Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 8 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 April 2014, Tottenham 5 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   74  +50       6.22    78.54    10.61    83.91     2.74    55.16    28.87    69.96    99.36    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   72  +41       4.88    72.71     6.27    82.42     2.59    46.85     9.70    40.69    98.46    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   70  +55       1.42    56.42     9.56    85.67     2.92    65.92    61.43    89.29    99.67    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   64  +16       6.17    77.10    -3.53    74.42     2.76    21.59     0.00     0.01     1.45    60.88    99.12     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   63  +21       8.24    84.51     5.04    72.81     3.19    23.25     0.00     0.05     1.07    36.65    95.31     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   59   +0       8.59    84.82    -6.77    67.69     2.90     2.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18    51.89     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   57  +18      -5.08    26.36    -8.64    67.19     2.65    23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47    53.67     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   48   +6       3.25    65.47     8.77    55.04     2.91     6.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        33   46  -13       6.94    80.25    -1.35    51.54     2.65   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -11       2.23    61.80     1.24    47.19     2.93   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   37   -7      -4.10    31.08     0.33    42.23     2.60   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Hull             33   36   -6       0.02    51.12     8.59    40.65     2.65    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      32   34  -13      -2.53    38.25     0.06    40.38     2.94   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   34  -16       3.66    69.44     5.11    38.83     2.75   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.52R    0.02  
Swansea          33   33   -4      -9.33    12.60     2.22    39.84     2.92    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.82R    0.00  
West_Brom        32   32  -11      -7.71    16.86    -3.01    38.78     2.99   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.69R    0.06  
Norwich          33   32  -26      -1.95    41.09    -6.87    35.24     2.36   -32.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.46R    1.34  
Fulham           33   27  -41      -4.08    30.63   -13.88    33.41     2.82   -41.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.10R   12.69  
Cardiff          33   26  -35      -2.84    36.55    -5.12    30.20     2.60   -39.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.04R   57.01  
Sunderland       31   25  -24      -8.21    14.38    -8.62    31.55     2.99   -30.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.23R   28.87  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2014, Barnsley 0 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       41   89  +35      14.65    93.94     7.39    97.69     2.90    37.80    92.90   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         41   83  +32      13.76    92.61    12.68    91.18     2.92    33.89     7.10    99.23   100.00    99.41P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           41   72  +25       6.91    76.11    11.68    81.09     2.90    28.38     0.00     0.76    99.99    25.97P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             41   70  +12       5.43    71.20    -0.29    78.04     2.88    13.68     0.00     0.01    98.73    25.20P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           41   67  +14      -0.41    48.07    -2.52    74.58     2.92    15.09     0.00     0.00    87.40    23.79P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         41   63  +13      -3.15    37.44    -1.95    70.48     2.96    13.90     0.00     0.00    44.74    11.42P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        41   61   +9      -1.49    43.76    -0.45    69.63     2.84    11.51     0.00     0.00    30.04     7.41P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         41   61   +7       4.95    69.86     6.92    68.09     2.85     7.31     0.00     0.00    13.12     2.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     41   61   +1       8.53    80.83     7.15    67.99     2.99     1.19     0.00     0.00    11.68     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   41   59   +7      -0.39    48.57     2.42    65.80     2.94     6.99     0.00     0.00     4.68     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       41   59   +3       0.74    53.49     0.03    66.28     2.92     3.72     0.00     0.00     4.40     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         40   56  +16      -8.67    18.39     1.11    65.35     3.22    17.69     0.00     0.00     4.96     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   41   55   +9      -3.54    35.97     5.38    62.53     2.84     9.97     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bolton          41   51   -3      -7.28    22.92    -5.88    58.61     2.93    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       41   49   +0      -4.55    32.11     3.73    55.90     2.93     0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    41   47  -11      -3.68    35.51    -2.11    53.81     2.97   -11.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield    41   46   -7      -3.92    34.42     2.44    51.15     2.76    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Birmingham      41   43  -10     -11.31    11.74    -6.73    49.52     2.95   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.63R    0.03  
