.20     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Welling          42   57   +3       1.81    57.87     6.65    61.81     2.50     2.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     41   57   +2      -0.75    47.00    -0.25    63.74     2.95     1.68     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     42   55   -2      -0.73    47.71     1.12    59.63     2.52    -3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          42   54   -2     -10.48    13.74   -12.70    60.50     2.56    -0.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        42   46  -20      -1.65    43.76    -3.37    50.85     2.49   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.10R    0.00  
Chester          42   46  -21       1.97    59.18     0.81    49.73     2.30   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.06R    0.00  
Hereford         42   45  -19      -8.40    18.50   -12.82    50.31     2.57   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.28R    0.00  
Aldershot        42   44   +6     -13.49     8.36    -9.43    50.70     2.58     7.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.01R    0.00  
Dartford         41   41  -21      -6.34    24.98    -6.51    47.11     2.82   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.56R    0.00  
Tamworth         42   33  -36      -6.81    22.08    -7.48    37.42     2.51   -37.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    0.00  
Hyde_United      42   10  -72     -20.83     0.17   -21.55    11.79     1.80   -79.30     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10