Doncaster       41   43  -25       1.74    58.50    -2.96    47.36     2.62   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.47R    0.52  
Blackpool       41   42  -24      -6.84    23.83   -13.20    47.29     2.73   -26.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.55R    0.53  
Charlton        39   41  -20      -5.14    28.95   -10.05    49.68     3.40   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.06R    0.30  
Millwall        41   39  -30      -4.12    33.16   -10.25    44.57     2.76   -31.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.25R    7.08  
Barnsley        40   36  -28      -4.95    29.49    -6.58    41.47     2.92   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.38R   37.05  
Yeovil          41   35  -25      -4.29    32.86     2.04    40.09     2.76   -27.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.30R   54.48  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2014, Brentford 1 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   41   90  +49       6.63    75.96     8.47   100.17     2.75    54.16    91.11    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       41   87  +30      16.37    95.66     8.78    95.22     2.93    31.97     8.89    97.72   100.00    98.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       41   78  +28      14.37    92.14    16.87    85.23     2.88    28.50     0.01     0.83   100.00    21.46P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   41   77  +35       7.68    78.50    15.55    85.25     2.88    37.14     0.00     0.83   100.00    31.64P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   76  +18      13.07    90.88     8.02    84.55     2.87    20.50     0.00     0.64   100.00    23.89P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    41   64   +9      -1.66    43.33    -5.28    73.16     2.96    12.60     0.00     0.00    92.89    22.98P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         41   58   +3      -4.63    31.85    -6.49    65.21     2.98     3.50     0.00     0.00     2.54     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   57   +4      -6.94    23.65    -7.45    64.69     2.98     5.21     0.00     0.00     2.04     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       41   57  -11       7.92    79.31     1.00    62.16     2.84   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         41   56   +3      -0.76    47.35     1.77    64.03     2.95     4.71     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       41   56   -1      -4.34    32.53    -7.39    63.98     2.94     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        41   49   +1      -0.68    47.95    10.43    54.62     2.85    -0.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Coventry        41   49   +0      -0.53    47.86    -4.38    54.82     2.91    -1.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Gillingham      41   48  -15       1.07    55.29     0.12    53.47     2.78   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.08R    0.01  
Bristol_City    41   47   -1     -12.11    11.36    -4.84    54.97     2.99     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.01  
Oldham          41   47  -11      -0.89    47.11     1.05    53.47     2.94   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.98R    0.03  
Crawley_Town    39   46   -9      -1.53    44.04    -0.44    54.99     3.48    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.38R    0.04  
Colchester      41   43  -12      -4.88    30.87     0.47    49.11     2.87   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.74R    3.92  
Tranmere        40   43  -21      -4.66    31.46    -9.78    50.52     3.18   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.35R    2.19  
Carlisle        40   43  -21      -1.04    46.27    -4.25    48.64     2.91   -25.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.95R    6.04  
Crewe           41   43  -27       0.21    51.92    -4.59    47.88     2.73   -30.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.28R   10.86  
Shrewsbury      41   41  -13      -7.21    22.17    -2.09    47.09     2.84   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.51R   11.34  
Notts_County    41   40  -17     -11.64    11.46    -9.18    46.78     2.99   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.14R   15.53  
Stevenage       41   39  -21      -7.24    22.34    -6.38    44.51     2.78   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.99R   50.03  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2014, Newport_County 1 2 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             41   75  +25       7.91    79.05     9.03    83.38     2.96    27.23    42.36    98.38   100.00    98.86P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           41   75  +25       3.07    62.02     2.22    83.84     2.94    27.82    50.23    98.91   100.00    99.28P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   71  +26       0.35    51.34     5.29    79.30     2.92    28.07     7.11    78.47   100.00    86.19P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       41   68  +13       8.33    80.33     7.73    75.09     2.91    13.36     0.18    13.95    99.82    34.53P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   68   +6      10.66    86.69     3.75    74.62     2.89     5.79     0.13     9.94    99.70    29.17P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   62  +13      -1.98    42.32     1.63    69.79     2.90    14.37     0.00     0.35    90.05    28.50P    0.00     0.00  
York                 41   60   +8       4.91    70.16     8.48    66.65     2.84     7.84     0.00     0.00    49.36     9.89P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   59   +6       0.61    52.94     2.28    65.89     2.86     6.12     0.00     0.00    38.60     8.98P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             41   58   +0       4.18    67.47     2.30    64.58     2.88    -0.23     0.00     0.00    17.96     3.61P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            41   54   -1       0.56    52.74     2.39    60.73     2.91    -1.09     0.00     0.00     1.79     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   53   +5      -8.40    19.99    -2.79    60.10     2.90     5.38     0.00     0.00     2.23     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   53   -9       5.36    71.45     2.80    59.22     2.89    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           41   51   -8      -3.46    36.51    -6.05    57.43     2.88    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.11R    0.00  
Newport_County       41   50   -5       3.77    65.97     9.46    55.77     2.87    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.64R    0.00  
Hartlepool           41   49   -1      -9.52    16.66    -4.89    56.11     2.93    -0.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.52R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   49   -3      -2.61    39.73     3.02    55.30     2.85    -3.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.83R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   49   -6       0.35    52.27     4.27    55.23     2.85    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.32R    0.00  
Morecambe            41   48  -14      -1.97    42.27    -5.34    53.42     2.81   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.78R    0.08  
Portsmouth           41   48  -15      -8.11    20.56   -15.31    54.92     2.91   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.84R    0.05  
Exeter               41   47   -6      -8.53    19.20    -5.35    53.33     2.86    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.41R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers       41   47   -8      -4.06    33.78    -1.66    53.60     2.89    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.56R    0.11  
Wycombe              41   46   -7      -6.65    24.54    -2.82    52.96     2.90    -6.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.70R    0.28  
Northampton          41   43  -20      -5.09    29.68    -9.29    49.06     2.85   -20.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.87R    5.03  
Torquay              41   36  -24     -10.62    12.29   -11.17    42.04     2.84   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.41R   94.31  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, Alfreton_Town 2 2 Welling; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            41   89  +61       6.98    77.82    18.81   100.17     2.57    68.18    99.97   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    40   76  +35       7.82    79.87    15.27    86.32     3.04    38.62     0.03    99.99    33.70P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    41   71   +2      16.37    95.81     5.50    77.57     2.96     1.50     0.00    74.29     8.69P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   69  +19       3.42    64.27     0.87    82.42     3.27    25.26     0.00    97.69    33.43P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        41   68  +17       6.09    74.00     8.25    75.03     2.89    17.34     0.00    46.20     8.46P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          41   67  +22       3.91    65.37    11.36    73.71     2.89    21.71     0.00    32.46     5.98P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   40   65  +17       6.18    74.53    10.65    73.33     3.07    17.07     0.00    26.69     4.80P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           41   64   +8      -1.82    42.37    -6.70    71.90     2.94     9.54     0.00    11.75     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    40   62   +2      -0.37    48.34    -9.85    71.54     3.17     3.93     0.00     9.90     2.08P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         42   61   -5       8.68    82.16     2.85    65.62     2.44    -6.30     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           40   60   -2       8.28    81.51     3.75    67.10     3.10    -3.90     0.00     0.53     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        41   59   -9      11.44    88.48     4.48    65.47     2.88    -9.60     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     40   58  +15      -4.99    29.76     2.07    66.67     3.18    15.47     0.00     0.47     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Welling          41   57   +4       3.03    62.59     7.49    63.64     2.84     3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     42   55   -2      -0.79    47.11     1.07    59.69     2.54    -3.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     40   54   +1      -2.37    39.97    -1.14    61.65     3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          42   54   -2     -10.54    13.53   -12.81    60.49     2.57    -0.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   46  -21       1.78    58.48     0.61    49.74     2.29   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.50R    0.00  
Southport        41   45  -20      -1.46    44.48    -3.50    51.06     2.81   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.62R    0.00  
Hereford         41   42  -20     -10.00    14.06   -13.63    48.26     2.85   -20.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.05R    0.00  
Aldershot        41   41   +3     -13.85     7.61   -10.41    48.94     2.90     4.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.94R    0.00  
Dartford         41   41  -21      -6.51    24.43    -6.66    47.14     2.80   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.09R    0.00  
Tamworth         41   33  -34      -6.84    22.16    -7.89    37.72     2.62   -37.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R    0.00  
Hyde_United      41   10  -70     -20.10     0.23   -20.43    13.08     2.28   -77.47     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10